Synthese issue on "Evolution and its rivals"
The news is out (see John Pieret) but I'll repeat it here. Synthese, An International Journal for Epistemology, Methodology and Philosophy of Science, has an entire issue devoted to the topic of the title edited by Glenn Branch. It includes papers by names we know like Robert Pennock, John Wilkins (of TO fame), Wes Elsberry and Jeff Shallit on Dembski's info theory foibles, Sahotra Sarkar, Barbara Forrest, and others. Best of all, all the articles are free online until December 31. Get 'em while they're hot!
181 Comments
Glenn Branch · 16 December 2010
Thanks! Let me add that James H. Fetzer of the University of Minnesota, Duluth, coedited the issue with me.
RBH · 16 December 2010
Oops. I should have mentioned that too, former Minnesotan that I am and brother of a UMD graduate to boot.
darwinism.dogbarf() · 16 December 2010
None of those essays explains how complex specified information rises in a cognitively isloated system. Without cognitive input, complex specifed information is always constant or in decline. That is what the law of conservation of information is about.
That having been said, complex specified information is a state variable; you can only know its beginning and end points. How it got there can not be determined. That is whyID can not answer who the designer is and when he designed it, only that a thing is designed.
mrg · 16 December 2010
Ah, the "Law Of Conservation Of Information" ... I know it well:
http://www.vectorsite.net/taifevo.html
Mike Elzinga · 16 December 2010
mrg · 16 December 2010
Matt G · 16 December 2010
Henry J · 16 December 2010
There's also the question of what if anything "cognitive input" might mean. For an evolving gene pool, it gets input of data from its environment; that's how it "learns", in a way loosely analogous to how an individual organism learns stuff.
mrg · 16 December 2010
eric · 16 December 2010
stevaroni · 16 December 2010
This comment has been moved to The Bathroom Wall.
DS · 16 December 2010
This comment has been moved to The Bathroom Wall.
RBH · 16 December 2010
Fair warning: Any comments from the fake Michael Behe go to the Bathroom Wall, as do comments responding to that troll.
Science Avenger · 16 December 2010
Has it been established that the poster going by "Michael Behe" is in fact that esteemed scientist? If not, shouldn't those posts be moderated until they're verified? We shouldn't allow someone to sully Dr. Behe's good scientific name before he gets another chance to do it himself.
RBH · 16 December 2010
It's not the Michael Behe of Lehigh, it's a troll. Don't feed it and make more work for me cleaning up the thread, please.
marilyn · 16 December 2010
Stuart Weinstein · 16 December 2010
Cubist · 16 December 2010
Ichthyic · 16 December 2010
cognitively isloated[sic]
wtf does that even mean?
I would translate it as literally meaning: isolated from knowledge and reason, which of course, the concept he refers to actually IS...
and think this guy is deliberately playing word games for fun.
eric · 16 December 2010
Richard · 16 December 2010
darwinnism.dogbarf() said:
"That is why ID can not answer who the designer is and when he designed it, only that a thing is designed."
To that I echo the Church Lady: Isn't that special?
harold · 16 December 2010
Joe Felsenstein · 16 December 2010
mrg · 16 December 2010
mrg · 16 December 2010
Joe Felsenstein · 16 December 2010
raven · 16 December 2010
Mike · 16 December 2010
Wesley R. Elsberry · 16 December 2010
mrg · 16 December 2010
SWT · 16 December 2010
TomS · 17 December 2010
Isn't it an "interesting" law, the only use for which is to point out that it is violaated?
The Law of Conservation of Blah. But blah is not conserved. Therefore Blah must be flubboxed.
John Kwok · 17 December 2010
bob maurus · 17 December 2010
Matt G · 17 December 2010
An interesting paper is out in Science this week on the scientifically correct version of "irreducible complexity." The authors found that new genes in fruit flies quickly become essential for viability.
http://www.sciencemag.org/content/330/6011/1682.full
DS · 17 December 2010
darwinism.dogbarf() · 17 December 2010
darwinism.dogbarf() · 17 December 2010
mrg · 17 December 2010
darwinism.dogbarf() · 17 December 2010
mrg · 17 December 2010
SWT · 17 December 2010
mrg · 17 December 2010
darwinism.dogbarf() · 17 December 2010
stevaroni · 17 December 2010
Mike Elzinga · 17 December 2010
SWT · 17 December 2010
mrg · 17 December 2010
Stanton · 17 December 2010
And yet, dogbarf, who apparently can not spell well, and who's science education is limited to glancing at creationist misinformation propaganda, still refuses to explain why his deliberately unreasonable skepticism and deliberate scientific ignorance are supposed to trump actual science.
And then there is the fact that dogbarf still has yet to explain how Intelligent Design is supposed to be an explanation when none of its proponents have ever bothered to explain anything with it.
Mike Elzinga · 17 December 2010
mrg · 17 December 2010
raven · 17 December 2010
John Vanko · 17 December 2010
mrg · 17 December 2010
stevaroni · 17 December 2010
eric · 17 December 2010
Robin · 17 December 2010
Just Bob · 17 December 2010
Dear DD,
I am admittedly inexpert in these things. I've never read any papers or books by Dembski. As you seem to be familiar at least with his terminology, perhaps you could help me out.
For instance the term "complex specified information" implies to me that there must also be simple unspecified information. Is that true? Could you help me understand by giving a clear example of each, so that I can see the difference? How complex is "complex"? Is there a detectable dividing line between simple and complex?
And "specified"--who specified it? In a manmade artifact I can understand that there were specifications for its manufacture, which may be met more or less perfectly, so that it could be said to contain the "specified information," which, I suppose, could be considered complex. But who does the specifying for a living thing? If you say it's "the Designer," that's just begging the question. You're assuming from the start that there is a Designer to do the specifying, rather than natural processes that don't really "specify" anything (except maybe by selectively eliminating those too far "off the specs," which can vary as the environment changes).
Oh well, I might as well go all the way. Does the Intelligent Designer contain CSI? Surely he(?) must contain more CSI than any of his(?) designs. And since the presence of CSI is a sure indicator that something was designed...
marilyn · 17 December 2010
Dear Mr. Dogbarf,
Thank you for stating the theory of ID. I have never been able to find it stated anywhere before. You neglected to provide me with any references describing experiments that support the theory, but perhaps you'll need some more time to come up with those. Meanwhile, maybe you can explain someting about the theory to me. You said "intelligent design theory states that certain features of life, the universe and everything have features that can only be explained with reference to intelligent causes that require cognitive input." If features of "everything" can only be explained with reference to intelligent causes, you're saying the "intelligent causes" exist outside of "everything". Isn't "everything", well, "everything"? I don't understand. Where do these "intelligent causes" exist, and where did THEY come from? What are THEIR features, and how do we explain them? It seems to me you're just talking in circles.
Wesley R. Elsberry · 17 December 2010
I'm thinking "dogbarf()" is a Loki troll. The bit about Dembski's CSI being too "subtil" seemed to have a lot of tongue in the cheek, being primarily known from the spelling in the King James Version of the Bible.
darwinism.dogbarf() · 17 December 2010
Colin · 18 December 2010
Colin · 18 December 2010
mrg · 18 December 2010
Dr. Who · 18 December 2010
Dr. Who · 18 December 2010
Colin · 18 December 2010
mrg · 18 December 2010
Dr. Who · 18 December 2010
ben · 18 December 2010
mrg · 18 December 2010
mrg · 18 December 2010
Dr. Who · 18 December 2010
mrg · 18 December 2010
Dr. Who · 18 December 2010
I would like to amend the questions I asked above to make them more specific, and I'll add one.
Is there a scientifically detectable dividing line between all species, both extinct and extant? Is there a scientifically detectable dividing line between no life and the origin of life on this planet? Is there a scientifically detectable dividing line between apes and the origin of humans?
Since scientists often refer to life forms as simple or complex, how complex is complex and how simple is simple, and is there a scientifically detectable dividing line between them?
If so, what specifications are used to detect and substantiate all those lines?
Dr. Who · 18 December 2010
SWT · 18 December 2010
mrg · 18 December 2010
Dr. Who · 18 December 2010
mrg · 18 December 2010
Flint · 18 December 2010
SWT · 18 December 2010
mrg · 18 December 2010
DS · 18 December 2010
mrg · 18 December 2010
Just Bob · 18 December 2010
Even the categorization of industrial products can get iffy.
Take cars. A Malibu is a car. No one would dispute that. But how about a "crossover SUV"? A Hummer? A WWII era Jeep? A Ford Ranchero? Is a Smart Car really a car, or just a 4-wheeled motorcycle with AC? How about a 3-wheeled Morgan? An Amphicar?
The problem with the classification is not the existence of hard-to-classify vehicles, but with our arbitrary terminology--the same as with the identity of individual species.
(BTW, even the meaning of "car" has evolved. There were things called "cars" long before there were any motorized vehicles. And, I suspect, the meaning of "species" has evolved, along with our understanding of biological interrelationships. Does it mean the same thing to a modern taxonomist as it did to Linnaeus?)
mrg · 18 December 2010
Mike Elzinga · 18 December 2010
Anybody can identify individual icicles hanging from the eaves. Any kind of dendritic growth can have individual branches labeled.
But it is silly to ask at the molecular level, during the incipient formation of branches, just exactly at which point a new branch forms.
People who demand answers to such questions are simply broadcasting to the entire world that they are incapable of grasping simple ideas and that they still think like babies.
mrg · 18 December 2010
There's two other things about making a fuss about species definitions:
1: Under modern evolutionary theory, a fuzzy definition of species is EXPECTED, since MET envisions species as two populations gradually diverging from a common ancestral population, gradually losing the ability to interbreed until it is clearly impossible for them to do so. Crisply
defined species would be incompatible with MET.
2: Even if MET were completely discredited -- fat chance -- the difficulty in defining species would remain pretty much the same. That is, it would make as much or more trouble for any other theory as it does for MET.
Flint · 18 December 2010
Kris · 19 December 2010
SWT · 19 December 2010
darwinism.dogbarf() · 19 December 2010
Dale Husband · 19 December 2010
Dale Husband · 19 December 2010
SWT · 19 December 2010
mrg · 19 December 2010
Basically the Law of Conservation of Information is a windy way of saying: a watch, a complicated device, implies a watchmaker, a designer, and so complicated organisms imply a Designer as well.
It's just dressing it up in made-up talk about
information and conservation laws.
One can just as easily reason that since a piggy bank is designed, then a real pig had to be Designed as well.
Or, in other words, if humans imitate nature, then that implies nature imitates humans. One must add, of course, that there are some people who honestly think that's logical.
Flint · 19 December 2010
Made it through the Sarkar article. Basically, he says that when religion is removed from all that has been said and written about ID, there is nothing of substance left at all. That we're looking at "intelligence" without any intelligent agent or intent, and at "design" without any plan or purpose. And that without these things, the words themselves have no referent; they don't MEAN anything. Essentially, creationists have changed the spelling of their god, and claimed they changed the meaning as well. But they of course did not.
Stuart Weinstein · 19 December 2010
Ichthyic · 19 December 2010
when religion is removed from all that has been said and written about ID, there is nothing of substance left at all.
which means there was nothing of substance to begin with.
...which doesn't come as a surprise to anyone, does it?
fnxtr · 19 December 2010
Kris · 20 December 2010
Kris · 20 December 2010
Kris · 20 December 2010
Scott F · 20 December 2010
Kris · 20 December 2010
A few questions to all:
Is information derived from matter?
Is information matter?
Can matter be destroyed (become non-existent)?
Is information subject to the theory of evolution?
Scott F · 20 December 2010
Kris · 20 December 2010
Scott F · 20 December 2010
Scott F · 20 December 2010
Ichthyic · 20 December 2010
Is Kris' brain broken?
scientists want to know!
I don’t mean to be rude
he's nothing but stinky cheese bait.
go ahead, be rude.
it's OK.
Dale Husband · 20 December 2010
Dale Husband · 20 December 2010
Kris · 20 December 2010
darwinism.dogbarf() · 20 December 2010
Kris · 20 December 2010
Dave Lovell · 20 December 2010
Dave Lovell · 20 December 2010
Kris · 20 December 2010
How about some definitions of "matter" to make it interesting.
Definition:
Matter has many definitions, but the most common is that it is any substance which has mass and occupies space. All physical objects are composed of matter, in the form of atoms, which are in turn composed of protons, neutrons, and electrons.
Photons have no mass, so they are an example of something in physics is not comprised of matter. They are also not considered "objects" in the traditional sense, as they cannot exist in a stationary state.
Phases of Matter
Matter can exist in various phases: solid, liquid, gas, or plasma. Most substances can transition between these phases based on the amount of heat the material absorbs (or loses).
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mat·ter (mtr)
n.
1.
a. Something that occupies space and can be perceived by one or more senses; a physical body, a physical substance, or the universe as a whole.
b. Physics Something that has mass and exists as a solid, liquid, gas, or plasma.
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b : material substance that occupies space, has mass, and is composed predominantly of atoms consisting of protons, neutrons, and electrons, that constitutes the observable universe, and that is interconvertible with energy
a : the indeterminate subject of reality; especially : the element in the universe that undergoes formation and alteration
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mat·ter
/ˈmætər/ Show Spelled[mat-er] Show IPA
–noun
1.
the substance or substances of which any physical object consists or is composed: the matter of which the earth is made.
2.
physical or corporeal substance in general, whether solid, liquid, or gaseous, esp. as distinguished from incorporeal substance, as spirit or mind, or from qualities, actions, and the like.
3.
something that occupies space.
Philosophy .
a.
that which by integrative organization forms chemical substances and living things.
b.
Aristotelianism . that which relates to form as potentiality does to actuality.
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Matter is a general term for the substance of which all physical objects consist.[1][2] Typically, matter includes atoms and other particles which have mass. A common way of defining matter is as anything that has mass and occupies volume.[3] In practice however there is no single correct scientific meaning of "matter," as different fields use the term in different and sometimes incompatible ways.
For much of the history of the natural sciences people have contemplated the exact nature of matter. The idea that matter was built of discrete building blocks, the so-called particulate theory of matter, was first put forward by the Greek philosophers Leucippus (~490 BC) and Democritus (~470–380 BC).[4] Over time an increasingly fine structure for matter was discovered: objects are made from molecules, molecules consist of atoms, which in turn consist of interacting subatomic particles like protons and electrons.[5][6]
Matter is commonly said to exist in four states (or phases): solid, liquid, gas and plasma. However, advances in experimental techniques have realized other phases, previously only theoretical constructs, such as Bose–Einstein condensates and fermionic condensates. A focus on an elementary-particle view of matter also leads to new phases of matter, such as the quark–gluon plasma.[7]
In physics and chemistry, matter exhibits both wave-like and particle-like properties, the so-called wave–particle duality.[8][9][10]
In the realm of cosmology, extensions of the term matter are invoked to include dark matter and dark energy, concepts introduced to explain some odd phenomena of the observable universe, such as the galactic rotation curve. These exotic forms of "matter" do not refer to matter as "building blocks", but rather to currently poorly understood forms of mass and energy.[11
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Matter is anything that has mass and occupies space.
One [contemporary] view on matter takes it as all scientifically observable entities whatsoever. Matter can more accurately be defined as the energy that has a low vibratory rate, a compressed energy state. Commonly, the definition is limited to such entities explored by physics.
The definition pursued here is of matter as whatever the smallest, most fundamental entities in physics seem to be.
Thus matter can be seen as material consisting of particles which are fermions and therefore obey the Pauli exclusion principle, which states that no two fermions can be in the same quantum state. Because of this principle, the particles which comprise matter do not all end up in their lowest energy state, and hence it is possible to create stable structures out of fermions. Many of these fermions are atoms and ions and their component parts, subatomic particles.
In addition, the Pauli exclusion principle ensures that two pieces of matter will not occupy the same location at the same time, and therefore two pieces of matter in which most energy states are filled will tend to collide with each other rather than passing through each other as with energy fields such as light.
The matter that we observe most commonly takes the form of compounds, polymers, alloys, or pure elements.
In response to different thermodynamic conditions such as temperature and pressure, matter can exist in different "phases", the most familar of which are solid, liquid, and gas. Others include plasma, superfluid, and Bose-Einstein condensate. When matter changes from one phase to another, it undergoes what is known as a phase transition, a phenomenon studied in the field of thermodynamics.
"Matter" is also used in contrast to form, in the sense of content.
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mat·ter (mat′ər)
noun
1. what a thing is made of; constituent substance or material
2. what all (material) things are made of; whatever occupies space and is perceptible to the senses in some way: in modern physics, matter and energy are regarded as equivalents, mutually convertible according to Einstein's formula, E = mc (i.e., energy equals mass multiplied by the square of the velocity of light); in dualistic thinking, matter is regarded as the opposite of mind, spirit, etc.
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Phases of matter - Definition
In the physical sciences, a phase is a set of states of a macroscopic physical system that have relatively uniform chemical composition and physical properties (i.e. density, crystal structure, index of refraction, and so forth.) The most familiar examples of phases are solids, liquids, and gases. Less familiar phases include plasmas, Bose-Einstein condensates and fermionic condensates, strange matter, liquid crystals, superfluids and supersolids and the paramagnetic and ferromagnetic phases of magnetic materials.
Phases are sometimes called states of matter, but this term can lead to confusion with thermodynamic states. For example, two gases maintained at different pressures are in different thermodynamic states, but the same "state of matter".
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Antimatter:
Antimatter is matter that is composed of the antiparticles of those that constitute normal matter. In 1929-31, Paul Dirac put forward a theory that for each type of particle, there is an antiparticle for which each additive quantum number has the negative of the value it has for the normal matter particle. The sign reversal applies only to quantum numbers (properties) which are additive, such as charge, and not to mass, for example. So, the antiparticle of the normal electron is called the positron, as it has a positive charge, but the same mass as the electron. An atom of antihydrogen, for instance, is composed of a negatively-charged antiproton being orbited by a positively-charged positron. Paul Dirac's theory has been experimentally verified and today a wide range of antiparticles have been detected. This is one of the few examples of a fundamental particle being predicted in theory and later discovered by experiment.
If a particle/antiparticle pair comes in contact with each other, the two annihilate and produce a burst of energy, which may manifest itself in the form of other particles and antiparticles or electromagnetic radiation. In these reactions, rest mass is not conserved, although (as in any other reaction), mass-energy is conserved.
Scientists in 1995 succeeded in producing anti-atoms of hydrogen, and also anti-deuteron nuclei, made out of an antiproton and an antineutron, but not yet more complex antimatter. In principle, sufficiently large quantities of antimatter could produce anti-nuclei of other elements, which would have exactly the same properties as their positive-matter counterparts. However, such a "periodic table of anti-elements" is thought to be, at best, highly unlikely, as the quantities of antimatter required would be, quite literally, astronomical.
Antiparticles are created elsewhere in the universe where there are high-energy particle collisions, such as in the center of our galaxy, but none have been detected that are residual from the Big Bang, as most normal matter is [1] (http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2000/ast29may_1m.htm). The unequal distribution between matter and antimatter in the universe has long been a mystery. The solution likely lies in an asymmetry in the properties of B-mesons and anti-B-mesons [2] (http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/2159498.stm).
Positrons and antiprotons can individually be stored in a device called a Penning trap, which uses a combination of magnetic and electric fields to hold charged particles in a vacuum. Two international collaborations (ATRAP and ATHENA) used these devices to produce thousands of slowly moving antihydrogen atoms in 2002. It is the goal of these collaborations to probe the energy level structure of antihydrogen to compare it with that of hydrogen as a test of the CPT theorem. One way to do this is to confine the anti-atoms in an inhomogenous magnetic field (one cannot use electric fields since the anti-atom is neutral) and interrogate them with lasers. If the anti-atoms have too much kinetic energy they will be able to escape the magnetic trap, and it is therefore essential that the anti-atoms are produced with as little energy as possible. This is the key difference between the antihydrogen that ATRAP and ATHENA produced, which was made at very low temperatures, and the antihydrogen produced in 1995 which was moving at a speed close to the speed of light.
The symbol used to denote an antiparticle is the same symbol used to denote its normal matter counterpart, but with an overstrike. For example, a proton is denoted with a "p", and an antiproton is denoted by a "p" with a line over its top
Antimatter/matter reactions have practical applications in medical imaging, see Positron emission tomography (PET). In some kinds of beta decay, a nuclide loses surplus positive charge by emitting a positron (in the same event, a proton becomes a neutron, and neutrinos are also given off). Nuclides with surplus positive charge are easily made in a cyclotron and are widely generated for medical use.
Kris · 20 December 2010
Flint · 20 December 2010
Scott F · 20 December 2010
Dale Husband · 20 December 2010
Mike Elzinga · 20 December 2010
darwinism.dogbarf() · 20 December 2010
mrg · 20 December 2010
darwinism.dogbarf() · 20 December 2010
mrg · 20 December 2010
John Kwok · 20 December 2010
John Kwok · 20 December 2010
Science Avenger · 20 December 2010
John Kwok · 20 December 2010
On a somewhat different tack, since no one else had mentioned it, let me be the first. Wish every a very happy and Merry Kitzmas!
Today's Philadelphia Inquirer has an excellent article on Judge Jones's ruling and its implications five years later:
http://www.philly.com/inquirer/front_page/20101220_Five_years_ago___quot_intelligent_design_quot__ruling_in_Dover_case_set_a_legal_landmark.html
John Kwok · 20 December 2010
Apparently Bill Dembski is on Facebook. I sent him this terse greeting about an hour ago:
Merry Kitzmas, Bill. Can we expect yet another video of Judge Jones with flatulence in the background anytime soon? You know, you'd be perfect for Monty Python. Can't wait to send you a Klingon honor guard to keep you company day and night. Can't think of anyone more worthy of such an honor.
mrg · 20 December 2010
Scott F · 20 December 2010
Stuart Weinstein · 20 December 2010
phantomreader42 · 20 December 2010
Ichthyic · 20 December 2010
Religion is exactly the opposite. There ARE 40,000 or more Christian sects because there IS NO WAY to resolve disputes. Things become true in religions because someone SAYS they are true, and you accept and believe it or you do not.
QFT
Flint is dead on here, IMO*.
*and not just because he said so.
:)
SWT · 20 December 2010
Stanton · 20 December 2010
mrg · 20 December 2010
Kris · 20 December 2010
Malchus · 20 December 2010
Kris, the point they are making is that it is not possible to have a rational conversation with you because you are not bringing anything to the table. If you wish to use the term "information" in a discussion, weneed to know precisely what you mean by it in that context. Otherwise, you are saying nothing.
Mike Elzinga · 20 December 2010
Dale Husband · 21 December 2010
SWT · 21 December 2010
Kris · 21 December 2010
Kris · 21 December 2010
Ichthyic · 21 December 2010
Have you considered getting mental help?
have you considered you're projecting?
have you considered just how worthless you are?
things worth considering.
Dale Husband · 21 December 2010
darwinism.dogbarf() · 21 December 2010
mrg · 21 December 2010
Kris · 21 December 2010
Cubist · 21 December 2010
Kris · 21 December 2010
DS · 21 December 2010
Well let's compare shall we?
"I disagree that it is extremely rare to find long-standing antagonistic schools of thought in science, or that eventually all scientists come to agree on what was once in dispute.
On what grounds do you disagree? Perhaps you’d care to name some counter-examples?"
Science: gravity, geocentrism, relativity (general and special), plate tectonics, germ theory, DNA, transposons, neutral theory, punctuated equilibrium (All resolved and current consensus)
Religion: Thousands of separate sects, all in fundamental disagreement, no possible hope of any resolution, often resulting in wars, genocides, jihads, inquisitions, etc.
"Many things that are put forth by so-called scientists as scientific evidence or proof are either very questionable or absolute crap…
Many”? Alright; please name five of this “many”. If you actually do know of “many” such examples, naming five shouldn’t be difficult for you, right?"
Science - no real scientist has EVER claimed absolute "proof" for anything (and no mathematic proofs don't count). This is just a bold faced lie by someone who doesn't understand how science works. And even if someone were to claim this, they wouldn't be doing science or following the scientific method, so no one would care.
Religion - turtles, young earth, world wide flood, dinosaurs on the ark, virgin birth, resurrection, etc. etc. etc.
"Many things in science that are touted as evidence or proof are based on eyewitness or earwitness testimony, with no verifiable or testable evidence or proof.
“Many”? Please name five of this “many”. If you actually do know of “many” such examples, naming five shouldn’t be difficult for you, right?"
See above.
John Kwok · 21 December 2010
John Kwok · 21 December 2010
DS · 21 December 2010
This comment has been moved to the bathroom wall. Any further discussion should occur there.
Flint · 21 December 2010
I second these requests. As Einstein said, it only takes one exception to show it's wrong.
I only wish Kris were more articulate and more knowledgeable. He continues to cite "many" and "often" but never cites a single actual instance of anything.
I suppose it's true that at the edge of the unknown, scientists conjecture and speculate and guess. That's the grist from which hypotheses are formed. Hypotheses lead to tests, which lead to empirical results, which resolve disputes and solidify (and usually reject) conjectures. Perhaps an exception is conjectures like brane theory or string theory, where experiments or even observations are impossible to make, and which probably isn't science so much as "fun with math".
Kris's continued insistence on "proof" is a disturbing indication that he doesn't understand that science does not and CAN not EVER prove anything. The best science can offer is strong but always conditional support.
Kris seems to reject the overall point of my post, however, which is that science has reality as a yardstick, against which conjectures can be tested and rejected. And THAT is why all scientists come to accept the probable accuracy of explanations over time - becuase they are probably right. And it's a most wonderful contrast that "creation" (or ID) "scientists" reject what has passed literally millions of stringent and wide-ranging tests for well over a century - because that material fails religious tests, which rely on faith and evidence is irrelevant. People like Behe are part of a religious schism, not any kind of scientific dispute.
Kris · 21 December 2010
Kris · 21 December 2010
Science Avenger · 21 December 2010
Kris · 21 December 2010
DS said:
"Science: gravity, geocentrism, relativity (general and special), plate tectonics, germ theory, DNA, transposons, neutral theory, punctuated equilibrium (All resolved and current consensus)"
Are you actually saying that ALL scientists agree on ALL aspects of ALL the things you listed, and that ALL of them are resolved in every way??
And putting geocentrism in with DNA or gravity or plate tectonics or relativity is ridiculous. The others I'm not sure about.
DS also said:
"Science - no real scientist has EVER claimed absolute “proof” for anything (and no mathematic proofs don’t count). This is just a bold faced lie by someone who doesn’t understand how science works. And even if someone were to claim this, they wouldn’t be doing science or following the scientific method, so no one would care.
Oh, so now it's no "real" scientist. In other words, any scientist who does that isn't a "real" one.
Take a look at this, and be sure to notice the word "prove" in a quoted statement from Eric Alm. You better go tell him he's not a real scientist, and since that study wasn't done by a real scientist, no one will care about it. Yeah, sure.
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/12/101219140815.htm
Why don't "mathematic proofs" count?
Science Avenger · 21 December 2010
Science Avenger · 21 December 2010
That should read:
"Religions debate this as being between 6,000 years and 14+ [billion] years, a range of multiple orders of magnitude."
In case it isn't obvious, Kris is playing the timeworn game of pretending every disagreement is equal in scope. It's ye ol' black/white fallacy: there's either 100% agreement, or not. No other distinctions allowed.
You give away that you are no scientist with every post Kris. Try reading this:
http://chem.tufts.edu/AnswersInScience/RelativityofWrong.htm
It'll help clear that problem up for you.
Science Avenger · 21 December 2010
Flint · 21 December 2010
Ah, finally a useful list of "scientific disputes", though a bit of a mixed bag. Some of these aren't scientific at all, some are cases where insufficient data provides about equal support for multiple interpretations, some are political (or matters of opinion). Some categorization seems called for.
Perhaps we can separate these into a first-order distinction between issues where sufficient data would eliminate disputes, and issues where sufficient data is simply not the problem. For example, questions about "ideal" populations, or about gods, or about "threats" are political, such that complete information wouldn't resolve any dispute. Those aren't scientific.
Among cases where complete data would eliminate dispute, we can further subdivide between cases where such data could become available with sufficient research (and investment in that research), and where it's probably forever beyond our knowledge. And for example, even when the Sphinx was carved, there were probably differences of opinion among those responsible as to whether and why it should be done.
It's important to draw a qualitative distinction between how many wolverines there are (can be determined in principle with an exhaustive census), and how many is too many (depends on a fairly large number of interdependent value judgments). Many if not most of these "disputes" hinge on such value judgments - whether something ought to be done, whether something is worth the cost, whether something eliminates or adds to communication difficulties, how likely an explanation has to be to be considered acceptable, etc.
And in this respect, I think Kris raises (but misunderstands) an important point. Scientists are people with values and opinions, science as an enterprise is not. Science may be able to specify with considerable precision the impact of removing the mountain goats, yet two scientists equipped with this information can STILL strongly disagree about whether the goats OUGHT to be removed. That's a political dispute, not a scientific dispute.
Then we have cases of extrapolation. IF we do X, what is the probability that the result will be Y? In real world cases (like the environmental scientists debating in courts), any given action will have HUNDREDS of impacts, few if any of which can be exactly quantified, and all of which are likely to have costs and benefits paid and enjoyed by different groups. These again aren't quite scientific disputes.
So OK, we have scientists, like anyone else, debating whether this or that cost of combating global warming is worth paying. How much benefit per dollar spent, how is benefit measured, who enjoys it, who pays, etc.? This is political. We often have solid statistical bases for determining what sorts of side-effects drugs will have, and how many will suffer them. How bad a side effect is too bad, how many instances is too many? Science simply can't address those questions.
(And it's probably also important to recognize that scientific (not necessarily political) disagreement is critical to science, because it shapes research. When existing data about equally support two competing explanations, it focuses research on how those explanations differ.)
Kris · 21 December 2010
RBH · 21 December 2010
OK, I'm going to make an executive ruling. Flint's analysis seems to me to be right on, and anyone (I'm looking at you, Kris) who fails to understand its relevance to this discussion is off to the Bathroom Wall forthwith.
Further slippery semantic silliness of the sort with which Kris has littered this thread is hereby out of bounds. I should close the thread on Flint's note, but I'm curious to see if anything penetrates Kris's armor.
Dale Husband · 21 December 2010
Flint · 21 December 2010
Robin · 21 December 2010
Dale Husband · 21 December 2010
Kris · 21 December 2010
Mike Elzinga · 21 December 2010
Dale Husband · 21 December 2010
Flint · 21 December 2010
Robin · 21 December 2010
RBH · 21 December 2010
It's evident that there is no penetrating the armor of Kris's skull. Somewhere, IIRC, Kris claimed to be a scientist. I strongly doubt that: Kris shows no signs of awareness of what scientific disputes are, how they arise, or how they're resolved. He can't tell the difference between a scientific dispute and a political one: He'd be right at home on Faux News.
Further playing with him, though of some amusement value and perhaps educational for spectators, is basically a waste of electrons. There's ample illustration of the mindset already in the thread, particularly these last few comments. Hence I'm closing it, with thanks to those of you who worked so well to show how the kind of mindset Kris has is impermeable to new facts and learning, and particular thanks to Flint for his analysis above.
It'll take me a few minutes to close the thread--I'm having connectivity issues--but close it I will shortly.
Wesley R. Elsberry · 21 December 2010