I do not want to be flip, but almost any reader of PT could have told him that; just substitute "Book of Genesis" in place of "Ayn Rand," make other substitutions as necessary, and you will see what I mean. If Krugman is right, and I am sure that he is, he brings bad news: People will deny global warming with their last breath, and they will not be convinced even by a mountain of evidence or the testimony of the vast majority of experts. Indeed, there is far more money behind global-warming denial than behind evolution denial, and denialists will fight even quintessentially conservative solutions like cap and trade until, as the columnist Leonard Pitts put it today, the west Antarctic ice sheet falls into the ocean and our grandchildren vie for beachfront property in St. Louis. Note added approximately 2:50 MDT: See also an article in the Daily Kos linking David Koch to climate-change denial. Mr. Koch, according to the author,think about global warming from the point of view of someone who grew up taking Ayn Rand seriously, believing that the untrammeled pursuit of self-interest is always good and that government is always the problem, never the solution. Along come some scientists declaring that unrestricted pursuit of self-interest will destroy the world, and that government intervention is the only answer. It doesn't matter how market-friendly you make the proposed intervention; this is a direct challenge to the libertarian worldview.
For some reason, I was reminded of a comment that Jared Diamond made during a talk, roughly, "The person who cut down the last date palm tree on Easter Island was probably calling for another study."understands the way anti-scientism can be used to fuel a political pushback against science as a mean of undermining support for government regulation. That the science clashes with his economic interests gives him and his brother the motivation [opportunity?] to use their wealth to try to shape the political processes.
77 Comments
https://me.yahoo.com/a/JxVN0eQFqtmgoY7wC1cZM44ET_iAanxHQmLgYgX_Zhn8#57cad · 9 June 2014
Evolution and climate science are both complex, which allows many opportunities to cast doubt on the science. Couple that with the fact that their egos are involved, and one can throw up enough dust to satisfy those who wish not to accept the science. Then too, because the denialists are pre-committed to their positions, that can simply be projected onto the scientists, who thereby become to their minds untrustworthy.
At least climate science denial doesn't promise an afterlife in paradise for fighting against "materialist science."
Glen Davidson
alicejohn · 9 June 2014
No kidding!!!
If anthropogenic global warming is occurring, then the tree-hugging hippies the right has been making fun of all these years would have been correct all along. To admit that would cause a crisis in their worldview. Therefore, AGW can not exist. Some will never be convinced global warming is occurring from any cause. For the ones you can convince global warming is real, until you can prove it is not being caused by a non-human cause (logically impossible), it is economically irresponsible (to them) to take steps to mitigate the problem.
DavidK · 9 June 2014
You run into resistance like this from U.S. Senators, e.g., Sen. Inhofe of Oklahoma:
"Inhofe often repeats his claim that human influenced climate change is a hoax and impossible because “God’s still up there.” and that it is “outrageous” and arrogant for people to believe human beings are “able to change what He is doing in the climate.” (wikipedia)
ksplawn · 9 June 2014
I've left a post before about Roy Spencer, an actual climate scientist who nevertheless let himself get lulled into denialism. He not only refuses to accept the mainstream view of AGW even though it's staring him in the face, he's also gotten onboard with the ID spiel and believes Creationism is just as scientific as evolution.
Motivated reasoning and the endurance of cognitive dissonance in the service of ideology can strike even those who should know better. In his case I think the climate denial is mostly of the political ideology aspect, like Krugman describes, and his anti-evolutionism a product of being a Born Again. The two are probably not that neatly separated, though. He has signed onto a statement endorsing the view that God wouldn't let us screw up the climate. And there's the fact that authoritarian personality traits are overrepresented in right-wing American politics, which favors both climate and evolution denial. And once you accept denial in one area, for whatever reason, it's oh so easy to accept it in others. When you reject the credibility of mainstream science to answer questions just because those answers aren't to your liking, why stop with just one field? The same tendency has been shown with conspiracy theorists; accepting one conspiracy theory means you're likely to accept a lot of them. We've all seen what conspiracy theories get cooked up among those who deny evolution and those who deny AGW. Roy Spencer has personally advanced conspiracy theories about climate science, at least.
Dave Luckett · 9 June 2014
See the Foreign Office approach to all problems, as Humphrey Appleby defined it.
Four steps:
1) Nothing is going to happen.
2) Maybe something is going to happen, but there's nothing we can do about it.
3) Maybe we could do something about it, but we shouldn't.
4) Maybe we could have done something about it, but it's too late now.
Rolf · 10 June 2014
Charley Horse · 10 June 2014
SOURCE; http://www.drroyspencer.com/
Instead of making laws about what can’t be done, scientists should instead invent laws that show us the ways things can be done. The negative character of thermodynamics laws does nothing but stifle and discourage creative and inventive minds from the quest for perpetual motion machines. Scientists nurtured in this climate of negativity have not, and never will, discover the secret of perpetual motion. They haven’t a clue how it might be accomplished.
eric · 10 June 2014
I have not had many discussions with deniers, but one argument I've heard is that ecosystems are stable without top-down regulation, so obviously its not needed in human (economic) ecosystems either.
The obvious response to this is that ecosystems only superficially look stable: they naturally go through boom and bust cycles where there are massive die-offs. We don't want that in our human ecosystems - economic or otherwise. We are actively trying to avoid such individually devastating boom and bust swings. Thus, the need for mechanisms nature doesn't have in order to fix a problem nature doesn't solve (to our satisfaction).
Moreover, even after boom and bust cycles and occasional large die-offs, ecosystems don't always naturally recover back to their earlier state. Sometimes, species just go extinct and ecosystems change permanently. Early on, anaerobic prokaryotes ruled the planet. But they poisoned the atmosphere with their waste products to such an extent that the atmosphere underwent an irreversible and radical change. Now they can't live on the surface at all, and live in only niche areas where their waste product - free oxygen - exists only in low concentrations. That is an example of how nature responds to atmospheric pollution, and we really, really don't want to follow their example.
david.starling.macmillan · 10 June 2014
ksplawn · 10 June 2014
Pretty sure that post is sarcasm as Spencer isn't that far gone yet. More likely it's a snarkful post about his perception of the futility of trying to meet all our energy needs with non-polluting and renewable sources.
However, with a straight face he will claim that the IPCC acts as a "gatekeeper" to prevent oh-so-high-quality papers "skeptical" of global warming from seeing the light of day. High quality papers like his (Spencer and Braswell [2010]), which was so bad (and so heavily spun by Spencer to the media) that the editor in chief of the journal resigned in protest to try and save the journal's reputation. Obviously, he was made to fall on his sword at the behest of the shadowy cabal at the dark heart of the IPCC for daring to let a "skeptical" paper through!
harold · 10 June 2014
DavidK · 10 June 2014
eric · 10 June 2014
https://me.yahoo.com/a/KIMtbf0Dp.crWCW7aUoW98bEqgleKvwP#a3fad · 10 June 2014
It also can be stated that to some Christians the Earth is ours do to with as we wish and it does not matter how badly the planet is damaged because getting into the "Kingdom of Heaven" is all that matters. However, I heard a talk a few years ago from Randall Balmer, a self-admitted left-wing evangelical, (wrote "Thy Kingdom Come: How the Religious Right Distorts the Faith and Threatens America") in which he stated that environmentalism might be a path to reach young evangelicals before they turn to the "right-wing side". He uses the tact that the bible states we are stewards of the Earth and therefore are obligated not to destroy the planet. I am not holding my breath that this will have any effect but you never know.
MWN
Dave Luckett · 10 June 2014
What do you do about the fact that India and China are building coal-fired power stations like they're going out of fashion?
Don't get me wrong. I don't approve of coal-fired power stations any more than the greenest greenie on the planet. I just want to ask what I think of as Lenin's Question, though I am assured that it wasn't actually, but nevertheless: "What is to be done?"
Well, what?
eric · 10 June 2014
ksplawn · 10 June 2014
david.starling.macmillan · 10 June 2014
eric · 11 June 2014
harold · 11 June 2014
david.starling.macmillan · 11 June 2014
FL · 11 June 2014
phhht · 11 June 2014
DS · 11 June 2014
It's all just one big conspiracy. Doesn't matter if anyone, anywhere can see it for themselves and study it for themselves. If anyone, anywhere can be shown to be behaving at all badly, then all of the scientists must be wrong. After all, we have one E-mail that shows that one scientist might have worded something unfortunately, so we can throw out all of the science and all of the evidence and just believe whatever we want. Typical denialist crap, just like always.
eric · 11 June 2014
ksplawn · 11 June 2014
FL, if I thought it would make a difference, I could discuss those quotes with you.
Is there a chance that anything I say could make a difference?
Katharine · 12 June 2014
FL · 12 June 2014
phhht · 12 June 2014
SLC · 12 June 2014
The Cato Institute, lap dogs for the Koch brothers.
FL · 12 June 2014
So Phhht, tell me what happened to Dr. Bengtsson. And tell me WHY it happened.
(Remember, Bengtsson is on YOUR side regarding global warming. Your side ripped him off big-time. WHY?)
Let's hear it Phhht. Should be interesting.
FL
phhht · 12 June 2014
andrewdburnett · 12 June 2014
Katharine · 12 June 2014
andrewdburnett · 12 June 2014
DS · 12 June 2014
Perhaps Floyd can tell us what will happen to the earth's climate if we pass a tipping point. What if the ocean becomes too acidic? What if the permafrost in the arctic melts? What if the Antarctic ice sheet collapses? What if the Atlantic meridonal overturning circulation ceases to flow? What if the jet stream is disrupted and becomes wildly unstable?
Now, do you honestly think that continuing to dump billions of tons of green house gases into the atmosphere is a good idea, given the predictable consequences? How do your conspiracy fantasies stack up to the actual consequences of such irresponsible behavior? Of course Floyd is emotionally and intellectually incapable of dealing with reality. He will go on denying reality until he dles and learns the error of his ways.
ksplawn · 12 June 2014
phhht · 12 June 2014
FL · 12 June 2014
FL · 12 June 2014
phhht · 12 June 2014
andrewdburnett · 12 June 2014
DS · 12 June 2014
Notice how Floyd has completely ignored all of the evidence. He has concentrated on some irrelevant side issue as a way of trying to denigrate an entire branch of science, Does that sound familiar? It's the same denialist strategy he uses when ignoring all of the evidence for evolution. He really is a one trick stupid pony.
Matt Young · 12 June 2014
FL provides a glimpse into the weird thinking of the conspiracy-minded right wing. Readers may respond to his arguments, but please do not bait him or insult him personally. No one has time for pointless mudslinging from either side.
ksplawn · 12 June 2014
Jon Fleming · 13 June 2014
Nicely said. No chance Floyd will respond with anything substantial.
DS · 13 June 2014
But they wouldn't publish the paper, that's persecution, right? You have to publish everything, even stuff that is completely bogus, right? That's peer review, right? Anything else is unacceptable,, right? So we should reject all of the scientists who choose not to publish the paper, right? We should reject all of the good science in all of the good papers that were actually published, right? We should use this criteria for all of science, right? We should automatically reject anything that doesn't conform to our preconceptions and label anything else censorship, right? That's the way science works, right?
Oh, wait. That's the way religion works, not science. Right.
Carl Drews · 13 June 2014
I just returned from a family vacation to the British Isles. We saw more wind farms in Ireland and Britain than I have seen in the western U.S., even while driving through Wyoming. Ireland and the United Kingdom are making good use of clean wind energy.
We visited Newgrange. The guides said the chamber tomb dates to 3200 BC; as dated by organic material in the mortar packed into the chinks between rocks. We visited Stonehenge as well; the first stones there were raised about 2500 BC, but earthworks at the site are much older.
Mike Elzinga · 13 June 2014
Dave Luckett · 13 June 2014
Re Mike, above.
Another folk aphorism: if you lie down with dogs, you get up with fleas.
Carl Drews · 14 June 2014
Harold has warned of the dangers of engaging a crackpot in private by arguing that it is a complete waste of time. There is another more sinister danger.
After a long private conversation in which you tried your best to remain civil and reasonable, the crackpot may lie about you in public forums. The crackpot may accuse you of being rude, lying, insults, and all sorts of things you never did. The crackpot may say all sorts of defamatory things behind your back. The crackpot may search for photos of you and post them on his blog with outrageous captions. Don't give them any material which to distort; don't carry on a conversation without witnesses.
You may discover later that the crackpot is slandering you on another discussion board, and making up all sorts of nonsense that you allegedly said. You will be tempted to post the entire conversation and set the record straight. That posting will violate copyright and privacy customs, but at this point you may not care.
But you are an ethical person, unlike the crackpot. Don't get into this dilemmma in the first place. Do Not Feed The Trolls. It's good biblical advice (Titus 3:9-11).
Matt Young · 15 June 2014
This is ever so slightly off task, but I have just read a very silly article, Does religion cripple science innovation?, by Dr. Elizabeth Mitchell. What she means, of course, is "Does young-Earth creationism cripple science innovation?" The answer is, "yes and no"; clearly young-Earth creationists can hold down jobs as engineers or geologists, but could they truly innovate in physics or biology or climate science? To see how bad it is, check a Times article by Charles M. Blow, which discusses the recent Gallup poll.
Anyway, Dr. Mitchell's purpose was largely to take on Neil deGrasse Tyson's Cosmos series, and to that end she brings up the purported distinction between historical and observational science, and argues that evolution itself is a religion. She takes Dr. Tyson to task, correctly, for overstating his case, as when he says that the Cosmos is all that is – a claim that I suspect is true, but it is surely metaphysics, not physics.
As for the distinction between historical and observational science, it is a distinction without a difference. So-called historical scientists such as paleontologists and geologists use precisely the same scientific method as other scientists, often use the same instrumentation, make the same measurements, formulate hypotheses in the same way, and draw deductions identically to other experimental scientists. Calling it "interpreting scientific data through the filter of what you already believe about the unobservable past" is equivalent to asking, "Were you there?" It is a question that ought to be beneath the dignity of a person with an advanced degree.
There is more, but I will let you find it out for yourself, if you are so inclined.
stevaroni · 15 June 2014
Scott F · 15 June 2014
"Were you there?"
One has to wonder if any Creationist ever watched an episode of CSI, every read a murder mystery or a Sherlock Holmes story. I would be very surprised if they did. I would bet any amount of money that they never read any science fiction. They wouldn't be able to tell the difference.
No, I was not there, but this body was, these rocks were, this light (from distant galaxies) was, and they all have stories to tell.
It always amazes me the lack of curiosity, the lack of creativity, and the lack of imagination that Creationists display.
Mike Elzinga · 15 June 2014
Scott F · 15 June 2014
Matt Young · 15 June 2014
stevaroni · 15 June 2014
davidjensen · 16 June 2014
DS · 16 June 2014
In other words, they are just hypocrites who hold their own preconceptions inviolate for no reason whatsoever while still paying lip service to any science they can't find sufficient reason to denigrate, even though they would be willing to throw it out the instant it seemed to cause any problem for them. This is the exact opposite of the true scientific method. Their duplicity should be pointed out at every opportunity.
harold · 16 June 2014
harold · 16 June 2014
TomS · 16 June 2014
Carl Drews · 16 June 2014
Carl Drews · 16 June 2014
That reminds me. Yesterday morning during our worship service, the Lector read the creation story from Genesis 1:1 - 2:4. He read from a Bible translation that uses the word "dome" where the KJV has "firmament." He said "dome" about five times by my count during the Old Testament reading. Dome.
Nobody leaped up and objected, or tried to argue that the word "firmament" was really not meant to convey a solid blue dome. Apparently my (Anglican) congregation accepts that Genesis 1 was written for an ancient audience, and the text describes the natural world as it appeared to Bronze Age people. The sky looked like a big blue dome to them, and it still does. Modern science tells us a lot more about the sky, and we can accept that science without getting all upset about what the ancient text says or does not say about atmospheric scattering of light. How rational!
I'll note that we did not get to this happy place overnight. Nevertheless, it was wonderful to hear and celebrate the great Hexalogue of Creation in Genesis 1 without all the usual baggage.
TomS · 16 June 2014
Just Bob · 16 June 2014
Carl Drews · 16 June 2014
I foolishly left Gilgamesh at home this morning (what was I thinking?). Nevertheless, there is the chapter describing how Gilgamesh runs through the tunnel beneath the earth's surface before the sun sets and fries him to a crisp. As I recall, the dome of the sky rests on the Twin Peaks in the far eastern land of the scorpion people. I guess Atlas holds up the western end.
ksplawn · 16 June 2014
davidjensen · 16 June 2014
ksplawn · 16 June 2014
wayneefrancis · 17 June 2014
Just Bob · 17 June 2014
There are many 'very real sides' of FL's fundamentalist Christianity that he really doesn't like to air in public -- or that he just denies the existence of by 'interpreting' them away.
TomS · 18 June 2014
david.starling.macmillan · 18 June 2014
DS · 18 June 2014
Henry J · 18 June 2014
The problem with circular arguments is that they lead to going off on tangents.