Thoughts on the first three chapters of Dembski and Witt's "Intelligent Design Uncensored"

Posted 22 December 2011 by

As mentioned, I have a couple of pro-ID books that need to be read and reviewed these holidays: Signature in the Cell: DNA and the Evidence for Intelligent Design by Stephen C. Meyer, and Intelligent Design Uncensored by William Dembski and Jonathan Witt. While I've done preliminary readings of both books, in order to grasp their overall structure and scope, I recently started reading the latter in a greater level of detail.

What I've found has not been pretty.

Yes, Intelligent Design Uncensored is not a very healthy book to read, if you get angry at slick rhetoric in place of rigorous argumentation, blatant strawman arguments, and an easily digestible style of writing that doesn't at all match with the supposed gravity of the topic at hand. Unfortunately, those are some of the things that push my buttons, so I'm not a happy little "Darwinist". No sir.

In fact, it has been so infuriating so far that I'm seriously considering not doing a proper review of it: it may not be worth my time nor my effort. Meyer's Signature is a much more worthy target - it's held up by the ID community as some shiny tome of pure knowledge, blessed to humanity from the heavens, whilst Dembski and Witt's book is a barely-mentioned teaching tool for prospective members.

61 Comments

daijoboukuma · 22 December 2011

Jack; I can well understand your disgust over what looks to be typical creationist schlock. But consider this: the emphasis in the ID camp has shifted from "teach the controversy" to "academic freedom." The "uncensored" in the title points to a pitch in that direction. And the tone of the writing indicates a "pop-sci" approach. In light of this a full review of the book would be timely.

ksplawn · 22 December 2011

It's sad how much delusional abuse of "censorship" is prosecuted by people who can't accept that their ideas just don't pass muster and try to blame everyone else for not seeing their brilliance. It cheapens genuine issues of censorship and cases of systematic ignorance cultivation. I'm sure many IDists, even a lot of the leading lights, believe they are being censored instead of rejected for lack of merit. I don't think that even a trip to a genuinely censorial nation like China would disabuse them of the notion, because it's a defense mechanism to protect their carefully nurtured views.

-Wheels

Gary_Hurd · 22 December 2011

You might look at the "one star" reviews of 'siggy' over at Amazon dot com.

Teach the Spaghetti Monstroversy · 22 December 2011

Evolution: No Intelligence Allowed.

Richard B. Hoppe · 22 December 2011

In your reading of Signature don't neglect to also read Dennis Venema's review

Joe Felsenstein · 22 December 2011

This sounds like Dembski's previous book The Design Revolution whose subtitle promised that it was Answering the Toughest Questions about Intelligent Design. That sounded promising, since by then a number of Dembski's arguments had been seriously called into question. His original two arguments were

1. The Design Inference which would only work if his Law of Conservation of Complex Specified Information was both true and applicable in the right way, and

2. His No Free Lunch argument, using Wolpert and Macready's theorem and applying it to fitness surfaces.

By 2004 both of these had been seriously called into question. And guess what? The Design Inference did not address those issues.

Since then Dembski and his co-thinker Robert Marks have added some more arguments:

3. The "smuggling" argument in which designers of successful computer simulations of evolution are alleged to have smuggled the information that ends up in life into the computer program in advance, and

4. The Search For A Search argument in which if fitness surfaces are typically ones on which evolutionary algorithms would succeed in substantially improving fitness, this means that some Designer has specially chosen those fitness surfaces and thus smuggled in information just like the program designers.

Points 1 and 2 are totally refuted. Point 3 is wrong for some successful evolutionary algorithms. Point 4 is likely to be invalid because the properties of physics make infinitely-rough fitness surfaces unlikely (and in any case Point 4 is talking about how you get into a situation where natural selection does in fact work). Let me give my usual reference to my article on all this.

So question: which of these major arguments does Dembski still uphold as valid in the new book? And does he deal with any of these counter-arguments? If he does, that would be a first for him.

DS · 22 December 2011

Well, what else can you do when you don't have the facts on your side? What else can you do when you can't be bothered to even come up with a testable hypothesis, let alone actually test it? What else can you do when you don't understand the real science and don't even know enough to criticize it in a meaningful manner? In short, when else is a self respecting pseudo scientist to do? You can't actually go into the lab and get any real evidence. You can't actually review the literature. You can make up cute little stories trying to sell your strained metaphors to the ignorant. You can just pitch woo woo and cry and moan about censorship and "academic freedom" as if that had anything to do with it. Apparently that's all you can do. Of course, nobody has to be fooled by such nonsense.

https://me.yahoo.com/a/JxVN0eQFqtmgoY7wC1cZM44ET_iAanxHQmLgYgX_Zhn8#57cad · 22 December 2011

The woman beside you – the physicist – interrupts. “How crude could it have been if it could build copies of itself? We’ve never managed to build a factory that could build a factory that could build a factory that could build a…”
Ah yes, the essential mechanism of evolution, what indeed makes evolution at all possible, is a marvelous work of "design." Don't look behind the curtain that shows exactly the sort of derivation expected from reproduction and descent with modification, take Paley's and the IDiots' claim that reproduction is marvelous design at face value (Paley at least had some excuse). And once again it's the analogy/disanalogy that they typically make, without any apparent recognition of how contrary it all is. Why, it's just like a factory, except that it's really a whole lot unlike a factory. Which is fine for the IDiots, because their religion is about how God is like us, only so much better. The fact that a cell is very unlike what we have created, and seems to be "designed to evolve" as much as it is "designed" for anything, can thereby be swept under the rug. Their readers want nothing else. If the cell didn't reproduce, then it would "have to be designed"--at least in their narrow views--because it couldn't have evolved without reproduction. Don't note that this is one of many aspects that makes biology sensible only in the light of evolution, claim it as "design," and ignore how this destroys the already tenuous (at best) analogy. ID uncensored for sure. Dishonest both by what's left out and what's claimed regarding truly evolutionary mechanisms. Glen Davidson

Mike Elzinga · 22 December 2011

I’m not sure how long Jack Scanlan can hold to his commitment to review as much ID/creationist material as he has chosen for the holidays.

I’ve slogged through many papers and books of creationist and ID writers and have come out of it pretty disgusted for having wasted the time. Once I hit the first few misconceptions and misrepresentations of science within the introduction or the abstract, I already know how the rest will go. And, guess what; my slogging through the rest of the crap confirms exactly want I already learned from the first couple of pages.

By now it has all become pretty much cookie-cutter crap. If you’ve read one, you pretty much have the gist of the rest.

On the other hand, I suspect that anyone who has had to deal with misconceptions and misrepresentations in science does, at some point, have to choke back the nausea and plunge into the crap to get the “full, robust flavor” of how ID/creationists think and “reason.”

And it generally comes down to some very fundamental misconceptions and lack of knowledge on the part of ID/creationists. Despite their constant appearance of delving into the “arcane” and “advanced” topics in the sciences, they fail miserably with the most basic concepts. It is for this reason that they build all their complicated scaffolding of “information,” “complex specified information,” “conservation of information,” “irreducible complexity,” and all the rest of their pseudo-science. It not only hides all evidence of their ignorance of the basics, it makes them appear to be highly educated renaissance men to their followers (and as idiots to those who really know).

Jack Scanlan · 22 December 2011

daijoboukuma said: Jack; I can well understand your disgust over what looks to be typical creationist schlock. But consider this: the emphasis in the ID camp has shifted from "teach the controversy" to "academic freedom." The "uncensored" in the title points to a pitch in that direction. And the tone of the writing indicates a "pop-sci" approach. In light of this a full review of the book would be timely.
Hmm, perhaps you're right. And since the ID movement has gladly accepted that Dembski and Witt have accurately represented their arguments, skewering this book (most likely) won't produce cries of "You're going after strawmen!"

Jack Scanlan · 22 December 2011

Joe Felsenstein said: So question: which of these major arguments does Dembski still uphold as valid in the new book? And does he deal with any of these counter-arguments? If he does, that would be a first for him.
If he does, they'll be very, very superficial treatments of his critics. As I've said, the book reads like slick, severely dumbed-down popular science, which means that the topic needs to be changed every few pages (at the most) before the audience gets bored.

apokryltaros · 22 December 2011

Mr Scanlan, would it be safe to assume that Dembski deliberately forgot, again, to explain why and or how Intelligent Design is supposed to be a science in this latest book of his?

Joe Felsenstein · 22 December 2011

Jack Scanlan said:
Joe Felsenstein said: So question: which of these major arguments does Dembski still uphold as valid in the new book? And does he deal with any of these counter-arguments? If he does, that would be a first for him.
If he does, they'll be very, very superficial treatments of his critics. As I've said, the book reads like slick, severely dumbed-down popular science, which means that the topic needs to be changed every few pages (at the most) before the audience gets bored.
It might at least give us a good idea whether he has abandoned any of those arguments -- if he gives a dumbed-down version of some of them, then it is documented that he is still upholding those. I don't expect to see any coverage of the critics' arguments there.

DavidK · 22 December 2011

"Better to keep God tucked away, safely outside the universe." Now that makes sense.

TomS · 22 December 2011

DS said: What else can you do when you can't be bothered to even come up with a testable hypothesis, let alone actually test it?
Why can't they even describe their hypothesis? Who, what, where, when, why, how?

apokryltaros · 22 December 2011

TomS said:
DS said: What else can you do when you can't be bothered to even come up with a testable hypothesis, let alone actually test it?
Why can't they even describe their hypothesis? Who, what, where, when, why, how?
I wonder, do some of the illuminaries of Intelligent Design ever express regret that Intelligent Design will never be a science, or even develop even rudimentary explanatory power? Or do they delude themselves into thinking that by going GODDESIGNERDIDIT over and over again, while "teaching the controversy," they can vanquish the American scientific community and transform it into a Jesus-friendly cultural institute? (You know, as they've envisioned in the Wedge Document)

xubist · 22 December 2011

Jack Scanlan said:
daijoboukuma said: Jack; I can well understand your disgust over what looks to be typical creationist schlock. But consider this: the emphasis in the ID camp has shifted from "teach the controversy" to "academic freedom." The "uncensored" in the title points to a pitch in that direction. And the tone of the writing indicates a "pop-sci" approach. In light of this a full review of the book would be timely.
Hmm, perhaps you're right. And since the ID movement has gladly accepted that Dembski and Witt have accurately represented their arguments, skewering this book (most likely) won't produce cries of "You're going after strawmen!"
Optimist. If IDiots gave a tenth of a tinker's damn about whether or not their pronouncements were, like, accurate, or even vaguely congruent to any piece of Reality that exists outside their tiny little brains, they wouldn't be IDiots.

Karen S. · 23 December 2011

I think it's important for scientists to continue to review the ID Movement's silly books. Their target audience is people without a scientific background who can be easily swayed. When an ID nut tries to get me to read one of their books, I like being able to refer them to a review by a real scientist.

Karen S. · 23 December 2011

Why can’t they even describe their hypothesis? Who, what, where, when, why, how?
The answer is always the same: "Don't ask, don't tell"

Frank J · 23 December 2011

Karen S. said:
Why can’t they even describe their hypothesis? Who, what, where, when, why, how?
The answer is always the same: "Don't ask, don't tell"
Which takes megadembskis of chutzpah given their pretense of ID not being "creationism." What they call "creationism" (old style YEC and OEC) states plenty of "whats, where's whens" - mutually contradictory ones in fact - so the least that the ID peddlers could do is put their money where their mouths are and show where the real weaknesses are. Especially since the only clear position taken by any of them (Behe) concedes ~4 billion years of common descent. But Jack Scanlan astutely noted:

…[Dembski and Witt are] writing for theists who are unsure about whether or not to accept ID, and their case is that if you don’t accept ID (or at least reject “Darwinism”) you’re not a proper theist…

We need to be doing that more. Framing it as "us vs. the creationists" and preaching to the choir practically guarantees a loss.

https://me.yahoo.com/a/XRnHyQl8usUn8ykD1Rji0ZXHNe.9lqmg3Dm7ul96NW4vxpbU3c_GLu.k#d404b · 23 December 2011

DavidK said: "Better to keep God tucked away, safely outside the universe." Now that makes sense.
"safely outside the universe" - isn't that the definition of 'supernatural' ? when will IDiots learn? God is supernatural God works miracles a claim of the miraculous is by definition an extraordinary claim extraordinary claims require extraordinary EVIDENCE (in science/rational persuits) "I don't understand how this happend...must've been a miracle" is NOT SCIENCE (heck it's not even good THEOLOGY) also "the odds of this happening (in the straw-man way presented) are astronomical- it must have been a miracle" demonstrates both a lack of understanding of probability/statistics and the word 'miracle' Miracle: something that happens by devine/supernatural intervention that would be IMPOSSIBLE by natural means. so (in order to recognise the miraculous - one needs to have a grounding in the knowlege of natural processes. but that's ID: not science, not (good) theology, just PR smoke and mirrors that seems to exist only so that the proponents can sell books about ID

https://me.yahoo.com/a/XRnHyQl8usUn8ykD1Rji0ZXHNe.9lqmg3Dm7ul96NW4vxpbU3c_GLu.k#d404b · 23 December 2011

sorry - here's punctuation
“safely outside the universe” - isn’t that the definition of ‘supernatural’ ? When will IDiots learn? God is supernatural, God works miracles. A claim of the miraculous is by definition an extraordinary claim. Extraordinary claims require extraordinary EVIDENCE (in science/rational persuits)

https://me.yahoo.com/a/XRnHyQl8usUn8ykD1Rji0ZXHNe.9lqmg3Dm7ul96NW4vxpbU3c_GLu.k#d404b · 23 December 2011

here's an interesting set of questions:

if ID is supposed to be science, why don't they frame scientific questions correctly (in scientific journals etc.)?

if we accept ID is not science, it is proselytizing (a ministry), why do ID fellows SELL thier books? shouldn't the discovery institute GIVE the books away?

the answer to both quuestions is that ID is a SCAM, it's FRAUD - just a way to prey on religious folks who have a particular misndset in order to make money

court cases - PR stunts (eventually to sell more books, lectures etc)

I believe that there is a special place in hell reserved for those folks that would squander public money (court cases, school district $$ to defent lawsuits) and scam the faithful in the name of what they hold to be holy.

-JasonMitchell

Mike Elzinga · 23 December 2011

Karen S. said: I think it's important for scientists to continue to review the ID Movement's silly books. Their target audience is people without a scientific background who can be easily swayed. When an ID nut tries to get me to read one of their books, I like being able to refer them to a review by a real scientist.
It has been primarily for this reason that I have spent time slogging through ID/creationist writings. As sickening as it can be to have to plunge into the crap and analyze the misconceptions and rhetorical tricks, there really is some value in understanding where people get their misconceptions and attitudes about science. For me it has actually helped in my organization and preparations of lectures and educational materials for students and laypersons. Research is extremely time-consuming and demanding of one’s attention; but I still think that working scientists need to connect with the wider public on issues such as virulent, sectarian pseudo-science and all other forms of pseudo-science. It is a public service that we in the science community owe to the people who support our research.

Karen S. · 23 December 2011

It is a public service that we in the science community owe to the people who support our research.
We very much appreciate this public service. Thank you!

Karen S. · 23 December 2011

Which takes megadembskis of chutzpah given their pretense of ID not being “creationism.” What they call “creationism” (old style YEC and OEC) states plenty of “whats, where’s whens” - mutually contradictory ones in fact - so the least that the ID peddlers could do is put their money where their mouths are and show where the real weaknesses are. Especially since the only clear position taken by any of them (Behe) concedes ~4 billion years of common descent.
If you want to see the extent of "don't ask, don't tell" You must watch The Great Debate, where The American Museum of History in NYC invited the ID guys in for a debate. The best part is where Robert Pennock becomes an ID theorist to see what he is allowed to teach, and asks Dembski to take a stand!

DS · 23 December 2011

Karen S. said:
Which takes megadembskis of chutzpah given their pretense of ID not being “creationism.” What they call “creationism” (old style YEC and OEC) states plenty of “whats, where’s whens” - mutually contradictory ones in fact - so the least that the ID peddlers could do is put their money where their mouths are and show where the real weaknesses are. Especially since the only clear position taken by any of them (Behe) concedes ~4 billion years of common descent.
If you want to see the extent of "don't ask, don't tell" You must watch The Great Debate, where The American Museum of History in NYC invited the ID guys in for a debate. The best part is where Robert Pennock becomes an ID theorist to see what he is allowed to teach, and asks Dembski to take a stand!
Thanks for the link Karen. I especially liked the part where Dembski states: "ID is completely compatible with descent with modification." Seems his gap has gotten a lot smaller. I wonder if he mentions this in any of his new books?

Rolf · 23 December 2011

All that remains for Dembski is to wind it all up with the remaining but oh so boring trifles: Who did what how and when?

Karen S. · 23 December 2011

All that remains for Dembski is to wind it all up with the remaining but oh so boring trifles: Who did what how and when?
Somehow, "academic freedom" is not extended to anyone who dares to ask such questions. Neil deGrasse Tyson has observed that ID is a theory of ignorance.

Joe Felsenstein · 23 December 2011

DS said: Thanks for the link Karen. I especially liked the part where Dembski states: "ID is completely compatible with descent with modification." Seems his gap has gotten a lot smaller. I wonder if he mentions this in any of his new books?
Given that maybe half or more of his audience are Young Earth Creationists, and even many of the Old Earth Creationist ones are against common descent, he might feel pressure to fudge on the issue, if he believed in common descent. Here he is disclaiming belief in common descent. I believe that the school he teaches at requires its teachers to reject it (and even an old earth). Those issues aside, the theorems he put forward (the Design Inference, the associated Law of Conservation of Complex Specified Information, and the use of the No Free Lunch Theorem) are supposed to make it impossible to explain almost any adaptation by natural selection. So even if he were inclined to accept common descent, he does not accept natural selection as an explanation for most adaptation. By contrast, Michael Behe has accepted common descent and the role of natural selection in bringing about adaptations, except for the ones for which he invokes ID.

DS · 23 December 2011

Joe Felsenstein said:
DS said: Thanks for the link Karen. I especially liked the part where Dembski states: "ID is completely compatible with descent with modification." Seems his gap has gotten a lot smaller. I wonder if he mentions this in any of his new books?
Given that maybe half or more of his audience are Young Earth Creationists, and even many of the Old Earth Creationist ones are against common descent, he might feel pressure to fudge on the issue, if he believed in common descent. Here he is disclaiming belief in common descent. I believe that the school he teaches at requires its teachers to reject it (and even an old earth). Those issues aside, the theorems he put forward (the Design Inference, the associated Law of Conservation of Complex Specified Information, and the use of the No Free Lunch Theorem) are supposed to make it impossible to explain almost any adaptation by natural selection. So even if he were inclined to accept common descent, he does not accept natural selection as an explanation for most adaptation. By contrast, Michael Behe has accepted common descent and the role of natural selection in bringing about adaptations, except for the ones for which he invokes ID.
Yes, that's what struck me about the admission. Once you have admitted that speciation and even macro speciation can occur naturally, you have reduced the thing you have to explain to a few of the more "complex" examples. At least I guess that is what he is going for. Of course, his math doesn't give the faintest clue what can evolve and want can't, so I guess the gap can be as big or as little as you want. Having admitted publicly that he finds the argument of plagarized errors convincing, I guess he must accept the evolution of whales and humans by natural means. That leaves a very small gap indeed.

DS · 23 December 2011

Dembski makes the statement about ID and common descent at about 14 minutes and 45 seconds into the video if anyone is interested in listening to that part of the debate.

MichaelJ · 23 December 2011

Joe Felsenstein said:
DS said: Thanks for the link Karen. I especially liked the part where Dembski states: "ID is completely compatible with descent with modification." Seems his gap has gotten a lot smaller. I wonder if he mentions this in any of his new books?
Given that maybe half or more of his audience are Young Earth Creationists, and even many of the Old Earth Creationist ones are against common descent, he might feel pressure to fudge on the issue, if he believed in common descent. Here he is disclaiming belief in common descent. I believe that the school he teaches at requires its teachers to reject it (and even an old earth). Those issues aside, the theorems he put forward (the Design Inference, the associated Law of Conservation of Complex Specified Information, and the use of the No Free Lunch Theorem) are supposed to make it impossible to explain almost any adaptation by natural selection. So even if he were inclined to accept common descent, he does not accept natural selection as an explanation for most adaptation. By contrast, Michael Behe has accepted common descent and the role of natural selection in bringing about adaptations, except for the ones for which he invokes ID.
He also says later that he takes the flud figuratively.

https://me.yahoo.com/a/57vt.Vh1yeasb_9YKQq4GyYNFhAbTpY-#b1375 · 23 December 2011

apokryltaros said:
TomS said:
DS said: What else can you do when you can't be bothered to even come up with a testable hypothesis, let alone actually test it?
Why can't they even describe their hypothesis? Who, what, where, when, why, how?
I wonder, do some of the illuminaries of Intelligent Design ever express regret that Intelligent Design will never be a science, or even develop even rudimentary explanatory power? Or do they delude themselves into thinking that by going GODDESIGNERDIDIT over and over again, while "teaching the controversy," they can vanquish the American scientific community and transform it into a Jesus-friendly cultural institute? (You know, as they've envisioned in the Wedge Document)
Oh no, at least Johnson and Nelson are "honest" by recognizing that ID is not yet a scientific theory. Whereas Meyer thinks it offers testable hypotheses (see my review over at Amazon in which I sarcastically rebuke his inane assertion that one could "test" for design via the fossil record). Bill seems to flip flop from Meyer's view to a more theologically "inspired" audience, depending on whom his audience is (It's a classic case of Arafat Syndrome; promising a more tranquil approach to your more civlized, enlightened audience while at the same time pledging to destroy the enemy to those whom you regard as part of the "faithful".

https://me.yahoo.com/a/57vt.Vh1yeasb_9YKQq4GyYNFhAbTpY-#b1375 · 23 December 2011

Karen S. said:
Which takes megadembskis of chutzpah given their pretense of ID not being “creationism.” What they call “creationism” (old style YEC and OEC) states plenty of “whats, where’s whens” - mutually contradictory ones in fact - so the least that the ID peddlers could do is put their money where their mouths are and show where the real weaknesses are. Especially since the only clear position taken by any of them (Behe) concedes ~4 billion years of common descent.
If you want to see the extent of "don't ask, don't tell" You must watch The Great Debate, where The American Museum of History in NYC invited the ID guys in for a debate. The best part is where Robert Pennock becomes an ID theorist to see what he is allowed to teach, and asks Dembski to take a stand!
Ah yes, Pennock and Ken Miller's effective tag-team approach against the utterly clueless Behe and Dembski. It was there, immediately after the debate, where I asked Dembski twice if he could calculate the confidence limits of the Explanatory Filter. All I got was silence and a condescending look from as though I was the idiot asking the ridiculous question.

Karen S. · 23 December 2011

He also says later that he takes the flud figuratively.
Actually he says that he takes Genesis figuratively, not just the flood! Seems his new employer pressured him to back away from the figurative approach. Gee, what's not to like?

https://me.yahoo.com/a/x5oXaq09vJdYnMRTdSnExfqq.SYoHvSA#41bf3 · 24 December 2011

Frank J said: Which takes megadembskis of chutzpah given their pretense of ID not being "creationism."
Has anyone formally defined a Dembski as a unit of untruth? If not, I suggest that hereafter a Dembski be defined as 1 lie per second of speech, and one Behe be defined as one lie per 100 characters of written text. --Artful Skeptic

Joe Felsenstein · 24 December 2011

DS said: ... Once you have admitted that speciation and even macro speciation can occur naturally, you have reduced the thing you have to explain to a few of the more "complex" examples. At least I guess that is what he is going for. Of course, his math doesn't give the faintest clue what can evolve and want can't, so I guess the gap can be as big or as little as you want. Having admitted publicly that he finds the argument of plagarized errors convincing, I guess he must accept the evolution of whales and humans by natural means. That leaves a very small gap indeed.
I am not sure what you mean. Dembski does not just say speciation can't happen (in fact he basically doesn't talk about it). His theorems say (he thinks) that natural selection cannot be invoked to explain any adaptations, leaving only a few that might have happened by random mutation without natural selection. All adaptations other than these few then need to be explained by the Designer. In this sense he rejects far more of evolutionary biology than does Behe. He is very far from almost-conceding that the processes of the Modern Synthesis work.

Rolf · 24 December 2011

Isn't most of Dembski explainable as the effect of having got himself stuck in "between the devil and the deep blue sea" with no escape in sight?

I wouldn't want to be in his shoes!

Frank J · 24 December 2011

Dembski makes the statement about ID and common descent at about 14 minutes and 45 seconds into the video if anyone is interested in listening to that part of the debate.

— DS
Thanks! Here's where, in 2001 he even said that IC can accommodate all the results of "Darwinism." That masterpiece of wordmithing strains to pretend that ID is science and "Darwinism" (they always make sure not to say "evolutionary biology") is not. It's essentially their "plan C," of "subsuming" "Darwinism" to ID. That's in case anyone notices their game of first pretending that ID is science (plan A), then retreating to "Darwinism is a religion too" (plan B) when plan A does not seem to be convincing the audience. Of course, in the interest of "equal time" I must inlcude Genie Scott's reply. She notes that others had already demolished his argument, but adds the all-important question of what does ID claim in terms of "what happened when." That is of course the Achilles' Heel of the ID scam, which tries to pander to every "kind" of evolution-denier, from young-earth geocentrists (e.g. Tony Pagano) to old-earthers who accept common descent (Behe, and probably most DI folk, though most would never admit it). No review of the anti-evolution movement would be complete without noting how the strategy evolved. Here's my one-minute verstion: By ~1980, "scientific" creationism (itself a 20th century concoction that attempted to stop the exodus of educated theists) recognized the hopelessnes of the inability to agree on a single origins account, let alone the ability to support any one with a convergence, neither sought nor fabricated of evidence. Hence the more pragmatic strategists concocted a "don't ask, don't tell" policy that concentrated on promoting unreasonable doubt of evolution. At that point one might reasonably suspect that many theistic evolutionists - those with authoritarian ideology that overruled their scientific integrity - signed on to the movement and vowed to never admit their acceptance of evolution, When court losses made words with "creat" in them liability, they hastily revised the strategy, via "cdesign proponentsists," into ID. At first they tried original "scientific" arguments "designed" to promote unreasonable doubt of evolution, but soon realized that a subset of those from "scientific" creationism (no young earth ones, please!) worked better on the scientifically-challenged (e.g. school boards). Knowing that those arguments were unsupportable and that, sooner or later, even the highly technical refutations, not to mention the complete lack of an alternate "what happened when," would trickle down to the public, they began to play their last card. Which of course is that "Darwinists" are conspiring to replace God with Hitler. Oh, they still try to get away with earlier strategies, and still "compete" with old-style YECs and OECs, but they can't do that forever. Especially if we don't help prop up their big tent.

DS · 24 December 2011

Joe Felsenstein said:
DS said: ... Once you have admitted that speciation and even macro speciation can occur naturally, you have reduced the thing you have to explain to a few of the more "complex" examples. At least I guess that is what he is going for. Of course, his math doesn't give the faintest clue what can evolve and want can't, so I guess the gap can be as big or as little as you want. Having admitted publicly that he finds the argument of plagarized errors convincing, I guess he must accept the evolution of whales and humans by natural means. That leaves a very small gap indeed.
I am not sure what you mean. Dembski does not just say speciation can't happen (in fact he basically doesn't talk about it). His theorems say (he thinks) that natural selection cannot be invoked to explain any adaptations, leaving only a few that might have happened by random mutation without natural selection. All adaptations other than these few then need to be explained by the Designer. In this sense he rejects far more of evolutionary biology than does Behe. He is very far from almost-conceding that the processes of the Modern Synthesis work.
What I meant was, that if the argument of plagarized errors is correct, then cetaceans must have evolved from terrestrial ancestors, presumably by natural means. If that is the case, then it seems there is nothing left for ID to explain. The natural mechanisms of evolution are apparently sufficient to explain speciation and macroevolution. Likewise, humans had to have evolved from primate ancestors. What is left for ID to explain? No creationist has an answer for this evidence, unless of course Dembski wants to claim that god used descent with modification to produce all of the species we see on earth. That doesn't make any sense. Why would god copy the mistakes? Apparently Dembski is convinced that descent with modification is true, or maybe he is just so used to telling everyone what they want to hear that he has no actual beliefs of his own anymore.

Karen S. · 24 December 2011

That doesn’t make any sense. Why would god copy the mistakes?
That's another one of those "don't ask, don't tell" questions.

Joe Felsenstein · 24 December 2011

Frank J said: Thanks! Here's where, in 2001 he even said that IC can accommodate all the results of "Darwinism." That masterpiece of wordmithing strains to pretend that ID is science and "Darwinism" (they always make sure not to say "evolutionary biology") is not. It's essentially their "plan C," of "subsuming" "Darwinism" to ID. That's in case anyone notices their game of first pretending that ID is science (plan A), then retreating to "Darwinism is a religion too" (plan B) when plan A does not seem to be convincing the audience. ...
At that point Dembski is discussing Behe's argument, and backing it. But recall that Dembski's own argument is not IC but is Complex Specified Information (Law of Conservation of) and also No Free Lunch. Those are arguments about the ineffectiveness of natural selection to do anything. They attempt to utterly invalidate 150 years of work on natural selection. (As it happens they don't work). Dembski later added his (and Robert Marks's) Search For a Search argument. That one is an argument that can subsume all of natural selection -- it argues that if natural selection works, it is only because a Designer "front-loaded" the Universe, building the information into the shape of fitness surfaces, information that natural selection later builds into life.

Joe Felsenstein · 24 December 2011

DS said: What I meant was, that if the argument of plagarized errors is correct, then cetaceans must have evolved from terrestrial ancestors, presumably by natural means. If that is the case, then it seems there is nothing left for ID to explain. The natural mechanisms of evolution are apparently sufficient to explain speciation and macroevolution. Likewise, humans had to have evolved from primate ancestors. What is left for ID to explain? ...
ID argunents don't address common descent, but attempt to establish that natural selection is ineffective occasionally (Behe) or almost all the time (Dembski). Thus, they feel, a Designer must have been intervening occasionally (Behe) or almost all the time (Dembski). Behe accepts common descent, Dembski doesn't, but either of them would say their argunent works even when common descent is universal, and still shows that a Designer is needed in the process.

Frank J · 24 December 2011

Dembski later added his (and Robert Marks’s) Search For a Search argument. That one is an argument that can subsume all of natural selection – it argues that if natural selection works, it is only because a Designer “front-loaded” the Universe, building the information into the shape of fitness surfaces, information that natural selection later builds into life.

— Joe Felsenstein
Not sure if its the same article, but I do recall Dembski admitting that the "design" could have been "front-loaded" at the beginning of the Universe. That concedes even more to science than Behe, who speculated about a "designed ancestral cell." Of course they'll never commit to anything, and will tailor their words to the audience. Not that they need to be that careful. Committed Biblical literalists have an ability to tune out anything inconvenient, as long as the speaker tells them some things that they desperately want to hear, like (my paraphrase) "it's good to believe a Global Flood."

Frank J · 24 December 2011

Behe accepts common descent, Dembski doesn’t.

— Joe Felsenstein
AIUI, Dembski's "official" position on common descent is "unsure." You might be thinking of an article in which he explicitly denied that humans and other apes evolved (apparently via his "RM + NS" caricatire) from common ancestors. I almost fell for that too, then realized that Behe too denies CD by "RM + NS." Bottom line: These are slick wordsmiths, always on the lookout to mislead the public and distract critics.

TomS · 24 December 2011

"Frontloading" strikes me as yet another similarity between preformationism and ID. Many of the arguments are similar. The one major difference being that the 18th-century naturalists who supported preformationism had a real scientific theory and engaged in actual experimentation.

Karen S. · 24 December 2011

You guys might also enjoy my favorite ID article: The Perimeter of Ignorance by Neil deGrasse Tyson

Mike Elzinga · 24 December 2011

Joe Felsenstein said:
Frank J said: Thanks! Here's where, in 2001 he even said that IC can accommodate all the results of "Darwinism." That masterpiece of wordmithing strains to pretend that ID is science and "Darwinism" (they always make sure not to say "evolutionary biology") is not. It's essentially their "plan C," of "subsuming" "Darwinism" to ID. That's in case anyone notices their game of first pretending that ID is science (plan A), then retreating to "Darwinism is a religion too" (plan B) when plan A does not seem to be convincing the audience. ...
At that point Dembski is discussing Behe's argument, and backing it. But recall that Dembski's own argument is not IC but is Complex Specified Information (Law of Conservation of) and also No Free Lunch. Those are arguments about the ineffectiveness of natural selection to do anything. They attempt to utterly invalidate 150 years of work on natural selection. (As it happens they don't work). Dembski later added his (and Robert Marks's) Search For a Search argument. That one is an argument that can subsume all of natural selection -- it argues that if natural selection works, it is only because a Designer "front-loaded" the Universe, building the information into the shape of fitness surfaces, information that natural selection later builds into life.
Joe’s critiques of Dembski’s arguments are also worth reading in the context of physics and chemistry; and he frequently makes reference to this in his critique. ID/creationists have ignored completely the history of chemistry and physics and why we know what we know. That history demonstrates clearly that we learned about the rules of matter assembly by taking matter apart. ID/creationist arguments imply that we made up the rules of quantum mechanics, thermodynamics and statistical mechanics and then, only afterwards, did scientists assert that matter follows these rules. Henry Morris’s Great Aha Moment came when he asserted that the second law of thermodynamics says “everything comes all apart” and therefore some kind of “overriding information” or intelligence is required to assemble matter into all the complex forms we see around us; especially living forms. But Morris and all subsequent ID/creationists completely miss the fact that we already knew that matter assembles in the myriad of ways we observe it in our universe. Even the ancient Greeks noted this. By carefully taking apart the various forms of condensed matter, we discovered the rules. We did NOT discover a general rule that matter comes all apart; instead, we discovered the rules by which it assembles. The ID/creationists continue to lie about this. All of Dembski’s and the rest of the ID/creationist notions about “information,” “specified complexity,” “no free lunch,” “conservation of information,” etc. are derived from their common misconception that the default behavior of matter is that it flies all apart (evaporates naturally) and then lies around inertly unless reassembled by some intelligence. Plants and animals don’t come all apart and then reassemble in slightly different configurations in subsequent generations. All these things are slipping around into gradually shifting potential well configurations due to the gradually changing forces coming from the environment in which these structures are immersed. They don’t continually explode and then reassemble in the presence of some kind of “intelligent guidance.”

bigdakine · 24 December 2011

TomS said: "Frontloading" strikes me as yet another similarity between preformationism and ID. Many of the arguments are similar. The one major difference being that the 18th-century naturalists who supported preformationism had a real scientific theory and engaged in actual experimentation.
Hmmmm *genetic homunculi*

Karen S. · 24 December 2011

Plants and animals don’t come all apart and then reassemble in slightly different configurations in subsequent generations. All these things are slipping around into gradually shifting potential well configurations due to the gradually changing forces coming from the environment in which these structures are immersed. They don’t continually explode and then reassemble in the presence of some kind of “intelligent guidance.”
Humpty Dumpty science. The intelligent designer could have put him back together again.

Mike Elzinga · 25 December 2011

Karen S. said:
Plants and animals don’t come all apart and then reassemble in slightly different configurations in subsequent generations. All these things are slipping around into gradually shifting potential well configurations due to the gradually changing forces coming from the environment in which these structures are immersed. They don’t continually explode and then reassemble in the presence of some kind of “intelligent guidance.”
Humpty Dumpty science. The intelligent designer could have put him back together again.
:-) I heard a good retort on some TV program in which a woman investigator explained why she was able to assemble all the “Humpty Dumpty” pieces of an unsolved case and solve it when all previous investigators had failed. “That was because all the king had were horses and men.”

Helena Constantine · 25 December 2011

apokryltaros said: Mr Scanlan, would it be safe to assume that Dembski deliberately forgot, again, to explain why and or how Intelligent Design is supposed to be a science in this latest book of his?
Behe already explained that, under oath. It is science in the same sense as astrology is science.

apokryltaros · 25 December 2011

Helena Constantine said:
apokryltaros said: Mr Scanlan, would it be safe to assume that Dembski deliberately forgot, again, to explain why and or how Intelligent Design is supposed to be a science in this latest book of his?
Behe already explained that, under oath. It is science in the same sense as astrology is science.
Oh, yeah. I'm surprised the Discovery Institute didn't fire Behe for making such a monstrous gaffe like that.

Paul Burnett · 25 December 2011

apokryltaros said: I'm surprised the Discovery Institute didn't fire Behe for making such a monstrous gaffe like that.
Behe doesn't work for the Dishonesty Institute - he works for (and has tenure at) Lehigh University, in the Department of Biological Sciences. They have formally distanced themselves from his support of the scientific illiteracy of intelligent design creationism, stating "It is our collective position that intelligent design has no basis in science, has not been tested experimentally, and should not be regarded as scientific." - http://www.lehigh.edu/bio/news/evolution.htm

apokryltaros · 25 December 2011

Paul Burnett said:
apokryltaros said: I'm surprised the Discovery Institute didn't fire Behe for making such a monstrous gaffe like that.
Behe doesn't work for the Dishonesty Institute - he works for (and has tenure at) Lehigh University, in the Department of Biological Sciences. They have formally distanced themselves from his support of the scientific illiteracy of intelligent design creationism, stating "It is our collective position that intelligent design has no basis in science, has not been tested experimentally, and should not be regarded as scientific." - http://www.lehigh.edu/bio/news/evolution.htm
If Behe isn't employed by the Discovery Institute, then what is his official position/association there?

xubist · 25 December 2011

apokryltaros said:
Paul Burnett said:
apokryltaros said: I'm surprised the Discovery Institute didn't fire Behe for making such a monstrous gaffe like that.
Behe doesn't work for the Dishonesty Institute - he works for (and has tenure at) Lehigh University, in the Department of Biological Sciences. They have formally distanced themselves from his support of the scientific illiteracy of intelligent design creationism, stating "It is our collective position that intelligent design has no basis in science, has not been tested experimentally, and should not be regarded as scientific." - http://www.lehigh.edu/bio/news/evolution.htm
If Behe isn't employed by the Discovery Institute, then what is his official position/association there?
According to the Discoveroids' website, Behe is a "Senior Fellow" of the Center for Science and Culture.

Karen S. · 26 December 2011

I’m surprised the Discovery Institute didn’t fire Behe for making such a monstrous gaffe like that.
Behe also agreed that there might be multiple competing designers, or that the designer might be dead. But ID is compatible with everything, and nobody knows what it really is. It's like nailing jello to the wall. So I don't think the great Behe will be let go unless he explicitly forsakes ID.

Frank J · 26 December 2011

But Morris and all subsequent ID/creationists completely miss the fact that we already knew that matter assembles in the myriad of ways we observe it in our universe.

— Mike Elzinga
Most clueless evolution-deniers on the street miss that fact, but Morris and subsequent anti-evolution activists "miss" it like the guy who "missed" paying his taxes. The DI in particular was well aware of Stuart Kauffman's "self organization" arguments, when they perfected the ID scam. So how did they react to Kauffman? Like everything else, with "let's try to have it both ways." The DI has portrayed Kauffman as both a "fellow dissenter" to "Darwinism" and as another "Darwinist" who insists on "naturalistic" (read "testable") explanations.

Frank J · 26 December 2011

So I don’t think the great Behe will be let go unless he explicitly forsakes ID.

— Karen S.
Thanks for noting Behe's astonishing admission, which ranks with the other Dover bombshell about how, to accommodate ID, the definition of science would have to be relaxed so that astrology would also qualify. And of course his repeated acceptance of ~4 billion years of common descent. Because of that I sometimes hear that, if the DI ever succeeds in getting their propaganda taught in public schools, that Behe, along with non-Christians like Klinghoffer, Medved, and Berlinski, will be "expelled." My strong suspicion is that, despite the DI's ties to radical Reconstructionism, all "useful idiots" will forever remain welcome in the big tent.

apokryltaros · 26 December 2011

Karen S. said:
I’m surprised the Discovery Institute didn’t fire Behe for making such a monstrous gaffe like that.
Behe also agreed that there might be multiple competing designers, or that the designer might be dead. But ID is compatible with everything, and nobody knows what it really is. It's like nailing jello to the wall. So I don't think the great Behe will be let go unless he explicitly forsakes ID.
In other words, no matter incriminating, or damningly debilitating gaffe Behe says, whether it's that Intelligent Design is a science only if astrology is a science, or that the Intelligent Designer did, indeed, design malaria to be a horrible, drug-resisting disease, the Discovery Institute will keep him as one of their own. Unless, of course, like you've pointed out, he somehow rejects the cause of Intelligent Design.