An ID anniversary missed

Posted 31 October 2010 by

Intelligent Design Creationists have given us a number of anniversaries to observe. For example, there's Paul Nelson's long awaited "omnibus reply" to PZ Myers' critique of Nelson's "ontogenetic depth" notion, later amended to version 2.0 (for which we're also still waiting). And of course, there's Nelson's eternally forthcoming monograph On Common Descent which has been hanging fire for a decade or so. Now in another recent thread on PT Mike Elzinga provided a link that reminds me that we missed the anniversary of a prediction from William Dembski that Wesley Elsberry first noted in 2004. In the July/August 2004 issue of Touchstone in an article titled The Measure of Design, Dembski made a bold prediction:
In the next five years, molecular Darwinism--the idea that Darwinian processes can produce complex molecular structures at the subcellular level--will be dead. When that happens, evolutionary biology will experience a crisis of confidence because evolutionary biology hinges on the evolution of the right molecules. I therefore foresee a Taliban-style collapse of Darwinism in the next ten years.
Perhaps by coincidence (or design?) I've just been reading biochemist Nick Lane's Life Ascending: The Ten Great Inventions of Evolution, recent winner of the 2010 Royal Society Prize for Science books. In particular, Chapters 2 and 3, on the evolution of the genetic code and the evolution of photosynthesis, respectively, emphatically give the lie to Dembski's prediction. As a result, his further prediction seems a little iffy:
I therefore foresee a Taliban-style collapse of Darwinism in the next ten years.
Just four years to wait for that one now. But do try again, Bill. You're already an official contributor to The Imminent Demise of Evolution: The Longest Running Falsehood in Creationism, and with another failed prediction or two you could be the record holder. And note that another Dembski prediction from 1998's Mere Creation, is also way overdue:
Intelligent design is a fledgling science. Even so, intelligent design is a fledgling of enormous promise. Many books and articles are in the pipeline. I predict that in the next five years intelligent design will be sufficiently developed to deserve funding from the National Science Foundation. (p29)
We're now 12 years downstream from that one. Maybe the Templeton Foundation's evaluation of ID as a research program has also infected NSF.

104 Comments

tsig · 31 October 2010

Well if you want to go into that pathetic level of detail then maybe they have missed a few anniversaries but it was don intelligently and by design.

tsig · 31 October 2010

tsig said: Well if you want to go into that pathetic level of detail then maybe they have missed a few anniversaries but it was don intelligently and by design.
don done

Mike Elzinga · 31 October 2010

This seems to be what happens when one resorts to casting Bones of Contention.

Their predictions are no better than those of astrologers. Behe can tell you about that.

Wheels · 1 November 2010

Mike Elzinga said: Their predictions are no better than those of astrologers. Behe can tell you about that.
So it -is- a science!

Stuart Weinstein · 1 November 2010

I just started reading Lane's book as well. I'm enjoying it so far.

However, the cover on the paperback edition is unfortunate. It looks like the monkey is boning the anteater from behind. Is that intelligent design?

Midnight Rambler · 1 November 2010

Damn, that's funny; plus the anteater looks like it's "probing" the frog...

386sx · 1 November 2010

A few years ago they didn't realize how wrong they were. Now they know, but they keep chugging along. Creationists can never be wrong about "something was poofed somewhere along the line dang it". They're vaguely right about everything but the arguments aren't in yet. They thought some of the arguments were in, but they all got squashed. But they're still vaguely right somehow. (I'm of course referring to the ones who aren't outright frauds/hucksters etc.)

The Curmudgeon · 1 November 2010

I know how frustrating that must be for Dembski, because I too have a prediction -- well, it's more of an expectation: One day the big money contributors to the Discovery Institute will wake up realize that they've been conned and it's time to shut the joint down. But that never seems to happen, so I'm not a very good prognosticator.

SteveF · 1 November 2010

Wasn't Nelson's On Common Descent book allegedly going to be published as part of the Evolutionary Monographs series edited by Leigh van Valen? Given that van Valen died recently, it would seem even more unlikely that this will ever happen.

truthspeaker · 1 November 2010

And the Taliban haven't exactly collapsed either. Not only did his prediction fail, his analogy did as well.

Ron Okimoto · 1 November 2010

The ID movement turned into a Taliban bowel movement. All they are stuck with doing is remote detinating their car bombs. They also have some true believers willing to go for the suicide attacks (I think Luskin went to Florida to run the bait and switch on the Florida rubes that wanted to teach the science of intelligent design a couple of years ago), but the ID perps are too incomptent to successfully martyr themselves. Luskin should have at least been tarred and feathered in Florida, but all he likely got was a raise. No virgins, valhalla or whatever for him.

Doc Bill · 1 November 2010

You guys are so mean to Paul Nelson! Just think how far behind he would be if he actually had a job and worked for a living! Cut the guy some slack, OK?

John Kwok · 1 November 2010

You are assuming of course that the "big money contributors" are rational. In Howard Ahmanson's case, I don't think so:
The Curmudgeon said: I know how frustrating that must be for Dembski, because I too have a prediction -- well, it's more of an expectation: One day the big money contributors to the Discovery Institute will wake up realize that they've been conned and it's time to shut the joint down. But that never seems to happen, so I'm not a very good prognosticator.

John Kwok · 1 November 2010

Compared to Van Valen - who died on October 16th - Dembski was - and will always remain - an intellectual pygmy, whose "intelligence" isn't worthy of Van Valen's favorite fictional creature, a Hobbit:
SteveF said: Wasn't Nelson's On Common Descent book allegedly going to be published as part of the Evolutionary Monographs series edited by Leigh van Valen? Given that van Valen died recently, it would seem even more unlikely that this will ever happen.

Aagcobb · 1 November 2010

Doc Bill said: You guys are so mean to Paul Nelson! Just think how far behind he would be if he actually had a job and worked for a living! Cut the guy some slack, OK?
Just remember, it took Darwin took twenty years before he published his book on common descent!

Daniel J. Andrews · 1 November 2010

Hadn't realized this was Morton of Morton's demon. I see his predictions are pretty iffy too. In April he said cosmic ray flux hit an all-time high so therefore, more clouds which will result in a cooling earth: Just in time for a series of the hottest 12-month periods on record from May to September (May09-May10, June09-June10 etc). Seldom does a prediction fail on such a spectacular level.

Maybe he's changed now, but up to April his demon was still pretty busy. Because of his blindness in that area, I'd want to double-check references/sources for anything else he's written no matter how much I agree with it.
--dan

SWT · 1 November 2010

Aagcobb said:
Doc Bill said: You guys are so mean to Paul Nelson! Just think how far behind he would be if he actually had a job and worked for a living! Cut the guy some slack, OK?
Just remember, it took Darwin took twenty years before he published his book on common descent!
Of course, Darwin was thoughtful and dealt with actual data; both of these factors might have slowed the process a bit.

Karen S. · 1 November 2010

Another tactic of the ID creationist is to declare that neo-Darwinism is already dead. (Somehow working scientists missed this fact and weren't even invited to the funeral.)

The name Lynn Margulis is bandied about in this context, as well as the "Atenberg 16". The purpose is to make us believe that the growth and development of evolutionary theory somehow props up ID. But then again, when the host eats the parasite gets fatter.

I also want to mention how grateful I am when scientists from PT visit BioLogos and offer their much-needed input. Often their leadership posts and runs, leaving the creationists to have a field day. Sanity checks are often lacking.

John Kwok · 1 November 2010

You mean the Altenberg 16, and a proceedings volume from their workshop, edited by philosopher and evolutionary biologist Massimo Pigliucci, was published a few months back by MIT Press if I'm not mistaken:
Karen S. said: The name Lynn Margulis is bandied about in this context, as well as the "Atenberg 16". The purpose is to make us believe that the growth and development of evolutionary theory somehow props up ID. But then again, when the host eats the parasite gets fatter. I also want to mention how grateful I am when scientists from PT visit BioLogos and offer their much-needed input. Often their leadership posts and runs, leaving the creationists to have a field day. Sanity checks are often lacking.
As for BioLogos, their credibility has sunk to an all time low by allowing themselves to become the intellectual prostitutes of the Dishonesty Institute at that recent conference which they cosponsored with the DI that also included the American Scientific Affiliation. Both Darrel Falk and Karl Giberson from BioLogos ought to come to their senses now, realizing that no one from the DI can be trusted simply for being fellow "Brothers in Christ", but I strongly doubt that they will ever join Steve Matheson in condemning the DI for being the intellectually dishonest and morally reprehensible entity that it is.

Flint · 1 November 2010

Uh, I suppose it's pretty obvious to everyone that the DI's predictions are no such thing. They are public relations, claims made to create the desired (false) impressions in the target audience at the time they are made. They have nothing to do with any future events. The DI will say anything they think people want to hear, which is their Official Position only until the next time they say anything.

I think their goal is to expand that population that (as Lincoln observed) they can fool all of the time. But it doesn't hurt to keep stroking those who are permanently pre-fooled. The "death of evolution" still sells, and announcing or predicting it still gets those juices flowing. These pronouncements aren't predictions, they are refresh cycles.

Henry J · 1 November 2010

SWT said: Of course, Darwin was thoughtful and dealt with actual data; both of these factors might have slowed the process a bit.
Also he didn't have any more power to win friends or influence people than did lots of other scientists; he just happened to be the one who first hit on something that worked quite well (and that somebody else would have hit on sooner or later if he hadn't; once DNA was understood the conclusions would have been obvious to all scientists anyway). Yet the anti-evolutionists keep claiming that Darwin had lots of power over people; it's like they worship him or something.

jasonmitchell · 1 November 2010

John Kwok said: Compared to Van Valen - who died on October 16th - Dembski was - and will always remain - an intellectual pygmy, whose "intelligence" isn't worthy of Van Valen's favorite fictional creature, a Hobbit:
SteveF said: Wasn't Nelson's On Common Descent book allegedly going to be published as part of the Evolutionary Monographs series edited by Leigh van Valen? Given that van Valen died recently, it would seem even more unlikely that this will ever happen.
that is not a nice thing to say about Hobbits.

Paul Burnett · 1 November 2010

The quote from Charles L. Harper Jr., senior vice president at the Templeton Foundation, should be framed and hung on the wall: "From the point of view of rigor and intellectual seriousness, the intelligent design people don't come out very well in our world of scientific review." (And that's from a December 2005 news article...nothing's changed since.)

raven · 1 November 2010

William Dembski: The implications of intelligent design are radical in the true sense of this much overused word. The question posed by intelligent design is not how we should do science and theology in light of the triumph of Enlightenment rationalism and scientific naturalism. The question is rather how we should do science and theology in light of the impending collapse of Enlightenment rationalism and scientific naturalism. These ideologies are on the way out…because they are bankrupt.
Don't forget Dembski's prediction that science and the Enlightment are going to collapse any minute now. These are the two pillars of modern Hi Tech 21st century civilization and secular democracy. Haven't noticed it lately. In terms of grandiose and wrong predictions, this is extreme. However, it is not the most grandiose. The rapture monkeys, of which Dembski probably is one, predict that the happy day when jesus shows up and destroys the earth and kills 6.7 billion people will happen any day now. This prediction is now 2,000 years late but what is a few millenia off anyway?

John Kwok · 1 November 2010

I strongly beg to differ. Hobbits are far more honorable, far more courageous, far more humble, (and IMHO intelligent too) creatures than the ever delusional Bill Dembski shall ever be, especially when he is a covert follower of Sauron:
jasonmitchell said:
John Kwok said: Compared to Van Valen - who died on October 16th - Dembski was - and will always remain - an intellectual pygmy, whose "intelligence" isn't worthy of Van Valen's favorite fictional creature, a Hobbit:
SteveF said: Wasn't Nelson's On Common Descent book allegedly going to be published as part of the Evolutionary Monographs series edited by Leigh van Valen? Given that van Valen died recently, it would seem even more unlikely that this will ever happen.
that is not a nice thing to say about Hobbits.

Karen S. · 1 November 2010

Both Darrel Falk and Karl Giberson from BioLogos ought to come to their senses now, realizing that no one from the DI can be trusted simply for being fellow “Brothers in Christ”, but I strongly doubt that they will ever join Steve Matheson in condemning the DI for being the intellectually dishonest and morally reprehensible entity that it is.
No, they will never publicly condemn them. We can only imagine what they really think.

eric · 1 November 2010

Let's not forget the Wedge Document (1999):
Five Year Goals: To see Intelligent Design theory as an accepted alternative in the sciences and scientific research being done from the perspective of design theory... FIVE YEAR OBJECTIVES [skipped 1 and 2] 3. One hundred scientific, academic, and technical articles by our fellows
Missed by that much, as Maxwell Smart would say.

Les Lane · 1 November 2010

Intelligent design is a fledgling science. Even so, intelligent design is a fledgling of enormous promise. Many books and articles are in the pipeline. I predict that in the next five years intelligent design will be sufficiently developed to deserve funding from the National Science Foundation. (p29)
As always with the DI, conclusions first - evidence later (never).

harold · 1 November 2010

Although these predictions haven't come true, the DI does seem to have achieved its applied goals.

There are few or no barriers to entry in the lucrative creationism industry, but the undeniable fact is that circa 1995, just as the new medium of internet was coming into its own, the market was dominated by the old blue chip firms like ICR, which had established themselves in the 1960's. (In fact, years ago in a university library basement, I saw a book published in the 1950's, with an author from a seminary in Nebraska, and it already contained many of the standard "creation science" argument - the author claimed the 100th anniversary of Origin of Species as a motivation - I didn't know enough to take it seriously at the time.)

Anyone can write a copycat book going on about the second law of thermodynamics and dust on the moon, and many do, but to capture market share from the established players, some new bafflegab was needed.

After twenty to thirty years of stasis, and after a decade of surly relative silence due to the lawsuits of the seventies and eighties, the DI produced some slightly different bafflegab, and doing so paid off handsomely.

At this point, "ID" arguments have been accepted by creationists as unqualified creationist arguments. The same person who argues that there are "no transitional fossils" or mentions "Piltdown Man" is likey to make reference to "irreducible complexity".

Now, I offer a prediction, but in the form of an "If...then..." statement.

If evolution deniers come up with some relatively original bafflegab again, THEN the US media will go through a spasm of touting it as "ground breaking", claiming that the theory of evolution has been "seriously challenged", and accusing skeptical, rational scientists of being "hidebound dogmatists".

Aagcobb · 1 November 2010

Henry J said: Yet the anti-evolutionists keep claiming that Darwin had lots of power over people; it's like they worship him or something.
The excrable Conservapedia claims there is a "Cult of Personality" around Darwin. Of course, its Darwin article both repeats the "Lady Hope" story in one section and also debunks it in another.

Karen S. · 1 November 2010

Intelligent design is a fledgling science. Even so, intelligent design is a fledgling of enormous promise.
Naw, it's more like a bird with broken wings. Just try to get an explanation of what they would do with research money, or a description of their research program in general.

Mike Elzinga · 1 November 2010

Karen S. said:
Intelligent design is a fledgling science. Even so, intelligent design is a fledgling of enormous promise.
Naw, it's more like a bird with broken wings. Just try to get an explanation of what they would do with research money, or a description of their research program in general.
More like a chicken with its head cut off.

John Kwok · 1 November 2010

Agreed. Yours is a most apt analogy, Mike:
Mike Elzinga said:
Karen S. said:
Intelligent design is a fledgling science. Even so, intelligent design is a fledgling of enormous promise.
Naw, it's more like a bird with broken wings. Just try to get an explanation of what they would do with research money, or a description of their research program in general.
More like a chicken with its head cut off.

jasonmitchell · 1 November 2010

Mike Elzinga said:
Karen S. said:
Intelligent design is a fledgling science. Even so, intelligent design is a fledgling of enormous promise.
Naw, it's more like a bird with broken wings. Just try to get an explanation of what they would do with research money, or a description of their research program in general.
More like a chicken with its head cut off.
both analogies are imperfect - as ID is so far off "as to not even be wrong" ID is as much a fledgling as a dead platypus

Les Lane · 1 November 2010

Dembski prediction quantitated

RBH · 1 November 2010

Flint said: Uh, I suppose it's pretty obvious to everyone that the DI's predictions are no such thing. They are public relations, claims made to create the desired (false) impressions in the target audience at the time they are made. They have nothing to do with any future events. The DI will say anything they think people want to hear, which is their Official Position only until the next time they say anything.
Sure. All the more reason to mock and ridicule them for their self-styled "predictions." Their target audience is not the same as mine.

Henry J · 1 November 2010

Mike Elzinga said:
Karen S. said:
Intelligent design is a fledgling science. Even so, intelligent design is a fledgling of enormous promise.
Naw, it's more like a bird with broken wings. Just try to get an explanation of what they would do with research money, or a description of their research program in general.
More like a chicken with its head cut off.
Is that why they frequently have egg on their faces?

Henry J · 1 November 2010

Books? Articles?

Never mind the books and articles; have them just start by describing the consistently observed pattern of evidence that your "hypothesis" is purported to explain, and then explaining the (fallacy-free) deductive logic by which the observed patterns follow from the hypothesis. That much would get them to the starting gate.

Or is that asking too much?

Glen Davidson · 1 November 2010

Ha ha, Waterloo! Well, OK, not really yet, but soon, now, very soon. And anyway, this just shows how you people never have taken ID seriously. You don't even remember timed predictions. So why should we care about a miss by a few years, when you never pay attention anyhow? Besides, we nailed this one:
Many books and articles are in the pipeline. I predict that in the next five years intelligent design will be sufficiently developed to deserve funding from the National Science Foundation. (p29)
It does deserve funding, because of its enormous promise, and because evolution doesn't explain the origin of life. You have to pay attention to the wording--Dembski didn't predict that the NSF would agree that it deserves funding, seeing that they're committed materialists. Sure, we can't do science with ID, but we can certainly do a lot writing, talking, and bashing Darwinism. And since criticism is important in science, the NSF owes us money to help us point out Darwinism's imminent demise. Besides, how can we develop ID as a science when all of our money is going to criticize Darwinism? Huh? If the NSF would just start paying for ID science, it would very soon outstrip Darwinism in explanatory power, while we would be willing to foot the bill for movies like Expelled and lobbying efforts to get criticism of Darwin into schools. I'm not saying that the NSF shouldn't pay for those efforts as well, I'm just saying that we're generous enough to fund the apologetics side, if the NSF will pay for ID science. (LOL, just in case anyone thinks this is serious). Glen Davidson

Ron Okimoto · 1 November 2010

jasonmitchell said:
Mike Elzinga said:
Karen S. said:
Intelligent design is a fledgling science. Even so, intelligent design is a fledgling of enormous promise.
Naw, it's more like a bird with broken wings. Just try to get an explanation of what they would do with research money, or a description of their research program in general.
More like a chicken with its head cut off.
both analogies are imperfect - as ID is so far off "as to not even be wrong" ID is as much a fledgling as a dead platypus
... as a dead invisible pink unicorn. Platypus actually exist. The scientific theory of ID never did.

Matt G · 1 November 2010

Henry J said:
SWT said: Of course, Darwin was thoughtful and dealt with actual data; both of these factors might have slowed the process a bit.
Also he didn't have any more power to win friends or influence people than did lots of other scientists; he just happened to be the one who first hit on something that worked quite well (and that somebody else would have hit on sooner or later if he hadn't; once DNA was understood the conclusions would have been obvious to all scientists anyway).
When Darwin published, somebody else already HAD happened upon it: Alfred Russel Wallace.

John Kwok · 1 November 2010

Darwin was compelled to publish once he received the twenty page letter from Wallace which outlined exactly Darwin's conception of the Theory of Evolution of Natural Selection. That is why it is fair to say that Natural Selection was discovered independently by two scientists: Darwin and Wallace. Moreover this isn't the only instance in the history of evolutionary biology where an important principle was developed independently by two people working simultaneously. The Red Queen was described and published in the same year, 1973, by two eminent evolutionary biologists, Leigh Van Valen (who coined it the "Red Queen") and Michael Rosenzweig (he dubbed it the "Rat Race"), who had conceived of it independently of each other:
Matt G said:
Henry J said:
SWT said: Of course, Darwin was thoughtful and dealt with actual data; both of these factors might have slowed the process a bit.
Also he didn't have any more power to win friends or influence people than did lots of other scientists; he just happened to be the one who first hit on something that worked quite well (and that somebody else would have hit on sooner or later if he hadn't; once DNA was understood the conclusions would have been obvious to all scientists anyway).
When Darwin published, somebody else already HAD happened upon it: Alfred Russel Wallace.

Droopy · 2 November 2010

What is a "Darwinian-process"?
What is Darwinism?

MichaelJ · 2 November 2010

Note that most, if not all of the predictions were made pre-Dover. Since then there has been no real progress. Has there been a new face in the ID pack since then?

The number of books and papers produced each year gets less. It is late 2010 and there hasn't been a book since "Signature in the Cell". Dembski seems to publish the same paper over and over again.

Luckily for them most of these guys have day jobs and the church talk circuit must bring in some money. I wonder how people like Paul Nelson who doesn't seem to have any means of support survive.

Dave Luckett · 2 November 2010

Droopy, A Darwinian process can be taken to mean small variability over successive generations of living things, attended by selection of the variations by the relative reproductive success of the progeny in the natural environment.

I think it is legitimate enough to call that process "Darwinian" because Charles Darwin first described it in detail, in publication. Alfred Russell Wallace deserves equal credit for the inspiration.

Hence, "Darwinism" need not mean more than the idea that such a process takes place and accounts for the diversity of living things. However, "Darwinism" has been used by the creationist noise machine to mean the same thing as "atheism" or "materialism". This is not only wrong, it misconstrues Darwin's theory as a political or philosophical idea, which it is not.

The word "Darwinism" is therefore best avoided, not because it is intrinsically wrong, but because it carries irrelevant and erroneous connotations that are exploited by shysters and con merchants.

NoNick · 2 November 2010

Dave Luckett said: Droopy, A Darwinian process can be taken to mean small variability over successive generations of living things, attended by selection of the variations by the relative reproductive success of the progeny in the natural environment. I think it is legitimate enough to call that process "Darwinian" because Charles Darwin first described it in detail, in publication. Alfred Russell Wallace deserves equal credit for the inspiration. Hence, "Darwinism" need not mean more than the idea that such a process takes place and accounts for the diversity of living things. However, "Darwinism" has been used by the creationist noise machine to mean the same thing as "atheism" or "materialism". This is not only wrong, it misconstrues Darwin's theory as a political or philosophical idea, which it is not. The word "Darwinism" is therefore best avoided, not because it is intrinsically wrong, but because it carries irrelevant and erroneous connotations that are exploited by shysters and con merchants.
::: Tips a hat to Dave ::: .... outstanding sir.

Ron Okimoto · 2 November 2010

Droopy said: What is a "Darwinian-process"? What is Darwinism?
For the ID perp scam artists "Darwinian-process" is a narrowly defined misrepresentation of biological evolution. You will usually have them claiming that natural selection and mutation is insufficient to account for the biological diversity that we see around us. It isn't that this isn't true. Real scientists know that there are other factors like genetic drift and genetic recombination that are very important so that shouldn't be such a big deal. It is how they sell the propaganda to the rubes that make them dishonest scam artists. They pretend that there is a controversy that they can participate in, but they have no viable argument to make. They will make arguments such as birds might not be the only selective agent for the change in color morphs of moths, but it is all just smoke because they do not have a viable alternative selective agent to put forward. They don't even try to put an alternative forward in the public obfuscation switch scam that they are currently running. "Darwinism" is pretty much just about anything that the bogus creationist scam artists have a beef about science at the moment that they are making the argument. The Big Bang is Darwinism, methodological materialism is Darwinism, making testable hypotheses is Darwinism, etc. Pretty much any scientific concept that makes sense, works, and that they have no legitimate counter for is labeled Darwinism for dishonest propaganda purposes. You get some IDiots that claim that atheism is Darwinism. In real science Darwinism sometimes refers to the notion that natural selection is the major or only factor that counts for the evolution of the biological diversity we observe in nature even though we have determined that other factors are involved. It is usually the degree of importance of natural selection to biological evolution that is argued by these types.

Ron Okimoto · 2 November 2010

RBH said:
Flint said: Uh, I suppose it's pretty obvious to everyone that the DI's predictions are no such thing. They are public relations, claims made to create the desired (false) impressions in the target audience at the time they are made. They have nothing to do with any future events. The DI will say anything they think people want to hear, which is their Official Position only until the next time they say anything.
Sure. All the more reason to mock and ridicule them for their self-styled "predictions." Their target audience is not the same as mine.
I tend to think that their predictions were wishful thinking. Lies that they had to tell themselves to keep going with the intelligent design scam. Guys like Nelson that knew that they didn't have what they claimed and that the bait and switch was planned to go down probably hoped that a miracle would happen and some science might get done. I doubt that there were too many scam artists in it just to put one over on the ignorant creationist rubes. By the Dover trial is seems obvious from Behe and Minnich's testimony that the ID perps had pretty much given up on accomplishing any real science after several years of running the bait and switch scam on the clueless creationist rubes. Neither one claimed to have tried to test the ID claptrap. Behe claimed that he didn't have to, and Minnich just claimed that he hadn't gotten around to doing any testing. You aren't going to develop a scientific theory unless you are willing to get off your butt and do the work to validate your notions. The Biologic Institute was started in the aftermath of this display of bogousity on the part of the ID perps. Beats me how anyone justifies their continued support for the ID scam, but lying to themselves has to play a big part.

Karen S. · 2 November 2010

You aren’t going to develop a scientific theory unless you are willing to get off your butt and do the work to validate your notions.
But they whine about not getting funding. Of course, when you ask about what they are requesting funding for and how ID research is done you don't get an answer.

Mike Elzinga · 2 November 2010

Karen S. said:
You aren’t going to develop a scientific theory unless you are willing to get off your butt and do the work to validate your notions.
But they whine about not getting funding. Of course, when you ask about what they are requesting funding for and how ID research is done you don't get an answer.
It is an interesting exercise to sit down and attempt to write a research proposal using ID/creationist “scientific” concepts; I’ve actually tried this. The mind goes blank.

Paul Burnett · 2 November 2010

Karen S. said: ...they whine about not getting funding. Of course, when you ask about what they are requesting funding for and how ID research is done you don't get an answer.
Another item to point out is that most actual scientific research is not funded by sending begging letters to churches and religious foundations.

eric · 2 November 2010

Mike Elzinga said: It is an interesting exercise to sit down and attempt to write a research proposal using ID/creationist “scientific” concepts; I’ve actually tried this. The mind goes blank.
Actually its quite easy to test some of their concepts...so easy, in fact, that the reason creos don't do it is because they'd quickly be proven wrong. Or someone's done it, and proven them wrong already. Consider: Various designers: propose a time, location, and expected evidence for their existence. Dig for it. Creos avoid this one for the simple reason that if they were to put their real hypothetical designer down on paper, the religious nature of the idea would be transparently obvious. "He didn't leave equipment behind in any place or time; he's God." Frontloading: look in a parent genome for a duplicate but 'turned-off' version of some new trait that appears in the child. Like, say, citrate-eating in e coli. CSI: many many useful "knockout" studies could be performed with the legimate purpose of determining how various genes affect some developmental process. But these will almost certainly demonstrate some level of robustness in development and that CSI claims cannot possibly exist.

RBH · 2 November 2010

Les Lane said: Dembski prediction quantitated
That's a very nice demonstration!

Mike Elzinga · 2 November 2010

eric said:
Mike Elzinga said: It is an interesting exercise to sit down and attempt to write a research proposal using ID/creationist “scientific” concepts; I’ve actually tried this. The mind goes blank.
Actually its quite easy to test some of their concepts...so easy, in fact, that the reason creos don't do it is because they'd quickly be proven wrong. Or someone's done it, and proven them wrong already. Consider: Various designers: propose a time, location, and expected evidence for their existence. Dig for it. Creos avoid this one for the simple reason that if they were to put their real hypothetical designer down on paper, the religious nature of the idea would be transparently obvious. "He didn't leave equipment behind in any place or time; he's God." Frontloading: look in a parent genome for a duplicate but 'turned-off' version of some new trait that appears in the child. Like, say, citrate-eating in e coli. CSI: many many useful "knockout" studies could be performed with the legimate purpose of determining how various genes affect some developmental process. But these will almost certainly demonstrate some level of robustness in development and that CSI claims cannot possibly exist.
Somewhere on another thread – I don’t remember which thread any more - I outlined a set of criteria for a deity detector. When it comes right down to explicit mechanisms and numbers, the mind goes blank. I have also done this for creationist “thermodynamics” in attempting to take their concepts and bring them to bear on experimental techniques in the lab. For real thermodynamics one can do this routinely. But for creationist “thermodynamics” there are no handles to grab. When it comes to Dembski’s “explanatory filter,” you run immediately into issues of the probabilities of assemblies of atoms and molecules. Now those kinds of things are measurable. But when it comes to showing that assemblies beyond a specified level of complexity are impossible, try to imagine how you would show this; and in a repeatable fashion no less. There are billions of routes to assembly at every level. And billions of complex assemblies already exist as glaring counterexamples. The front loading issue is ambiguous at best. I have not seen a clear definition of front loading. You mentioned turned-off genes, but other creationists say it is loaded into the laws of the universe. If it is the latter, try to think of an experiment that would demonstrate this. Even better, try to identify the “intelligent entity” that did the front loading; what technique and detection criteria would you use? Basically, the ID/creationist “scientific program” is simply one of asserting that “you can’t get here from there.” Attempting to write a research proposal that elucidates the “barrier along the way” ignores all the evidence that things have arrived in the state they are. In real science, we understand that things “got here.” Our questions come down to how and by what mechanisms. Research proposals addressing those questions are fairly easy to write. When it comes right down to laying out a definitive research program for ID/creationism, you always find yourself stymied. You can always “prove” experimentally that something can’t happen by just being an incompetent experimentalist. But elucidating how the universe works is more straight-forward. It requires training, knowledge, and skill, all of which can be acquired with time and effort. ID/creationists have acquired a superficial façade of training, even to the point of getting a string of letters after their names; which they then show off repeatedly. But primarily they have learned the skills of marketing and the gift of gab. They don’t know how to take the universe apart and study it. And they certainly haven’t understood what others have discovered.

eric · 2 November 2010

Mike Elzinga said: I have also done this for creationist “thermodynamics” in attempting to take their concepts and bring them to bear on experimental techniques in the lab. For real thermodynamics one can do this routinely. But for creationist “thermodynamics” there are no handles to grab. When it comes to Dembski’s “explanatory filter,” you run immediately into issues of the probabilities of assemblies of atoms and molecules. Now those kinds of things are measurable. But when it comes to showing that assemblies beyond a specified level of complexity are impossible, try to imagine how you would show this; and in a repeatable fashion no less. ...You mentioned turned-off genes, but other creationists say it is loaded into the laws of the universe. If it is the latter, try to think of an experiment that would demonstrate this...
Ah. I'm in agreement that many creo claims are impossible to scientifically study, and they sometimes shift the conversation from specific to vague 'can't happens' if you try and pin them down about testing specific, positive claims. So perhaps its better to say that one could fashion a subset of testable claims from ID concepts, and then go out and test those claims, but no IDers do that.
But primarily they have learned the skills of marketing and the gift of gab. They don’t know how to take the universe apart and study it.
I agree there, moreover I'd say they have no real interest in taking the universe apart to study it. Their interest is in proselytization - they merely paint a thin layer of sciency-looking gloss on their stuff because the people they want to reach respect science. The DI is an attempt to rebrand their product Sorny in order to catch a few more Homers.

Mike Elzinga · 2 November 2010

eric said: So perhaps its better to say that one could fashion a subset of testable claims from ID concepts, and then go out and test those claims, but no IDers do that.
Well, I confess that I haven’t been able to do it. And that may be because of my own “façade of training in ID/creationism.” But then my challenge to anyone else would be to do it (actually, I wouldn’t be so mean as to recommend such a waste of time).

Joe Felsenstein · 2 November 2010

Mike Elzinga said: When it comes to Dembski’s “explanatory filter,” you run immediately into issues of the probabilities of assemblies of atoms and molecules. Now those kinds of things are measurable. But when it comes to showing that assemblies beyond a specified level of complexity are impossible, try to imagine how you would show this; and in a repeatable fashion no less. There are billions of routes to assembly at every level. And billions of complex assemblies already exist as glaring counterexamples.
It seems to me that this is in any case not the basic problem with Dembski's Explanatory Filter. However badly all the information theory may have been set up, he is basically arguing that living organisms are far better on some relevant scale -- a good scale would be fitness -- than could be explained by random assembly of a life form. And that is indisputable. Fish gotta swim and birds gotta fly, and they do it far better than random piles of molecules would. So that part of the argument is not the weak part. Having established that, could the fitness of organisms be explained by, say, natural selection? Of course it could, but here is where Dembski goes off the rails. He has a theorem, his Law of Conservation of Complex Specified Information, which he thinks prevents living systems from getting sufficiently better-adapted. The theorem has problems. Jeffrey Shallit (in a paper by he and Wesley Elsberry) found a hole in it where Dembski uses the definition of his Specification when he has said we weren't supposed to use it. I think I found a bigger problem in my article on Dembski's arguments. He finds it necessary to change the specification in midstream. But to prove that you can't get better adapted, you need to use the same definition of fitness before and after. Dembski does not do that. If you keep the specification the same (the definition of fitness, in effect), you can immediately see that Dembski's theorem is not true.
The front loading issue is ambiguous at best. I have not seen a clear definition of front loading. You mentioned turned-off genes, but other creationists say it is loaded into the laws of the universe.
The front-loading argument is, in effect, that fitness surfaces are far smoother than you would get if each genotype had a randomly different fitness. (The argument concedes that natural selection will then work to make the genome well-adapted, contrary to what Dembski thinks his LCCSI shows). That is true, but does it mean that someone "front-loaded" the universe to make that happen? If it is a consequence of the laws of the universe, then we are off into the implications of philosophy of physics, and I don't think biologists need get involved!

Mike Elzinga · 2 November 2010

Joe Felsenstein said: The theorem has problems. Jeffrey Shallit (in a paper by he and Wesley Elsberry) found a hole in it where Dembski uses the definition of his Specification when he has said we weren't supposed to use it. I think I found a bigger problem in my article on Dembski's arguments. He finds it necessary to change the specification in midstream. But to prove that you can't get better adapted, you need to use the same definition of fitness before and after. Dembski does not do that. If you keep the specification the same (the definition of fitness, in effect), you can immediately see that Dembski's theorem is not true.
Back when I first encountered it a number of years ago, I didn’t need to even consider the “information” part of Dembski’s argument in order to recognize that his reason, whatever name he wanted to give it, was complete gibberish. There are billions of complex assemblies of atoms and molecules – many of them living organisms - that are viable in some environment. If some of these “relax into adjacent forms” due to a shift in that environment, then physics and chemistry give enough insight into how that can happen. To imply that this cannot happen in the face of the fact that it does happen – no matter what “high sounding” idea you introduce – already tells me that Dembski doesn’t understand how things evolve; no matter what they are. The use of notions of “information” to argue that physical/chemical systems can’t adjust their configurations to changes in the surrounding environment is bogus right off the bat. Now, one can use information as a roughly quantitative means of comparing an evolving system with its previous states. But there is nothing about such a description that can in any way be prohibitive. One is simply quantifying changes in terms of mathematical quantities to which the name “information” has been applied. That “information” may be meaningful to the investigator and give considerable insight into what is happening, but it does not constrain the laws of physics and chemistry.

The front-loading argument is, in effect, that fitness surfaces are far smoother than you would get if each genotype had a randomly different fitness. (The argument concedes that natural selection will then work to make the genome well-adapted, contrary to what Dembski thinks his LCCSI shows). That is true, but does it mean that someone “front-loaded” the universe to make that happen?

Again, physics and chemistry are sufficient here. Of course macroscopic systems don’t make quantum jumps to adjacent wells. There may be some quantum jumping at the molecular level, but the resulting modified system still has to be viable in its new environment. If that environment is too different for viability, then extinction occurs for that line. Any “adjacent” lines that still have a chance will get another shot at adjusting.

Joe Felsenstein · 2 November 2010

Mike Elzinga said: Back when I first encountered it a number of years ago, I didn’t need to even consider the “information” part of Dembski’s argument in order to recognize that his reason, whatever name he wanted to give it, was complete gibberish. There are billions of complex assemblies of atoms and molecules – many of them living organisms - that are viable in some environment. If some of these “relax into adjacent forms” due to a shift in that environment, then physics and chemistry give enough insight into how that can happen. To imply that this cannot happen in the face of the fact that it does happen – no matter what “high sounding” idea you introduce – already tells me that Dembski doesn’t understand how things evolve; no matter what they are.
I don't see how Dembski's argument implies that. I see his as an argument about a simple model system that has genotypes and fitnesses, and even does not have the fitnesses change through time. Within that model he thinks (wrongly) that his LCCSI proves that the result of evolution cannot be to improve the "specification" (I'd say, the fitness) by more than a little bit. There is little or nothing in his argument about shifts of environment.
One is simply quantifying changes in terms of mathematical quantities to which the name “information” has been applied.
Sure, so one can shift the whole argument to being about fitness and avoid the tangled mess that arguments about "information" become.
[on my statement about "front-loading"] Again, physics and chemistry are sufficient here. Of course macroscopic systems don’t make quantum jumps to adjacent wells. There may be some quantum jumping at the molecular level, but the resulting modified system still has to be viable in its new environment. If that environment is too different for viability, then extinction occurs for that line. Any “adjacent” lines that still have a chance will get another shot at adjusting.
I don't see why we have to talk about potential wells in order to discuss fitness of genotypes.

Mike Elzinga · 2 November 2010

Joe Felsenstein said: I don't see how Dembski's argument implies that.
I can’t say that I knew much about “information” when I first encountered Dembski’s argument, despite the fact that I had done a lot of modeling and signal and image processing in some of my own work; and I don’t claim to be an expert in information even now. I was coming at it as a condensed matter physicist and from having dealt for years with the ludicrous “thermodynamics arguments” introduced by Morris and Gish during the 1970s and 80s. When I finally got around to looking at Dembski, it was already obvious to me, and many of us in the physics community, that his “modeling” was verschlecht, and that ID was a direct intellectual descendant of the Morris and Gish scam. Biology, as it stood then, made – and still makes – more sense, and is consistent with physics and chemistry. And the modeling approaches in physics and chemistry were, and still are, from a completely different perspective. So it was clear to us where Dembski was going with his “information” arguments and his unrealistic models. There was no way any of his stuff could have anything to do with physics, chemistry, biology, or evolution. It seemed that the “information” stuff was a red herring and was bogus right from the start. It just didn’t make any sense in the light of what physicists and chemists were already doing.

I don’t see why we have to talk about potential wells in order to discuss fitness of genotypes.

Even though I had read Dawkins’s description of his “Weasel” program when the Blind Watchmaker first came out, I wish that I had paid more attention or had remembered more of what I had read; but I was extremely busy at the time. Had I done so, I would have recognized back then the pedagogical usefulness of his little algorithm and its link to physics, chemistry, and genetic algorithms (which were not called that in physics, but came under the umbrella of Monte Carlo methods). As it is, it hit me much later – I think here on Panda’s Thumb – after I had long forgotten about it. I could have used it in some of my pedagogical examples with my students. So I came at this from an entirely different perspective. And I would submit that the physics/chemistry perspective is still the best way to approach molecular assemblies in biological systems. The main differences involve the energy-driven organization and coordination in these systems. And that is not to say that there aren’t emergent properties of these systems that are more appropriate for their description and interactions with their environments. If that is true of simpler systems, it is just as likely to be true of these systems as well. I would still suggest that fitness landscapes, turned upside down, are the phenomenological manifestation of complicated, energy-driven systems exploring myriads of shallow potential wells. Instead of systems deforming and fitting as the environment shifts, these are systems that replicate pass on their “deformations” to surrogate systems which then fit “better” (or settle deeper) into the new set of wells. It sounds more metaphorical than it is, but just paying careful attention to the effects of temperature on biological systems should be enough of a hint to suggest that this is much more than just a metaphor.

Ron Okimoto · 2 November 2010

Karen S. said:
You aren’t going to develop a scientific theory unless you are willing to get off your butt and do the work to validate your notions.
But they whine about not getting funding. Of course, when you ask about what they are requesting funding for and how ID research is done you don't get an answer.
The can sell all the entertainment systems and cars they bought with the Dishonesty Institute's fellowship money and raise money to do more than go to the library and quote mine other peoples scientific research.

Mike Elzinga · 2 November 2010

By the way; if anyone doubt’s that there are still conflations among entropy, information, and disorder, as well as the continued misuse of the laws of thermodynamics that led to Dembski’s stuff, take a look at today’s latest AiG “warnings” about misuse of the second law of thermodynamics.

Then take a look at the link offered in footnote 2 in which one is advised to use thermodynamics arguments carefully and then pointed to this “more advanced” perspective.

I'm probably one of the few old geezers left who is thoroughly familiar with this conceptual link between Morris and Dembski. But I would suggest that it is important to understand. A lot of peripheral damage has been done by this meme.

Mike Elzinga · 2 November 2010

Well, by coincidence, here is another generic misconception about “information” that relates to this conversation.

I guess halloween is not over yet.

The MadPanda, FCD · 2 November 2010

Mike Elzinga said: I guess halloween is not over yet.
Au contraire! Halloween is over. The three-ring circus run by the clowns is a year-round event. The MadPanda, FCD

John Kwok · 2 November 2010

Actually it's not Halloween but April Fool's Day that's celebrated year round by the Dishonesty Institute:
The MadPanda, FCD said:
Mike Elzinga said: I guess halloween is not over yet.
Au contraire! Halloween is over. The three-ring circus run by the clowns is a year-round event. The MadPanda, FCD

Mike Elzinga · 2 November 2010

John Kwok said: Actually it's not Halloween but April Fool's Day that's celebrated year round by the Dishonesty Institute:
The MadPanda, FCD said:
Mike Elzinga said: I guess halloween is not over yet.
Au contraire! Halloween is over. The three-ring circus run by the clowns is a year-round event. The MadPanda, FCD
All Fool's Century.

Ron Okimoto · 3 November 2010

Mike Elzinga said: By the way; if anyone doubt’s that there are still conflations among entropy, information, and disorder, as well as the continued misuse of the laws of thermodynamics that led to Dembski’s stuff, take a look at today’s latest AiG “warnings” about misuse of the second law of thermodynamics. Then take a look at the link offered in footnote 2 in which one is advised to use thermodynamics arguments carefully and then pointed to this “more advanced” perspective. I'm probably one of the few old geezers left who is thoroughly familiar with this conceptual link between Morris and Dembski. But I would suggest that it is important to understand. A lot of peripheral damage has been done by this meme.
The list of arguments that creationists shouldn't use changes from time to time. I recall that they used to have things about mammoths and human footprints. It is likely that they drop things off the list so that it doesn't get too long. It would be very long before someone halfway on the ball figured out that all the creationists arguments were bogus. http://www.answersingenesis.org/get-answers#/v/recent/k/arguments-christians-should-not-use-series This list used to also claim that creationists shouldn't use the argument that evolution violates the second law of thermodynamics. Your second reference indicates that they still advocate the obfuscation scam of the second law making evolution unlikely. They do try to make it sound good, but they have already admitted that it is an argument that should not be used as they are trying to use it, but apparently misleading people is still OK. Why not simply state up front in the introduction to the essay what they have already admitted to themselves, that biological evolution does not violate the second law of thermodynamics? It seems a little dishonest to not mention that and go through the entire argument. I wonder how long the list of arguments to never use would be if someone went back through their old web pages and looked them up? Likely at least twice as long as the current list. Just think how many arguments the honest creationists want to add to the list.

DS · 3 November 2010

Ron wrote:

"I wonder how long the list of arguments to never use would be if someone went back through their old web pages and looked them up? Likely at least twice as long as the current list. Just think how many arguments the honest creationists want to add to the list."

Well first of all, I'm sure that the list of "honest creationists" is much shorter than the list of debunked arguments. Second of all, if "honest creationists" did create such a list, it would include all arguments ever used by creationists.

What these yahoos should be doing is trying to come up with an alternative explanation for all of the evidence that has better predictive and explanatory power than the e=theory of evolution. That is the only thing that is going to convince any scientist and it is the only thing that should convince anyone. Now you can't do that by ignoring the evidence. You can't do that by hoping that people are ignorant of the evidence. And you can't do that by refusing to propose any alternative.

Arguments against evolution can only fool those who are ignorant enough to fall for them. That's why the Talk Origins archive is such a valuable resource. At the very least, creationists have to admit that they don't have any original ideas, since all of the arguments they use have already been debunked.

John Kwok · 3 November 2010

I raised that very point in private e-mail correspondence with both Behe and Dembski three years ago. Neither one offered an answer explaining how and why ID is a more viable alternative than the Modern Synthesis in offering "better predictive and explanatory power":
DS said: What these yahoos should be doing is trying to come up with an alternative explanation for all of the evidence that has better predictive and explanatory power than the e=theory of evolution. That is the only thing that is going to convince any scientist and it is the only thing that should convince anyone. Now you can't do that by ignoring the evidence. You can't do that by hoping that people are ignorant of the evidence. And you can't do that by refusing to propose any alternative.

Ron Okimoto · 3 November 2010

John Kwok said: I raised that very point in private e-mail correspondence with both Behe and Dembski three years ago. Neither one offered an answer explaining how and why ID is a more viable alternative than the Modern Synthesis in offering "better predictive and explanatory power":
DS said: What these yahoos should be doing is trying to come up with an alternative explanation for all of the evidence that has better predictive and explanatory power than the e=theory of evolution. That is the only thing that is going to convince any scientist and it is the only thing that should convince anyone. Now you can't do that by ignoring the evidence. You can't do that by hoping that people are ignorant of the evidence. And you can't do that by refusing to propose any alternative.
This isn't just a failing of the ID scam, but of creationist positions in general. They just do not have anything to compete with what science has already generated. Philip Johnson has said it as well as any ID perp could: "I also don’t think that there is really a theory of intelligent design at the present time to propose as a comparable alternative to the Darwinian theory, which is, whatever errors it might contain, a fully worked out scheme. There is no intelligent design theory that’s comparable. Working out a positive theory is the job of the scientific people that we have affiliated with the movement. Some of them are quite convinced that it’s doable, but that’s for them to prove…No product is ready for competition in the educational world." http://sciencereview.berkeley.edu/articles.php?issue=10&article=evolution This is the Philip Johnson that other ID perps like Dembski called the "godfather" of the ID scam movement after the Dover decision. After ID lost in court Johnson decided to come as clean as any of the ID perps can manage. He is admitting that he knew that teaching ID was just a scam, but he is point the finger of blame at the "science" ID perps like Dembski and Behe for never coming up with anything worth teaching. This is one of the ID scam leaders admitting that they never had the science. Why are there still ID scam supporters? Do they think that Johnson was just joking?

Karen S. · 3 November 2010

Now remember folks, that in pure ID theory, the designer is not necessarily supernatural! He's just some guy who's been alive for over 13 billion years. ID is not necessarily religious at all!

John Kwok · 3 November 2010

Of course:
Karen S. said: Now remember folks, that in pure ID theory, the designer is not necessarily supernatural! He's just some guy who's been alive for over 13 billion years. ID is not necessarily religious at all!
Qap'la!!! Contrary to the delusional humans Behe and Dembski (Indeed that wise human Ken Miller has suggested that Behe write a textbook on our biochemistry.), we, the inhabitants of Qo'nos, know who the Intelligent Designer(s) were. Some time-traveling brothers and sisters aboard Klingon battlecruisers sent backward through time via the Kirk Effect to the primordial Earth... where we designed the microbes that, over the untold millions and millions of millenia, led eventually to both intelligent humans like most of those reading PT as well as delusional ones like Behe and Dembski.

John Kwok · 3 November 2010

As I am sure you are well aware Ron, the Dishonesty Institute remains in utter denial. Johnson had no choice but to state the obvious in light of Judge John R. Jones's extensive, well-reasoned ruling issued on December 20, 2005 at the end of the Kitzmiller vs. Dover trial:
Ron Okimoto said: Philip Johnson has said it as well as any ID perp could: "I also don’t think that there is really a theory of intelligent design at the present time to propose as a comparable alternative to the Darwinian theory, which is, whatever errors it might contain, a fully worked out scheme. There is no intelligent design theory that’s comparable. Working out a positive theory is the job of the scientific people that we have affiliated with the movement. Some of them are quite convinced that it’s doable, but that’s for them to prove…No product is ready for competition in the educational world." http://sciencereview.berkeley.edu/articles.php?issue=10&article=evolution This is the Philip Johnson that other ID perps like Dembski called the "godfather" of the ID scam movement after the Dover decision. After ID lost in court Johnson decided to come as clean as any of the ID perps can manage. He is admitting that he knew that teaching ID was just a scam, but he is point the finger of blame at the "science" ID perps like Dembski and Behe for never coming up with anything worth teaching. This is one of the ID scam leaders admitting that they never had the science. Why are there still ID scam supporters? Do they think that Johnson was just joking?

Ron Okimoto · 4 November 2010

John Kwok said: As I am sure you are well aware Ron, the Dishonesty Institute remains in utter denial. Johnson had no choice but to state the obvious in light of Judge John R. Jones's extensive, well-reasoned ruling issued on December 20, 2005 at the end of the Kitzmiller vs. Dover trial:
They still list Johnson as an advisor. Sure the ID perps are into denial, but they have tried to come clean at times. Nelson tried to get his fellow ID perps to admit that they never had a scientific theory of ID after the bait and switch went down in Ohio in early 2003. Of course, becoming a full time switch scam artists doesn't help his credibility. Even Dembski admonished Meyer and Wells saying something about the ID perps should not overstate their case after Wells and Meyer tried to lie to the Ohio board about the nonexistent ID science. Guys like Mike Gene bailed out of the teach ID scam once the decision had likely been made to run the bait and switch and the Discovery Institute started working up the switch scam in ernest back in 1999. These guys all knew that they didn't have the science to back up their claims. The denial is also established among the creationist rubes that bought into the ID scam. They understand that they are real IDiots, but how many can admit it? Did the Ohio rubes ever invite the ID perps back after the bait and switch was run on them? They bent over and took the switch scam and wouldn't give up until Dover, but they obviously didn't like what had happened to them. Are any of the Florida school boards or legislators that wanted to teach the science of ID hot to get the ID perps back into their state? There were probably over half a dozen county school boards and just as many state legislators that claimed to want to teach the science of intelligent design, but what happened after the bait and switch was perpetrated by the ID scam artists? It doesn't take a genius to understand that you have been had when the ID perp's switch scam doesn't even mention that ID ever existed. I haven't heard a thing out of Florida and it has been almost two years after the bait and switch went down. Why are there still ID scam supporters?

Ron Okimoto · 4 November 2010

John Kwok said: Of course:
Karen S. said: Now remember folks, that in pure ID theory, the designer is not necessarily supernatural! He's just some guy who's been alive for over 13 billion years. ID is not necessarily religious at all!
Qap'la!!! Contrary to the delusional humans Behe and Dembski (Indeed that wise human Ken Miller has suggested that Behe write a textbook on our biochemistry.), we, the inhabitants of Qo'nos, know who the Intelligent Designer(s) were. Some time-traveling brothers and sisters aboard Klingon battlecruisers sent backward through time via the Kirk Effect to the primordial Earth... where we designed the microbes that, over the untold millions and millions of millenia, led eventually to both intelligent humans like most of those reading PT as well as delusional ones like Behe and Dembski.
You missed the Next Generation episode where Picard discovers that there had been a progenitor race that seeded the galaxy with life and left a message in all the DNA to tell their "offspring" their true origins. The Klingons were not happy and went into denial over the fact that they could be related to Romulans. Sort of explains how Vulcan and human DNA can be compatible. Behe also admitted under oath that the designer might be dead. The ID perps haven't come up with any niffty designs to blame on the designer that have occurred within the last couple hundred million years. That seems like a pretty long vacation. The flagellum evolved around 2 billion years ago and the blood clotting system and immune system evolved among early vertebrates several hundred million years ago.

386sx · 4 November 2010

“Freud, Marx, and Darwin were all revered as major scientific heroes throughout the twentieth century. Of the three, only Darwin retains any scientific standing.” --Philip Johnson

Gotta love that. Bubbles, Bozo, Darwin. Of the three, only Darwin retains not being a clown yet. Hitler, Hitler, Darwin. Of the three, only Darwin retains not being Hitler yet.

Karen S. · 4 November 2010

Behe also admitted under oath that the designer might be dead.
True, and he also admitted there might be multiple competing designers.

John Kwok · 4 November 2010

No, Ron, I didn't miss that Next Generation episode. That was one of the best ones in the latter seasons of ST:TNG IMHO:
Ron Okimoto said:
John Kwok said: Of course:
Karen S. said: Now remember folks, that in pure ID theory, the designer is not necessarily supernatural! He's just some guy who's been alive for over 13 billion years. ID is not necessarily religious at all!
Qap'la!!! Contrary to the delusional humans Behe and Dembski (Indeed that wise human Ken Miller has suggested that Behe write a textbook on our biochemistry.), we, the inhabitants of Qo'nos, know who the Intelligent Designer(s) were. Some time-traveling brothers and sisters aboard Klingon battlecruisers sent backward through time via the Kirk Effect to the primordial Earth... where we designed the microbes that, over the untold millions and millions of millenia, led eventually to both intelligent humans like most of those reading PT as well as delusional ones like Behe and Dembski.
You missed the Next Generation episode where Picard discovers that there had been a progenitor race that seeded the galaxy with life and left a message in all the DNA to tell their "offspring" their true origins. The Klingons were not happy and went into denial over the fact that they could be related to Romulans. Sort of explains how Vulcan and human DNA can be compatible. Behe also admitted under oath that the designer might be dead. The ID perps haven't come up with any niffty designs to blame on the designer that have occurred within the last couple hundred million years. That seems like a pretty long vacation. The flagellum evolved around 2 billion years ago and the blood clotting system and immune system evolved among early vertebrates several hundred million years ago.
When I had a brief e-mail correspondence with Dembski back in 2007, I did suggest that he and Behe should collaborate and write the definitive textbook on Klingon Cosmology (I volunteered to serve as their consultant), observing that they would reap far more financial rewards than by publishing their mendacious intellectual pornography. Bill wasn't amused. He dismissed it as kid's stuff if my memory is correct. As for Ken, I had dinner with him one night after he gave an AMNH talk; afterwards, he suggested that Behe ought to be writing a textbook on Klingon biochemistry.

John Kwok · 4 November 2010

On a more serious note, Philip Johnson is the "GODFATHER" of the Intelligent Design movement. The Dishonesty Institute's Center for (the Renewal of) Science and Culture couldn't remove him as an advisor as much as a diehard Communist couldn't reject Marx and Lenin as the intellectual "fathers" of Communism. What would good God-fearing Christian people think of the Dishonesty Institute repudiated its "GODFATHER"? Heaven forbid.

Henry J · 4 November 2010

Karen S. said:
Behe also admitted under oath that the designer might be dead.
True, and he also admitted there might be multiple competing designers.
There are. Those competing "designers" are called gene pools. :p

John Kwok · 4 November 2010

Right, but they're not "intelligent", contrary to Behe et al.'s wishes:
Henry J said:
Karen S. said:
Behe also admitted under oath that the designer might be dead.
True, and he also admitted there might be multiple competing designers.
There are. Those competing "designers" are called gene pools. :p

W. H. Heydt · 4 November 2010

Ron Okimoto said: You missed the Next Generation episode where Picard discovers that there had been a progenitor race that seeded the galaxy with life and left a message in all the DNA to tell their "offspring" their true origins. The Klingons were not happy and went into denial over the fact that they could be related to Romulans. Sort of explains how Vulcan and human DNA can be compatible.
As any active reader knows, the seeding was done by the Arisians and we'd be on an uninterrupted upward path if not for the intervention of the Eddorians. --W. H. Heydt Old Used Programmer

eric · 4 November 2010

W. H. Heydt said: As any active reader knows, the seeding was done by the Arisians and we'd be on an uninterrupted upward path if not for the intervention of the Eddorians.
E.E. Doc Smith! Great use of the old 'kill grendel, get grendel's mom' device. He ratcheted up the enemies for, what, 7 books?

JoeBuddha · 4 November 2010

eric said:
W. H. Heydt said: As any active reader knows, the seeding was done by the Arisians and we'd be on an uninterrupted upward path if not for the intervention of the Eddorians.
E.E. Doc Smith! Great use of the old 'kill grendel, get grendel's mom' device. He ratcheted up the enemies for, what, 7 books?
6, but who's counting...

Karen S. · 4 November 2010

You missed the Next Generation episode where Picard discovers that there had been a progenitor race that seeded the galaxy with life and left a message in all the DNA to tell their “offspring” their true origins.
Ah, so that's the signature in the cell?

John Kwok · 4 November 2010

Qap'la!!!!:
Karen S. said:
You missed the Next Generation episode where Picard discovers that there had been a progenitor race that seeded the galaxy with life and left a message in all the DNA to tell their “offspring” their true origins.
Ah, so that's the signature in the cell?
Indeed. I believe that's why Ken Miller thinks Mike Behe should be writing the definitive textbook on Klingon biochemistry.

The MadPanda, FCD · 4 November 2010

JoeBuddha said:
eric said:
W. H. Heydt said: As any active reader knows, the seeding was done by the Arisians and we'd be on an uninterrupted upward path if not for the intervention of the Eddorians.
E.E. Doc Smith! Great use of the old 'kill grendel, get grendel's mom' device. He ratcheted up the enemies for, what, 7 books?
6, but who's counting...
Now THAT was some fine space opera. Overblown, cheesy dialogue, supertech that was beyond silly...and as far as I know, the first and only author ever to name a superdreadnaught after Boise, Idaho. :) The MadPanda, FCD

Ron Okimoto · 4 November 2010

John Kwok said: On a more serious note, Philip Johnson is the "GODFATHER" of the Intelligent Design movement. The Dishonesty Institute's Center for (the Renewal of) Science and Culture couldn't remove him as an advisor as much as a diehard Communist couldn't reject Marx and Lenin as the intellectual "fathers" of Communism. What would good God-fearing Christian people think of the Dishonesty Institute repudiated its "GODFATHER"? Heaven forbid.
Even after he decapoed his capos?

Ron Okimoto · 4 November 2010

Karen S. said:
You missed the Next Generation episode where Picard discovers that there had been a progenitor race that seeded the galaxy with life and left a message in all the DNA to tell their “offspring” their true origins.
Ah, so that's the signature in the cell?
The message could be decoded and transformed into 3D color holographics. If the ID perps could find something like that they might be forgiven for running the bait and switch scam on their own creationist support base. As it stands if the Taliban Christian fundies ever do take political power the ID perps are likely to be the first up against the wall after the initial bloodbath.

W. H. Heydt · 4 November 2010

JoeBuddha said:
eric said:
W. H. Heydt said: As any active reader knows, the seeding was done by the Arisians and we'd be on an uninterrupted upward path if not for the intervention of the Eddorians.
E.E. Doc Smith! Great use of the old 'kill grendel, get grendel's mom' device. He ratcheted up the enemies for, what, 7 books?
6, but who's counting...
Depends on how you count _The Vortex Blaster_. --W. H. Heydt Old Used Programmer

Karen S. · 4 November 2010

Indeed. I believe that’s why Ken Miller thinks Mike Behe should be writing the definitive textbook on Klingon biochemistry.
Yes, called Of Pandas and Klingons

Mike Elzinga · 4 November 2010

Karen S. said:
Indeed. I believe that’s why Ken Miller thinks Mike Behe should be writing the definitive textbook on Klingon biochemistry.
Yes, called Of Pandas and Klingons
If memory serves me correctly, isn’t a panda on Qo’noS called a targ?

John Kwok · 4 November 2010

There wasn't any kind of Saint Valentine's Day Massacre if my memory is correct. But wait, maybe Premise Media and Ben Stein can unearth something that's quite damning. How about "Explanatory Filter: Dr. Dembski Meets Dr. Pangloss":
Ron Okimoto said:
John Kwok said: On a more serious note, Philip Johnson is the "GODFATHER" of the Intelligent Design movement. The Dishonesty Institute's Center for (the Renewal of) Science and Culture couldn't remove him as an advisor as much as a diehard Communist couldn't reject Marx and Lenin as the intellectual "fathers" of Communism. What would good God-fearing Christian people think of the Dishonesty Institute repudiated its "GODFATHER"? Heaven forbid.
Even after he decapoed his capos?

John Kwok · 4 November 2010

No, a targ is a ferocious Klingon boar with the temperment of a Doberman pinscher:
Mike Elzinga said:
Karen S. said:
Indeed. I believe that’s why Ken Miller thinks Mike Behe should be writing the definitive textbook on Klingon biochemistry.
Yes, called Of Pandas and Klingons
If memory serves me correctly, isn’t a panda on Qo’noS called a targ?

John Kwok · 4 November 2010

Not quite:
Karen S. said:
Indeed. I believe that’s why Ken Miller thinks Mike Behe should be writing the definitive textbook on Klingon biochemistry.
Yes, called Of Pandas and Klingons
Mike has the right idea: "Of Targs and Pandas" Though my favorite might be: "The Privileged Planet: Qo'noS"

John Kwok · 4 November 2010

Freudian slip, I meant of course: "Of Targs and Klingons"
John Kwok said: Not quite:
Karen S. said:
Indeed. I believe that’s why Ken Miller thinks Mike Behe should be writing the definitive textbook on Klingon biochemistry.
Yes, called Of Pandas and Klingons
Mike has the right idea: "Of Targs and Pandas" Though my favorite might be: "The Privileged Planet: Qo'noS"

Mike Elzinga · 4 November 2010

John Kwok said: No, a targ is a ferocious Klingon boar with the temperment of a Doberman pinscher:
Mike Elzinga said:
Karen S. said:
Indeed. I believe that’s why Ken Miller thinks Mike Behe should be writing the definitive textbook on Klingon biochemistry.
Yes, called Of Pandas and Klingons
If memory serves me correctly, isn’t a panda on Qo’noS called a targ?
So what toy is the stuffed teddy bear equivalent for a Klingon kid?

Stanton · 4 November 2010

Mike Elzinga said:
John Kwok said: No, a targ is a ferocious Klingon boar with the temperment of a Doberman pinscher:
Mike Elzinga said:
Karen S. said:
Indeed. I believe that’s why Ken Miller thinks Mike Behe should be writing the definitive textbook on Klingon biochemistry.
Yes, called Of Pandas and Klingons
If memory serves me correctly, isn’t a panda on Qo’noS called a targ?
So what toy is the stuffed teddy bear equivalent for a Klingon kid?
The targ's heart. Also doubles as a chewtoy.

Ron Okimoto · 5 November 2010

John Kwok said: No, Ron, I didn't miss that Next Generation episode. That was one of the best ones in the latter seasons of ST:TNG IMHO:
It doesn't matter they weren't very consistent. Q took Picard back to the primordial earth and life failed to evolve in the slime puddle. The number of bacteria Picard shed on the primordial earth should have been sufficient to start a new biosphere. The last Star Trek movie solved all the problems and blatant inconsistencies of Enterprise by letting us all know that whole new realities are spawned with every new episode. To bad that we don't seem to be in a reality where intelligent design isn't a scam.

John Kwok · 5 November 2010

Yes, you're right about their inconsistencies, but since one of my relatives won the Romulan scoutship from the episode "The Defector" (It was later recycled for something else, and it's primarily that version which is incorporated in the model she won.), I've tended overlook them:
Ron Okimoto said:
John Kwok said: No, Ron, I didn't miss that Next Generation episode. That was one of the best ones in the latter seasons of ST:TNG IMHO:
It doesn't matter they weren't very consistent. Q took Picard back to the primordial earth and life failed to evolve in the slime puddle. The number of bacteria Picard shed on the primordial earth should have been sufficient to start a new biosphere. The last Star Trek movie solved all the problems and blatant inconsistencies of Enterprise by letting us all know that whole new realities are spawned with every new episode. To bad that we don't seem to be in a reality where intelligent design isn't a scam.
But seriously, I really wish we did live in a "reality where intelligent design isn't a scam". Our only hope is that we should continue speaking out against it and reach out to ID's intended audiences, merely to remind them of the Dishonesty Institute's ongoing efforts in mendacity.

John Kwok · 5 November 2010

I hated the last "Star Trek" film merely because they played too fast and too loose with the well-established canon. Wished Warner Brothers might opt to revive "Babylon 5", though since several of the original cast have died, I strongly doubt it would be the same show (or cinematic adaptation).

John Kwok · 5 November 2010

That sound's right:
Stanton said:
Mike Elzinga said:
John Kwok said: No, a targ is a ferocious Klingon boar with the temperment of a Doberman pinscher:
Mike Elzinga said:
Karen S. said:
Indeed. I believe that’s why Ken Miller thinks Mike Behe should be writing the definitive textbook on Klingon biochemistry.
Yes, called Of Pandas and Klingons
If memory serves me correctly, isn’t a panda on Qo’noS called a targ?
So what toy is the stuffed teddy bear equivalent for a Klingon kid?
The targ's heart. Also doubles as a chewtoy.
But of course the ever "wise" Bill Dembski would chide you for subscribing to such child-like behavior (He did that to me when I had the audacity to suggest to him (during a brief private e-mail correspondence three years ago) that there is more reality behind Klingon Cosmology than there will ever be for Intelligent Design cretinism.

JoeBuddha · 8 November 2010

W. H. Heydt said:
JoeBuddha said:
eric said:
W. H. Heydt said: As any active reader knows, the seeding was done by the Arisians and we'd be on an uninterrupted upward path if not for the intervention of the Eddorians.
E.E. Doc Smith! Great use of the old 'kill grendel, get grendel's mom' device. He ratcheted up the enemies for, what, 7 books?
6, but who's counting...
Depends on how you count _The Vortex Blaster_. --W. H. Heydt Old Used Programmer
I think of _The Vortex Blaster_ as more of an "in the same universe" book.