Republicans' acceptance of evolution fades
The bad news: Only 67 % of Democrats accept evolution. The worse news: Only 43 % of Republicans accept evolution. The very worst news: The Republicans are down 5 % from 4 years ago. This, according to a poll by the Pew Research Center, as reported by CBS news in an article entitled "Republicans' belief in evolution plummets, poll reveals."
More precisely, Pew asked whether "humans and other living things have existed in their present form since the beginning of time, or humans and other living things have evolved over time." You may see the report, "Public's views on human evolution," here.
Pew reports a number of "key findings," such as organizing the data as a function of religion; no surprises there. Approximately 1/3 of all adults agree "that humans and other living things have evolved over time and that evolution [was] due to natural processes," whereas approximately 1/4 of all adults believe that "[a] supreme being guided evolution." 4 % "don't know," so altogether 60 % of adults accept evolution. The breakdown by religion was equally unsurprising. Interestingly, however, across every demographic, slightly more people think that "[nonhuman] animals have evolved over time" than that "humans have evolved over time."
Finally, I use "accept" evolution, rather than Pew's and CBS's "believe in," because evolution – descent with modification – is a scientific fact and not a belief.
112 Comments
https://me.yahoo.com/a/JxVN0eQFqtmgoY7wC1cZM44ET_iAanxHQmLgYgX_Zhn8#57cad · 31 December 2013
Must be all of that evidence for ID, like... Nope, drew a blank.
I do wonder, however, what the margin of error is, and if the change is more, or much more, than that. If Republicans have declined, though, I wonder if some of that could be due to fewer of those who accept science being less willing to identify with the GOP.
Meanwhile, the particulars of evolution become ever better known, with genomes providing evidence for what has been selected and what hasn't been so much. I think the creationists play their cards reasonably well by ignoring (certainly not explaining) all of the old evidence that all of life is related in the patterns and with the limits expected of evolution (not that there couldn't be separate origins, but there couldn't be many, almost certainly), as well as the "progression of life" through time as evolutionarily predicted, instead carping about supposed problems. Just make it sound as if it were doubtful, and many will doubt.
When a third to a half of Americans believe in alien visitations at some point (possible, but no convincing evidence at all), I don't suppose it's surprising that many will believe in creation, especially since there are rewards promised for the latter. The two ideas even go together, since many "ancient alien theorists" have aliens designing humans.
Glen Davidson
Ray Martinez · 31 December 2013
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Rolf · 31 December 2013
Doc Bill · 31 December 2013
I think the poll shows that educated people are leaving the Republican Party in droves. They are left with a bunch of inbred, Fox News, Ann Coulter cretins. Led by Ted Cruz their bigotry will consume them.
DavidK · 31 December 2013
The "rewards" of an idyllic afterlife promised by religion/s, to see and be with one's beloved ancestors and other kin, as well as one's dearly departed pets as well, for an eternity in the land of milk and honey, far outweigh the cold, calculating, impersonal knowledge and rational ideas, evidence notwithstanding, that science makes available to the human mind. Fear of our impermance, our own personal deaths, make this notion difficult to resist.
Scott F · 31 December 2013
https://me.yahoo.com/a/JxVN0eQFqtmgoY7wC1cZM44ET_iAanxHQmLgYgX_Zhn8#57cad · 31 December 2013
ksplawn · 1 January 2014
Interesting implication: if the general number of Americans who accept evolution is about the same, but the number of Republicans who accept it has gone down, then A) more Democrats accept evolution now than 4 years ago, and B) Republicans are quite literally holding America back on this issue by backsliding away from science and demonstrable fact.
A sad result of their anti-science and anti-intellectual rhetoric of late.
Jim · 1 January 2014
For conservatives, rejecting evolution is a political gesture above all else. You can't refute a loyalty oath. Since the issue has nothing much to do with biology for most of them, both the arguments made against creationism and the sporadic attempts of the other side to create a scientifically defensible semi-hemi-Creationism (I.D.) are kinda beside the point, which is struggle about values rather than a debate about facts.
That said, the increase in the percentage of Republicans who reject evolution does mean something. It's evidence of an increase in the ideological fervor (or cultural desperation) of the part of the right.
Rolf · 1 January 2014
richarddmorey · 1 January 2014
logicman · 1 January 2014
https://www.google.com/accounts/o8/id?id=AItOawlr-OwiHfZpiLbKDjY3p3_JFFvZY1tS-dM · 1 January 2014
On the other hand, as seen on Fox News, Republicans believe in Santa Claus (and know that He is white).
fittest meme · 1 January 2014
I think the survey is poorly worded and thus is hiding an even more concerning problem for those of you attempting to defend the atheistic nature of evolution.
I do not believe that "humans and other living things have existed in their present form since the beginning of time," instead I believe that "humans and other living things have evolved over time." This however just means that I accept that there has been, and continues to be, adaptive change within the human species. This indeed can be concluded from observational evidence and therefor could be called a "fact."
I do not however, think that the evidence allows for the conclusion that all life has common ancestor, or that the unguided process of natural selection has the creative ability to produce new species and generate the diversity of life we observe. To hold these beliefs one has to make inferences that have not been confirmed through scientific observation.
The survey would have been more accurate if thy would have defined the term evolution using the more controversial definitions. If that was done, I think the results would have displayed an even stronger indication that the right is starting to see through the fog of academia's deceptive practices.
harold · 1 January 2014
PA Poland · 1 January 2014
Matt Young · 1 January 2014
Regarding "accept" vs. "believe [in]": George Lakoff got his 15 min of fame a decade or so ago with (I think) Moral Politics, sort of an expanded magazine article in which he argued that Republicans are better at framing than are Democrats. He was right: if you cede the vocabulary to someone, you are halfway toward losing the debate. For this reason, I never say conservative*, but rather say far right (which is much more polite than reactionary); never say shooter, but rather say gunman; never say intelligent design, but rather say intelligent-design creationism; and never say believe in evolution because that plays into the far right's claim that evolution is a religion.
* Unless I am referring to a Democrat.
Matt Young · 1 January 2014
Oh dear. Please do not let the "meme" troll derail the thread.
DS · 1 January 2014
I find it interesting that, as the evidence for evolution increases, acceptance of evolution does not. It's almost as if some people have beliefs that are not constrained by evidence. Imagine that. One would have thought that the last seven hundred years of scientific progress would have convinced everyone of the efficacy of empiricism.
fnxtr · 1 January 2014
harold · 1 January 2014
Scott F · 1 January 2014
Robert Byers · 1 January 2014
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DS · 1 January 2014
happy new year robert
Matt G · 1 January 2014
The problem with those who feel that evolution was guided is that they do not grasp a FUNDAMENTAL concept in evolution, which is that there is no need to invoke guidance - the evidence for randomness (mutation and drift) and selection is adequate.
There was an article in the Wall Street Journal a few years back in which the writer described a study in which the researchers claimed that not only are there genes which contribute to our abilities, there are genes which contribute to our ability to use those abilities. By way of analogy, think of the cliche that we are all dealt a hand in life, but it is up to us how we play it. The researchers would say that there is a second level of control which governs our ability to play our hand. The writer accurately described the study, but in a final, gratuitous sentence demonstrated that he had entirely missed the point (in such a manner as would reassure the demographic group which is the WSJ's target audience). Do we really want students to entirely miss this vital point of evolution?
diogeneslamp0 · 2 January 2014
daoudmbo · 2 January 2014
harold · 2 January 2014
Rolf · 2 January 2014
fittest meme · 2 January 2014
DS · 2 January 2014
eric · 2 January 2014
Matt Young · 2 January 2014
Matt Young · 2 January 2014
fittest meme · 2 January 2014
fittest meme · 2 January 2014
meant to say "opinion survey" instead of just "opinion" in the post above.
raven · 2 January 2014
raven · 2 January 2014
While the numbers aren't great for a first world country, they aren't as bad as they look.
1. 20% of the US population are Geocentrists who think the sun orbits the earth and can't diagram the solar system, a task I learned in the first grade.
Half of all USians have IQ's less than 100.
2. This is the Crazification Factor. 20% will believe anything, no matter how stupid it is. Supply side economics, UN agenda 21, elves, Elvis, ghosts, witches, mass weapons of destruction in Iraq, and on and on.
They are just baggage being dragged along by our society and contributing nothing much. They aren't that important. Every society has their quota of baggage.
raven · 2 January 2014
DS · 2 January 2014
"It is my current understanding that God established the foundational order of the universe and wrote the specific genetic code for each species (including the genetic diversity that allowed the species to adapt to environmental changes through natural selection)."
Your understanding is contradicted by the evidence.
As for the survey, I will stipulate that it may be inaccurate, as is every survey.
phhht · 2 January 2014
fittest meme · 2 January 2014
Hey phhhht, take a downer. I think it's pretty well established here that I don't hold the same beliefs as the rest of you. This thread however is about a survey that attempts to categorize people with different beliefs on the topic of evolution. Take some comfort in the fact that because of me you are able to get some actual first hand evidence on how the survey may have been understood by those with different beliefs from your own. That's the idea behind objective analysis of evidence is it not?
Just take some deep breaths . . . you'll be alright . . . and I'm sure you'll have a chance to debate me on the evidence of evolution in the future when there's a blog post that starts with such a topic.
phhht · 2 January 2014
fittest meme · 2 January 2014
diogeneslamp0 · 2 January 2014
Just Bob · 2 January 2014
Your standards for what counts as "dependable eyewitnesses" and the reportage of their "evidence" does not speak well for your "intellectual acuity".
DS · 2 January 2014
So FM offers an apology for a behavior that he then demonstrates, again.
Time for the bathroom wall, again.
apokryltaros · 2 January 2014
apokryltaros · 2 January 2014
damn"prove wrong" something, anything, that does not agree ten-thousand and one percent with Party Dogma.phhht · 2 January 2014
fittest meme · 2 January 2014
fittest meme · 2 January 2014
https://me.yahoo.com/a/JxVN0eQFqtmgoY7wC1cZM44ET_iAanxHQmLgYgX_Zhn8#57cad · 2 January 2014
phhht · 2 January 2014
fittest meme · 2 January 2014
raven · 2 January 2014
raven · 2 January 2014
phhht · 2 January 2014
CJColucci · 2 January 2014
I believe the testimony of many dependable eyewitnesses that Jesus Christ came to this earth as God himself and truth incarnate.
Name three. Hint: Mark, Matthew, Luke, and John don't count since they didn't write the books to which their names have been attached. Come to think of it, how could any human observer be an "eyewitness" to Yeshua Ben Yusuf's status as "God himself and truth incarnate." At most, you could have an eyewitness to YBY's making such a claim about himself, and only the author of John, whoever he was, says YBY made such a claim, and on internal evidence, the actual author, whoever he was, could not have been an eyewitness.
ksplawn · 2 January 2014
fittest meme · 2 January 2014
phhht · 2 January 2014
fittest meme · 2 January 2014
phhht · 2 January 2014
fittest meme · 2 January 2014
phhht · 2 January 2014
phhht · 2 January 2014
fittest meme · 2 January 2014
Just Bob · 2 January 2014
Matt Young · 2 January 2014
Please, no more pointless bickering with the meme troll.
Dave Luckett · 3 January 2014
Wrong. Science discovers fact by observation and tests it by further and repeated observation, if possible empirically, so as to more closely define it. Fact, under this regime, means "an observation so thoroughly established by observation that denying it would be merely perversity".
Major evolutionary change at the speciation level has been observed in nature, at least a dozen times. Separation of higher taxa requires longer time frames than are available to a human lifetime, or to human history, but is attested by fossil evidence.
Yes, you have to believe in evolution (or, if you like, accept it), if you are accessible to evidence and rational thought. Alas, if not, not.
Dave Luckett · 3 January 2014
Wrong. Fish crawling out of the sea with limbs would be saltation, which is specifically rejected by the theory of evolution. Fish didn't "crawl out of the sea". They colonised new environments, following the plants: muddy, weed-choked river estuaries, in a continuous graduation from sea to shallow water to tidal pools to seasonal mudflats to dry land. They evolved lobe fins, because lobe fins provided some weight-bearing capacity as the water got shallower, and then mobility between pools. Simultaneously, swim bladders were modified into lungs because muddy pools are oxygen-poor and select for fish that can use some atmospheric oxygen - again, in a continuous process. Lobe-fins were similarly selected for better weight-bearing and mobility. This is a series of seamless, evolving changes well-attested in the fossil record.
Reptiles did not acquire feathers, but some gracile therapod dinosaurs evolved extended scales, then fronded scales, then shafted feathers, probably for insulation, long before some lines developed them further to serve as airbrakes when turning on the run, then gliding surfaces in forests, then wings. All this, too, is attested in the fossil record.
There is no evidence that such a development is not possible. All the evidence is to the contrary; that not only is it possible, it is inevitable, if the environment so selects. And it does.
DS · 3 January 2014
Check ISP please.
eric · 3 January 2014
Scott F · 3 January 2014
Matt Young · 3 January 2014
Just Bob · 3 January 2014
Matt Young · 3 January 2014
Scott F · 3 January 2014
Ray Martinez · 3 January 2014
This comment has been moved to The Bathroom Wall.
Ray Martinez · 3 January 2014
This comment has been moved to The Bathroom Wall.
phhht · 3 January 2014
This comment has been moved to The Bathroom Wall.
phhht · 3 January 2014
This comment has been moved to The Bathroom Wall.
PA Poland · 3 January 2014
Scott F · 3 January 2014
Scott F · 3 January 2014
Just Bob · 3 January 2014
nutstheologically committed as they are? No way! They have big brass ones blessed by Jesus! Come on, guys. Show Scott F and the other darwinian scoffers here that your'e not afraid to mix it up with another creationist and prove to him (and us) why he's wrong and you're right.TomS · 4 January 2014
If you don't have an alternative account for the appearance of new species, then your view is indistinguishable from "things just happened to turn out this way, rather than any other one of the vast number of possibilities" - that it, pure random chance.
John · 6 January 2014
Carl Drews · 7 January 2014
SLC · 8 January 2014
SLC · 8 January 2014
nilsson · 9 January 2014
If "Darwism" is a scientific fact, as you believe, why are you so afraid of dissent? Dogmatists crush all dissent. Darwinists are modern day Inquisitors seeking to burn all heretics with vitriol and ridicule. In cloistered academic ivory towers they feed at the tax trough and pour their bilious contempt on the cretins who pay their salaries. The same bunch laughed at Wegner for continental drift and fought plate tectonics until they just disappeared in irrelevance. The same fate awaits the Darwinist.
ksplawn · 9 January 2014
Dave Luckett · 9 January 2014
"Darwinism" is not a scientific fact. Evolution, common descent, hereditable variation, natural selection resulting in diverging morphology over deep time - those are scientific facts. "Darwinism" is a word, and no more, coined as a dishonest attempt to misrepresent the fundamental theory of biology as a doctrine or orthodoxy.
Worse even than such an outpouring of ignorance and falsehood is the fundamental attitude displayed. Science and scientists, says this fool, exist in "cloistered academic towers". That's a lie. They exist in the daily rough-and-tumble of contact with bruising reality. Their work, which has given the writer practically everything he knows or uses every single day, consists of "feed(ing) at the tax trough". This is a mind that fortifies its own superstition and ignorance with falsehood and reinforces its ingratitude with baseless insult.
They didn't laugh at Wegener, whose name the writer can't even spell correctly. They said, pretty much, "It's a neat idea, but how does it work?", and Wegener didn't know. But when the answers to that question came in, those who had doubted didn't "disappear into irrelevance". Nor did they found a new creed, produce another theological school, become a "movement" or ideology or political party. They were scientists. They tested the evidence, found it sound, and accepted it.
Which is exactly what the writer refuses to do. Well, let him. Let him be a "dissident" from reality, since he feels so strongly about it. We'll see who becomes irrelevant.
didymos1120 · 9 January 2014
Dave Luckett · 9 January 2014
SLC · 9 January 2014
DS · 9 January 2014
John · 9 January 2014
John · 9 January 2014
bigdakine · 10 January 2014
bigdakine · 10 January 2014
SLC · 10 January 2014
SLC · 10 January 2014
Dave Luckett · 10 January 2014
That makes it one apiece. I managed to misspell "odyssey".
SLC · 10 January 2014
Just Bob · 10 January 2014
John · 10 January 2014
John · 10 January 2014
SLC · 10 January 2014
Marilyn · 11 January 2014