A peer-reviewed article that supports ID . . . or something else
By Joe Felsenstein, http://www.gs.washington.edu/faculty/felsenstein.htm
William Dembski and Robert Marks have published what Dembski describes as a "peer-reviewed pro-ID article". It is in the computer engineering journal IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man and Cybernetics A, Systems & Humans in the September 2009 issue. In a post at his Uncommon Descent blog (where a link to a PDF of the article will also be found) Dembski describes it as critiquing Richard Dawkins's "Methinks it is like a weasel" simulation and that "in critiquing his example and arguing that information is not created by unguided evolutionary processes, we are indeed making an argument that supports ID." But what does it really say about ID?
The article does not mention ID directly, but defines a quantity called "active information" in search problems. Basically, it measures how much faster the solution can be found by a search in a problem's space than by looking for the solution by drawing points from the space in a random order — how much faster one finds the solution than a monkey with a typewriter would. In Dawkins's Weasel case, a monkey with a typewriter finds the solution after about 1040 tries, while one version of Dawkins's program would take only about 728 tries. The active information is the log of the ratio of these numbers, about 124 bits.
In effect, the picture the article paints is that information is out there in the shape of the fitness surface — the way fitnesses change as we move among neighboring genotypes. So, on this view, natural selection does not create information, it just transfers it into the genotype. The information is out there already, lying around. Dembski and Marks at one point say that "the active information comes from knowledge of the fitness". If the fitness surface is smooth, as in the Weasel case, natural selection will readily be successful. D&M would then regard the information as provided by a Designer in advance.
In that case natural selection works. If a Designer has structured our genotype-phenotype space so that fitness surfaces are often smooth, if mutations do not typically instantly reduce the organism to a chaotic organic soup, if successful genotypes are often found to be close in sequence to other successful genotypes, then the Designer is not designing individual organisms — she is leaving natural selection to do the job. Dembski and Marks's argument would then at most favor theistic evolution and could not be used to favor ID over that.
One can wonder whether one needs any particular Designer to structure reality in that way. The laws of physics do not make all objects interact intimately and strongly. When I move a pebble in my back yard, the dirt, grass, trees, and fences do not instantly reorder themselves into a totally different arrangement, unrecognizably different. If they did, of course natural selection would not be able to cope. But as they interact much less strongly than that, only a few leaves of grass change noticeably. I can cope, and so can natural selection. Does the smoothness of fitness surfaces come from this weakness of long-range interactions in physics? If so, then Dembski and Marks's argument ends up leaving us to argue about where the laws of physics ultimately come from, and most evolutionary biologists will not feel too worried.
111 Comments
DS · 21 August 2009
"So, on this view, natural selection does not create information, it just transfers it into the genotype. The information is out there already, lying around."
Exactly. So as long as there is an environment, no intelligence is needed in order to create information, in genomes, complex, specified or any other. This guy has just disproven all of his own previous nonsense. And of course, now that it is in a journal for all to see, I'm sure that many people are going to point this out to him.
Why would someone with absolutely no knowledge whatsoever about genetics, population genetics, selection or fitness try to make such obviously flawed arguments? Who exactly does he think he is fooling? Who does he think is going to read this journal? Does he think that he can get away with calling this evidence for ID? Next thing you know he will be trying to patent phylogenetics!
Ravilyn Sanders · 21 August 2009
Mike · 21 August 2009
What weasels. Seems that engineers are now poised to take over biology. So how does an accurate description of ID creationism's failure have to be worded now? "There are no actual peer reviewed papers on ID creationism, or any other form of creationism, or anything that actually supports creationism, in biological research journals." Would require explicit definitions of what "peer reviewed" and "biological research journal" means. Peer viewed doesn't mean fellow unqualified wingnuts, and "journal" doesn't include newsletters, or an unrespected obscure journal edited and published by one wingnut.
Michael Roberts · 21 August 2009
it said nothing about evolution and was a purely theoretical paper (negative use of theoretical)
So what's the fuss about?
fnxtr · 21 August 2009
Kevin B · 21 August 2009
Is it only my browser that is rendering the number of tries for the random version as just a trifle over one thousand? :)
I see that D&M are on about "ratchetting" again. Isn't the apparent retention of correct characters in the Weasel program is merely a consequence of the simplistic nature of the problem acting in conjunction with the draconian level of selection in the implementation. (Am I correct in thinking of this behaviour as "emergent"?)
Is it not ironic that Dembski sees "Design" in the supposed "latching".
The latching is an illusion. Therefore "Intelligent Design" is also an illusion. QED.
Joe Felsenstein · 21 August 2009
Reed A. Cartwright · 21 August 2009
fixed.
Joe Felsenstein · 21 August 2009
Frank J · 21 August 2009
DavidK · 21 August 2009
I forwarded this page to the IEEE Transaction's editor for an FYI. I suspect they don't consider biological aspects of such articles. I also used to be an IEEE member, and I'm surprised (ugh) to see that Dembski & Mark are also members.
e-dogg · 21 August 2009
Wayne Robinson · 21 August 2009
I loved the way that William Dembski after only about 7 comments, several of which were his, stated that he was "weary of the quibbling" and closed the comments (I can't imagine that Richard Dawkins or PZ Myers would do that).
a lurker · 21 August 2009
Mike Elzinga · 21 August 2009
Joe Felsenstein · 21 August 2009
Mike Elzinga · 21 August 2009
D&M have mischaracterized the entire process of evolution right from the beginning of their paper. Therefore, any argument they want to make about “endogenous” or “exogenous” information is irrelevant and simply bogus. So is their invocation of “active information”
They should start with a simpler problem to see the bogusness of their critique. Water is sitting within a glass tube. Calculate the probability of finding a water molecule on the glass surface a given distance above the mean level of the surface of the water. Do this problem with and without a gravitational field.
How close will their answers come to reality if they simply employed their search algorithms with none of what they apparently disparage as “active information” injected into the search?
Why would not putting such information into the search be justified? Why is putting it in “cheating”?
It seems like D&M don’t think it is fair to put any knowledge of how the universe works into the search algorithm of a computer program. This is anti-science as near as I can tell.
The universe is full of potential wells; it’s what we know. If it weren’t, nothing would exist except elastically scattering particles at most.
A fitness landscape with potential wells about which solutions cluster is a perfectly valid representation of how nature searches for “solutions” to “problems” from adjacent sets of solutions. It’s what evolution does.
Sheesh! Why is that “unfair”?
Joe Felsenstein · 21 August 2009
Frank J · 21 August 2009
James F · 21 August 2009
raven · 21 August 2009
Mike Elzinga · 21 August 2009
DS · 21 August 2009
Raven wrote:
"Rather than babbling on about “information”, they actually measure Shannon information content before and after. Information increases by evolution."
So why don't they? Why did the editor let them get away with this when the standard had been set nearly ten years ago for research in this area?
Maybe they just couldn't bear to actually quantify information, cause you know, then they would have had to quantify complex specified information and then they would have had to admit that that could produced by exactly the same mechanism. Still no intelligence in sight.
Wheels · 21 August 2009
raven · 21 August 2009
Mike Elzinga · 21 August 2009
Henry J · 21 August 2009
stevaroni · 21 August 2009
Henry J · 21 August 2009
Paul Burnett · 21 August 2009
Slightly off-topic: Dembski gets fooled by an "Urban Legend" - http://www.uncommondescent.com/humor/off-topic-school-answering-machine/
tsig · 22 August 2009
poor dr dr d d
Eric Finn · 22 August 2009
Mike Elzinga · 22 August 2009
Mike Elzinga · 22 August 2009
Frank J · 22 August 2009
stevaroni · 22 August 2009
raven · 22 August 2009
John Kwok · 22 August 2009
Joe Felsenstein · 22 August 2009
Joe Felsenstein · 22 August 2009
Mike Elzinga · 22 August 2009
Roberto · 22 August 2009
Blake Stacey · 22 August 2009
The question of "latching" does seem rather like a sideline to the whole subject of the WEASEL program, particularly when the WEASEL itself is not and never was a model of biological evolution. ("Latching" would make the WEASEL search even less biologically realistic.) However, on a second look, I think it's worth spending a moment on. First, whether the program "latches" letters or not determines whether it can be described as a partitioned search; second, Dembski's history of ignoring corrections on this point illustrates his [ahem] character. It is not a wholly minor matter when a purported academic misrepresents the content of the sources he cites.
Joe Felsenstein · 22 August 2009
Stuart Weinstein · 22 August 2009
While mathematically, it may well be that the subset of all possible adaptive landscapes is minuscule compared to the rest, the real world, on the space and time scales that biological organisms interact with it, is comparatively smooth.
WMD apparently finds the idea that the universe is not some over glorified devil's staircase incomprehensible. Long range interactions like electromagnetism and gravity are essentially smooth continuum theories. And the universe is pretty smooth except for the occasional hole and dimples where we find solar systems and life.
James F · 22 August 2009
Joe Felsenstein · 22 August 2009
Ichthyic · 22 August 2009
the points you make from it are the same.
I think you should rephrase that to:
"One could make the same points from a modified version of weasel as from the original."
However, that's not what Dembski et al are in fact doing, so it's kind of misleading to say it the way you did.
You have to understand that many of us have followed Dembski's "arguments" for years, and they've always been in the "not even wrong" category simply because the assumptions made to begin with were so far off.
I rather think you yourself are dissecting the presentation, looking for sense, when there really is none.
to coin an old cliche:
You're missing the forest for the trees.
Mike Elzinga · 22 August 2009
Mike · 22 August 2009
Joe Felsenstein · 22 August 2009
John Vreeland · 22 August 2009
I've always used the rough approximation that the information contained in a genome is information about the environment. I thought that natural selection demanded that idea, but now Dembski says that since God designed the environment, he gets to take credit for the genome, too. Makes me wonder if God gets to take credit no matter what the evidence is.
fnxtr · 22 August 2009
Pete · 23 August 2009
I had a quick flip through the D&M paper and am very grateful for Joe Felsenstein's easy to read analysis of it.
Hasn't Dembski shot himself in the foot here? He seems to show that biological information can be entirely explained by random mutation and a selection algorithm. Whether this is described as information creation or information gathering seems like a semantic quibble.
If Dembski uses this in the future to argue that a designer was required to put the information in the environment in the first place then that's very close to the theistic evolution position and a considerable improvement on ID.
Joe Felsenstein · 23 August 2009
DS · 23 August 2009
Pete wrote:
"Hasn’t Dembski shot himself in the foot here?"
Absolutely. And he did it in the scientific literature. Whenever he brings up information, this reference can be used to show that no intelligence is needed in order for information to increase in the genome. Man, you don't even need to quote mine.
Of course then Dembski will probably complain that the paper does not show that no intelligence is needed, since it did not define or quantify information! Let's face it, shooting himself in the head would not have done as much damage. Goos thing for him none of his devout followers read the scientific literature.
Frank J · 23 August 2009
raven · 23 August 2009
raven · 23 August 2009
I've always been a bit skeptical of computer models. What are these models, models of. The real world.
If the data input is not good, and/or the model is not an accurate one of the real world, then the output is no good.
One computer model I've dealt with was not accurate and cost several thousand people several tens of millions of dollars.
A good model will represent the real world and result in testable predictions. Other than these internet commentaries, not aware that Dembski's programs have made any predictions or that they have even been tested experimentally.
The other problem with computer models is that we also have the real thing, reality, to study and run experiments in and on. Any computer model that proves evolution is impossible has to deal the the fact that we see it going on every day all around us.
The newest (and predicted!) pandemic, swine flu might be impossible but it is here and is about to scare most, sicken many and kill a few creationists (and everyone else) whether they accept evolution or not.
Dave Springer · 23 August 2009
Joe F.,
I wrote to Bill the day he announced the paper was published and said essentially the same thing you did including me not understanding what point was being made. It's essentially correct, the ratcheting or lack thereof in Weasal is inconsequential, but it doesn't really tell us anything new and simply leads to the question of where the information came from in the first place.
Perhaps where the authors are heading with this is in establishing some kind of metric for how much work the genetic mechanism had to do in order to extract the information from the environment. Just because it's possible for an energetic process to decrease entropy in one place at the expense of increasing entropy in another doesn't mean it's plausible or likely that any given change in entropy will occur. It's possible that the library of congress would have come into existence without intelligent agency but it's rather unlikely. Is the information concentrated in living things like the library of congress? Is a simple trial & error with feedback mechanism sufficient (statistically reasonable) to extract the information contained by living things from the environment with the time and opportunity it had to do it? That is and remains the essential question.
Gary Hurd · 23 August 2009
raven · 23 August 2009
Mike Elzinga · 23 August 2009
fnxtr · 23 August 2009
fnxtr · 23 August 2009
Cross-posting. Mike said it better.
MPW · 23 August 2009
Of course, even if this could be accurately characterized as a "pro-ID" paper, the proper response is, "OK, there's one. Whoop-de-do."
Mike Elzinga · 23 August 2009
stevaroni · 23 August 2009
stevaroni · 23 August 2009
I said that inexpertly because Dembski's already spinning with "simple problem - convoluted search".
What I meant to say is "3) The problem is demonstrated to be not nearly as insurmountable by simple iteration as it first appears."
Mike Elzinga · 23 August 2009
Ian Musgrave · 23 August 2009
Mike Elzinga · 23 August 2009
Frank J · 23 August 2009
Mike Elzinga · 23 August 2009
Dan · 23 August 2009
Dave Springer · 24 August 2009
Dave Springer · 24 August 2009
Robin · 24 August 2009
fnxtr · 24 August 2009
fnxtr · 24 August 2009
Chris Jones · 24 August 2009
"Why would someone with absolutely no knowledge whatsoever about genetics, population genetics, selection or fitness try to make such obviously flawed arguments? Who exactly does he think he is fooling? Who does he think is going to read this journal? Does he think that he can get away with calling this evidence for ID?"
This doesn't seem to me to be about credibility for ID in the scientific community. I'm guessing it's more about being able to bamboozle the existing unsophisticated grass-roots scientifically illiterate creationists who will be trumpeting Dembski's "Pro-ID article in a peer reviewed journal" in their future message board and blog arguments. It'll become one more piece of misinformation for the rest of us to have to deal with along with the existing arsenal of misinformation that we're accustomed to being spammed with.
It'll also become one more piece of reinforcement for the "mountain" of anti-evolutionary "evidence" that these grass-roots creationists have been accumulating to bolster their misguided view that "evolution has been thoroughly debunked".
DNAJock · 24 August 2009
stevaroni · 24 August 2009
Sylvilagus · 24 August 2009
raven · 24 August 2009
raven · 24 August 2009
stevaroni · 24 August 2009
Henry J · 24 August 2009
Mike Elzinga · 24 August 2009
Mike Elzinga · 24 August 2009
raven · 24 August 2009
Mike Elzinga · 24 August 2009
Wheels · 24 August 2009
This is the same kind of horse-before-the-cart thinking that lets the Anthropic Principle convince people that the Universe is "fine-tuned" for life in the first place, rather than the more probable explanation that life is fine-tuned for the Universe. To use Douglas Adams' famous allegory, is the hole in the ground fitted to the puddle or is it the puddle fitted to the hole? The puddle preferred the former view (until it dried up, leaving the hole in the ground waterless but otherwise completely unscathed). Excuse me? Whereas the problem with Intelligent Design is that it's incapable of making exclusive, testable predictions because it is essentially content-less: there is no mechanism proposed by which a "designer" acts, there is no tell-tale signature in either biology or cosmology that can be identified as "designed" versus naturally arising, there are no constraints placed on how a "designer" can do any "designing" at all, so there's nothing to rule out flicking a magic wand to make it happen, there's
String "Theory" actually relies on mathematical frameworks that doesn't appear to be invalid, but need a lot of work before they're capable of making unique predictions at scales we can experimentally examine. With refined instruments performing experimental designs we're already familiar with its predictive power vs. the Standard Model is probably going to be testable sometime soon. String's big appeal is that it's mathematically "elegant." ID's attempts at building a mathematical framework have consistently been shown to be misrepresentations, misunderstandings, or essentially toothless (i.e. not supporting "design" at all, or even lending support to naturalistic evolution). Basically none of the math side of ID has stood up to scrutiny, whereas with Strings the problem is making them say something different enough from SM that we can look for it in the lab. Unlike the String problem, where instrument sensitivity seems to be the major hurdle to overcome after a bit more tweaking, ID doesn't appear to be fundamentally testable at all.
The take-away from almost twenty years of this is that ID is purely semantics and misunderstanding, having essentially no functions other than to a) unite normally disparate factions of Creationism behind a common banner for activism, b) make Creationism appear secular enough to enter the public schools, before any research or fleshed-out theory has ever been accumulated.
This view also seems to better explain the real behavior of the ID movement: rather than seeking to publish papers demonstrating the superiority of ID over natural processes re: evolution, it has always been pushed by its own leaders into the popular sphere and away from peer-review. There are two exceptions I can think of where IDists have gotten their literature through scientific venues besides Dembski's questional paper here: One involved Richard Sternberg ganked up the peer-review process itself to have an ID-friendly paper published. The other involved Jonathan Wells suggesting that centrioles acted like turbines, which doesn't really have anything to do with suggesting a "designer." It's not an hypothesis because it's not even wrong. Dembski apparently doesn't. Then there's this piece written from the TE perspective that describes some differences between the basic TE position and the ID one: 1) ID claims that certain features could not have evolved, whereas TE is content to say that they could have, but that God was directing the evolutionary process somehow or allowing it according to some plan. 2) ID presents itself as a secular and scientific approach, suitable even for teaching in public schools; TE is pretty frank in admitting that it's a religious belief rather than a scientific one (more of a religions interpretation of the findings of science, you might say). 3) TE usually rejects God of the Gaps arguments (Collins' insistence on morality/evolution not withstanding), whereas ID is basically just God of the Gaps gussied up with shiny secular language. 4) ID appeals to the trappings of science not just in public, but within its own circles, whereas TE generally acknowledges that it's not science even to itself. The basic divide seems to be that TE does not insist on having physical evidence and scientific claims to verify it, and does not insist that accepted scientific descriptions of nature are wrong as ID does (by insisting that the immune system could not have evolved, for example). TE seems to me to be religious belief tacked onto and distinct from an appreciation for the scientific method: ID instead is a concerted effort to inject religion into the scientific method. I don't think anybody here has actually done that. Feel free to point them out if I'm mistaken.
Wheels · 24 August 2009
I meant to write: "...so there’s nothing to rule out flicking a magic wand to make it happen, there’s nothing to rule out sneezing complete systems out of a gigantic schnoz in a perfectly intentional manner to produce the Universe or the bacterial flagellum (leaving some things oddly random?), there's nothing in short to prevent any ridiculous Creation scenario from being accepted, or facilitate accepting one over another."
Got lost under all the editing tape before it went to press.
eric · 24 August 2009
Daffyd ap Morgen · 24 August 2009
This is a paper submitted to a journal for electrical engineering. It covers the dilemma of how the best way to solve a problem is to know the answer in advance. The question is, how much of the answer is needed?
The paper addresses information retrieval and processing in an artificial and controlled environment.
There is no natural analog for this. It does not occur in Nature. If there was a natural analog we would already be using it. If it occurred in nature Dr. Dembski would be submitting the paper to Nature or a similar journal, not a journal for electrical engineering.
Attempting to apply artificial constraints and their solutions to the natural world is delusional at best. Suggesting the results of a study on information retrieval indicates the intervention of a supernatural force is of little merit and even worthy of scorn.
The texture of the "landscape" (ontology) doesn't determine the functioning of the real world (phylogeny)--no matter how wholistic Dr. Dembski's metaphysics may be.
Dave Springer · 27 August 2009
Dave Lovell · 27 August 2009
Henry J · 27 August 2009
Maxwell's demon was a fiction invented to illustrate a point, so I'm not sure what the point is of arguing about what it would need to actually work. That its existence would break the rules was kind of the point of that story in the first place.
eric · 27 August 2009
Rilke's granddaughter · 27 August 2009
Eric, you do realize that Dave can't answer that question? I find it amusing that someone is claiming a knowledge of physics by quoting a hypothetical discussion of a hypothetical demon.
That's frickin' hilarious.
Where are the actual answers to the questions posed, Dave? I guess being a retired hack coder doesn't automatically give you much of an education.
Mike Elzinga · 27 August 2009
Wheels · 27 August 2009
Dave, I'd appreciate some sort of acknowledgment on my points.
Also, do you know why I never get confirmation e-mails when I try to register at Uncommon Descent?
Dave Springer · 27 August 2009
Hi Eric
Try this little experiment. Turn off your computer so it's using zero energy then see if you can read those morse codes.
I'd suggest trying that with your brain but that would be mean spirited.
Dan · 27 August 2009
Stanton · 27 August 2009
Dan · 27 August 2009
Stuart Weinstein · 29 August 2009
Mike Elzinga · 29 August 2009
Stanton · 29 August 2009
Mike Elzinga · 13 January 2010