Robert Asher on Stephen Meyer's "uniformitarianism" argument in Darwin's Doubt

Posted 9 January 2014 by

Robert Asher is a Cambridge mammal paleontologist, zoologist, phylogeneticist, author of Evolution and Belief, and generally really smart guy. He has just published a commentary at HuffPo on one aspect of Stephen Meyer's arguments, namely, Meyer's argument about "uniformitarianism." Meyer basically claims that inferring intelligent design is an application of uniformitarianism, because in everyday human experience the only known explanation of "information" is intelligence, therefore we should infer ID when new information arises billions of years ago in the origin of life, or hundreds of millions of years ago in the Cambrian Explosion. (Meyer really believes that intelligence is necessary for any nontrivial evolutionary adaptation or complexity increase, i.e. he thinks there were millions of miraculous interventions in the history of life, but he's a bit coy about admitting this up front.) Meyer uses this argument in Darwin's Doubt, Signature in the Cell, and generally throughout his work. It actually traces back to the 1980s, at least to Charles Thaxton of the Foundation for Thought and Ethics (as Meyer acknowledges, with a few tweaks, if I recall correctly), but also to Dallas Theological Seminary theologian Norman Geisler (who was also a creationist witness in the 1981 McLean vs. Arkansas trial). This latter fact is basically now deleted from IDist histories of the ID movement, but it's completely clear if one reads Geisler & Anderson's (1987) Origin Science: A Proposal for the Creation-Evolution Controversy. This work also contains a fascinating paragraph or two that try to reconcile the inference-of-creation-is-uniformitarian argument with the then-popular creationist view that uniformaritanism-is-materialist-dogma-that-unfairly-rules-out-creationism. This tension is still found throughout modern ID arguments, usually when IDists rant and rave about the evils of methodological naturalism, but then say that any questions about the IDer, his abilities, motives, etc., are questions outside of science. Anyhow, there are numerous problems with the jump from information to inference of intelligence inference, such as (1) it's absolutely not true that only intelligence can produce "information" in the sense of new functional DNA sequence or new organismal forms (see my reviews of Meyer: Meyer's Hopeless Monster, Part II and Luskin's Hopeless Monster; and Meyer on Medved: the blind leading the blind), and (2) it's not at all clear that the "information" in biology is really the same stuff as the "information" that humans invent; a rigorous definition of "information" might solve this problem, but IDists don't present a definition of something that is also beyond the reach of standard evolutionary mechanisms. But, there are yet other problems with the inference, namely, how uniformitarian is Meyer, really? Robert Asher argues that Meyer is being selectively uniformitarian. Meyer basically uses the term as rhetoric, and then arbitrarily drops uniformitarianism whether it would lead to problems with his ID argument. Here's a preview:
If we really apply uniformitarianism to determine if intelligent agents influenced the course of our evolutionary history, we'd expect those agents to have left behind the same kinds of traces as other such agents. Humanity is the best example we've got so far, and we make an exponentially greater amount of garbage than we do functional designs. One of the most obvious kinds of material evidence that a human-like intelligence in Earth's distant past would have left behind was spelled out with one of the most famous lines, indeed one of the most famous words, ever uttered in twentieth-century film: Plastics. Far from being persecuted for a discovery that raises the issue of design, anyone finding genuine "plastic spikes" in deep time, corresponding temporally to one or more evolutionary events, would be assured of a successful, mainstream academic career (to say the least). While such artifacts wouldn't tell us how biodiversity actually came about, they would indicate that something out there served as an agent behind life on Earth. Maybe ID advocates will claim that their "intelligence" didn't have to leave behind a plastic spike or other such material evidence. And when they do, they cease to qualify as scientifically uniformitarian.
Go to HuffPo for the rest!

73 Comments

https://me.yahoo.com/a/JxVN0eQFqtmgoY7wC1cZM44ET_iAanxHQmLgYgX_Zhn8#57cad · 9 January 2014

Who believes in that sort of uniformitarianism anyway, now?

Of course it's a bizarre resort to what once was a reasonably good principle (assume uniformity in geology at a time when doing otherwise was dicey at best) but isn't really anything today, because it's so clear that if we actually apply it properly to life, we'd expect reproduction with variation, inevitably being subject to natural selection. And the evidence just happens to be consistent with unintelligent evolution, not technological evolution with its easy transference of designs (which is why we accept evolution, not because of uniformitarianism).

In order to pretend that life had to be designed he has to reduce everything to information, then apply a defunct "principle" under the pretense that it's really all just the same. It's nothing like the same, and he knows it.

Glen Davidson

ksplawn · 9 January 2014

Uniformitarianism in geology posits that the slow, gradual, excruciatingly incremental changes we see caused by weathering and erosion can explain the difference between a butte and a canyon, a flat plain or a jagged mountain range, a karstic landscape from a glacial moraine. In short, it posits that perfectly observable process make very small changes that accumulated over very long periods of time to end up with extremely large changes that explain the diversity of geological forms.

Kind of like the process of evolution we see going on today being extended backwards over time to explain the diversity of life forms, from pandas to paramecia.

Henry J · 9 January 2014

Far from being persecuted for a discovery that raises the issue of design, anyone finding genuine “plastic spikes” in deep time, corresponding temporally to one or more evolutionary events, would be assured of a successful, mainstream academic career (to say the least). While such artifacts wouldn’t tell us how biodiversity actually came about, they would indicate that something out there served as an agent behind life on Earth.

It sounds like it would indicate that something with technology had been around, but wouldn't by itself tell us whether that something was doing genetic engineering. It might have just been exploring or something. Henry

bigdakine · 9 January 2014

https://me.yahoo.com/a/JxVN0eQFqtmgoY7wC1cZM44ET_iAanxHQmLgYgX_Zhn8#57cad said: Who believes in that sort of uniformitarianism anyway, now? Of course it's a bizarre resort to what once was a reasonably good principle (assume uniformity in geology at a time when doing otherwise was dicey at best) but isn't really anything today, because it's so clear that if we actually apply it properly to life, we'd expect reproduction with variation, inevitably being subject to natural selection. And the evidence just happens to be consistent with unintelligent evolution, not technological evolution with its easy transference of designs (which is why we accept evolution, not because of uniformitarianism). In order to pretend that life had to be designed he has to reduce everything to information, then apply a defunct "principle" under the pretense that it's really all just the same. It's nothing like the same, and he knows it. Glen Davidson
It is still a reasonably good principle. Uniformitarianism, stated in a more modern context, simply means the laws of physics have not changed during the course of earth history. And that proved to be a much better explanation of change in geologic strata as opposed to having such change occur as a succession of unrelated "catastrophic events". Sure, there are processes which can produce rapid change; earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, impacts, etc. And the geologists of yore were not ignorant of that. But given that the physics of earthquakes, volcanoes and impacts have also not changed during the course of earth's history, these processes too can be folded into the modern description of uniformitarianism.

kevinshands · 9 January 2014

Henry J said:

Far from being persecuted for a discovery that raises the issue of design, anyone finding genuine “plastic spikes” in deep time, corresponding temporally to one or more evolutionary events, would be assured of a successful, mainstream academic career (to say the least). While such artifacts wouldn’t tell us how biodiversity actually came about, they would indicate that something out there served as an agent behind life on Earth.

It sounds like it would indicate that something with technology had been around, but wouldn't by itself tell us whether that something was doing genetic engineering. It might have just been exploring or something.
I don't know about 'plastic spikes' but I once found a plastic fork at the bottom of the Grand Canyon. I think that this demonstrates precambrian take out. I'm looking forward to my mainstream academic career.

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Dave Luckett · 10 January 2014

Words fail me. Put it out of its misery, somebody.

bigdakine · 10 January 2014

Dave Luckett said: Words fail me. Put it out of its misery, somebody.
Ed Conrad rides again.

Dave Luckett · 10 January 2014

I did remark at one point that there are people out there that make FL look reasonable. Clearly, I have led a sheltered life.

DS · 10 January 2014

Well there is one guy who is a dumb as coal apparently. But that doesn't really count.

Starbuck · 10 January 2014

This line confuses me
( see my reviews of Meyer: Meyer’s Hopeless Monster, Part II and Luskin’s Hopeless Monster; and Meyer on Medved: the blind leading the blind)
Those reviews were written by Nick Matzke.

Starbuck · 10 January 2014

Starbuck said: This line confuses me
( see my reviews of Meyer: Meyer’s Hopeless Monster, Part II and Luskin’s Hopeless Monster; and Meyer on Medved: the blind leading the blind)
Those reviews were written by Nick Matzke.
oh never mind. I thought the OP was written by Asher.

SWT · 10 January 2014

Dave Luckett said: Words fail me. Put it out of its misery, somebody.
Did Mabus get out of jail?

Dave Luckett · 10 January 2014

SWT said:
Dave Luckett said: Words fail me. Put it out of its misery, somebody.
Did Mabus get out of jail?
From the fixation on coal, the Smithsonian and Dawkins, it would appear that bigdakine is right. This is Ed Conrad driving by. If it was Mabus, there'd be scatology and murderous threats.

DS · 10 January 2014

If creation follows uniformitarianism, then we should be able to detect ongoing design and creation right now. Of course, there is absolutely no reason why any intelligence would have to act in any uniformitarian manner. So I guess this is just one more example of creationists parroting what they perceive to be a highly successful scientific idea and trying to say that creationism works the same way. They have heard the words, they just don't understand what they mean. If they did, they could choose to be real scientists instead of mindlessly parroting sciencey sounding words.

diogeneslamp0 · 10 January 2014

I have commented on the topic of the OP in a more broad way: Meyer and all IDiots, indeed much of Christian apologetics, employ an invalid inductive step when they claim that information always traces back to "intelligence." It is invalid because:

a. Natural processes produce information

b. Human language/grammar always traces back to humans with material bodies interacting by material means, but never to spirits, deities or immaterial spooks.

This post is mostly relevant to (b). Intelligent Design and Christian apologetics employ pathological induction because (amongst other problems) they glom together two very different entities, one valid and one invalid. Here the valid category is "human intelligence embodied in material bodies interacting via material means", the invalid category is "immaterial spooks with no bodies."

I call this pathological induction, based on combining a valid and an invalid categorization, a Glom. One element of the glommed category may be real, but the other gives a false probability to the deduction that the Christian apologist is trying to make from his alleged inductive rule.

IDiots assert that in our uniform past experience, "Information" always traces back to "an intelligence". This is false; but that alleged rule, even if it were true, would still be no more valid that than the rule that in our uniform past experience, information never traces back to an immaterial spook or spirit.

Consider the following two rules:

1. Information is always traced back to an intelligence (a human or a spook).

2. Information is never tracked back to an immaterial spook.

The ID proponent alleges that, in our uniform past experience, (1) is true, but they ignore that, in the very same uniform past experience, (2) is as probable or more probable than (1). (And (1) is not true anyway, because natural processes produce information.)

So the "Glom" performed here is a trick used by defining "intelligence" as meaning "human OR spook." In the syllogism (1) above, "caused by intelligence" is the consequent. The Christian apologist is combining two very different consequents:

(Y) Caused by a human made of matter interacting by material means

(Z) Caused by an immaterial spook by supernatural means

Then they use "intelligence" to mean "Y OR Z." The problem is that in our uniform past experience, it's sometimes Y, and NEVER Z. (In addition, it's sometimes a natural process that creates information, but that's another problem.)

Thus syllogism (1) has the form

All (X) are (Y or Z)

Where X = information created. In reality, if we were to ignore all natural processes that create information, we would at best arrive at:

All (X) are (Y)

But by Glomming together two different consequents, the Christian apologist arrives at:

1. All (X) are (Y or Z)

Which is technically correct, since (Y or Z) is a superset of Y; but it is irrelevant for the purposes of the ID creationist, because

2. All (X) are NEVER Z

The problem for the creationist is that (2) is known with equal or greater certainty from the exact same set of observations that the ID creationist alleged to use to arrive at his "universal" rule (1).

Thus, if we combine (1), which the ID creationist alleges is correct (ignoring natural processes that create information), with (2), which is derived from the exact same "uniform past experience" and is known with equal or greater confidence to be true, then we arrive at:

3. All (X) are (Y AND NOT Z)

Or to put it more succinctly,

We have never seen any immaterial spook make information, complexity, or any mutation in any genome of any species anywhere. Thus, they are hypocritical in their invocation of uniformitarianism.

TomS · 10 January 2014

Whenever I try to analyze the "argument from design" I am frustrated by the fact that it goes wrong in so many ways that it's hard to know where to start. A reasoned analysis seems to grant it a status, as if it were actually an appeal to reason, rather than nothing more than a slogan in an advertising campaign, not really meant to be taken seriously.

John Harshman · 10 January 2014

Thrinaxodon is an odd sort who has appeared previously in sci.bio.paleontology and talk.origins. He has two personalities, one a fairly knowledeable and reasonable discussant of paleontology and the other the wacko Ed wannabe you see here. (Or will until he's banished, which I expect soon.) I can't explain the reason for this second personality.

harold · 10 January 2014

"ID" is just an incoherent collection of a limited number of logical fallacies, strung out into vast verbosity.

Whether something is information or not is decided by the observer.

If a volcano "creates" a rock formation by spewing out lava, selected features of the rock formation become information if someone studies them.

ID/creationists pretend to get it backwards. It's a fair paraphrase of their ideas to note that they make a claim equivalent to saying that if the rock formation is information now, the volcano must have been "intelligent" to create it.

Chris Lawson · 10 January 2014

TomS,

The best short response to the Argument from Design I've seen is this:

When William Paley described finding a watch on a beach, he argued that it was clearly not a natural object as compared to the beach, the trees, and the other natural objects around, and obviously the product of design. He then goes on to argue that the natural world is even more complex than the watch and therefore must have been designed. This means Paley used the argument that the natural world is designed *because* it is so obviously not like a designed object.

(I can't remember where I first ran across this little snippet, so please don't attribute it to me.)

The other approach that works (for me, I've never tried it as a persuasive technique) is to show some examples of pareidolia from nature.

harold · 10 January 2014

Chris Lawson said: TomS, The best short response to the Argument from Design I've seen is this: When William Paley described finding a watch on a beach, he argued that it was clearly not a natural object as compared to the beach, the trees, and the other natural objects around, and obviously the product of design. He then goes on to argue that the natural world is even more complex than the watch and therefore must have been designed. This means Paley used the argument that the natural world is designed *because* it is so obviously not like a designed object. (I can't remember where I first ran across this little snippet, so please don't attribute it to me.) The other approach that works (for me, I've never tried it as a persuasive technique) is to show some examples of pareidolia from nature.
And of course, there's also the implied blasphemy of Paley's argument. Human-designed watch is "more designed" than a rock. Hold it there, bud. I thought your God "designed" the entire universe. If God didn't design that rock, where did it come from? Either you're saying that God didn't design the mineral components of the universe, or you're saying that the works of man are better designed than God-designed minerals.

TomS · 10 January 2014

harold said: "ID" is just an incoherent collection of a limited number of logical fallacies, strung out into vast verbosity.
Although is it beyond their capacity to find fallacies without limit, to fit the needs of the moment for obscurantism?

DS · 10 January 2014

Chris Lawson said: TomS, The best short response to the Argument from Design I've seen is this: When William Paley described finding a watch on a beach, he argued that it was clearly not a natural object as compared to the beach, the trees, and the other natural objects around, and obviously the product of design. He then goes on to argue that the natural world is even more complex than the watch and therefore must have been designed. This means Paley used the argument that the natural world is designed *because* it is so obviously not like a designed object. (I can't remember where I first ran across this little snippet, so please don't attribute it to me.) The other approach that works (for me, I've never tried it as a persuasive technique) is to show some examples of pareidolia from nature.
If Paley actually made this argument then he argued that the watch is designed and the trees are not. That is correct.

Robert Byers · 11 January 2014

If Mr Asher is really smart then it shows such a person being needed to take on Meyer means meyer must be a smart scientist!
A line of reasoning.

Plastics? What film? why is that a good point. Surely the glory of deisn in anything is better then in plastics!

eddie · 11 January 2014

Chris Lawson said: TomS, The best short response to the Argument from Design I've seen is this: When William Paley described finding a watch on a beach, he argued that it was clearly not a natural object as compared to the beach, the trees, and the other natural objects around, and obviously the product of design. He then goes on to argue that the natural world is even more complex than the watch and therefore must have been designed. This means Paley used the argument that the natural world is designed *because* it is so obviously not like a designed object. (I can't remember where I first ran across this little snippet, so please don't attribute it to me.) The other approach that works (for me, I've never tried it as a persuasive technique) is to show some examples of pareidolia from nature.
Amazing demolition of an argument Paley never made. He compared a rock (not a beach; not a tree) to a watch on a heath (not a beach). And the rest of your amazing refutation doesn't even come close to Paley's argument. But, heh, why bother reading someone's work when you already know they're wrong?

harold · 11 January 2014

eddie said:
Chris Lawson said: TomS, The best short response to the Argument from Design I've seen is this: When William Paley described finding a watch on a beach, he argued that it was clearly not a natural object as compared to the beach, the trees, and the other natural objects around, and obviously the product of design. He then goes on to argue that the natural world is even more complex than the watch and therefore must have been designed. This means Paley used the argument that the natural world is designed *because* it is so obviously not like a designed object. (I can't remember where I first ran across this little snippet, so please don't attribute it to me.) The other approach that works (for me, I've never tried it as a persuasive technique) is to show some examples of pareidolia from nature.
Amazing demolition of an argument Paley never made. He compared a rock (not a beach; not a tree) to a watch on a heath (not a beach). And the rest of your amazing refutation doesn't even come close to Paley's argument. But, heh, why bother reading someone's work when you already know they're wrong?
Interesting. So rocks are clear examples of "undesigned" entities, but beaches aren't, is that correct? Chris Lawson thought Paley was using a "rock" as an example, but according to you, it was intended as a more specific statement that applies only to rocks, is that correct? Would you mind answering some questions? Please don't answer any unless you answer them all. First, I'd like to know how to detect design or lack of design in rocks (thanks to commenter Just Bob for originally posting this idea) - "Let’s make it Real Simple. Here are three rocks. They all happen to be tiny rough diamonds, of obviously poor quality and very similar appearance. One was found in a kimberlite pipe in South Africa and formed by plutonic forces in the deep mantle. It’s ‘natural’. One was made from uncrystallized carbon in a laboratory–a manmade diamond. One was designed and created by God, atom by atom, to have precisely the shape, color, weight, flaws, and everything, exactly as he wanted. And he wanted it to look EXACTLY like a ‘natural’ rock – or maybe like a manmade one. And he succeeded. Now, Eddie, here are two ‘designed’ rocks and one ‘natural’. Explain how to tell the ‘designed’ from the ‘undesigned’. How would your hero Paley do it?" Also, could you deal with this, which was actually posted directly above your original comment? - "And of course, there’s also the implied blasphemy of Paley’s argument. Human-designed watch is “more designed” than a rock. Hold it there, bud. I thought your God “designed” the entire universe. If God didn’t design that rock, where did it come from?" Lastly, what is a "rock"? Sure, I understand what it means in common parlance, but if you want to make strong claims about rocks, we need to have a more specific definition. How can we distinguish "rocks" from "boulders", "pebbles", or "grains of sand", for example. What are the boundary conditions?

DS · 11 January 2014

eddie said:
Chris Lawson said: TomS, The best short response to the Argument from Design I've seen is this: When William Paley described finding a watch on a beach, he argued that it was clearly not a natural object as compared to the beach, the trees, and the other natural objects around, and obviously the product of design. He then goes on to argue that the natural world is even more complex than the watch and therefore must have been designed. This means Paley used the argument that the natural world is designed *because* it is so obviously not like a designed object. (I can't remember where I first ran across this little snippet, so please don't attribute it to me.) The other approach that works (for me, I've never tried it as a persuasive technique) is to show some examples of pareidolia from nature.
Amazing demolition of an argument Paley never made. He compared a rock (not a beach; not a tree) to a watch on a heath (not a beach). And the rest of your amazing refutation doesn't even come close to Paley's argument. But, heh, why bother reading someone's work when you already know they're wrong?
What is a heath? Does it have plants in it? Are they designed? Did Paley think they were designed? How did he know?

harold · 11 January 2014

TomS said:
harold said: "ID" is just an incoherent collection of a limited number of logical fallacies, strung out into vast verbosity.
Although is it beyond their capacity to find fallacies without limit, to fit the needs of the moment for obscurantism?
They seem to go back to the same ones over and over again. I suppose it's partly due to the nature of fallacies. A surprisingly small number of terms accurately describe the problems with an infinite number of fallacious arguments. But it's also true that ID/creationists are very non-creative. Especially the ID branch. The pre-Edwards YEC "creation science" types did try to bounce around between widely disparate fallacious arguments, focusing as much on physics and cosmology as biology, but even they have a limited number of canned arguments.

Just Bob · 11 January 2014

harold said: Lastly, what is a[n undesigned] “rock”? How can we distinguish "rocks" from "boulders", "pebbles", or "grains of sand", for example.
Or from a chunk of concrete. Is that a designed rock? Paley knew about concrete, yet he didn't seem to take into consideration that many rocks are human-designed. How about Michaelangelo's David? Is that a designed rock? Or a cut and polished diamond? Or the engineered granite of my countertop? These "I know design when I see it, and a rock isn't designed" folks NEVER want to talk about the actual design of actual rocks, or how they know God doesn't design them. They apparently think only as far as the one-line slogan, without ever thinking about what the words MEAN.

diogeneslamp0 · 11 January 2014

Robert Byers said: If Mr Asher is really smart then it shows such a person being needed to take on Meyer means meyer must be a smart scientist!
Meyer is not a scientist. He has a Ph.D. in philosophy, does not do experiments and does not develop theories that make testable predictions.

Frank J · 11 January 2014

For 15+ years, whenever I read either a defense or criticism of ID, I tune out most references to designers, Creators, God, religion, supernatural, etc. In the late 90s, even before the “Wedge” document was leaked, IDers made it clear to me that they were conducting a “big tent” scam, thus giving tacit approval to every origins account from Flat-Earth-Last-Thursdayism to “virtual evolution.” So I really only needed to read once that ID promotes “supernatural” (non)explanations. And yet in all these years I have never read a criticism that doesn’t dwell on that issue.

Unfortunately I have never found to words to convey my meaning (and this comment almost certainly won’t either), but I find the case against ID even more devastating when I do tune out all the “design” language. For example, Nick Matzke notes above that Meyer: “thinks there were millions of miraculous interventions in the history of life, but he’s a bit coy about admitting this up front.” What I read “between the lines” is that Meyer “thinks there were millions of events involving processes other than normal ‘RM+NS’ in the history of life...” Put that way, the first thing that ought to come to everyone’s mind is “Why on earth isn’t he at least stating and testing ‘what, where, when, how’ hypotheses, about those events if not outright conclusions?”

The answer is, of course, that, as long as no one forces him to do that, or explain why he avoids it, he can comfortably stay on “square one” and keep recycling and rephrasing the same old bogus “weaknesses” of evolution that fool most nonscientists. One can endlessly speculate on whether he truly believes those “other processes” occurred, but a safe bet is that, even if he does, he has no confidence that it can be supported on its own evidence, i.e., not perceived “weaknesses” of anything else. Another safe bet is that he is well aware that real science supports claims on their own evidence, not bogus “weaknesses,” and that, if he could do that with his alternate “theory” he’d have no problem teaching it in public school science class.

Another thing that forces him to be coy is that his own DI colleague Michael Behe, despite his own coyness regarding the “wheres and whens” of those “other processes,” has been consistently clear that they are not new origin-of-life events, but mere in-vivo molecular rearrangements. That implies that Cambrian fauna – and H. sapiens – are descendants of Precambrian life. Meyer and most other ID peddlers are more sensitive than Behe to what their rank-and-file fans want to hear, and it’s certainly not that we are descended from aquatic organisms that lived on the order of a billion years ago. So as long as they are allowed to keep the “debate” on “weaknesses” of evolution, and be as vague as possible about the “whats, whens, wheres, hows” of their “theory,” will hear only what they want to hear and fill-in the rest, and fence-sitters will find an excuse to feed their unwarranted suspicion of science and scientists.
The irony is that, resorting to “design,” even indirectly via bogus “weaknesses” of evolution, is what gives them trouble getting it taught in public school science class. But that’s a small price to pay, given that the same evasion allows them to fool a majority of people during the ~99.9% of their waking hours that they’re not sitting in class learning evolution.

harold · 11 January 2014

“Why on earth isn’t he at least stating and testing ‘what, where, when, how’ hypotheses, about those events if not outright conclusions?” The answer is, of course, that, as long as no one forces him to do that
No-one can force him to do that, and that's probably a good thing. He is paid to write his books, and he is paid by people who do NOT want him to do anything other than repeat the same weaselisms over and over. (Note that I say that he is "paid to write" books, not that he "sells" books. How many ID books are purchased and read by private individuals I can't say. I would not be surprised if most are bulk-purchased to inflate sales numbers for propaganda purposes, and I presume that most individuals who buy the books either don't read or can't understand them, but buy them out of obedience to their ideological leaders. Virtually the only people who carefully read books by Meyer are pro-science opponents, who invariably produce detailed and devastating rebuttals.) The problem isn't supply, it's demand. Somebody somewhere wants him to repeat the same crap over and over again, enough to pay him for it. If that were not the case, he'd probably have to do something else for a living, and might or might not even have a blog. Numerous people have pointed out the lack of any positive or testable statements by "ID advocates", on numerous occasions. I'll post my list of questions at the end of this comment as an illustration. However, the people who want the questions answered are not the ones who pay for the books, and the ones who pay for the books don't want the questions answered. So neither Meyer nor any other DI fellow has any motivation whatsoever to address such questions. It is very valuable to clarify such questions, of course, in order to fully inform third party individuals who may not yet have seen through the ID scam. 1) Could any evidence convince you of the theory of evolution, and if so, what type of evidence is now lacking, that would convince you, if present? 2) The Supreme Court ruled against the direct teaching of Biblical Young Earth Creationism as science in public schools; however, if that ruling were overturned, which would you support more, teaching of ID, or direct teaching of Bible-based YEC? 3) Do you think it is important for opponents of the theory of evolution to fully understand the theory of evolution? If so, can you explain it, and if not, can you explain why not? 4) Who is the designer? How can we test your answer? 5) What did that designer do? How can we test your answer? 6) How did the designer do it? How can we test your answer? 7) When did the designer do it? How can we test your answer? 8) What is an example of something that was not designed by the designer?

harold · 11 January 2014

Just Bob said -
They apparently think only as far as the one-line slogan, without ever thinking about what the words MEAN.
There is a term for this. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thought_terminating_cliche#Thought-terminating_clich.C3.A9

Just Bob · 11 January 2014

harold said: Just Bob said -
They apparently think only as far as the one-line slogan, without ever thinking about what the words MEAN.
There is a term for this. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thought_terminating_cliche#Thought-terminating_clich.C3.A9
"Thought-terminating cliche"-- I love it! And at the risk of copy/pasting too much, the following is from the same Wikipedia entry, which is a summary of a book entitled Thought Reform and the Psychology of Totalism: A Study of "Brainwashing" in China [in the 1950s]. Perhaps it will remind us of the methods of some other groups. Milieu Control. This involves the control of information and communication both within the environment and, ultimately, within the individual, resulting in a significant degree of isolation from society at large. Mystical Manipulation. The manipulation of experiences that appears spontaneous but is, in fact, planned and orchestrated by the group or its leaders in order to demonstrate divine authority, spiritual advancement, or some exceptional talent or insight that sets the leader and/or group apart from humanity, and that allows reinterpretation of historical events, scripture, and other experiences. Coincidences and happenstance oddities are interpreted as omens or prophecies. Demand for Purity. The world is viewed as black and white and the members are constantly exhorted to conform to the ideology of the group and strive for perfection. The induction of guilt and/or shame is a powerful control device used here. Confession. Sins, as defined by the group, are to be confessed either to a personal monitor or publicly to the group. There is no confidentiality; members' "sins," "attitudes," and "faults" are discussed and exploited by the leaders. Sacred Science. The group's doctrine or ideology is considered to be the ultimate Truth, beyond all questioning or dispute. Truth is not to be found outside the group. The leader, as the spokesperson for God or for all humanity, is likewise above criticism. Loading the Language. The group interprets or uses words and phrases in new ways so that often the outside world does not understand. This jargon consists of thought-terminating clichés, which serve to alter members' thought processes to conform to the group's way of thinking. Doctrine over person. Members' personal experiences are subordinated to the sacred science and any contrary experiences must be denied or reinterpreted to fit the ideology of the group. Dispensing of existence. The group has the prerogative to decide who has the right to exist and who does not. This is usually not literal but means that those in the outside world are not saved, unenlightened, unconscious and they must be converted to the group's ideology. If they do not join the group or are critical of the group, then they must be rejected by the members. Thus, the outside world loses all credibility. In conjunction, should any member leave the group, he or she must be rejected also.

TomS · 11 January 2014

We're all agreeing that the big problem with the anti-evolutionary actionism is just what it is not. It is not an alternative to evolution. It is just a big whine about something-or-other-wrong with evolution. It can temporarily disguise itself with sciencey-sounding language which presents a temptation to people who do know something about science to try to teach about what science really does say. Evolution, after all, is an interesting subject.

Frank J · 11 January 2014

No-one can force him to do that, and that’s probably a good thing.

— Harold
You know what I mean, but since virtually every word I wrote online in 15+ years has been misconstrued by someone, by "force" I merely mean "put them on the spot by publicly asking the questions they'd rather evade."

harold · 11 January 2014

Frank J said:

No-one can force him to do that, and that’s probably a good thing.

— Harold
You know what I mean, but since virtually every word I wrote online in 15+ years has been misconstrued by someone, by "force" I merely mean "put them on the spot by publicly asking the questions they'd rather evade."
Yes, I understand what you mean. I'm not disagreeing here, I'm expanding on your point. To reiterate my point - the actual propaganda hacks like Meyer have nothing to gain and everything to lose by ever being in a spot where they can be publicly asked those questions. Dembski is evasive enough, but Dembski is probably an example of what happens to the career of a professional ID/creationist who even seems to hint at trying to respond to serious critics in neutral venues. They fall out of favor with the funders of the DI. Essentially, short of running into him in an airport men's room and whipping out the cell phone video camera while firing questions, or some such thing, there simply is no way that anyone can even publicly expose Meyer to questions that he is strongly motivated not to answer. If Meyer merely repeats the same hack stuff to the same audience over and over again, he gets paid. If he were fool enough to do something like have a discourse with Ken Miller on NPR and expose the weaknesses of his crap to a different audience, he might fall out of favor with the people who pay his bills. Clearly, the implication is a tacit acknowledgment, by DI fellows and their funders, that "ID proponents" cannot argue with scientists, and exist to reinforce the biases of those who are already committed. Be that as it may, the bottom line is that successful DI fellows do not put themselves in positions where they can be exposed to informed critique, publicly.

TomS · 11 January 2014

harold said: successful DI fellows do not put themselves in positions where they can be exposed to informed critique, publicly.
A new aspect on the "controversy". Deserves thought, rather than an immediate response. (But if I gave one, it would be enthusiastic.)

Frank J · 12 January 2014

TomS said:
harold said: successful DI fellows do not put themselves in positions where they can be exposed to informed critique, publicly.
A new aspect on the "controversy". Deserves thought, rather than an immediate response. (But if I gave one, it would be enthusiastic.)
I completely agree with Harold's assessment, but as I just replied to you on the Curmudgeon's blog, there's a lot more we can do that will make it harder for them to (1) secure funding and (2) spread misleading memes that "trickle down" to people who never heard of the DI. There are also things we need to do less, such as the endless accusation of sneaking in religion, God, etc. Just because it's true doesn't mean that we have to repeat it at every opportunity.

Frank J · 12 January 2014

Case in point, over the years in my life outside of these boards (yes I have one), a few people have innocently repeated DI sound bites. Rather that accuse the DI of "lying for Jesus" (Medved and Kinghoffer love that one) I calmly showed the misled person the word games that the DI plays, and how, as Harold noted, they keep themselves out of "positions where they can be exposed to informed critique, publicly." I not only show that the accusation of "Darwinist censorship" is a blatant lie, but also show who the real effective censors are. If the parroted sound bite originated from Behe, I always say "You do know he accepts common descent, right?" Invariably they don't.

That said, I recently overheard a committed Biblical literalist parroting a Behe line. I was very tempted to ask the same question. But over the years I have learned to not waste my time with either committed "true believers" or those in-on-the-scam. But for every one of them, there's at least one "fence sitter" who could go either way.

Doc Bill · 12 January 2014

Exactly, Brother Harold, right on!

Meyer earns his bread from the Disco Tute. The Disco Tute gathers its bread from donations and, they hope, some large donors. Check out their finances and you'll see that almost all of their money goes to salaries, administrative costs, travel and publicity with a few coins trickling down to the fake "Biologic Institute."

So, how does the Disco Tute attract donors. Well, they have to hold up their books and say, "Lookie at this, a book! We wroted a book that will smash the Materialistic Empire!" "Lookie, we have a lab and published an entire PDF in our very own on-line publication!" "Lookie here on our blog, All Hitler, All the Time!"

Hitler, books and labs - oh, my! The Darwinists are fleeing! The entire Materialist Empire is crumbling! All we need is one more year of funding!

Yeah, right.

Paul Burnett · 12 January 2014

harold said: How many ID books are purchased and read by private individuals I can't say.
If you go Amazon's page on Meyer's "Doubt", the first item under "Amazon Best Sellers Rank" is "#1 in Books - Christian Books and Bibles - Theology - Creationism". The number one gateway through which purchasers purchase "Doubt" is creationism. That says a lot, doesn't it?

TomS · 12 January 2014

Paul Burnett said:
harold said: How many ID books are purchased and read by private individuals I can't say.
If you go Amazon's page on Meyer's "Doubt", the first item under "Amazon Best Sellers Rank" is "#1 in Books - Christian Books and Bibles - Theology - Creationism". The number one gateway through which purchasers purchase "Doubt" is creationism. That says a lot, doesn't it?
From time to time, I've looked at the New Book Shelf at my local public library, and they always seem to have a couple of copies of "Doubt" waiting to be checked out.

Frank J · 12 January 2014

Paul Burnett said:
harold said: How many ID books are purchased and read by private individuals I can't say.
If you go Amazon's page on Meyer's "Doubt", the first item under "Amazon Best Sellers Rank" is "#1 in Books - Christian Books and Bibles - Theology - Creationism". The number one gateway through which purchasers purchase "Doubt" is creationism. That says a lot, doesn't it?
You probably noticed that when a fan of ID calls ID "creationism" the DI bites its tongue, but when a critic does so they throw a tantrum. But as I have been saying for 10+ years, calling ID creationism without unequivocally defining both terms gives ID an undeserved compliment in the eyes of most potential fans. As TomS wrote on the Curmudgeon's blog:

ID is not even false. It is meaningless, without substantive content, and only a whine about evolutionary biology.

As I replied:

Most people other than long-time critics in fact define “creationism” as something that is demonstrably false, and has substantive content (testable claims of when key events in the history of life occurred, which “kinds” are related to which others, etc.).

Note that I said "most," not "all," because, as your Amazon observation shows, some ID fans indeed do consider it "creationism." But as long as many don't, it can only help to be clear on the definitions.

Mike Elzinga · 12 January 2014

Frank J said: You probably noticed that when a fan of ID calls ID "creationism" the DI bites its tongue, but when a critic does so they throw a tantrum. But as I have been saying for 10+ years, calling ID creationism without unequivocally defining both terms gives ID an undeserved compliment in the eyes of most potential fans. As TomS wrote on the Curmudgeon's blog:
They throw tantrums because they have been attempting in recent years to rewrite their socio/political history. I personally don’t think they should be allowed to get away with doing that. The ID/creationist movement started out as “Scientific” Creationism; and it morphed in the light of court decisions going against it. The more snooty and “scholarly” ID movement inherited all the misconceptions and misrepresentations of basic science concepts started by the “Scientific” Creationists. Even if the evidence of the socio/political history of ID were somehow to be obliterated, their misconceptions and misrepresentations would still link them to Morris and Gish. No matter how they try to frame it, they are playing a sectarian socio/political game; but they are not doing science in any sense of the word.

TomS · 12 January 2014

The problem that the ID advocates face is the demise of Old-Earth Creationism. If there were a marginally reasonable version of creationism available, one that wasn't tied to wacky ideas like the literal historicity of Noah's Ark and 6000 years of life on Earth and baraminology, then they might be able to cope. But all of the preachers are insisting on the so-called inerrancy of the Bible. So the best they can do is obfuscate and hope that you don't notice that they aren't saying anything.

Frank J · 12 January 2014

The ID/creationist movement started out as “Scientific” Creationism; and it morphed in the light of court decisions going against it.

— Mike Elzinga
It started "morphing" before Edwards, and even McLean, when its promoters were still fairly confident that they would win. Before "don't ask don't tell whodunit" became mandatory, the trend already was toward "don't ask don't tell what happened when." The big problem to me is that most people still think of "creationism" as what it was before the mid-20th century repackaging as pseudoscience. That is, as honest if misguided belief. Such people say things like "what's the harm, let them believe" even if they don't personally buy YEC or even OEC. I guess it was mostly honest belief in the Scopes era and before. And as I understand, it was also mostly OEC, reluctantly conceding details to mainstream science rather than bearing false witness. And to this day, most people think of the 1925 "monkey trial," while almost no one ever heard of Edwards, McLean or Dover. People like that see ID as something radically different than a Bible-holding Bryan. And in one sense they are correct; Behe called reading the Bible as a science book "silly," and even said at Dover that the designer might no longer exist. Bryan would probably faint if he knew that todays anti-evolution activists resorted to that. The point that needs to be drummed into people now is not the "common ancestry" of ID and "scientific" creationism, or how ID "hides" the designer's identity, however valid and important that may be. Rather it is how ID refuses to take a position on the most basic questions, such as the age of life and common descent, even when some of its own peddlers (the less politically correct ones at least) have offered vague personal opinions - which just happen to concede most of the details to evolution, while at the same time rejecting the entire process of science and pretending to be "expelled" when they only expel themselves. As TomS often notes, what's most important to the person-on-the-street is not "evidence" that Goddidit, but that they're not related to "monkeys" (though I suspect that not nearly as many would mind being related to dogs and cats). ID offers them none of that. Neither do OEC or YEC, of course, but they at least claim it.

Frank J · 12 January 2014

The problem that the ID advocates face is the demise of Old-Earth Creationism.

— TomS
Is there a "demise" of OEC? Or have most former and would-be OEC peddlers found that they can fool more people by joining ID's big tent, and adopting a "don't ask, don't tell what happened when" strategy? It is ironic that the media - and these boards - never miss an opportunity to talk about AiG, ICR and other "scientific" YEC groups, yet rarely mention Hugh Ross. Yet evolution-deniers in the general public consist of more OECs than YECs. Granted, most are technically neither, dismissing it all as "a long time ago." But when asked specific questions, as results of recent polls show, a majority of evolution-deniers, and probably even a majority of committed Biblical literalists, take some OE position.

harold · 12 January 2014

Frank J -

I would say that there are different ways of critiquing ID, each of which has its best uses.

1) You can act as if ID is a serious response to perceived problems in biology, and critique its face value claims. Since all major ID claims are either false analogy, false dichotomy, non sequitur constructions, or attacks on straw man targets, that's fairly easy to do, and done effectively all the time.

2) You can point out that ID actually, "mysteriously", offers no positive claims, as I rhetorically did above. Who is the designer, what did the designer do, and so on. That's also effective.

3) Lastly, you can point out that ID morphed rather suddenly from creation science, and Edwards (or anticipation of Edwards) was the clear cause of this. This approach is absolutely required in court cases where First Amendment issues are being considered.

Each of these three approaches has its role, but I want to emphasize that they are not unrelated. Issue "3)", the fact that ID is disguised "creation science", is the root issue.

The reason ID makes no discernable positive claims, the reason ID is a cobbled together ad hoc collection of pompously stated logical fallacies, the reason ID is evasive, the reason for all of this is that ID is disguised creation science. It's because of feature "3)" that the other features exist.

You may well find that people who are culturally defensive respond best to approach "1" or "2", and if so, use those approaches with those people.

But ID is really just "creation science" trying to take the Fifth every time it's asked a straight question, and that is important.

TomS · 12 January 2014

Frank J said: As TomS often notes, what's most important to the person-on-the-street is not "evidence" that Goddidit, but that they're not related to "monkeys" (though I suspect that not nearly as many would mind being related to dogs and cats). ID offers them none of that. Neither do OEC or YEC, of course, but they at least claim it.
1) What makes it so particularly offensive about being related to monkeys is that it is so obviously and pervasively true. I too suspect that dogs and cats are more remote and thus safer. Do I dare exaggerate and suggest relationships with plants and bacteria are even less offensive? 2) If one were to take the ID position seriously, wouldn't one end up saying that because we were purposefully designed to be like monkeys, we should take that as a message from our designers that, to fulfill their goals, we should act like monkeys?

Karen S. · 13 January 2014

Amazing demolition of an argument Paley never made. He compared a rock (not a beach; not a tree) to a watch on a heath (not a beach). And the rest of your amazing refutation doesn’t even come close to Paley’s argument. But, heh, why bother reading someone’s work when you already know they’re wrong?
What if you found a heath in a watch shop?

Frank J · 13 January 2014

But ID is really just "creation science" trying to take the Fifth every time it's asked a straight question, and that is important.

— harold
Of course it's important. But it has been advertised so much over the past 8 years that anyone who has spent more than 5 minutes reading about the movement knows of the "common ancestry," and unless they're a committed ID peddler, admits it. But "common ancestry" does not mean "the same thing." If I may use an analogy, we define ID as a "human" and creationism (or creation "science") as a "primate," while most people on the street define creationism as a "chimp." Humans are primates, but they're not chimps. Until we get the public to understand and accept our definition of "creationism," merely claiming that ID "is" creationism (or creation "science") gives ID peddlers just what they want - another opportunity to whine and play word games to the majority that hasn't spent those 5 minutes. The additional, non-contradictory point that I have making for years that always gets ignored or downplayed is that the trend toward "don't ask, don't tell" began well before the 1987 "transitional fossil." As far as I can tell, the early drafts that became "Pandas," while still liberally using words with "creat" in them, were already vague enough about its own "theory" to accommodate YEC, OEC, and even geocentrism. I haven't read all drafts, but the frequently-cited statement about "already intact fish with fins and scales" is the only part that even vaguely suggests an alternative to common descent ,and even then doesn't speculate on when those "kinds" appeared. More importantly, Panda's authors and others, while still confident enough to identify the creator/designer, discovered the rhetorical trick that the alternative to anything could always be a mere "I don't know," and that most audiences will not catch the double standard. Why is that least as important as the decision of some anti-evolution activists to hide the designer's identity? Because it shows that the attempt to salvage an already weakening (1) belief system by repackaging it as pseudoscience was itself in deep trouble, being unable to force a consensus, much less discover an unforced convergence as evolution has, on even the most basic "what happened when." So whether or not YEC and OEC peddlers personally believed what they hoped the audience would infer, they had at least a growing lack of confidence that they could support any of those mutually-contradictory origins accounts for long, even to the most gullible and wishful thinking audiences. Even with their Morton's Demons working at full capacity, they recognized that the evidence was not being cooperative, at least not for any of their mutually contradictory "positive" claims. Another reason I consider that extremely important, and wished that everyone could, is that it is illustrates why there even is such a thing as pseudoscience. It's unfortunately counterintuitive to most people, but the same thing that makes it increasingly hard to support a specific pseudoscientific alternative (e.g. OEC, YEC or geocentrism) makes it easier to promote unreasonable doubt of the established science. The more evidence for evolution, the more opportunity to take some out of context to make it look dead, dying, falsified or unfalsifiable. All that said, I should mention that I fully agree that if this discussion were taking place in court, then certainly the "common ancestry" of ID and Biblical creationism would be extremely important, and my additional point much less so. Not unimportant, though, because it still reveals that there's at least a growing lack of confidence within the anti-evolution movement of any positive claims. Nevertheless, in a court that needs to find whatever scam is being peddled as "religion, not science," "cdesign proponetsists" and related evidence (e.g. Wedge document), are what's needed to trace those scams back to a movement whose goal is to obstruct religious freedom, of impressionable students no less, and that any more incriminating evidence is just icing on the cake. But we're not in court, and those who do make our case there, namely NCSE, do it much better than we can, so it is at best a waste of time to keep duplicating their effort. Especially since there's another equally crucial battle that we need to fight. Controling the "supply" of anti-evolution pseudoscience, in public school science class at least, is necessary, but almost nothing is being done to control the "demand." And indeed many critics of ID/creationism imply, even if they don't believe it personally, imply that the "demand" battle has been lost, so "why bother?" A quick look at demographics, though shows that reality is nothing like that media stereotype of committed "evolutionists" and "creationists". A recent poll that shows 25% are "unsure" of evolution. That % has been growing in recent years, at the expense of both accepters and deniers, and I'm convinced that it's due to the gradual replacement of Biblical sound bites with ID ones - where both are perfectly legal. Add another ~25% that "leans" towards evolution or "creationism," and you have ~half the people that can "go either way." And given their limited time and interest, our complex, counterintuitive technical arguments are at a distinct disadvantage to catchy, but misleading sound bites. Hear that, Bill Nye? With a solid majority thinking that it's fair to "teach both sides," we can't afford not to try to correct misconceptions. That won’t be done by dwelling on how ID/creationism is religious, however correct that may be. But people can and do listen when calmly shown how those activists are demanding "handouts" that they clearly have not earned, and possibly bearing false witness; that they are the ones seeking censorship while having the audacity to accuse us of doing so. Certainly that won't work on committed fundamentalists, most of whom don't send their kids to public school anyway, but we don't need them to tip the balance, so it makes even less sense to obsess over them than to dwell on how ID/creationism is "religious." (1) By "weakening" I mean the gradual conceding to mainstream science the age of Earth, life and key events in natural history in the ~1850-1950 era. That was apparently very disturbing to the more staunch Biblical literalists, who were afraid that it would eventually collapse into theistic evolution. Some groups saw an opportunity to salvage it with pseudoscience. They recognized that to claim that evidence independently validates scripture, would be more convincing to the average person than to just say "believe this book regardless of what the evidence says." Of course that only works if one is very selective with the evidence, selecting only what looks deceptively good when taken out of context. For whatever reason, possibly the "death before the Fall" issue, they chose YEC as the interpretation to "support." But, as TomS often mentions, they would have been even truer to Biblical literalism had they chosen geocentric YEC. One may never know why they didn't, but I suspect that they made the concession to heliocentrism, because they were afraid most people, even with a poor grasp of science, in the age of airplanes, would reject geocentrism regardless of evidence. Nevertheless, some small groups insisted on peddling geocentrism, while others (e.g., Hugh Ross) were afraid that too many rand-and-file creationists would find YEC as absurd as geocentrism. With or without hopeless disagreement on how to interpret Genesis literally, any "positive" pseudoscience was disadvantaged from the start.

TomS · 13 January 2014

As usual, well said.

I just have a few random comments.

One is that, while I generally am willing to back off from ordinary meanings of words because they are dog-whistles to others, I am somewhat at a loss for a convenient term to replace "creationism" to designate the "clade" including YEC and ID and others related to them.

As far as the lack of substance, that was not an innovation of the ID-ers. Even before Darwin, Herbert Spencer was complaining about that in his 1852 essay "The Development Hypothesis". ID is forever striving to perfect upon that.

WRT geocentrism, the thought just occurred to me that it may suffer from association with the Flat Earth Theory. To be sure, not many people can come up with an obvious reason for accepting heliocentrism.

It remains a puzzle to me how YEC took off in the 1960s. Your suggestion of "death before the Fall" just doesn't seem plausible to me - I'd say that that is a bit too obscure for most folks. Maybe "original sin", but it isn't immediately convincing to me. Everybody does know about the great ages of the patriarchs, though - but they knew that just as well before 1960.

Mike Elzinga · 13 January 2014

Frank J said: Another reason I consider that extremely important, and wished that everyone could, is that it is illustrates why there even is such a thing as pseudoscience. It's unfortunately counterintuitive to most people, but the same thing that makes it increasingly hard to support a specific pseudoscientific alternative (e.g. OEC, YEC or geocentrism) makes it easier to promote unreasonable doubt of the established science. The more evidence for evolution, the more opportunity to take some out of context to make it look dead, dying, falsified or unfalsifiable.
Back in the late 1970s and in the 1980s I was giving talks fairly regularly to church groups about the problems with what was at the time called Creation “Science.” These talks were to moderate Christians; I didn’t go into any fundamentalist churches with the talks. Most of the content of my talks were comparisons between what the “Scientific” Creationists were presenting as science and what the science really was; in other words, I was presenting the misconceptions and misrepresentations of the “Scientific” Creationists. That seemed to be sufficient. Most of the folks in these Sunday school classes were concerned about the state of education and greeted these misconceptions and misrepresentations by the “Scientific” Creationists with considerable consternation. They hadn’t realized just how bad the creation “science” was; and that in turn led to their understanding that “Scientific” Creationism was sectarian socio/politics. A pastor and campus minister once said to me that the emphasis in “fundamentalism” should be on “mental.”

Mike Elzinga · 13 January 2014

TomS said: It remains a puzzle to me how YEC took off in the 1960s. Your suggestion of "death before the Fall" just doesn't seem plausible to me - I'd say that that is a bit too obscure for most folks. Maybe "original sin", but it isn't immediately convincing to me. Everybody does know about the great ages of the patriarchs, though - but they knew that just as well before 1960.
It was due to Sputnik and the subsequent pushes for curriculum reforms in the US that included putting more emphasis on evolution in high school biology. That resulted in a tremendous backlash from the fundamentalists. A. E. Wilder-Smith was already popular among fundamentalists; but then came the Morris and Whitcomb book about the Genesis Flood and the decision by Morris to start the Institute for Creation Research. Duane Gish was already harassing biology teachers in the Kalamazoo, Michigan area.

Frank J · 13 January 2014

TomS said: As usual, well said. I just have a few random comments. One is that, while I generally am willing to back off from ordinary meanings of words because they are dog-whistles to others, I am somewhat at a loss for a convenient term to replace "creationism" to designate the "clade" including YEC and ID and others related to them. As far as the lack of substance, that was not an innovation of the ID-ers. Even before Darwin, Herbert Spencer was complaining about that in his 1852 essay "The Development Hypothesis". ID is forever striving to perfect upon that. WRT geocentrism, the thought just occurred to me that it may suffer from association with the Flat Earth Theory. To be sure, not many people can come up with an obvious reason for accepting heliocentrism. It remains a puzzle to me how YEC took off in the 1960s. Your suggestion of "death before the Fall" just doesn't seem plausible to me - I'd say that that is a bit too obscure for most folks. Maybe "original sin", but it isn't immediately convincing to me. Everybody does know about the great ages of the patriarchs, though - but they knew that just as well before 1960.
1. I would call that "clade" "anti-evolution pseudoscience", but I'm OK with "creationism" as long as we make it clear that is a collection of strategies to promote unreasonable doubt of any evolution and not any particular "honest if misguided belief." 2. I would not be surprised if the trend towards "don't ask, don't tell" began even before the mid-20th-century concoction of creation (pseudo)science. I just was unaware of it until your comment, which sounds plausible. Actually I suspected it as a possibility, but my comment was long enough. 3. Agreed. 4. The "Fall" was something I read that sounded plausible, not my idea. Besides, it's not a problem for Old-earth-young-life creationism. "Heliocentric YEC" may just be the simplest way to sound "literal" (the "day" thing) without risking too many questions from the audience. Committed literalists won't ask questions of course, but everyone else might, and skilled anti-evolution activists have always been well aware of that. That may be why even today the media often implies that it's the only "kind" of creationism. Bottom line: the modern anti-evolution movement, Biblical or ID, is clearly first and foremost a (paranoid) strategy to "save the world," and a belief (actually many mutually contradictory ones), second, and increasingly optional.

Frank J · 13 January 2014

Mike Elzinga said:
Frank J said: Another reason I consider that extremely important, and wished that everyone could, is that it is illustrates why there even is such a thing as pseudoscience. It's unfortunately counterintuitive to most people, but the same thing that makes it increasingly hard to support a specific pseudoscientific alternative (e.g. OEC, YEC or geocentrism) makes it easier to promote unreasonable doubt of the established science. The more evidence for evolution, the more opportunity to take some out of context to make it look dead, dying, falsified or unfalsifiable.
Back in the late 1970s and in the 1980s I was giving talks fairly regularly to church groups about the problems with what was at the time called Creation “Science.” These talks were to moderate Christians; I didn’t go into any fundamentalist churches with the talks. Most of the content of my talks were comparisons between what the “Scientific” Creationists were presenting as science and what the science really was; in other words, I was presenting the misconceptions and misrepresentations of the “Scientific” Creationists. That seemed to be sufficient. Most of the folks in these Sunday school classes were concerned about the state of education and greeted these misconceptions and misrepresentations by the “Scientific” Creationists with considerable consternation. They hadn’t realized just how bad the creation “science” was; and that in turn led to their understanding that “Scientific” Creationism was sectarian socio/politics. A pastor and campus minister once said to me that the emphasis in “fundamentalism” should be on “mental.”
Thank you for you effort. I wish I could do a fraction of that. But as you probably learned then, even "moderate" churchgoers rarely give 5 minutes' thought to the science and how activist groups are hell-bent on misrepresenting it. Most are even unaware that their own religion has embraced evolution. But all it takes is a few reassuring comments from people like you - and no "lying for Jesus" whines - to set most of them straight. As for your comment to Tom, I guess they figured that "Flood geology" was easier to sell in a young-earth context than an old-earth one. Despite it requiring more distortion of the evidence than progressive, day-age or gap OEC. In other words, a more convenient package of "evidences" to take out of context if one is already determined to "play favorites."

TomS · 13 January 2014

Mike Elzinga said:
TomS said: It remains a puzzle to me how YEC took off in the 1960s. Your suggestion of "death before the Fall" just doesn't seem plausible to me - I'd say that that is a bit too obscure for most folks. Maybe "original sin", but it isn't immediately convincing to me. Everybody does know about the great ages of the patriarchs, though - but they knew that just as well before 1960.
It was due to Sputnik and the subsequent pushes for curriculum reforms in the US that included putting more emphasis on evolution in high school biology. That resulted in a tremendous backlash from the fundamentalists. A. E. Wilder-Smith was already popular among fundamentalists; but then came the Morris and Whitcomb book about the Genesis Flood and the decision by Morris to start the Institute for Creation Research. Duane Gish was already harassing biology teachers in the Kalamazoo, Michigan area.
Obvious once you remind me of the post-Sputnik drive on science education. Thanks.
Mike Elzinga said:
TomS said: It remains a puzzle to me how YEC took off in the 1960s. Your suggestion of "death before the Fall" just doesn't seem plausible to me - I'd say that that is a bit too obscure for most folks. Maybe "original sin", but it isn't immediately convincing to me. Everybody does know about the great ages of the patriarchs, though - but they knew that just as well before 1960.
It was due to Sputnik and the subsequent pushes for curriculum reforms in the US that included putting more emphasis on evolution in high school biology. That resulted in a tremendous backlash from the fundamentalists. A. E. Wilder-Smith was already popular among fundamentalists; but then came the Morris and Whitcomb book about the Genesis Flood and the decision by Morris to start the Institute for Creation Research. Duane Gish was already harassing biology teachers in the Kalamazoo, Michigan area.

TomS · 13 January 2014

I just wanted to give a reference for that essay of Spencer's:

https://en.wikisource.org/wiki/The_Development_Hypothesis

Richard B. Hoppe · 14 January 2014

Asher wrote
If we really apply uniformitarianism to determine if intelligent agents influenced the course of our evolutionary history, we’d expect those agents to have left behind the same kinds of traces as other such agents. Humanity is the best example we’ve got so far, and we make an exponentially greater amount of garbage than we do functional designs. One of the most obvious kinds of material evidence that a human-like intelligence in Earth’s distant past would have left behind was spelled out with one of the most famous lines, indeed one of the most famous words, ever uttered in twentieth-century film: Plastics.
I've been making that argument for years in my summary of intelligent design "theory":
Sometime or other, some intelligent agent or agents designed some biological process or structure, and then somehow manufactured that process or structure in matter and energy, all the while leaving no independent evidence of the design process, no independent evidence of the manufacturing process, and no independent evidence of the presence, or even the existence, of the designing and manufacturing entities.
We find the debitage left by the manufacturers of stone implements (I once spent several days mapping the locations of a whole bunch of flint flakes), but we see nothing of the sort from the alleged intelligent designers.

Frank J · 14 January 2014

Richard B. Hoppe said: Asher wrote
If we really apply uniformitarianism to determine if intelligent agents influenced the course of our evolutionary history, we’d expect those agents to have left behind the same kinds of traces as other such agents. Humanity is the best example we’ve got so far, and we make an exponentially greater amount of garbage than we do functional designs. One of the most obvious kinds of material evidence that a human-like intelligence in Earth’s distant past would have left behind was spelled out with one of the most famous lines, indeed one of the most famous words, ever uttered in twentieth-century film: Plastics.
I've been making that argument for years in my summary of intelligent design "theory":
Sometime or other, some intelligent agent or agents designed some biological process or structure, and then somehow manufactured that process or structure in matter and energy, all the while leaving no independent evidence of the design process, no independent evidence of the manufacturing process, and no independent evidence of the presence, or even the existence, of the designing and manufacturing entities.
We find the debitage left by the manufacturers of stone implements (I once spent several days mapping the locations of a whole bunch of flint flakes), but we see nothing of the sort from the alleged intelligent designers.
Simple. That's because the DI's designers are probably smarter and neater than we are, and even if not, there are more that one of them, so maybe some of them have the job of transporting the debitage back to their planet. Or did, given that Behe admitted at Dover that they might no longer exist. So give them a break, they have only been claiming to have detected biological design for ~20 years. Maybe the Biologic Institute is now looking for that debitage. And maybe even finally getting around to doing what detectors of human design do - determining what the designer(s) did, when, where and how. :-)

Henry J · 14 January 2014

And maybe even finally getting around to doing what detectors of human design do - determining what the designer(s) did, when, where and how. :-)

A GIGO counter?

Paul Burnett · 15 January 2014

Frank J said: With a solid majority thinking that it's fair to "teach both sides"...
I have likened this to making firefighters get the fire's side of the story before they start to fight the fire. Folks who don't think the intelligent design creationism hoax is a "fire"-level emergency for America aren't paying enough attention.

harold · 16 January 2014

Paul Burnett said:
Frank J said: With a solid majority thinking that it's fair to "teach both sides"...
I have likened this to making firefighters get the fire's side of the story before they start to fight the fire. Folks who don't think the intelligent design creationism hoax is a "fire"-level emergency for America aren't paying enough attention.
We shouldn't underestimate the problem, but we shouldn't let biased opinion polls create despair, either. A question asking whether both sides of an issue should be given a hearing, when both sides already have been given a hearing and the issue is decided, is so biased that the most elementary course about polling would use it as an example of a terrible question. Because both sides should be given a hearing, and they have been. If you ask any reasonable person whether "both sides" of anything should be taught, their natural heuristic will be to agree, unless they have strongly knowledge about the topic. Using this as a poll question, and then claiming support for teaching creationism, is a classic example of worthless polling and inappropriate inference. I do not know exactly why polls are always biased on this issue. I can think of some non-biased poll questions. Try a question like this - "Should public school science curriculum be decided mainly by educational professionals, and reflect current scientific consensus, or should partisan religious and political groups determine the contents of public school science class?" For whatever reason, polls never ask questions like this. One possible explanation is just plain laziness. Poll writers aren't very good at biology or at clear writing, in general. The original "Do you dare deny that God Almighty had any role whatsoever in human origins, as a communist would?" (mild exaggeration for deliberate humorous effect) type questions may have originated around the time of Edwards and may well have been consciously or unconsciously intended to favor the "conservative" side at that time, and they may have simply been lazily repeated, with mild modification, since then. Polls are like the point spread and elections are like the actual games. ID/creationism has not won a single election. No school district officially teaches ID/creationism. In the few cases where school boards have proposed this, always in conservative highly rural areas, the school boards have been voted out. In 1999 in Kansas, there was no court case; the voters eliminated that school board before there was any such need. In Dover there was a court case but the school board was also voted out. Actual election results show precious little evidence that the public wants sectarian science denial propaganda pushed in taxpayer funded public schools.

Karen S. · 16 January 2014

We find the debitage left by the manufacturers of stone implements (I once spent several days mapping the locations of a whole bunch of flint flakes), but we see nothing of the sort from the alleged intelligent designers.
You do realize that the the intelligent designer has legions of magic elves tasked with removing all traces of his activities?

Henry J · 16 January 2014

You do realize that the the intelligent designer has legions of magic elves tasked with removing all traces of his activities?

Not to mention Morton's demon!

Frank J · 17 January 2014

Actual election results show precious little evidence that the public wants sectarian science denial propaganda pushed in taxpayer funded public schools.

— Harold
Apologies for going even more off-topic, but I have been increasingly intrigued at how ~70% of adult Americans are at least partly sympathetic to the anti-evolution movement (including those who have no problem with evolution but have been fooled into thinking it's fair to "teach both sides" in science class), yet most still listen to their conscience in the election booth. Note that even in the last 2 presidential elections the most vocal anti-science candidates (Bachmann, Perry, Santorum, Huckabee) were weeded out in the primaries (Palin got through as VP candidate in 08, but probably would have had a hard time in 12). IOW, when it counts, apparently only committed evolution-deniers (and activists of course), which are a minority, albeit an uncomfortably large one, go with the anti-evolution candidates, and the huge "swing vote" does not. I realize that there are other "hot" social issues unfortunately tangled with evolution, and that (even more unfortunately) the aforementioned ~70% and more are horrendously misinformed of science. But I'd be curious what the rest of you think explains the "cognitive dissonance" of the "swing vote."

harold · 18 January 2014

Frank J said:

Actual election results show precious little evidence that the public wants sectarian science denial propaganda pushed in taxpayer funded public schools.

— Harold
Apologies for going even more off-topic, but I have been increasingly intrigued at how ~70% of adult Americans are at least partly sympathetic to the anti-evolution movement (including those who have no problem with evolution but have been fooled into thinking it's fair to "teach both sides" in science class), yet most still listen to their conscience in the election booth. Note that even in the last 2 presidential elections the most vocal anti-science candidates (Bachmann, Perry, Santorum, Huckabee) were weeded out in the primaries (Palin got through as VP candidate in 08, but probably would have had a hard time in 12). IOW, when it counts, apparently only committed evolution-deniers (and activists of course), which are a minority, albeit an uncomfortably large one, go with the anti-evolution candidates, and the huge "swing vote" does not. I realize that there are other "hot" social issues unfortunately tangled with evolution, and that (even more unfortunately) the aforementioned ~70% and more are horrendously misinformed of science. But I'd be curious what the rest of you think explains the "cognitive dissonance" of the "swing vote."
Because "teach both sides" is a powerful imitation of the correct answer. All other things being equal, of course we should evaluate all sides of an argument. And we already did. We did subject the theory of evolution, creation science, and ID, to rigorous scientific and logical analysis, for well over 150 years in the case of the theory of evolution. The theory of evolution stands up and the other two don't. When the question is accurately stated in a non-biasing way, it goes like this - "It is already known that the theory of evolution is strongly supported by multiple converging lines of scientific evidence, and that 'creation science' and 'intelligent design' have been extensively investigated and are not supported by evidence, and amount to little more than ideologically motivated science denial, which has been deemed illegal to promote at taxpayer expense, as doing so favors minority religious sects at the expense of all others. Given these facts, should public schools teach the mainstream scientific consensus, or should they also spend time repeating false statements about science, in a probably illegal way?" What happens is that when people see "should we teach both sides?" in a poll they instinctively use the heuristic "Of course, it's always better to be fair, and that usually means giving everyone a chance to share their view". Once a Dover school board of Freshwater becomes locally active, THEN people learn what the question really is.

Frank J · 18 January 2014

@ Harold:

I was expecting something more complicated, e.g. the entangled social issues, but it may be just that simple as you mention. If so, it would be nice if it didn't always have to take a local incident, or a politician putting his foot in his mouth, to make people see how they have been misled.

harold · 19 January 2014

Frank J said: @ Harold: I was expecting something more complicated, e.g. the entangled social issues, but it may be just that simple as you mention. If so, it would be nice if it didn't always have to take a local incident, or a politician putting his foot in his mouth, to make people see how they have been misled.
The entangled social issues explain the existence of the 30% or so who know the code and dogmatically deny evolution. I'm old enough to remember when Jack Chick believing fundamentalists were a great deal less than 30% of the population, and when, although they were certainly homophobic, sexist, authoritarian, and in some cases racist (but in other cases strongly against racism), they weren't at all fond of the Republican party. Without going into massive detail, I basically think that, because mainstream denominations virtually all supported the civil rights movement, the right wing adopted and adapted fundamentalism. Now it's an embedded part of an overall social/political movement. However, you weren't asking about the 30%. You were asking why the remaining 70% sometimes seem to agree with "teach both sides" language, yet consistently vote against actual teaching of creationism when it becomes a local issue, and to a large degree consistently show passive acceptance of evolution in popular culture or when given unbiased poll questions. And I think the simple explanation works there. "Teach both sides" simply sounds like the correct answer, because "give both sides a fair hearing" actually is the correct answer. And we did. Not only is it easy to manipulate polls with biased questions, it is challenging to construct poll questions that are not biased. Accidental biasing of polls is extremely common. Deliberate biased polling is also common, and always serves some agenda. The most extreme type is "push polling" - actual efforts to change attitudes with manipulative questions (extreme example for illustration - "Congressman X may or may not be associated with international child pornography, do you plan to vote for Congressman X?"). More commonly, the goal is make support for something seem higher than it really is. But sometimes this is indirect push polling. The idea is that if you exaggerate support, some people will "jump on the bandwagon". A third reason for biased polling was illustrated by the Romney campaign (this neutral statement about the Romney campaign is accurate regardless of the reader's opinion of it) - the person paying for the poll may be perceived to demand "good news". Pollsters may be afraid to present the customer with accurate but unfavorable data, and merely present biased data in an effort to create short term satisfaction.

Just Bob · 20 January 2014

I actually got a 'poll' call during the primary season that asked, among other crap, "Would you support John McCain if you knew that he had an illegitimate black child?"

And surprise, surprise! It wasn't from the Democratic campaign, but from the Tea Party Patriots or some iteration thereof.

harold · 20 January 2014

Just Bob said: I actually got a 'poll' call during the primary season that asked, among other crap, "Would you support John McCain if you knew that he had an illegitimate black child?" And surprise, surprise! It wasn't from the Democratic campaign, but from the Tea Party Patriots or some iteration thereof.
Wow. An actual recipient of that infamous push poll call, which is pretty much as extreme an example as my imaginary example. Were you in South Carolina? That's where that call was mainly targeted. John McCain has an adopted daughter from Bangladesh, who is neither black nor his biological daughter But you know where they got the idea from? When Strom Thurmond was 22, he got a sixteen year old African-American housemaid pregnant and thus had a black daughter out of wedlock. Fortunately, the "illegitimate black daughter" of Strom Thurmond had a long and successful life. By the way, this is somewhat on topic. This is related to both polling, and to the social roots of post-modern creationism.

Just Bob · 20 January 2014

harold said:
Just Bob said: I actually got a 'poll' call during the primary season that asked, among other crap, "Would you support John McCain if you knew that he had an illegitimate black child?" And surprise, surprise! It wasn't from the Democratic campaign, but from the Tea Party Patriots or some iteration thereof.
Wow. An actual recipient of that infamous push poll call, which is pretty much as extreme an example as my imaginary example. Were you in South Carolina? That's where that call was mainly targeted.
Texas. Rick Perry country. Louis Gohmert country. Don McLeroy country. South Carolina ain't got nuthin on us in the bigotry department.