Jonathan Sarfati, a particularly silly creationist, is quite thrilled — he's crowing about how he has caught Richard Dawkins in a fundamental error. The eye did not evolve, says Sarfati, because it is perfectly designed for its function, and Dawkins' suggestion that there might be something imperfect about it is wrong, wrong, wrong. He quotes Dawkins on the eye.
But I haven't mentioned the most glaring example of imperfection in the optics. The retina is back to front.
Imagine a latter-day Helmholtz presented by an engineer with a digital camera, with its screen of tiny photocells, set up to capture images projected directly on to the surface of the screen. That makes good sense, and obviously each photocell has a wire connecting it to a computing device of some kind where images are collated. Makes sense again. Helmholtz wouldn't send it back.
But now, suppose I tell you that the eye's 'photocells' are pointing backwards, away from the scene being looked at. The 'wires' connecting the photocells to the brain run over all the surface of the retina, so the light rays have to pass through a carpet of massed wires before they hit the photocells. That doesn't make sense…
What Dawkins wrote is quite correct, and nowhere in his refutation does Sarfati show that he is wrong. Instead, Sarfati bumbles about to argue against an argument that no biologist makes, that the eye is a poor instrument for detecting patterns of light. The argument is never that eyes do their job poorly; it's that they do their job well, by a peculiar pattern of kludgy patches to increase functionality that bear all the hallmarks of a long accumulation of refinements. Sarfati is actually supporting the evolutionary story by summarizing a long collection of compromises and odd fixes to improve the functionality of the eye.
There's a fundamental question here: why does the vertebrate eye have its receptors facing backwards in the first place? It is not the best arrangement optically; Sarfati is stretching the facts to claim that God designed it that way because it was superior. It ain't. The reason lies in the way our eye is formed, as an outpocketing of the cortex of the brain. It retains the layered structure of the cortex, even; it's the way it is because of how it was assembled, not because its origins are rooted in optical optimality. You might argue that it's based on a developmental optimum, that this was the easiest, simplest way to turn a light-sensitive patch into a cup-shaped retina.
Evolution has subsequently shaped this patch of tissue for better acuity and sensitivity in certain lineages. That, as I said, is a product of compromises, not pre-planned design. Sarfati brings up a series of odd tweaks that make my case for me.
The vertebrate photoreceptors are nourished and protected by an opaque layer called the retinal pigmented epithelium (RPE). Obviously, you couldn't put the RPE in front of the visual receptors, so the retina had to be reversed to allow it to work. This is a beautiful example of compromise: physiology is improved at the expense of optical clarity. This is exactly what the biologists have been saying! Vertebrates have made a trade-off of better nutrient supplies to the retina for a slight loss of optical clarity.
Sarfati makes the completely nonsensical claim that the presence of blood vessels, cells, etc. in the light path do not compromise vision at all because resolution is limited by diffraction at the pupil, so "improvements of the retina would make no difference to the eye's performance". This is clearly not true. The fovea of the vertebrate eye represents an optimization of a small spot on the retina for better optical properties vs. poorer circulation: blood vessels are excluded from the fovea, which also has a greater density of photoreceptors. Obviously, improvements to the retina do make a difference.
It's also not a condition that is universal in all vertebrates. Most birds, for instance, do not have a vascularized retina — there is no snaky pattern of blood vessels wending their way across the photoreceptors. Birds do have greater acuity than we do, as well. What birds have instead is a strange structure inside their eye called the pecten oculi, which looks kind of like an old steam radiator dangling into the vitreous humor, which seems to be a metabolic specialization to secrete oxygen and nutrients into the vitreous to supply by diffusion the retina.
Sarfati also plays rhetorical games. This is a subtly dishonest argument:
In fact, cephalopods don't see as well as humans, e.g. no colour vision, and the octopus eye structure is totally different and much simpler. It's more like 'a compound eye with a single lens'.
First, there's a stereotype he's playing to: he's trying to set up a hierarchy of superior vision, and he wants our god-designed eyes at the top, so he tells us that most cephalopods have poorer vision than we do. He doesn't bother to mention that humans don't have particularly good vision ourselves; birds have better eyes. So, is God avian?
That business about the cephalopod being like a compound eye is BS; if it's got a single lens, it isn't a compound eye, now is it? It's also again pandering to a bias that our eyes must be better than mere compound eyes, since bugs and other lowly vermin have those. Cephalopods have rhabdomeric eyes, meaning that their photoreceptors have a particular structure and use a particular set of biomolecules in signal transduction, but that does not in any way imply that they are inferior. In fact, they have some superior properties: the cephalopod retina is tightly organized and patterned, with individual rhabdomeres ganged together into units called rhabdomes that work together to process light. Their ordered structure means that cephalopods can detect the polarity of light, something we can't do at all. This is a different kind of complexity, not a lesser one. They can't see color, which is true, but we can't sense the plane of polarity of light in our environment.
I must also note that the functions of acting as a light guide (more below) and using pigment to shield photoreceptors are also present in the cephalopod eye…only by shifting pigments in supporting cells that surround the rhabdome, rather than in a solid RPE. Same functions, different solutions, the cephalopod has merely stumbled across a solution that does not simultaneously impede the passage of light.
Color vision, by the way, is a red herring here. Color is another compromise that has nothing to do with the optical properties of the arrangement of the retina, but is instead a consequence of biochemical properties of the photoreceptors and deeper processing in the brain. If anything, color vision reduces resolution (because individual photoreceptors are tuned to different wavelengths) and always reduces sensitivity (you don't use color receptors at night, you may have noticed, relying instead on rods that are far less specific about wavelength). But if he insists, many teleosts have a greater diversity of photopigments and can see colors we can't even imagine…so humans are once again also-rans in the color vision department.
Sarfati is much taken with the discovery that some of the glial cells of the eye, the Müller cells, act as light guides to help pipe light through the tangle of retinal processing cells direct to the photoreceptors. This is a wonderful innovation, and it is entirely true that in principle this could improve the sensitivity of the photoreceptors. But again, this would not perturb any biologist at all — this is what we expect from evolution, the addition of new features to overcome shortcomings of original organization. If we had a camera that clumsily had the non-optical parts interposed between the lens and the light sensor, we might be impressed with the blind, clumsy intricacy of a solution that involved using an array of fiber optics to shunt light around the opaque junk, but it wouldn't suggest that the original design was particularly good. It would indicate short-term, problem-by-problem debugging rather than clean long-term planning.
Sarfati cannot comprehend why the blind spot would be a sign of poor design, either. He repeats himself: why, it's because the eye needs a blood supply. Yes, it does, and the solution implemented in our eyes is one that compromises resolution. I will again point out that the cephalopod retina also needs a blood supply, and they have a much more elegant solution; the avian eye also needs a blood supply, but is not invested with blood vessels. He gets very circular here. The argument is not that the vertebrate eye lacks a solution to this problem, but that there are many different ways to solve the problem of organizing the retina with its multiple demands, and that the vertebrate eye was clearly not made by assembling the very best solutions.
Sarfati really needs to crawl out of his little sealed box of creationist dogma and discover what scientists actually say about these matters, and not impose his bizarre creationist interpretations on the words of people like Dawkins and Miller. What any comparative biologist can see by looking at eyes across multiple taxa is that they all work well enough for their particular functions, but they all also have clear signs of assembly by a historical process, like evolution and quite unlike creation, and that there is also evidence of shortcomings that have acquired workarounds, some of which are wonderfully and surprisingly useful. What we don't see are signs that the best solutions from each clade have been extracted and placed together in one creature at the pinnacle of creation. And in particular — and this has to be particularly grating to the Genesis-worshipping creationists of Sarfati's ilk, since he studiously avoids the issue — Homo sapiens is not standing alone at that pinnacle of visual excellence. We're kinda straggling partway down the peak, trying to compensate for some relics of our ancestry, like the fact that we're descended from nocturnal mammals that let the refinement of their vision slide for a hundred million years or thereabouts, while the birds kept on optimizing for daylight acuity and sensitivity.
382 Comments
Dale Husband · 7 June 2010
Plus, cephalopod eyes are wired FORWARDS, this debunking the claim by Dr George Marshall that eyes of vertebrates have a good reason to be wired backwards.
It doesn't matter what you claim your scientific credentials to be; if you get caught lying to promote a false dogma, you should be publicly whipped over it.
Nick (Matzke) · 7 June 2010
"The vertebrate photoreceptors are nourished and protected by an opaque layer called the retinal pigmented epithelium (RPE). Obviously, you couldn't put the RPE in front of the visual receptors, so the retina had to be reversed to allow it to work. This is a beautiful example of compromise: physiology is improved at the expense of optical clarity. This is exactly what the biologists have been saying! Vertebrates have made a trade-off of better nutrient supplies to the retina for a slight loss of optical clarity."
This doesn't make sense to me -- octopus retinas are successfully from behind, with the nerves also going out behind as well. All it requires is that the supply cells and the nerve cells interdigitate, which can't be that hard at all for e.g. the hypothetical intelligent designer who allegedly was able to design the rest of the eye.
For the real source of the vertebrate backwards retina, look at the arrangement of the light-sensitive nerve in Amphioxus (the nerve enters the light-sensitive cup from the front).
"They can't see color, which is true, but we can't sense the plane of polarity of light in our environment."
I doubt very much that ALL cephalopods lack color vision. E.g. cuttlefish display compex colored patterns to each other, it seems likely that they can see them. Have the tests been done?
eric · 7 June 2010
I remember watching a nature show on elephants. The narrator (or possibly the naturalist, its a bit hazy) was explaining that you don't try and approach elephants at night, because their night vision is very poor in comparison to most animals and that tends to make them jumpy and aggresive after dark. Their night vision is so poor, he went on to say, that its almost as bad as a human's.
mrg · 7 June 2010
Dawkins did the eye to death in CLIMBING MOUNT IMPROBABLE. But alas, how could we possibly be the least surprised at creationists recycling of their oldest arguments?
Of course, the whole question of "what the Designer might or might not have done" is a trap of sorts. We can point to particular structures as evidence for evolution, but as far as Design goes, there's no structure that *isn't* compatible: IT WAS JUST MADE THAT WAY!
The only question that arises is what the motives of the Designer might be, and since the Designer hasn't seen fit to inform us of His Design decisions, we can pull any rationale we like out of our back pocket, sensible or silly, and defend as having every bit as much support in the evidence as any other (which is, for those with irony deficiency, is precisely none). Indeed, JUST MADE THAT WAY is exactly perfect an answer for ALL the sciences.
The interesting question is: what evidence is NOT compatible with Design? Rabbits in the Precambrian would be showstopper for evo science, but no problem for Design: IT WAS JUST MADE THAT WAY!
PZ Myers · 7 June 2010
The interdigitation is exactly what the cephalopod eye does. As you well know, though, you don't get to demand what's best for vision in your eye via evolution, which is what I mean when I say it's a compromise: vertebrates have adapted an epithelial tissue for nutritive function, which isn't quite as clever or efficient as the cephalopod solution, but it still gets the job done.
Only one species of cephalopod has shown any evidence of color vision, a firefly squid. Many others have been thoroughly tested, and also examined biochemically for color opsins. They only see intensities. Octopus, for instance, can discriminate very fine shades of gray, but try to train them to choose between a red block and a blue block with the same luminance, and they can't tell them apart.
Cuttlefish: no color vision. Surprising, isn't it?
Wayne · 7 June 2010
Could I ask a favor? Could you please use a bigger font? You see, I've lost my reading glasses and am having trouble reading your posts. Thanks.
PZ Myers · 7 June 2010
Here's more about cephalopod vision and camouflage. They're color blind. They try to match textures and patterns.
PZ Myers · 7 June 2010
Most browsers have a command to enlarge text -- on my Mac Firefox, I just hit command-+.
mrg · 7 June 2010
Olorin · 7 June 2010
eric · 7 June 2010
he's trying to set up a hierarchy of superior vision, and he wants our god-designed eyes at the top, so he tells us that most cephalopods have poorer vision than we do.
This being one of the big howlers. The whole idea of there being a hierarchy and a 'top eye' is ridiculous on its face. What is evolutionarily optimal is based on your local ecological niche. There isn't any hierarchy. The best eye for a hawk may not be the best eye for a human (I have better uses for my brain than optimized visual signal interpretation, thank you); same goes for the octopus.
Of course having said that, Sarfati's still wrong. Even if we assume that current human vision is the "goal" (i.e. saying for sake of argument that our actual visual capability is optimal for us), it is still true that one could design a better eye to achieve that visual capability. Which as PZ says is the point: not that the eye is poor - its not - but that there are obvious better ways of achieving the same result.
fasteddie · 7 June 2010
I am going to kick square in the nuts the next creationist who says the eye is perfectly designed. The eye is a flawed organ; but for optometrists and opthomologists, many humans would be functionally blind before adulthood.
And I'm betting eagles have better eyes than any human.
Henry J · 7 June 2010
But what if they say that on a blog rather than in person?
mrg · 7 June 2010
fnxtr · 7 June 2010
Would colour vision be of any use to benthic creatures? Is there any indication that modern cephalopods developed from deep-sea dwellers?
Helena Constantine · 7 June 2010
That is very strange about cephalopod color vision. I always imagined that if I wrote a science fiction story, the aliens could be similar to squid and would communicate entirely by detailed pattern and color changes on their skins. That would be so much more subtle than human speech it would given them an advantage over us. And imagine what it would look like when they performed their analog of opera. But then, I suppose, they would want to eat us when the stars are right.
Intelligent Designer · 7 June 2010
FL · 7 June 2010
PZ Myers · 7 June 2010
There was no expectation that Müller cells would act as light guides -- the range of possibilities generated by evolutionary processes are so great and so unpredictable that no one can lay out a specific next step for anything. What we expect from evolution is novelty of some sort that, if beneficial (and sometimes if not), will be used to compensate. That's what kludges are.
If you think evolution is dying, you need to get out more.
meganfox · 7 June 2010
Intelligent Designer · 7 June 2010
Thinking out of the box, maybe the purpose of the design is not optimal vision. The eye presents the brain with information that needs to be processed. If our brains were processing all the information presented to bird brains they wouldn't have the computing resources for higher level thought processes.
Flint · 7 June 2010
John Vanko · 7 June 2010
SteveF · 7 June 2010
David Tyler is indeed an expert on evolution. He has laid out his published research on the topic in such prestigious journals as, er, Stitch World and other textiles related venues:
http://www.hollings.mmu.ac.uk/~dtyler/
He's also a maverick when it comes to Young Earth Creationism - our Dave believes the early to be as old as 10,000 years and that the Flood deposited only the very earliest part of the geologic record. He thinks outside the box does David J Tyler.
Definitely an authority to be trusted when dealing with the latest news relevant to evolutionary biology. You can see why he was the go to guy for ARN.
Flint · 7 June 2010
meganfox · 7 June 2010
meganfox · 7 June 2010
harold · 7 June 2010
meganfox · 7 June 2010
Please explain how life appears to have been evolved. Thank You.
John Vanko · 7 June 2010
Intelligent Designer · 7 June 2010
harold · 7 June 2010
Lest there is some confusion, although I can't understand how there could be, I did not say "that's a very good point" to Intelligent Designer because I have suddenly become a creationist - as the rest of my comment should make clear.
I said that because he inadvertently makes a good point about the weakness of vague claims of "design". Anyone can also say that anything was magically designed to look a certain way.
Dale Husband · 7 June 2010
John Vanko · 7 June 2010
RAM · 7 June 2010
When Sarfati's article was posted, I made the following reply, which was acknowledged but never answered:
"Dear CMI -
I would agree that Dawkins lays undue stress on the "backward" arrangement of the retinal layers in the vertebrate eye, but this argument is not 20 years old. It is more like 120 years old, having been made by Helmholz in the nineteenth century. But I am also surprised that both he and Dr. Sarfati have not addressed the real reason that reason that the layers of the retina are ordered the way that they are. The arrangement derives directly from the embryological origin of the retina as an outgrowth of the developing brain – the order of the layers is fixed long before the eye functions as an optical instrument.
The point that Dawkins makes explicitly, and that Sarfati has apparently failed to appreciate, is that what would appear to be a drawback in design is well compensated for by numerous adaptations that have arisen during the evolution of the eye. Because these improvements and compensations are applied to a structure whose basic layout is “locked in” by its evolutionary heritage, all vertebrate eyes have the “backwards retina” in common. This arrangement underlies all of the various adaptations and is not due to “the need to regenerate the photocells” as Dr. Sarfati claims. Evolution does not (and cannot) make major changes (such as reversing the order of the retinal layers) de novo, but must build on what has gone before – that is the essence of “descent with modification.”
Simply put, the excellent performance of the eye is not due to the particular ordering of the retinal layers, but is in fact a tribute to the effectiveness of evolutionary processes in working with the materials and structures at hand in order to produce a structure. Perhaps is it time to add this topic to “arguments creationists should not use.”
I'm not holding my breath.
harold · 7 June 2010
harold · 7 June 2010
John Vanko · 7 June 2010
Torbach · 7 June 2010
Dale Husband · 7 June 2010
MrG · 7 June 2010
meganfox · 7 June 2010
harold · 7 June 2010
meganfox · 7 June 2010
If evolution can be demonstrated by both gradualism and non-gradualism how would you disprove it? Could species just appear abruptly and that would verify evolution and if they appear gradually that would also verify it? What would NOT verify it?
meganfox · 7 June 2010
eric · 7 June 2010
meganfox · 7 June 2010
harold · 7 June 2010
Stanton · 7 June 2010
MrG · 7 June 2010
harold · 7 June 2010
harold · 7 June 2010
Dale Husband -
Thanks. The one advantage of seeing the same ridiculous fallacies repeated over and over is that one gets better at responding to them.
harold · 7 June 2010
meganfox -
One final comment from me to you for now. I would love an answer.
Forget evolution. Pretend we both agree life on earth doesn't evolve. We don't need to worry about it.
How did the diverse forms of life in the biosphere get here? What happened? Don't worry about evolution. Just tell me what really happened.
Cubist · 7 June 2010
fnxtr · 7 June 2010
meganfox · 7 June 2010
meganfox · 7 June 2010
meganfox · 7 June 2010
meganfox · 7 June 2010
"Forget evolution. Pretend we both agree life on earth doesn’t evolve. We don’t need to worry about it."
That is ridiculous. Like saying forget gravity and then try to explain the movements of the planets. Sorry, I think you are in left field.
MrG · 7 June 2010
meganfox · 7 June 2010
meganfox · 7 June 2010
meganfox · 7 June 2010
meganfox · 7 June 2010
meganfox · 7 June 2010
"I don’t agree that any level of fossil record can ever disprove the claim that “the fossils were designed to look that way”."
Well I certain think there could be enough evidence. If you want to BELIEVE life was designed you are welcome to that belief but it is NOT science. I think we have enough evidence now that evolution happened and is happening.
meganfox · 7 June 2010
Torbach · 7 June 2010
oh is good joke, yah, high five.
Alex H · 8 June 2010
Scott · 8 June 2010
A: Life did in fact evolve through natural means (as Stanton commented); or
B: Life evolved through the invisible hand of a deity (ie theistic evolution); or
C: Life was created last Thursday to appear evolved.
D: Variations on the above.
The consensus of scientists and PT regulars is option "A". Before we go making more unwarranted assumptions about your beliefs, what is your choice from the options above? If you avoid the question, or choose none of the above, we can only conclude that you are a Creationist troll. We would like to be proven wrong.Scott · 8 June 2010
E: Life does not appear to be evolved, but appears to be created/designed.
While this is the choice of Creationists and IDiots, it does not explain the appearance of evolved life, but rather denies all the evidence of the appearance of evolved life. If we can't even agree on fundamental facts, then option "E" is a non-starter, scientifically.Scott · 8 June 2010
Dave Luckett · 8 June 2010
Intelligent Designer · 8 June 2010
Intelligent Designer · 8 June 2010
SWT · 8 June 2010
Intelligent Designer · 8 June 2010
Intelligent Designer · 8 June 2010
Cubist · 8 June 2010
Dave Luckett · 8 June 2010
eddie · 8 June 2010
The Founding Mothers · 8 June 2010
Cubist: What Dave said. In general, relative fitness is a more appropriate measure to think of, although there are some problems associated with this measure as well, and fitness is sometimes difficult to define.
Basically, as long as you produce more offspring than others in your population (and this trait remains heritable in the environment), this 'type will come to dominate (higher frequencies) in the local population.
It doesn't matter if you have fewer offspring than your parents, or if you produce on average fewer than 1 offspring per-capita (although this tends to lead to extinction), your 'type will still dominate the local population.
The Founding Mothers · 8 June 2010
meganfox · 8 June 2010
meganfox · 8 June 2010
meganfox · 8 June 2010
Dave Luckett · 8 June 2010
"Natural selection has limitations".
Well, yes. For instance, it can't select for characteristics that don't exist, or else we'd have fibre-optic nerves and tungsten-steel backbones. But if natural selection works as stated - a proposition for which the phrase "mountains of evidence" might have been invented - then the boot goes on to the other foot. If you say it has limitations, that's your proposition, and it's up to you to demonstrate it, or at to least functionally specify the limitations you mean, which should suggest how they might be tested for.
Sorry, but vague quibbling about "limitations" doesn't cut it. What limitations? Operating how? More importantly, doing what?
For here's the thing: of course natural selection has limitations. But what you are insinuating is that it has limitations that challenge universal common descent. If you think you know of one such, trot it out, and let's see the evidence.
MrG · 8 June 2010
FWIW, NCSE had an article on Popper VS evolution:
http://ncse.com/cej/6/2/what-did-karl-popper-really-say-evolution
Haven't looked it over in any detail myself. I just installed Win7 on my PC and have been working long hours trying to get everything working again. "Three times moved same as once burned down."
Christina Hendricks · 8 June 2010
meganfox · 8 June 2010
meganfox · 8 June 2010
MrG · 8 June 2010
meganfox · 8 June 2010
meganfox · 8 June 2010
SWT · 8 June 2010
meganfox · 8 June 2010
Stanton · 8 June 2010
Megan fox, your vociferous quibbling and goalpost moving are boring, to say nothing of your constant skirting of other people's questions by going "nuh-uh"
If evolution were not true, we would not see any evidence of common descent; therefore, we would see that cats and dogs are not related, that species literally, magically appear out of nowhere, that biological structures really were "irreducibly complex" because some unknowable Intelligent Designer tampered them, that there would be no evolutionary trends in documented lineages, or even that children would not be related to their parents.
Furthermore, don't fool yourself into thinking that you can redefine Intelligent Design
Theoryso as to need an impossibly complete fossil record to defeat it, especially when it was never intended to be an explanation in the first place. If you want to find out about the potential falsifiability of Evolution, go read an evolutionary biology textbook, and stop bothering us.MrG · 8 June 2010
And now the discussion goes into perpetual motion until the moderate decides to shut it down.
harold · 8 June 2010
Robin · 8 June 2010
meganfox · 8 June 2010
Theoryso as to need an impossibly complete fossil record to defeat it, ......... when did I say that? Are you reading OK?? especially when it was never intended to be an explanation in the first place. If you want to find out about the potential falsifiability of Evolution, go read an evolutionary biology textbook, and stop bothering us. ........ look if you cannot understand my points you really need to read Popper very carefully. Please do not respond to me any more. You are not making sense.meganfox · 8 June 2010
kakapo · 8 June 2010
m.fox is just generating argument to have argument. he/she/it is taking the "opposite side" to anything that anyone writes.
SWT · 8 June 2010
Robin · 8 June 2010
harold · 8 June 2010
MrG · 8 June 2010
harold · 8 June 2010
MrG · 8 June 2010
harold · 8 June 2010
eric · 8 June 2010
eric · 8 June 2010
oops...patently untrue. D'oh!
John Vanko · 8 June 2010
David Fickett-Wilbar · 8 June 2010
Robin · 8 June 2010
Maybe Ms. Fox is playing the part of a creationist or Popperist in some up coming movie and was here practicing some method acting. Just a thought...
meganfox · 8 June 2010
Cubist · 8 June 2010
Torbach · 8 June 2010
& to be clear, that is the only time i have "pretended" to be meganfox, if the admins can check IP's it will clearly show that.
MrG · 8 June 2010
MrrKAT · 8 June 2010
Dr. Sarfati et al should try this test:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DIi8h8u434s
Our vision was not designed for Newspapers and computer screens..
==:) Far-sighted ID's don't exist ;)
Dave Luckett · 8 June 2010
Robin · 8 June 2010
Dave Luckett · 8 June 2010
Meganfox says that the Theory of Evolution cannot be falsified.
If it can't be falsified, then it must follow that there is no conceivable evidence that would demonstrate that it is wrong in any vital particular.
But such evidence is conceivable. A demonstrated case where a species did not undergo adaptation or change in population in response to change in environment. A demonstrated biological mechanism that prevented change in allele beyond some given bound. A case where allele change spread through a population despite providing a relative reproductive disadvantage, or did not spread despite conferring one. Any of these would demonstrate that the Theory of Evolution is wrong in some vital particular.
These events are conceivable and would be observable if they occurred, and they would falsify the Theory of Evolution. Ergo, the Theory of Evolution is falsifiable.
SWT · 8 June 2010
meganfox · 8 June 2010
[He is not saying that the FSM is a scientific explanation. He is making the obvious point that science cannot “rule out” or “disprove” such explanations, but can only provide a testable scientific explanation.]
You cannot be serious! Science can and SHOULD rule out supernatural explanations. Otherwise they can always say Goddditit! or FSMdidit!
meganfox · 8 June 2010
meganfox · 8 June 2010
meganfox · 8 June 2010
meganfox · 8 June 2010
eric · 8 June 2010
eric · 8 June 2010
While you're at it, you could also explain what Popperism has to do with Sarfati claiming that the mammalian blind spot is part of some intelligent design. Because right now you look like a philosopher shopping for an audience rather than someone interested in discussing the original post.
Robin · 8 June 2010
SWT · 8 June 2010
meganfox · 8 June 2010
meganfox · 8 June 2010
Mike Elzinga · 8 June 2010
eric · 8 June 2010
Robin · 8 June 2010
meganfox · 8 June 2010
JT · 8 June 2010
Mike Elzinga · 8 June 2010
meganfox · 8 June 2010
meganfox · 8 June 2010
meganfox · 8 June 2010
Only then would I like to hear why you think a specific instance, such as a Precambrian rabbit, doesn’t make the cut.
..... I already explained that in a previous post.
Matt Bright · 8 June 2010
Ok, I have a hypothesis. If you will.
Meganfox is a new and comparatively clever ID troll, retreating to an even thinner end of the Wedge. It accepts evolution, but denies that it's falsifiable - it must therefore be accepted at least partially on faith*.
If it creates enough confusion, it hopes to elicit an unthinking agreement with the pro-evolution part of a post that through lazy phrasing might appear also to agree with the falsifiability argument. It can then triumphantly claim it has unmasked the truth - that 'evolutionists' really do believe through faith after all.
Note, for example, the absurd phraseology of '[Popper is not] god or Darwin...' upthread. It's mimicing what it thinks 'evolutionists' really believe in the hope of catching them
agreeing with it.
Mike Elzinga · 8 June 2010
Mike Elzinga · 8 June 2010
stevaroni · 8 June 2010
SWT · 8 June 2010
eric · 8 June 2010
Mike Elzinga · 8 June 2010
Robin · 8 June 2010
Robin · 8 June 2010
meganfox · 8 June 2010
meganfox · 8 June 2010
Mike Elzinga · 8 June 2010
meganfox · 8 June 2010
Mike Elzinga · 8 June 2010
meganfox · 8 June 2010
You are still evading my point.
Explain falsfiability. This is not hard if you actually know what it means.
.... a theory or hypothesis is not scientific unless in can be 'falsified' meaning that if the theory is incorrect we can make an observation to verify that. classic example: no parallax
Then explain why you think this is not adequate. Again, if you really understand it, you can demonstrate it very easily.
....well historical sciences. the assertion that the assassination of archduke led to WWI. what would we observe if his death was NOT the cause of WWI? theory: dinosaurs would have developed large brains if the meteor did not hit and would be flying airplanes now. another:
So far you are just tossing around words that allude to concepts you don’t appear to understand.
..... to me it appears that you do not understand the concepts.
This should be easy for you. You don’t need a lot of smoke and words.
Do you understand anything about the concepts of logic? You could start there if you do.
....logic: well in science correlation does not necessarily mean cause and effect.
.......OK YOUR turn. show me you know these concepts by expanding on what I have just done.
meganfox · 8 June 2010
meganfox · 8 June 2010
""If it can’t be falsified, then it must follow that there is no conceivable evidence that would demonstrate that it is wrong in any vital particular.""
^^ incorrect. Read Popper!
Mike Elzinga · 8 June 2010
PZ Myers · 8 June 2010
We're all being played. "meganfox" is simply a creationist troll who has drawn out lots of pointless replies from everyone.
Popper is irrelevant. She's not going to answer anything. Just ignore her.
meganfox · 8 June 2010
This comment has been moved to The Bathroom Wall.
meganfox · 8 June 2010
This comment has been moved to The Bathroom Wall.
Mike Elzinga · 8 June 2010
meganfox · 8 June 2010
This comment has been moved to The Bathroom Wall.
Mike Elzinga · 8 June 2010
Robin · 8 June 2010
meganfox · 8 June 2010
This comment has been moved to The Bathroom Wall.
Robin · 8 June 2010
meganfox · 8 June 2010
This comment has been moved to The Bathroom Wall.
meganfox · 8 June 2010
This comment has been moved to The Bathroom Wall.
meganfox · 8 June 2010
This comment has been moved to The Bathroom Wall.
SWT · 8 June 2010
SWT · 8 June 2010
David Fickett-Wilbar · 8 June 2010
harold · 8 June 2010
PZ Myers · 8 June 2010
Enough. "meganfox" is done, and is going away right now.
meganfox · 8 June 2010
This comment has been moved to The Bathroom Wall.
meganfox · 8 June 2010
This comment has been moved to The Bathroom Wall.
meganfox · 8 June 2010
This comment has been moved to The Bathroom Wall.
PZ Myers · 8 June 2010
I'm serious, meganfox. Further comments by you will simply be banished to the bathroom wall. You are obsessive and tiresome and are not promoting any kind of useful conversation.
meganfox · 8 June 2010
This comment has been moved to The Bathroom Wall.
meganfox · 8 June 2010
This comment has been moved to The Bathroom Wall.
meganfox · 8 June 2010
This comment has been moved to The Bathroom Wall.
Mike Elzinga · 8 June 2010
Now that we have a clear record of intent by this troll, I don’t think any of the monitors here on PT can be criticized for banning this troll permanently.
meganfox · 8 June 2010
This comment has been moved to The Bathroom Wall.
Peter Henderson · 8 June 2010
Peter Henderson · 8 June 2010
P.S. Nice article on the eye PZ. I liked the cartoon.
I might post it on Premier's forum just to annoy the fundees !
raven · 8 June 2010
David Utidjian · 8 June 2010
Gawd that was painful reading to get through... I seem to recall we had another troll here on PT that had a similar style as MF. The same stultifying inability to directly address a question or point, the same misdirection, and the same style of quoting posts it was responding to. I can't recall the previous troll's handle or the particular subject... but reading all the previous comments was like deja vu all over again.
eddie · 8 June 2010
David Utidjian · 8 June 2010
harold · 8 June 2010
Stanton · 8 June 2010
David Utidjian · 8 June 2010
Harold,
I understand your point. It is just that I often hear about the Germ Theory of Disease from creationists (I know Raven isn't a creationist). The creationists try to make out that they are the ones that came up with the theory (or some such.)
If I understand it correctly there are exceptions to each of Koch's Postulates such that one or more of them may not (or can not) be fulfilled and that the disease is still caused by a particular pathogen.
The reason I brought up pellagra is because it was originally thought to have been caused by a pathogen but turned out to be a deficiency disease.
Yes, I should have been more clear about what I meant by heart disease(s).
Dave Luckett · 8 June 2010
Meganfox seemed to have been noodling around with Popper's observation that naive falsification - that is, one definite, undeniable, contrary datum - does not actually cause a theory well-supported by other evidence to be completely discarded. He observed that if the contrary datum were verified by repeated observation, then the eventual upshot was that the theory was only modified in an attempt to accommodate the datum. Even if this were impossible, the theory would remain until or unless some new theory that explained all the data were produced and its predictions tested against all data, old and new.
This, I understand, for example, is the current state of play with the contradictions between the Theory of General Relativity and Quantum Mechanics. Neither explains all the data sets. The search is on for a theory that does. Meanwhile, physicists use the theory they have.
But Popper (nor anyone else, so far as I know) did not by this observation discard the concept of falsification. Late in life he recognised that the Theory of Evolution was falsifiable by observation. He would still have held that such a falsification would not cause it to be discarded instantly, and in this he was certainly right. But he did not deny that falsifiabity exists, and (at least late in life) agreed that it could apply to the Theory of Evolution, contra meganfox.
But, as I remarked some time back, this theoretical and philosophical quibbling is almost irrelevant to science in general as it is actually done, and to the Theory of Evolution in particular. For actual scientists doing actual science, the point is that no falsifying datum has been adduced that would be vital to evolution.
Yes, succeeding waves of scientific discoveries have modified some aspects of the theory. But the fundamental concepts of universal common descent, with speciation arising over very deep time from individual difference, hereditable traits and natural selection are unshaken, and are now pretty well unshakeable. In fact, they were so in 1880.
Now, meganfox says s/he accepts the TOE, and is not a creationist. Fine. But I think Matt Bright's June 8, 2010 2:32 PM nailed it. Fox is making an attempt to argue that the Theory of Evolution is unfalsifiable in the same way as religion is unfalsifiable.
Like Max, I very strongly suspect the motives and the bona fides of anyone trying to make such an argument, especially in so obscure and obfuscatory a manner as this. If it were slipped through, it would make it possible to argue further that the lack of falsifiability undermined the status of the Theory of Evolution as a "scientific" theory.
Fortunately, this development falls to the ground. The prior argument is false. The Theory of Evolution is falsifiable, but has not been falsified. It is a scientific theory, and should be taught as science. Special creation by supernatural or unknown means is not falsifiable, is not a scientific theory, and shouldn't be.
mplavcan · 8 June 2010
Torbach · 8 June 2010
SWT · 8 June 2010
Dave Luckett · 8 June 2010
Torbach · 9 June 2010
right i see, data is just data, but the question one posits based on the data must be testable, and verifiable.
So If it is impossible to verify, we can also say it is impossible to falsify?
thus not scientific.
verification (to find something true) and falsification (to find something false) exists only as a pair.
Well the only thing ID had was irreducible complexity. So IC would have to make a prediction off the premise that an organ formed without any gradual change?
And how (rhetorical) could it be possible to verify an organ just appeared from nothing? Even if a bunch of chemicals in a bucket, struck with a zeus like bolt of lightning that created a protein, is still a gradual chain constructed by chemical pieces + energy in a measurable and observable process.
Even a strand of DNA is made of PARTS that when you remove a couple they still do something in the universe, they just don't do the same function, that doesn't mean they have no function.
You know what gets me, the idea of Irreducible complexity is almost brilliant imo, it has this simple and almost pedestrian logic to it at first glance. I know i'm not smart/creative enough to imagine it, so How could Behe be smart enough to come up with the concept yet NOT be wise enough to know it is not science?
Ok well, let me see if i'm still grasping this 100% by constructing a falsifiable scenario
verifying Natural selection means seeing a dominating moth color (hunted by birds that rely on brightness) match that of the environment and change with it gradually.
Should it be observed (with no other variables creating error) at nearly any point ('nearly' because we need a few thousand births and deaths to rule out random static) that the average tone in moths create GREATER contrast compared to the environment the prediction of NS would be shown falsified?
is that good enough?
Scott · 9 June 2010
Mike Elzinga · 9 June 2010
Dave Luckett · 9 June 2010
If the moth were actually edible to its possible predators, yes. If the moth were poisonous (or even merely bad-tasting) to possible predators, the opposite would apply. Predators would learn to avoid it, and it would get eaten only by mistake. Individuals with colouration that made such mistakes less likely would than be advantaged - ie, such individuals would actually be advantaged by being conspicuous.
Hence, a moth that was poisonous or bad-tasting would actually be likely to brighten its coloration, over time, once its poison or bad tasting qualities evolve.
eddie · 9 June 2010
Mike Elzinga · 9 June 2010
In the logic of P implies Q, then NOT Q implies NOT P, the implied Q could also be a mistake.
There have been a number of cases in physics, for example, where an experiment did not produce the expected results. It later turned out that the very complicated theoretical calculations predicting results contained an error.
So in these cases, the implied Q was wrong; and it took a lot of effort and cross-checking to find the errors.
Torbach · 9 June 2010
eddie · 9 June 2010
Dave Luckett · 9 June 2010
Rolf Aalberg · 9 June 2010
Christina Hendricks · 9 June 2010
Ntrsvic · 9 June 2010
Robert Byers · 9 June 2010
A few points here.
I have had serious problems with eyesight and am blind in one eye.
I know there is not competent science bringing an end to blindness. so why do evolution fans say they know how eyes came about?! If they can't fix what's staring us in the face?!
The eye is so complex in its machine that its construction is likely also complex.
So how does My myers know its not right or the way he would of done it?!
Present the better model, maybe by computer and not a working one, and show how the better eye would handle all needs.
I got a hunch its reasonable to conclude the imperfect eye is dealing with concepts not understood by folks today.
Another point for biblical creationists is that upon the historic fall, and so death/decay, its a option that all body parts had to react to a new universe. so its possible our present eye is a change from the original. like women acquiring changes that made them newly have grea birthing pains.
As in our DNA and everything we could also have had profound eye change in order to deal with a new type of world.
I'm just saying again that the original creation was corrupted by the fall in ecery way and so all of biology can't confidently be a trail back to a perfect creation.
Present biology is a very poor memory of the eternal biology we had before Adam/Eves fruit ambitions.
The eye, by the way, is a historic good point of the wonderful complexity and impossibility of the throw of the dice. Historic.
Dave Luckett · 9 June 2010
Verging on the completely incoherent, with the necessary interlarding of "Biblical references", several of which aren't actually there (a new universe, I mean, really!) A straight-out lie to begin with (competent science can end blindness - see the work of Fred Hollows), an admission of desperate ignorance (the eye's 'construction is likely also complex') and a piece of drooling idiocy (why can't we repair the eye, if we know how it evolved?) that quite takes the breath away.
Back on song, Byers. A good 7.5, maybe an 8.
Ntrsvic · 9 June 2010
eddie · 9 June 2010
Kevin B · 9 June 2010
MrG · 9 June 2010
Dave Luckett · 9 June 2010
W. Kevin Vicklund · 9 June 2010
raven · 9 June 2010
Natural selection as a concept doesn't exist in a vacuum. It is a component of a larger theory, the modern Darwinian theory of evolution.
Evolution is nonrandom survival (natural selection) of randomly varying (mutation) replicators.
If natural selection was false, evolution would not occur. This is easily falsifiable. It happens that after 150 years and an enormous amount of effort to be asymptopically approaching true.
Next up. Falsifying the Theory of Internal Combustion Engines which states (among other corollaries) that engines burning combustible liquids in enclosed chambers are capable of driving wheeled vehicles.
Going to repeat my earlier point. The hardest theories to falsify are ones that are true.
Today evolution looks like an unmovable object. But during the last 150 years, it wasn't so. The mechanism of heredity was unknown till Mendel. The molecular basis of genes, DNA was unknown. The fossil record was very incomplete. The age of the earth wasn't known except that it was old but old enough? For 150 years, any new discoveries could have falsified evolution. The fact is, all new discoveries only strengthened and expanded the theory.
raven · 9 June 2010
Scott · 9 June 2010
Robin · 9 June 2010
Natman · 9 June 2010
eric · 9 June 2010
MrG · 9 June 2010
harold · 9 June 2010
harold · 9 June 2010
Mike Elzinga · 9 June 2010
Robin · 9 June 2010
harold · 9 June 2010
For completeness, I should note that the existence of elaborate anatomic and behavioral displays which seem to be exclusively related to mating is, in itself, to a reasonable person, an observation which supports the idea of sexual selection.
Again, the idea of sexual selection is a testable hypothesis, not a post hoc rationalization.
fnxtr · 9 June 2010
Helena Constantine · 9 June 2010
This probably helps to explain what Megan Fox was up to:
http://www.theness.com/neurologicablog/?p=2032#more-2032
Robin · 9 June 2010
Ntrsvic · 9 June 2010
harold · 9 June 2010
Helena Constantine -
That's "meganfox". That poster conceded that he or she was not the entertainer Megan Fox.
Anyway, yes, I think you are on the right track.
My personal guess (more or less a testable hypothesis, should verifying observations become available) is that both the nut you reference and meganfox, assuming that they are not the same individual, are in fact creationists of the type who become so obsessive that they feel the need to "disguise" themselves as "atheists" or "humanists" in the hopes of setting up some crazy "gotcha" game. PZ Myers said approximately the same thing about meganfox hundreds of posts ago, of course.
I've seen this strategy used before...
"I'll claim to be an atheist, then spin some crazy semantic game designed to confuse and trick people into 'conceding' that 'evolution' is ultimately 'no more scientific' than 'creationism', and then I'll 'win' by claiming to have 'proved' that 'you might as well arbitrarily choose creationism'".
I have no idea what kind of sweaty torments would provoke this kind of behavior - essentially, a desperate effort to, at best, keep up some bamboozling, nihilistic con game. Clearly, this type of thing has nothing to do with traditional Christianity, and a lot to do with a paranoid obsession with "winning" an imagined "debate" by any means possible. Arguing against their own cognitive dissonance may be an element.
harold · 9 June 2010
MrG · 9 June 2010
Explaining the thinking of a baloney peddler such as MF is a dubious game, but some things are apparent.
People in a position of authority or with a professional reputation to maintain tend to be careful about what they say because talking foolish baloney is likely to cost them.
Now if Joe Baloney isn't either in a position of authority or have a professional reputation to maintain, he can say ANYTHING HE LIKES! Blatant baloney that everyone knows is baloney, what of it? And on the other side of that coin, lacking authority or professional achievements -- this ends up being the closest thing Joe B. can come to feeling clever about anything. He's got nothing else to write home about.
Intelligent Designer · 9 June 2010
harold · 9 June 2010
MrG -
Yep, that's part of it, too.
I first became aware of creationists in 1999 (much later than veterans like Mike Elzinga).
The model that really helps me to predict their behavior (not understand their inner thoughts, but predict their behavior) is to note tendency toward authoritarian behavior.
What we view as "true" or "false" or "rational" doesn't seem to matter to them in the same way. The truth to them is apparently whatever you can convince, force, or trick other people into openly claiming they believe. Objective evaluation of the other person's arguments has no role. The only goal is to prevail over their arguments, by any means you can. Anything that "hurts evolution" is fair game.
This makes sense of so many things that otherwise seem mysterious.
For example, traditional Christian martyrs suffered and died rather than deny their openly declared faith in a very specific deity.
Whereas we see creationists hide or even misrepresent their own beliefs (to the extent that the actual specific beliefs of some prominent DI types can't be determined), dissemble about the identify of the "designer", make alliances of convenience with those whose beliefs are antithetical to their own except for mutual denial of evolution, use arguments that they know are wrong (sometimes trivially wrong) when they think the audience they are in front of will be fooled, ignore questions that clearly challenge their position without being bothered by their inability to answer, seem to seek out inappropriate venues to express their beliefs when there are numerous private schools and churches in which they can freely express their beliefs all day long, focus heavily on pseudo-legal logic games, insult and exclude those whom they see as opponents when they think they have power (in sharp contrast to traditional Christian efforts to save the sinners), etc.
I learned this the hard way. I went through a brief period of thinking that these might be sincere people torn between a comforting faith and an imperfect but disturbing awareness of science. Such a conception led to expectations of finding common ground, mutual willingness to consider the argument of the other person, not expecting unjustified and unprovoked insults, not expecting to see really obvious falsehoods repeatedly stated even after correction, etc. But I learned.
harold · 9 June 2010
Mike Elzinga · 9 June 2010
Mike Elzinga · 9 June 2010
MrG · 9 June 2010
eddie · 9 June 2010
Malchus · 9 June 2010
eddie · 9 June 2010
Malchus · 9 June 2010
DS · 9 June 2010
eddie wrote (about sexual selection):
"Do I think it falls within Popper’s original definition of a falsifiable science? No."
Please explain why the hypothesis of sexual selection is not falsifiable. Is natural selection falsifiable? Is descent with modification falsifiable? Is genetic drift falsifiable? Is the evolution of the eye falsifiable? Is any scientific hypothesis falsifiable?
eddie · 9 June 2010
SWT · 9 June 2010
DS · 9 June 2010
eddie wrote:
"Pure Popperian falsification depends upon designing an experimentum crucis. This (er..) ‘crucially’ involves a repeatable test in which the critical hypothesis of a theory would be undermined by the ‘wrong’ data being produced from the experiment."
So then, can an experiment be designed that could produce results that would not be consistent with the hypothesis of sexual selection? Have such experiments been designed and performed? Could they produce results inconsistent with the hypothesis? Do they always produce results inconsistent with the hypothesis? Do any produce results consistent with the hypothesis?
DS · 9 June 2010
eddie wrote:
"But what if the bacteria had failed to adjust? Well, it doesn’t disprove their ability to do so. They just wouldn’t have done so in this particular case."
How many experiments have been performed in which random mutations and natural selection produced adaptations? If no evidence of random mutations and no evidence of natural selection were ever found in any experiment, wouldn't that falsify the hypothesis? If no evidence of these processes were ever observed in nature, wouldn't that falsify the hypothesis? See, the thing is, that it is not necessary for the results of any one experiment or observation to falsify an entire theory in it's entirety. But every result for every experiment and every observation is either consistent or inconsistent with theory.
eric · 9 June 2010
Malchus · 9 June 2010
Malchus · 9 June 2010
eddie · 9 June 2010
I think the problem here is that (almost) everyone is confusing confirmation, falsifiability and whether a theory is true or false.
And yes, if a theory has passed every conceivable falsification test, it remains falsifiable. That merely adds to the likelihood of the theory being true. It remains the case that Newtonian gravitation (pace Einstein) is easy to subject to a falsification test. It hasn't been falsified, so it's likely to be true. That's the difference between falsifiability and proving something false.
There is plenty of confirmation of evolution. Loads and loads of it. Examples given above provide some of the evidence which confirms evolution. No question.
There are also some aspects of technical stuff related to evolution which can (probably) be falsified. But not, in my opinion, the central hypothesis itself.
The key issue seems to be that posters here want evolution to fall into Popper's definition of a falsifiable hypothesis. I would simply ask why?
He's just one bloke, with an idea of what constitutes a definition of a particular category of hypothesis.
So what if evolution is good at being confirmed but rubbish at being falsified (under Popper's definition of the term)? Why the desperate need to make it conform to Popper's definition?
Anyway, probably my last post on the subject since, as others have noted, this isn't really going anywhere. And I think the 'debate' is literally semantic and not substantial, since I don't disagree with the science but with the application of a philosophical term.
SWT · 9 June 2010
raven · 9 June 2010
raven · 9 June 2010
Going to repeat once again a simple point.
Natural selection doesn't exist by itself. It is a critical part of the modern Darwinian Theory of Evolution. It is easy to falsify. No natural selection, no evolution.
Artificial selection is simply a subset of natural selection, applying nonrandom survival of randomly varying replicators. And equally easy to falsify. No artificial selection, no dogs, no cats, no domestic crops, no domestic animals, probably no modern civilization.
This is why no one spends too much time trying to falsify either. It is just plain glaringly obvious by now and we have better things to do.
Scott · 10 June 2010
I'd go with, "eddie's not a troll" :-). M.fox never even tried to answer a question. Eddie has done so. (Don't know if I agree or not, but he's being way more coherent than M.fox was.) If eddie is a troll, he's a much better class of troll that PT has seen recently.
I know nothing of Popper or his definition of terms. But in general, it seems to me the problem boils down to: If theory X can explain all possible observations, then X really explains nothing. By "possible observations", I don't mean "all observations that have been made", but rather "all observations that could ever be made", including those that we consider (today) to be impossible. For example, Last-Thursday-ism can explain anything, no matter what is observed. Last-Thursday-ism could explain the moon resting comfortably on the top of Mount Everest. (That's how the FSM made it.)
In contrast, there are potential observations that might (or might have in the past) not been compatible with ToE, as have already been given here. Just because the "unlikely" observations weren't observed doesn't mean that they couldn't have been observed.
I think that the need to conform to some definition of "falsifiable", is that a "scientific" theory needs to be "testable" in some sense. If there is no possible observation that could not be explained by a theory, then there can be no way to test if the theory is true or not true. If that isn't "Popper", then call it something else.
That's more hand waving than precision, but I hope it makes sense.
Of course by this reasoning, if we ever do come up with a "theory of everything", could it even be tested "scientifically" if it could explain "everything"? :-)
Dave Luckett · 10 June 2010
eddie's no troll. He's been around here for a while. He would appear (and I stand to be corrected if wrong) to be a humanities student (I mean in the broader sense), perhaps with a background in philosophy, but a reader of good "popular" science. He is defending a particular reading of Popper, and I think either the reading or Popper himself is incorrect, but it's not trolling.
I don't agree that theories in biology are unfalsifiable, even in the Popperian sense, any more than theories in physics are. I think it's clear that they are. Specifically, the Theory of Evolution is falsifiable in any of the ways that have been suggested above, but has not been falsified. Sexual selection is falsifiable, ditto, but has not been falsified.
John Wilkins · 10 June 2010
If science were done the way Popper intended, it would shortly grind to a halt. Falsification takes a theorem of logic (modus tollens) and treats it as the only way to justify, test and investigate in science. It is true that science "falsifies" in a general sense - we disprove hypotheses all the time, but we also verify them, and in either case we do it in a Bayesian fashion, but increasing likelihoods one way or the one until it becomes reasonable to take the hypothesis as demonstrated or disproven. This is very far from the spirit and technicality of Popper's approach. In short, induction works, bitches, so any philosophy of science that says otherwise can be safely put to one side. Every single time a scientist has said they were "Popperian" they have done so by reinterpreting him to suit actual scientific practice.
The testing of a theory or hypothesis must be done in a larger context, say of the entire discipline or the context of other theories, in order to be able to ascertain which of the alternative hypotheses works best; sometimes we overlook this context and treat model selection as a purely statistical matter, but it always relies upon other knowledge. In this sense, evolutionary hypotheses are entirely testable, for they always rely on extra-domain theories like the theories of biochemistry, geology, physics, and of course non-evolutionary biological theories, in order to test them. The so-called evo-devo" tradition uses developmental biology explicitly to illuminate and test evolutionary scenarios, and vice versa, for example.
Once a theory or hypothesis has been tested and found reliable it is rarely revisited unless some major problem pops up. Which is not, to state the obvious, the case with natural selection. Now the only question is how often natural selection occurs, and how we might be able to identify it when it does. There remain, of course, a number of philosophical issues, but they hardly affect the reality of selection; just its interpretation.
Malchus · 10 June 2010
Mike Elzinga · 10 June 2010
Intelligent Designer · 10 June 2010
Dave Luckett · 10 June 2010
Big Sonichu Fan · 10 June 2010
duncan cairncross · 10 June 2010
I am interested in the cephalopod color vision issue,
I have recently seen an article that said that octopus ignored older TV displays but responded to hi-def displays.
I wonder if the failure to react to colors could be related to superior optics so what we saw as a simple color was in some way "muddy" to the cephalopod confusing the beasts
Dave Luckett · 10 June 2010
MrG · 10 June 2010
Big Sonichu Fan · 10 June 2010
Dave Luckett · 10 June 2010
Well, there's a confirmation of my hypothesis, anyway.
eric · 10 June 2010
MrG · 10 June 2010
harold · 10 June 2010
harold · 10 June 2010
Robin · 10 June 2010
Big Sonichu Fan · 10 June 2010
MrG · 10 June 2010
Dave Lovell · 10 June 2010
Intelligent Designer · 10 June 2010
Intelligent Designer · 10 June 2010
Intelligent Designer · 10 June 2010
MrG · 10 June 2010
Mike Elzinga · 10 June 2010
Mike Elzinga · 10 June 2010
Malchus · 10 June 2010
Before spending time engaging Intelligent Designer, I would suggest reviewing the several hundred posts he made on the Bathroom Wall. Some facts for consideration: he is not an engineer, he is a programmer; his understanding of evolutionary theory is highly limited and fundamentally colored by his preconceptions and biases; he is unwilling to educate himself on basic biological theory and statistics; and he has appeared on this thread primarily - I suspect - because he remains annoyed at Myers who banned him for blog-whoring and outright lying.
These are merely facts; make of them what you will, but I caution you that discussion with him is unlikely to be profitable.
MrG · 10 June 2010
Intelligent Designer · 10 June 2010
MrG · 10 June 2010
Mike Elzinga · 10 June 2010
MrG · 10 June 2010
MrG · 10 June 2010
Make that "organisms are superior Designs".
Mike Elzinga · 10 June 2010
MrG · 10 June 2010
Mike Elzinga · 10 June 2010
MrG · 10 June 2010
harold · 10 June 2010
harold · 10 June 2010
Pardon the typos above. I'd still love some answers to those questions.
Helena Constantine · 10 June 2010
Helena Constantine · 10 June 2010
Sorry, I believe the names got a confused a bit in that rather intricate part of the thread, I believe Big Sonichu Fan and Intelligent Designer are the ones doing the shifting.
MrG · 10 June 2010
Robin · 10 June 2010
MrG · 10 June 2010
fnxtr · 10 June 2010
Seems to me there was a sodomy-fixated troll here before, maybe last year, sounded a lot like B.S.Fan.
Intelligent Designer · 10 June 2010
MrG · 10 June 2010
fnxtr · 10 June 2010
SWT · 10 June 2010
harold · 10 June 2010
Intelligent Designer -
1. What evidence, if any, would convince you that the theory of evolution is accurate?
2. Is there an experiment that I can do to rule in or rule out the existence of the designer?
Mike Elzinga · 10 June 2010
MrG · 10 June 2010
harold · 10 June 2010
SWT -
Cherry picking is the lowest strategy of a troll.
"Intelligent Designer" is relatively civil. I thought that there might be some chance for an intelligent discussion.
Unfortunately, I see now that, despite his relative civility (except to PZ Myers), he has all the traits of the lowest, most dishonest types of trolls.
He cherry picks, failing to address the most salient responses to his posts. This is an unequivocal sign of dishonesty. An honest person would be bothered by major basic questions he couldn't answer in a satisfactory way. A liar just hopes it will all be forgotten and he can repeat the same BS claims.
He dissembles about his actual beliefs and agenda.
He puts up logic flaws that ANY honest adult can identify - false dichotomies, straw man misrepresentations, claims of expertise in irrelevant areas, and non sequitur arguments at a minimum. This is another sign of dishonesty. I don't want to give too much credit, but he's probably smart enough to see these flaws, and just hoping he can "trick" people into not noticing.
He claims, and in my view grossly exaggerates, expertise in an irrelevant area, in a vain effort to intimidate.
harold · 10 June 2010
Intelligent Designer -
Let me clarify this for you.
Nobody accepts the theory of evolution because of "evidence against magic design".
People accept the theory of evolution - across many religious backgrounds - because of the evidence for the theory of evolution.
Therefore, all your silly arguments that "magic design is possible" are a waste of time.
1. What evidence, if any, would convince you that the theory of evolution is accurate?
2. Is there an experiment that I can do to rule in or rule out the existence of the designer?
MrG · 10 June 2010
SWT · 10 June 2010
Mike Elzinga · 10 June 2010
MrG · 10 June 2010
John Vanko · 10 June 2010
Intelligent Designer · 10 June 2010
MrG · 10 June 2010
Mike Elzinga · 10 June 2010
Malchus · 10 June 2010
Intelligent Designer · 10 June 2010
MrG · 10 June 2010
SWT · 10 June 2010
Intelligent Designer · 10 June 2010
SWT · 10 June 2010
MrG · 10 June 2010
MrG · 10 June 2010
Incidentally, the TE position is often summed up as: "God Intelligently Designed evolution."
I merely present this as a summary of their beliefs by one otherwise disinterested in the matter and neither endorse nor criticise it.
And any sensible TE, if asked the question: "Does any part of evolutionary science work differently whether you accept TE or not?" -- will answer: "No."
As far as I am concerned, TE is merely a simple statement of religious doctrine, saying: "Our religion has no problem with evo science." To which I can sincerely reply: "That is a relief to hear."
MrG · 10 June 2010
OK, here's the proper quotes from Dembski:
"As far as design theorists are concerned, theistic evolution is American evangelicalism's ill-conceived accommodation to Darwinism." - What Every Theologian Should Know about Creation, Evolution, and Design, Center for Interdisciplinary Studies Transactions 3(2): 1-8, 1995
"Design theorists are no friends of theistic evolution." -What Every Theologian Should Know about Creation, Evolution, and Design, Center for Interdisciplinary Studies Transactions 3(2): 1-8, 1995
SWT · 10 June 2010
Intelligent Designer · 10 June 2010
MrG · 10 June 2010
Yep -- that wasn't the way things turned out.
Stanton · 10 June 2010
Theoryin that the former is the belief that God creates and guides Life as we know it through evolutionary processes: its adherents make no presumptions that Theistic Evolution is science, nor do its adherents attempt to bend, destroy or stop doing science simply to suit their beliefs and vanity the way Intelligent Design proponents seek to bend, destroy and stop doing science. That, and Malchus' condemnation of you stems from deliberately conflicting statements you made about your own alleged religious beliefs, as well as the fact that you are also a liar and you assume that you can make authoritative statements about evolution and biology despite having zero knowledge or interest in evolution or biology.MrG · 10 June 2010
He doesn't sound like a liar. More like an illucid schizophrenic.
Intelligent Designer · 10 June 2010
Dave Lovell · 11 June 2010
MrG · 11 June 2010
DS · 11 June 2010
So here is a guy who believes that god must guide evolution because it just couldn't accomplish all those complexified things by itself and yet he claims that he does not worship that god. Then he wonders why others think that he is schizophrenic.
Maybe he should explain exactly what he believes unguided evolution is not capable of, along with how when and why god intervened to accomplish those things. After that he can explain why such a god should not be worshipped. After that he can explain why anyone should care about his opinion.
Stanton · 11 June 2010
Robin · 11 June 2010
MrG · 11 June 2010
fnxtr · 11 June 2010
MrG · 11 June 2010
Mike Elzinga · 11 June 2010
Robert Byers · 12 June 2010
Robert Byers · 12 June 2010
Robert Byers · 12 June 2010
Dave Luckett · 12 June 2010
About 2 points for one piece of original Byerlogic (Some blindness is incurable. This proves that eyes didn't evolve) but only 1 for another (I can't understand this, therefore it's too complex to have evolved.) The latter is very unoriginal. Every pig-ignorant creationist whackaloon uses it, therefore the mark-down. We expect museum-quality dementia from our resident moron.
Two more points, though, for the classic shot in the foot, where he admits that knowing how something works and fixing it are two different things, and then blithely ignores that obvious fact. The last two sentences of the first paragraph get a point for incoherence, but the last sentence of all is a severe disappointment, almost making sense if you overlook the insanity of the proposition. (Our bodies were corrupted by listening to talking snakes and eating the wrong fruit, and this explains everything that goes wrong with them.)
So I make that a 6.
Just Bob · 12 June 2010
6.2
"God expected us to conquor night right away." That's worth an extra 0.2 for the hubris that will surely send him to Hell of daring to speak for God when there's no relevant clue in the Bible.
Hey Byers, what else do you know that God did or intended that isn't in the Bible?
Keelyn · 12 June 2010
Helena Constantine · 12 June 2010
Andrew Stallard · 12 June 2010
Andrew Stallard · 12 June 2010
Stanton · 12 June 2010
The Creationist concept of
explaining/handwaving/poo-pooing away everything "bad" in life and reality as a result of The Fall really irks me.To claim that death, disease, faulty biology and other unpleasantries are ultimately the fault of the sins of
a talking snake, Adam andEve suggests that God is petty, cruel, merciless, and incompetent.Henry J · 12 June 2010
Evolution fans? Does this guy think people accept evolution theory because they like the conclusions?
Somehow I doubt if many of these "fans" want bacteria (or other pathogens) to develop resistance to drugs, or that they'd want diseases of some other species to adapt to attack humans or their food sources or pets.
Understanding how something works and liking the conclusions are two different things (e.g., consider global warming - nobody with sense (and who cares about other people) likes the conclusions of that).
Henry
MrG · 12 June 2010
slp · 13 June 2010
stevaroni · 13 June 2010
Flint · 13 June 2010
Stanton · 13 June 2010
Flint · 13 June 2010
Stanton · 13 June 2010
FL believes everything he says?
Even when he claimed to know the exact location of the Garden of Eden, then suggested that I was a lunatic for asking him why he hasn't tried to find it? Or, how he claimed to be concerned for our spiritual wellbeing, even though he also lied about us allegedly chasing PvM out of Panda's Thumb for being a Christian, or how FL hopes that God will send us to Hell to burn forever for not mindlessly agreeing with him?
DS · 13 June 2010
Of course what FL doesn't seem to realize is that there is actually nothing contradictory about the two statements he quotes. He tries desperately to paint this as some kind of inconsistency and some kind of a problem for evolution. He tries desperately to insinuate that is is somehow something so preposterous that it means that all of evolution must be somehow be wrong. What he fails to realize is that evolutionary theory can easily account for these observations, his alternative explanations cannot.
Evolution is just what happened. Sometimes, the particulars cannot be accurately predicted, but the general principles always apply. We know that the original organization of the vertebrate eye was suboptimal because there was no foresight (no pun intended), planning or intelligence involved. We know that whatever adaptation evolved to improve the suboptimal function would involve "retrofitting". We might not have been able to predict exactly what "retrofit" would evolve, but that in no way invalidates the theory.
Dale Husband · 13 June 2010
fnxtr · 14 June 2010
... and you keep feeding their egos.
Stanton · 14 June 2010
Robin · 14 June 2010
Michael · 14 June 2010
"In fact, cephalopods don't see as well as humans, e.g. no colour vision, and the octopus eye structure is totally different and much simpler," saith the creationist.
Once again, trying to understand creationist logic has left me confused. Isn't that the point? Isn't that quote just another way of saying the eye isn't irreducibly complex, and can work even without many of the fancy bells and whistles of the human eye?
Robert Byers · 15 June 2010
Robert Byers · 15 June 2010
Dave Luckett · 15 June 2010
Five points for sheer delerious incomprehensibility. A wonderful effort, dancing right on the ragged edge of complete incoherence, without ever falling over into random word-salad.
But the tension between insanity and incoherence is a delicate one. How can you demonstrate that your ideas are barking mad if true incoherence makes it impossible to actually enunciate them? This is one of those tensions one finds inherent in all true art.
In this case, alas, the idea is a very old and somewhat hackneyed one: "biology is complex, therefore God". Only one, or at the most, two points for that, then. One more point for the opening sentence, which is worthy of Macgonigal at his finest.
I make it a seven.
Stanton · 15 June 2010
Robin · 16 June 2010
Stanton · 16 June 2010
Stanton · 16 June 2010
And there is the problem of how saying something changed because God got mad at the whole Universe because Adam and Eve screwed up does nothing to explain anything, nor does it help solve any problem.
Just Bob · 16 June 2010
Not to mention the fact that it makes God a pathetic, childish, psychopathic, Vengeance Master--who punishes babies forever into the future for what one couple did once.
And it calls to attention the fact that (in Genesis) God LIED about what would happen if the fruit were eaten. The snake told the truth.
Andrew Stallard · 18 June 2010