- pre-print text (for those without university access to Science or ScienceExpress)
- supplemental material & data (also archived at Science, but may not be generally available until the article moves from ScienceExpress to Science
- A version of the phylogeny that is CC BY-SA 4.0 licensed (for those of you who want to make t-shirts; or conceivably, other uses)
- A Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) section that aims to be introductory
- Bonus graphics: PDFs of character maps for all characters and traits
- List of media links
- List of blog links
Cool story, nice graphic! Note: "are random mutations"->"aren't random mutations". @vocativ https://t.co/qjhuTMYnXA pic.twitter.com/dzc5WEj1Q6
— Nick Matzke (@NickJMatzke) December 19, 2015
References
Brown, Jennings (2015). Science Hero Made An Evolutionary Diagram Of Anti-Evolution Laws. Vocativ. December 19, 2015.
http://www.vocativ.com/news/262022/evolutionary-of-anti-evolution-laws/
https://twitter.com/NickJMatzke/status/678128329304629248
Matzke, Nicholas J. (2015). "The evolution of antievolution policies after Kitzmiller v. Dover." Science, 351(6268), 10-12. Published online via //ScienceExpress// Dec. 17, 2015. doi: 10.1126/science.aad4057 Journal: http://www.sciencemag.org/content/early/2015/12/16/science.aad4057.abstract
Matzke, Nicholas J. (2015). Bonus material on Matzke 2015 Science Paper On The Evolution Of Antievolution. December 19, 2015. http://phylo.wikidot.com/matzke-2015-science-paper-on-the-evolution-of-antievolution
68 Comments
Nick Matzke · 19 December 2015
getwittered: https://twitter.com/NickJMatzke/status/678166354310991872
OK, time for a break!
Mike Elzinga · 19 December 2015
Thanks, Nick; this is terrific stuff.
I hope the illumination sends the ID/cockroaches scurring. (pardon my insult to cockroaches)
Ray Martinez · 19 December 2015
John Harshman · 19 December 2015
I love the way Ray puts "highly intelligent" right into his definition.
phhht · 19 December 2015
phhht · 19 December 2015
Joe Felsenstein · 19 December 2015
Nick, one question that has not been addressed: would it have been possible to ask the authors of these bills what was copied from what? Or would they all have been covering their tracks?
Also, another reason why the DI might be irritated by this paper is that it shows phylogenetic machinery actually correctly inferring the history of something. If it has gotten that wrong, presumably they'd be trumpeting it all over the place.
Mike Elzinga · 19 December 2015
Ray Martinez · 19 December 2015
Yardbird · 19 December 2015
Marilyn · 19 December 2015
What science does is deliberate equations that tot up to the creation, which in the end, if the sums do add up proves that the creation can be formulated. The creation first, then the equation that put it their second. What a discovery, the creation can alter a sum or two and can manipulate an out come. The creation changes as the environment changes, natural history has taught us that. Once science has found the equation that makes things work right then a prevention can be put in place to stop things going wrong.
Dave Thomas · 19 December 2015
We were comparing creationist/ID bills and their provenance from Discovery Institute prefabs years ago.
Nothing on the grand scale of Nick's masterful opus, which mentions four legislative assaults in New Mexico (SB371 and HB506, 2007; SB433, 2009; and HB302, 2011); the following links offer a peek at some of the goings-on at the species level in New Mexico, as posted by NMSR.
Evolution of Creationist Legislation in the New Mexico Legislature
Intelligent Design Creationist Proposed Bills and Joint Memorials in the 2007 New Mexico Legislature (PDF by Kim Johnson)
Creationist Legislation, New Mexico Legislature, 2011 60-day Session
Creationist Legislation, New Mexico Legislature, 2009 60-day Session
Great work Nick!!
phhht · 19 December 2015
stevaroni · 19 December 2015
Nick Matzke · 19 December 2015
John Harshman · 19 December 2015
Nick Matzke · 19 December 2015
Ah yes, you can see Dave Thomas's post above on the copying in New Mexico!
If you look at the tree, you can see the 2007, 2009, and 2011 NM bills are all on the same lineage (it's kind of the last lineage branching off before the AFA+Ouchita merger produces the SEA tradition, which then takes over). But, various other states are on that lineage also -- the position of New Mexico on that subtree, though, suggests that NM is the "ancestral state" -- so to speak. :-)
Given that we know New Mexico has had some particularly activist anti-science, pro-ID/pro-critical analysis groups, it would make sense if their bills got picked up in other states either because (a) the New Mexico stuff was in the news or (b) the New Mexico people promoted their bill texts in conservative/fundamentalist media, discussion forums, backchannels, whatever.
It's possible Dave Thomas et al. might have accidentally heard more about that specific question (NM being the ancestral state for late-model AFAs).
Nick Matzke · 19 December 2015
(PS: Slide 15 of the trait map PDF is a parsimony ancestral state reconstruction of...the ancestral state. The color scheme isn't great but it's there.
Nick Matzke · 19 December 2015
Nick Matzke · 19 December 2015
*con-sponsor -> co-sponsor
*Montana -> I was thinking of Missouri, although Montana has a bit of the copying-within-state happening also
DS · 19 December 2015
I wonder if there are any examples of any egregious errors in one bill that were inadvertently copied into others. You know, kind of like ERV evolution. It was a mistake originally, but it wasn't noticed and so it was passed on to future incarnations intact. You know, something like a spelling error or a grammatical error. Something that was unlikely to have arisen independently in two different lineages. Now that would be a good object lesson for witless creationists.
Zetopan · 19 December 2015
Ray claims:
"Creationists, defined as highly intelligent men"
I see at least two problems with this nonsensical definition. Firstly "creationist" is actually defined as someone who *believes* in creationism, despite the evidence. And creationism is defined as "any belief that asserts that some god(s) created the universe and/or its contents via magic, rather than that the universe arose through purely natural processes."[1] And similarly, "Creationism is the religious belief that the Universe and life originated "from specific acts of divine creation."[2] Such nonsensical redefinitions of words is common among obscurantists. "if something is white and the Church says it is black, Ignatius says we should all believe it is black."[3]
Secondly, how would Ray even know what "highly intelligent men" (no women?) are? There is no recognizable intelligence in his idiosyncratic rambling postings.
NOTES:
1. http://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Creationism
2. http://www.conservapedia.com/Creationism
3. http://www.newfoundations.com/GALLERY/Loyola.html
Keelyn · 19 December 2015
phhht · 19 December 2015
Just Bob · 19 December 2015
Hey Ray, we're still waiting for how you know your favorite rock is NOT designed. Since you seem to treat it as really obvious, then it should be simple to give us a method that WE could apply to any given object to tell if it is designed -- perhaps designed to appear 'natural' -- or undesigned.
phhht · 19 December 2015
TomS · 20 December 2015
Keelyn · 20 December 2015
Marilyn · 20 December 2015
Marilyn · 20 December 2015
Or you could say it was very good of the ten to fit another one in, it could make things better.
Nick Matzke · 20 December 2015
Nick Matzke · 20 December 2015
An ancestral state reconstruction of ancestral states:
http://phylo.wikidot.com/matzke-2015-science-paper-on-the-evolution-of-antievolution#states
MiddleStMan · 20 December 2015
The work of charting and diagramming links between antievolution bills is important. Why not make an infographic too?
Letâs not get tied down by the claims of âmemeticsâ, which have been widely panned. Biologists are not trained nor are they competent in studies of cultural artefacts (like bills and trials); neither are (meme bandwagon) philosophers like Dennett or Blackmore or cyberneticians like Heylighen.
Obviously, people still promoting âmemeticsâ should be familiar with the documented failure of the Journal of Memetics http://cfpm.org/jom-emit/2002/vol6/edmonds_b_letter.html and http://cfpm.org/jom-emit/2005/vol9/edmonds_b.html
In summary, Nick made a nice diagram (and it probably didnât cost him much, or Vocativ). Itâs a nice cultural story. But basing it on the myth of â(phylo)memeticsâ makes it highly suspicious.
Letâs be honest; it is not actually a âphylomemetic methodâ used, but rather simply a âdiagrammatic method,â for which the term âdecision treeâ is more commonly used in the proper fields. Or did Nick Matzke somehow just become a social scientist overnight (ala E.O. Wilson), with all the baggage that contains? Would anything be lost in Matzke's article by dropping 'memes' and '(phylo)memetics' altogether?
TomS · 20 December 2015
One more report on Matzkeâs article, in Forbes online:
http://www.forbes.com/sites/johnfarrell/2015/12/20/how-creationism-has-evolved-since-the-dover-trial/
"How Creationism Has Evolved Since the Dover Trial" by John Farrell, December 20, 2015
A straightforward report.
Iâll just mention that he refers to âhalf-baked folk-scienceâ. (A generous characterization, IMHO.)
harold · 20 December 2015
Nick Matzke · 20 December 2015
TomS · 20 December 2015
How about this demonstration that a nucleon (that is, either a proton or a neutron) is designed. A nucleon is made up of three quarks, but a quark cannot exist on its own, therefore a nucleon is irreducbly complex (any division into parts is not possible),
and therefore intelligently designed.
Nuclei are made up of nucleons, and thus have more information. So too, atoms. And thus anything made up of atoms is intelligently designed.
prongs · 20 December 2015
But, but, but, .... a quark can exist by itself for a very, very, very short period of time. What does that say?
How does time of independent existence figure into IR?
Is IR, like the Designer, imaginary? Does it exist only in the minds of ID/creationists?
TomS · 20 December 2015
Richard B. Hoppe · 20 December 2015
Nick, Michael gnor showed up in Jeff Shallit's post on the issue. You might add it to your blog listing.
Ray Martinez · 21 December 2015
phhht · 21 December 2015
Michael Fugate · 21 December 2015
Ray, the US was founded almost 80 years before Darwin. The use of the term "creationist" before founding fathers is meaningless before common descent became the best explanation for life. Why did't you add slavery proponents in front of their names? or racist, or white, or wealthy, or misogynistic? How about all the children they had with mistresses - shouldn't that be something our leaders should emulate?
Those who wrote the Constitution expected it to be amended and even replaced if needed. Like science, they knew the law should evolve and not be static. Your conclusion is inanity on stilts. Ray if you want your creationism taught in schools, then all you need do is tell us who the designer is and how you know that. You need to tell us how, what, where, when and why it designed, made, created - whatever you want to call it. Give us a supernatural science.
DS · 21 December 2015
Still waiting for you to explain the mice Ray. You can read my specific questions on the bathroom wall. Until you come up with a better explanation, you can consider the idea of immutability falsified.
RJ · 21 December 2015
Ray focused in on 'creationist' in describing the U.S. founders because he believes that evolution and much of other modern scholarship is a liberal conspiracy to undermine morals as defined by his kind. Easy.
Rolf · 22 December 2015
Nick Matzke · 23 December 2015
eric · 23 December 2015
eric · 23 December 2015
Henry J · 23 December 2015
TomS · 23 December 2015
MiddleStMan · 23 December 2015
MiddleStMan · 23 December 2015
Nick Matzke · 23 December 2015
Hi MiddleStMan,
I'm at a bit of loss about your comments. I tried to make everything reasonably clear in the Supplemental Material and the references cited, but you seem to have missed most of the Supplemental Material and all of the references (for example: I didn't invent the term "phylomemetics", instead I cited the paper that did). Also it's pretty clear that you have only a vague understanding of phylogenetics. Instead of actually reading and considering carefully, you are jamming my work into some preconceptions you have about other stuff done by other people -- mainly, you are fighting some kind of battle against memetics and Dawkins et al. You seem to think I am on "their side" and that's the main beef you have with me. If you googled me and Dawkins (and Mary Midgley - I am a huge Midgley fan) you would see just how wrong that is.
You see, I agree with basically every criticism of traditional memetics (at least the first generation; I haven't followed it in detail in recent years). And I also disagree with the more general attitude, common amongst a certain subset of "scientific triumphalists", which tries to reduce all fields, including the humanities, to physical sciences. The original memetics was an extension of this and, I think, showed how the approach doesn't lead to much. I am not a reductionist, or at least, I think in many cases people try to apply a naive form of reductionism that oversimplifies and distorts more than it clarifies and informs. This is often tied into an entire anti-religious project, which is clearly part of what original memetics was about (religion as a "mind virus"), and again this is something I don't find very useful.
All that said though, I am a scientist, and we are pragmatic sorts. If it looks like some combination of data-plus-statistical-method has some reasonable chance of allowing us to test hypotheses, then it's interesting. It looks to me like phylomemetics has potential where memetics did not -- mostly because phylogenetic methods are about more than just getting the phylogenetic tree (another thing you missed). These days, phylogenetic methods are also applied to things like lineage diversification and extinction rates through time, asking whether or not these processes correlate with evolving traits, changing environment, etc. I was able to do a little bit of this in the current study with current methods -- we are limited mostly by the fact that most methods don't work with trees that include "fossils". But I was able to do a little bit, and I think this shows the potential for phylomemetics to be a more rigorous science, at least in cases (as I said in Supplemental Material) where the memes are large and stable enough to do phylogenetics on them.
(Also as I said in Supp. Mat., original memetics was closely tied to selectionism, but as most people actually in evolutionary biology knows, evolution is about much more than just selection. Drift and other processes are equally interesting from a scientific perspective. And, the phylogeny can be estimated independently of any strong assumptions about selection etc. - the main key assumption of phylogenetics is that changes are relatively rare compared to copying events. Ideally, once you have a phylogeny, you use it to test hypotheses about these other processes.)
Last point -- google "all models are wrong, some models are useful."
SLC · 23 December 2015
TomS · 24 December 2015
prongs · 24 December 2015
Mike Elzinga · 24 December 2015
Mike Elzinga · 24 December 2015
MiddleStMan · 27 December 2015
Mike Elzinga · 27 December 2015
Mike Elzinga · 27 December 2015
Nick Matzke · 28 December 2015
MiddleStMan · 31 December 2015
Mike Elzinga · 31 December 2015
Science Avenger · 31 December 2015
richard09 · 21 January 2016
Also OT but sort of related:
http://www.theguardian.com/books/2016/jan/20/fairytales-much-older-than-previously-thought-say-researchers
"The study employed phylogenetic analysis, which was developed to investigate evolutionary relationships between species, and used a tree of Indo-European languages to trace the descent of shared tales on it, to see how far they could be demonstrated to go back in time."
MiddleStMan · 22 January 2016
Since another post has recently been added to this thread, are the lost posts able/going to be restored? I've only posted a few times here on Pandas Thumb, but now this exchange with Nick Matzke has been truncated.
I saved my post and could send it again. It still doesn't seem Matzke recognizes clearly why (or perhaps even that) he is trying to resurrect the already largely dead ideology of 'memetics' by adding 'phylo' to it.