Flagellum evolution in New Scientist

Posted 14 February 2008 by

PT readers may be interested to check out this great new article in New Scientist, which reviews recent developments in flagellum evolution. The thing I find interesting about all this is how the IDists have been intellectually unable to concede any tiny little mistake in anything they said, e.g. this standard ID argument from DI fellow Bruce Gordon as it was presented in 2006:

As the biochemist Michael Behe has pointed out, this flagellar motor depends on the coordinated function of 30 protein parts and it will not work if even one of them is removed – it is, in his terminology, “irreducibly complex.” Since natural selection works (in neo-Darwinian theory) by environmental “selection” of functional advantages manifested in the phenotype that have arisen through random genetic mutations, it can select the motor once it has arisen as a functional whole, but it cannot produce it in the step-by-step fashion required by neo-Darwinism because every stage of lesser complexity is completely nonfunctional.

Now, the best you will get from the ID guys are evasions like "oh, we never claimed that subsystems would be nonfunctional." See above, guys.

485 Comments

djlactin · 15 February 2008

I LOVE to read the article but it's subscription-only!
Why tease us like this?

Rolf Aalberg · 15 February 2008

Why tease us like this?

Seconded!

pwe · 15 February 2008

Rolf Aalberg:

Why tease us like this?

Seconded!
Thirded!

Frank J · 15 February 2008

DJ and Rolf,

I don't like to be teased either, but with a little money one can access the article. But in Behe's case, all the money in the world can't seem to get us to the good part - how, where and when that first designed flagellum came to be.

maxi · 15 February 2008

I'm registered! Here is the article in full. It's a long one.

Uncovering the evolution of the bacterial flagellum

16 February 2008
From New Scientist Print Edition. Subscribe and get 4 free issues.
Dan Jones

[snipping]

The relevance to flagellum evolution? Variants of at least seven T3SS proteins are also found in the flagellum, within a subsystem called the protein export system. This sits within the basal body and funnels replacement flagellin subunits to the filament, using a mechanism remarkably similar to the T3SS. In fact, the two systems are so similar that the flagellar protein export system is now considered to be a subclass of the T3SS (Trends in Microbiology, vol 14, p 157).

Such similarities, or "homologies", are strong evidence that the two systems evolved from a common ancestor - analogous to the way that the arrangement of bones in the limbs of horses, bats and whales reveal their common ancestry despite their very different outward appearance and function. Similar homologies can be seen in the DNA sequences of genes, and in the amino acid sequences and 3D structures of proteins - all are clear evidence of shared descent.

The evolutionary events linking flagella and T3SSs are not clear, but the homology between them is a devastating blow to the claim of irreducible complexity. This requires that a partial flagellum should be of no use whatsoever - but clearly it is. "The T3SS is a useful model of how a 'partial flagellum' could function in protein export," says Nicholas Matzke of the University of California, Berkeley, a prominent defender of evolution and author of a number of academic articles on the flagellum. Miller adds: "The notion that these proteins can only be used in flagella simply falls apart." This argument helped swing the outcome of the "ID trial" in Dover, Pennsylvania, in 2005, in which irreducible complexity formed a key plank of the ID movement's failed bid to have ID taught in school science classes.

So how exactly is the flagellum's protein export system related to the T3SS? One possibility is that the T3SS evolved first and was later co-opted as part of the flagellum. A second is that the flagellum evolved first and its protein-export system gave rise to the T3SS. It is also possible that both evolved in parallel from a common ancestor.

[snipping more -- sorry, I don't like copyright either but we don't want to be sued -- thanks for the thought though! Nick]

Dan Jones · 15 February 2008

I wrote the above article, and while I'm not sure how the folks at New Scientist will feel if they see the text being pasted here, I'm glad PT readers have a chance to read the article - although you don't get to see the nice pictures and graphics that the NS art team put together for the piece!

Cheers,

Dan.
http://psom.blogspot.com/

maxi · 15 February 2008

Oooops...

It is a great article and I thought since no one was able to access it then I would do them a favour by reproducing it here. I do hope NS doesn't mind, but no doubt the administrators will pull it if they do.

Dan Jones · 15 February 2008

Hey Maxi, didn't mean to admonish you for putting the peice up - that's someone else's job! ;-) I'm pleased it's 'out there'. And pleased you like it.

Cheers,

D.

Ian Musgrave · 15 February 2008

Maxi, could you please edit your post. Posting the full article, rather than a short excerpt for scholarly purposes, is violation of copyright.If you could put in an excerpt and your own brief summary of the article that would be fine.

Dan Jones, thanks for writing the NewScientist article, it is a very nice summary of the recent work on flagella. The Panda's crew does not condone copyright violation though.

Ian Musgrave · 15 February 2008

AHHRGGG, of course Maxi can't edit his/her post. My brain does not work at this hour of the night.

Dan Jones · 15 February 2008

I've summarised some of the relevant points on my blog, at http://psom.blogspot.com/2008/02/evolutions-engine.html.

D.
http://psom.blogspot.com/

Ravilyn Sanders · 15 February 2008

Hope the admins pull the full post, even if the author does not object. The copyright is owned by NS and it clearly wants to sell subscriptions. I subscribe to its newsletters even then it would not let me access the full article.

The author's blog http://psom.blogspot.com/ and our old thread on this
http://www.pandasthumb.org/archives/2007/04/flagellum_evolu_1.html
have lots of interesting info without copyright encumbrances.

It is sad to see great news sources like New Scientist and NPR beg for a few dollars and operate on shoe string budgets while peddlers of ignorance seem to be awash in cash. They claim 10% of the income of the
adherents, (even though the actual collection is much less).

Lurkers please subscribe to at least one of National Geographic, Scientific American or New Scientist or some such mag. And my fellow Americans, please pledge some money to your local NPR station. Today is, after all, the last full day of the pledge week.

Dan Jones · 15 February 2008

To be honest, I wasn't sure how NS would feel about a non-profit/educational-type site such as PT using the text, but Ravilyn's advice above seems on the money. A subscription to NS isn't that much (just $89), and you get 50-odd glossy issues a year (and, of course, acces to archived content)! Listen to me, I'm turning into a salesman (as the mantra from David Mamet's superb 'Gelngarry Glenross' goes, "ABC: alwasy be closing, ALWAYS BE CLOSING!").

D.

Nigel D · 15 February 2008

Hey, I subscribe to the print edition of NS, and I need to register separately to access the web articles. Since I invariably throw away the cover in which the print edition arrives before I remember that I need the code number from it to access the web articles, I've given up trying to access the subscription-only web articles of NS.

Hmm, reading back that looks rather clumsy, but I hope it is not too hard to parse out the intended meaning.

maxi · 15 February 2008

I would like to apologise for my thoughtless copyright infringement. I was trying to be helpful but I see now what damage I have caused.

I would glady erase it myself, but cannot.

I do subscribe to New Scientist, and would recommend it to everyone!

Pete Dunkelberg · 15 February 2008

I expect maxi's post to be changed as soon as someone* wakes up.

Richard Simons · 15 February 2008

I subscribe to the print edition of NS, and I need to register separately to access the web articles.
That seems odd. Last night I took out a subscription to the print edition (Can$72 plus a few dollars for the mail) and was immediately able to access the article. While browsing I came across a good idea for a ketchup sachet submarine to show my basic science class (taken from a book with the title 'How to fossilize your hamster').

Paul Burnett · 15 February 2008

The sentence "The study of complex molecular systems has been given added impetus by the “intelligent design” (ID) movement - the intellectual heirs of Paley." should more correctly end "...the anti-intellectual heirs of Paley."

Nigel D · 15 February 2008

Richard Simons:
I subscribe to the print edition of NS, and I need to register separately to access the web articles.
That seems odd. Last night I took out a subscription to the print edition (Can$72 plus a few dollars for the mail) and was immediately able to access the article. While browsing I came across a good idea for a ketchup sachet submarine to show my basic science class (taken from a book with the title 'How to fossilize your hamster').
Hey, I think I'm being "done". A UK subscription to this UK-based magazine seems to be more than the US or Canadian price (over £100 [=US$200 approx.] for a year's supply)! I think all I need to do to access the web-based content is to enter the code number that is on the cover in which my print edition arrives. So, I don't need to pay any extra, I just need to remember to keep the cover of my hardcopy.

Bruce Thompson GQ · 15 February 2008

For all the ID proponents

This should save time and energy when reading and digesting the posted article from the New Scientist. All quote mined with 6 words added.

“In an oft-quoted passage from On the Origin of Species, Charles Darwin wrote: “If it could be demonstrated that any complex organ existed, which could not possibly have been formed by numerous, successive, slight modifications, my theory would absolutely break down.””

“Biologists have been interested in the bacterial flagellum for decades, not least because it is a prime example of a complex molecular system - an intricate nanomachine beyond the craft of any human engineer.” “With its intricate arrangement of interconnecting parts, the flagellum looks no less designed than a watch, and would surely have had Paley reaching for the existence of its “maker”.” “The bacterial flagellum is one of the most complex and elegant pieces of biological machinery known.” “It is the bacterial world’s outboard motor, rotating at high speeds to propel bacteria through their watery environments.”

““It’s very difficult to work out the evolution of a complex system when you don’t understand how the system works.” “In the absence of this knowledge, biologists all too often fell back on the assertion that “bacterial flagella evolved and that is that”, according to Mark Pallen, a microbiologist at the University of Birmingham in the UK.”

To counteract this “[t]he study of complex molecular systems has been given added impetus by the “intelligent design” (ID) movement - the intellectual heirs of Paley.” In the case of the flagellum, “each of its interacting components is essential for the system to function, and if you remove any one of them the whole thing grinds to a halt.” “[B]ecause of this irreducible complexity, such systems cannot be explained by the stepwise process of natural selection and therefore must be the handiwork of an “intelligent designer”.”

Delta Pi Gamma (Scientia et Fermentum)

Bobby · 15 February 2008

I wrote the above article, and while I’m not sure how the folks at New Scientist will feel if they see the text being pasted here, I’m glad PT readers have a chance to read the article - although you don’t get to see the nice pictures and graphics that the NS art team put together for the piece!
Dan, find out the NS policy on self-archiving your publications. If they are one of the many scientific publishers that allow it, you can make the article downloadable from your blog and post the link here.

dhogaza · 15 February 2008

It is sad to see great news sources like New Scientist and NPR beg for a few dollars and operate on shoe string budgets while peddlers of ignorance seem to be awash in cash
NS isn't a non-profit like NPR.
If they are one of the many scientific publishers that allow it, you can make the article downloadable from your blog and post the link here.
Nor are they a "scientific publisher" as I understand the term (i.e. a publisher of journals). It's a popsci weekly with a mix of science articles of interest to the layperson or non-specialist and science news coverage. Anyway, the full copy of the article should be summarized or deleted, they're entitled to the money they charge to access it.

Alan Bird · 15 February 2008

Dan,
Very nice article - thanks. I'd like to ask you a question about it. Behe's flagship claim is of course that the flagellum was intelligently designed. I'd have expected to see a reaction from him about this latest research. Did you in fact approach him for a comment? If so, did he respond at all?

Daoud · 15 February 2008

Good article, but sadly, even if creationists/idists read it closely, they will mine a few bits to COUNTER the article's argument.

I'd see this being quote-mined:

"Most researchers think the best options are flagellum-first or parallel evolution. One fact in favour of the flagellum-first view is that bacteria would have needed propulsion before they needed T3SSs, which are used to attack cells that evolved later than bacteria. Also, flagella are found in a more diverse range of bacterial species than T3SSs. “The most parsimonious explanation is that the T3SS arose later,” says biochemist Howard Ochman at the University of Arizona in Tucson."

Right before this paragraph, you're using the example of T3SS as flagellum-proteins being used in non-flagellum ways to show how an example of functioning "partial-flagellum", but this paragraph shows scientists tend to favour the idea (in THIS case) of flagellum coming first. You know the IDiots would jump on it in this way: "scientists say there exists functioning partial-flagellum, but they also say the FULL functioning flagellum had to come first". That's what I'd expect from an IDiot who actually reads the article.

Reed A. Cartwright · 15 February 2008

I've removed the comment that had the full article.

Peter Ridsdale · 15 February 2008

Great article Dan, but what I'd really like to see is how the IDists react to it. I love to read their squirming semantics. If anyone has any good links to ID 'refutations' please post!
Here is my prediction - continued research will make it impossible for them to use the flagellum as an argument. A new, more covert, movement will be initiated in which the ID/creationist 'scientists' keep their theological motivation hidden. There will be no 'Wedge' document error next time. Look forward to a more devious and cunning breed disguised as atheists!

David B. Benson · 15 February 2008

Reed A. Cartwright: I've removed the comment that had the full article.
Some web sites bring up a Delete box, just for the poster. This way each person (or robot) can delete their own comments, if desired.

wamba · 15 February 2008

Drats! My library subscribes through some sort of service, but there is a one month delay for electronic access.

halo · 15 February 2008

Hasn't this whole T3SS thing been answered ages ago by the ID people? See:

http://www.discovery.org/scripts/viewDB/index.php?command=view&id=1364

What would be said to that?

William Wallace · 15 February 2008

Such similarities...are strong evidence that the two systems evolved from a common ancestor.
I am setting a goal of studying more about how biologists go from noting coincidences to glibly asserting common descent. Without knowing enough of the details, such assertions seem odd, and very much akin to the specious assertion that this program (wave.c) and this program (bubble sort) are obviously descendants of this program (hello world) simply because they all contain the same "extra operator error" in the sequences '/*' and '*/' instead of just a '/' or a '*'.

Henry J · 15 February 2008

Without knowing enough of the details, such assertions seem odd,

Yep, to somebody who hasn't studied the details, the conclusion might appear odd - until that somebody does study the details. Henry

Kevin B · 15 February 2008

William Wallace:
Such similarities...are strong evidence that the two systems evolved from a common ancestor.
I am setting a goal of studying more about how biologists go from noting coincidences to glibly asserting common descent. Without knowing enough of the details, such assertions seem odd, and very much akin to the specious assertion that this program (wave.c) and this program (bubble sort) are obviously descendants of this program (hello world) simply because they all contain the same "extra operator error" in the sequences '/*' and '*/' instead of just a '/' or a '*'.
Nope, won't work. A couple of "knock-out" type experiments will show that replacing /* with / or * or / * will change the meaning of the program. Curiously, removing the entire /* ... */ sequence does *not* change the meaning. Further, you would appear not have much understanding of how compilers for high-level programming languages are constructed. Many modern programming languages analyse the stream of input characters that form a program using two distinct sets of rules. One set defines how contiguous sequences of characters in the stream form "tokens"; the second set defines how these tokens can be juxtaposed to form a valid program. (The framework of this was worked out in the 1960s; however, the problem of how to specify unambigously exactly what a program *means* continued to perplex computer scientists.) It would be perfectly possible to apply this two-level concept to the distinction between grouping of nucleotides into codons, (ie codon = token), and the grouping of the codons into functional sequences. And, having got there, we just turn your argument on its head, and use it as further support for the obvious conclusion that the ubiquity of the DNA code is powerful evidence for common descent. Incidentally, the history of programming languages might provide a suitable example of how common descent militates against Intelligent Design. By the end of the 1960s, there were at least 1000 different programming languages in existence, depending on how "different" is defined. Since these languages were "designed" (though the protagonists in the arguments as to what constitutes a good design would differ as to the "intelligent" bit) each is a separate creation and common descent does not apply - the designers pinched other people's good (and not so good) ideas as the fancy took them. The is the famous example of IBM's PL/1, where the designers' brief was to make it a superset of both FORTRAN and COBOL, with a lot of Algol thrown in as well.

Steven Laskoske · 15 February 2008

halo: Hasn't this whole T3SS thing been answered ages ago by the ID people? See: http://www.discovery.org/scripts/viewDB/index.php?command=view&id=1364 What would be said to that?
Actually, that presents far more questions than answers. The article and Behe claim that the flagellum is irreducible. They assert that it couldn't have come about through any step-by-step evolutionary progression. When it is showed that it COULD (and therefore making the flagellum NOT irreducible by definition), the DI says that evolutionists must show the step-by-step pathway that it DID take otherwise it must be irreducible, moving the goalposts back. This article goes one step further into hypocrasy then. After moving those goalposts, it complains that "Miller, as a scientist, raises the standard so high against intelligent design". All Miller does is bring up a counter to IDist's claims and, instead of answering that, the author moves the goalposts and complains about the evolutionists picking on them.

David B. Benson · 15 February 2008

Kevin B: Curiously, removing the entire /* ... */ sequence does *not* change the meaning. (The framework of this was worked out in the 1960s; however, the problem of how to specify unambigously[sic] exactly what a program *means* continued to perplex computer scientists.)
Comments are junk tokens? :-) Actually, what a sequential program *means* is completely worked out. For example, The Definition of Standard ML (Revised) by Milner/Tofte/Harper/MacQueen leaves no wiggle room for the Standard ML programming language. An exposition of the general theory is in Foundations for Programming Languages by John Mitchell.

Kevin B · 15 February 2008

David B. Benson: Comments are junk tokens? :-)
Comments are strongly conserved in environments where persons senior to the programmer (eg lecturers, managers) review the program.
Actually, what a sequential program *means* is completely worked out.
I deliberately wrote "continued to perplex", rather than "continues...", so as to point up the state of art in 1970, rather than the current position.

Science Avenger · 15 February 2008

WW said: I am setting a goal of studying more about how biologists go from noting coincidences to glibly asserting common descent.
It's the same exact reasoning we all use when we see triplets. We conclude that the similarities they exhibit are the result of extremely close common descent, because the only other possibility known is that the three children randomly came to have such genetic similarities. Well, we know the probability of that is miniscule, and we know triplets do occur with considerable frequency relatively speaking, so the conclusion follows. The difference between this and the conclusions to which you object is one of degree in similarity and closeness of common descent. A similar process is followed when studying ancient languages and determining which languages were parents to which others. If two languages are found to have many words in common, it is assumed they derived from at least one common parent language, because the alternative is to assume that somehow two societies managed to, by sheer dumb luck, assign the exact same words to so many concepts.

William Wallace · 15 February 2008

Kevin B wrote: A couple of "knock-out" type experiments will show that replacing /* with / or * or / * will change the meaning of the program. Further, you would appear not [to?] have much understanding of how compilers for high-level programming languages are constructed.
You'd need a compiler for this type of experiment, and the reason I constructed this example was because I do have an understanding of compilers, strings, information theory, randomness—and see some possible similarities between computer programs and "genetic instructions" (where my understanding has room for growth). But simply spewing jargon and ascribing meaning while the bobbleheads nod in agreement is no compiler. So, in the world of analyzing DNA, what makes you think your "complier" is complete, and that it discloses all meaning and function? For example, endogenous retroviruses have been deemed to be genetic crumbs from ancient germs in the human genome. How do you know they are not '/* comments */' or the basis of some other as yet latent function? Coincidence does not establish causation. After all, in C, '/' and '*' are operators, while '/*' and '*/' are delimiters. (And the Monkey looking at a sea of clouds does not mean that all such forms are created naturally.) This would not be obvious to somebody who had never studied programming languages. But the computer program analogy of DNA only goes so far, in that there is no sentient and sapient author--at least that is the premise of the PT crowd. And from such a premise, all other findings follow.

D P Robin · 15 February 2008

William Wallace: But the computer program analogy of DNA only goes so far, in that there is no sentient and sapient author--at least that is the premise of the PT crowd. And from such a premise, all other findings follow.
Exactly! That is how science has to proceed, on that premise, otherwise the "God/The Designer did it." response stops everything other than pure reporting of observations. That of course is why we're arguing, isn't it? (BTW, the "PT crowd" are called "The Scientifically Literate). dpr (Layman in the ECLC, former member of his congregation's council)

D P Robin · 15 February 2008

OOPS!

dpr (Layman in the ELCA, former member of his congregation’s council)

halo · 15 February 2008

Steven Laskoske:

I agree that Behe's Irreducible Complexity argument was not properly clear to start with, but the ID people have since clarified it, and this clarification is what needs adressing now - irreducible complexity makes a logical point ruling out a direct darwinian pathway (by definition), leaving only indirect pathways (i.e co-option) as a possibility, which the ID people have addressed. If a good counter-argument is to be furnished I think it is only fair to address the current state of debate, which from the ID side is here encapsulated (I hope fairly) using some excerpts from an article by Dembski called 'Irreducible Complexity Revisited':

QUOTE "A direct Darwinian pathway is one in which a system evolves by natural selection incrementally enhancing a given function. As the system evolves, the function does not evolve but stays put... In ruling out direct Darwinian pathways to irreducibly complex systems, the argument from irreducible complexity is saying that irreducibly complex biochemical systems are provably inaccessible to direct Darwinian pathways.

At any rate, critics of the argument from irreducible complexity look to save Darwinism not by enlisting direct Darwinian pathways to bring about irreducibly complex systems but by enlisting indirect Darwinian pathways to bring them about. In indirect Darwinian pathways, a system evolves not by preserving and enhancing an existing function but by
continually transforming its function...

How does the argument from irreducible complexity handle indirect Darwinian pathways? Here the point at issue is no longer logical but empirical. The fact is that for irreducibly complex biochemical systems, no indirect Darwinian pathways are known. At best biologists have been
able to isolate subsystems of such systems that perform other functions. But any reasonably complicated machine always includes subsystems that perform functions distinct from the original machine. So the mere occurrence or identification of subsystems that could perform some function on their own is no evidence for an indirect Darwinian pathway leading to the system. What’s needed is a seamless Darwinian account
that’s both detailed and testable of how subsystems undergoing
coevolution could gradually transform into an irreducibly complex system. No such accounts are available or have so far been forthcoming. Indeed, if such accounts were available, critics of intelligent design would merely need to cite them, and intelligent design would be refuted.

At this point the standard move by critics of intelligent design is to turn the tables and charge that the argument from irreducible complexity is an argument from ignorance. A common way to formulate this criticism is to say, “Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence.” But as with so many overused expressions, this one requires critical scrutiny. Certainly this dictum appropriately characterizes many everyday circumstances. Imagine, for instance, someone feverishly hunting about the house for a missing set of car keys, searching under every object, casing the house, bringing in reinforcements, and then the next morning, when all hope is gone, finding them on top of the car outside. In that case the absence of evidence prior to finding the car keys was not evidence of absence. Yet with the car keys there was independent evidence of their existence in the first place. But what if we weren’t sure that there even were any car keys? The situation in evolutionary biology is even more extreme than that. One might not be sure our hypothetical set of car keys exist, but at least one has the reassurance that car keys exist generally. Indirect Darwinian pathways that account for irreducible complexity are more like the leprechauns supposedly hiding in a child’s room. Precisely because the absence of evidence for the existence of leprechauns is complete, it is unreasonable to cite “Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence” as a reason for taking leprechauns seriously. And yet that, essentially, is what evolutionary theory counsels concerning the utterly fruitless search for credible indirect Darwinian pathways that account for irreducible complexity. If after repeated attempts looking in all the most promising places you don’t find what you expect to find and if you never had any evidence that the thing you were looking for existed in the first place, then you have reason to think that the thing you are looking for doesn’t exist at all.

That’s the argument from irreducible complexity’s point about indirect Darwinian pathways. It’s not just that we don’t know of such a pathway for, say, the bacterial flagellum (the irreducibly complex biochemical machine that has become the mascot of the intelligent design community). It’s that we don’t know of such pathways for any such systems. The absence here is pervasive and systemic. That’s why critics of Darwinism like Franklin Harold and James Shapiro (neither of whom is an intelligent design proponent) argue that positing as-yet undiscovered indirect Darwinian pathways for such systems constitutes “wishful speculations.”" END QUOTE

So do you see the issue? I perhaps think Dembski's challenge of a 'seamless Darwinian account that’s both detailed and testable' is a bit much but I agree that at least a substantial pathway is needed, otherwise Darwinism is both unproved and unfalsifiable at the same time. This only seems fair and reasonable, what do you think?

Mike Elzinga · 15 February 2008

“At best biologists have been able to isolate subsystems of such systems that perform other functions. But any reasonably complicated machine always includes subsystems that perform functions distinct from the original machine. So the mere occurrence or identification of subsystems that could perform some function on their own is no evidence for an indirect Darwinian pathway leading to the system. What’s needed is a seamless Darwinian account that’s both detailed and testable of how subsystems undergoing coevolution could gradually transform into an irreducibly complex system. No such accounts are available or have so far been forthcoming. Indeed, if such accounts were available, critics of intelligent design would merely need to cite them, and intelligent design would be refuted.”
If Dembski really believes this, it is a major misconception and a piece of misinformation as well. And,

“It’s not just that we don’t know of such a pathway for, say, the bacterial flagellum (the irreducibly complex biochemical machine that has become the mascot of the intelligent design community). It’s that we don’t know of such pathways for any such systems. The absence here is pervasive and systemic.”

which is also off on the wrong track.
I perhaps think Dembski’s challenge of a ‘seamless Darwinian account that’s both detailed and testable’ is a bit much but I agree that at least a substantial pathway is needed, otherwise Darwinism is both unproved and unfalsifiable at the same time. This only seems fair and reasonable, what do you think?
What is frequently overlooked here is that Dembski’s conceptual approach can’t even handle simpler, non-living systems that evolve. It doesn’t take into account fundamental phenomena at the earliest levels or emerging phenomena at subsequent higher levels. And the word “seamless” carries with it serious misconceptions about evolving systems. What Dembski fails to acknowledge is that, not only can he not connect complex biological systems to intelligent design; he can’t point to any physical phenomena that prohibit the same physical processes that occur in systems of lower complexity from continuing right on up the ladder to the complex systems found in living organisms. The biologists and physicists have been way beyond him for decades.

wright · 15 February 2008

halo quoting Behe:

"But any reasonably complicated machine always includes subsystems that perform functions distinct from the original machine. So the mere occurrence or identification of subsystems that could perform some function on their own is no evidence for an indirect Darwinian pathway leading to the system."

Halo, I don't see that the ID people have "clarified" irreducible complexity with statements like this. Instead, all I see is that they have "moved the goalposts".

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 15 February 2008

@ halo:
http://www.discovery.org/scripts/viewDB/index.php?… What would be said to that?
Simple; Dembski bases his reasoning on "The problem [is] that Ken Miller and the entire biological community haven't figured out how those systems arose." As the current post describes research where homology collapses the problem (to competing hypotheses on one or two ancestor proteins) it confirms the prediction that those systems arose by evolution. This voids the remainder of Dembski's post. And he himself acknowledges this ("it would suffice"), where of course "a detailed" explanation is Dembskis wantoning requirement on a theory that predicts no such thing. Is it biologists fault that Dembski doesn't (want to) understand a scientific theory that professionals embrace? Of course not.
Behe’s Irreducible Complexity argument was not properly clear to start with, but the ID people have since clarified it,
Oh, so that is why we now have two incompatible definitions, one of deterministic irreducibility and one of pathway probability. Clear as mud. Why do I suspect any further 'clarification' involves a third independent definition, without retracting the old ones?
critics of the argument from irreducible complexity
This would be critics of "the criticism of evolutionary biology", and as there is no criticism of evolutionary theory (no better theory) that has been found to be valid, your logic implodes. What scientists and other citizens are concerned with is the antiscience movement of IDC.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 15 February 2008

the computer program analogy of DNA only goes so far, in that there is no sentient and sapient author–at least that is the premise of the PT crowd.
No, the (verified) premise is that evolution is a natural process (of common descent). Natural processes results in repeatable observations, and the parsimonious theories predicting these are (naturally :-P) without extraneous agents. Your imaginary agent gods are both timid and dull; drop rock, rock god pulls on rock - drop rock, rock god pulls on rock - drop rock, ...

Steven Laskoske · 15 February 2008

Kevin B:
David B. Benson: Comments are junk tokens? :-)
Comments are strongly conserved in environments where persons senior to the programmer (eg lecturers, managers) review the program.
Actually, what a sequential program *means* is completely worked out.
I deliberately wrote "continued to perplex", rather than "continues...", so as to point up the state of art in 1970, rather than the current position.
Comments don't effect the program itself. If the comments are taken out, the program runs exactly the same. However, the comments give a reference for future programmers who deal with the program later (in case the original programmer is hit by a bus or something). In the 70s, comments tended to be used more in the schools and universities unless you worked at a large corporations like IBM. With the move to "Agile Programming" comments tend to occur even less. (Not because they are needed less, just because programming teams tend to be given less time to document in that environment.) Sorry for the digression, I'm a professional programmer and I couldn't resist.

Jeff McKenna · 16 February 2008

Steven,

Actually Agile programming results in less comments because the code is easier to read.

We (I am a professional as well.) have a long history of comments which are assumed to be some human readable description of value to be of little value because the program had evolved but the comments had not. This is because the evolutionary pressure to change is captured in the code - not the comments. The comments become junk.

Nick (Matzke)) · 16 February 2008

Daoud said: Good article, but sadly, even if creationists/idists read it closely, they will mine a few bits to COUNTER the article's argument. I'd see this being quote-mined: "Most researchers think the best options are flagellum-first or parallel evolution. One fact in favour of the flagellum-first view is that bacteria would have needed propulsion before they needed T3SSs, which are used to attack cells that evolved later than bacteria. Also, flagella are found in a more diverse range of bacterial species than T3SSs. "The most parsimonious explanation is that the T3SS arose later," says biochemist Howard Ochman at the University of Arizona in Tucson." Right before this paragraph, you're using the example of T3SS as flagellum-proteins being used in non-flagellum ways to show how an example of functioning "partial-flagellum", but this paragraph shows scientists tend to favour the idea (in THIS case) of flagellum coming first. You know the IDiots would jump on it in this way: "scientists say there exists functioning partial-flagellum, but they also say the FULL functioning flagellum had to come first". That's what I'd expect from an IDiot who actually reads the article.
I think my point was communicated pretty well in the article, which is that the nonflagellar T3SS proves the point that it is false to say that subsystems "are by definition nonfunctional" which was the argument Behe originally put forward in 1996 for why IC systems couldn't evolve gradually. The phylogenetic position of nonflagellar T3SS is indeed debated, some evidence goes each way. But either way (a) we have an easily selectable nonmotility function for a major subset of flagellar proteins, (b) we have a bunch of other homologous proteins & systems even if you want to ignore the NF-T3SS completely, and (c) all of this has been said before many times, and in the New Scientist article, but the ID people aren't listening because they are incompetent.
Peter Ridsdale said: Great article Dan, but what I'd really like to see is how the IDists react to it. I love to read their squirming semantics. If anyone has any good links to ID 'refutations' please post!
Here is an ID response...moving the goalposts and misunderstanding the basics at the same time! http://idintheuk.blogspot.com/2008/02/outboard-motors-made-without-design.html And some pro-evo links: http://realevang.wordpress.com/2008/02/14/not-to-flagellate-behe-but/ http://greensboring.com/viewtopic.php?f=16&t=7628 I am sure the DI will have something up shortly...
Here is my prediction - continued research will make it impossible for them to use the flagellum as an argument.
Ha! You have more faith than I. They have already moved the goalposts to "we won't be satisfied until you provide us with every single point mutation over billions of years of evolution" plus "oh and you also have to explain the origin of life before you can consider the evolution of the flagellum solved."
A new, more covert, movement will be initiated in which the ID/creationist 'scientists' keep their theological motivation hidden.
Good point. This has already happened. Actually it was a major reason for "intelligent design" in the first place, they just weren't very good at it. Version 2.0 is the DI's new high school textbook Explore Evolution which is veeeery sneaky in this regard. But of course they can't keep up the illusion very long; the whole point of all of this is religious apologetics after all. Thus they write a very sneaky textbook, website, etc., but then promote it primarily through Biola University (Biola = Bible Institute of Los Angeles), the very place that published The Fundamentals which launched the whole fundamentalist movement (which produced antievolutionism) in the early 1900s in the first place. They will never dodge their theological motivations, because they will never lose them, and this fundamental internal contradiction between scientific posturing and the desire to do religious apologetics will sink them again and again. As long as people take the time to pay attention to what they are doing and document it, that is.
There will be no 'Wedge' document error next time. Look forward to a more devious and cunning breed disguised as atheists!
They would break out in hives I think if they tried this. They will invent/wishfully think up an atheist supporter but 95%+ of these ID dudes are conservative evangelicals/fundamentalists. Moving on...
halo said: Hasn't this whole T3SS thing been answered ages ago by the ID people? See: http://www.discovery.org/scripts/viewDB/index.php?… What would be said to that?
What, this?
But in pointing out that a third of the proteins in the flagellum are closely related to components of the TTSS, Miller tacitly admits that two-thirds of the proteins in the flagellum are unique. In fact they are (indeed, if they weren't, Miller would be sure to point us to where the homologues could be found). Applied to those remaining two-third of flagellar proteins, my calculation yields something like 10^(-780), which also falls well below my universal probability bound.
The whole point of the Pallen/Matzke paper reviewed by New Scientist was that the correct number of "unique" proteins wasn't 2/3, it's more like 2/40, i.e. 5%. And those 2 are very likely homologous to the other axial proteins, we just can't prove it yet. This was all explained back here. Of course Dembski then slides over to "even if they find relatives of all the proteins I still won't be impressed because I demand infinite detail, unachievable in any real world setting", which is just silly. Behe made the same argument in the Dover trial, and we showed the judge just how silly the infinite-detail requirement was by seeing how Behe would react to a foot-high stack of peer-reviewed literature on the evolution of the immune system. His reaction was to wave it away as not good enough. That's his right, but it really proves that these ID guys aren't really interested in being serious about science. Moving on...
William Wallace said: Such similarities…are strong evidence that the two systems evolved from a common ancestor. I am setting a goal of studying more about how biologists go from noting coincidences to glibly asserting common descent.
Behe already accepts that sequence similarity = homology = nearly identical proteins = common ancestry. So why should I bother arguing it with you?
Without knowing enough of the details, such assertions seem odd, and very much akin to the specious assertion that this program (wave.c) and this program (bubble sort) are obviously descendants of this program (hello world) simply because they all contain the same "extra operator error" in the sequences '/*' and '*/' instead of just a '/' or a '*'.
You obviously don't know the details. Amino acid sequences in proteins are compared at hundreds of positions and their similarity is quantified and the statistical significance of the match is measured. This is done millions of times each day on genomic data. The whole international bioinformatics infrastructure relies on the concept and methods of homology. We just applied these standard methods to the flagellum. If you have an argument that you think should change everyone's mind, take it up with the National Center for Biotechnology Information (NCBI).
You'd need a compiler for this type of experiment, and the reason I constructed this example was because I do have an understanding of compilers, strings, information theory, randomness—and see some possible similarities between computer programs and "genetic instructions" (where my understanding has room for growth). But simply spewing jargon and ascribing meaning while the bobbleheads nod in agreement is no compiler.
Spewing jargon is pretty much what you are doing right now. Learn about DNA & amino acid sequences and how point mutations accumulate to make sequences diverge. Then you will have some basis for understanding how homology searches work.
So, in the world of analyzing DNA, what makes you think your "complier" is complete, and that it discloses all meaning and function? For example, endogenous retroviruses have been deemed to be genetic crumbs from ancient germs in the human genome. How do you know they are not '/* comments */' or the basis of some other as yet latent function? Coincidence does not establish causation. After all, in C, '/' and '*' are operators, while '/*' and '*/' are delimiters. (And the Monkey looking at a sea of clouds does not mean that all such forms are created naturally.) This would not be obvious to somebody who had never studied programming languages. But the computer program analogy of DNA only goes so far, in that there is no sentient and sapient author–at least that is the premise of the PT crowd. And from such a premise, all other findings follow.
Well, we know endogenous retroviruses are from ancient germs and not "code comments" (God comments his code?) because they've gone and reconstructed the ancestral virus genomes and found that the reconstructed ancestral sequences actually code for functional viruses!! Whaddya know, homology really does show ancestry! Moving on...
halo said: Steven Laskoske: I agree that Behe's Irreducible Complexity argument was not properly clear to start with, but the ID people have since clarified it, and this clarification is what needs adressing now - irreducible complexity makes a logical point ruling out a direct darwinian pathway (by definition),
It doesn't even do that. See scaffolding, e.g. the venus flytrap (a motion-required trap) evolved from a glue trap (sticky leaf) by this series: sticky leaf --> moving sticky leaf --> loss of glue. But the function, trapping, remained the same throughout. "Direct" evolution produced an "irreducible" trap.
leaving only indirect pathways (i.e co-option) as a possibility, which the ID people have addressed. If a good counter-argument is to be furnished I think it is only fair to address the current state of debate, which from the ID side is here encapsulated (I hope fairly) using some excerpts from an article by Dembski called 'Irreducible Complexity Revisited': QUOTE "A direct Darwinian pathway is one in which a system evolves by natural selection incrementally enhancing a given function. As the system evolves, the function does not evolve but stays put… In ruling out direct Darwinian pathways to irreducibly complex systems, the argument from irreducible complexity is saying that irreducibly complex biochemical systems are provably inaccessible to direct Darwinian pathways. At any rate, critics of the argument from irreducible complexity look to save Darwinism not by enlisting direct Darwinian pathways to bring about irreducibly complex systems but by enlisting indirect Darwinian pathways to bring them about. In indirect Darwinian pathways, a system evolves not by preserving and enhancing an existing function but by continually transforming its function… How does the argument from irreducible complexity handle indirect Darwinian pathways? Here the point at issue is no longer logical but empirical.
So you are admitting that the original IC argument, which was supposed to be a logical trap blocking evolution, has failed.
The fact is that for irreducibly complex biochemical systems, no indirect Darwinian pathways are known.
Bogus. Mike Gene, the smartest ID guy out there, admits that such indirect pathways are known and have produced IC systems even within human lifetimes, like the PCP degradation pathway. Plus there are the hundreds of articles on the evolution of the immune system, which some ID proponent somewhere has to address to even have a prayer of making the IC argument mildly serious.
At best biologists have been able to isolate subsystems of such systems that perform other functions.
And test their scenarios by making predictions and seeing if the expected observations are found. Like with the discovery of the free-living transposon ancestors of the immune systems "irreducible" RAG genes.
But any reasonably complicated machine always includes subsystems that perform functions distinct from the original machine. So the mere occurrence or identification of subsystems that could perform some function on their own is no evidence for an indirect Darwinian pathway leading to the system.
But in biology, but not in human technology, we actually see these related systems running around doing things out in the real world. You don't see functioning car engines just sitting around by themselves running, but you do see such things in biology.
What's needed is a seamless Darwinian account
Ludicrous request for infinite detail, which is silly as you admit.
that's both detailed and testable of how subsystems undergoing coevolution could gradually transform into an irreducibly complex system.
Well, we gave Behe that and he waved it away.
Indeed, if such accounts were available, critics of intelligent design would merely need to cite them, and intelligent design would be refuted.
No, ID proponents would just switch the goalposts again by mumbling "not...enough...detail!"
At this point the standard move by critics of intelligent design is to turn the tables and charge that the argument from irreducible complexity is an argument from ignorance. A common way to formulate this criticism is to say, "Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence." But as with so many overused expressions, this one requires critical scrutiny. Certainly this dictum appropriately characterizes many everyday circumstances. Imagine, for instance, someone feverishly hunting about the house for a missing set of car keys, searching under every object, casing the house, bringing in reinforcements, and then the next morning, when all hope is gone, finding them on top of the car outside. In that case the absence of evidence prior to finding the car keys was not evidence of absence. Yet with the car keys there was independent evidence of their existence in the first place. But what if we weren't sure that there even were any car keys? The situation in evolutionary biology is even more extreme than that. One might not be sure our hypothetical set of car keys exist, but at least one has the reassurance that car keys exist generally. Indirect Darwinian pathways that account for irreducible complexity are more like the leprechauns supposedly hiding in a child's room.
To ID, tested and confirmed evolutionary predictions apparently adds up to the evidence for leprechauns.
Precisely because the absence of evidence for the existence of leprechauns is complete, it is unreasonable to cite "Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence" as a reason for taking leprechauns seriously. And yet that, essentially, is what evolutionary theory counsels concerning the utterly fruitless search for credible indirect Darwinian pathways that account for irreducible complexity. If after repeated attempts looking in all the most promising places you don't find what you expect to find and if you never had any evidence that the thing you were looking for existed in the first place, then you have reason to think that the thing you are looking for doesn't exist at all.
And the ID assertion bares absolutely no resemblance to the leprechauns hypothesis. L. O. L.
That's the argument from irreducible complexity's point about indirect Darwinian pathways. It's not just that we don't know of such a pathway for, say, the bacterial flagellum (the irreducibly complex biochemical machine that has become the mascot of the intelligent design community). It's that we don't know of such pathways for any such systems. The absence here is pervasive and systemic. That's why critics of Darwinism like Franklin Harold and James Shapiro (neither of whom is an intelligent design proponent) argue that positing as-yet undiscovered indirect Darwinian pathways for such systems constitutes "wishful speculations."" END QUOTE
Neither knew anything about immune system evolution or the evolution of IC degradation pathways, so why should anyone listen to them?
So do you see the issue? I perhaps think Dembski's challenge of a 'seamless Darwinian account that's both detailed and testable' is a bit much
but I agree that at least a substantial pathway is needed, otherwise Darwinism is both unproved and unfalsifiable at the same time. This only seems fair and reasonable, what do you think? Comment #143139 on February 15, 2008 7:33 PM | Quote
Follow the links above (google the stuff I didn't link) and get thee to a library. Show us an ID explanation as detailed and tested as the evolutionary model for the origin of adaptive immunity (this system was chapter 6 of Darwin's Black Box, by the way) or have the honesty to admit that you and the ID movement are wrong about the most important claims about who's got the science on their side.

Nigel D · 16 February 2008

So, in the world of analyzing DNA, what makes you think your “complier” is complete, and that it discloses all meaning and function?

— William Wallace
What makes you think that computer code is in any way analogous to DNA? Since you assert knowledge of information theory, you must see that the parallels are outweighed by the differences.

For example, endogenous retroviruses have been deemed to be genetic crumbs from ancient germs in the human genome.

You seem to be rather confused about the terminology here, but maybe that is a lack of clarity in your comment. If what you meant was that ERVs are the remnants in the human genome of ancient viral infections, then you are correct.

How do you know they are not ‘/* comments */’ or the basis of some other as yet latent function?

Easy - deleting them has no effect. Your concept of comments is ludicrous. Comments from whom to whom? In fact, this is only not ludicrous if you subscribe to multiple designers theory: http://pandasthumb.org/archives/2004/09/introduction-to.html Your concept of a latent function is also meaningless without further exposition. What could the function be? How and why is it latent? What function does this latency serve? And how can it not be detected?

Coincidence does not establish causation.

No, and if you made an effort to understand the context, you would see that coincidence is ruled out perfectly reasonably.

After all, in C, ‘/’ and ‘*’ are operators, while ‘/*’ and ‘*/’ are delimiters. (And the Monkey looking at a sea of clouds does not mean that all such forms are created naturally.) This would not be obvious to somebody who had never studied programming languages.

But, fortunately for me, utterly irrelevant to the article.

But the computer program analogy of DNA only goes so far,

Indeed, it appears that you push it too far even while trying to acknowledge its limitations.

in that there is no sentient and sapient author–at least that is the premise of the PT crowd.

No, it is not a premise. It is the conclusion resulting from over 150 years of research and study by hundreds of thousands of people. One conclusion that is absolutely certain is this: if there is a sentient and sapient author of DNA, that author is incompetent.

Eric Finn · 16 February 2008

halo quoting Dembski: A direct Darwinian pathway is one in which a system evolves by natural selection incrementally enhancing a given function. As the system evolves, the function does not evolve but stays put... In ruling out direct Darwinian pathways to irreducibly complex systems, the argument from irreducible complexity is saying that irreducibly complex biochemical systems are provably inaccessible to direct Darwinian pathways.
Nick (Matzke) gave the venus flytrap as an example, but maybe it isn't irreducibly complex...
How does the argument from irreducible complexity handle indirect Darwinian pathways? Here the point at issue is no longer logical but empirical.
It isn't logical to overlook other independently verified mechanisms. The Moon receives about 1,400 W / square meter from the Sun, most of which is absorbed. The predicted temperature of the Moon would eventually reach the surface temperature of the Sun, if we limit ourselves only to the "direct mechanisms" to dissipate heat (e.g. to conduction and convection for the purpose of my example here). Radiative dissipation is well known and should be used for more accurate predictions. One can't really announce "Darwinism" incapable of explaining and predicting observations, if one considers only one mechanism out of many.
The fact is that for irreducibly complex biochemical systems, no indirect Darwinian pathways are known. At best biologists have been able to isolate subsystems of such systems that perform other functions.
I have got the impression that homologies support the idea of common ancestry. Homologies should not be compared to identifying a subsystem, such as a battery in a car. Is this notion correct? What is the current understanding on the pathways of evolution of biochemical systems claimed to be irreducibly complex?
So do you see the issue? I perhaps think Dembski's challenge of a 'seamless Darwinian account that’s both detailed and testable' is a bit much but I agree that at least a substantial pathway is needed, otherwise Darwinism is both unproved and unfalsifiable at the same time. This only seems fair and reasonable, what do you think?
I did not quite get the idea behind Dembski's challenge. Maybe I should read the whole article? Regards Eric

Ravilyn Sanders · 16 February 2008

Jeff McKenna: This is because the evolutionary pressure to change is captured in the code - not the comments. The comments become junk.
I am not a biologist, but a programmer. That is why there is the standing instruction: "Always debug code not the comments", (usually attributed to Dijkstra). Spelling and grammar mistakes are plenty in the comments and literal strings in a program. But the code sections are very very precise and even cryptic function names and variable names are spelled very precisely. It clearly affirms my understanding of what real scientists working on DNA are saying: "Only the sections of DNA that affects the survivability of the organism is subject to selection pressure. Neutral changes are are not. That is why there is so much variation in the non coding sections of DNA compared to the sections that actually make proteins". The example involving wave.c, sort.c and hellow_world.c is a simple straw man. No biologist claims descent because of one or two similarities or errors in short snippets of DNA. Even WW would agree that if he was given codes turbotax_2007.exe, turbotax_2006.exe and the iPhoto executable one would be able to determine which two are closely related. A better analogy would be: If you are given all the source codes for most of the major popular programs in Unix and in Windows would you be able to classify them into "windows Phyla" or "unix phyla"? Given codes A, B and C would you be able to tell if B is closer to A than C? To caricature this level of analysis done in DNA to finding one similarity between three tiny programs is the very definition of straw man argument. All basic DNA analysis can tell you is some measure of "closeness" between two organisms. Raw data is simply which organisms are closely related and which are not. Common descent is the theory that explains this observation. When DNA, mutations etc were first observed, it had the potential to upset the theory of evolution. If the proximity analysis comes up with relationships that are completely different from the traditional orthodox taxonomy, the common descent theory would have gone kaput! But DNA analysis confirmed the centuries old taxonomy and classification. It affirmed the theory of common descent rather than disproved it.

Nigel D · 16 February 2008

I agree that Behe’s Irreducible Complexity argument was not properly clear to start with,

— halo quoting Dembski
Hmm, yes, but did you also spot the illogical foundations, and the fact that Behe's "irreducible complexity" had actually been predicted by evolutinary biologists in the early part of the 20th century? (Behe's illogic centres mainly on his conclusion that any problem with Evolutionary theory constitutes evidence for design. He also fails to back up his assertion that complexity is evidence of design - because when considering human design, simplicity is a hallmark of design).

but the ID people have since clarified it, and this clarification is what needs adressing now - irreducible complexity makes a logical point ruling out a direct darwinian pathway (by definition)

No, it does not. What they rule out by definition is the gradual accumulation of increasing complexity to form a system that is IC. However, they totally ignore the possibility that a system that appears IC could arise by gradual stepwise simplification of a larger, more complex system containing redundancy. And there is indeed evidence that such occurences are both plausible and probable. The argument is additionally weakened by the flexibility of the definition of IC, and by the fact that all examples of IC cited to date have been proven not to be irreducibly complex.

, leaving only indirect pathways (i.e co-option) as a possibility, which the ID people have addressed.

No, they have not. They have instead tried to dismiss this most common of occurences. I have seen ID authors try to deny that gene duplication occurs at all, where it is in fact a powerful mechanism for permitting the generation of the variation upon which selection operates.

If a good counter-argument is to be furnished I think it is only fair to address the current state of debate, which from the ID side is here encapsulated (I hope fairly) using some excerpts from an article by Dembski called ‘Irreducible Complexity Revisited’: QUOTE “A direct Darwinian pathway is one in which a system evolves by natural selection incrementally enhancing a given function.

Already, Dembski is trying to redefine evolutionary theory. Do not accept his definitions - instead, go and read some of the work of actual biologists. Besides, modern evolutionary theory (MET) is so far advanced beyond Darwin's original theory that to use the term "Darwinian" at all is a gross anachronism.

As the system evolves, the function does not evolve but stays put…

Notice a total failure to define what he means by "function". Hey, Bill, what if my assemblage of proteins actually has four separate functions?

In ruling out direct Darwinian pathways to irreducibly complex systems,

Which is part of its definition, by the way. There is no actual logical argument presented to "rule out" natural selection of inherited variation.

the argument from irreducible complexity is saying that irreducibly complex biochemical systems are provably inaccessible to direct Darwinian pathways.

Ain't it a shame that no-one has proved that an IC system is inaccessible to evolutionary pathways. Incidentally, all that is needed to refute Dembski's point here is a plausible pathway to an IC system. And many have been provided (try browsing the archives at Talk Reason for a while).

At any rate, critics of the argument from irreducible complexity look to save Darwinism not by enlisting direct Darwinian pathways to bring about irreducibly complex systems but by enlisting indirect Darwinian pathways to bring them about.

This is a lie. The proponents of the argument from IC have failed to rule out a set of "direct" evolutionary pathways in the first place (i.e. those that bring about IC from a state of prior higher complexity). They have also failed to demonstrate that IC is a real phenomenon.

In indirect Darwinian pathways, a system evolves not by preserving and enhancing an existing function but by continually transforming its function…

This is rubbish. Biological systems that possess only one function are actually very rare, unless one is extraordinarily picky about how one defines a system. Take a single protein molecule, for example. It might possess a catalytic activity; but it may also possess several others that are far less efficient. If the gene becomes duplicated, one copy is free to mutate, even to the extent that a secondary function of a protein may become more efficient than its primary function. However, for selection to operate on this gene, all that is required is that improvement in the secondary function confers an advantage.

How does the argument from irreducible complexity handle indirect Darwinian pathways? Here the point at issue is no longer logical but empirical.

Whaddya mean, Bill, "no longer logical"? Your argument was not logical in the first place.

The fact is that for irreducibly complex biochemical systems, no indirect Darwinian pathways are known.

No, you got that wrong. For biological systems, no IC ones are known. Anyway, you have moved the goalposts, because all that is required to refute your argument that such things cannot occur is to provide a plausible pathway whereby they might occur. Whether this represents what actually did happen or not is irrelevant to your claim that such things cannot happen.

At best biologists have been able to isolate subsystems of such systems that perform other functions.

Which, in and of itself, refutes the claim of IC (doesn't IC require, definitively, that no sub-assembly of the parts has a selectable function?).

But any reasonably complicated machine always includes subsystems that perform functions distinct from the original machine.

What? Once again, this is rubbish. My wristwatch is pretty complicated. I cannot see any part of it that does not perform the function of "telling the time". It is true that certain subsystems perform functions that contribute to the overall function of "telling the time", but Bill's assertion is trivially easy to refute.

So the mere occurrence or identification of subsystems that could perform some function on their own is no evidence for an indirect Darwinian pathway leading to the system.

No, it may not be, but it is still enough to demonstrate that the system is not IC. Remember that a system, to be IC, may not have any sub-assembly that performs a selectable function.

What’s needed is a seamless Darwinian account that’s both detailed and testable of how subsystems undergoing coevolution could gradually transform into an irreducibly complex system. No such accounts are available or have so far been forthcoming. Indeed, if such accounts were available, critics of intelligent design would merely need to cite them, and intelligent design would be refuted.

This is an utterly unreasonable challenge. Bill is requiring that biologists predict the future state of systems undergoing evolution. Such a thing is beyond the present capabilities of science. However, such an example is not required to refute Bill's argument. All that is required is a plausible account of how a system that is asserted to be IC could have evolved by co-optation (or, indeed, by a direct path). Remember, the conclusion of design from the argument of IC rests on the hypothesis that IC systems cannot evolve by the mechanisms described by MET. All that is needed to refute the argument is to show that evolution of an IC system is possible, not that it has actually occurred.

At this point the standard move by critics of intelligent design is to turn the tables and charge that the argument from irreducible complexity is an argument from ignorance.

No, the conclusion of design from the argument of IC is an argument of personal incredulity ("I cannot imagine how such a thing could arise through natural processes, therefore it was designed"). This is a different logical fallacy, but it is still a failure of logic.

A common way to formulate this criticism is to say, “Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence.” But as with so many overused expressions, this one requires critical scrutiny. Certainly this dictum appropriately characterizes many everyday circumstances. Imagine, for instance, someone feverishly hunting about the house for a missing set of car keys, searching under every object, casing the house, bringing in reinforcements, and then the next morning, when all hope is gone, finding them on top of the car outside. In that case the absence of evidence prior to finding the car keys was not evidence of absence. Yet with the car keys there was independent evidence of their existence in the first place. But what if we weren’t sure that there even were any car keys?

In that case, Bill, one must make reasonable inferences from knowledge that already exists. In this case, cars require keys, therefore a set of keys for this car exists. Simple, really.

The situation in evolutionary biology is even more extreme than that. One might not be sure our hypothetical set of car keys exist, but at least one has the reassurance that car keys exist generally. Indirect Darwinian pathways that account for irreducible complexity are more like the leprechauns supposedly hiding in a child’s room.

Not so. When examining a system that is described by Bill as IC, we can reasonably assume that it arose through a mechanism that involved natural processes of cause and effect. Therefore, we can conclude that the system arose through some mechanism. Indeed, for several of the "IC" example systems, several different mechanisms have been proposed for how they may have arisen. It is entirely possible that we will never know which one is correct. However, the design conclusion rests on the argument that evolution of IC systems is impossible by natural mechanisms. Showing a possible mechanism is all that is required to refute the design conclusion.

Precisely because the absence of evidence for the existence of leprechauns is complete, it is unreasonable to cite “Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence” as a reason for taking leprechauns seriously.

But, in this analogy, one is not merely discussing the absence of evidence that one knows will be very hard to find. One is discussing the absence of evidence that one has every right to expect to find. Since there are no tiny little footprints, no evidence that things have been moved or that food has been consumed or waste excreted, one can genuinely and reasonably conclude that there are no leprechauns. Replace the word "leprechauns" with the word "mice" and one can clearly see that the conclusion "mice are absent" reasonably follows from the absence of evidence.

And yet that, essentially, is what evolutionary theory counsels concerning the utterly fruitless search for credible indirect Darwinian pathways that account for irreducible complexity.

Nonsense. For the evolution of molecular systems that have been in existence for billions of years, one would be more surprised to find evidence indicating the evolutionary pathway than otherwise. All that is required to refute the argument from IC is a possible way in which the system in question evolved. Remember, the argument from IC requires that such systems cannot evolve by natural mechanisms.

If after repeated attempts looking in all the most promising places you don’t find what you expect to find and if you never had any evidence that the thing you were looking for existed in the first place, then you have reason to think that the thing you are looking for doesn’t exist at all.

Except that it is not reasonable to expect to find evidence of the exact evolutionary pathway taken by very ancestral features. This is where the analogy breaks down, because it is reasonable to expect to find evidence left behind by the leprechauns.

That’s the argument from irreducible complexity’s point about indirect Darwinian pathways. It’s not just that we don’t know of such a pathway for, say, the bacterial flagellum (the irreducibly complex biochemical machine that has become the mascot of the intelligent design community). It’s that we don’t know of such pathways for any such systems.

But what we do know is that each supposedly IC system has at least one plausible pathway by which it could have evolved. And that is enough to destroy the argument from IC.

The absence here is pervasive and systemic. That’s why critics of Darwinism like Franklin Harold and James Shapiro (neither of whom is an intelligent design proponent) argue that positing as-yet undiscovered indirect Darwinian pathways for such systems constitutes “wishful speculations.”” END QUOTE

Well, they are no more wishful speculation than the entire ID edifice. At least we have evidence that the mechanisms described in MET really do occur. The exact pathway taken by an evolving system a couple of billion years ago may never be known, and it is unreasonable to expect that it will be known or that it should be known now. But to leap from here to the conclusion of design is illogical in the extreme. That is a genuine argument from ignorance. And in this case, absence of evidence does not constitute evidence of absence, because it is evidence that we have no right to expect to find.

So do you see the issue? I perhaps think Dembski’s challenge of a ‘seamless Darwinian account that’s both detailed and testable’ is a bit much but I agree that at least a substantial pathway is needed, otherwise Darwinism is both unproved and unfalsifiable at the same time. This only seems fair and reasonable, what do you think?

No, I disagree. All that is required to refute the IC argument is a plausible evolutionary pathway that occurs by mechanisms that are known to occur. It is unreasonable to expect scientists to demonstrate exactly which of several possible pathways were taken. Conversely, ID does not even propose any plausible mechanism. It merely makes the assertion of "design" and then halts its investigation there. Questions that Dembski carefully ignores include: (1) If there is design, why does so much of the evidence indicate incompetent design rather than intelligent design?
(2) By what mechanism does the design come to be actuated?
(3) How are we to determine when, in the ancestry of bacteria, the design event occurred?
(4) Were there many design events or just one? How are we to measure this?
(5) Why can we see no evidence for the existence of a designer (remember that Dembski has asserted that evidence of design does not necessarily implicate the existence of a designer)?
(6) How is design supposed to occur if not through natural processes or a designer?

Nigel D · 16 February 2008

Well, I guess I should read all of the comments before sticking my oar in.

That was a very comprehensive answer, Nick (Matzke). I guess there is no substitute for knowing the relevant literature.

Frank J · 16 February 2008

I am setting a goal of studying more about how biologists go from noting coincidences to glibly asserting common descent.

— William Wallace
I asked you on 3 other threads whether you agreed with Behe on common descent and the age of life. Given that you are still posting, it's looking more likely that you deliberately ignored my questions as opposed to just having missed them. Now that it seems that you either deny common descent or at least are unconvinced of it, please tell us whether you are more or less convinced of the alternative hypothesis, which is that various lineages (and if so, which ones) arose by independent abiogenesis. Focus like a laser beam on the question, and avoid the temptation to tangent onto your problems with "Darwinism." Recall that Behe apparently rejects that alternative hypothesis, so if you prefer it, you and Behe have lots to talk about. While you're at it, please try again at answering whether you agree with Behe that life on Earth has a history of ~3-4 billion years.

Dan Jones · 16 February 2008

Wow, you turn your back on PT for a while (other things beckoning!) and the comments section proliferates like mad! Anyway, belatedly here are some replies to questions directed to me. First, thanks for the kind comments on the article.
Bobby: Dan, find out the NS policy on self-archiving your publications. If they are one of the many scientific publishers that allow it, you can make the article downloadable from your blog and post the link here.
It’s common practice for science writers to sign a writer’s agreement that hands over the rights to the article – the words themselves, as well as the formatted, illustrated, published piece. And so I would be infringing copyright if I posted my articles online for all to see. I’ve noticed that a number of writers, such as Steve Pinker and Carl Zimmer, have their articles online (Pinker has exact replicas of the published pieces, Zimmer the text from his articles), and wondered how this is possible. My best guess is that these prestigious writers can insist on retaining the copyright on their words, and yet they’re names have so much cache that publishers are still happy to get their stuff into print. I could be wrong, but I think that must be what’s going on.
Alan Bird: Dan, Very nice article - thanks. I'd like to ask you a question about it. Behe's flagship claim is of course that the flagellum was intelligently designed. I'd have expected to see a reaction from him about this latest research. Did you in fact approach him for a comment? If so, did he respond at all?
The issue of how much credence and oxygen of publicity to give to ID critiques of evolutionary accounts of flagellar evolution was tricky here. On the one hand, the inherent scientific interest in explaining the problem has undoubtedly, if lamentably, gained an added public-interest dimension because of its status as an icon of anti-evolution among the IDists. As such, I had to mention the ID issue. At the same time, it was mainly an article about the science of the issue, written for a scientific magazine that has little sympathy for ID. And so the decision was made not to contact IDists, partly because it lends scientific credence to what seems to be essentially a politically and religiously motivated attack on science, and partly it would not doubt introduce criticisms that, prima facie, seem compelling but which would require a lot more space to deal with effectively. It seemed like a distraction. IDists might argue that they’re being unfairly sidelined here. Well, this wasn’t an article about the ID/evolution debates per se, but about some proper science. When IDists start to publish testable hypothesis or new empirical results in peer-reviewed scientific journals, then perhaps they might deserve a bit more space in future articles along the lines of mine.
Daoud: Right before this paragraph, you're using the example of T3SS as flagellum-proteins being used in non-flagellum ways to show how an example of functioning "partial-flagellum", but this paragraph shows scientists tend to favour the idea (in THIS case) of flagellum coming first. You know the IDiots would jump on it in this way: "scientists say there exists functioning partial-flagellum, but they also say the FULL functioning flagellum had to come first". That's what I'd expect from an IDiot who actually reads the article.
Nick gave the reply that I had in mind. IDists have claimed that the flagellum is irreducibly complex. As a sub-system of the flagellum bears strong similarities to non-flagellar T3SSs, this suggest that such a subsystem could function just as NF-T3SSs do today as injectisomes. Hence the flagellum is not irreducibly complex. I realise that perhaps I could’ve been a bit clearer here about the potential evolutionary relationships between NF-T3SSs and flagellar T3SS. In part, this is because I glossed over the distinction between flagellar T3SSs and NF-T3SSs. For the IDists it might seem like evolutionists are trying to have their cake and eat it in saying that NF-T3SS systems such as the injectisome show that a partial flagellum can have a function, while also suggesting that NF-T3SSs came after flagellar T3SSs. But this is not the case. NF-T3SSs show that a subsystem of the flagellum could have a secretory function. And so the flagellum could have evolved from a T3SS system (not an injectisome), and then later NF-T3SSs evolved from flagella. It is not being simultaneously and, contradictorily, suggested that NF-T3SSs like the injectisome were the route to the flagellum AND that NF-T3SSs came later; just that a subsystem of the flagellum could have evolved for secretory purposes, and this was later co-opted to secrete flagellin proteins into the flagella tail. I’ll have to leave this thread now as other demands are bearing down on me – see you around! Cheers, Dan. http://psom.blogspot.com/

Frank J · 16 February 2008

halo,

Please feel free to tell us whether you agree with Behe that, regardless of mechanism or whether design actuation events occurred:

1. Humans share common ancestors with dogs and dogwoods.

2. Life on Earth has a ~3-4 billion year history.

Note that Dembski agrees with 2, and is keeping us guessing on his best guess on 1. Although a big clue is that he has never challenged Behe on it.

Speaking of "best guess," please state yours, even if you are genuinely unsure.

William Wallace, that goes for you too.

Before anyone chimes in that Dembski denies common descent, all he said is that he doubts that humans and other apes evolved from a common ancestor. He never denied saltation or front loading.

Frank J · 16 February 2008

When IDists start to publish testable hypothesis or new empirical results in peer-reviewed scientific journals, then perhaps they might deserve a bit more space in future articles along the lines of mine.

— Dan Jones
The odds of that happening are poor and decreasing, given how they are retreating from answering the simplest questions, such as whether the first flagellum appeared in an existing flagellum-free organism, it's direct descendant, or whether the organism containing the first organism was the result of a new abiogenesis event. Nowadays they rarely even volunteer when the first flagellum might have appeared. And as we can see, their cheerleaders, many of which may be YECs, are learning to ape their evasiveness. The reason they are refusing to answer the simple questions is simple, but alas not obvious to most nonscientists. The answers to those simple questions call attention to many hypotheses that can be tested. And IDers don't want to test hypotheses that they know will fail.

Science Avenger · 16 February 2008

Dembski: If after repeated attempts looking in all the most promising places you don’t find what you expect to find and if you never had any evidence that the thing you were looking for existed in the first place, then you have reason to think that the thing you are looking for doesn’t exist at all.
My irony meter exploded on this coming from a fundamentalist.

Pete Dunkelberg · 16 February 2008

What they rule out by definition is the gradual accumulation of increasing complexity to form a system that is IC.

No, they don't. You don't prevent something happening by making up definitions. There are lots of remarks similar to what I quoted in the comments here. It is true that IC might arise by simplification, but there is no reason to think that is the usual way. See for instance Ken Miller's The Evolution of Blood Clotting, and some commenters might go back to basics with good old Irreducible Complexity Demystified.

JohnK · 16 February 2008

Wallace's blog, in absolute seriousness, entitles "Ann Coulter, Renowned evolution expert".

Good luck with your questions, FrankJ.

David B. Benson · 16 February 2008

We need a good EE to design better irony meters...

Dolly Sheriff · 16 February 2008

Come on guys, stop complaining about the ID'ists moving the goalposts. Irreducible complexity is not so hard to understand. Even for a housewife like me!

Use the mousetrap example of Mr Behe as your guide...Just because the spring in the mousetrap under your table is also used in the spring file on top of your table, does NOT explain or show how the mousetrap was the ancestor of the spring file.

Simple really.

Mike Elzinga · 16 February 2008

They have already moved the goalposts to “we won’t be satisfied until you provide us with every single point mutation over billions of years of evolution” plus “oh and you also have to explain the origin of life before you can consider the evolution of the flagellum solved.”
This is another misconception they propagate. One would think they should know better. At any point in its history, a complex evolving system has many possible directions it can go depending on very tiny perturbations and contingencies at the moment. Try evolving the system again and it will go off in an entirely different direction. None of these directions are “special”; they are only taken to be special after the fact. They want a completely deterministic picture of evolution that repeats exactly every time it replays. Yet they claim to have free will (otherwise their theological issues become very nasty for them). This is a pretty good example of the fractured and inconsistent mentality of ID/cdesign proponentsists/Creationists.

William Wallace · 16 February 2008

JohnK wrote Wallace’s blog, in absolute seriousness, entitles “Ann Coulter, Renowned evolution expert”.
I am still trying to find the citation for this...I am pretty sure it came from a post by PZ Myers or somebody similar. And while I did recognize it as sarcasm, this was only because I know how much the PT crowd loathes Coulter.

Nigel D · 16 February 2008

Pete Dunkelberg:

What they rule out by definition is the gradual accumulation of increasing complexity to form a system that is IC.

No, they don't. You don't prevent something happening by making up definitions. There are lots of remarks similar to what I quoted in the comments here. It is true that IC might arise by simplification, but there is no reason to think that is the usual way. See for instance Ken Miller's The Evolution of Blood Clotting, and some commenters might go back to basics with good old Irreducible Complexity Demystified.
Pete, that's a good point, and it shows that I was not very clear. What I perhaps should have said is something more along these lines: In his definition of IC, Behe attempts to rule out the gradual accumulation of complexity. Since, despite his protestations, not one of his examples actually possesses IC, there is nothing to prevent them from evolving via the gradual accumulation of more complex features. As you will see from other parts of that same comment, I am not convinced that the argument from IC has any merit at all, either logically or empirically.

Dolly Sheriff · 16 February 2008

For goodness sakes, are we forgetting that this bacterial flajellythingy is actually an efficient motor, with all the parts and more than a human invented one. Is the emperor wearing clothes?

Nigel D · 16 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff: Come on guys, stop complaining about the ID'ists moving the goalposts. Irreducible complexity is not so hard to understand. Even for a housewife like me! Use the mousetrap example of Mr Behe as your guide...Just because the spring in the mousetrap under your table is also used in the spring file on top of your table, does NOT explain or show how the mousetrap was the ancestor of the spring file. Simple really.
Erm, I'm not quite sure how serious you are being here. However... It is a relatively trivial task to demolish the mousetrap argument. This has been done elsewhere in detail, but the essence is twofold: (1) it is not irreducibly complex, and (2) it is not analogous to a biological system. However, the mousetrap argument is a logical fallacy - in this case, an argument by analogy in support of IC leading to the conclusion of design. No-one claims that it represents evidence for common descent. However, the fact that the spring itself can have multiple functions is suggestive of the weakness in general of the IC argument.

Nigel D · 16 February 2008

William Wallace:
JohnK wrote Wallace’s blog, in absolute seriousness, entitles “Ann Coulter, Renowned evolution expert”.
I am still trying to find the citation for this...I am pretty sure it came from a post by PZ Myers or somebody similar. And while I did recognize it as sarcasm, this was only because I know how much the PT crowd loathes Coulter.
And why should we not? She frequently denies reality, and the ability of science to help us learn about the world. She makes a living off slandering an entire profession. What aspect of this behaviour is not loathsome?

Dolly Sheriff · 16 February 2008

Nigel D: It is a relatively trivial task to demolish the mousetrap argument. This has been done elsewhere in detail, but the essence is twofold: (1) it is not irreducibly complex, and (2) it is not analogous to a biological system.
Nigel, thank you for your thoughtful reply. What I don't understand is, how is the mousetrap not analogous to a biological system?

Nigel D · 16 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff: For goodness sakes, are we forgetting that this bacterial flajellythingy is actually an efficient motor, with all the parts and more than a human invented one. Is the emperor wearing clothes?
Actually, it bears only a superficial resemblance to motors designed by humans (e.g. it contains a rotor and a stator but there the resemblance ends). Proteins are large, often flexible, molecules. They do not behave in a way that mimics anything that is familiar to anyone without the relevant experience in chemistry or biochemistry or cell biology.

Pete Dunkelberg · 16 February 2008

Nigel,
Sorry, you just provided a convenient example of a type of statement that occurs too many times in this comment stream.

Pete Dunkelberg · 16 February 2008

Irreducible complexity, short version

IC is a misleading name for co-adapted parts, which evolution can't avoid producing. If ever a reason is found why something couldn't have evolved, IC won't be that reason.

Dolly Sheriff · 16 February 2008

Nigel D: Actually, it bears only a superficial resemblance to motors designed by humans (e.g. it contains a rotor and a stator but there the resemblance ends). Proteins are large, often flexible, molecules. They do not behave in a way that mimics anything that is familiar to anyone without the relevant experience in chemistry or biochemistry or cell biology.
Well, I think it looks very much like a motor and works very much like a motor. I don't have the "relevant experience in chemistry or biochemistry", but I'm not dim either. I saw those special "photos" that those clever eastern scientists took and it looks like a motor to me!

Stacy S. · 16 February 2008

Dolly - you're lying about being "just a housewife " Why?
http://darwinstories.blogspot.com/

Dolly Sheriff · 16 February 2008

Stacy, do you not know of any housewives that have a blog? Nick Matzke, has commented on my blog before, as you will see if you take the trouble to read it!

Pete Dunkelberg · 16 February 2008

Dolly Sherrif, mechanical mousetraps are not relevant to biological evolution. Saying "Biology is complicated" is not an argument against evolution. Both complexity and co-adapted parts are natural outcomes.

Dolly Sheriff · 16 February 2008

I'm not opposed to evolution, in fact I'm all for it - I just don't buy the explanation on how it works. They sound like stories to me. Randomness and survival of the fittest just don't seem enough to build a functional motor. It's time scientists came up with a better explanation - then maybe ordinary people like us would believe it!

Paul Burnett · 16 February 2008

William Wallace:
JohnK wrote Wallace’s blog, in absolute seriousness, entitles “Ann Coulter, Renowned evolution expert”.
I am still trying to find the citation for this...I am pretty sure it came from a post by PZ Myers or somebody similar. And while I did recognize it as sarcasm, this was only because I know how much the PT crowd loathes Coulter.
In her obscenity-ridden book Godless: The Church of Liberalism (Crown Forum, June 2006), Ann Coulter, the designated spokes-harridan for the foaming-at-the-mouth ultra-right-wing, devoted two chapters to a bizarre attempt to discredit evolution and support intelligent design creationism. She regurgitates the lies and fatally-flawed logic of creationists from whom even some religious conservatives distanced themselves long ago. She writes "I couldn't have written about evolution without the generous tutoring of Michael Behe, David Berlinski, and William Dembski, all of whom are fabulous at translating complex ideas..." Berlinski, Dembski, and Behe are, of course, all senior fellows with the Center for Science and Culture at the Dishonesty Institute. That's how Ann became a "renowned evolution expert."

Stacy S. · 16 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff: Stacy, do you not know of any housewives that have a blog? Nick Matzke, has commented on my blog before, as you will see if you take the trouble to read it!
No I don't ... I don't know who Nick Matzke is ... I AM just a housewife trying to keep this ID/Creationism crap out of my kids' school. The people here on PT have been very nice to me and I don't take kindly to people trying to "pull things over" on them.

Dolly Sheriff · 16 February 2008

Stacy S.: No I don't ... I don't know who Nick Matzke is
Sorry Stacy, Nick Mattzke posted this article that you are commenting on. So you see I am not trying to hide my identity as you not very politely pointed out

Pete Dunkelberg · 16 February 2008

Dolly, variation plus genetic drift plus natural selection work much better than you seem to think. You can't be taught everything in a blog comment, you have to study how natural processes work. Meanwhile, scientists don't "come up with" things. Research goes on all the time, and more is learned about nature nonstop, but we make no apology for the complexity of nature. If you don't "get" biology, consider the possibility that this does not mean no one does.

Mike Elzinga · 16 February 2008

They sound like stories to me. Randomness and survival of the fittest just don’t seem enough to build a functional motor. It’s time scientists came up with a better explanation - then maybe ordinary people like us would believe it!
Try starting with simpler stories (e.g., how a snowflake came to be). Then gradually work your way up to stories that approach the complexity of the ones you are now writing. You may then see the root of the problem in your current stories which are cute, but misleading.

Stacy S. · 16 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff: Come on guys, stop complaining about the ID'ists moving the goalposts. Irreducible complexity is not so hard to understand. Even for a housewife like me!
hmmm...

Mike Elzinga · 16 February 2008

Sorry Stacy, Nick Mattzke posted this article that you are commenting on. So you see I am not trying to hide my identity as you not very politely pointed out.
Actually Stacy is telling the truth. She showed up here long after Nick stopped being a regular here and went off to do his doctorate. She doesn’t know about his role in the Dover trial.

Pete Dunkelberg · 16 February 2008

Mike Elzinga said (almost)

Try starting with simpler stories (e.g., how a snowflake came to be).

MPW · 16 February 2008

I'm not 100% convinced that William Wallace (or "Braveheart," as I'm tempted to call him) isn't a parody troll, especially with that name and that Ann Coulter remark quoted just above.

Leaving that aside for the moment... If Wallace thinks that similarities at the cellular level are just coincidences and not evidence of relatedness, can we assume that he's outraged at the many innocent people put in prison (and the many guilty released) on the basis of DNA evidence? After all, just because the DNA left at the crime scene and the DNA of the prisoner show lots of similarities doesn't prove they're from the same person. It could be just coincidence. (Or a mystical designer inserting fake evidence to mess with us.) Ditto for the poor men forced to pay child support on the basis of similar "evidence."

Dolly Sheriff · 16 February 2008

Pete Dunkelberg: Mike Elzinga said (almost)

Try starting with simpler stories (e.g., how a snowflake came to be).

Thanks for the link Mike. pete's article is truly awesome. The photos of snaowflakes reminds me of my kaleidoscope that I played with as a child, filled with wonder at those beautiful patterns.

Dolly Sheriff · 16 February 2008

Pete Dunkelberg: Mike Elzinga said (almost)

Try starting with simpler stories (e.g., how a snowflake came to be).

Thanks for the link Mike. Pete's article is truly awesome. The photos of snowflakes reminds me of my kaleidoscope that I played with as a child, filled with wonder at those beautiful patterns.

MPW · 16 February 2008

I swear, it's getting to the point where I almost can't distinguish between tongue-in-cheek satire and genuine creationist claptrap. Dolly's site had me scratching my head. I've rarely seen so much writing and design effort and so much superficial cleverness expended to say so little.

The entire argument Dolly Sheriff makes, in her comments here and on her blog, is "Well, that just sounds far-fetched and hard to understand, so it's not true." I once saw a creationist commenter on the Evolution vs. Creation Forum (evcforum.net) say, and I believe this is almost an exact quote: "The truth is always simple and straightforward. Only lies have to be complicated and hard to understand." It's mind-boggling to me that a functioning adult could believe this, but it's the assumption under much creationist thought (not to mention other anti-intellectual beliefs).

Similarly, it's utterly perplexing to me that an articulate and apparently somewhat educated adult (even one who's "just a housewife") could apparently believe that any explanation, to be correct, must be immediately obvious and intuitive to an ordinary layperson who's done no study into the subject. Dolly, would you accept such reasoning when it came to, say, how to build a suspension bridge or how to keep an airplane aloft or how to operate on a damaged human brain?

Nigel D · 16 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff:
Nigel D: It is a relatively trivial task to demolish the mousetrap argument. This has been done elsewhere in detail, but the essence is twofold: (1) it is not irreducibly complex, and (2) it is not analogous to a biological system.
Nigel, thank you for your thoughtful reply. What I don't understand is, how is the mousetrap not analogous to a biological system?
If we compare the mousetrap to a multiprotein complex such as a ribosome or a typical bacterial flagellum or a type 3 secretion system or the mitochondrial inner membrane electron transport system that controls oxidative phosphorylation... (1) The mousetrap is a macroscopic object made from solid components. Its operation is purely mechanical. On the other hand, biological macromolecules are usually either in aqueous solution or exist as a colloidal suspension. They interact through several different types of chemical interaction. (2) The parts of the mousetrap (even the parts that flex and move in a limited way) are rigid in comparison to the components of any multiprotein complex. (3) Each part of the mousetrap performs one part of the function, whereas parts of a multiprotein complex could either perform or contribute to several different aspects of the function, or, indeed, to entirely separate functions. (4) A mousetrap is fundamentally very simple. It is made from perhaps 4 or 5 discrete components, each of which is specifically shaped for a particular role. A multiprotein complex is entirely different. It is made up from several individual proten molecules (a typical figure cited for a flagellum is 30). Each of these proteins has properties that depend on its structure. The structure is determined by the linear sequence of the 20 common amino acids (a typical protein molecule will have around 50 - 500 amino acid residues). However, protein structure is a complex and subtle subject. The 20 amino acids have different chemical properties. These properties can affect the rigidity of the protein (and its other physical properties, such as sensitivity to mechanical shear), they determine the shape of the protein, and they affect the chemical interaction in which the protein will participate. So, from 20 different building blocks, many dufferent protein molecules are possible. (5) If you alter one of the components of the mousetrap (e.g. by bending a piece, or making it out of aluminum instead of steel), you can drastically alter the properties of the mousetrap. However, you are almost certainly never going to arrive at an entirely new function. With a multiprotein system, on the other hand, there are many changes that can be made without altering the overall properties at all (which is how the many hundreds of different bacterial flagella that exist are all able to serve the same function in the same way while possessing only modest chemical similarity to one another). However, there are also a very few changes (e.g. changing an aspartate residue for a leucine* residue at a critical point, or swapping proline for glycine**) that can have a dramatic effect on the performance of the whole. Not only could one destroy the function of the system by a relatively minor change made a a critical location, but one could also discover entirely new functions by relatively modest changes. In short, there is no way to draw a parallel between a macroscopic, purpose-built object, and a multiprotein complex, except in the most simplistic way. The ID proponents often describe molecular assemblages using terms like "machine", "motor" and so on, precisely in order to equivocate and create confusion in their audience. Additionally, Dembski in particular makes a special point of avoiding any discussion of how many possible structures there may be for a protein to perform a given function. This is because it destroys all of his pretty probability calculations. And, if you have got your probabilities wrong, then you have also incorrectly identified complexity, specification and information (all of which are defined by Dembski as quantified improbability). * This can make a dramatic chemical difference if it occurs at a critical location. ** This can make a dramatic structural difference if it occurs at a critical location.

Nigel D · 16 February 2008

Pete Dunkelberg: Nigel, Sorry, you just provided a convenient example of a type of statement that occurs too many times in this comment stream.
Hey, it does me good to have it pointed out when I'm not being clear. Clarity is very important for any scientific argument. Some of the concepts here can be rather difficult, and it is sometimes too easy to gloss over the subtleties and hence lose an important component of an argument.

Nigel D · 16 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff:
Nigel D: Actually, it bears only a superficial resemblance to motors designed by humans (e.g. it contains a rotor and a stator but there the resemblance ends). Proteins are large, often flexible, molecules. They do not behave in a way that mimics anything that is familiar to anyone without the relevant experience in chemistry or biochemistry or cell biology.
Well, I think it looks very much like a motor and works very much like a motor. I don't have the "relevant experience in chemistry or biochemistry", but I'm not dim either. I saw those special "photos" that those clever eastern scientists took and it looks like a motor to me!
When visualised in a particular way, yes it will look like a motor. Because what you see is the rotor and stator components, and you see the one moving relative to the other. However, despite the end result (rotational motion) being the same as that obtained by a motor, its mode of operation is completely different. Unless I miss my guess, it operates by deforming parts of itself and then returning to its initial relaxed state (repeatedly and rapidly) using energy derived from the hydrolysis of ATP or a similar molecule. If you contrast this with electric motors, steam engines and internal combustion engines, none of these operates in any way that can be likened to the flagellum. This is why it is necessary to have some understanding of the fundamentals to engage in a meaningful discussion. Dembski and Behe want people to think of the flagellum as if it were a motor, i.e. a manufactured thing. It is not.

Nigel D · 16 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff: I'm not opposed to evolution, in fact I'm all for it - I just don't buy the explanation on how it works. They sound like stories to me. Randomness and survival of the fittest just don't seem enough to build a functional motor. It's time scientists came up with a better explanation - then maybe ordinary people like us would believe it!
I think you are being unfairly critical of scientists. The job of the scientist is to find stuff out. It is the job of a nation's education system to ensure that its population has a sufficient understanding of the basics that people can understand the discoveries of science. When talking about an ancient molecular structure like a typical bacterial flagellum, you must remember that the scientists are detectives following a trail that is most probably over 2 billion years old. It may be that we never know exactly how flagella came to evolve. What we can know is that plausible explanations can be assembled based on the action of mechanisms that we know to occur. An important part of science that is often missed when scientific discoveries are reported (especially in the popular press) is that science exists in an environment of uncertainty. However, science has developed methods for accepting this and for making sensible, reasonable and logically-supportable conclusions based on the evidence that we have. And, if you care to delve into it, the evidence that supports evolutionary theory as a whole is overwhelming. Why, then, is our ignorance of the exact sequence of events that happened in the distant past a problem? Anyhow, "randomness and survival of the fittest" is no more than a caricature of evolutionary theory. There is plenty of information out there. Some of it is very accurate (here's a hint: works that reference the primary scientific literature a lot are usually, but not exclusively, more reliable than works that do not).

raven · 16 February 2008

William Wallace: I am setting a goal of studying more about how biologists go from noting coincidences to glibly asserting common descent.
You mean you are going to study biology and the other sciences? It won't hurt, tens of millions of Americans have done the same thing. We call them scientists, MDs and related health professionals, and agronomists among other things. Actually I don't believe you. Those coincidences have been popping up for hundreds of years. There are whole 5 and 6 story university libraries full of such coincidences. More amazing, biology is fully coincidental with all other sciences. Darwin had a problem with evolution. He thought the earth was too young. It turns out the earth is far older than he thought, 4.5 billion years. Ever heard of the fossil record? The earth is covered with fossil deposits, in some cases several miles deep.

Nigel D · 16 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff:
Stacy S.: No I don't ... I don't know who Nick Matzke is
Sorry Stacy, Nick Mattzke posted this article that you are commenting on. So you see I am not trying to hide my identity as you not very politely pointed out
Actually, since you clearly are not "just" a housewife, Stacy was as polite to you as you deserved for being deceptive. And she at least spelled Nick's surname correctly. Additionally, calling yourself "just" a housewife when you have an extensive interest in the debate over evolution is deceptive. Although, I have to confess I could not parse out your particular angle from 5 minutes of scrolling through your blog. However, the caricatured images in the side bar rather suggest that you do not accept the word of the international scientific community about evolution. So, in the interest of clarity, I'd like to put a few questions to you: (1) What, to your mind, is the scientific theory of ID? (2) Do you agree with Michael Behe that the Earth is over 4 billion years old? (3) Do you agree with Michael Behe that the evidence for universal common descent is overwhelming? (4) Do you agree with Michael Behe that most biological change is the result of natural selection (he asserts simply that it cannot all be caused by natural selection)?

Ravilyn Sanders · 16 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff: It's time scientists came up with a better explanation - then maybe ordinary people like us would believe it!
Well Dolly, then why did the motors stop with just the bacteria? How come the Great Designer never built a bigger motor and attach it to a bigger animal? Why the fish don't have a big propeller and a motor? When the Great Designer poofed into existence Bambi, He could have given her real wheels instead of mounting her body on four spindley sticks (you call 'em legs) that have a joint (knee) in the middle? Why? He lacks the ability to do make a living transaxle? The Creator lacks the (sorry for the bad pun) creativity to invent the wheel? Why did He create horrible viruses and abominable diseases? Why did He design insects that eat their own mother alive? You know I am not a housewife, but I am not dim either. If only the religious types could come up with a better explanation than "God works in mysterious ways" then may be more mere programmers like me would believe in Him. Dolly, first thing you need to understand about evolution is, no matter how many faults you (think you) find in it, evolution still explains lot more facts and lot more observation than any other theory. Till intelligent design explains things better than evolution it has absolutely no chance. Some kangaroo species in Australia have this ability to abort pregnancies if there is a drought or if the food supply gets limited [*]. They can actually dissolve and digest the fetus and extract the nutrients from it. So what is the Intelligent Design hypothesis for this? God makes abortion kosher when it would make life difficult for the baby after birth or when it puts a heavier burden on the mother. You will find Intelligent Design is not only bad science, it is also bad theology. [*][Quoting from dim memory of a very old National Geographic article. Would be grateful for an authenticated reference for this claim]

Nigel D · 16 February 2008

You will find Intelligent Design is not only bad science, it is also bad theology.

— Ravilyn Sanders
I'd like to add to this, since it has come up. ID (and its parent, "creation science") is founded on a simple principle: that there exists physical evidence of god tinkering with his creation. It limits the power of god (because a truly omnipotent and omniscient god could set everything up at the beginning so that it proceeds according to natural processes to produce the desired result). It makes the assumption that god would not choose to operate through the mechanisms that science has discovered. So, it is, indeed, bad theology.

raven · 16 February 2008

Wallace pitching a slow one right over the plate: For example, endogenous retroviruses have been deemed to be genetic crumbs from ancient germs in the human genome. How do you know they are not ‘/* comments */’ or the basis of some other as yet latent function?
Phoenix rising: Scientists resuscitate a 5 million-year-old retrovirus VILLEJUIF, France (Tues., Oct. 31, 2006) -- A team of scientists has reconstructed the DNA sequence of a 5-million-year-old retrovirus and shown that it is able to produce infectious particles. The retrovirus--named Phoenix--is the ancestor of a large family of mobile DNA elements, some of which may play a role in cancer. The study, which is the first to generate an infectious retrovirus from a mobile element in the human genome, is considered a breakthrough for the field of retrovirus research. The findings are reported in Genome Research. "Phoenix became frozen in time after it integrated into the human genome about 5 million years ago," explains Dr. Thierry Heidmann, lead investigator on the project. "In our study, we've recovered this ancestral state and shown that it has the potential for infectivity." continues
A prediction of the defective endogenous retrovirus theory, if we could fix the defective pieces we would end up with the primordial invading retrovirus. This was recently done. You can follow the computer code analogy out the window or realize that DNA codes for living organisms. There are other lines of evidence that the endogenous defective retroviruses in the human genome are the result of an ancient battle. These are common and we are now battling another invader, HIV. Besides which all retroviruses are roughly similar and the reverse transcriptase enzyme is diagnostic. This is why you creos will lose. You have already lost in the arena of educated, contributing to humankind adults, decades ago at that. Science is very useful. We may not be able to resurrect humans (yet) but we can resurrect extinct organisms, so far phoenix and the 1918 influenza virus (H1N1 BTW and still circulating in humans in attenuated form as Darwin would predict). You can keep trying to put out the candles we light against the darkness. And some day while you are pouring out yet another bucket of fallacies, just maybe, watch a Tyrannosaurus chasing a herd of duckbills.

Henry J · 16 February 2008

I’m not opposed to evolution, in fact I’m all for it - I just don’t buy the explanation on how it works. They sound like stories to me. Randomness and survival of the fittest just don’t seem enough to build a functional motor. It’s time scientists came up with a better explanation - then maybe ordinary people like us would believe it!

The accuracy of an explanation does not depend on it being understandable to people who haven't studied the subject. It doesn't become time to look for another explanation until there's verifiable evidence that the current one doesn't work, or that another one works better. That the current explanation is strongly disliked by people (many of whom haven't studied the subject) is not evidence against it. Take global warming for example - anybody with sense dislikes its conclusions after hearing them. But that doesn't make it inaccurate. Henry

Henry J · 16 February 2008

I once saw a creationist commenter on the Evolution vs. Creation Forum (evcforum.net) say, and I believe this is almost an exact quote: “The truth is always simple and straightforward. Only lies have to be complicated and hard to understand.” It’s mind-boggling to me that a functioning adult could believe this, but it’s the assumption under much creationist thought (not to mention other anti-intellectual beliefs).

Yeesh. Actually it's fiction that has to make sense. Reality is under no such constraint. Henry

Frank J · 16 February 2008

Wallace’s blog, in absolute seriousness, entitles “Ann Coulter, Renowned evolution expert”. Good luck with your questions, FrankJ.

— JohnK
I have long since learned to leave my irony meter in another state when on PT or Talk Origins. But whether or not he called her that, she herself said on Medved's radio show in 2006 that she was an "idiot" about science. Meanwhile, Dembski essentially admitted writing the "Darwinism" chapters in "Godless." It gets worse. WW, who replied to your comment still showing the lurkers how he evades simple questions that Michael Behe has no problem answering, says that PT people "loathe" Coulter. In fact, even the far-right commentators are distancing themselves from her off-the-charts authoritarian extremism. You may have heard that she will vote for Hillary Clinton if it's Clinton vs. McCain.

halo · 16 February 2008

Nick Matzke:
Nick (Matzke)): ...the original IC argument, which was supposed to be a logical trap blocking evolution, has failed.
Would you mind explaining to me why the original IC argument was supposed to logically block all evolutionary scenarios when Behe himself clearly stated:
“Even if a system is irreducibly complex (and thus cannot have been produced directly)... one can not definitively rule out the possibility of an indirect, circuitous route. As the complexity of an interacting system increases, though, the likelihood of such an indirect route drops precipitously...” Micheal Behe, p40 Darwin's Black Box:
In light of this explicit statement do you really feel you are representing him fairly?? Thanks for the link to the immune system article, I'd like to have a read of it when I get a chance. I've always thought that Miller's tactic of just slapping down a pile of books in front of Behe would have been much better substituted for just reading out the relevant pieces from them that describe the detailed, step-by-step and testable model for the evolution of the immune system which is so well known amongst evolutionary biologists, and has been for years. I trust I'll find that in your article... One more question for you, does your Flagellum article propose a fairly detailed, step-by-step possible evolutionary scenario for the flagellum where: 1) each intermediate confers a functional advantage (or at very least serves some kind of function) 2) the gap between each step can be analyzed probabilistically to gauge if it is reasonably probable or not. If this has been done all credit to you and I'd love to read it. If this has not been done then could you please tell me how it is anything more than an unproved suggestion that is untestable (with regard to probability) and so therefore unfalsifiable? And when you say:
ID proponents would just switch the goalposts again by mumbling "not...enough...detail!"
Have you ever considered that the reason ID proponents ask for more detail is because they feel that you are making claims that go way beyond the evidence you give to back up those claims? Is that really so unreasonable? Also, in regard to Shapiro's and Harold's admissions, you said:
Neither knew anything about immune system evolution or the evolution of IC degradation pathways, so why should anyone listen to them?
The reason we should listen to them is because they are making admissions contrary to their darwinian position and so therefore these are very likely to be honest admissions. And if to escape this you say that they were just ignorant can you please back that up?

JJ · 16 February 2008

Stacy

Sheep Sheriff....I mean Dolly Sheriff is a DI spokesperson who pops up every now and then on PT

Stacy S. · 16 February 2008

JJ: Sheep Sheriff
LOL :-)

raven · 16 February 2008

Halo babbling: The reason we should listen to them is because they are making admissions contrary to their darwinian position and so therefore these are very likely to be honest admissions.
1. This makes no sense. Since when do honest admissions have anything to do with the truth. I'm sure Cho Sieng thought he was honestly getting back at people for something deserved when he killed 33 people. He even left a video describing such. My colleague was evaluating a psychotic who believed that everyone had been replaced by exact duplicates that were really demons from hell. He is so sincere that he isn't getting out of the lockup until he takes his medications and reestablishes contact with reality. FALLACY 1. 2. Irreducible complexity is just a fancy word for Argument from Ignorance. "I can't see how my foot evolved, therefore god exists." In this case we do know, so it is just stupid. FALLACY 2. 3. IC is also an Argument from Personal Increduclity. "Isn't my foot amazing. This couldn't have evolved, therefore god exists." Or you are just stupid, easily amazed, and too lazy to read the scientific literature. FALLACY 3. Just piling up fallacies isn't going to get anyone anywhere. ID in one form or another has existed for 2,000 years. In 2 millenia it has gone nowhere.

Frank J · 16 February 2008

One more question for you, does your Flagellum article propose a fairly detailed, step-by-step possible evolutionary scenario for the flagellum where:

— halo
I'll let others answer your questions. But in the meantime I had some questions for you in comment 143,169 above. They're pretty straight forward. Since you quote Behe so much you ought to be able to say whether you agree with him on some key issues or not.

Mike Elzinga · 16 February 2008

Have you ever considered that the reason ID proponents ask for more detail is because they feel that you are making claims that go way beyond the evidence you give to back up those claims? Is that really so unreasonable?
And have you ever considered that the reason that ID proponents ask for more detail is because they are so conceptually out of the ballpark that they can’t even begin to comprehend the meaning of the answers they are given? It’s like trying to explain modern aircraft design to a cargo cultist.

Bobby · 16 February 2008

Without knowing enough of the details, such assertions seem odd, and very much akin to the specious assertion that this program (wave.c) and this program (bubble sort) are obviously descendants of this program (hello world) simply because they all contain the same “extra operator error” in the sequences ‘/*’ and ‘*/’ instead of just a ‘/’ or a ‘*‘.
Those aren't errors. The correct analogy would be the "typos" that scribes make ("writeos"?), which allow us to build stemmas for manuscripts (such as the Bible) due to their descent with modification.

Frank J · 16 February 2008

And have you ever considered that the reason that ID proponents ask for more detail is because they are so conceptually out of the ballpark that they can’t even begin to comprehend the meaning of the answers they are given?

— Mike Elzinga
Some, like Behe, probably do comprehend them. But that's not the point. As peddlers of pseudoscience, they merely exploit the double standard that most nonscientists have unwittingly adopted. Specifically that mainstream science can never supply enough detail to satisfy them, while the "oppressed underdogs" of alternative science only need to supply a few feel-good sound bites. On that note, William Wallace and halo might appreciate this.

Mike Elzinga · 16 February 2008

As peddlers of pseudoscience, they merely exploit the double standard that most nonscientists have unwittingly adopted. Specifically that mainstream science can never supply enough detail to satisfy them, while the “oppressed underdogs” of alternative science only need to supply a few feel-good sound bites.
Yeah, that Dembski “pathetic level of detail” thing. Obviously real science strains his brain to the breaking point. And it shows the classic superficiality I have seen in all of the proselytizing creationists I have known personally. This is one of the reasons I think Dembski is not only conceptually out of the ball park, but out of his mind as well. For a purportedly “educated” person, he has sunk to some of the lowest levels of pseudo-scientific babble. That quote of Dembski’s that halo put up, and to which everyone is responding, seems to me to be Dembski’s weird pretensions, in front of his followers, that he has the ability to tell working scientists what it is that scientists know and do. I’ve seen better stuff coming from perpetual motion machine “inventors”. But WW and halo apparently haven't considered this angle.

Richard Simons · 16 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff: What I don't understand is, how is the mousetrap not analogous to a biological system?
Mousetraps don't have babies.

Pete Dunkelberg · 16 February 2008

Halo, your first questions are covered in the very basic Irreducible Complexity Demystified. Then you evidently give up on the IC argument, that IC systems are unevolvable in principle (or so improbable that it comes to the same thing) and switch to "not all molecular details of events a billion years ago are known" which everyone agrees to.

So, your point?

Henry J · 16 February 2008

Mousetraps don’t have babies.

The stork brings them? :p

fnxtr · 16 February 2008

Mousetraps don't have babies.
Okay, that's T-shirt #3, after "Your ignorance is not evidence" and "cdesign proponensists: all your base are belong to us".

fnxtr · 16 February 2008

the missing letter: t

Mike Elzinga · 16 February 2008

One more question for you, does your Flagellum article propose a fairly detailed, step-by-step possible evolutionary scenario for the flagellum where: 1) each intermediate confers a functional advantage (or at very least serves some kind of function) 2) the gap between each step can be analyzed probabilistically to gauge if it is reasonably probable or not. If this has been done all credit to you and I’d love to read it. If this has not been done then could you please tell me how it is anything more than an unproved suggestion that is untestable (with regard to probability) and so therefore unfalsifiable?
Playing back the evolution of an organism is not deterministic and repeatable. There are lots of contingencies that determine the directions taken by an evolutionary track. Complicated systems are very sensitive to perturbations and have lots of directions they can go at any point in time, and a replay is very unlikely to take a system along the same track. It is probably not possible to determine every contingency, every cosmic ray, every ionized atom, every change in temperature, or any other perturbing factor that lead to a particular configuration of a complex system. And singling out the current state of such a system as somehow being “special” is also a fallacy. If it had turned out differently, that wouldn’t be “special” either. It would just be what happened given the contingencies. Would you demand such “proof” from a meteorologist in order to believe that a specified tornado developed from a given weather system? Would you demand proof that a particular lottery number could come up from a random drawing? Would you want the “gory details” that leads to the number before you believed it? Would you ask this to prove that a particular configuration of icicles hanging from your eaves evolved from earlier configurations? Nick showed a plausible path, and that is enough, given the nature of evolution. You cannot have deterministic evolution and also claim you have free will. If you don’t have free will, you have all sorts of problems with your sectarian religion. Given the problems you are already having with science (evolution in particular), your sectarian beliefs are probably already on shaky ground. Why don’t you demand more evidence for your sectarian beliefs? Where is the evidence that supports ID? Try learning about evolution and science from real scientists instead of pretenders like Dembski and the ID/Creationist crowd.

William Wallace · 16 February 2008

Frank J wrote Speaking of “best guess,” please state yours, even if you are genuinely unsure. William Wallace, that goes for you too.
God—whom I avow, and who needs not my acknowledgment, and who many of you blaspheme as imaginary supernatural caulk, exists. This God is: holy; wise; worthy of worship and awe; beyond description; beyond comprehension; existed before time; will exist after time; and is far more intelligent than human kind—this God, the creator, is infinitely greater than the entire universe he created. And, as a study of history confirms, and as present and future times will continue to show, human ignorance is a universal constant. Even so, I am unafraid of science. Science should be pursued with an eternal questioning of all premises, and recognition that what we think we know and reality are not necessarily one in the same. A scientific theory is not a fact—it is a model. And a model is a representation—never to be confused with the thing it represents.
MPW wrote If Wallace thinks that similarities at the cellular level are just coincidences and not evidence of relatedness, can we assume that he’s outraged at the many innocent people put in prison (and the many guilty released) on the basis of DNA evidence?
Actually, I intend to blog on this eventually. If you've seen Ameriquest's bloody cat super bowl commercial, you might better imagine how it is possible that things are not as they seem—with respect to DNA evidence (or evolutionary theory). Specifically, the virtually mandated DNA testing of newborns resulting in genetic databases in various states, and also being used, in at least one state, to "solve" a murders, is of concern to me. But this is more a civil rights concern than a scientific dispute. But to address your specific point, please consider that reasonable doubt is different than coincidence. Doubt is not the same as falsity. But in the age of the Culte de la Raison, what is and what is not reasonable doubt is muddied when those who consider themselves reasonable overvalue sloppily stated scientific prognostications. Now, forgive me, but I do want to insist once more that a legitimate question lost in thread be addressed:
William Wallace wrote: So, in the world of analyzing DNA, what makes you think your “complier” is complete, and that it discloses all meaning and function?... (And the Monkey looking at a sea of clouds does not mean that all such forms are created naturally.)

MPW · 16 February 2008

Shouldn't one use the "Blogging on Peer-Reviewed Research" icon when citing a Super Bowl commercial?

Again, really, I don't know whether you're joking or not. But I guess that, as near as I can tell under the verbiage, you're saying you consider it highly doubtful whether DNA is an indicator of identity or relatedness. Fascinating. Just what do you think DNA does? Do you really think it likely that it has nothing to do with, say, the fact that my dad and I are so similar physically and psychologically?

Just for the sake of completeness, how many other commonplace areas of science are there where you consider the scientists who work on it daily to be just making stuff up, while you know better than them despite having done no research?

Pretty good commercial, though.

Mike Elzinga · 17 February 2008

Even so, I am unafraid of science. Science should be pursued with an eternal questioning of all premises, and recognition that what we think we know and reality are not necessarily one in the same.
Are you implying that this does not apply to religion? And do you claim that thousands of years of historical warfare among religions, the proliferation of religious sects, the suspicions with which they regard each other, and the burning witches and heretics are evidence of eternal questioning of all premises, including the certainty of one’s own? Scientists cannot design and build equipment to sort through theoretical ideas without coming up against deep epistemological questions. They do this routinely. Your religious handlers have misinformed you about this. Why don’t you question them? The history of all the sciences has been a continual battle against tradition, superstition, prejudice, preconceived ancient ideas, and a gradual emergence of a reliable set of attitudes and techniques that get at a reality that anyone who is willing to check can agree upon. You sit at a computer typing these things, apparently not recognizing what is involved in a computer and what kinds of thinking and epistemological concerns were addressed in the science that allows us to build integrated circuits. You benefit from modern conveniences and technology, yet you don’t seem to care about how most of it came to be. You show no awareness of the lively discussions and arguments that go on in the scientific community all the time. Scientists are constantly hammering away at each other’s work and ideas; it’s called peer review, and it is rough-and-tumble. But it works, and great stuff comes out of the crucible. Can you tolerate that kind of questioning of your sectarian beliefs? How much are you allowed to question? Why are your sectarian views superior to those of others? What proof can you offer?

Stanton · 17 February 2008

William Wallace: God—whom I avow, and who needs not my acknowledgment, and who many of you blaspheme as imaginary supernatural caulk, exists.
Then why do people, such as those who inhabit the Discovery Institute, utilize God as imaginary supernatural caulk in lieu of providing actual scientific explanations?
This God is: holy; wise; worthy of worship and awe; beyond description; beyond comprehension; existed before time; will exist after time; and is far more intelligent than human kind—this God, the creator, is infinitely greater than the entire universe he created.
So can you state what your point is? Given as how God has not yet seen fit to provide us, pathetic and ignorant mortals, a written account of how the universe works, if we puny mortals want to understand how the universe functions, we puny mortals must sally forth into the universe and study it firsthand. You do must realize that creationists and Intelligent Design proponents want to have the Holy Bible, as written by the Ancient Hebrews, and rewritten by the ancient Christians, to be the only scientific treatise available for use by any scientist, ideally under pain of death, even though neither Ancient Jew nor Ancient Christian ever intended to have the Holy Bible used as a scientific treatise. And as such, do realize that appealing to God as an excuse to forgo making scientific explanations is greatly frowned upon in scientific settings for the exact same reasons why squirting condiments into the face of your opponent is disallowed as an opening move in a chess tournament.
And, as a study of history confirms, and as present and future times will continue to show, human ignorance is a universal constant.
Again, what is your point? Do you realize that Intelligent Design proponents state that "because we don't know how (insert biological system here), GOD EXISTS" Do you realize that the whole point of scientific inquiry is to make human ignorance inch a little closer to zero?
Even so, I am unafraid of science. Science should be pursued with an eternal questioning of all premises, and recognition that what we think we know and reality are not necessarily one in the same.
I hate to break it to you but, scientists are already doing that, and have been doing that for the past 500 years or so, aside from interference from tyrants, political zealots, religious fanatics and other people who want to keep the populace stupid and easily controlled.
A scientific theory is not a fact—it is a model. And a model is a representation—never to be confused with the thing it represents.
Actually, you're wrong: A scientific theory is a detailed explanation of how and why a specific natural phenomenon, or a suite of related phenomena, occurs in nature. The reason why neither Creationism nor its misbegotten clone, Intelligent Design, are not theories is because neither propose any sort of explanation beyond "GODDIDIT" So, before you pass judgment on scientists, Mr Wallace, it would benefit your argument greatly if you first learned how science is actually defined by scientists, and learned how scientists actually behave in the modern world.

raven · 17 February 2008

Wallace evading all questions and changing the subject: God—whom I avow, and who needs not my acknowledgment, and who many of you blaspheme as imaginary supernatural caulk, exists. This God is: holy; wise; worthy of worship and awe; beyond description; beyond comprehension; existed before time; will exist after time; and is far more intelligent than human kind—this God, the creator, is infinitely greater than the entire universe he created. And, as a study of history confirms, and as present and future times will continue to show, human ignorance is a universal constant.
A nonsensical answer but thanks for playing. The majority of the world's Xians worldwide have no problem with science or evolution. Your cult isn't the only true religion or the only true Xianity either. As you should know and don't, roughly 40% of US biologists self describe themselves as religious (mostly Xian), including some prominent evolutionary biologists. Setting science against religion is a loser game, science is neutral to its core on the supernatural, methodological naturalism. Mind stating in the bible where believing lies and nonsense is required. It isn't. Salvation is by faith, faith or good works, or both depending on which gospel one quote mines. Treating a book written by bronze age sheepherders as a science textbook is not required. While you figure out if we have gotten it all wrong, science works just the same. It doesn't matter whether you believe in electrons, internal combustion, electromagnetic radiation, or evolution. Your computer will still run, the car starts, the microwave oven and TV work, and agronomists and medical researchers see and use and fight against evolution every day.

Stanton · 17 February 2008

raven: Salvation is by faith, faith or good works, or both depending on which gospel one quote mines. Treating a book written by bronze age sheepherders as a science textbook is not required.
Nor is it necessary or even advisable to treat the Bible as a science textbook, either.

Marek 14 · 17 February 2008

To be fair, I've recently read a book called "Mutants: On the Form, Varieties and Errors of the Human Body" by Armand Marie Leroi, in which he says (if I remember correctly) that sometimes embryos fuse and a baby is born with some body parts that belong, in fact, to his or her absorbed twin (chimerism). And there are cases where a person might have testicles of his non-identical twin, in which case he might, indeed, leave DNA traces of another person when he commits rape. The author was worried that at least some cases of people released because of DNA evidence might be because of this.

Peter Ridsdale · 17 February 2008

Wallace

"God, whom I avow..." etc. This is the equivalent of sticking your fingers in your ears and babbling loudly so that you can't hear what your opponents are saying. Why have you still not answered the simple questions posed by FrankJ earlier in the thread?

Stanton

"your religious handlers.." That hits the nail on the head!

Kevin B · 17 February 2008

Richard Simons:
Dolly Sheriff: What I don't understand is, how is the mousetrap not analogous to a biological system?
Mousetraps don't have babies.
Unless the cheese is fly-blown?

Frank J · 17 February 2008

God—whom I avow, and who needs not my acknowledgment, and who many of you blaspheme as imaginary supernatural caulk, exists. This God is: holy; wise; worthy of worship and awe; beyond description; beyond comprehension; existed before time; will exist after time; and is far more intelligent than human kind—this God, the creator, is infinitely greater than the entire universe he created.

— William Wallace
Thank you for finally replying. Although anyone can see that you still didn't answer my simple questions - questions that Michael Behe, Hugh Ross and Duane Gish would have no problem answering. Instead you offered comments I didn't request. As a matter of fact I agree with everything you wrote in the above excerpt. I also think that I am not among those who blaspheme God; if I did, so did the current and previous Pope, as well as 11,000+ members of Christia clergy. I guess we might find out when we die, but I also think that many anti-evolution activists are among those who blaspheme God by pretending that they have outsmarted Him. Do you agree? BTW, it's customary to capitalize "He" and "Creator" when referring to God.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 17 February 2008

Great thread albeit troll infested. Comments by Nick, Nigel, Ravelyn, raven, et al are awesome.
What makes you think that computer code is in any way analogous to DNA? Since you assert knowledge of information theory, you must see that the parallels are outweighed by the differences.
This has probably been reviewed many times before of competent professionals, but it seems to me the analogies to realized artificial algorithmic systems are pretty straightforward while completely demolishing WW's presumptions:
- Codons constitute microcode; they code for (transcription and) translation to amino acids.
- Genes do not constitute "computer code"; simple substitutions may transform an 'unconditional' part to a 'conditional' or vice versa (chemical and structural changes of proteins affecting their function and regulation), as pointed out in the comments.

If anything alleles reminds me of a database of earlier recipes, assembled by dumb (may repeat mistakes) trial and error. But a database has no correlation between the code executing it and the labels and logic it contains. Or rather, the labels and/or logic it may contain. The later condition blows WW's contentions out of the water. True, a biological database must be working by definition. But it shows there isn't necessary a physical (or logical) connection between the two functions. (I.e. translation and allele storage.) Why can't "ID" creationists understand software design? They claim to have professional and amateur programmers (DaveTard and Slimy Cordova comes to mind), and they must have means for internal feedback. It is a mystery - unless IDC is a simple scam for the ignorant.

Frank J · 17 February 2008

Nor is it necessary or even advisable to treat the Bible as a science textbook, either.

— Stanton
Michael Behe himself said that doing so is "silly."

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 17 February 2008

If this has not been done then could you please tell me how it is anything more than an unproved suggestion that is untestable (with regard to probability) and so therefore unfalsifiable?
halo keeps repeating testing and falsifiability as if what he or Dembski is describing has anything to do with scientific testing and falsifiability. To test a theory on falsifiability one tests its predictions. And the basic test of all theories of evolution must pass is if they predict the process that fulfills a definition of evolution:
"A Minimal Definition of Evolution"

Evolution is a process that results in heritable changes in a population spread over many generations.
or in other words "common descent". For a satisfactorily test three requirements must be fulfilled:
1. The theory must predict the process in its own terms. (Self contained, or "fully predictive".)
2. The process must be observable. (So the theory can be predictive.)
3. The process must be observed. (So the theory can be tested.)
A little digging confirms that MTE fulfills all three requrements; by observing alleles (or fossils) we can observe heritable changes, thus fulfilling requirement 1 & 2, and indeed that is what is observed. As common descent immediately predicts nested hierarchies (by descent of function) and speciation (by descent over enough space and time) those can be used for equally powerful tests. And so they have been, as many biological papers can attest to. Going back to the claim that started this comment, we now see why it is a non sequitur - it doesn't test the theory. It does debunk the design argument in the stated form however, as the possibility of pathways means that "design is not an argument" here. Alas, it doesn't test the design argument, as the Payleists refuse to define their 'theory'. The existence of Multiple Designer Theory shows why "ID" is less than intelligently designed.
A scientific theory is not a fact—it is a model.
While I'm a fan of models, this isn't what models or theories are. A model may predict all, some or none of the facts that its area of usage contains. The later case may happen when a model is used to develop or test scientific methods, and only a certain aspect of it resembles a theory the method is developed for. Conversely, a model may contain little or none of the actual theory and still be useful to make some predictions. A theory must predict more or less precisely the facts that its area of usage contains. And in sharp contrast to models it must also reflect the observed objects to be truthful to nature. Most importantly, a theory contains its facts while a model doesn't (a model can be used in any number of areas) and so a theory is much more solid and representative of nature than a single fact can ever be. A less important difference is that a theory will tend to be strictly parsimonous (i.e. "best of breed") which isn't a necessary requirement of models.
I am unafraid of science.
Of course you aren't; it is readily apparent that you don't know what science is. Science is, which can be understood from the above description, the only known valid method to arrive at knowledge (or as philosophers describe it, "validated belief"). Your claim that gods exist isn't such knowledge. Be afraid. Be very afraid. [Note: The last is a jest of course. The very idea that anyone should be afraid of true knowledge is preposterous, and a sad reflection of the fundie mind.]

Nigel D · 17 February 2008

halo: Nick Matzke:
Nick (Matzke)): ...the original IC argument, which was supposed to be a logical trap blocking evolution, has failed.
Would you mind explaining to me why the original IC argument was supposed to logically block all evolutionary scenarios when Behe himself clearly stated:
“Even if a system is irreducibly complex (and thus cannot have been produced directly)... one can not definitively rule out the possibility of an indirect, circuitous route. As the complexity of an interacting system increases, though, the likelihood of such an indirect route drops precipitously...” Micheal Behe, p40 Darwin's Black Box:
In light of this explicit statement do you really feel you are representing him fairly??
That is the wrong question to ask, halo. The correct question is: "does Behe correctly present humanity's best understanding of reality?" The answer is "no". Behe deliberately misrepresents evolutionary theory, because he can only argue against this misrepresentation, not against the real thing. This is the classic "straw man" logical fallacy.
Thanks for the link to the immune system article, I'd like to have a read of it when I get a chance. I've always thought that Miller's tactic of just slapping down a pile of books in front of Behe
It is all research of which Behe should have been aware.
would have been much better substituted for just reading out the relevant pieces from them that describe the detailed, step-by-step and testable model for the evolution of the immune system
What is it with you creos? Why should science have to present so much detail to have your acceptance, when the best effort of the creationists has no detail in it at all? This is such an egregious case of applying double standards.

which is so well known amongst evolutionary biologists, and has been for years. I trust I'll find that in your article...

Well, in this case, as I commented earlier in the thread, all that is required to disprove the argument from IC is to demonstrate that it is possible for a system to have evolved by natural mechanisms.
One more question for you, does your Flagellum article propose a fairly detailed, step-by-step possible evolutionary scenario for the flagellum where: 1) each intermediate confers a functional advantage (or at very least serves some kind of function) 2) the gap between each step can be analyzed probabilistically to gauge if it is reasonably probable or not.
Your questions are impertinent. The article to which this thread refers (back in the original post, if you can scroll up that far) actually makes it clear that feasible paths for flagellum evolution have only very recently been proposed. This does not mean that every step of the way is enumerated, because it is a proposed evolutionary path. All biologists working in evolutionary science understand that there is no point in working out an evolutionary pathway in excessive detail, because for structures that are as old as the flagellum, it is unlikely that the evidence will ever be available to us to tease out every last detail of how it evolved. But, despite what you seem to be implying, it is enough to demonstrate a feasible route, and it is only the creationists who insist on there being more detail available than it is reasonable to expect.
If this has been done all credit to you and I'd love to read it. If this has not been done then could you please tell me how it is anything more than an unproved suggestion that is untestable (with regard to probability) and so therefore unfalsifiable? And when you say:
ID proponents would just switch the goalposts again by mumbling "not...enough...detail!"
Have you ever considered that the reason ID proponents ask for more detail is because they feel that you are making claims that go way beyond the evidence you give to back up those claims? Is that really so unreasonable?
Yes, it is unreasonable. Not only have the ID claims been proven wrong (IC does not actually exist, never mind actually prove anything), but the anti-evolution movement seeks to place a burden of evidence upon evolutionary biology that does not exist in any other field of human endeavour. Evolutionary biology already has higher standards of evidence than most laypeople can grasp.

Dan · 17 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff said: Well, I think it [the bacterial flagellum] looks very much like a motor and works very much like a motor. ... I saw those special "photos" that those clever eastern scientists took and it looks like a motor to me!
Do you mean you saw pictures like the one presented here? http://www.conservapedia.com/Theory_of_evolution#Implausible_Explanations_and_the_Evolutionary_Position This is not a photo. It is a mechanical drawing specifically designed to generate the illusion that the flagellum is more "motor-like" than it really is. Or perhaps you mean pictures like figure 2 in this article? http://www.aip.org/pt/jan00/berg.htm Read the caption: "Rotationally averaged reconstruction of electron micrographs of purified hook-basal bodies." This is a manipulation of photographs, not a photograph. Perhaps you mean a real photograph of a flagellum, like this one: http://www.apsnet.org/Education/IllustratedGlossary/PhotosE-H/flagellum.htm You have to admit that this really doesn't look like a motor. I'm afraid that the Discovery Institute and others have been running a serious advertising campaign to convince the innocent that that the flagellum is just like an outboard motor. This is no more plausible than the advertising campaign which claims that if you use Axe body spray, sexy women will throw themselves on you, begging you to take their bodies. If you fall for either of these campaigns, then perhaps you'd like to purchase the following from me: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brooklyn_Bridge

Ravilyn Sanders · 17 February 2008

William Wallace
I knew you would not answer me. I am writing this post for the
benefit of lurkers who might be non-programmers to enable them
to counter similar arguments strongly if they come across this at the watercooler or an airport concourse. Sorry fo the long
post.

I proved

in this comment
that your example involving sort.c, wave.c and hello_world.c is a classic straw man. Scientists do not take the short snippets of DNA, the equivalent of these tiny programs,
pounce on one error or similarity and say, "yeah, there is
enough evidence for descent."

You have caricatured the real work of scientists, which is more
like looking at all the versions of source code of FireFox,
InternetExplorer, Opera and draw up distance maps. Like
FireFox.1.1 is closer to Firefox 1.2 than Opera.0.9, and on and on for every version. This
distance relationships are built as a tree. Now the theory that
best explains the tree of relationship is descent.

(Aside: You hint that you are programmer, and your much maligned blasphemer Dawkins is not a professional programmer. And he
describes how these distance relationships are inferred using
the typos in the existing hand-written copies of
Beowulf. He takes pains to explain the difference between
rooted and unrooted trees, something I find even software
consultants charging 100$ an hour are unaware of.)

But just because you are burying your head in sand does not
mean the science of statistical analysis and descent inference
will go away. It is applied not just to DNA, not just to
manuscripts of Beowulf, it is very heavily applied to the Holy Bible.
They are coming up with amazing theories like the Gospels of Mark and Luke had a common ancestor, these sections of the OT were written when the tribes were pastoral and these sections were written after they urbanized etc. These studies are not
done by atheists, it is done by religious scholars who devote
their life studying the scriptures. Most people don't know
much about proteins and coding DNA and genotype, phenotype and
alleles. That goes for the religious folks who are hoodwinked
into supporting ID too. But they quote the Bible chapter and
verse. They would immediately "get" the similarity and distance
analysis of various books and versions of the Bible. At that
time they themselves will realize that your example is a
very weak straw man caricature of comparative DNA analysis.

Nigel D · 17 February 2008

The reason we should listen to them is because they are making admissions contrary to their darwinian position and so therefore these are very likely to be honest admissions.

— Halo
No. They were not making "admissions". They were stating what they believed to pertain outside their field of expertise. Why should we lend weight to their comments when they are not the experts, and what they say is contrary to what the evolutionary experts tell us?

And if to escape this you say that they were just ignorant can you please back that up?

Why should this need any back-up? Surely you can find out for yourself what these individual's fields of expertise are (here's a hint: put their surnames into the Search facility at PubMed and see what areas tey publish in). This information is already in the public domain.

Nigel D · 17 February 2008

halo, Please feel free to tell us whether you agree with Behe that, regardless of mechanism or whether design actuation events occurred: 1. Humans share common ancestors with dogs and dogwoods. 2. Life on Earth has a ~3-4 billion year history. [snip] Speaking of “best guess,” please state yours, even if you are genuinely unsure. William Wallace, that goes for you too.

— Frank J

God—whom I avow, and who needs not my acknowledgment, and who many of you blaspheme as imaginary supernatural caulk, exists. This God is: holy; wise; worthy of worship and awe; beyond description; beyond comprehension; existed before time; will exist after time; and is far more intelligent than human kind—this God, the creator, is infinitely greater than the entire universe he created. And, as a study of history confirms, and as present and future times will continue to show, human ignorance is a universal constant.

— William Wallace
Yeah. Er, William, in what way exactly does this answer Frank's questions? Remember, they were quite specific:

tell us whether you agree with Behe that, regardless of mechanism or whether design actuation events occurred: 1. Humans share common ancestors with dogs and dogwoods. 2. Life on Earth has a ~3-4 billion year history.

— Frank J

Nigel D · 17 February 2008

And, as a study of history confirms, and as present and future times will continue to show, human ignorance is a universal constant.

— William Wallace

God—whom I avow, and who needs not my acknowledgment, and who many of you blaspheme as imaginary supernatural caulk, exists. This God is: holy; wise; worthy of worship and awe; beyond description; beyond comprehension; existed before time; will exist after time; and is far more intelligent than human kind—this God, the creator, is infinitely greater than the entire universe he created.

— William Wallace
OK, am I the only one to spot the inconsistency here? William, you clearly state that human ignorance is constant, and then you claim knowledge of something for which there is no physical evidence. All I can say is this: how do you know?

Stanton · 17 February 2008

Peter Ridsdale: Stanton "your religious handlers.." That hits the nail on the head!
Actually that was Raven who said it. I would have used the far less elegant term of "Christian brain laundromat"
Frank J:

Nor is it necessary or even advisable to treat the Bible as a science textbook, either.

— Stanton
Michael Behe himself said that doing so is "silly."
Yet, the vast majority of Mr Behe's colleagues, along with all other creationists, give us the opposite impression

Stanton · 17 February 2008

Nigel D: OK, am I the only one to spot the inconsistency here? William, you clearly state that human ignorance is constant, and then you claim knowledge of something for which there is no physical evidence. All I can say is this: how do you know?
God told him so: duh.

Nigel D · 17 February 2008

Even so, I am unafraid of science. Science should be pursued with an eternal questioning of all premises, and recognition that what we think we know and reality are not necessarily one in the same.

— William Wallace
There is a lot more to it than this. I agree that what we think we know may be different from reality. Science has shown us this time and time again. That our intuitive grasp of nature is most surprising in how limited it is. For example:
We do not expect different masses to fall at the same rate. Science has shown this expectation is false.
We consider it reasonable to be able to know accurately both the location and the velocity of an object. Science has shown this is false.
We assert that reason tells us that something cannot exist in two different states at once (it is either here or it is there; it cannot be both a wave and a particle; the cat cannot be both alive and dead). Science has shown this is false.
We cannot comfortably conceive of a time scale of billions of years, so our early estimates of the age of the Earth were first in the thousands, then in the millions of years. Scientific measurements have shown us that billions of years is the correct timescale.
At first glance, the diversity of life is extraordinary. It "must" be the work of an agency beyond our comrehension. Science has shown this is false, and that all life is related.
However, once we have a convincing scenario (i.e. one that is both plausible and supported by much evidence), we do not need to question it again until and unless we find evidence to suggest it is incomplete, or that it is wrong. Newtonian gravitation and laws of motion were questioned because there were areas where they give results that do not match what we can measure. After we had Einstein's special and general theories of relativity, we could see that, for low velocities and modest gravitational fields, Newtonian theory is a very good approximation to reality.

A scientific theory is not a fact—it is a model. And a model is a representation—never to be confused with the thing it represents.

This is only partly true, but it is misleading. A model is more of a hypothesis. A theory is a framework composed typically of several hypotheses that explains observations. The limitationss of the models should be acknowledged, but without denying their power. Newtonian mechanics are still used to calculate orbits for spacecraft, because they are easier and just as good as Einstein's for the kind of speeds at which a spacecraft will travel. Theories and models give us the power to predict. Newtonian gravitational theory still works very well, within its limitations. Beyond that, we know that General Relativity has to be incomplete, because it cannot mesh with quantum mechanics, and yet we know that, within its limitations, it is an extraordinarily powerful predictive tool. Evolutionary theory also has limitations, but it is also a very powerful tool. It cannot provide numerical predictions, because biological systems and the way in which they interact with the environment are too complex to admit to mathematical encapsulation. However, evolutionary theory does give us the power to predict that pesticide resistance will arise, and that antibiotic resistance will arise. It also gives us avenues of approach to resolve these thorny issues. Perhaps, of all the major scientific theories, evolution is the one that most gives us the power to explain.

Dolly Sheriff · 17 February 2008

Dan:
Do you mean you saw pictures like the one presented here? Or perhaps you mean pictures like figure 2 in this article? http://www.aip.org/pt/jan00/berg.htm Read the caption: "Rotationally averaged reconstruction of electron micrographs of purified hook-basal bodies." This is a manipulation of photographs, not a photograph.
Figure 2 looks very much like the structure of a motor to me. I've seen my hubby, Ben dismantle machines in his garage many times before and the structure is uncanningly similar to those. Excuse me for not using the scientific definition. Okay so its an electron micrograph and not a photomicrograph. I don't think this changes my point.

Dolly Sheriff · 17 February 2008

Dan: Do you mean you saw pictures like the one presented here? Or perhaps you mean pictures like figure 2 in this article? http://www.aip.org/pt/jan00/berg.htm Read the caption: "Rotationally averaged reconstruction of electron micrographs of purified hook-basal bodies." This is a manipulation of photographs, not a photograph.
Dan, sorry for using the wrong terminology, Your figure 2 is the picture I was referring to - an electron micrograph and NOT a photo-micrograph. In any event, The electron micrograph provides novices like myself an opportunity to weigh up the similarities of the micro machine with those of the real world, not having to rely on illustrations. Now, my hubby Ben Sheriff likes to fix stuff, and has often reconditioned a motor - I sometimes have to help clean up the mess. The electron micro- graph of a flagellum looks uncanning-ly like a human designed motor. The mind boggles!

Peter Ridsdale · 17 February 2008

Dear William Wallace

You say that God is far more intelligent than human kind and yet it appears to me that He has created a greatly flawed kind of universe in which the "forces of darkness" seem to have a pretty free rein. As a human being I can easily imagine a universe that was not quite so hostile (black holes, radiation, meteors, seismic activity etc.) and a planet where selfishness and greed were not so well rewarded and where poverty and suffering were not so widespread. If God could have created any kind of universe why did he create one in which he continually needs to tinker - "Damn, there goes another species! I'll have to create something else now! I know, I'll try something invisible to the naked eye that's got a little motor in it - then when my great prophet Michael Behe comes along, he will prove that I exist!"
And if we are created in God's image does that mean that when He moved over the face of the waters He was already equipped with testicles, toe-nails and a vestigial appendix?

I know you will have fun answering this posting as it doesn't have any hard science in it, and your reply will be more or less predictable, so please answer Frank J's questions instead. We are all still waiting.

Frank J · 17 February 2008

Yet, the vast majority of Mr Behe’s colleagues, along with all other creationists, give us the opposite impression.

— Stanton
Maybe the classic creationist leaders, and certainly the compartmentalized rank and file that can tune out not only that and his acceptance of common descent, but his startling admission at Dover that the designer he caught could even be deceased. Recall that modern "scientific" creationism began with an attempt to independently prove the Bible (the YEC compromise between "too hot" geocentrism and "too cold" OEC at least) correct, not to start with the Bible. Eventually, though, since the evidence wasn't there, the leaders all admitted that they started with the Bible. As for Behe's DI colleagues, I realize that it's impossible to know if they are honest about anything, but they are pretty clear that they are not starting with the Bible, and make no effort to directly support any of its mutually contradictory "literal" interpretations. So in that sense, they seem to agree with Behe, that reading the Bible as a science text is "silly," even if they would never use such blunt terms. Of course no one doubts that the DI is trying to support the popular intepretations of the Biblical world view, but that a very different issue.

Bill Gascoyne · 17 February 2008

MPW:

Apologies for being a bit behind the curve. Your creationist may have been referring to the following:

"Science is always simple and always profound. It is only the half-truths that are dangerous."

George Bernard Shaw (1856-1950)

A couple of possible rejoinders come to mind:

"The aim of science is to seek the simplest explanations of complex facts. We are apt to fall into the error of thinking that the facts are simple because simplicity is the goal of our quest. The guiding motto in the life of every natural philosopher should be, 'Seek simplicity, and distrust it.'"

Alfred North Whitehead (1861-1947)

"For every complex problem, there is a solution that's simple, straightforward -- and wrong."

H.L. Mencken (1880-1956)

gregwrld · 17 February 2008

Dolly: why does your mind boggle? Wouldn't it be better off thinking things through after concerted investigation of the subject?

SteveF · 17 February 2008

Nigel D:

One more question for you, does your Flagellum article propose a fairly detailed, step-by-step possible evolutionary scenario for the flagellum where: 1) each intermediate confers a functional advantage (or at very least serves some kind of function) 2) the gap between each step can be analyzed probabilistically to gauge if it is reasonably probable or not.

Your questions are impertinent. The article to which this thread refers (back in the original post, if you can scroll up that far) actually makes it clear that feasible paths for flagellum evolution have only very recently been proposed. This does not mean that every step of the way is enumerated, because it is a proposed evolutionary path. All biologists working in evolutionary science understand that there is no point in working out an evolutionary pathway in excessive detail, because for structures that are as old as the flagellum, it is unlikely that the evidence will ever be available to us to tease out every last detail of how it evolved. But, despite what you seem to be implying, it is enough to demonstrate a feasible route, and it is only the creationists who insist on there being more detail available than it is reasonable to expect. I seem to recall that Behe's latest definition involves the nature of the steps in the development of the flagella. He thinks that every step has to be selectable; I imagine this is what Halo is referring to when he talks about each intermediate providing some kind of positive benefit. This is distinct from Behe's ridiculous claim that we have to be able to specify things in forensic detail.

Mike Elzinga · 17 February 2008

Dolly: why does your mind boggle? Wouldn’t it be better off thinking things through after concerted investigation of the subject?
Actually it goes much farther than this. Not only are the ID/Creationists incapable of wrapping their minds around these ideas, they actively seek the powers of secular government to throw roadblocks and stumbling blocks into the learning paths of strangers who do not hold their sectarian views. This has some of the same elements of malice that street bullies have in beating up students returning from school with books under their arms. Dolly's stories do not appear to have the purpose of stimulating curiosity and drive to seek knowledge, rather they seem to mock science and provide a smug satisfaction to those who don't care to learn anything.

Dolly Sheriff · 17 February 2008

gregwrld: Dolly: why does your mind boggle? Wouldn't it be better off thinking things through after concerted investigation of the subject?
The mind boggles that gifted men and woman cannot see that randomness and survival of the fittest are inadequate to explain the flagellum self assembling motor. Lets go where the evidence leads. I hope a whole generation of young people are inspired by this new field of molecular biology and are eventually able to find explanations that truly satisfy - not explanations that are just so many Darwinian just-so-stories and require way more faith than the average religious person.

Frank J · 17 February 2008

The mind boggles that gifted men and woman cannot see that randomness and survival of the fittest are inadequate to explain the flagellum self assembling motor. Lets go where the evidence leads.

— Dolly Sheriff
The mind boggles that people still use that "randomness and survival of the fittest" strawman. While you're here, please tell us whether you agree with Michael Behe (originator of the "IC = ID" nonsense) that the evidence leads at least to: 1. Common ancestry of humans, dogs and dogwoods. 2. A 3-4 billion year history of life on Earth. Even if you are genuinely unsure, best guesses will suffice for now.

Mike Elzinga · 17 February 2008

I imagine this is what Halo is referring to when he talks about each intermediate providing some kind of positive benefit.
If that is true, it is simply the old “What good is a half a wing?” argument of the Creationists but now applied to molecular systems. It seems that no matter how many times our biologist experts point out co-option and the molecular equivalents of "ecological niches", the ID followers still don't comprehend.

Frank J · 17 February 2008

The mind also boggles that anyone would still use that old "it takes more faith" nonsense.

Lurkers, please notice what Dolly conveniently omitted. That it takes more faith than what?

Dolly Sheriff · 17 February 2008

Frank J: ...please tell us whether you agree ... that the evidence leads at least to: 1. Common ancestry of humans, dogs and dogwoods. 2. A 3-4 billion year history of life on Earth.
Frank I must agree that the evidence does seem to point to a common ancestry and scientific evidence does agree an age of the earth consistent with those estimates. It is the Darwinian explanation that falls so painfully short of providing satisfying answers. Unfortunately it also provides a bankrupt world-view as well.

David B. Benson · 17 February 2008

Mike Elzinga: It’s like trying to explain modern aircraft design to a cargo cultist.
That would be much easier. In Jared Diamond's http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Guns,_Germs,_and_Steel Yali was, in some sense, a cargo cultist. Professor Diamond found him (and other New Guinea highlanders) to be more intelligent that most Americans.

Dolly Sheriff · 17 February 2008

Frank J: The mind also boggles that anyone would still use that old "it takes more faith" nonsense. Lurkers, please notice what Dolly conveniently omitted. That it takes more faith than what?
Frank, please allow me to reply by asking you a question. In the case where our universe is the only existing one (let's for the moment ignore the many universes idea). What would you estimate the statistical chances would be of the human mind developing through the current mainstream understanding of Darwinian Evolution (Straw men aside)?

Frank J · 17 February 2008

Dolly,

Thanks for your prompt reply.

What is that "bankrupt world view" that the "Darwinian explanation" provides, and do the 11,000+ members of Christian clergy that signed that statement adhere to that world view?

What about Schwabe, Senapathy and Goldschmidt, who have offered "naturalistic" explanations that explicitly deny Darwinian evolution (the first 2 denying also common descent)? Do their explanations also provide that "bankrupt world view"?

Jason · 17 February 2008

Nigel D: Questions that Dembski carefully ignores include:
(1) If there is design, why does so much of the evidence indicate incompetent design rather than intelligent design?
(2) By what mechanism does the design come to be actuated?
(3) How are we to determine when, in the ancestry of bacteria, the design event occurred?
(4) Were there many design events or just one? How are we to measure this?
(5) Why can we see no evidence for the existence of a designer (remember that Dembski has asserted that evidence of design does not necessarily implicate the existence of a designer)?
(6) How is design supposed to occur if not through natural processes or a designer?
Since none of these have been addressed, I thought I'd refresh the memory of the ID'ers. What I've really never understood about the ID(iot) movement is why in this case do they think that this false dichotomy - its either evolution or "intelligent design" - exists in this case only. Where else in science does one not have to provide any positive evidence of their "theory"? Plus, I'd be a little less than thrilled with "the designer" as s/he didn't do such a great job - but s/he did love his/her beetles.

Mike Elzinga · 17 February 2008

It is the Darwinian explanation that falls so painfully short of providing satisfying answers. Unfortunately it also provides a bankrupt world-view as well.
Coral Ridge Ministries pushes this “logic” quite hard. You apparently sympathize. Perhaps you could clarify for us just how all of the modern conveniences that science has provided (including that computer you are writing on) have been the result of a “corrupt world-view”. Do you see a high correlation between heinous acts (such as rape, child molestation, murder, robbery, sectarian warfare) and a deep knowledge of science? Would you say that the majority of people with degrees in a scientific field, especially advanced degrees, are especially prone to such acts as compared to people who are totally ignorant of science? Then you might also explain how the “world-view” behind the Salem witches trails, or the burning of heretics at the stake, or the shaming of children who question sectarian dogma is better.

Dolly Sheriff · 17 February 2008

Nigel D: Questions that Dembski carefully ignores include:
(1) If there is design, why does so much of the evidence indicate incompetent design rather than intelligent design?
(2) By what mechanism does the design come to be actuated?
(3) How are we to determine when, in the ancestry of bacteria, the design event occurred?
(4) Were there many design events or just one? How are we to measure this?
(5) Why can we see no evidence for the existence of a designer (remember that Dembski has asserted that evidence of design does not necessarily implicate the existence of a designer)?
(6) How is design supposed to occur if not through natural processes or a designer?
Thanks Nigel for this excellent proposal of a curriculim for ID/creationist scientists to tackle. Wouldnt it be better if we encourage them to do just that. I think people like Behe and Dembski are at least encouraging youngsters to research these questions and not to only hold on to the theories which dominate the universities.

Dolly Sheriff · 17 February 2008

Mike Elzinga: Perhaps you could clarify for us just how all of the modern conveniences that science has provided (including that computer you are writing on) have been the result of a “corrupt world-view”.
Mike, I think you are being a little unkind. The majority of scientists that laid down a foundation for the scientific benefits we now enjoy (including my laptop) did not subscribe to a soulless universe.

Mike Elzinga · 17 February 2008

What would you estimate the statistical chances would be of the human mind developing through the current mainstream understanding of Darwinian Evolution (Straw men aside)?
Rephrase the question slightly. What would you estimate the statistical chances would be of your winning a $100 million lottery (assuming you entered)? What would your estimate be of someone winning that lottery?

Frank J · 17 February 2008

Dolly,

Not sure I understand the question, but given life (the chances of it arising at least once is unity by definition), the Darwinian explanation provides testable theory for the origin of species, and thus how "the" human brain (or "the" bacterial flagellum) arose. It makes no comment on the "chances" of that, or of the "chances" that life itself would arise.

I know you wish it would explain more detail, but it's the best we have. As you can see from Behe's concession of old life and common descent, and the steady retreat of others from specifying details of potential alternate explanations, even the most militant detractors seem to admit that "between the lines."

Stanton · 17 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff: It is the Darwinian explanation that falls so painfully short of providing satisfying answers. Unfortunately it also provides a bankrupt world-view as well.
Forgive my language, but, what the hell are you talking about? What "satisfying answers" does the "Darwinian explanation" not have? Could it be that you're asking questions that are not pertinent to Evolutionary Biology, or is that you have put out your own eyes in order to keep yourself blind and stupid? Furthermore, what "bankrupt world-view" does the "Darwinian explanation" provide? If you're talking about "Social Darwinism," then that proves you are just a glib, yet moronic troll, given as how "Social Darwinism" is actually a modified version of "divine right of kings," in that because the rich people are privileged, they are not obligated to care for the poor and unprivileged.

Dolly Sheriff · 17 February 2008

Mike Elzinga: Rephrase the question slightly. What would you estimate the statistical chances would be of your winning a $100 million lottery (assuming you entered)? What would your estimate be of someone winning that lottery?
Mike those odds are very different to the odds of a self-forming universe like ours. Non creation/ID scientists have estimated odds of 10 to the minus 100 for that... Odds that you will win the above lottery 30 000 times in a row, taking only one ticket each time. Very lucky indeed!

Ravilyn Sanders · 17 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff: The electron micro- graph of a flagellum looks uncanning-ly like a human designed motor. The mind boggles!
Wow! Your selectively boggling mind boggles my mind! It does not boggle you that this Great Creator, who could create a nano motor for the bacteria but would withhold such a great convenience from higher order of animals? Why did He not give us some kind of wheels and a nice engine? Doesn't it boggle you that He could not design a supersonic bird? I mean we humble humans learnt to fly on Dec 17 1903 CE, and less than six decades we broke the sound barrier. How come He did not design a radio for some animal or other? Does it not bother you that He designed horrible diseases that cause the most painful deaths? The wasps that merely stun caterpillars and lay eggs on them! Such diabolical idea! This way these caterpillars remain alive and provide fresh meat to the larvae, which proceed to eat them alive. The I in ID would stand for Indifferent rather than Intelligent. WW, Halo and Dolly should realize ID is not just bad science but also bad religion.

Stanton · 17 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff:
Mike Elzinga: Perhaps you could clarify for us just how all of the modern conveniences that science has provided (including that computer you are writing on) have been the result of a “corrupt world-view”.
Mike, I think you are being a little unkind. The majority of scientists that laid down a foundation for the scientific benefits we now enjoy (including my laptop) did not subscribe to a soulless universe.
No, you were the one who claimed that the "Darwinian explanation" provided a "bankrupt world-view." Please explain what this "bankrupt world-view," and please describe why it is "bankrupted" in comparison to, say, Creationism, which states that all bad things, including death, predation, and parasiticism, have happened and continue to happen in this Universe solely because of how our legendary ancestors ate one apple.

Stanton · 17 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff: The electron micro- graph of a flagellum looks uncanning-ly like a human designed motor. The mind boggles!
Except that a human-designed motor is not made out of proteins, oils and sugars that have different simultaneous functions, that does not have different parts that function simultaneously in both an aqueous solution and in a colloid suspension, and is not manufactured inside of the vehicle that needs the motor out of the vehicle's own personal resources.

Mike Elzinga · 17 February 2008

Mike, I think you are being a little unkind. The majority of scientists that laid down a foundation for the scientific benefits we now enjoy (including my laptop) did not subscribe to a soulless universe.
Then whose “bankrupt world-view” is it? Is it only the people who don’t subscribe to certain sectarian dogmas? How do you manage to implicate science, and evolution in particular, for problems that have existed in human societies for millennia before science, (and, yes, Darwin) came along. Who is being unkind here?

Dolly Sheriff · 17 February 2008

Stanton:
Dolly Sheriff: The electron micro- graph of a flagellum looks uncanning-ly like a human designed motor. The mind boggles!
Except that a human-designed motor is not made out of proteins, oils and sugars that have different simultaneous functions, that does not have different parts that function simultaneously in both an aqueous solution and in a colloid suspension, and is not manufactured inside of the vehicle that needs the motor out of the vehicle's own personal resources.
Excellent point Stanton, you're starting to sound like a design theorist!

Stanton · 17 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff:
Stanton:
Dolly Sheriff: The electron micro- graph of a flagellum looks uncanning-ly like a human designed motor. The mind boggles!
Except that a human-designed motor is not made out of proteins, oils and sugars that have different simultaneous functions, that does not have different parts that function simultaneously in both an aqueous solution and in a colloid suspension, and is not manufactured inside of the vehicle that needs the motor out of the vehicle's own personal resources.
Excellent point Stanton, you're starting to sound like a design theorist!
Actually, no, I sound like a student of Biology (maybe because I am a student of Biology). Design theorists demonstrate time and time again that they know less than crap about Biology, AND they demonstrate that they don't know how to use analogies correctly, and they demonstrate that they do not know when to use analogies. More importantly, design theorists demonstrate time and time again that they do not care crap about Biology, nor do they care crap about wanting to learn about Biology.

Frank J · 17 February 2008

Dolly,

Others might call me crazy, but you seem far more reasonable than most of the recent anti-evolutionists on this blog, and not just because you answered my usual questions that most others evade, and not just because you accept evolution's conclusions on the age of life and common descent. Most of your questions about world views and odds of this and that happening are answered here.

If you are still unimpressed with the explanatory power of the Darwinian explanation, you might want to check the self-organization concepts such as those by Stuart Kauffman.

IIRC you are also unimpressed with the explanatory power of ID, and if so, rightly so. But you seem to have bought into their propaganda that their strategy will increase critical thinking among students. There's no quick way to convince you otherwise (this might help), but if you read enough, you will know that they are only trying to mislead.

Dan · 17 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff feels that
The electron micro- graph of a flagellum looks uncanning-ly like a human designed motor. The mind boggles!
What she means it that the "rotationally averaged reconstruction of electron micrographs of purified hook-basal bodies" in figure 2 of http://www.aip.org/pt/jan00/berg.htm looks uncannily like a motor. Really? Compare the motor here: http://world.honda.com/mechanical-illustration/large/31.html and the minaret here: http://www.hat.net/album/middle_east/002_syria/001_highlights_of_syria/detail034.htm I think it's clear that the rotationally averaged reconstruction looks a lot more like a minaret than a motor. Perhaps it's God's message that Islam is the one true religion.

Jason · 17 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff: Excellent point Stanton, you're starting to sound like a design theorist!
How does one become a "design theorist" when there is no theory of design?

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 17 February 2008

The electron micro- graph of a flagellum looks uncanning-ly like a human designed motor. The mind boggles!
Yes, the mind boggles - why would anyone with access to biological and technical research think that micromachinery, whether natural or artificial, are anything like ordinary machinery? Physical constraints are completely different when you go down the scale. Already at micrometer dimensions artificial moving parts have severe problems with friction and sticking. Parts wear very quickly or won't move at all. So what we imagine a miniature motor in the micrometer regime would look like will very likely not be how a working motor looks like, when and if we get the details licked. Moving on from imaginary pictures of non-existing machinery of still rather large dimensions to the smaller actual natural miniature mechanisms discussed, another phenomena shows that ordinary machine designs won't work. Chemical machinery is stochastic. That is, you can never predict exactly when the next "step" (reaction) will happen. Nor are the reactions or small scale mechanical movements completely irreversible; once in a while the machinery will back up. This in no way resemble everyday machinery. In my mind the mind boggling analogy suggested is based on three simple psychological mistakes - design pareidolia ("it looks like a machine - therefore it must be a machine"), anthropic pareidolia ("humans invented wheels - therefore all wheel-like mechanisms must be invented"), and causal confusion (humans can make walking machines with legs, inspired by nature - therefore any natural leg mechanisms reminds us of human made walkers).

Dolly Sheriff · 17 February 2008

Thanks for your kind words Frank. I certainly am not anti-evolution, but I am anti smug Darwinian dogma, that teaches our children not to question the prevailing scientific world view (Darwinism) on how life came about and discourages them from looking for purpose and meaning in the universe.

PvM · 17 February 2008

what a crock
Dolly Sheriff: Thanks for your kind words Frank. I certainly am not anti-evolution, but I am anti smug Darwinian dogma, that teaches our children not to question the prevailing scientific world view (Darwinism) on how life came about and discourages them from looking for purpose and meaning in the universe.

Dolly Sheriff · 17 February 2008

PvM: what a crock
Dolly Sheriff: Thanks for your kind words Frank. I certainly am not anti-evolution, but I am anti smug Darwinian dogma, that teaches our children not to question the prevailing scientific world view (Darwinism) on how life came about and discourages them from looking for purpose and meaning in the universe.
PvM, we are all crocks (earthenware vessels) but some of use believe that we have more inside us than meets the eye or can be seen under a microscope)

R Ward · 17 February 2008

"It is the Darwinian explanation that falls so painfully short of providing satisfying answers. Unfortunately it also provides a bankrupt world-view as well."

I wonder if the latter isn't the real reason so many otherwise intelligent people are distressed by the theory of evolution? They somehow see it as a world devoid of hope. If true that's sad. Evolution is the history of survival in a harsh environment. How can one not be proud of each and every one of our ancestors, from the simple to the complex,as each was a champion. Each managed to pass on his/her/its DNA to the next generation. I find that view satisfying and uplifting. "There is grandeur in this view of life..." And 'hope' I might add.

David B. Benson · 17 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff: ... the prevailing scientific world view (Darwinism) on how life came about ...
Nope. How life came about is abiogenesis. The modern theory of biological evolution only considers how new life forms arise from older ones. The questions of meaning and purpose are not scientific questions. Except possibly in psychology or neuroscience...

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 17 February 2008

Perhaps you could clarify for us just how all of the modern conveniences that science has provided (including that computer you are writing on) have been the result of a “corrupt world-view”.
Mike, I think you are being a little unkind. The majority of scientists that laid down a foundation for the scientific benefits we now enjoy (including my laptop) did not subscribe to a soulless universe.
AFAIK that is doubtful. The majority of scientists have lived within the last couple of decades when the foundation you describe was developed (for example semiconductor physics), and during that time polls finds that the majority of scientists have been atheists. I'm not going to argue here that scientists should be atheists, just that your new claim isn't supportive of your old. Can you clarify Mike's question?

Dan · 17 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff: I am anti smug Darwinian dogma, that teaches our children not to question the prevailing scientific world view (Darwinism) on how life came about and discourages them from looking for purpose and meaning in the universe.
Where to start? Evolutionary biology is not called "Darwinism, just as... ...atomic theory is not called "Lavoisierism", ...the theory of the round Earth is not called "Eratosthenesism", ...astrophysics is not called "Keplerism", ...and airplane pilots are not called "Wrightists". Science is far broader than evolutionary biology, so the prevailing scientific world view is called "naturalism", not "Darwinism". Evolution is about how life changes, not about how it originated. (Darwin, by the way, wrote almost nothing about life's origin, but did write that "There is grandeur in this view of life, with its several powers, having been originally breathed into a few forms or into one; and that, whilst this planet has gone cycling on according to the fixed law of gravity, from so simple a beginning endless forms most beautiful and most wonderful have been, and are being, evolved." That's right: by today's standards Charles Dawin would be labeled a creationist.) Evolutionary biologists, like all scientists, are confident that they know very little -- if there were no open questions, there would be no jobs for scientists. I have never met a "smug" evolutionary biologist. (In contrast, ID advocates like Michael Behe smugly assert that if they can't answer a question, then no naturalistic answer can ever exist.) Like most scientists, I find a lot of purpose and meaning in the universe. Dolly Sheriff seems to be battling her own misconceptions about science more than anything else.

Mike Elzinga · 17 February 2008

Mike those odds are very different to the odds of a self-forming universe like ours. Non creation/ID scientists have estimated odds of 10 to the minus 100 for that… Odds that you will win the above lottery 30 000 times in a row, taking only one ticket each time. Very lucky indeed!.
It seems clear to me that your understanding of statistics and odds is a bit hazy. Even if humans on planet Earth were the only “intelligent” life in the universe, that still doesn’t rule out evolution and that a certain set of sectarian dogmas must therefore be the case. We are here; therefore we think we are special. Maybe we are, maybe we aren’t. We don’t yet know if there are other intelligent organisms in the universe, but given what we know of the formations of organic molecules in space and in other places, and given the large numbers of galaxies and stars within them, the probabilities could be very high. Given the distances involved, we may never be sure (especially if overpopulation and the misuses of science and religion wipe out humans before we have a chance to find out). But estimating odds is difficult because of the number of unknowns. Bayes’ Theorem is often used to try to make estimates, but it depends on so many conditional probabilities that small changes in the estimates of these can make large differences in what one estimates for the probability of life elsewhere. This is and fascinating and ongoing issue.

Thanks for your kind words Frank. I certainly am not anti-evolution, but I am anti smug Darwinian dogma, that teaches our children not to question the prevailing scientific world view (Darwinism) on how life came about and discourages them from looking for purpose and meaning in the universe.

There is no such thing a “Darwinian dogma”. However, there are many sectarian dogmas that forbid questioning. They have television programs that can be seen regularly. The term “bankrupt world-view” frequently comes from the pulpits of these sects, and it appears to mean “anything that doesn’t agree with a particular sectarian view”. And just how does the “prevailing scientific world view (Darwinism)” discourage anyone from looking for purpose and meaning in the universe? Why do you even label the "prevailing scientific world view" as "Darwinism"? That, no doubt, is standard-issue propaganda coming from a pulpit in your church. Do you dare question it?

Stacy S. · 17 February 2008

Ravilyn Sanders: WW, Halo and Dolly should realize ID is not just bad science but also bad religion.
This article surely must have hit a nerve somewhere :-) Is this an unusual number of trolls for a single thread? Great article Dan!!

Stanton · 17 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff: Thanks for your kind words Frank. I certainly am not anti-evolution, but I am anti smug Darwinian dogma, that teaches our children not to question the prevailing scientific world view (Darwinism) on how life came about and discourages them from looking for purpose and meaning in the universe.
As opposed to Creationists who threaten those who disagree with their interpretation of the Bible with eternal damnation?

Ravilyn Sanders · 17 February 2008

Dolly,
First thanks for agreeing with the age of Earth and common descent. That is unlike most Creationists. May be you are an
Old Earth Creationist.

Why don't you follow your own pet theory? That there is a Designer. Then why did He stop after the nano motor? Why not
a micro motor, a milli motor and a regular motor? The biologists
explain why there is no bigger motor than the one found in the bacteria using the theory of evolution. How does the design
theory explain it?

Why did the Designer create diseases? He hates us?

Why did the Designer put our retinas backward facing? The brain
is behind the eye. If the nerves attach to the retinal cells
(the cones and rods) from behind, the wiring would be simpler,
there will be no blind spot, and the detached retina diseases
would be much rarer. And you know what? There are eyes like
that in other animals. Why did the Designer condemn us to
have an eye designed so badly?

If you follow the evidence wherever it leads to, you will
find an Incompetent Designer, or Indifferent Designer, or
Infernal Designer...

In short, the Design theory provides even less satisfying
answer than the theory of evolution.

Stanton · 17 February 2008

Mike Elzinga: And just how does the “prevailing scientific world view (Darwinism)” discourage anyone from looking for purpose and meaning in the universe? Why do you even label the "prevailing scientific world view" as "Darwinism"? That, no doubt, is standard-issue propaganda coming from a pulpit in your church. Do you dare question it?
That she repeats it constantly without explanation or demonstration means that she can not dare question it.

Kevin B · 17 February 2008

Stacy S.:
Ravilyn Sanders: WW, Halo and Dolly should realize ID is not just bad science but also bad religion.
This article surely must have hit a nerve somewhere :-) Is this an unusual number of trolls for a single thread? Great article Dan!!
This article is really bad news for the trolls. The bacterial flagellum is Michael Behe's latest "Irreducible Complexity" canard - his previous examples having been shot down in flames or, in one case, sunk without trace under a pile of research literature after being depth-charged at the Kitzmiller trial. Dembski has bought heavily in to the canard and has an illustration of a flagellum on the masthead of his blog. From the IDC point of view, this new article is of somewhat of the nature of a puntgun.... :)

Stacy S. · 17 February 2008

Kevin B: From the IDC point of view, this new article is of somewhat of the nature of a puntgun.... :)
Well ... I had to look up "punt gunning" ... but yes - I can see that :-)

Frank J · 17 February 2008

Thanks for your kind words Frank. I certainly am not anti-evolution, but I am anti smug Darwinian dogma, that teaches our children not to question the prevailing scientific world view (Darwinism) on how life came about and discourages them from looking for purpose and meaning in the universe.

— Dolly Sheriff
I'm afraid I might have to retract some kind words, as you have conveniently left some of the less convenient questions unanswered, and showed no sign that you might be reading the links to clear up your misconceptions about "Darwinism." Like the clergy I mentioned, and the last 2 Popes, and John Haught (whose book "God After Darwin" you definitely ought to read), I have not found anything in 40 years of reading about evolution that discourages looking for purpose and meaning in the universe. I do find a bit of it in ID, however. Evolution finds the whats, whens and hows of God's Creation. Sure, some of it is not pretty, but neither is death or suffering. ID discourages looking for the whats, whens and hows, and confines God (yes IDers say it might not be God, but most of the fans infer Him anyway) to ever-shrinking gaps. Plus ID condones cherry picking evidence, baiting and switching definitions (e.g. "Darwinism", "theory") and concepts (e.g. evolution with abiogenesis) and quote mining. Here's another theist who argues that ID is bad science and bad religion.

Bobby · 17 February 2008

Dan Jones:
Bobby: Dan, find out the NS policy on self-archiving your publications. If they are one of the many scientific publishers that allow it, you can make the article downloadable from your blog and post the link here.
It’s common practice for science writers to sign a writer’s agreement that hands over the rights to the article – the words themselves, as well as the formatted, illustrated, published piece. And so I would be infringing copyright if I posted my articles online for all to see. I’ve noticed that a number of writers, such as Steve Pinker and Carl Zimmer, have their articles online (Pinker has exact replicas of the published pieces, Zimmer the text from his articles), and wondered how this is possible. My best guess is that these prestigious writers can insist on retaining the copyright on their words, and yet they’re names have so much cache that publishers are still happy to get their stuff into print. I could be wrong, but I think that must be what’s going on.
We have to sign over the copyright as well, but a growing number of publishers in my field have a formal policy that allows self archiving your articles on your own web site. You should find out whether your publishers have joined the trend.

stevaroni · 18 February 2008

Dolly writes... I certainly am not anti-evolution, but I am anti smug Darwinian dogma, that teaches our children not to question the prevailing scientific world view (Darwinism)

Question all you want. Demand to see the evidence. Insist on a coherent explanation. That is your right, and no scientist on earth will flinch an eyelid if you have the temerity to demand it. Science expects no less than for you to scream "Show me the money!". But they also expect to play fair. After science hauls out truck-fulls of fossils and gigabytes of DNA sequences and lets anybody with a modicum of curiosity pick it over for as long as they like, patiently explaining just exactly what every little dead trilobite means, it's only reasonable to insist that if you want to cling to the "other side" you need to addresses the evidence. It's only fair to point out that in the 150 years since Darwin the "other side" that insists on being treated so scrupulously fair, has produced exactly nothing. At some point, after 15 decades of testing, rational people who actually have to use this stuff on a regular basis come to the conclusion that it's been tested to the point where no real doubt remains, and they move on to actually do significant things with it. That, madam, is not smugness. It is cold, hard fact.

guppy · 18 February 2008

Torbjörn Larsson, OM: Yes, the mind boggles - why would anyone with access to biological and technical research think that micromachinery, whether natural or artificial, are anything like ordinary machinery? [...]Chemical machinery is stochastic. That is, you can never predict exactly when the next "step" (reaction) will happen. Nor are the reactions or small scale mechanical movements completely irreversible; once in a while the machinery will back up. This in no way resemble everyday machinery.
Absolutely. Somehow this isn't emphasized so much while responding to I.D's 'magic molecular machines' talking point. We underestimate the power of (incorrect) metaphorical imagery at out peril. PZ's great post on stochastic behaviour in a cell.

Nigel D · 18 February 2008

...The electron micrograph provides novices like myself an opportunity to weigh up the similarities of the micro machine with those of the real world, not having to rely on illustrations. Now, my hubby Ben Sheriff likes to fix stuff, and has often reconditioned a motor - I sometimes have to help clean up the mess. The electron micro- graph of a flagellum looks uncanning-ly like a human designed motor. The mind boggles!

— Dolly Sheriff
While your mind is bogglingly, why has it not occurred to you that the resemblance could be either a coincidence, or superficial? As I explained in a previous response to one of your comments, the resemblance is, in this case, superficial. "It looks like a motor, so it must work like a motor" is not logical reasoning.

Nigel D · 18 February 2008

SteveF: Nigel D:

One more question for you, does your Flagellum article propose a fairly detailed, step-by-step possible evolutionary scenario for the flagellum where: 1) each intermediate confers a functional advantage (or at very least serves some kind of function) 2) the gap between each step can be analyzed probabilistically to gauge if it is reasonably probable or not.

Your questions are impertinent. The article to which this thread refers (back in the original post, if you can scroll up that far) actually makes it clear that feasible paths for flagellum evolution have only very recently been proposed. This does not mean that every step of the way is enumerated, because it is a proposed evolutionary path. All biologists working in evolutionary science understand that there is no point in working out an evolutionary pathway in excessive detail, because for structures that are as old as the flagellum, it is unlikely that the evidence will ever be available to us to tease out every last detail of how it evolved. But, despite what you seem to be implying, it is enough to demonstrate a feasible route, and it is only the creationists who insist on there being more detail available than it is reasonable to expect. I seem to recall that Behe's latest definition involves the nature of the steps in the development of the flagella. He thinks that every step has to be selectable; I imagine this is what Halo is referring to when he talks about each intermediate providing some kind of positive benefit. This is distinct from Behe's ridiculous claim that we have to be able to specify things in forensic detail.
Fair comment, but my point (which was perhaps not as clear as I had hoped) was that the New Scientist article referenced in the OP actually addresses this point. In this case, flagellar evolution is still full of question-marks. Maybe in a nother 10 years' time, we'll have a bit more detail to fill in. Then, it might be appropriate to pose the questions that halo poses about a detailed step-by-step description of the path taken. At the same time, since the flagella are such ancient structures, we must accept the possibility that we may never know the exact evolutionary path that occurred.

Nigel D · 18 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff:
gregwrld: Dolly: why does your mind boggle? Wouldn't it be better off thinking things through after concerted investigation of the subject?
The mind boggles that gifted men and woman cannot see that randomness and survival of the fittest are inadequate to explain the flagellum self assembling motor.
Isn't it fortunate, then, for science, that your caricature of evolution is only that - a caricature. It seems to resemble reality, but in fact does not. Did you actually read the responses to your earlier comments, or are you just another dishonest creationist troll?
Lets go where the evidence leads.
Yes, let's. Speaking of which, you do not appear to have answered the questions I asked:

(1) What, to your mind, is the scientific theory of ID?
(2) Do you agree with Michael Behe that the Earth is over 4 billion years old?
(3) Do you agree with Michael Behe that the evidence for universal common descent is overwhelming?
(4) Do you agree with Michael Behe that most biological change is the result of natural selection (he asserts simply that it cannot all be caused by natural selection)?

— Nigel D
Resuming your post:

I hope a whole generation of young people are inspired by this new field of molecular biology and are eventually able to find explanations that truly satisfy - not explanations that are just so many Darwinian just-so-stories and require way more faith than the average religious person.

— Dolly Sheriff
This is a tired creationist strawman. If you took the trouble to understand what evolutionary theory actually says, and the context of the data from which its conclusions are drawn, you would see that it delivers a very satisfactory overall explanation. It also provides a framework in which to investigate more specific questions, such as how the evolution of a specific feature may have occurred. In contrast, what kind of satisfaction can be derived from the "explanation":
"It was designed to be like that, but don't ask about who designed it or how they realised their design, or when they did this"? Your argument flogs the dead horse of the classic argument from ignorance. Just because we cannot currently explain the evolution of a specific structure does not indicate that there is anything wrong with modern evolutionary theory (MET). Modern science is comfortable with "we don't know yet". Why aren't you?

Stacy S. · 18 February 2008

Nigel ... she did answer a couple of them - but to Frank.
Dolly Sheriff: Frank I must agree that the evidence does seem to point to a common ancestry and scientific evidence does agree an age of the earth consistent with those estimates. It is the Darwinian explanation that falls so painfully short of providing satisfying answers. Unfortunately it also provides a bankrupt world-view as well.

Nigel D · 18 February 2008

It is the Darwinian explanation that falls so painfully short of providing satisfying answers.

— Dolly Sheriff
Although, oddly, no-one has ever backed up this assertion with even one convincing argument. So, Dolly, on what do YOU base this assertion? Specifically:
(1) what do you consider the "Darwinian" explanation to be?
(2) What answers are you expecting it to provide?
(3) In what way does it "fall short" of providing those answers?

Unfortunately it also provides a bankrupt world-view as well.

This is a lie. Dishonesty is never helpful, Dolly. Do you actually believe this (in which case you are guilty of nothing worse than excessive credulousness or wishful thinking) or are you just using it as a rhetorical tactic (the way the DI fellows use it)?

Nigel D · 18 February 2008

What would you estimate the statistical chances would be of the human mind developing through the current mainstream understanding of Darwinian Evolution (Straw men aside)?

— Dolly Sheriff
OK, strawman arguments aside, I estimate the probability as exactly 1. Since we know it happened, and the best explanation for how it happened is through natural selection of inherited variation, any reasonable post-hoc assessment of probability must be 1. Incidentally, you are still using an anachronism. MET is way beyond Darwin's original theory.

Nigel D · 18 February 2008

Stacy S.: Nigel ... she did answer a couple of them - but to Frank.
Dolly Sheriff: Frank I must agree that the evidence does seem to point to a common ancestry and scientific evidence does agree an age of the earth consistent with those estimates. It is the Darwinian explanation that falls so painfully short of providing satisfying answers. Unfortunately it also provides a bankrupt world-view as well.
Stacy, you are right. I was going through the posts one by one and had not yet reached Dolly's answers to Frank when I reiterated my questions. Dolly's comment (the one to which I was responding) seemed to segue nicely into a revisiting of the questions.

Popper's Ghost · 18 February 2008

Some web sites bring up a Delete box, just for the poster.

Only sites that require passwords (duh).

Popper's Ghost · 18 February 2008

I am setting a goal of studying more about how biologists go from noting coincidences to glibly asserting common descent.

A rational researcher doesn't start out with a mischaracterization and a pejorative judgment.

Nigel D · 18 February 2008

Thanks Nigel for this excellent proposal of a curriculim for ID/creationist scientists to tackle. Wouldnt it be better if we encourage them to do just that. I think people like Behe and Dembski are at least encouraging youngsters to research these questions and not to only hold on to the theories which dominate the universities.

— Dolly Sheriff exemplifying creo hypocrisy
So how come all of the DI fellows ignore these points in all of their publications? They seem to have published precisely zero hypotheses to answer these questions, in more than 10 years' "work" on ID. At best, this is suspicious. At worst, it can be seen as evidence of deceit.

Nigel D · 18 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff:
Mike Elzinga: Perhaps you could clarify for us just how all of the modern conveniences that science has provided (including that computer you are writing on) have been the result of a “corrupt world-view”.
Mike, I think you are being a little unkind. The majority of scientists that laid down a foundation for the scientific benefits we now enjoy (including my laptop) did not subscribe to a soulless universe.
And neither do biologists. Do you have any actual evidence that biologists, collectively, subscribe to a "soulless universe"? What is a "soulless universe"? I note in passing that an omnipotent and omniscient god could quite easily have set up a universe to proceed through natural laws and processess and give rise to human beings. Do you have any evidence that this is not the case?

Popper's Ghost · 18 February 2008

The mind boggles that gifted men and woman cannot see that randomness and survival of the fittest are inadequate to explain the flagellum self assembling motor.

I am anti smug ...

The mind does indeed boggle at such hypocrisy.

Nigel D · 18 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff:
Mike Elzinga: Rephrase the question slightly. What would you estimate the statistical chances would be of your winning a $100 million lottery (assuming you entered)? What would your estimate be of someone winning that lottery?
Mike those odds are very different to the odds of a self-forming universe like ours. Non creation/ID scientists have estimated odds of 10 to the minus 100 for that... Odds that you will win the above lottery 30 000 times in a row, taking only one ticket each time. Very lucky indeed!
But, fortunately for me, a "self-forming universe" is nothing whatsoever to do wth evolutionary biology. Who are these people who have estimated the probability of the universe existing to be 10^-100? Haven't they ever looked out the window? Or have you oversimplified what they were calculating?

Nigel D · 18 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff:
Stanton:
Dolly Sheriff: The electron micro- graph of a flagellum looks uncanning-ly like a human designed motor. The mind boggles!
Except that a human-designed motor is not made out of proteins, oils and sugars that have different simultaneous functions, that does not have different parts that function simultaneously in both an aqueous solution and in a colloid suspension, and is not manufactured inside of the vehicle that needs the motor out of the vehicle's own personal resources.
Excellent point Stanton, you're starting to sound like a design theorist!
Wow, Stanton, I hope you realise how privileged you should feel now. Even when you succinctly demolish ID's favourite analogy, you get to sound like a design theorist. PS, I guess that means there's a massive logical flaw in your argument. ;-)

Nigel D · 18 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff:
PvM: what a crock
Dolly Sheriff: Thanks for your kind words Frank. I certainly am not anti-evolution, but I am anti smug Darwinian dogma, that teaches our children not to question the prevailing scientific world view (Darwinism) on how life came about and discourages them from looking for purpose and meaning in the universe.
PvM, we are all crocks (earthenware vessels) but some of use believe that we have more inside us than meets the eye or can be seen under a microscope)
Way to miss the point, Dolly. Your comment contained a huge amount of wrong for so few words. To wit:
(1) "Darwinian" is an anachronism. MET is way beyond Darwin's original theory.
(2) MET rests on a massively firm base of hard evidence. It is not dogmatic. Instead, it came about through questioning dogma.
(3) If by "Darwinism", you mean MET, it provides no "prevailing" world-view. Instead, it is one of the most successful theories of the scientific endeavour.
(4) MET does not deal with how life came about. MET could quite comfortably accept a single event of special creation in the distant past. MET is a theory about how life changes, not about how life began.
(5) Science teaches children about how the world is. Nothing more. They are free to question it, once they have understood it. In the long run, this leads to new science. But understanding of the theory has to come first. Teaching children to dogmatically reject a theory that they do not understand is a form of child abuse.
(6) There is nothing about MET that prevents anyone from seeking meaning or purpose in the universe. MET tells us what happens in biological systems from individual macromolecules to entire ecosystems. It describes mechanisms that explain the how, and it offers insights into the why. It does not comment on any potential underlying purpose or meaning. So, there you have it. Six fairly basic errors in one sentence. Dolly, I think you have just set a new benchmark.

Nigel D · 18 February 2008

R Ward: "It is the Darwinian explanation that falls so painfully short of providing satisfying answers. Unfortunately it also provides a bankrupt world-view as well." I wonder if the latter isn't the real reason so many otherwise intelligent people are distressed by the theory of evolution? They somehow see it as a world devoid of hope. If true that's sad. Evolution is the history of survival in a harsh environment. How can one not be proud of each and every one of our ancestors, from the simple to the complex,as each was a champion. Each managed to pass on his/her/its DNA to the next generation. I find that view satisfying and uplifting. "There is grandeur in this view of life..." And 'hope' I might add.
Very well put.

Nigel D · 18 February 2008

Is this an unusual number of trolls for a single thread?

— Stacy S.
Yes, it is unusual to get more than one or two, but not unheard-of. There was one thread a few months back that included posts from FL, Mats and another regular crackpot (whose online name eludes me for the present).

Nigel D · 18 February 2008

Nigel D: While your mind is bogglingly, why has it not occurred to you that the resemblance could be either a coincidence, or superficial?
Curses. I should proofread more slowly. Of course, I meant "While your mind is boggling,".

Nigel D · 18 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff, you did answer two of the questions, in a reply to Frank. This is far more helpful than is the norm for anti-evolutionists. However, there are still two that you did not answer:

(1) What, to your mind, is the scientific theory of ID?
(2) Do you agree with Michael Behe that the Earth is over 4 billion years old?
(3) Do you agree with Michael Behe that the evidence for universal common descent is overwhelming?
(4) Do you agree with Michael Behe that most biological change is the result of natural selection (he asserts simply that it cannot all be caused by natural selection)?

— Nigel D
Questions 2 and 3 you have answered. How about questions 1 and 4?

Frank J · 18 February 2008

Nigel,

Although unlike most anti-evolutionists she has promptly answered questions 2 and 3, I would not hope for much beyond "I don't know" for 1 and 4.

Her promptness at answering 2 and 3 contrasts sharply with the fact that she has not yet commented on either the world views promoted by anti-evolution positions (e.g. it's OK to quote mine), or how they have infinitely more "holes" than evolution.

Sure, she can say "I don't know" to them too (or simply evade them), but that would suggest that she is giving "alternative science" a free pass that she denies mainstream science.

Frank J · 18 February 2008

Yes, it is unusual to get more than one or two, but not unheard-of. There was one thread a few months back that included posts from FL, Mats and another regular crackpot (whose online name eludes me for the present).

— Nigel D
Pole Greaser? It's even more striking on Talk Origins. While at any one time there are 10-20 active anti-evolutionists (including trolls), once one appears on a thread, all, or nearly all of the others avoid it like the plague. And even when 2 or 3 are on the same thread they almost never reply to each other, let alone challenge each other as us "Darwinists" do. Make of it what you will.

Peter Ridsdale · 18 February 2008

What is a troll?

Frank J · 18 February 2008

Peter,

See this.

Some raise the suspicion that they are not true creationists, but rather seek to make creationists look silly.

Nigel D · 18 February 2008

Frank, it could have been Pole Greaser, but my memory of the thread is not clear enough to be sure. Speaking of whom:

Some raise the suspicion that they are not true creationists, but rather seek to make creationists look silly.

— Frank J
Of all the trolls that have appeared on PT, I think Pole Greaser is the most frequent poster of illogical comments for the hell of it. I have given up responding to his/her posts, because (s)he seeks only to wind up the rational people. However, any sufficiently advanced parody of a creationist standpoint is indistinguishable from real lunacy. It does not seem to matter how far-out and loony the comment is, it is always hard to tell a real creationist from a good parody.

raven · 18 February 2008

Dolly: It is the Darwinian explanation that falls so painfully short of providing satisfying answers. Unfortunately it also provides a bankrupt world-view as well.
The bolded comment is so obviously wrong it deserves the running into the ground it is getting. 1. Science and evolution are neutral on religion. Many scientists and most Xians worldwide don't have a problem with evolution including the Popes, most mainline protestant, and Mormon. The evolution worldview is about as bankrupt as that of quantum mechanics or the germ theory of disease. 2. The truth of a scientific fact or theory doesn't depend on what an individual thinks about it. The results of the theory of gravitational attraction are a nuisance sometimes and kills people often. You can clap your hands and wish real hard, gravity isn't going away. 3. The evolution worldview is the same as the scientific one inasmuch as one is a subset of the other. There is an objective reality, we can understand it, we proceed to understand it, this is worthwhile for itself and also useful. This is why we don't live in caves anymore. 4. The ID theory claims that god creates diseases that kill us and improves them often. Behe claims that drug resistant malaria was designed by god in his latest book. Malaria kills millions worldwide, a large number are children under 5 years. Here is a dismal worldview, god is always tinkering with pathogens to kill millions of people every year often in horrible ways such as TB. Every once in a while a new epidemic sweeps through the human population and kills tens of millions. Praise the lord? 5. The creos always lie, quote mine, repeat centuries old fallacies and so on. Their position is a bunch of lies to begin with and the only way to support lies is with more lies. There used to be 10 commandments but they threw out one and sometimes throw out another, the one about killing. 6. Speaking of lies, Dolly is too polite to write the usual Coral Ridge/Ben Stein one. The TOE is responsible for Hitler, communism, and Hillary. Lies, Nazism roots lie deep in German Xianity, Stalin rejected Darinian evolution and killed scientists who didn't recant their views. There is a bankrupt wordview for you. If we pretend that 2 pages of 4,000 year old mythology represent reality, lie a lot, and thank god for killing us with drug resistant malaria, TB, HIV, and BT resistant cotton boll worms, then we can be happy. Maintained with Voluntary Ignorance and Willing Suspension of Disbelief. All that is left is to take over the government, tear up the constitution, sneak this mess into children's science classes, and hope for a new Dark Ages.

Paul. M · 18 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff:
Mike Elzinga: Rephrase the question slightly. What would you estimate the statistical chances would be of your winning a $100 million lottery (assuming you entered)? What would your estimate be of someone winning that lottery?
Mike those odds are very different to the odds of a self-forming universe like ours. Non creation/ID scientists have estimated odds of 10 to the minus 100 for that... Odds that you will win the above lottery 30 000 times in a row, taking only one ticket each time. Very lucky indeed!
Actually it is closer to 13 times in a row (or did you use Intelligent Mathematics?) or can I do Dolly's lottery? Apparently a 1 in 1.008 chance of winning $100,000,000 I played Bridge on Thursday night. We played 32 hands. The chances of us getting the exact hands that we did was about 1 in 10^1000. Clearly impossible. Yet it happened!

Frank J · 18 February 2008

Nigel,

I just thought of Keith "Evolander" Eaton. I read that he has been doing that routine for over a decade. After a while I just stopped "feeding," but from what I did have the patience to read, I couldn't tell if he wanted creationists to look silly, or was that far gone (either in terms of his personal beliefs, or in a desire to mislead a la the DI).

Ravilyn Sanders · 18 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff: Frank I must agree that the evidence does seem to point to a common ancestry and scientific evidence does agree an age of the earth consistent with those estimates. It is the Darwinian explanation that falls so painfully short of providing satisfying answers. Unfortunately it also provides a bankrupt world-view as well.
Providing satisfying answers, showing a purpose for life etc are subjects not handled by science in general and the theory of evolution in particular. But if Dolly is looking for some guidance for the question about purpose of life, there are a few choices. The most obvious one is, of course, the philosophy that there is a Big Guy in the sky who will punish for your sins and reward you for your good deeds and the purpose of life is to keep Him happy by singing His praise, doing charity etc. The less obvious place to look for it would be trying to find out what motivated people like Sagan or Einstein. They did not fear the Big Guy in the sky, for they did not believe in such a Big Guy. Still they managed to get up and go to work to their last days on earth. They knew their bodies would turn into dust in a few years. They had made enough money by then, they did not have to work to put food on the table or to save for college for their kids. What did they see as the purpose of their life? Why did they not sink into despair thinking "it is all worthless waste"? Why was Einstein scratching a paper with pencil to the end of his days? What was going through the billions and billions of neurons in Sagan's brain? She could have found purpose for life in religion or in the lives of great scientists. But, sadly, she has decided the best use for her life to create highly caricatured parodies of scientific papers in a blog. Go figure.

Henry J · 18 February 2008

What the heck is a "bankrupt world-view", anyway?

Henry

Dan · 18 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff seems to think that

Darwinism ... discourages them [children] from looking for purpose and meaning in the universe.

Notice that Dolly gives no evidence to back up this false assertion. It is, in fact, the exact opposite of the truth: If scientists saw no meaning in the universe, then there would be no reason to study it.

Dolly, please read "Why I'm Happy I Evolved" by evolutionary biologist Olivia Judson

http://www.nytimes.com/2006/01/01/opinion/01judson.html

and see if you can still claim that the study of evolution "provides a bankrupt world-view".

David B. Benson · 18 February 2008

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Internet_troll

Peter Ridsdale · 18 February 2008

I suspect that Dolly is not all she appears to be ("just a housewife"?) - she has obviously spent a lot of time constructing her web-site and the caricatures of Dawkins and Darwin etc. with Pinocchio (liars') noses indicate some kind of religious activist commitment to ridicule and belittle evolutionists. (Never mind Dolly, we can take it!).

But her case raises an interesting point - let's suppose for a moment that she is just an ordinary person who is genuinely baffled by evolutionary theory. She would not be alone, as many people find it hard to truly comprehend the vast aeons of time in which evolutionary processes operate. Most people still do not understand that evolution is not just a series of random mutations, and that natural selection is not at all random. People who do not really understand what is meant by 'survival of the fittest' are the ones who will ascribe negative and emotional values to the phrase and by extension to the whole of evolutionary theory. It is such people who form the ID congregation and who are most likely to be misled by snake-oil merchants like Behe and Dembski.

It is extremely difficult to communicate difficult concepts to people with a limited capacity to understand them but are we doing enough to put our case in a way that is easy to understand?

Dan · 18 February 2008

Dolly Sheriff seems to think that Darwinism ... discourages them [children] from looking for purpose and meaning in the universe.
Notice that Dolly gives no evidence to back up this false assertion. It is, in fact, the exact opposite of the truth: If scientists saw no meaning in the universe, then there would be no reason to study it. Dolly, please read "Why I'm Happy I Evolved" by evolutionary biologist Olivia Judson http://www.nytimes.com/2006/01/01/opinion/01judson.html and see if you can still claim that the study of evolution "provides a bankrupt world-view".

Paul Burnett · 18 February 2008

raven: All that is left is to take over the government, tear up the constitution, sneak this mess into children's science classes, and hope for a new Dark Ages.
They're working on that. Huckabee wants to "take back America for Christ" (and won't say what will be done with the tens of millions of non-Christian Americans). Pat Robertson has suggested nuking the State Department. Check out "Dominionism" and "Christian Reconstructionism."

gregwrld · 18 February 2008

What was clear to me is that Dolly hasn't done her homework. I mean she hasn't even scratched the surface! She also seeks to draw a philosophy of life from a description of life. These are going to be hard things for her to get passed, but if she starts a serious investigation, maybe she'll get there.
But first she has to understand that saying some invisible being by some unknown method caused some ill-defined biological event to happen is no competition for the TOE as an explanation.

Mike Elzinga · 18 February 2008

It is such people who form the ID congregation and who are most likely to be misled by snake-oil merchants like Behe and Dembski. It is extremely difficult to communicate difficult concepts to people with a limited capacity to understand them but are we doing enough to put our case in a way that is easy to understand?
Part of that difficulty of communicating difficult concepts arises because of the intense campaign going on in most fundamentalist churches to caricature science, libel scientists, and generally place the sheep in a state of continual panic and paranoia about the “enemy” all around them. Dolly’s vocabulary is full of the vitriolic crap that spews from the pulpits of these churches. It just flows out without any conscious recognition on her part that she is doing it. She has never questioned, nor does she dare question, what comes from her sectarian leaders and the literature that permeates the catechism of their Sunday schools. Her web site is a “clever” inside swipe at the “enemy”, and it is to be appreciated by the others in her church who have been saturated with the same fears and misinformation. I have often thought that fundamentalist churches have long been the refuge of scoundrels and scam artists who are essentially protected by the U.S. Constitution. There is no quality control on the information that flows through these churches. Any crap that has a few passages of scripture appended to it is accepted without question. A leader/demagogue is not required to be knowledgeable about anything; he just has to convince a bunch of rubes that he has been “called”. They then have the audacity to interfere with the educations of strangers who want nothing to do with their sectarian dogma. In creating the separation of Church and State, unfortunately, the drafters of the Constitution also created a sectarian monster with secular protections. If these sectarians simply gave thanks and stayed in their churches, there would be little problem, but they want more than that, as the Wedge Document clearly shows.

Nigel D · 18 February 2008

Frank J: Nigel, I just thought of Keith "Evolander" Eaton. I read that he has been doing that routine for over a decade. After a while I just stopped "feeding," but from what I did have the patience to read, I couldn't tell if he wanted creationists to look silly, or was that far gone (either in terms of his personal beliefs, or in a desire to mislead a la the DI).
Frank, based on no more than my own assessment of Keith's posts, I concluded that he was parodying creationism, but doing it so well that it was really hard to tell the difference. After one particular thread, in which I was trying to correct everything he got wrong, went past about 250 comments with no sign that Keith was even reading the responses to his garbage, I just got bored and found other things to do.

teach · 18 February 2008

Peter Ridsdale: It is extremely difficult to communicate difficult concepts to people with a limited capacity to understand them but are we doing enough to put our case in a way that is easy to understand?
Peter I am a high school biology teacher and teach evolution to freshmen as part of their general survey course and as a separate semester elective to juniors and seniors. It is not at all hard for any of them to understand the basics of natural selection and in fact, most of them accept it as just common sense. I think part of the problem is NS is where most teachers have to stop. Are you aware that most AP Bio curricula require high school students to complete 45 - 50 chapters of material in 8 months? If you work that out, I'm guessing it leaves a week or less for evolution, which generally includes not only natural selection, but speciation AND the history of life on earth. Never mind anything that's been thought of in the last 25 years. I cannot even imagine how little time there is to devote to evolution in introductory classes, since many teachers are working on NCLB or have end of course tests which stress quantity, not quality of material. Add into that mix that when students meet the ID/creationist/whatever you want to call it crap, they are dealing with it, or being made to deal with it, on an emotional, not intellectual, level. I can guarantee you, emotions win out over a week of boring lecture anytime. Plus, I'm limited as to how I can counter their arguments - responding to questions of faith with answers of reason doesn't always work. And most of the time, the questions they ask me are questions of faith, things that I, as their science teacher, shouldn't, can't and won't address. So - are we doing enough to put our case in a way that is easy to understand? No - and I think it's true for all the sciences, not just evolution. I think those of you who are out there in the world of universities or research or whatever can and should look for ways to bring your passion about science to secondary school students. My school sponsors at least two science lectures per year - most recently, we brought in a local professor who is studying form and function in bats. The 45 minutes he spent talking about bats and about their myriad adaptations did more to teach my students about evolution than any chapter worksheet (which I don't give, by the way). And the excitement with which he delivered the information provided the emotion that is often lost in the day to day details of high school.

Mike Elzinga · 18 February 2008

Are you aware that most AP Bio curricula require high school students to complete 45 - 50 chapters of material in 8 months? If you work that out, I’m guessing it leaves a week or less for evolution, which generally includes not only natural selection, but speciation AND the history of life on earth. Never mind anything that’s been thought of in the last 25 years. I cannot even imagine how little time there is to devote to evolution in introductory classes, since many teachers are working on NCLB or have end of course tests which stress quantity, not quality of material.
It would not be as difficult if evolution were properly integrated into the biology curriculum throughout. Efforts to do this over the years have been continually thwarted by the politics of textbook adoption procedures in various school districts throughout the country, especially in Texas and other states where statewide textbook adoption procedures are used. Book publishers have carefully avoided “controversy” by publishing bland, “non-offensive” texts that will sell in most districts. Even BSCS generated intense opposition. The religious wrong has had far too much leverage in the teaching of science in this country, and they attempt to hide behind the Constitution in all their political activism. Even in the best programs (which are too few), teachers have to tread in fear of riling up fundamentalists who will complain to an administration that doesn’t want anyone rocking the boat. I suspect a close examination of the issue would show that fundamentalism has been primarily to blame for as long as there have been attempts to update the biology textbooks and curriculum.

David B. Benson · 18 February 2008

Mike Elzinga: I have often thought that fundamentalist churches have long been the refuge of scoundrels and scam artists ...
Amen! Hallelujah! Pass the plate...

teach · 18 February 2008

Mike

I'll grant you part of the textbook problem is based on publishers avoiding controversy, but I will also point out that in 28 years of teaching in the South, I have always had access to textbooks that gave a clear and unapologetic explanation of evolutionary theory (although often the section on human evolution is abridged). So, I'm not willing to accept fundamentalist interference as the only problem, as tempting as it is.

wright · 18 February 2008

Teach, many thanks for your comments. I find the contributions made here by professionals in the teaching field very interesting.

Stacy S. · 18 February 2008

David B. Benson:
Mike Elzinga: I have often thought that fundamentalist churches have long been the refuge of scoundrels and scam artists ...
Amen! Hallelujah! Pass the plate...
Anyone heard of Marjoe? (from Wikipedia - "...Marjoe gave "backstage" interviews to the filmmakers in between sermons and revivals, explaining intimate details of how he and other ministers operated. After sermons, the filmmakers were invited back to Marjoe's hotel room to tape him counting the money he collected during the day..." ) I wish I knew how to do those links that are just words, oh well...If you are interested in seeing a video of a "false prophet" - check it out. http://www.google.com/search?sourceid=navclient&ie=UTF-8&rls=TSHA,TSHA:2005-52,TSHA:en&q=marjoe+video+

Mike Elzinga · 18 February 2008

teach: Mike I'll grant you part of the textbook problem is based on publishers avoiding controversy, but I will also point out that in 28 years of teaching in the South, I have always had access to textbooks that gave a clear and unapologetic explanation of evolutionary theory (although often the section on human evolution is abridged). So, I'm not willing to accept fundamentalist interference as the only problem, as tempting as it is.
It is nice to hear that, teach. The fact that you teach in the South and are finding this to be the case is encouraging. Back in the 1960s through the 1980s it was much worse. I remember the Gablers and their political campaign in Texas. California also had trouble with interference by fundamentalists. Book publishers paid attention. I'm glad things seem to be improving. Are you in a college town by any chance?

JJ · 18 February 2008

Unfortunately in Texas, probably 60 % or more of science teachers won't address evolution because of backlash from the fundies. It is skipped completely or left until the last few days when very little can be covered.

Jon Fleming · 18 February 2008

I wish I knew how to do those links that are just words
<a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6O0p4ZDnDoQ">Marjoe Gortner self proclaimed false, faith healer</a> becomes Marjoe Gortner self proclaimed false, faith healer

Stacy S. · 18 February 2008

cool Thanks Jon :-)

Richard Simons · 18 February 2008

Dolly says
Mike those odds are very different to the odds of a self-forming universe like ours. Non creation/ID scientists have estimated odds of 10 to the minus 100 for that…
Reference please! I have yet to see an estimate for the probability of the universe/life given by a creationist who understood Bayes' Theorem (the tool that they are attempting to apply here).
It is the Darwinian explanation that falls so painfully short of providing satisfying answers. Unfortunately it also provides a bankrupt world-view as well.
I would like to add my name to the chorus of people asking for clarification here. Dolly, in science, unlike religion, when you make wild claims that you hope are true or even believe to be true, you are expected to justify them with evidence. Coming back to the original topic, you consider that 'the' bacterial flagellum looks like a miniature electric motor. Other creationists have compared them to outboard motors or to miniature turbines. Electric motors, outboard motors and turbines are drastically different in design, construction and operation so clearly no more than one of these comparisons could be appropriate. On what basis do you rule out the comparisons with outboard motors and turbines?

Dan Meagher · 18 February 2008

Dolly;

I'm sorry that you think that the world is an awful place without God.
What has that got to do with the price of chickens in Calcutta?
I think that you have been told, over and over again, that life without God of Christ is worthless.
I love my Godless Universe.
When a big wave kills thousands of people, it is just a big wave, not a judgment.
When a boy survives a plane crash where 150 people die, it isn't a miracle, it's an accident with a survivor.
When something good happens, it is a happy circumstance.
When something bad happens, it is not a reflection on you or your worth.
In a Godless Universe there is no judgment, there is no punishment (I know, you want bad people to suffer beyond the grave, too bad for your thirst for vengeance), there is no uncertainty about your fate after you die.
It is my belief that Christianity makes people insane, as they try to rationalize the obviously incoherent belief system, with all of its holes and contradictions.
The believers latch onto things like evolution as a defining battle; one that, if they win, will PROVE to themselves what they can only half-way bring themselves to believe.
My proof?
Doubt.
Doubt is addressed to an astonishing degree by the churches. They construct systems for stymieing doubt, for cutting it off at it's inception, for PREVENTING it altogether.
Doubt is expressed by Christ, by Mother Teresa, by Popes and Bishops.
Doubt is cruel.
Doubt in God must be terrible.
See, I don't get that.
That's what I like about being soulless.

teach · 18 February 2008

Mike

We have a branch of our state university system here, but we're not really a college town per se. And don't get me wrong - the campaigns in many states to intimidate teachers to leave out evolution all together are very real, as are the efforts to water down textbooks. I appreciate every Kitzmiller and Aguillera (sp?) that comes along. But I also believe that there are better ways to teach science than the content heavy/standardized test push that we find ourselves stuck with more and more. It is so hard to spend time on meaningful explanations of, say, speciation events or evo devo when teachers know that the end of course test, upon which their school's funding for the next year may well be based, requires a total memorization of the organelles of a cell and won't have a thing on it about Hox genes. Often times, we have to rely on shortcut definitions and explanations because there's no time for anything else.

Of course, once the great majority of my students leave me, they will never, ever again study evolutionary theory in any depth at all - however, they will be constantly faced, in the movie theater, in some churches and by evangelizing neighbors, with criticism of it. High school is our best chance to grab and excite the greatest number of people about science.

Mike Elzinga · 18 February 2008

But I also believe that there are better ways to teach science than the content heavy/standardized test push that we find ourselves stuck with more and more.
I couldn't agree more. Politicians are not the ones who should be determining the content of science courses. The mile wide and one inch deep approach is one of the worst ways to teach any science. Much better courses can be built on a relatively few important ideas; then, at least, students who never see the subject again will have a few deep insights that they can extrapolate later if they like.

Rolf Aalberg · 19 February 2008

I don't believe arguments have any effect on Dolly. Pantheism is a convenient loophole. But anyway, I read "Understanding the Present" by Brian Appleyard some years ago and found it quite interesting. I suppose googling may provide some clues to what it is about.

As far as I remember, an important point was to show how and why science is not, and should not be used as a provider of solutions to man's' predicament.

Nigel D · 19 February 2008

Teach,

Thanks indeed for your insights from the "front line" as 'twere. It makes me realise how lucky I was to attend a school with teachers who were both enthusiastic and knowledgeable, and to face an examination system that rewarded depth of knowledge instead of only breadth (although some breadth was necessary also).

Since the introduction of the national curriculum to the UK, I fear that science education is heading in the direction of the "one mile wide, one inch deep" situation that appears to prevail in the US. What was once taught as three subjects (biology, chemistry and physics) is now taught as two (a "double science" GCSE).

Frank J · 19 February 2008

So, I’m not willing to accept fundamentalist interference as the only problem, as tempting as it is.

— teach
Thanks. I too often have to remind everyone that fundamentalism is not the only problem. The public’s unhealthy suspicion of science, and uncritical fascination with pseudoscience gives the anti-evolution activists a far bigger market that they would have otherwise.

If you work that out, I’m guessing it leaves a week or less for evolution, which generally includes not only natural selection, but speciation AND the history of life on earth. Never mind anything that’s been thought of in the last 25 years.

— teach
That’s one of those points I don’t see made nearly enough. As a former, and hopefully future (when I retire), chemistry teacher, I’d like your feedback on this, positive or negative: Even ignoring church-state issues, and other philosophical complications (e.g. the need to clear up “Social Darwinism” misconceptions), I still find a tremendous problem with “teach the controversy” as anti-evolution activists would teach it. The analogy I often use is PV=nRT. In a perfect world, which I think we’d be closer to if people valued science as I do, high school students would: 1. Learn that PV=nRT. 2. Then learn that PV does not exactly = nRT. 3. Then learn more accurate equations, and how PV=nRT is nevertheless a very useful approximation. Currently, in most schools, there’s simply not enough class time, and/or the material is too difficult for the grade level, to cover all 3 levels. In that case, stopping at level 1 is better than stopping at level 2, because with level 2 as the “last word,” students would be misled into thinking that PV=nRT is no longer valid, and that “some alternative” explains thermodynamics better. That’s just what “teach the controversy” seeks to do with evolution. Get students to learn an oversimplified caricature of evolution – one that many of them already have in mind – then sow unreasonable doubt by emphasizing sought and fabricated “weaknesses,” exploiting the fact that, very few students will be taught the “level 3” clarification.

Nigel D · 19 February 2008

Frank, you remind me of the structure of benzene.

Level 1 is the Kekulé structure (alternating double and single C-C bonds);

At level 2, we were taught that this is not correct and that the electrons are delocalised;

At level 3, we were taught that the molecular orbitals of benzene are such that the Kekulé structure is a very useful approximation.

I also agree that the public in general seems too ready to accept nonsense and distrusts science, which is simply the process of finding out how the universe works.

Stacy S. · 19 February 2008

@Teach - One of the wonderful things about these new standards is that subjects will be able to be taught in more depth.

Frank J · 19 February 2008

Frank, you remind me of the structure of benzene. Level 1 is the Kekulé structure (alternating double and single C-C bonds); At level 2, we were taught that this is not correct and that the electrons are delocalised; At level 3, we were taught that the molecular orbitals of benzene are such that the Kekulé structure is a very useful approximation.

— Nigel D
Oh, you must be a member of the Benzenist Orthodoxy. ;-) Actually, your example was my preferred analogy 6-7 years ago, but I figured (not sure if correctly) that more people would relate to PV=nRT.

Henry J · 19 February 2008

Nigel D said: What was once taught as three subjects (biology, chemistry and physics) is now taught as two (a “double science” GCSE).

Which two of them got lumped together? Henry

PvM · 19 February 2008

PvM: what a crock Dolly Sheriff: Thanks for your kind words Frank. I certainly am not anti-evolution, but I am anti smug Darwinian dogma, that teaches our children not to question the prevailing scientific world view (Darwinism) on how life came about and discourages them from looking for purpose and meaning in the universe.

PvM, we are all crocks (earthenware vessels) but some of use believe that we have more inside us than meets the eye or can be seen under a microscope) Is that why you resort to misrepresenting "Darwinian dogma"? Shame on you Dolly.

PvM · 19 February 2008

PvM:

PvM: what a crock Dolly Sheriff: Thanks for your kind words Frank. I certainly am not anti-evolution, but I am anti smug Darwinian dogma, that teaches our children not to question the prevailing scientific world view (Darwinism) on how life came about and discourages them from looking for purpose and meaning in the universe.

PvM, we are all crocks (earthenware vessels) but some of use believe that we have more inside us than meets the eye or can be seen under a microscope) Is that why you resort to misrepresenting "Darwinian dogma"? Shame on you Dolly. Romans 1:22 "Professing to be wise, they became fools"

Bill Gascoyne · 19 February 2008

Who are these people who have estimated the probability of the universe existing to be 10^-100? Haven’t they ever looked out the window? Or have you oversimplified what they were calculating?

Isn't this sort of like the "bumblebee can't fly" argument? Our calculations show !A, yet we observe A, and we just know that our calculations must be accurate and pertinent, therefore our observation of A must be an illusion or caused by something else. God forbid we should suspect that our calculations/dogma might be wrong.

Mike Elzinga · 19 February 2008

Since the introduction of the national curriculum to the UK, I fear that science education is heading in the direction of the “one mile wide, one inch deep” situation that appears to prevail in the US. What was once taught as three subjects (biology, chemistry and physics) is now taught as two (a “double science” GCSE).
Nigel, What has been the pressure behind this in the UK? Where do educational science standards get generated and put into policy?

Kevin B · 19 February 2008

Mike Elzinga:
Since the introduction of the national curriculum to the UK, I fear that science education is heading in the direction of the “one mile wide, one inch deep” situation that appears to prevail in the US. What was once taught as three subjects (biology, chemistry and physics) is now taught as two (a “double science” GCSE).
Nigel, What has been the pressure behind this in the UK? Where do educational science standards get generated and put into policy?
The National Curriculum is the responsibility of whatever bit of the UK central government covers schools. (I think it's called the "Department for Education and Skills", but I could be wrong, and it could change the next time that Gordon Brown reshuffles his cabinet.) There is an independent agency ("Ofsted") which inspects schools; adequacy of the coverage of the curriculum is one of the things checked. NB All of this applies mostly to England; devolution in Scotland and Wales complicates matters, and Northern Ireland has always been a law unto itself (quite literally!) The problem with the curriculum is probably not with the science content per se. It is much more to do the Minister for Schools responding to the latest silly fuss in the newspapers by announcing in Parliament that yet something else is going to be added to the National Curriculum. Between the over-crowded curriculum, the cost of teaching science and the fixation of measuring "performance" (both in terms of the frequency that pupils are tested and insistence on "league tables" that purport to compare unalike schools) the science is getting squeezed out.

William Wallace · 20 February 2008

Mike Elzinga wrote and Peter Ridsdale concurred: Your religious handlers have misinformed you about this.
Please disclose your best guess of the identity of my "religious handler". I'd like to call him or her.

Frank J · 20 February 2008

Please disclose your best guess of the identity of my “religious handler”. I’d like to call him or her.

— William Wallace
My best guess is Leo Strauss. Too late to call; he died in 1973. Speaking of "best guess" questions, the lurkers are still waiting...

Nigel D · 20 February 2008

Kevin B, I think your summary of education in the UK pretty much hits the nail on the head (to the best of my understanding). The addition of more and more "vocational" or "socially relevant" topics to the curriculum has made timetabling a complete nightmare. One of the several consequences is that time that was once available for science has been sacrificed.
Henry J:

Nigel D said: What was once taught as three subjects (biology, chemistry and physics) is now taught as two (a “double science” GCSE).

Which two of them got lumped together? Henry
Henry, I think that the double science is supposed to cover all three areas of science, giving about 2/3 the previously-alloted time to each. However, whereas previously one would have had a separate teacher for each of biology, chemistry and physics, now "science" is expected to be taught by any science teacher, so there will obviously be natural biases according to the training of the teacher. Thus, a biology teacher who is now required to teach all science will naturally emphasize biology, and may not give adequate* coverage to chemistry and physics. *NB I use the term "adequate" in the sense of what I would personally consider adequate, not in any objective or measureable sense.

Peter Ridsdale · 20 February 2008

Dear William

Do you attend a church on a regular basis? Do you have some kind of priest / minister / elder / evangelist or druid?

Who told you that the Bible is the word of God?

If you answer these questions we may have some idea who is pulling your strings, otherwise we're kind of left in the dark.

Glad to see that you are back, but disappointed that you STILL haven't answered the questions.

What happened to Dolly? Halo, Dolly...

I would have thought that a housewife would be used to the heat in the kitchen.

Nigel D · 20 February 2008

Bill Gascoyne:

Who are these people who have estimated the probability of the universe existing to be 10^-100? Haven’t they ever looked out the window? Or have you oversimplified what they were calculating?

Isn't this sort of like the "bumblebee can't fly" argument? Our calculations show !A, yet we observe A, and we just know that our calculations must be accurate and pertinent, therefore our observation of A must be an illusion or caused by something else. God forbid we should suspect that our calculations/dogma might be wrong.
Interesting point. I think, however, that it shows more about how something can be taken out of context than it does about the arrogance of engineers. The "bumblebee can't fly" concept arose as a joke among aerodynamics engineers, all of whom were fully aware of how foolish it is to apply equations for fixed-wing aircraft to something that flies by moving its wings. By the same token, we could probably also "prove" that seagulls can't fly. Along similar lines, have you ever seen the "mathematical proof" that 1 = 0? The joke has been taken out of context by people who clearly did not realise that engineers possess a sense of humour. And then the creationists got hold of it, but, because they genuinely do not possess a sense of humour, they have propagated the story as if it proved something about the absurdity of engineers. However, my response to Dolly's quoted figure was intended more to illustrate (1) that the source of the figure was not cited, i.e. it is impossible to follow up independently; (2) that even a cursory consideration of what she had posted would indicate its absurdity; and (3) that it was entirely possible she had misrepresented the calculation and thus rendered it meaningless.

Nigel D · 20 February 2008

Frank J:

Frank, you remind me of the structure of benzene. Level 1 is the Kekulé structure (alternating double and single C-C bonds); At level 2, we were taught that this is not correct and that the electrons are delocalised; At level 3, we were taught that the molecular orbitals of benzene are such that the Kekulé structure is a very useful approximation.

— Nigel D
Oh, you must be a member of the Benzenist Orthodoxy. ;-) Actually, your example was my preferred analogy 6-7 years ago, but I figured (not sure if correctly) that more people would relate to PV=nRT.
I have to confess I had to look it up. I couldn't remember what n and R stood for (that is the Ideal Gas Equation, isn't it?). BTW, I couldn't follow that link from work, so I'll have to do so when I'm next online from home.

Mike Elzinga · 20 February 2008

Nigel and Kevin, Thank you for the summary.

The addition of more and more “vocational” or “socially relevant” topics to the curriculum has made timetabling a complete nightmare. One of the several consequences is that time that was once available for science has been sacrificed.

Depending on the school district in the US, this can also be the case. However, our local school district has a vocational program (“Education for Employment”) that is regional in that it includes several school districts within a regional area (usually a county). This allows more efficient use of facilities, and it concentrates subject matter pertinent to the program within a single facility. The problem of finding good science teachers varies widely throughout the US. Some districts can’t find (attract) good science teachers, therefore science courses are assigned to people who have no qualifications. The school districts in which this happens are usually poor or are dominated by sectarian groups with a political agenda. I have done some educational consulting work with several school districts and I can tell you that the poorer ones are really pathetic. They can't keep qualified teachers, and the ones they do keep are not able to handle even the most rudimentary concepts in the subjects of math and science. They simply assign "workbook" activities and grade from a teachers manual. They cannot answer student questions, and the students no longer ask. Standards vary from state to state and from school district to school district. National and state standards are probably the best approach to getting a more even set of standards, but as you can see from the topics on Panda’s Thumb, state and national boards become the targets of these fundamentalist groups. Textbook publishers pay attention to the influence of these groups. National and state standards don't always address the problems of poorer discticts not being able to find qualified teachers.

Nigel D · 20 February 2008

The problem of finding good science teachers varies widely throughout the US. Some districts can’t find (attract) good science teachers, therefore science courses are assigned to people who have no qualifications. The school districts in which this happens are usually poor or are dominated by sectarian groups with a political agenda. I have done some educational consulting work with several school districts and I can tell you that the poorer ones are really pathetic. They can’t keep qualified teachers, and the ones they do keep are not able to handle even the most rudimentary concepts in the subjects of math and science. They simply assign “workbook” activities and grade from a teachers manual. They cannot answer student questions, and the students no longer ask.

— Mike Elzinga
My word. How utterly disgraceful. At least in the UK (and unless the situation has changed recently or my original understanding was deeply flawed), a person must possess a university degree in a relevant topic to be employed as a teacher at a state-funded school. Perhaps we should not wonder at how ignorant so many citizens of the USA seem to be. OTOH, we can and should abhor their complacency.

Stacy S. · 20 February 2008

Nigel D: Perhaps we should not wonder at how ignorant so many citizens of the USA seem to be. OTOH, we can and should abhor their complacency.
Heeeeyyyyy - I resemble that remark! :-) I think we are just selectively ignorant :-)

Bill Gascoyne · 20 February 2008

I think, however, that [the use of probability and bumblebee calculations] shows more about how something can be taken out of context than it does about the arrogance of engineers.

— Nigel D
I wasn't aware of the humorous origins of the bumblebee calculation; thanks! I've always enjoyed turning that one around on those who cite it by pointing out that the engineering response to the bumblebee actually flying is to revise the calculations (which were actually solved a few years ago) while the creationist response to evidence that contradicts their "calculations" is to deny the evidence rather than admit that the Earth dates to well before 4004BC. It strikes me that the "probability of the universe" calculation is much the same: defend the calculation and (more importantly) the "God exists" conclusion drawn from it, evidence be damned.

Henry J · 20 February 2008

I wasn't sure if the bumblebees-can't-fly claim had ever been made seriously by a competent person or not. It didn't seem likely that somebody willing to think would miss that it's the fixed-wing assumption that causes that conclusion, but one never really knows what somebody might overlook.

Henry

Bill Gascoyne · 20 February 2008

IIRC, the calculations showed that the bumblebee would be dynamically unstable, not that it couldn't get off the ground or anything like that. I had not been aware that the equations were known to be for fixed wing aircraft. I presume the point of doing the calculation at all would be to test the equations (not the bumblebee) to show how rudimentary our understanding of aerodynamics was at the time. Somebody obviously got wind of it and used it to support other conclusions. Can you say, "social Darwinism"?

Peter Ridsdale · 20 February 2008

With regards to the abiogenesis question that William Wallace wouldn't answer way back when in this very long thread - I just came across this interesting snippet from the Rig Veda (x. 129)

"Who knows the truth? Who can tell whence and how arose this universe? The gods are later than its beginning: who knows therefore whence came this creation? Only that god who sees in highest heaven: he only knows whence came this universe, and whether it was made or uncreated. (sic) He only knows, or perhaps he knows not."

It's a bit more sophisticated than the Christian version, isn't it?

Mike Elzinga · 20 February 2008

At least in the UK (and unless the situation has changed recently or my original understanding was deeply flawed), a person must possess a university degree in a relevant topic to be employed as a teacher at a state-funded school.
Indeed, this is supposed to be the case in many school districts here in the US. However, harsh political and economic reality in many districts trumps any state or federally mandated rules and teachers are assigned wherever the administration deems necessary. In some places where fundamentalist groups have a strangle hold on the schools, even qualified teachers are not allowed to teach evolution despite state mandated standards which require it. So the laws and rules are not always followed. In effect, an unofficial local theocracy exists in these communities. In districts where there is a lot of violence in the schools, the teachers consider themselves lucky to get through the day alive or without serious injury. Even security guards are intimidated. Not much time is spent on subject matter in any class. I've seen some of this first hand in a local program. It's scary.

Frank J · 21 February 2008

Nigel,

Have you been able to reach the “Benzenist Orthodoxy” link in Comment 143,439?

Anyone else have trouble with it? The links work for me, but not being a computer person I’m not sure if they work anywhere else.

Anyway, here are related articles for all to enjoy. When I wrote about “benzenism” I was unaware of ”Intelligent Grappling.” My idea was inspired by ”Godless Linguistics.”

Nigel D · 21 February 2008

Frank, I can't access it from work not due to some technical incompatability, but due to a very stringent firewall that includes nanny software to prevent accessing sites that are NSFW. I could request access to the site hosting that page, but I would need to state a work-related reason.

Nigel D · 21 February 2008

Stacy S.:
Nigel D: Perhaps we should not wonder at how ignorant so many citizens of the USA seem to be. OTOH, we can and should abhor their complacency.
Heeeeyyyyy - I resemble that remark! :-) I think we are just selectively ignorant :-)
Stacy, you are probably correct. I daresay that the typical US citizen knows 10 times as much as I do about the doings of various Hollywood celebs!

Frank J · 21 February 2008

Nigel (and others),

Hope you can access them at home. I just want to clear up the "propaganda" that ID has not inspired any "research." ;-)

Nigel D · 22 February 2008

Frank J:

Frank, you remind me of the structure of benzene. Level 1 is the Kekulé structure (alternating double and single C-C bonds); At level 2, we were taught that this is not correct and that the electrons are delocalised; At level 3, we were taught that the molecular orbitals of benzene are such that the Kekulé structure is a very useful approximation.

— Nigel D
Oh, you must be a member of the Benzenist Orthodoxy. ;-) Actually, your example was my preferred analogy 6-7 years ago, but I figured (not sure if correctly) that more people would relate to PV=nRT.
Finally, I followed your link... LOL! Yes, I'm sure you could say I am a part of the Benzenist orthodoxy.

Henry J · 25 February 2008

Wouldn't benzenism be a circular argument? ;) :p

Nigel D · 27 February 2008

Henry J: Wouldn't benzenism be a circular argument? ;) :p
Ooooh, that's bad.

Henry J · 4 March 2008

Thanks! :)

Jim · 6 March 2008

The author of the New Scientist essay on the evolution of the flagellum states: "The evolutionary events linking flagella and T3SSs are not clear, but the homology between them is a devastating blow to the claim of irreducible complexity. This requires that a partial flagellum should be of no use whatsoever - but clearly it is."

What is clear here is that the author does not understand the concept of irreducible complexity. Irreducible complexity does not entail that a component of an irreducibly complex system has "no use whatsoever"; it instead entails that the function of the system is lost whenever one component of the system's irreducible core is removed. It should be obvious that irreducible complexity as it is defined by Behe is not refuted by defining it in another way.

Henry J · 6 March 2008

By Behe's first definition of "irreducible complexity", it has absolutely nothing to do with whether or not the feature could have evolved.

By his second definition, he defines "irreducible complexity" to mean "it couldn't have evolved", but gives no demonstration that anything fits that definition.

Uh - which definition are we supposed to use? ;)

Henry

Jim · 6 March 2008

Henry: "By (Behe's) second definition, he defines 'irreducible complexity' to mean 'it couldn’t have evolved', but gives no demonstration that anything fits that definition."

Actually, Henry, Behe never defines irreducible complexity to mean "it couldn't have evolved." Use the definition of irreducible complexity that Behe gives, not definitions that are falsely attributed to him by critics who miss the point.

Henry J · 6 March 2008

Jim,
Behe's initial definition of IC was removing a part from the system breaks the function. This situation is expected for evolved systems. Ergo the concept of IC (using that definition) has nothing to do with whether or not something could have evolved.

If he gave a later definition that actually addresses an actual issue, what is that definition and what issue does it address? Or are you sticking with the original definition, the one that was already shown to be irrelevant to evolution theory?

Henry

Nick (Matzke) · 6 March 2008

Both Behe and his allies have used several different definitions of "IC" over the years.

The initial one was that "any system lacking a part is by definition nonfunctional." The nonfunctionality was then the reason that the system couldn't evolve gradually, instead it had to come together all at once.

When counterexamples are shown, e.g. a subset of flagellar parts that is not nonfunctional (the nonflagellar T3SS), THEN they switch to the sneaky definition of IC which always boils down to "unevolvable" or "evolution not reconstructed in infinite detail", and then assert that they haven't been refuted by the example, because whatever example is under discussion either (a) evolved and therefore clearly wasn't IC in the first place so it's not a counterexample or (b) didn't evolve because not every point mutation over billions of years has been given, never minded about dozens of peer-reviewed papers testing & confirming the evolutionary hypothesis, as we have with the immune system.

All this switcheroo shows is that a circular argument is irreducibly complex.

Jim · 6 March 2008

Henry: "Behe’s initial definition of IC was removing a part from the system breaks the function. This situation is expected for evolved systems."

Behe's point is precisely the opposite: that we don't expect an evolved system to develop irreducible complexity as it evolves.

Nick: "The initial (definition of irreducible complexity) was that 'any system lacking a part is by definition nonfunctional.'"

That's close, but not quite accurate. The original definition was this: An irreducibly complex system is "a single system which is composed of several interacting parts that contribute to the basic function, and where the removal of any one of the parts causes the system to effectively cease functioning". You should have written: "Any system that loses its function when any one part is removed is by definition irreducibly complex." If you don't think the definition applies to any biological systems, then I have a proposition to make to you: Have the optical nerve removed from your right eye (I'll cover the cost). If you report back to us that you can still see out of the eye, then I'll concede that the concept of irreducible complexity is without merit.

Nick: "When counterexamples are shown, e.g. a subset of flagellar parts that is not nonfunctional (the nonflagellar T3SS), THEN they switch to the sneaky definition of IC which always boils down to 'unevolvable' or 'evolution not reconstructed in infinite detail', and then assert that they haven’t been refuted by the example, because whatever example is under discussion either (a) evolved and therefore clearly wasn’t IC in the first place so it’s not a counterexample or (b) didn’t evolve because not every point mutation over billions of years has been given, never minded about dozens of peer-reviewed papers testing & confirming the evolutionary hypothesis, as we have with the immune system."

Whether or not a component of an irreducibly complex system has a separate (and different) function of its own is irrelevant to the irreducible complexity of the system as a whole. Your argument here is a distortion of the argument from irreducible complexity. One of the best explanations of that argument that I've seen was given by Dembski and Wells in their recently published "The Design of Life." If you don't have the book, you can find their explanation at:

http://groups.yahoo.com/group/OriginsTalk/message/15513

Nick (Matzke) · 6 March 2008

Heh, you just admitted my point. There was nothing in Behe's original definition about a subset of parts being able to retain some other function.

And, as far as I'm concerned, on Behe's original definition, I am happy to agree that such systems -- breakable systems -- exist. It's just that I know how evolution can produce such systems -- primarily cooption of multipart subsystems with different original functions.

"The Design of Life", which I have read, is not where to find the original definitions, that book was published this year and consists of an extended series of obfuscations and redefinitions to hide the fact that Behe lost his original argument.

Pete Dunkelberg · 6 March 2008

Behe’s point is precisely the opposite: that we don’t expect an evolved system to develop irreducible complexity as it evolves.

Which is silly. Evolution can't help leading to co-adapted parts. Did you ever wonder why Behe's book was based on no research, just rhetorical arguments?

Jim · 6 March 2008

Nick: "Heh, you just admitted my point. There was nothing in Behe’s original definition about a subset of parts being able to retain some other function."

Of course I admitted your point: the point is irrelevant to the argument from irreducible complexity (this is something you should know if you read "The Design of Life," as you claimed). If the parts of an irreducibly complex biological system can perform different functions of their own, that fact has no bearing on the irreducibility of the system as a whole. Let's hear from Behe on this point:

http://www.discovery.org/a/1831

In a recent column in the Wall Street Journal (February 13, 2004, Science Journal, page B1, “Evolution Critics Come Under Fire for Flaws In 'Intelligent Design'”) science writer Sharon Begley repeated some false claims about the concept of irreducible complexity (IC) that have been made by Darwinists, in particular by Kenneth Miller, a professor of biology at Brown University. After giving a serviceable description in her column of why I argue that a mousetrap is IC, Begley added the Darwinist poison pill to the concept. The key misleading assertion in the article is the following: “Moreover, the individual parts of complex structures supposedly serve no function.” In other words, opponents of design want to assert that if the individual parts of a putatively IC structure can be used for anything at all other than their role in the system under consideration, then the system itself is not IC. So, for example, Kenneth Miller has seriously argued that a part of a mousetrap could be used as a paperweight, so not even a mousetrap is IC. Now, anything that has mass could be used as a paperweight. Thus by Miller’s tendentious reasoning any part of any system at all has a separate “function”. Presto! There is no such thing as irreducible complexity.

That’s what often happens when people who are adamantly opposed to an idea publicize their own definitions of its key terms--the terms are manipulated to wage a PR battle. The evident purpose of Miller and others is to make the concept of IC so brittle that it easily crumbles. However, they are building a straw man. I never wrote that individual parts of an IC system couldn’t be used for any other purpose. (That would be silly--who would ever claim that a part of a mousetrap couldn’t be used as a paperweight, or a decoration, or a blunt weapon?) Quite the opposite, I clearly wrote in Darwin’s Black Box that even if the individual parts had their own functions, that still does not account for the irreducible complexity of the system. In fact, it would most likely exacerbate the problem, as I stated when considering whether parts lying around a garage could be used to make a mousetrap without intelligent intervention. (end quote)

Nick: "... I know how evolution can produce (irreducibly complex) systems – primarily cooption of multipart subsystems with different original functions."

I take it you're not a scientist, Nick (neither am I). No scientist would say that he *knows* how an unobserved biological event (such as the origination of an irreducibly complex biological system) occurred. The scientific method is too heavily reliant on inductive reasoning to deliver certainty. But if you think that co-option is the answer, then let's see your explanation of co-option producing an irreducibly complex biological system. Keep in mind that your explanation must show, with sufficient detail to be testable, that:

(1) the parts were available for co-option;
(2) the availability of the parts was synchronized in both time and space;
(3) the availability of the parts was coordinated so that they assembled properly;
(4) the parts had interface-compatibility so they could work together.

Pete Dunkelberg · 6 March 2008

Jim, Nick didn't say he knew the exact details of how something happened. He said he knows, as scientists do, how it can happen. However it is possible to make a plausible inference of how did happen sometimes.

Meanwhile, the burden of proof is on you to show that IC can't evolve. Why can't it? C'mon Jim, why?

By the way, degradation of Pentachlorophenol (PCP) evolved easily.

RBH · 6 March 2008

Popcorn time. :)

Jim, I routinely use evolutionary mechanisms (random mutations, recombination, and differential reproduction as a function of fitness) to evolve irreducibly complex artificial agents on my desktop. I know that evolutionary processes can produce irreducibly complex structures, in both of Behe's senses of the phrase. (For the several senses of "irreducible complexity" used by IDists see the ID Encyclopedia.)

Pete Dunkelberg · 6 March 2008

Jim, the IC business is just a bad rhetorical argument. It might help to review the classic version right from the book.
"By irreducibly complex I mean a single system composed of several well-matched, interacting parts that contribute to the basic function, wherein the removal of any one of the parts causes the system to effectively cease functioning." [emphasis in original][page 39]
The Argument That Irreducible Complexity Cannot Evolve Behe finds that "direct" evolution of IC is logically impossible, (but it isn't really) and indirect evolution of IC is too improbable. The argument against 'direct' evolution of IC is contained in this long sentence right after the definition:
"An irreducibly complex system cannot be produced directly (that is, by continuously improving the initial function, which continues to work by the same mechanism) by slight, successive modifications of a precursor system because any precursor to an irreducibly complex system that is missing a part is by definition nonfunctional."
The last part of the sentence, "...because any precursor to an irreducibly complex system that is missing a part is by definition nonfunctional." is why we should agree to the rest of the sentence. There are some problems. One is 1. The first part of the sentence refers to slight changes. Removing a whole part is a major change; this is a major 'disconnect' between the parts of Behe's argument. ... A precursor to IC lacking a part can, in fact, have any functions except the specified one, [ a precursor can in biological reality have Behe's specified function but that would match his dfn] which brings us to 'indirect' evolution. Consider a cow's tail. So far as I know, the main thing a cow uses its tail for is to swat flies. Did tails originally evolve for this function? Hardly. There were tails before there were flies. Long ago, tails helped early chordates to swim. Going back still farther, some very early animals started to have two distinct ends; one end for food intake (with sense organs for locating food) and the other end for excretions. As a consequence, this back end, and muscular extensions of it, could also be used to help the animal move. This illustrates yet another important facet of evolution: not only single mutations, but even large organs may begin more or less accidentally. It also illustrates that biological functions evolve. Indeed organisms and ecosystems evolve. It may not even make sense to expect a precursor to have had the same function. The long term evolution of most features of life has not been what Behe, or indeed most people, would call direct. And even short term evolution can be indirect in Behe's terms. So it is surprising to read, on page 40, Behe's argument against indirect evolution of IC systems. Here is the crux of it:
"Even if a system is irreducibly complex (and thus cannot have been produced directly), however, one can not definitely rule out the possibility of an indirect, circuitous route. As the complexity of an interacting system increases, though, the likelihood of such an indirect route drops precipitously." (page 40)
He simply asserts that evolution of irreducible complexity by an indirect route is so improbable as to be virtually out of the question, except in simple cases. He makes no special connection between indirect evolution and IC. He offers no evidence. He just asserts that it is too improbable. Actually, a more complex system probably has a long evolutionary history. Since evolution does not aim at anything in advance, the longer the history, the more circuitous it may be. And his very limited meaning of 'direct' renders much indirect that is not circuitous at all. Yet he insists:
"An irreducibly complex biological system, if there is such a thing, would be a powerful challenge to Darwinian evolution." (page 39)
By now I think you can see that this is hardly the case.

Pete Dunkelberg · 6 March 2008

Jim, you have referred to Behe and associates arguing words, claiming for instance that Miller did use their definition exactly right. He probably did use it right, or as right as a shifty thing like a creationist definition can be used, but that's not the point. Miller is showing how the sorts of end points Behe talks about can be reached. He is talking biology and Behe just plays with words.

Rather than the things you refered to, think of Behe at the Dover trial. When word games would not suffice and he had to provide real biology, he hadn't any to offer. What does that tell you?

Nick (Matzke) · 6 March 2008

Jim said: Nick: "Heh, you just admitted my point. There was nothing in Behe's original definition about a subset of parts being able to retain some other function." Of course I admitted your point
OK great.
the point is irrelevant to the argument from irreducible complexity (this is something you should know if you read "The Design of Life," as you claimed).
Um, you are again moving the goalposts. The whole friggin' point of Behe's original argument was irreducibility, remember? As in "irreducible complexity." The system was irreducible, i.e. it didn't function with missing parts, therefore selection couldn't preserve the structure. You've admitted all this. But if you admit all this, and then admit that functional subsystems exist, then you have to concede that Behe's original argument didn't work. It's fine to then raise a different argument (as they do in "The Design of Life", again without admitting that Behe's original argument was sunk), but don't pretend it's the same argument. As for the newer argument, like I said before, it boils down to "not enough details, nyah nyah nyah". For example:
The argument from irreducible complexity, in making the logical point that irreducible complexity rules out direct Darwinian pathways, therefore rules out the form of evolution that is best confirmed. Indirect Darwinian pathways, by contrast, are so open-ended that there is no way to test them scientifically unless they are carefully specified - and invariably, when it comes to irreducibly complex systems, they are left unspecified, thus rendering them neither falsifiable nor verifiable. In making its logical point, the argument from irreducible complexity therefore takes logic as far as it can go in limiting the Darwinian mechanism and leaves empirical considerations to close off any remaining loopholes. And since logical inferences are inherently stronger than empirical inferences, the argument from irreducible compexity's refutation of the Darwinian mechanism is as strong and tight as possible. It's not just that certain biological systems are so complex that we can't imagine how they evolved by Darwinian pathways. Rather, we can show conclusively that direct Darwinian pathways are causally inadequate to bring them about and that indirect Darwinian pathways, which have always been more difficult to substantiate, are utterly without empirical support.
But this lack of detail/testing excuse is 100% crap. For examine, the adaptive immune system was one of Behe's irreducibly complex systems which he said couldn't evolve in a chapter of his 1996 book Darwin's Black Box. The evolutionary explanation for its origin, the transposon hypothesis, was proposed decades ago and Behe summarily dismissed it in 1996. But in the last 10 years, experiment after experiment has tested and confirmed the transposon model. This is all summarized in this Nature Immunology article. There is literally a mound of scientific literature supporting the transposon hypothesis for the origin of the adaptive immune system. During the Kitzmiller v. Dover case, Behe was on the witness stand and made exactly the kinds of goalpost-moving claims you are making here. His last stand was to appeal to lack of detail & rigor in the evolutionary cooption explanations. So we presented him with a bunch of the recent peer-reviewed scientific literature on the origin of the adaptive immune system. He'd never read most of it, and he still asserted that it wasn't enough detail for him. And this is where it became clear that Behe doesn't really care about actually dealing with real science, instead he is just making up excuses to avoid admitting he's wrong. So: either deal with the immune system literature or admit that your/Behe's/TDOL's "lack of detail and lack of testability" claim about the evolutionary cooption model is bogus. And therefore cooption does work. And therefore IC can evolve. And therefore Behe's IC argument, either the original or the highly modified backup-backup version, doesn't work. Comprehensive immune system evolution/Kitzmiller links. Oh, and make sure to watch the PBS Nova reenactment of Behe's performance in the Kitzmiller case. Cheers, Nick PS: Please give us your detailed, testable ID explanation for the origin of the adaptive immune system.

Pete Dunkelberg · 6 March 2008

The long quote Nick gave from DoL is bunk. Behe didn't really prove that IC can't evolve directly, and indirect (by Behe's terms) evolution is routine and not some mysterious unverifiable thing.

Co-adapted parts are a normal outcome of evolution. How could you stop evolution from producing them? Behe invented the direct/indirect terms, but in real biology they have no use. It is just a quibble to impress the gullible.

If anyone thinks there is a proof that IC can't evolve directly, present it. It will turn out to be quibbling at best.

Nick (Matzke) · 6 March 2008

Pete wrote,
The long term evolution of most features of life has not been what Behe, or indeed most people, would call direct. And even short term evolution can be indirect in Behe's terms. So it is surprising to read, on page 40, Behe's argument against indirect evolution of IC systems. Here is the crux of it: "Even if a system is irreducibly complex (and thus cannot have been produced directly), however, one can not definitely rule out the possibility of an indirect, circuitous route. As the complexity of an interacting system increases, though, the likelihood of such an indirect route drops precipitously." (page 40) He simply asserts that evolution of irreducible complexity by an indirect route is so improbable as to be virtually out of the question, except in simple cases. He makes no special connection between indirect evolution and IC. He offers no evidence. He just asserts that it is too improbable.
This is a key point. It is so obvious it is tiresome to point it out (I'm glad Pete did), and I think because we don't point out the ludicrous nature of this non-argument enough, the ID people have latched onto this passage to defend Behe from the cooption model and the evidence (which includes functional subsystems). A more subtle point is that Behe clearly thought of cooption in 1996 (and to some extent he still does this) as being: a bunch of individual proteins with individual functions as single proteins --> a unified system with all the proteins interacting together at once Only on this pseudo-model of random-assembly-from-individual proteins can Behe say the silliness he does on p. 40 about improbability increasing wildly with increasing complexity. But of course, if Behe had ever seriously read the literature on change-of-function, going back to Darwin, he would have learned that cooption is never all-at-once random assembly, instead it is always a gradual process with continuous function of subsystems, often with multiple overlapping functions at once. This has been explained umpteen times, e.g. in this PNAS article and the cited references:
The design inference and irreducible complexity consist of two components: an extensive negative argument against the plausibility of evolutionary explanations, and then a brief attempt at a positive argument relying on an analogy between biological adaptations and human artifacts. Behe's negative argument against stepwise assembly of "irreducible" systems fails because it mistakenly assumes that evolution proceeds only by improvement of an extant function, whereas evolutionary theory extending back to Darwin has always emphasized the importance of changes of function in the origin of complex adaptations (17–22). [...] 17. Darwin, C. (1859) [On the Origin of Species by Means of Natural Selection (Murray, London,). [particularly this part around p. 147] 18. Darwin, C. (1862) On the Various Contrivances by Which British and Foreign Orchids Are Fertilised by Insects, and on the Good Effects of Intercrossing (Murray, London,). (online here, particularly this) 19. Mayr, E. (1960) "The Emergence of Evolutionary Novelties." The Evolution of Life: Its Origin, History and Future ed. Tax, S. (Univ of Chicago Press, Chicago,) Vol 1, pp. 349–380. [Google Scholar] 20. Jacob, F. (1977) Science 196, 1161–1166. [Google Scholar] 21. Ganfornina, MD & Sanchez, D. (1999) "Generation of evolutionary novelty by functional shift." BioEssays 21, 432–439. [Google Scholar] 22. True, JR & Carroll, SB. (2002) "Gene co-option in physiological and morphological evolution." Annu Rev Cell Dev Biol 18, 53–80. [Google Scholar]
Hmm, I seem to be feeling deja vu...

Nick (Matzke) · 6 March 2008

Yeah, it's also true that IC does not even block direct evolutionary pathways, for example because of scaffolding, an example of which is the origin of the venus flytrap as described in Pete's IC Demystified.

(still though, cooption is the main explanation for most major functional novelties)

Cripes we should write a post-Kitzmiller IC argument FAQ, this is about the tenth time we've gotten this new revised-revised version of the IC argument.

Jim · 6 March 2008

I'll bid you adios. I'm leaving town in the morning, so I don't have time to continue the thread. I may or may not pick it back up when I return.

Nick (Matzke) · 6 March 2008

I take it you're not a scientist, Nick (neither am I).
Actually I'm a graduate student in evolutionary biology at UC Berkeley, since you asked...
No scientist would say that he *knows* how an unobserved biological event (such as the origination of an irreducibly complex biological system) occurred. The scientific method is too heavily reliant on inductive reasoning to deliver certainty.
If science isn't knowledge then what is? Many things in science (like evolution) are far more strongly established than many things that people call knowledge in everyday life. The cooption model has massive amounts of evidence & testing behind it. Look at your hand, dude, and think about where it came from and what its function was in your ancestors.
But if you think that co-option is the answer, then let's see your explanation of co-option producing an irreducibly complex biological system.
Did that. See the immune system example above, which even meets all of your extra-special criteria which go far beyond what is necessary to have a testable hypothesis. For more fun, see The Big Flagellum Essay. Which even made some successful predictions.

Nick (Matzke) · 6 March 2008

Jim said: I'll bid you adios. I'm leaving town in the morning, so I don't have time to continue the thread. I may or may not pick it back up when I return.
Whoops, I guess maybe the shinning new ID book wasn't quite as comprehensive as you thought, eh? Nothing about the immune system in there, is there? Strange that they left that out... Just remember this, Jim, until our arguments are addressed, the IC argument stands refuted.

Jim · 7 March 2008

Got some time on my hands after all, so...

RBH said: "Jim, I routinely use evolutionary mechanisms (random mutations, recombination, and differential reproduction as a function of fitness) to evolve irreducibly complex artificial agents on my desktop. I know that evolutionary processes can produce irreducibly complex structures, in both of Behe’s senses of the phrase."

Unless you offer some details, RBH, this is unenlightening. What, exactly, are those "complex artificial agents"? If they are artificial rather than living, what relevance do they have to Darwinian evolution? What function(s) do they perform? Do they lose function when any one component is removed? Are they living? What were the precursor "agents"? What were the functions of the systems as they evolved from precursors to final products? What was the selection function: natural selection, or you?

I think you're bluffing.

Jim · 7 March 2008

Pete: "...the burden of proof is on you to show that IC can’t evolve."

That's what the argument from irreducible complexity purports to do (at least, it purports to show that unintelligent material causes can't cause the evolution of IC systems; it takes no issue with the notion that an intelligent cause, or causes, could cause the evolution of IC systems). Personally, I find the argument from irreducible complexity much more persuasive than the largely evidence-free just-so stories told by Darwinists. But even if the argument is wrong, why are Darwinists relieved of the obligation to show that Darwinian mechanisms are capable of generating irreducibly complex biological systems? Can their theory be validated by wishful speculations alone?

Jim · 8 March 2008

Pete: "Behe finds that 'direct' evolution of IC is logically impossible, (but it isn’t really)..."

Actually, Pete, it is a logical impossibility. For the evolution of an IC biological system to be achieved via a direct Darwinian pathway, the function of the system must be maintained throughout its evolution. But since an IC system loses its function whenever any one component is removed, then all possible precursors to the system (in a direct Darwinian pathway) would not have performed that function. If those precursors performed other functions, then the evolution of the IC system must be by an indirect Darwinian pathway (one in which both function and structure evolve).

Pete: "The long term evolution of most features of life has not been what Behe, or indeed most people, would call direct."

You're bluffing: no one actually knows how "most features of life" evolved.

Pete: "(Behe) simply asserts that evolution of irreducible complexity by an indirect route is so improbable as to be virtually out of the question, except in simple cases."

More than that, Behe calls attention to the complete absence of any detailed and testable indirect Darwinian pathways to an irreducibly complex biological system.

Behe: "An irreducibly complex biological system, if there is such a thing, would be a powerful challenge to Darwinian evolution."

Pete: "By now I think you can see that this is hardly the case."

Actually, Pete, I've seen no arguments here that inflict the slightest damage to Behe's argument.

Ravilyn Sanders · 8 March 2008

Jim,

Behe accepts that the earth is billions of years old and we humans and the chimpanzees share a common ancestor. Do you
agree with him, since you defend him so vociferously?

Jim · 9 March 2008

Pete: "Jim, you have referred to Behe and associates arguing words, claiming for instance that Miller did use their definition exactly right. He probably did use it right, or as right as a shifty thing like a creationist definition can be used, but that’s not the point. Miller is showing how the sorts of end points Behe talks about can be reached."

Miller redefined IC to mean that a biological system is not irreducibly complex if any of its components perform a function other than the function performed by the system. Thus, Behe's 5-piece mousetrap is not IC because the wooden platform can be used as a paperweight, or the spring can be used as a tie clip (and so on). By redefining IC in that way, Miller constructed a straw man that he could easily tear down. It ought to be obvious that Behe's argument from irreducible complexity is not refuted by arguing against straw men made of it. (By the way, Behe's 5-piece mousetrap was meant solely to illustrate the concept of irreducible complexity; he was not trying to "prove" his argument by way of analogy, something that can't be done.)

Pete: "Rather than the things you refered to, think of Behe at the Dover trial. When word games would not suffice and he had to provide real biology, he hadn’t any to offer. What does that tell you?"

It tells me that you're not accurately representing Behe's testimony, in which he had a great deal to say about "real biology." If you're annoyed by "word games," you should be irked by the word games used by Miller (and by most of Behe's critics here) to "refute" his argument from irreducible complexity.

Jim · 9 March 2008

Nick: "But if you admit all this, and then admit that functional subsystems exist, then you have to concede that Behe’s original argument didn’t work."

No, I don't. If "functional subsystems exist," it does not logically follow that Darwinian mechanisms produced the IC system in question by bringing those functional subsystems together to form an IC system with an entirely different function. All you're saying is that an IC system might evolve by an indirect Darwinian pathway, a point that Behe concedes. But he finds the point entirely unpersuasive (so do I) because there is a complete absence in the biological literature of any detailed, testable indirect Darwinian pathways to IC biological systems. His argument is not refuted by wishful speculations, such as the claim that the bacterial flagellum was produced by co-opting the type III secretory system and other essential proteins. This particular "refutation" of Behe is especially unpersuasive because the best evidence suggests that if anything, the type III secretory system evolved from the flagellum, not the other way around.

Nick: "But this lack of detail/testing excuse is 100% crap. For examine, the adaptive immune system was one of Behe’s irreducibly complex systems which he said couldn’t evolve in a chapter of his 1996 book Darwin’s Black Box. The evolutionary explanation for its origin, the transposon hypothesis, was proposed decades ago and Behe summarily dismissed it in 1996. But in the last 10 years, experiment after experiment has tested and confirmed the transposon model. This is all summarized in this Nature Immunology article."

I read the article, which confirmed Behe's point that Darwinists fail to provide any detailed, testable Darwinian pathways leading to an irreducibly complex biological system. It's no wonder that Darwinists are convinced that their theory has all the answers to the mystery of life's evolution: they set their standard of "proof" so low that the theory will be "confirmed" by virtually any "model".

Nick: "During the Kitzmiller v. Dover case, Behe was on the witness stand and made exactly the kinds of goalpost-moving claims you are making here. His last stand was to appeal to lack of detail & rigor in the evolutionary cooption explanations. So we presented him with a bunch of the recent peer-reviewed scientific literature on the origin of the adaptive immune system. He’d never read most of it, and he still asserted that it wasn’t enough detail for him. And this is where it became clear that Behe doesn’t really care about actually dealing with real science, instead he is just making up excuses to avoid admitting he’s wrong."

I'll let Behe respond to what you've said here. What follows is a portion of his rebuttal to Judge Jones's willfully obtuse decision that ID theory is religion, not science.

http://www.discovery.org/scripts/viewDB/filesDB-download.php?command=download&id=697

From Judge Jones's decision:

"In fact, on cross-examination, Professor Behe was questioned concerning his 1996 claim that science would never find an evolutionary explanation for the immune system. He was presented with fifty eight peer-reviewed publications, nine books, and several immunology textbook chapters about the evolution of the immune system; however, he simply insisted that this was still not sufficient evidence of evolution, and that it was not 'good enough.'"

Behe replies:

1) Although the opinion’s phrasing makes it seem to come from my mouth, the remark about the studies being “not good enough” was the cross-examining attorney’s, not mine.

2) I was given no chance to read them, and at the time considered the dumping of a stack of papers and books on the witness stand to be just a stunt, simply bad courtroom theater. Yet the Court treats it seriously.

3) The Court here speaks of “evidence for evolution”. Throughout the trial I carefully distinguished between the various meanings of the word “evolution”, and I made it abundantly clear that I was challenging Darwin’s proposed mechanism of random mutation coupled to natural selection. Unfortunately, the Court here, as in many other places in its opinion, ignores the distinction between evolution and Darwinism. I said in my testimony that the studies may have been fine as far as they went, but that they certainly did not present detailed, rigorous explanations for the evolution of the immune system by random mutation and natural selection — if they had, that knowledge would be reflected in more recent studies that I had had a chance to read.

4) This is the most blatant example of the Court’s simply accepting the Plaintiffs’ say-so on the state of the science and disregarding the opinions of the defendants’ experts. I strongly suspect the Court did not itself read the “fifty eight peer-reviewed publications, nine books, and several immunology textbook chapters about the evolution of the immune system” and determine from its own expertise that they demonstrated Darwinian claims. How can the Court declare that a stack of publications shows anything at all if the defense expert disputes it and the Court has not itself read and understood them? In my own direct testimony I went through the papers referenced by Professor Miller in his testimony and showed they didn’t even contain the phrase “random mutation”; that is, they assumed Darwinian evolution by random mutation and natural selection was true —they did not even try to demonstrate it. I further showed in particular that several very recent immunology papers cited by Miller were highly speculative, in other words, that there is no current rigorous Darwinian explanation for the immune system. The Court does not mention this testimony. (end quote)

Nick: "Please give us your detailed, testable ID explanation for the origin of the adaptive immune system."

I don't have one. The science of intelligent design is in the business of developing the evidentiary, logical, and mathematical tools needed to make rigorous design inferences in the biosphere. How design might have been actualized is beyond the scope of ID as it is currently construed, although that's certainly a line of research that scientists ought to follow once the case for design musters the financial and institutional support that any scientific research needs. There is a problem inherent in such research, however. That problem is this: the technology of life is so much more sophisticated than human technology that we are ill-equipped to try to explain how the designs that are so evident in life's technological systems were actualized. Perhaps our own technology will someday be sufficiently advanced that we can try, for example, to do reverse engineering on the technological marvels in living organisms. Research of that kind will, of course, never be attempted if biologists remain stuck in the rut of Darwinism.

Richard Simons · 9 March 2008

Jim,

Could you explain to me the difference between Muller's 'Interlocking complexity', which in 1918 he predicted to be a result of evolution, and Behe's 'irreducible complexity' which he claims is an impossible result of evolution? As far as I can make out, Muller's and Behe's first definition are the same.

Presumably you think Muller was mistaken. Please identify where he was in error.

Jim · 9 March 2008

Nick: "If science isn’t knowledge then what is?"

Science is in the business of providing explanations for natural phenomena. If knowledge is understood as the collection of thoughts in our minds that correspond exactly to reality, then the explanations provided by science can never amount to knowledge. Science is too heavily reliant on inductive reasoning to ever claim that its theories have an exact correspondence to reality (surely, as a scientist-in-training, you're familiar with the problem of induction). When you say that you *know* how an IC biological system evolved, all you're really saying is that a Darwinian explanation for the evolution of that system has taken up residence in your mind and that you find the explanation persuasive. The scientific method doesn't empower you to say that you know the explanation to be true. With regard to explaining natural phenomena, science delivers theories. We can store those theories in our minds, making them a kind of knowledge (knowledge that is often useful). But whether those theories provide the kind of knowledge that amounts to an exact correspondence between our thoughts and reality is always an open question. When you say that you *know* how an irreducibly complex biological system evolved, you're speaking not as a scientist, but as a dogmatist. If you want to make a significant mark on science during your career, you'll need to shed yourself of the tendency to say "I know." Scientific progress depends on minds capable of thinking critically about scientific theories, not on minds that presume to "know."

Jim · 9 March 2008

Ravilyn: "Behe accepts that the earth is billions of years old and we humans and the chimpanzees share a common ancestor. Do you agree with him, since you defend him so vociferously?"

I think that the evidence that the earth is billions of years old is quite persuasive. But I think the evidence that humans and chimps share a common ancestor is much less persuasive. The evidence for common descent serves with equal facility as evidence for common design.

Richard: "Could you explain to me the difference between Muller’s ‘Interlocking complexity’, which in 1918 he predicted to be a result of evolution, and Behe’s ‘irreducible complexity’ which he claims is an impossible result of evolution? As far as I can make out, Muller’s and Behe’s first definition are the same. Presumably you think Muller was mistaken. Please identify where he was in error."

Behe doesn't claim that irreducible complexity is "an impossible result of evolution." He instead claims that the evolution of an IC system is, on logical grounds, provably inaccessible to a direct Darwinian pathway. He also claims that the evolution of an IC system via an indirect Darwinian pathway is highly improbable and lacking unambigouous empirical support.

Without getting involved in semantics, I'm willing to concede that Muller's definition and Behe's definition are referring to the same thing. That they disagree about the evolution of such systems by Darwinian means signifies nothing about the merits of their respective views. Simply pointing to scientists who disagree with Behe's argument from irreducible complexity doesn't show that Behe is wrong.

GvlGeologist, FCD · 9 March 2008

Jim, your first sentence is not actually correct. By that sentence, the statement, "Thor hits the earth with thunderbolts when he is angry" is science. It would be much more accurate to say, "Science is in the business of providing testable, evidence-based explanations (hypotheses) for natural phenomena, and then testing them. After extensive successful testing, these hypotheses may attain the level of certainty that we mean when we call something a theory." In other words, without objective, repeatable evidence, an explanation is not science.

In addition, you are parsing the term "know" in a very narrow sense, and one that to my devious mind looks pretty, well, devious. It appears that you want the level of certainty only given to religion and mathematics. If every time that I drop an apple, it falls, I can say that I "know" that it will fall, based on, yes, inference from previous tests. When a biologist who has researched a topic thoroughly says that they "know" the explanation for a particular phenomenon, they are saying that the evidence (not just for their own particular experiment but for all of the knowledge up to that point) leads to that conclusion. You say,

"whether those theories provide the kind of knowledge that amounts to an exact correspondence between our thoughts and reality is always an open question"

as if that is a weakness of science. On the contrary, that is the strength of science, that scientists are always open to new information and new conclusions. But after a while, the weight of evidence can lead us to say that we "know" the correct answer to a reasonable certainty, and any reasonable person will use the term "know" to mean in that sense. That doesn't mean that scientists are closed to new explanations, just that new explanations have to explain observations to a better level than the old theories before they will be accepted.

Jim · 9 March 2008

GvlGeologist: "Jim, your first sentence is not actually correct. By that sentence, the statement, 'Thor hits the earth with thunderbolts when he is angry' is science. It would be much more accurate to say, 'Science is in the business of providing testable, evidence-based explanations (hypotheses) for natural phenomena, and then testing them. After extensive successful testing, these hypotheses may attain the level of certainty that we mean when we call something a theory.'"

The only quarrel I have with what you've written is that the scientific method never delivers certainty with respect to scientific theories. Because of its heavy reliance on inductive reasoning, science can only deliver probabilities. Thus you should have written: "After extensive testing, we may become quite confident that a theory provides a satisfactory account of the phenomenon in question." Nick seemed to be saying that the scientific method allows us to say that we know that a theory is true, which is not the case.

GvlGeologist: "When a biologist who has researched a topic thoroughly says that they 'know' the explanation for a particular phenomenon, they are saying that the evidence (not just for their own particular experiment but for all of the knowledge up to that point) leads to that conclusion."

Actually, the word "know" has a much stronger meaning than you give it here. Nick wasn't claiming that he knows an explanation for the evolution of IC biological systems, he was instead claiming that he knows how those systems evolved. The former claim is justifiable; the latter is not, no matter how convincing someone might find the evidence for a Darwinian explanation of the origin of IC biological systems. When scientists tell the general public that they know how life attained its current state of diversity and complexity, they are going beyond what science empowers them to say.

GvlGeologist: "...the strength of science... (is) that scientists are always open to new information and new conclusions."

Ideally, that's the case. But as Darwinist blogs like Panda'sThumb and Pharyngula demonstrate beyond dispute, many (if not most) evolutionary biologists are not open to new information if the information leads to a conclusion of design. I think the chief service provided by such blogs is that they expose the regrettably dogmatic condition of evolutionary biology.

fnxtr · 9 March 2008

Y'know, I'm wondering about this 'irreducible complexity' thing, and why they bother with subsystems like eyes and immune systems and flagella.

The human body couldn't function without a heart, therefore the human body is irreducibly complex, therefore humans didn't evolve, QED.

Any argument explaining to the hard-of-thinking how this is wrong can also be applied to said subsystems.

Not 'half an eye', but 'an early eye-like development that conferred a survival/reproductive advantage'.

fnxtr · 9 March 2008

...and you know design is real because...?

Or is this where the 'the jury's still out' prevarication comes in? Do you really expect us to believe any level of detailed description and explanation will ever change your mind about evolution, Jim? Who's the real dogmatist?

Nick (Matzke)) · 9 March 2008

So Jim -- I guess you don't believe in knowledge then, because all statements about reality are subject to those same constraints.

I hope you enjoy your relativist worldview...but by the way, I don't know that you exist, so why should I bother with this conversation?

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 9 March 2008

If they are artificial rather than living, what relevance do they have to Darwinian evolution?
They both fulfill the definitions required for the theory to be relevant, and so they can both be used to test parts of the theory. As a theory owns its facts, they are evolving systems. The false dichotomy doesn't hold up under scrutiny.
For the evolution of an IC biological system to be achieved via a direct Darwinian pathway, the function of the system must be maintained throughout its evolution.
It is "interlocking complexity", actually. Not under drift and cooption. As Behe, this is unthinkingly rejecting observed pathways to make a strawman. Seriously, if IC would be a problem for evolution, where is the scientists working on their Nobel prizes?
By redefining IC in that way, Miller constructed a straw man that he could easily tear down.
Same problem, same strawman of evolution. Don't creationists have any original claims any longer, preferably some that engages the biology of evolution at all? This is so boring.

Richard Simons · 9 March 2008

Jim said
Behe doesn’t claim that irreducible complexity is “an impossible result of evolution.”
In The Origin of Species Darwin stated 6: If it could be demonstrated that any complex organ existed which could not possibly have been formed by numerous, successive, slight modifications, my theory would absolutely break down. A system which meets Darwin's criterion is one which exhibits irreducible complexity. By irreducible complexity I mean a single system which is composed of several interacting parts that contribute to the basic function, and where the removal of any one of the parts causes the system to effectively cease functioning.
Michael J. Behe (1997) Molecular Machines: Experimental Support for the Design Inference Given that creationists/IDers routinely equate Darwin's views with the modern theory of evolution, it seems to me that this is a clear statement that Behe feels that demonstrating irreducible complexity would invalidate the theory of evolution. I realize that Behe has changed his definition of irreducible complexity over the years but as far as I know he has never actually retracted his earlier definition or admitted that it was wrong. This shifting definition of terms is, of course, a common problem with creationists/IDers (try figuring out what they mean by 'genetic information').

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 9 March 2008

try figuring out what they mean by ‘genetic information’
Yet, funnily enough, they never arrive to the same descriptions as actual biologists. Because that would mean accepting that the genome picks up information from the environment by natural processes as new traits evolves. And since creationists needs to maintain that 'evolution means loss of information, never gain' they can't do that. It is always in the efforts to keep away from providing the "pathetic level of detail" necessary to actually claim something substantial, while avoiding the very areas that contradicts them, one can track the hands of the scam artists.

Jim · 9 March 2008

Nick: "So Jim – I guess you don’t believe in knowledge then, because all statements about reality are subject to those same constraints."

I never said that I "don't believe in knowledge," Nick. I was drawing a distinction between things we can know and things we can only infer. With regard to the former, a person would be warranted to say (for example), "I know that Jefferson City is the capital of Missouri." But with respect to inferences (which is what the scientific method delivers, with varying degrees of empirical support), a person is entitled to say "I think," or "I believe," or "I am quite confident that this is true," but he is not empowered by the scientific method to say "I know." No matter how well an inference is empirically supported, the inference does not amount to certain knowledge because of the problem of induction. For example, a person would be warranted to say that he thinks that the transposon model of the evolution of the immmune system is a valid model; he would not be warranted in saying that he knows that the immune system evolved (or even that it could have evolved) in that way.

Nick: "I hope you enjoy your relativist worldview..."

I haven't been arguing in support of relativism. I think that truth is either absolute or it's not truth after all. But I have been arguing that we ought not to say "I know" when we're not warranted in saying it. That's why any scientist who says that he knows (for example) how the immune system evolved is speaking as a dogmatist, not as a scientist. A scientist would say that the transposon model is a plausible (to him) explanation for the evolution of the immune system, but that he could be wrong.

Jim · 9 March 2008

Richard: "Given that creationists/IDers routinely equate Darwin’s views with the modern theory of evolution, it seems to me that this is a clear statement that Behe feels that demonstrating irreducible complexity would invalidate the theory of evolution."

I think it's accurate to say that Behe regards irreducible complexity as something that is inaccessible to Darwinian mechanisms, but he doesn't think that IC completely invalidates Darwinian theory. The microevolutionary claims of the theory are well-supported and not in dispute. In my reading of their books, I've not encountered a single design theorist who thinks that Darwinism is an inadequate explanation for microevolution (such as adaptive changes in the beaks of finches, or bacterial adaption to antibiotics, or adaptive changes in the coloration of peppered moths, or the adaptation of insects to insecticides). Design theorists don't think that Darwinism is a completely false theory; they think that it's in incomplete theory - that it fails to adequately account for such things as irreducibly complex biological systems.

Nick (Matzke)) · 9 March 2008

Jim -- observations are often wrong. Especially eyewitness observations. Things thought to be observations are changed all of the time in science, when new data comes in.

Explanations that are well-tested, confirmed by multiple independent data sources, etc., actually deserve more confidence. It is especially true that you can get the general big picture from the data with extremely high confidence without knowing every last detail. E.g. the earth is round, it goes around the sun, common ancestry is true, & the rearrangement capacity of the immune system is descended from a transposon.

The transposon-cooption model for the evolution of the immune system has met every standard of good and highly acceptable science. It constitutes "knowledge" as much as anything in science. Your hair-splitting over the term "knowledge" is occurring because you -- and your pet authorities like Behe -- have got nothing else with which to contradict the science on the evolution of the immune system.

I don't care if you believe the standard science. Just admit that you'd never heard of this piece of science before you began this thread, and that you naively bought into the uninformed claims in The Design of Life as if they were authoritative, and that there is actually a lot more to the science than the ID guys led you to believe.

Flint · 9 March 2008

No matter how well an inference is empirically supported, the inference does not amount to certain knowledge because of the problem of induction.

As a philosophical proposition, this is certainly true. We can only assume there's any such thing as reality, much less that it's consistent. The proposition that any of reality is knowable is problematic. Only solipsism is proof against the problem of induction. Even saying "Jefferson City is the capital of Missouri" is an inference - the "real world" might not exist at all. How would anyone ever know? But we do have a useful weapon at our disposal: intersubjective agreement. If many people can make the same observation independently, and agree in great detail on those details, we say (as Gould wrote) that it would be perverse to withhold provisional assent. If based on this assent we can make predictions, and intersubjectively agree that our predictions panned out, even better. And so it's pure wanking sophistry to argue that because we can't know reality in any absolute sense, we are justified in fabricating anything that suits our preferences. Someone who observes that apples fall to the ground when dropped isn't acting as a dogmatist. The "best-fit explanation" for agreed-on evidence has genuine merit, despite our inability to guarantee the absolute perfection of any explanation. (And incidentally, irreducible complexity was a prediction derived from evolutionary theory, as an unavoidable, inevitable result of evolutionary processes, many decades before Behe "discovered" that evolution couldn't do it. A "discovery" guided by Jeezus, of course, not by anything resembling research...)

Jim · 9 March 2008

Flint: "...it’s pure wanking sophistry to argue that because we can’t know reality in any absolute sense, we are justified in fabricating anything that suits our preferences."

I agree. If you think that's the point I've been making, you've missed the point.

Flint: "...irreducible complexity was a prediction derived from evolutionary theory, as an unavoidable, inevitable result of evolutionary processes, many decades before Behe 'discovered' that evolution couldn’t do it."

A theory that posits the incremental assembly of complex biological systems via the mechanism of random mutations and natural selection does not predict irreducible complexity. You're bluffing.

Ravilyn Sanders · 9 March 2008

Jim: Ravilyn: "Behe accepts that the earth is billions of years old and we humans and the chimpanzees share a common ancestor. Do you agree with him, since you defend him so vociferously?" I think that the evidence that the earth is billions of years old is quite persuasive. But I think the evidence that humans and chimps share a common ancestor is much less persuasive. The evidence for common descent serves with equal facility as evidence for common design.
Well, obviously we evilutionists have no credibility in your eyes, but you seem to trust Behe, the guy with a real PhD a real biologist who contradicts us evilutionists. And he agrees that chimps and humans had a common ancestor. It is this guy's ideas about Irreducible Complexity you have put so much store on. Why are you fighting us here? Why don't you and Behe trash it out and come to a conclusion? The Discovery institute keeps trumpeting "700 scientists who challenge Darwinism". Let us see how many scientists, (and how many biologists) it is able to sign the statement, "We don't believe humans and chimps had a common ancestor". First let all the Cdesign proponentsts agree on the age of earth, and common ancestor to chimos and humans first before they start talking about "weaknesses in evolution". These IDiots cant even agree on these two simple basic questions.

Henry J · 9 March 2008

Jim,

Keep in mind that the parts can change, too.

Consider what happens given a system that does have one or more parts that it could function without:

If the optional part improves the function of the system (benefit exceeds cost), there'd be nothing to unilaterally block spread of mutations that reduce or remove the organism's ability to do without that removable part.

If the optional part doesn't improve the function (benefit equal or below cost), there be nothing to unilaterally block spread of mutations that remove that part.

Given that, it seems to me that over long periods, there'd be a tendency to reduce the number of parts that the organism can do without, either by dropping them or becoming dependent on them.

Henry

Richard Simons · 9 March 2008

A theory that posits the incremental assembly of complex biological systems via the mechanism of random mutations and natural selection does not predict irreducible complexity. You’re bluffing.
Scientists do not bluff. That is what Creationists/IDers do. It was predicted to be a consequence of evolution by Hermann Muller in 1918 (Genetic variability, twin hybrids and constant hybrids, in a case of balanced lethal factors. Genetics 3: 422-499).

Henry J · 9 March 2008

But I think the evidence that humans and chimps share a common ancestor is much less persuasive. The evidence for common descent serves with equal facility as evidence for common design.

That could be partly from looking at only those two species. The evidence for descent comes from the entire nested hierarchy, not bits of it looked at in isolation from the rest. Henry

Peter Ridsdale · 10 March 2008

Is "Jim" Michael Behe?

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 10 March 2008

the scientific method never delivers certainty with respect to scientific theories. Because of its heavy reliance on inductive reasoning, science can only deliver probabilities.
Wrong, wrong and wrong. You may use induction to pose theories, but they are tested on their predictions. In no way can you describe a reliance on rejection of falsehoods as a reliance on induction. And it is much more powerful and together with parsimony constitutes a validation of knowledge. Your idea of probabilities is confused, and its application to observations more so. Probabilities are observations on ensembles and populations, and is precisely what quantifies certainty as regards observations and theories. You may have a quarrel with scientists often being realists or even platonists, but it is yet again examples of parsimony (among rejections of falsehoods). The validation is in the eating.

Jim · 11 March 2008

Nick: "Yeah, it’s also true that IC does not even block direct evolutionary pathways, for example because of scaffolding, an example of which is the origin of the venus flytrap as described in Pete’s IC Demystified."

Pete was spinning a just-so story, as he candidly admitted when he said that the venus flytrap "might...have evolved" in the way related in his story. Since he offered no detailed, testable Darwinian pathway, his just-so story provides no confirmation of Darwinian theory. Imagination is not science.

Jim · 11 March 2008

fnxtr: "Do you really expect us to believe any level of detailed description and explanation will ever change your mind about evolution, Jim?"

What do you mean by "evolution"? I think the evidence is quite strong that evolution (meaning biological change over time, or descent with modification) has occurred. I also think the evidence that Darwinian mechanisms can produce microevolution (such as bacteria adapting to antibiotics, or insects adapting to insecticides, or adaptive changes in the beaks of finches, or adaptive changes in the coloration of peppered moths) is fairly persuasive. But I think the evidence that Darwinian mechanisms (primarily random genetic mutations and natural selection) fully account for macroevolution (such as the evolution of humans from fish [by way of amphibians, reptiles, and some unknown mammal], or the evolution of sexual reproduction from asexual reproduction, or the evolution of feathers from scales, or the evolution of color vision from a light-sensitive spot) is quite pathetic.

Darwinist Richard Dawkins aptly noted that the amount of information in even a single eukaryotic cell exceeds the information contained in a complete set of the Encyclopedia Britannica. Molecular geneticist Michael Denton wrote (in "Evolution: A Theory in Crisis") that "the genetic programmes of higher organisms (consist) of something close to a thousand million bits of information, equivalent to the sequence of letters in a small library of one thousand volumes, containing in encoded form countless thousands of intricate algorithms controlling, specifying and ordering the growth and development of billions and billions of cells into the form of a complex organism..." Like Denton, I think the Darwinian proposition that the vast biological "texts" that shape matter into living organisms were "composed" by random genetic mutations and "published" by natural selection is an affront to reason. This is not to say that Darwinism (in the macro sense) is false simply because it's preposterous, but it is to say that we ought to see some rather extraordinary corroborating evidence before we accept the theory. I'd be willing to accept the macroevolutionary claims of Darwinian theory if such evidence were available, but that evidence is most conspicuous by its absence. That's why Darwinists are constantly trying to make the evidence for microevolution serve as evidence for macroevolution. But aside from wishful speculation, there's no reason to think that the Darwinian mechanisms that cause bacteria to adapt to antibiotics are the same mechanisms that brought bacteria into existence in the first place, or that those mechanisms can cause bacteria to evolve into something other than bacteria (butterfies, perhaps).

fnstr: "Who’s the real dogmatist?"

Well, I've considered the claims of Darwinism and found some of those claims (i.e., the microevolutionary claims) to be fairly persuasive (the same is true of ID theorists, who are willing to accept the well-supported claims of Darwinism). But Darwinists tend to dismiss ID theory out-of-hand, characterizing it as religion, or as warmed-over creationism (which science can safely ignore). The question "Is the design that's so evident in living things real rather than apparent?" is a legitimate scientific question. By refusing to even consider it, Darwinists make it unambiguously clear that in their hands, evolutionary biology has devolved into dogmatism.

Jim · 11 March 2008

Nick: "Jim – observations are often wrong. Especially eyewitness observations. Things thought to be observations are changed all of the time in science, when new data comes in. Explanations that are well-tested, confirmed by multiple independent data sources, etc., actually deserve more confidence."

Since explanations are tested by making observations, how can they deserve more confidence than the observations on which they're based? I submit that we are justified in saying that we know that Jefferson City is the capital of Missouri (we can verify that claim of knowledge by visiting the place), but we are not justified in saying that we know that the origin of the immune system can be attributed to Darwinian mechanisms (observing that historical event is impossible).

Nick: "The transposon-cooption model for the evolution of the immune system has met every standard of good and highly acceptable science."

No doubt it does, but since it doesn't actually detail any Darwinian pathways leading to the immune system, it doesn't actually corroborate the hypothesis that the system arose via Darwinian mechanisms. I saw nothing in the article on the transposon model showing the original precursor from which the immune system allegedly evolved, nor did I see any intermediate precursors whose functions were identified and whose emergence could be credibly attributed to random genetic mutations. As Behe has aptly observed, the kind of data provided by the transposon model (i.e., sequence data, comparison of protein sequences, and comparison of gene sequences) "can't speak to the question of whether random mutation and natural selection produced the complex systems that we're talking about."

Nick: "I don’t care if you believe the standard science. Just admit that you’d never heard of this piece of science before you began this thread, and that you naively bought into the uninformed claims in The Design of Life as if they were authoritative, and that there is actually a lot more to the science than the ID guys led you to believe."

Actually, when I go to the references recommended to me by Darwinists, I find that "the ID guys" got it right more often than not.

Jim · 11 March 2008

Ravilyn: "Well, obviously we evilutionists have no credibility in your eyes, but you seem to trust Behe, the guy with a real PhD a real biologist who contradicts us evilutionists. And he agrees that chimps and humans had a common ancestor. It is this guy’s ideas about Irreducible Complexity you have put so much store on. Why are you fighting us here? Why don’t you and Behe trash it out and come to a conclusion?"

I should think you could answer this question for yourself. I don't need to agree with Behe's thoughts on common descent to find his argument from irreducible complexity persuasive. Common descent is merely descriptive, not explanatory. No matter how persuasive the evidence might be for common descent, that evidence tells us nothing about the cause(s) of common descent.

Ravilyn: "These IDiots cant even agree on these two simple basic questions."

And now the name-calling starts. I'm surprised it's taken this long.

Jim · 11 March 2008

Henry: "Keep in mind that the parts can change, too. Consider what happens given a system that does have one or more parts that it could function without: If the optional part improves the function of the system (benefit exceeds cost), there’d be nothing to unilaterally block spread of mutations that reduce or remove the organism’s ability to do without that removable part. If the optional part doesn’t improve the function (benefit equal or below cost), there be nothing to unilaterally block spread of mutations that remove that part.
Given that, it seems to me that over long periods, there’d be a tendency to reduce the number of parts that the organism can do without, either by dropping them or becoming dependent on them."

Perhaps mutation and selection could remove "optional parts," Henry, but you haven't explained the origin of the system with the "optional parts," nor have you said what that system might have been. Wishful speculation is free, but it doesn't serve to confirm the claim that Darwinian mechanisms can produce irreducibly complex biological systems.

Stanton · 11 March 2008

So, then, Jim, can you point out to us the research and experiments Behe did in order to come to his conclusion about "Irreducible Complexity"?

Can you explain to us exactly how Behe arrived at the conclusion that the blood-clotting cascade is irreducibly complex when it utilizes the same proteases used in food digestion? Or, can you explain to us why Behe came to the conclusion that the only function of the antibody is to mark a cell for phagocytosis, even though antibodies have been experimentally demonstrated to be able to perform other functions, including initiating apoptosis, causing antigens to agglutinate, binding to a pathogen in order to impair its metabolism, binding to an antigen in order to inactivate it, marking cells to be attacked by natural killer cells (which kill targeted cells by initiating apoptosis), initiating the "membrane attack complex" which causes bacterial cells to lyse?

Jim · 11 March 2008

Richard: "Scientists do not bluff. That is what Creationists/IDers do. (Irreducible complexity) was predicted to be a consequence of evolution by Hermann Muller in 1918 (Genetic variability, twin hybrids and constant hybrids, in a case of balanced lethal factors. Genetics 3: 422-499)."

When Muller spoke of interlocking complexity, he was referring to the functional relatedness of the parts that make up an entire organism, which he referred to as "a complicated machine." No one denies that the liver (for example) has a functional relationship (or interlocking complexity) with the other organs in the human body, or that the human body would soon cease to function if the liver were removed. Muller's "prediction" was nothing more than a prediction that Darwinism had always made, namely, that organisms would tend to become more complex over time as they gradually acquired "parts" that facilitated their survivability. Some of those "parts" might become essential to the organism's survival, but others would be inessential enhancements (or perhaps even "vestigial" organs). These "parts" might develop interlocking complexity, but only removal of the essential parts would lead to the death of the organism (i.e., the functional failure of the "complicated machine").

Behe's concept of irreducible complexity, by contrast, deals with the functional complexity of individual biological systems, such as the immune system, or the vertebrate blood-clotting cascade. His argument is that because those systems cannot be reduced without destroying their functions, there could not be any direct Darwinian pathways to their origin, and that any indirect Darwinian pathways to their origin are so improbable that we ought to see some rather compelling evidence before we attribute them to Darwinian mechanisms - evidence that is conspicuous by its absence. Darwinian theory does not predict that the complex biological systems that are components of living organisms ought to be irreducibly complex. Neither did Muller. He simply predicted that Darwinian evolution could produce systems that become essential to an organism's survival, and that those systems could develop functional relatedness (or interlocking complexity) with other systems in the organism.

Jim · 11 March 2008

Peter: "Is 'Jim' Michael Behe?"

Nope. I'm a retired airline pilot. My formal education was in civil engineering (B.S., cum laude, University of Missouri). From both my education and my career, I gained a profound respect for science, which is why I object so strenuously to the dogmatism of evolutionary biology.

Jim · 11 March 2008

Jim: "The scientific method never delivers certainty with respect to scientific theories. Because of its heavy reliance on inductive reasoning, science can only deliver probabilities.

Torbjörn: "Wrong, wrong and wrong."

So you say, but saying it doesn't make it so.

Torbjörn: "You may use induction to pose theories, but they are tested on their predictions. In no way can you describe a reliance on rejection of falsehoods as a reliance on induction."

How do we test a scientific theory? We make observations (in the field, or in the lab). If those specific observations are, in the main, consistent with a theory, then we generalize that the theory has been "confirmed." That is the essence of induction, a way of reasoning that delivers confidence (or probabilities), not certainty.

Torbjörn: "Your idea of probabilities is confused, and its application to observations more so. Probabilities are observations on ensembles and populations, and is precisely what quantifies certainty as regards observations and theories."

I'd say that your understanding of my point is confused. Certainty need not be quantified; certainty is 100%. But scientists' confidence that a theory is valid does need to be quantified, if not with a specific number ("We are 90% sure that this theory is valid"), at least in general terms ("We are quite confident that this theory is vaid"). The scientific method delivers confidence, not certainty.

Jim · 11 March 2008

Stanton: "So, then, Jim, can you point out to us the research and experiments Behe did in order to come to his conclusion about 'Irreducible Complexity'?"

Read his books, Stanton. I don't have time to do your homework for you.

minimalist · 11 March 2008

Many of us have read his books, Jimmy. He has done NO experiments whatsoever to support his claims.

It is a severe indictment of science education in general -- not just creationists -- that people think writing a book constitutes "research and experimentation". Especially one as dishonest, sloppy, and just plain confused as Behe's.

Jim, "research" in science doesn't just mean "reading the work of other, actual, scientists and blathering ignorantly about them in print."

REAL scientists conduct research by performing experiments based on their hypotheses. They go to the bench and do some honest-to-god hands-on work.

This is what biologists have done with evolution for 150+ years.

This is what ID'ers have flatly refused to do in the last two decades.

It doesn't take a scientist to see the severe disparity in results.

fnxtr · 11 March 2008

What is it with engineers and ID?

"To a man with an axe, everything looks like a tree."

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 11 March 2008

@ Jim:
Since he offered no detailed, testable Darwinian pathway, his just-so story provides no confirmation of Darwinian theory.
You are misconstruing the test. The intention is to arrive at a possible pathway derived from the theory to test the prediction that such pathways exist. As it passes the test it is both a testable prediction and a confirmation.
What do you mean by “evolution”?
The MET in all its facets, of course. That is the current science, and that is what can be discussed as regards flagellum evolution.
Like Denton, I think the Darwinian proposition that the vast biological “texts” that shape matter into living organisms were “composed” by random genetic mutations and “published” by natural selection is an affront to reason.
You get it backwards, the information in the "texts" (fixated allele frequencies) is mainly composed by natural selection as a response to fitness pressures as the populations genome learns about its current environment. Variation, random or not, is providing disinformation (change in alleles) that selection works with and against to provide that information. If the process of evolution could have foresight, predict "need", controlled variation could indeed contribute information under that process by "learning" ways of satisfying "need", say by not repeating mistakes. Alas, evolution can't, there is no plan, so uncontrolled variation can only provide disinformation (broaden the probability distributions) in the actual process, and selection has to sort out the information (narrow the probability distributions). And why do you think that anyone's sense of "reason", and your's in particular, is applicable in scientific validation? Science is decidedly not common sense, any scientist knows that, that is one major reason why it is so hard. Btw, speciation (as I believe you mean by 'macroevolution', another misconception of putting the horse in front of the wagon) is tested by the fossil record and some cases of direct observation. What is your specific problem with that evidence? I could go on with the rest of your list of claims, but these points suffice to show how your claims aren't engaging the biology in front of us and clears up some of the misconceptions. You should study TalkOrigins Archive as the basis for your claims is treated there by scientists - it is much easier to discuss biology without all these misconceptions lying around.

Stanton · 11 March 2008

Jim: Stanton: "So, then, Jim, can you point out to us the research and experiments Behe did in order to come to his conclusion about 'Irreducible Complexity'?" Read his books, Stanton. I don't have time to do your homework for you.
I have read his books, and he does not mention any experiment done that led him to the conclusion of irreducible complexity. In fact, one gets the distinct impression that the only thing that led him to the conclusion of irreducible complexity is his own personal incredulity. Furthermore, I find it very strange that you insist on clinging to Behe's incredulity, and claim that those scientists who arrived at their conclusions through the accumulation of evidence as being purveyors of "just so stories," especially since Behe does not even provide any evidence of doing any laboratory work to prove "irreducible complexity."

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 11 March 2008

@ Jim:
So you say, but saying it doesn’t make it so.
For the reading impaired - that was the conclusion. The support followed.
If those specific observations are, in the main, consistent with a theory, then we generalize that the theory has been “confirmed.”
No. You missed the obvious step. If the theory fails an important test it is rejected. A modified or entirely new theory must explain the new evidence. Rejecting theories is narrowing down possibilities. This constitutes learning by doing all by itself, by way of bayesian inference. Combining testing with methods such as parsimony sharpens this considerably to pick a preferred theory with (in principle) quantifiable remaining uncertainty. There is no philosophical induction involved (except when proposing theories, which induction excels in), only empirical testing and learning. I'm not sure how much science you understand, as this:
a way of reasoning that delivers confidence (or probabilities), not certainty.
is a huge misconstruction. Statistical tests used in empirical testing delivers probabilities, which quantifies certainty (by way of quantifying uncertainties).
Certainty need not be quantified; certainty is 100%.
Huh? Certainty is the set difference to uncertainty for most people and especially in science. You are referring to absolute certainty and its likewise stillborn sibling absolute Truth. But this is science and knowledge we are discussing, not imaginary beliefs. Empirical testing uses this to put up arbitrary but commonly accepted standards for accepting a test. For example, in physics remaining uncertainty is often above 3 sigma when a theory is considered to pass a test (explain data). Your confusion between bayesian confidence and quantifiable uncertainty is your own. Scientists use other methods, empirical methods.

Jim · 11 March 2008

minimalist: "REAL scientists conduct research by performing experiments based on their hypotheses. They go to the bench and do some honest-to-god hands-on work. This is what biologists have done with evolution for 150+ years. This is what ID’ers have flatly refused to do in the last two decades."

If ID theorists refuse to do any research, then why did microbiologist/design theorist Scott Minnich do genetic knock-out experiments that demonstrated the irreducibility of the bacterial flagellum? Why do Dembski and Marks do theoretical research in evolutionary informatics? Why has Wells done design-theoretic research on centrioles? Why did Behe and Snokes do research testing the evolution by gene duplication of protein features that require multiple amino acid residues? I think the research done by design theorists would receive wider recognition if they weren't caught on the horns of a dilemma: Mainstream scientific journals won't (for the most part) publish the papers of design theorists because ID is "not science." How do we know that ID is "not science"? Because the papers of design theorists don't get published in mainstream scientific journals. Catch 22.

But since you brought it up, where is the experimental evidence showing that Darwinian mechanisms turned the frog into a prince?

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 11 March 2008

@ Jim: Todays amphibians aren't the evolutionary ancestors of humans. Can you at least put respectable questions?
then why did microbiologist/design theorist Scott Minnich do genetic knock-out experiments that demonstrated the irreducibility of the bacterial flagellum?
The interlocking complexity of the bacterial flagellum isn't a new and disputed subject. The question is how the flagellum evolved, and PT readers have been in the front seat when this has been resolved lately. You can find posts describing the research on this site. If evolution predicts interlocking complexity (Muller, 1930s IIRC), how can it be a unique and testable prediction from ID? The answer is that it can't.
Mainstream scientific journals won’t (for the most part) publish the papers of design theorists because ID is “not science.” How do we know that ID is “not science”? Because the papers of design theorists don’t get published in mainstream scientific journals.
Ah, so you are an IDist? Funny, I thought ID rejected "tautologies" such as selection. But the fact is that ID doesn't survive as science because it isn't viable. There is no publications because the papers, as it were, can't stand up to scientific scrutiny in the form of peer review. This is amply documented by way of the efforts some ID scam artists used to bypass review, papers that had to be later withdrawn.

minimalist · 11 March 2008

Why do Dembski and Marks do theoretical research in evolutionary informatics? Why has Wells done design-theoretic research on centrioles? Why did Behe and Snokes do research testing the evolution by gene duplication of protein features that require multiple amino acid residues?
What do all of those things have in common? None of them involved actual experimental work, just the construction of abstract models. The Dembski/Marks and Behe/Snoke papers have been thoroughly addressed on this site, and long story short, they involved the development of models that completely fail to accurately represent the thing they're supposed to be modeling. Behe, for instance, doesn't even try to model an actual protein, but just pulls a "hypothetical protein" out of his bum and proceeds to use his inaccurate model to gimmick the numbers in his favor. When it comes right down to it, the ID'ers do not dare apply their ideas to real-world labwork. They have to resort to made-up proteins and models they can abuse to cook the books. The same goes for Wells's centriole thing: he has been shopping that hypothesis (and at best, that's all it is: a hypothesis) around since 2005 at least, and has shown no evidence that he has ever experimented on it, or ever will. It's a pretty lousy hypothesis from an ID standpoint anyway: "hey, if centrioles generate a polar ejection force, they'd be like turbines, and turbines are designed!"

Jim · 11 March 2008

Torbjörn: "The intention is to arrive at a possible pathway derived from the theory to test the prediction that such pathways exist. As it passes the test it is both a testable prediction and a confirmation."

Any evolutionary pathway could be described as a "possible pathway." Simply imagining a Darwinian pathway constitutes neither a test nor a confirmation of Darwinian theory. If imagining possible pathways is all that it takes to confirm Darwinism, then Darwinism is effectively unfalsifiable, which - by Popper's criterion of potential falsifiability - makes Darwinism unscientific.

Torbjörn: "You get it backwards, the information in the 'texts' (fixated allele frequencies) is mainly composed by natural selection as a response to fitness pressures as the populations genome learns about its current environment."

Natural selection can act only on that which already exists. It can't compose (or bring into being) biological information. Indeed, natural selection can't compose or create anything. It can only "publish" (or spread throughout a population's genome) what random mutations "compose." And as Darwinists constantly remind us, random mutations do not do their work in response to any environmental pressures; their work in "composition" is unresponsive to anything but sheer chance. If they "compose" a useful biological text (something that is highly unlikely), they do so by luck.

Torbjörn: "...selection has to sort out the information (narrow the probability distributions)."

Yes, but selection doesn't compose the information that it sorts out, which is the point. Mutations are the only creative part of the Darwinian mechanism of mutation and selection. If that mechanism "composes" novel biological information that leads to a novel adaptation in an organism, it does so by sheer chance. After the accidental creativity of random mutations occurs (assuming that mutations possess such creativity, a highly dubious proposition), natural selection then acts with law-like regularity to "publish" (or perpetuate) the work of random mutations throughout the gene pool. But believing that the blind Darwinian mechanism generated the vast amounts of biological information in complex organisms is like believing that a blind mechanism could write the novel "War and Peace."

Torbjörn: "Btw, speciation...is tested by the fossil record and some cases of direct observation. What is your specific problem with that evidence?"

The fossil record shows the emergence of different species throughout life's history; it doesn't show that the speciation was caused by Darwinian mechanisms. Additionally, the only speciation that has actually been observed is the hybridization of some flowering plants produced by polyploidy (an increase in the number of chromosomes, as you may know). But as evolutionary biologist Douglas Futuyma observed, polyploidy "does not confer major new morphological characteristics...(and) does not cause the evolution of new genera." Also, polyploidy can't produce the splitting and diverging of species that the branching-tree pattern of life posited by Darwinism requires. Most of what you call observed instances of speciation are actually analyses of existing species to test how they might have originated. Those analyses are not the same as actual observation. Contrary to your claim, evolutionary biologist Lynn Margulis (who is no fan of ID) wrote: "Speciation, whether in the remote Galapagos, in the laboratory cages of the drosophilosophers, or in the crowded sediments of the paleontologists, still has never been directly traced."

Henry J · 11 March 2008

Jim,

Re "I think the evidence is quite strong that evolution (meaning biological change over time, or descent with modification) has occurred."

Re "That’s why Darwinists are constantly trying to make the evidence for microevolution serve as evidence for macroevolution."

Given the first of those two sentences of yours, I'm not sure why the second one is of concern. Macroevolution is simply change over time, just a lot of it over a long time.

Re "But Darwinists tend to dismiss ID theory out-of-hand, characterizing it as religion, or as warmed-over creationism (which science can safely ignore)."

No, evolutionary biologists reject ID because nobody is as yet used the concept of ID to explain anything. Come up with a consistently observed pattern in the evidence, such that it could be a logical consequence of life (or some aspect of it) being deliberately engineered, and scientists would be quite happy to research the possibilities. The reason for the rejection of ID is that as yet nobody has described a pattern that does that.

Re "Since explanations are tested by making observations, how can they deserve more confidence than the observations on which they’re based?"

By having the observations repeated and verified by lots of different observers who come from a variety of nations, from a variety of religions (or none), and from a variety of cultures. Observations that can't be repeated aren't given much confidence. (for example, consider the cold fusion hypothesis.)

Re "Perhaps mutation and selection could remove “optional parts,” Henry, but you haven’t explained the origin of the system with the “optional parts,” nor have you said what that system might have been. Wishful speculation is free, but it doesn’t serve to confirm the claim that Darwinian mechanisms can produce irreducibly complex biological systems."

The first part of that is commonly referred to as "moving the goalposts".

As for "wishful speculation" - how and why do people think biologists wish for biological traits to have arisen the way the theory implies? Do you think I want to be distantly related to slime mold or digger wasps or tapeworms? I don't. I don't know of any reason to expect anybody else to, either (although one never really knows what other people might want, I guess).

They conclude it because (1) the possibility is implied by current knowledge of biology and genetics, (2) it doesn't require presuming any totally unknown processes (actually I guess that's a paraphrase of (1), (3) nobody's described evidence of any other process that seems likely to produce the effects that are explained by the current theory (such as nested hierarchy, later species being slightly modified copies of predecessors, occasional diversification of earlier species into many later species, general lack of convergence of non-adaptive traits, geographic grouping of related species, lack of apparently copying of features from one clade into isolated species in other clades).

Btw, the conclusion of common ancestry is not directly dependent on the evidence that accumulation of various mutations, plus recombination, plus various selection effects, caused it. But, the evidence is consistent with both of those conclusions and there's lots of ways in which the relevant evidence could have contradicted either or both of them but hasn't even after more than a century of research. That last is a large part of why scientists accept the current theory, maybe the biggest part. Any cause of new species for which the current theory isn't at least a good approximation, would be very unlikely to repeatedly and consistently produce evidence that continues to fit the current theory.

Re "Darwinian theory does not predict that the complex biological systems that are components of living organisms ought to be irreducibly complex."

How would evolutionary biology avoid expecting evolution to produce systems that would break if one part was removed? To avoid it, there would have to be something that would always prevent unnecessary (or not particularly useful) parts from being dropped, or useful parts becoming necessary as the organisms become dependent on them.

Henry

Henry J · 11 March 2008

Torbjörn Larsson,

And why do you think that anyone’s sense of “reason”, and your’s in particular, is applicable in scientific validation? Science is decidedly not common sense, any scientist knows that, that is one major reason why it is so hard.

Yep. There's a whole list of major scientific advances that originated when somebody threw out some previous "common sense" notion that they realized didn't work. (Examples: Matter isn't continuous after all (atoms), energy isn't contintuous after all (photoelectric effect), the earth isn't flat or the center of things, space and time aren't independent (relativity), the universe isn't steady state after all (big bang), species are not unchangable (and sameness of species is not a transitive relation).) Henry

Jim · 12 March 2008

Jim: "If those specific observations are, in the main, consistent with a theory, then we generalize that the theory has been 'confirmed.'"

Torbjörn: "No. You missed the obvious step. If the theory fails an important test it is rejected. A modified or entirely new theory must explain the new evidence."

I wasn't talking about rejecting theories; I was talking about confirming them. Confirmation of a theory requires positive evidence for the theory, meaning that it must pass the important tests with great consistency.

Torbjörn: "Combining testing with methods such as parsimony sharpens this considerably to pick a preferred theory with (in principle) quantifiable remaining uncertainty."

To say that a theory should be preferred on the basis of "quantifiable remaining uncertainty" is to say that the scientific method can give us confidence that the theory is valid, but it can't provide us with certainty that the theory is valid. That's what I said (although in different words).

Torbjörn: "There is no philosophical induction involved (except when proposing theories, which induction excels in), only empirical testing and learning."

I wasn't arguing that "philosophical induction" is involved in confirming scientific theories. I was instead arguing that empirical testing and observations provide specific data that either support or fail to support a theory (it is rare that a theory never encounters any recalcitrant or contradictory evidence). If the collection of specific data is, in the main, consistent with the theory, then we inductively generalize to say that the theory has been confidently "confirmed."

Jim: "...a way of reasoning that delivers confidence (or probabilities), not certainty."

Torbjörn: "is a huge misconstruction."

No, it's not. Inductive reasoning (or induction), which you conveniently clipped in (mis)quoting me, simply cannot deliver certainty in the way that deductive reasoning (or deduction) can. This is not a scientific point, it's a logical point. Because science is so heavily reliant on induction (reasoning from specific data to generally applicable theories), it can deliver confidence that theories are valid, but it can't deliver certainty that theories are valid. While you think you've been disagreeing with me on this point, you've actually been agreeing with me. As you put it, a scientific theory is accepted when "remaining uncertainty" is low. That's essentially just another way of saying the same thing that I've been saying. The bottom line is that the scientific method never delivers ironclad proof or certain confirmation of any of its theories. Thus it never empowers us to say that we *know* that a theory is true; we can only say that we are quite confident that the theory is true. The theory remains open to disconfirmation if new evidence casts doubt on its validity. If this weren't true, it wouldn't be a genuinely scientific theory.

I think that in your haste to disagree with anything I might say, you missed the point of what I was saying about what the scientific method can deliver.

Jim · 12 March 2008

Torbjörn: "Todays amphibians aren’t the evolutionary ancestors of humans. Can you at least put respectable questions?"

I neither claimed nor suggested that today's amphibians are the evolutionary ancestors of humans. Nonetheless, according to Darwinism, if we could trace the human family tree into the distant past, we'd find amphibians among our ancestors. Can't you make at least a token effort to understand the things I write?

Torbjörn: "The interlocking complexity of the bacterial flagellum isn’t a new and disputed subject."

To remind you, this thread was kicked off by an article in New Scientist averring that "(t)he evolutionary events linking flagella and T3SSs are not clear, but the homology between them is a devastating blow to the claim of irreducible complexity." What you say isn't disputed clearly is.

Torbjörn: "If evolution predicts interlocking complexity (Muller, 1930s IIRC), how can it be a unique and testable prediction from ID? The answer is that it can’t."

It can if Muller's "interlocking complexity" and Behe's "irreducible complexity" are referring to different things, which they are. Darwinism may predict that organisms can acquire systems that develop functional interdependence (or "interlocking complexity"), but it doesn't predict molecular systems (such as the bacterial flagellum) that are irreducibly complex.

Torbjörn: "...the papers (of ID theorists), as it were, can’t stand up to scientific scrutiny in the form of peer review."

Darwin never submitted any of his work to the process of peer review before going public with his theories. If peer review is the sine qua non of science, then whatever Darwin thought he was doing, it wasn't science.

Jim · 12 March 2008

minimalist: "(ID theorists) have to resort to made-up proteins and models they can abuse to cook the books."

The proteins in the molecular biological systems that are the primary focus of ID theory are hardly "made-up." But setting that aside, why is the construction of models a suspect scientific procedure in your eyes? After all, Darwinists construct models with great regularity in attempts to validate the claims they make about the creative powers of Darwinian mechanisms. For example, Nick has tried to glaze our eyes over with references to the transposon model, a model that supposedly demonstrates how Darwinian mechanisms might have brought the immune system into being. Were the transposon modelers simply cooking the books? (My answer would be "Yes." I can't find anything in the transposon model that clearly shows how Darwinian mechanisms could have brought the immune system into being. I think that non-scientists like me and scientists who aren't expert in biology are supposed to simply be bowled over by biological technicalities and jargon that give the illusion that the transposon model explains the origin of the immune system. The transposon model does nothing to disabuse me of my belief that the case for the macroevolutionary claims of Darwinism is primarily a sustained bluff.)

Jim · 12 March 2008

Henry: "Macroevolution is simply change over time, just a lot of it over a long time."

Darwinists have persuasively shown that Darwinian mechanisms can produce minor adaptive changes (or microevolution) in organisms, such as the adaptation of bacteria to antibiotics. But what scientific or logical grounds warrant extrapolating from microevolution to the macroevolutionary claim that those same mechanisms can generate biological novelty, such as the origin of bacteria in the first place, or the evolution of bacteria into something other than bacteria (horseflies, perhaps)?

Henry: "...evolutionary biologists reject ID because nobody is as yet used the concept of ID to explain anything."

Needless to say, design theorists would dispute your assertion.

Henry: "Come up with a consistently observed pattern in the evidence, such that it could be a logical consequence of life (or some aspect of it) being deliberately engineered, and scientists would be quite happy to research the possibilities."

You're essentially saying that the case for design must be made before scientists should consider design. If science proceeded on such a basis, science would go nowhere.

Jim: "Perhaps mutation and selection could remove 'optional parts,' Henry, but you haven’t explained the origin of the system with the 'optional parts,' nor have you said what that system might have been. Wishful speculation is free, but it doesn’t serve to confirm the claim that Darwinian mechanisms can produce irreducibly complex biological systems."

Henry: "The first part of that is commonly referred to as 'moving the goalposts'."

Your part is known as avoiding the question.

Henry: "As for 'wishful speculation' - how and why do people think biologists wish for biological traits to have arisen the way the theory implies?"

There are many reasons why people (including biologists) would wish that life is a wholly material phenomenon. An a priori commitment to materialism is one of those reasons (a commitment that Darwinist Richard Lewontin has candidly admitted most evolutionary biologists hold). A desire to be free from ultimate moral accountability is another reason people are attracted to the wholly materialistic account of life offered by Darwinism. As the late Julian Huxley, once a leader among Darwinists, said in a televised interview: "The reason we accepted Darwinism even without proof, is because we didn't want God to interfere with our sexual mores." There's no moral accountability in Darwinism, and a lot of people like it that way.

Henry: "How would evolutionary biology avoid expecting evolution to produce systems that would break if one part was removed?"

In the same way that evolutionary biology expects genomes to acquire "junk" DNA (an expectation that is increasingly being shown to be wrong). Darwinism predicts biological systems that are cobbled together (i.e., systems with dispensable parts), not systems that are tightly integrated and irreducibly complex.

Flint · 12 March 2008

You’re essentially saying that the case for design must be made before scientists should consider design. If science proceeded on such a basis, science would go nowhere.

I really need to make a collection of these, it would make for insightful reading. Here we have, once again, the conviction that if one does not START by ASSUMING one's conclusions, how can one ever reach them? The idea that scientists should consider what the evidence suggests, rather than consider the evidence in light of foregone conclusions, is simply outside the religious mental model. How ironic that science has gone everywhere it has, precisely by NOT considering something absent any supporting evidence.

Darwinism predicts biological systems that are cobbled together (i.e., systems with dispensable parts), not systems that are tightly integrated and irreducibly complex.

Of course, evolutionary theory itself predicted, as an inevitable necessity, the development of tightly integreted irreducibly complex structures. And this was pointed out 90 years ago! And so we have another shining example of the Religious Method: If you want something to come true, you need only SAY it's true, and then believe it. Facts, history, knowledge, these don't signify. They fail to support the foregone conclusion, without which religion would go nowhere.

minimalist · 12 March 2008

The proteins in the molecular biological systems that are the primary focus of ID theory are hardly “made-up.”
The issue was peer-reviewed scientific papers. The Behe/Snoke paper used a hypothetical protein, not a real one. The various ID books single out actual biological systems, yes, but those are not peer-reviewed scientific articles. There's nothing wrong with models, as long as they are based on accurate assumptions that reflect the real world, and are followed up on by actual experimentation. The former was demonstrated in the link I posted -- Behe's and Dembski's models are based on false assumptions -- and the latter is trivially true. I once again repeat: ID'ers do not do actual labwork with the actual systems they purport to "study". They just rip off other peoples' peer-reviewed articles, lie about them, and leave out the tons of articles that plainly contradict them.
(My answer would be “Yes.” I can’t find anything in the transposon model that clearly shows how Darwinian mechanisms could have brought the immune system into being. I think that non-scientists like me and scientists who aren’t expert in biology are supposed to simply be bowled over by biological technicalities and jargon that give the illusion that the transposon model explains the origin of the immune system. The transposon model does nothing to disabuse me of my belief that the case for the macroevolutionary claims of Darwinism is primarily a sustained bluff.)
Your entire argument, then, boils down to "I don't understand it, so I'll just go with what makes me feel better." Un-be-lievable. No, scratch that, it is believable, and it's a trait of many creatonists that Behe and others ruthlessly exploit. And you know what? The transposon model has plenty of actual, wet-work laboratory data backing it up. See here and here for examples I was able to pull from two seconds of doing a search on PT for "transposons". Using the evolutionary model, scientists have been working in real-world biological systems to discover more and more interesting things about the genome, ultimately advancing our knowledge of the immune system and many other things relevant to health and medicine. Using the ID "model", ID'ers, uh... continue to write more books and whine to church groups about how science doesn't take them seriously.

Stanton · 12 March 2008

So, then, Jim, please explain to us how Behe's statement/claim that the vertebrate immune system is irreducibly complex (despite the fact that echinoderms have a very similar, albeit cruder immune system) will help scientists and doctors study and treat the human immune system.

Jim · 12 March 2008

Jim: "You’re essentially saying that the case for design must be made before scientists should consider design. If science proceeded on such a basis, science would go nowhere."

Flint: "Here we have, once again, the conviction that if one does not START by ASSUMING one’s conclusions, how can one ever reach them?"

There's essentially no connection between what I said and the conviction you falsely attribute to me. I neither claimed nor suggested that any scientific line of inquiry should begin by assuming its conclusion. That's pretty much what Henry said, which is why I took issue with him.

Flint: "The idea that scientists should consider what the evidence suggests, rather than consider the evidence in light of foregone conclusions, is simply outside the religious mental model."

This claim is rich with irony. Darwinists routinely interpret the evidence (such as the fossil record) in light of their foregone conclusion that Darwinian evolution fully accounts for life's diversity and complexity. There is, for example, no reason to label a particular fossil specimen an intermediate, transitional form between its presumed evolutionary ancestors (e.g., dinosaurs) and its presumed evolutionary descendants (e.g., birds) unless the evolution from dinosaurs to birds is presupposed. Darwinian theory justifies the identification of intermediate, transitional forms, which in turn justifies Darwinism. The circularity in reasoning is palpable.

Flint: "...evolutionary theory itself predicted, as an inevitable necessity, the development of tightly integreted irreducibly complex structures. And this was pointed out 90 years ago!"

Here's what Muller wrote 90 years ago:

"(I)t is likely that lethals are really among the commonest
forms of mutants, but they would be discovered much more readily if they were dominant in regard to some visible character than if they were completely recessive, and this would cause the proportion of lethals among the dominant mutant factors to appear to be excessively high, when compared with the proportion among the recessives. Most present-day animals are the result of a long process of evolution, in which at least thousands of mutations must have taken place. Each new mutant in turn must have derived its survival value from the effect which it produced upon the 'reaction system' that had been brought into being
by the many previously formed factors in cooperation; thus a complicated machine was gradually built up whose effective working was dependent upon the interlocking action of very numerous different elementary parts or factors, and many of the characters and factors which, when new, were originally merely an asset finally became necessary because other necessary characters and factors had subsequently become
changed so as to be dependent on the former. It must result, in consequence, that a dropping out of, or even a slight change in any one of these parts is very likely to disturb fatally the whole machinery; for this reason we should expect very many, if not most, mutations to result in
lethal factors, and of the rest, the majority should be 'semi-lethal' or at least disadvantageous in the struggle for life, and likely to set wrong any delicately balanced system, such as the reproductive system. Although THIS CONCLUSION (emphasis added) had suggested itself to the writer in 1912 it would manifestly have been very difficult to obtain experimental evidence for it, not only because of the great rarity with which mutations of any sort occur, but more especially because the detection of a lethal mutation, after. it has occurred, requires special breeding tests of the particular flies containing the lethal factor."

Muller was arguing that mutations tend to be lethal because the "elementary parts" of organisms exhibit "interlocking complexity," which he assumed to be the result of Darwinian evolution. Please note, however, that Muller's interlocking complexity refers to the functional interdependence of the parts of the whole organism. If his interlocking complexity is exactly the same as Behe's irreducible complexity, then there should be a clearly identifiable function (not functions) of the organism that is lost if one of those parts is not present in the organism. So, what is the specific function performed by, say, a dog? To say that the function of a dog is to live doesn't provide the kind of functional specificity needed to also say that a dog is an irreducibly complex biological system. Irreducible complexity is defined by reference to the specific function of a biological system; Muller's interlocking complexity is defined by reference to the functional interdependence of an organism's systems. The two are not the same. Darwinism might predict the latter, but it doesn't predict the former.

It should also be noted that the point Muller was making was a conclusion, not a prediction. Hopefully I don't need to point out the difference between the two.

Jim · 12 March 2008

minimalist: "Your entire argument, then, boils down to 'I don’t understand it, so I’ll just go with what makes me feel better.'"

It's no doubt the case that the technical details of the transposon model are fully understandable only to trained biologists, but the fundamental flaw in the model is that it doesn't demonstrate Darwinian evolution; it simply assumes it.
While wading through the eye-glazing technicalities of the transposon model, any alert reader should be able see that the model doesn't actually show what it supposedly shows: that random mutations and natural selection brought the immune system into being step by tiny Darwinian step. The model simply hangs transposons on Darwinian assumptions without actually showing a Darwinian pathway that the evolution of the immune system might have followed.

Stanton · 12 March 2008

Jim: The model simply hangs transposons on Darwinian assumptions without actually showing a Darwinian pathway that the evolution of the immune system might have followed.
Then the onus is on you, Jim, to demonstrate exactly how Intelligent Design "theory" can explain this particular phenomenon better than "Darwinian" explanations.

PvM · 12 March 2008

Then the onus is on you, Jim, to demonstrate exactly how Intelligent Design “theory” can explain this particular phenomenon better than “Darwinian” explanations.

Good luck

Henry J · 12 March 2008

Henry: “…evolutionary biologists reject ID because nobody is as yet used the concept of ID to explain anything.” Needless to say, design theorists would dispute your assertion.

Then please describe the pattern of observations that they've explained as logical consequence of their premise that life was in some way deliberately engineered.

Henry: “Come up with a consistently observed pattern in the evidence, such that it could be a logical consequence of life (or some aspect of it) being deliberately engineered, and scientists would be quite happy to research the possibilities.” You’re essentially saying that the case for design must be made before scientists should consider design. If science proceeded on such a basis, science would go nowhere.

Huh? Of course a scientist has to make a case for a hypothesis before other scientists will accept it. That's what Darwin did when he wrote his book. Henry

minimalist · 12 March 2008

Jim,

Is this to be a version of the "show me every single fossil intermediate in a smooth transition or evolution is false?" type of argument?

Man, look at those goalposts fly!

Behe claimed that the immune system could not have evolved, that it was irreducible -- take one part away and it ceases to function.

Scientists showed that not only is the immune system reducible, but even the proposed precursor could act, at a molecular level, in ways identical to the 'modern' immune system!

The same thing happened with Behe's claims about the bacterial flagellum. He claimed that you could not have a bacterial flagellum without, what, 40-odd components? Only to be proven wrong, time and again, as species were discovered with far fewer components.

In short, as my entire point has been all along (despite your attempt to move the goalposts), is: which model actually advanced the state of knowledge? Which "side" actually rolled up its sleeves and did the dirty work of testing its model?

Science says, "Here's what we know. How can we test it?"

Behe says, "Here's what we know. We shall go no further! HERE THERE BE DRAGONS"

Which, in principle, is the more fruitful approach, do you think?

Flint · 12 March 2008

Darwinists routinely interpret the evidence (such as the fossil record) in light of their foregone conclusion that Darwinian evolution fully accounts for life’s diversity and complexity.

I'll deal with one deliberate misrepresentation at a time, to avoid the Gish Gallop of mendacity Jim is trying to palm off on us. It doesn't take a whole lot of comprehension of science (but it takes *enough*, which is perhaps the problem?) to understand the relationship between theory and evidence. First, people make observations. Then, they construct potential explanations for how the observations fit together, and what they mean. Based on these proposals, they construct tests. These tests are, accordingly, guided by the context within which the proposals are made. Theories give rise to hypotheses. However, each test must continue to support the proposed explanation. Failed tests undermine theories and hypotheses. A rabbit fossil in the precambrian would do very grave damage to much of what Jim falsely calls a foregone conclusion. Indeed, literally thousands of observations are made every day, in labs worldwide, which potentially could wreck or seriously damage evolutionary theory. None of them do, not because every one of these observations is "misinterpreted", but because the theory is basically correct. Jim once again carefully forgets (or omits to mention, for some reason) that before Darwin, evidence was interpreted within the context of God's Creation, as specified in the (operative translation of) the bible. And the problem was, the evidence DID NOT FIT this context. It became necessary to find a more coherent and predictive explanation; the religious one didn't work. Exactly this problem would face current evolutionary theory, if observations started to be made that conflicted with it, or supported some competing theory more consistently and persuasively. This hasn't happened, not because every (non-creationist) scientist in the world is brainwashed, but because science uses reality, rather than religious preference, as the arbiter of knowledge. Something Jim just cannot bring himself to admit.

Jim · 12 March 2008

Henry: "Then please describe the pattern of observations that they’ve explained as logical consequence of their premise that life was in some way deliberately engineered."

In a nutshell, ID theorists argue that biological systems that exhibit specified complexity justify design inferences. Examples of such systems include the bacterial flagellum, the blood-clotting cascade, the immune system, and other systems that are irreducibly complex. Other examples include the biomacromolecules that carry and express the complex specified information that shapes the chemicals of life into living organisms.

Jim: "You’re essentially saying that the case for design must be made before scientists should consider design. If science proceeded on such a basis, science would go nowhere."

Henry: "Huh? Of course a scientist has to make a case for a hypothesis before other scientists will accept it."

I wasn't talking about a hypothesis (or theory) being accepted, or confirmed (to the extent that science ever confirms its hypotheses). I was talking about considering a hypothesis (meaning that the hypothesis will receive scientific scrutiny). The case for a hypothesis is closed (if it is closed at all) after extensive research warrants its acceptance, not before. You seemed to be saying that a hypothesis must be shown to be worthy of acceptance before any research begins. Darwin's hypothesis (that random variations and natural selection are the engine of evolution) was widely rejected by his peers, but it has since won widespread acceptance among biologists (which has no bearing on its validity). To say that a hypothesis has been accepted is to say that the case for the hypothesis has been credibly made in the eyes of those who accept it.

Henry J · 12 March 2008

In a nutshell, ID theorists argue that biological systems that exhibit specified complexity justify design inferences. Examples of such systems include [...]

"specified complexity" is an advertising slogan, not an observation.

You seemed to be saying that a hypothesis must be shown to be worthy of acceptance before any research begins.

I didn't mean to say that. Enough of a case has to be made in order for research to seem worthwhile.

Darwinists routinely interpret the evidence (such as the fossil record) in light of their foregone conclusion that Darwinian evolution fully accounts for life’s diversity and complexity.

I don't know about Darwinists, whoever they might be, but of course biologists today behave as if the current theory was already confirmed beyond reasonable doubt. They're not doing research to confirm a theory they've already accepted, they're doing research to learn new stuff about it. Henry

Jim · 13 March 2008

minimalist: "Is this to be a version of the 'show me every single fossil intermediate in a smooth transition or evolution is false?' type of argument?"

No. The absence of evidence neither confirms nor disconfirms a theory, but the conspicuous absence of any unambiguous intermediate, transitional forms is (as Darwin candidly admitted) a serious problem for Darwinism. The continuum of life posited by Darwinism is not seen in the fossil record, which is instead characterized by (in Gould's words) sudden appearance and stasis. The fossil record argues against Darwinian gradualism more persuasively than it argues for it, which is why Gould and Eldredge developed their theory of punctuated equilibrium. Punk eek is an ingenious solution to the problem with the fossils, but since punk eek also lacks confirmation, it primarily demonstrates how wonderfully adept Darwinists are in rationalizing the failures of their theory. The problem may be with the fossils, but skeptics are entitled to think that the problem is with the theory.

minimalist: "Science says, 'Here’s what we know. How can we test it?' Behe says, 'Here’s what we know. We shall go no further! HERE THERE BE DRAGONS.' Which, in principle, is the more fruitful approach, do you think?"

The scientific approach. The approach you attribute to Behe is bogus. The design hypothesis is every bit as testable and potentially falsifiable as Darwinism. Indeed, it would be much easier to falsify design than it would be to falsify Darwinism. If it could be credibly shown that a biological system that design theory attributes to design was the product of unintelligent material causes, then design theory would be refuted on the grounds that one does not invoke intelligent causes when unintelligent material causes will do. But Darwinists insist that their theory cannot be falsified until every conceivable Darwinian pathway has been shown to be incapable of leading to an irreducibly complex biological system. A demonstration of that kind would require an exhaustive search of all conceptual possibilities, something that can't be done. For every objection to the presumed creative powers of Darwinian mechanisms, Darwinists have a just-so story to fill the gap. Raise a new objection and a new story will be forthcoming. Since the just-so stories never end, Darwinism can't be falsified.

Jim · 13 March 2008

Flint: "It doesn’t take a whole lot of comprehension of science (but it takes *enough*, which is perhaps the problem?) to understand the relationship between theory and evidence."

If the interpretation of the evidence is informed by a theory, then the interpretation of the evidence doesn't serve to confirm the theory. There must be a way to interpret the evidence independently of the theory to avoid reasoning in a circle. If independent interpretations of the evidence can be made, and if those interpretations can be shown to meet the predictions and hypotheses of the theory, then the evidence serves to confirm the theory. But if a theory is used to justify an interpretation of the evidence, then the interpretation of the evidence doesn't justify the theory. For example, if archaeopteryx is interpreted to be an intermediate, transitional form between dinosaurs and birds simply because Darwinism needs (or predicts) intermediate, transitional forms between dinosaurs and birds (and archaeopteryx is a promising candidate), then the labeling of archaeopteryx as an intermediate, transitional form does nothing to confirm Darwinism. That would be a situation where the theory justifies the interpretation, which in turn justifies the theory. Such circularity in reasoning can't confirm anything.

Jim · 13 March 2008

Jim: "Darwinists routinely interpret the evidence (such as the fossil record) in light of their foregone conclusion that Darwinian evolution fully accounts for life’s diversity and complexity."

Flint: "I’ll deal with one deliberate misrepresentation at a time, to avoid the Gish Gallop of mendacity Jim is trying to palm off on us."

I'm deliberating stating things that I believe to be true. I could be wrong, but I'm not lying and I rather resent the accusation that I am. I've noticed that one of the constants in the evo/ID debate is that anyone who argues for ID will almost invariably be accused of lying if he says something that the evolution side of the debate regards as wrong. PZ Myers has developed this supercilious presumption of inerrancy to an art form, which is why I find him so easy to ignore.

By the way, Gish is a creationist, not an ID proponent. Many, if not most, creationists are either lukewarm towards ID theory or actually oppose it because the theory makes no attempt to validate the Genesis account of creation.

Stanton · 13 March 2008

So, then, Jim, please explain how does Intelligent Design "theory" present a superior description and explanation of the fossil record than does "Darwinism"?

Also, you have not explained how claiming that the vertebrate immune system is "irreducibly complex" helps scientists and doctors to study it. In fact, you have not explained how "irreducible complexity" is more helpful to Biology, Medicine or Agriculture than "descent with modification." Why is that?

Bill Gascoyne · 13 March 2008

So, then, Jim, please explain how does Intelligent Design “theory” present a superior description and explanation of the fossil record than does “Darwinism”?

Prediction: "Well, anything would be superior to..."

PvM · 13 March 2008

No. The absence of evidence neither confirms nor disconfirms a theory, but the conspicuous absence of any unambiguous intermediate, transitional forms is (as Darwin candidly admitted) a serious problem for Darwinism. The continuum of life posited by Darwinism is not seen in the fossil record, which is instead characterized by (in Gould’s words) sudden appearance and stasis. The fossil record argues against Darwinian gradualism more persuasively than it argues for it, which is why Gould and Eldredge developed their theory of punctuated equilibrium.

This sounds like an excerpt from a creationist tract and not surprisingly it is totally wrong. Jim, are you interested in exploring your errors? I do not want to waste my time A sample:

Since we proposed punctuated equilibria to explain trends, it is infuriating to be quoted again and again by creationists—whether through design or stupidity, I do not know—as admitting that the fossil record includes no transitional forms. Transitional forms are generally lacking at the species level, but they are abundant between larger groups.

Guess who said this? No peeking...

The design hypothesis is every bit as testable and potentially falsifiable as Darwinism

if it made any positive predictions, it would be. So tell us what does ID predict about the flagellum, other than that evolutionary principles cannot explain it? There is just nothing...

PvM · 13 March 2008

Darwin’s hypothesis (that random variations and natural selection are the engine of evolution) was widely rejected by his peers, but it has since won widespread acceptance among biologists (which has no bearing on its validity). To say that a hypothesis has been accepted is to say that the case for the hypothesis has been credibly made in the eyes of those who accept it.

— Jim
Darwin presented a well reasoned document to outline his hypothesis. Claiming "it's all designed" really is not sufficient. If ID proponents believe that there is relevancy to the so far eliminatively formulated attempts then fine, but explain to me: How does ID again explains the bacterial flagellum?

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 13 March 2008

@ Jim:
Simply imagining a Darwinian pathway constitutes neither a test nor a confirmation of Darwinian theory.
Let me be clear that I'm discussing evolution here, not Darwin's old theory. I exactly specified what the test meant, it provides the necessary pathways. As you can't come up with a problem with the test, you must agree.
If imagining possible pathways is all that it takes to confirm Darwinism, then Darwinism is effectively unfalsifiable,
Now you are blabbering. You discussed darwinian theory in the previous sentence, now you are discussing something you dreamed up and call "Darwinism". What is it? Darwinian theory or ???. With respect to evolution, the test could have failed. So can countless other tests. A precambrian rabbit certainly would falsify evolution.
It can’t compose (or bring into being) biological information. [...] Yes, but selection doesn’t compose the information that it sorts out, which is the point. [...] believing that the blind Darwinian mechanism generated the vast amounts of biological information in complex organisms
Dawkins explains this in more detail for you. The populations genome is learning of the environment by narrowing probability distributions in selection. Mutations destroys information by broadening the distributions, not by "composing" as there is no "composer" or "designer". Remember that information is relative to the observer. The genome is the observer that utilizes the information, not the outsider studying the system. You demonstrate precisely why your 'definition of information' (where is it?) fails even if you could give one, as I did. There is no belief here, the ev program shows how selection increases information and mutation decreases it by measuring the Shannon information directly.
The fossil record shows the emergence of different species throughout life’s history; it doesn’t show that the speciation was caused by Darwinian mechanisms.
This is an answer to an aside after I showed you that your claims aren't engaging the science. Now you do it again, evolution (already the old Darwinian theory), predicts speciation. If you have a better theory that does this you must present it. Also, there is much more that evolution explains, so there is no reasonable doubt that it is the correct theory. as I mentioned, read TalkOrigins instead of making your strawmen argument.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 13 March 2008

@ Jim:
I wasn’t talking about rejecting theories; I was talking about confirming them.
Exactly, you missed what constitutes the power in the scientific method, empirical testing and rejection of falsehoods.
but it can’t provide us with certainty that the theory is valid.
As I already noted and you conveniently try to slip by, certainty is commonly the set difference to uncertainty - you are discussing absolute certainty and absolute Truth. But science is about observable facts and testable theories, and can give certainty beyond reasonable doubt. You should learn about science.
If the collection of specific data is, in the main, consistent with the theory, then we inductively generalize to say that the theory has been confidently “confirmed.”
Claim "confirmation" all what you want, but it doesn't explain why theories are tested and false theories rejected. Learn about science.
which you conveniently clipped in (mis)quoting me,
It is common practice in blogs to quote essential parts, since the texts are on the same page, so there can be no misquotation. You can write less if you want people to quote better. The rest of you claim is that you dismiss testing and falsehood rejection, so see my earlier comment why science can never be described as deductive. You also replace certainty with trust (confidence). Trust is earned over time, it isn't what you get from single tests - from single tests you get certainty (or rejection). You should learn about science.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 13 March 2008

@ Jim:
I neither claimed nor suggested that today’s amphibians are the evolutionary ancestors of humans.
where is the experimental evidence showing that Darwinian mechanisms turned the frog into a prince?
Can you at least put truthful claims? The point is that modern amphibians (Lissamphibia) have little to do with the tetrapod forms that are our ancestors. They are our cousins, not our ancestors. We need to make that clear, as you are less than exact elsewhere. You should learn about science.
To remind you, this thread was kicked off by an article in New Scientist
The claim of irreducible complexity is that interlocking complexity isn't derivable from evolutionary pathways (while interlocking complexity was predicted from evolutionary theory). The article rejects that claim, not that flaggellum is interlocked. You should learn about science.
It can if Muller’s “interlocking complexity” and Behe’s “irreducible complexity” are referring to different things, which they are.
Of course they are as Behe has several conflicting claims, where he doesn't bother to withdraw the old. But the original concept was exactly interlocking complexity, and that is the original basis for the creationist flagellum claim.
Darwin never submitted any of his work to the process of peer review
Of course not, todays journal system didn't exist. He did however get review help before and was subjected to similar scrutiny ever since. It was the science of his time. You should learn about science.

Mike Elzinga · 13 March 2008

If the interpretation of the evidence is informed by a theory, then the interpretation of the evidence doesn’t serve to confirm the theory. There must be a way to interpret the evidence independently of the theory to avoid reasoning in a circle. If independent interpretations of the evidence can be made, and if those interpretations can be shown to meet the predictions and hypotheses of the theory, then the evidence serves to confirm the theory.
So how do you establish the Christian bible as the foundation on which the world and the fossil record should be interpreted? All the arguments we see from creationists are totally circular; namely, bible says of itself that it is true, therefore it is true. Where are the independent lines of evidence that support your sectarian dogma? Are you claiming that the rapid proliferation of mutually suspicious sects is generating multiple independent lines of evidence? Why are all of the members of these sects exempt from providing evidence for their dogmas?

But if a theory is used to justify an interpretation of the evidence, then the interpretation of the evidence doesn’t justify the theory. For example, if archaeopteryx is interpreted to be an intermediate, transitional form between dinosaurs and birds simply because Darwinism needs (or predicts) intermediate, transitional forms between dinosaurs and birds (and archaeopteryx is a promising candidate), then the labeling of archaeopteryx as an intermediate, transitional form does nothing to confirm Darwinism. That would be a situation where the theory justifies the interpretation, which in turn justifies the theory. Such circularity in reasoning can’t confirm anything.

So you don’t believe that there are multiple independent lines of evidence that hold up the theory of evolution? Do you think that every independent line of evidence is a self-consistent, circular form of reasoning? How does the convergence of the evidence from multiple independent lines imply circularity? So; you don't believe physics or geology or any other science has anything to say in the matter? How does archaeopteryx confirm the Christian bible? It appears that you don't know what you believe.

Richard Simons · 13 March 2008

I wasn’t talking about rejecting theories; I was talking about confirming them. Confirmation of a theory requires positive evidence for the theory, meaning that it must pass the important tests with great consistency.
Not really. A theory is regarded as being reliable when it has survived all attempts to disconfirm it. Eventually it has passed enough tests that to all intents and purposes it can be regarded as having been confirmed.
The absence of evidence neither confirms nor disconfirms a theory, but the conspicuous absence of any unambiguous intermediate, transitional forms is (as Darwin candidly admitted) a serious problem for Darwinism.
Do you seriously consider that there have been no new findings since the days of Darwin? If you do not consider Tiktaalik, for example, to be an intermediate, transitional form, what exactly would you consider to be an intermediate, transitional form? What features would it have to enable you to say 'Ah! Here is a transitional.' Please describe in as much detail as you need to make it clear to us. Alternatively, pick Archaeopteryx, Ambulocetus, Homo habilis or any alternative that is generally considered to be a transitional form and explain why that is not correct.
For example, if archaeopteryx is interpreted to be an intermediate, transitional form between dinosaurs and birds simply because Darwinism needs (or predicts) intermediate, transitional forms between dinosaurs and birds (and archaeopteryx is a promising candidate), then the labeling of archaeopteryx as an intermediate, transitional form does nothing to confirm Darwinism.
That is not the reason that it is considered to be a transitional form and if you knew anything about the species you would know this.
The design hypothesis is every bit as testable and potentially falsifiable as Darwinism. Indeed, it would be much easier to falsify design than it would be to falsify Darwinism. If it could be credibly shown that a biological system that design theory attributes to design was the product of unintelligent material causes, then design theory would be refuted on the grounds that one does not invoke intelligent causes when unintelligent material causes will do.
This is not how it works. No IDer has ever said that a specific result would refute 'design' as a whole. On the occasions when a 'design prediction' has been shown to be wrong, there has been back-pedalling and the redefinition of terms such as Behe's redefinition of specified complexity. Can you, for example, describe an actual experiment that could give two possible results, one of which would lead you to conclude that there is no intelligent design (as distinct from none in that particular situation).

Jim · 14 March 2008

Jim: "The absence of evidence neither confirms nor disconfirms a theory, but the conspicuous absence of any unambiguous intermediate, transitional forms is (as Darwin candidly admitted) a serious problem for Darwinism. The continuum of life posited by Darwinism is not seen in the fossil record, which is instead characterized by (in Gould’s words) sudden appearance and stasis. The fossil record argues against Darwinian gradualism more persuasively than it argues for it, which is why Gould and Eldredge developed their theory of punctuated equilibrium."

PvM: "Jim, are you interested in exploring your errors? I do not want to waste my time..."

Yet you wasted it trying (without success) to show that I was wrong...

1) With regard to my claim that Darwin saw the absence of any unambiguous, intermediate transitional forms as a problem for his theory:

"In the sixth chapter I enumerated the chief objections which might be justly urged against the views maintained in this volume. Most of them have now been discussed. One, namely, the distinctness of specific forms and their not being blended together by innumerable transitional links, is a very obvious difficulty." - Charles Darwin, "The Origin of Species"

"...the difficulty of assigning any good reason for the absence of vast piles of strata rich in fossils beneath the Cambrian system is very great. It does not seem probable that the most ancient beds have been quite worn away by denudation, or that their fossils have been wholly obliterated by metamorphic action, for if this had been the case we should have found only small remnants of the formations next succeeding them in age, and these would always have existed in a partially metamorphosed condition. But the descriptions which we possess of the Silurian deposits over immense territories in Russia and in North America, do not support the view that the older a formation is the more invariably it has suffered extreme denudation and metamorphism. The case at present must remain inexplicable; and may be truly urged as a valid argument against the views here entertained." - Charles Darwin, "The Origin of Species"

2) With regard to my claim that Gould admitted that the continuum of life posited by Darwinian gradualism is not seen in the fossil record:

"The history of most fossil species includes two features particularly inconsistent with gradualism: 1. Stasis. Most species exhibit no directional change during their tenure on earth. They appear in the fossil record looking much the same as when they disappear; morphological change is usually limited and directionless. 2. Sudden appearance. In any local area, a species does not arise gradually by the steady transformation of its ancestors; it appears all at once and 'fully formed.'" - Stephen J. Gould, "Evolution's Erratic Pace," Natural History, Vol. 86, No. 5, May 1977, p.14

3) With regard to my claim that Gould and Eldredge developed their theory of punctuated equilibrium as a reaction to the failure of the fossil record to exhibit Darwinian gradualism:

"As a neonate in 1972, punctuated equilibrium entered the world in unusual guise. We claimed no new discovery, but only a novel interpretation for the oldest and most robust of palaeontological observations: the geologically instantaneous origination and subsequent stability (often for millions of years) of palaeontological 'morphospecies'. This observation had long been ascribed, by Darwin and others, to the notorious imperfection of the fossil record, and was therefore read in a negative light--as missing information about evolution (defined in standard palaeontological textbooks of the time 9 as continuous anagenetic transformation or populations, or phyletic gradualism).

"In a strictly logical sense, this negative explanation worked and preserved gradualism, then falsely equated with evolution itself, amidst an astonishing lack of evidence for this putative main signal of Darwinism. But think of the practical or heuristic dilemma for working paleontologists: if evolution meant gradualism, and imperfection precluded the observation of such steady change, then scientists could not access the very phenomenon that both motivated their interest and built life's history. As young, committed and ambitious parents, we therefore proposed punctuated equilibrium, hoping to validate our profession's primary data as signal rather than void." - Stephen J. Gould and Niles Eldredge, Nature, Vol. 366, 18 November, 1993

Jim: "The design hypothesis is every bit as testable and potentially falsifiable as Darwinism."

PvM: "if it made any positive predictions, it would be."

If you'd like to familiarize yourself with some of the predictions made by ID theory, go to:

http://www.ideacenter.org/stuff/contentmgr/files/becbd98b35e8e07260d4e8e92784cbbb/miscdocs/thepositivecasefordesign_v3.pdf

PvM: "So tell us what does ID predict about the flagellum...?"

ID theory contends that the flagellum is the product of design. How that design might have been actualized is only one of the many research possibilities that the conclusion of design opens up.

Nick (Matzke)) · 14 March 2008

Re: Punctuated equilibria. This concerns only the transitions between closely related species, i.e. evolution within the creationists' version of "microevolution." These are horse-zebra type "within the kind" differences. Punk Eek explains why transitions between closely related species are relatively rare -- basically it applies the standard Neo-Darwinian model of geographically localized speciation to the fossil record and points out that geographically localized speciation will result in punctuations.

There is no such pattern of stasis and lack-of-transitions over bigger transformations. As Gould said in response to creationist quote-mining of him:

"Since we proposed punctuated equilibria to explain trends, it is infuriating to be quoted again and again by creationists -- whether through design or stupidity, I do not know -- as admitting that the fossil record includes no transitional forms. Transitional forms are generally lacking at the species level, but they are abundant between larger groups."

-- "Evolution as Fact and Theory," Hen's Teeth and Horse's Toes: Further Reflections in Natural History, New York: W. W. Norton & Company, 1994, p. 260.

Creationist Kurt Wise knows and admits all of this, including the commonality of transitional fossils over larger transformations. And he's about the only creationist with serious training.

What astounds me is how the larger creationist/ID community is so spectacularly ignorant of the basics of punk eek and what an actual participant like Gould actually said.

Stanton · 14 March 2008

Nick (Matzke)): What astounds me is how the larger creationist/ID community is so spectacularly ignorant of the basics of punk eek and what an actual participant like Gould actually said.
You would be surprised what people are capable of doing after having their eyes put out and ears welded shut.

Jim · 14 March 2008

Torbjörn: “Let me be clear that I’m discussing evolution here, not Darwin’s old theory.”

The problem here is that when you say you’re discussing “evolution,” it’s hard to know what you mean. That slippery word has numerous connotations, some of which are uncontroversial (such as “biological change over time”) and some of which are hotly disputed (such as “the theory that all organisms have descended from a common ancestor by wholly material means, primarily random genetic mutations acted on by natural selection”).

With regard to “Darwin’s old theory,” his core hypothesis – that evolution (or descent with modification) is caused by natural selection acting on random variations – remains intact. Neo-Darwinism (or the Modern Synthesis) brought random genetic mutations into that core hypothesis to account for random variations (which Darwin failed to explain). Like many biologists (Eldredge, Miller, and Margulis come to mind), I refer to neo-Darwinism (which is the dominant modern theory of evolution) as simply “Darwinism” (I sometimes also refer to it as “Darwinian theory”). That term has the virtue of making it plain that I’m referring to a theory that purports to explain evolution, not to the process of evolution itself (however that process might be caused).

Torbjörn: “I exactly specified what the test meant, it provides the necessary pathways. As you can’t come up with a problem with the test, you must agree.”

I assume you’re still referring to the just-so story about the evolution of the Venus flytrap. If that’s the case, I quite disagree that the story provides sufficient detail to actually constitute a test of Darwinism.

Torbjörn: “The genome is the observer that utilizes the information, not the outsider studying the system.”

I don’t dispute it, but since natural selection does no creative work (it simply acts on that which has already been brought into being), it cannot possibly be the “author” of the biological information that is used (or expressed) by the genome. If the Darwinian mechanism of random mutations and natural selection can “compose” the biological information needed to cause the evolution of complex biological systems, then random mutations are the “author” who “composes” the information and natural selection is the “publisher” who spreads the information throughout the genome. The information content of a sequence (whether it’s a sequence of letters or a sequence of nucleotides) is imparted to the sequence by its “author,” not by its “publisher.” Natural selection will “publish” a new nucleotide sequence “authored” by random mutations only if the information in that sequence brings into being an adaptation that is advantageous to the organism.

Torbjörn: “There is no belief here, the ev program shows how selection increases information and mutation decreases it by measuring the Shannon information directly.”

Shannon information is irrelevant to the evolution of organisms. Shannon information is present in any sequence regardless of whether the sequence conveys a message. But in biology, only sequences of nucleotides that convey messages (or instructions) are of any significance. Any sequence of nucleotides produced by random mutations will bear Shannon information, but only sequences that bear meaningful messages (or instructions) will have any effect on the evolution of organisms.

Jim: “The fossil record shows the emergence of different species throughout life’s history; it doesn’t show that the speciation was caused by Darwinian mechanisms.”

Torbjörn: “This is an answer to an aside after I showed you that your claims aren’t engaging the science. Now you do it again, evolution (already the old Darwinian theory), predicts speciation.”

I fail to see that what I wrote about the fossil record is not “engaging the science.” Nor do I see why the mere fact that Darwinism predicts speciation counts as a point in favor of the theory. Unless it can be shown that Darwinian mechanisms cause speciation, validating the prediction that life will be characterized by numerous species (something that the fossil record credibly does) does very little to confirm Darwinism (which purports to explain how speciation occurs). In 1996, biologists Scott Gilbert, John Opitz, and Rudolf Raff (all of whom accept the core tenets of Darwinism) wrote in the journal Developmental Biology: "Genetics might be adequate for explaining microevolution, but microevolutionary changes in gene frequency were not seen as able to turn a reptile into a mammal or to convert a fish into an amphibian. Microevolution looks at adaptations that concern the survival of the fittest, not the arrival of the fittest. The origin of species – Darwin’s problem – remains unsolved.”

In 2008, Darwin’s problem still remains unsolved.

Torbjörn: "If you have a better theory that does this you must present it."

Actually, it's not necessary to have a replacement theory to take issue with an existing theory. Nonetheless, I think that design theory can do what Darwinism (a theory entirely comitted to unintelligent material causes) cannot do, namely, account for the origin of biological information (which, like all information, is not a material phenomenon).

Torbjörn: "...there is no reasonable doubt that (evolution) is the correct theory."

I think there's considerable doubt that it's the correct theory (at least, in the macro sense), and I don't think that the Darwinian faithful have cornered the market on reason.

PvM · 14 March 2008

I don’t dispute it, but since natural selection does no creative work (it simply acts on that which has already been brought into being), it cannot possibly be the “author” of the biological information that is used (or expressed) by the genome. If the Darwinian mechanism of random mutations and natural selection can “compose” the biological information needed to cause the evolution of complex biological systems, then random mutations are the “author” who “composes” the information and natural selection is the “publisher” who spreads the information throughout the genome.

Random variation and no selection: Information can increase via the process of drift Random variation and selection: Information invariably increases in the genome No variation and selection: No information increases It's the combined processes which transfer, contrary to the claims of ID creationists, information from the environment into the genome.

PvM · 14 March 2008

Shannon information is irrelevant to the evolution of organisms. Shannon information is present in any sequence regardless of whether the sequence conveys a message. But in biology, only sequences of nucleotides that convey messages (or instructions) are of any significance. Any sequence of nucleotides produced by random mutations will bear Shannon information, but only sequences that bear meaningful messages (or instructions) will have any effect on the evolution of organisms.

Shannon information is an essential concept as Shannon information increases invariably when there are processes of variation and selection. A sequence of nucleotides produced by random mutations will have zero shannon information, contrary to your claim. How familiar are you with Shannon information?

PvM · 14 March 2008

In 1996, biologists Scott Gilbert, John Opitz, and Rudolf Raff (all of whom accept the core tenets of Darwinism) wrote in the journal Developmental Biology: “Genetics might be adequate for explaining microevolution, but microevolutionary changes in gene frequency were not seen as able to turn a reptile into a mammal or to convert a fish into an amphibian. Microevolution looks at adaptations that concern the survival of the fittest, not the arrival of the fittest. The origin of species – Darwin’s problem – remains unsolved.” In 2008, Darwin’s problem still remains unsolved.

Nice quote mining What does Gilbert have to say on this topic?

“My research on turtles and my research into evolutionary developmental biology is fully within Darwinian parameters. My gripe has been that neo-Darwinism has supposed that population genetics was the only genetics needed to explain Darwinian evolution. I claim that developmental genetics is also needed. So my research has been to include developmental genetics into the Darwinian mix.” And Douglas L. Erwin (author of [24]) told NCSE, “While the article considers the relationship between micro - and macro- evolution, the Discovery Institute is inaccurate in saying that I am challenging the standard view of evolution. The treatment of macroevolution in that paper is an extension, but by no means a challenge. Further, although more work may be needed to fully understand macroevolutionary events, there is no evidence that requires, or even suggests, a role for so-called ‘intelligent design’.”

— Scott Gilbert

PvM · 14 March 2008

Actually, it’s not necessary to have a replacement theory to take issue with an existing theory. Nonetheless, I think that design theory can do what Darwinism (a theory entirely comitted to unintelligent material causes) cannot do, namely, account for the origin of biological information (which, like all information, is not a material phenomenon).

A totally vacuous claim, which argues without any further evidence that 1. Information is not a 'material phenomenon' 2. That ID can explain information in the genome (better than Darwinian theory) I can show you how simple Darwinian processes can explain information in the genome. You have yet to show us ID's explanation.

Richard Simons · 14 March 2008

The problem here is that when you say you’re discussing “evolution,” it’s hard to know what you mean. That slippery word has numerous connotations, some of which are uncontroversial (such as “biological change over time”) and some of which are hotly disputed (such as “the theory that all organisms have descended from a common ancestor by wholly material means, primarily random genetic mutations acted on by natural selection”).
There has been some discussion as to whether life started from an individual or if it initiated from a swarm of individuals that were exchanging material. To call it 'hotly disputed' is a gross misrepresentation. There is, of course, a bunch of (almost entirely) non-biologists who are trying to claim that a god (but we've not to use that word) was involved, but amongst biologists they are largely considered to be irrelevent.

Jim · 14 March 2008

Jim: “I wasn’t talking about rejecting theories; I was talking about confirming them.”

Torbjörn: “Exactly, you missed what constitutes the power in the scientific method, empirical testing and rejection of falsehoods.”

Empirical testing has been at the heart of my comments about the problem of induction. Empirical testing provides specific data; if the specific data is, in the main, consistent with a theory, then scientists can inductively generalize to say that the theory has been confidently confirmed. Certainly falsehoods should be rejected, but that does not obviate the need to provide positive evidence *for* a theory.

Jim: “(The scientific method) can’t provide us with certainty …”

Torbjörn: ”As I already noted and you conveniently try to slip by, certainty is commonly the set difference to uncertainty - you are discussing absolute certainty and absolute Truth. But science is about observable facts and testable theories, and can give certainty beyond reasonable doubt. You should learn about science."

“Reasonable doubt” is a legal concept, not a scientific concept. But setting that aside, you’re saying essentially the same thing that I’ve been saying: that with respect to scientific theories, the scientific method does not deliver the kind of certainty that warrants saying “I know that this theory is true.” At best it only empowers a scientist to say “I am quite confident that this theory is true.” To remind you, this particular thread was kicked off by Nick’s claim that he knows how the immune system could have evolved, a claim that the scientific method does not empower him to make.

Torbjörn: “Claim ‘confirmation’ all what you want, but it doesn’t explain why theories are tested and false theories rejected.”

If theories aren’t tested with an eye towards confirming them (to the extent that the scientific method can deliver confirmation), then why test them at all?

Torbjörn: “Learn about science.”

As much as I enjoy a good debate, there are two kinds of people I generally ignore:

1) Those who resort to name-calling (which is why I pay little or no attention to Stanton).

2) Those who resort to condescension (which is why I’m done with you).

PvM · 14 March 2008

Empirical testing has been at the heart of my comments about the problem of induction. Empirical testing provides specific data; if the specific data is, in the main, consistent with a theory, then scientists can inductively generalize to say that the theory has been confidently confirmed. Certainly falsehoods should be rejected, but that does not obviate the need to provide positive evidence *for* a theory.

Which is why an approach which runs into the problem of induction by the nature of its argument, Intelligent Design's "design inference" is extremely irrelevant. Are you saying that there is no 'positive evidence' for the theory of evolution?

Jim · 14 March 2008

Mike: “So how do you establish the Christian bible as the foundation on which the world and the fossil record should be interpreted?”

How did the Bible get into this? There’s nothing in design theory about the Bible. Or about God, for that matter.

Mike: “All the arguments we see from creationists are totally circular; namely, bible says of itself that it is true, therefore it is true. “

Since I’m not a young-earth creationist (which is what the term “creationist” most commonly refers to), I have no interest in debating this point with you, Mike.

Mike: “Do you think that every independent line of evidence is a self-consistent, circular form of reasoning?”

No, but evolutionary biologists indulge in circular reasoning with such regularity that I think they’ve become unaware that they’re doing it. Aside from the circularity involved in labeling intermediate, transitional forms, circular reasoning is also involved in identifying vestigial organs (evolutionary theory “justifies” the claim that an organ is vestigial, which is then used to “justify” evolutionary theory), and in identifying homologous structures (common ancestry is used to “justify” the claim of homology, which is then used to “justify” common ancestry).

Mike: “How does archaeopteryx confirm the Christian bible?”

How did the Bible get into this? If you want to debate a creationist, you’ll need to look elsewhere.

Stanton · 14 March 2008

What experiments or other forms of empirical tests have been done to confirm Intelligent Design "theory", Jim?

What experiments did Behe do to confirm that the bacterial and eukaryotic flagella were designed? What experiments did Behe do to confirm that the blood-clotting cascade system and the vertebrate immune system were designed?

Behe never so much as even hinted to any sort of experimental work that lead his conclusions. That is why I asked you in the first place. Perhaps you would like to explain the reason why you have not so much as even given the slightest hint to the sort of experimental work that can be done to confirm Intelligent Design "theory" in any of your posts?

Nick (Matzke)) · 14 March 2008

Well Jim, speaking of condescension,

1. You haven't dealt with any of the science of immune system evolution. For example, explain to me why scientists thought there should be a free-living transposon related to the immune system RAG genes, when the only evidence for the existence of such a transposon was the fact that the RAG genes look like a modified transposon. Successful prediction, dramatically successful test.

2. You haven't admitted that you misconstrued Gould's view, and you haven't dealt with the transitional fossils that he and other paleontologists say exist (go here for a primer on those or read Prothero's new book).

Please remind me, why should I take you or your arguments seriously?

Stanton · 14 March 2008

Jim: Mike: “Do you think that every independent line of evidence is a self-consistent, circular form of reasoning?” No, but evolutionary biologists indulge in circular reasoning with such regularity that I think they’ve become unaware that they’re doing it. Aside from the circularity involved in labeling intermediate, transitional forms, circular reasoning is also involved in identifying vestigial organs (evolutionary theory “justifies” the claim that an organ is vestigial, which is then used to “justify” evolutionary theory), and in identifying homologous structures (common ancestry is used to “justify” the claim of homology, which is then used to “justify” common ancestry).
The onus is on you and other Intelligent Design proponents to explain how fossil organisms that paleontologists and biologists have identified as being "transitional species" support Intelligent Design "theory," and not "descent with modification."
Mike: “How does archaeopteryx confirm the Christian bible?” How did the Bible get into this? If you want to debate a creationist, you’ll need to look elsewhere.
Likewise, please explain how Archaeopteryx supports Intelligent Design "theory," and not "descent with modification."

PvM · 14 March 2008

And since Darwin, many more unambiguous transitional fossils have been found. So your argument at best is that Darwin lacked the data, something that has been corrected. 2) With regard to my claim that Gould admitted that the continuum of life posited by Darwinian gradualism is not seen in the fossil record: “The history of most fossil species includes two features particularly inconsistent with gradualism: 1. Stasis. Most species exhibit no directional change during their tenure on earth. They appear in the fossil record looking much the same as when they disappear; morphological change is usually limited and directionless. 2. Sudden appearance. In any local area, a species does not arise gradually by the steady transformation of its ancestors; it appears all at once and ‘fully formed.’” - Stephen J. Gould, “Evolution’s Erratic Pace,” Natural History, Vol. 86, No. 5, May 1977, p.14

Even though Gould does outline both gradual as well as stasis and abrupt changes? You are wrong to claim that Gould stated this. Quote mining statements which appear to support your claim while ignoring quotes that disprove your claim is not a very convincing method of argument.

3) With regard to my claim that Gould and Eldredge developed their theory of punctuated equilibrium as a reaction to the failure of the fossil record to exhibit Darwinian gradualism: “As a neonate in 1972, punctuated equilibrium entered the world in unusual guise. We claimed no new discovery, but only a novel interpretation for the oldest and most robust of palaeontological observations: the geologically instantaneous origination and subsequent stability (often for millions of years) of palaeontological ‘morphospecies’. This observation had long been ascribed, by Darwin and others, to the notorious imperfection of the fossil record, and was therefore read in a negative light–as missing information about evolution (defined in standard palaeontological textbooks of the time 9 as continuous anagenetic transformation or populations, or phyletic gradualism). “In a strictly logical sense, this negative explanation worked and preserved gradualism, then falsely equated with evolution itself, amidst an astonishing lack of evidence for this putative main signal of Darwinism. But think of the practical or heuristic dilemma for working paleontologists: if evolution meant gradualism, and imperfection precluded the observation of such steady change, then scientists could not access the very phenomenon that both motivated their interest and built life’s history. As young, committed and ambitious parents, we therefore proposed punctuated equilibrium, hoping to validate our profession’s primary data as signal rather than void.” - Stephen J. Gould and Niles Eldredge, Nature, Vol. 366, 18 November, 1993

Again you are very selectively quote mining Gould while ignoring what he said

Jim: “The design hypothesis is every bit as testable and potentially falsifiable as Darwinism.” PvM: “if it made any positive predictions, it would be.” If you’d like to familiarize yourself with some of the predictions made by ID theory, go to:

Unless you provide me with some specific examples us to discuss, I reject your claim.

PvM: “So tell us what does ID predict about the flagellum…?” ID theory contends that the flagellum is the product of design. How that design might have been actualized is only one of the many research possibilities that the conclusion of design opens up.

A totally vacuous statement where design is defined as 'we don't know'. So in other words, ID claims that since we do not know how the flagellum arose, we should consider it to be 'designed'. A total abuse of language and logic.

Stanton · 14 March 2008

PvM:

Yet you wasted it trying (without success) to show that I was wrong… 1) With regard to my claim that Darwin saw the absence of any unambiguous, intermediate transitional forms as a problem for his theory:

And since Darwin, many more unambiguous transitional fossils have been found. So your argument at best is that Darwin lacked the data, something that has been corrected.

2) With regard to my claim that Gould admitted that the continuum of life posited by Darwinian gradualism is not seen in the fossil record: “The history of most fossil species includes two features particularly inconsistent with gradualism: 1. Stasis. Most species exhibit no directional change during their tenure on earth. They appear in the fossil record looking much the same as when they disappear; morphological change is usually limited and directionless. 2. Sudden appearance. In any local area, a species does not arise gradually by the steady transformation of its ancestors; it appears all at once and ‘fully formed.’” - Stephen J. Gould, “Evolution’s Erratic Pace,” Natural History, Vol. 86, No. 5, May 1977, p.14

Even though Gould does outline both gradual as well as stasis and abrupt changes? You are wrong to claim that Gould stated this. Quote mining statements which appear to support your claim while ignoring quotes that disprove your claim is not a very convincing method of argument.

3) With regard to my claim that Gould and Eldredge developed their theory of punctuated equilibrium as a reaction to the failure of the fossil record to exhibit Darwinian gradualism: “As a neonate in 1972, punctuated equilibrium entered the world in unusual guise. We claimed no new discovery, but only a novel interpretation for the oldest and most robust of palaeontological observations: the geologically instantaneous origination and subsequent stability (often for millions of years) of palaeontological ‘morphospecies’. This observation had long been ascribed, by Darwin and others, to the notorious imperfection of the fossil record, and was therefore read in a negative light–as missing information about evolution (defined in standard palaeontological textbooks of the time 9 as continuous anagenetic transformation or populations, or phyletic gradualism). “In a strictly logical sense, this negative explanation worked and preserved gradualism, then falsely equated with evolution itself, amidst an astonishing lack of evidence for this putative main signal of Darwinism. But think of the practical or heuristic dilemma for working paleontologists: if evolution meant gradualism, and imperfection precluded the observation of such steady change, then scientists could not access the very phenomenon that both motivated their interest and built life’s history. As young, committed and ambitious parents, we therefore proposed punctuated equilibrium, hoping to validate our profession’s primary data as signal rather than void.” - Stephen J. Gould and Niles Eldredge, Nature, Vol. 366, 18 November, 1993

Again you are very selectively quote mining Gould while ignoring what he said

Jim: “The design hypothesis is every bit as testable and potentially falsifiable as Darwinism.” PvM: “if it made any positive predictions, it would be.” If you’d like to familiarize yourself with some of the predictions made by ID theory, go to:

Unless you provide me with some specific examples us to discuss, I reject your claim.

PvM: “So tell us what does ID predict about the flagellum…?” ID theory contends that the flagellum is the product of design. How that design might have been actualized is only one of the many research possibilities that the conclusion of design opens up.

A totally vacuous statement where design is defined as 'we don't know'. So in other words, ID claims that since we do not know how the flagellum arose, we should consider it to be 'designed'. A total abuse of language and logic.

Jim · 14 March 2008

Richard: "If you do not consider Tiktaalik, for example, to be an intermediate, transitional form, what exactly would you consider to be an intermediate, transitional form? What features would it have to enable you to say 'Ah! Here is a transitional.'"

The features of Tiktaalik make it a good candidate to be an intermediate, transitional form between fish and amphibians. Tiktaalik gives every appearance of being morphologically intermediate in some ways between fish and amphibians, but unless one presupposes that amphibians evolved from fish, there's no good reason to label Tiktaalik an intermediate,
transitional form. Frankly, I don't know how intermediate, transitional forms could be identified independent of the assumptions of evolutionary theory, but unless such independent identification can be made, the organisms that are labeled intermediate, transitional forms can't justify
the theory.

Jim: "For example, if archaeopteryx is interpreted to be an intermediate, transitional form between dinosaurs and birds simply because Darwinism needs (or predicts) intermediate, transitional forms between dinosaurs and birds (and archaeopteryx is a promising candidate), then the labeling of
archaeopteryx as an intermediate, transitional form does nothing to confirm Darwinism."

Richard: "That is not the reason that it is considered to be a transitional form and if you knew anything about the species you would know this."

Because Darwinism needs ancestor/descendant relationships, transitional forms can also be called "ancestors." While I readily admit that I'm not an expert in paleontology, Gareth Nelson (American Museum of Natural History) is. In an interview published in the Wall Street Journal , Nelson candidly described what the identification of "ancestors" means in practice:

"We've got to have some ancestors. We'll pick those. Why? Because we know they have to be there, and these are the best candidates. That's by and large the way it has worked. I am not exaggerating."

Richard: "No IDer has ever said that a specific result would refute 'design' as a whole."

Perhaps I should have indicated that I was borrowing from design theorist Wm. Dembski, who wrote (in "The Design Revolution):

"If it could be shown that biological systems that are wonderfully complex, elegant, and integrated - such as the bacterial flagellum - could have been formed by a
gradual Darwinian process (and thus that irreducible complexity is an illusion), then intelligent design would be refuted on the general grounds that one does not invoke intelligent causes when undirected natural causes will do. In that case Occam's razor would finish off intelligent design quite nicely."

Perhaps you should read what ID theorists actually say, rather than the things that are falsely attributed to them on blogs like Pharyngula and The Panda's Thumb.

Stanton · 14 March 2008

Jim: The features of Tiktaalik make it a good candidate to be an intermediate, transitional form between fish and amphibians. Tiktaalik gives every appearance of being morphologically intermediate in some ways between fish and amphibians, but unless one presupposes that amphibians evolved from fish, there's no good reason to label Tiktaalik an intermediate, transitional form. Frankly, I don't know how intermediate, transitional forms could be identified independent of the assumptions of evolutionary theory, but unless such independent identification can be made, the organisms that are labeled intermediate, transitional forms can't justify the theory.
So then what does Intelligent Design "theory" say about Tiktaalik, and why is it better than what Evolutionary Biology says about it?
Perhaps you should read what ID theorists actually say, rather than the things that are falsely attributed to them on blogs like Pharyngula and The Panda's Thumb.
Well, then, what are they really saying?

Jim · 14 March 2008

Jim: "In 1996, biologists Scott Gilbert, John Opitz, and Rudolf Raff (all of whom accept the core tenets of Darwinism) wrote in the journal Developmental Biology: 'Genetics might be adequate for explaining microevolution, but microevolutionary changes in gene frequency were not seen as able to turn a reptile into a mammal or to convert a fish into an amphibian. Microevolution looks at adaptations that concern the survival of the fittest, not the arrival of the fittest. The origin of species – Darwin’s problem – remains unsolved.'"

PvM: "Nice quote mining...What does Gilbert have to say on this topic?"

Your quote mining supported mine (thanks). In your Gilbert quote, he affirms his faith in Darwinism (as I noted), but he also admits that the population genetics embraced by Darwinism fails to adequately explain evolution (in both the micro and macro sense). Hence his own work in developmental genetics to try to solve the problem that he contends Darwinism has not yet solved: the origin of species.

Jim · 14 March 2008

PvM: "Claiming 'it’s all designed' really is not sufficient."

It's also not a claim that design theorists make. For example, in "Darwin's Black Box," Behe wrote:

"Just because we can infer that some biochemical systems were designed does not mean that all subcellular systems were explicitly designed."

Or as Dembski wrote (in "Intelligent Design") in response to Gould's claim that the panda's thumb is an "odd arrangement" that defies attribution to an intelligent designer (who Gould took to be God):

"The design theorist is not committed to every biological structure being designed. Mutation and selection do operate in natural history to adapt organisms to their environments. Perhaps the panda's thumb is such an adaptation."

It would be helpful if you'd respond to things that design theorists actually say, rather than to things you falsely attribute to them.

Jim · 14 March 2008

Nick: "As Gould said in response to creationist quote-mining of him:

"Since we proposed punctuated equilibria to explain trends, it is infuriating to be quoted again and again by creationists – whether through design or stupidity, I do not know – as admitting that the fossil record includes no transitional forms. Transitional forms are generally lacking at the species level, but they are abundant between larger groups."

Indeed, Gould did a lot of backpedaling after writing:

"The extreme rarity of transitional forms in the fossil record persists as the trade secret of paleontology. The evolutionary trees that adorn our textbooks have data only at the tips and nodes of their branches; the rest is inference, however reasonable, not the evidence of fossils."

Mike Elzinga · 14 March 2008

How did the Bible get into this? There’s nothing in design theory about the Bible. Or about God, for that matter.
Really? Then who or what is the “intelligent designer”? Is it natural or supernatural? If it is natural, then it is part of the natural universe. Thus the designer designed itself along with the rest of the universe. If it is supernatural, then it is outside the natural universe. So how do you propose to gain access to the supernatural? Can you define a bridge between the natural and supernatural? What is the nature of this bridge? Is it natural or supernatural? If it is natural, how does it access the supernatural? If it is supernatural, how do we access it?

How did the Bible get into this? If you want to debate a creationist, you’ll need to look elsewhere.

And don’t pretend that ID and Creationism aren’t historically related to get around a 1987 U.S. Supreme Court decision. This is well-documented. Did you follow any of the Dover trial? Are you aware of the meaning of the transitional fossil called "cdesign proponentsists?" The “designer” is (wink, wink) the god of a sectarian religion.

It would be helpful if you’d respond to things that design theorists actually say, rather than to things you falsely attribute to them.

ID/Creationists make lots of claims, but never provide evidence for those claims. All of you have a standard shtick of quote-mining and misconstruing concepts to confuse rubes, but never taking responsibility for accuracy or understanding. You say many false things, deliberately. Even after being corrected, you reuse bad information in new venues. You learned this tactic from Duane Gish. It’s called the Gish Gallop. We know about it. You also seem to feel that you are not responsible for providing evidence for any of your claims. That is the standard arrogance of the fundamentalists and ID/cdesign proponentsists/Creationists everywhere; i.e., never provide evidence for anything. Why do you think you are you exempt from providing evidence? Who is your god? How do you know? We watch the questions you avoid answering; that's where your indoctrination does not permit you to go.

Jim · 14 March 2008

Jim: "Shannon information is irrelevant to the evolution of organisms. Shannon information is present in any sequence regardless of whether the sequence conveys a message. But in biology, only sequences of nucleotides that convey messages (or instructions) are of any significance. Any sequence of nucleotides produced by random mutations will bear Shannon information, but only sequences that bear meaningful messages (or instructions) will have any effect on the evolution of organisms."

PvM: "Shannon information is an essential concept as Shannon information increases invariably when there are processes of variation and selection. A sequence of nucleotides produced by random mutations will have zero shannon information, contrary to your claim. How familiar are you with Shannon information?"

I know enough about it to know that Shannon information is solely concerned with the improbability or complexity of a string of characters rather than its patterning or significance. A sequence of nucleotides can be chock full of Shannon information, but unless the sequence is chock full of meaningful information, it has no biological significance. Unintelligent causes can easily produce Shannon information, but they are quite ill-equipped to produce meaningful information (such as the information contained in the sequence of letters in this paragraph).

By the way, could you clarify how random mutations can both increase Shannon information and produce zero Shannon information?

PvM: "A totally vacuous claim, which argues without any further evidence that 1. Information is not a ‘material phenomenon’"

“Information is Information, neither matter nor energy. No materialism that fails to take account of this can survive the present day.” - Norbert Weiner, MIT mathematician/information theorist and the "Father of Cybernetics"

PvM: "I can show you how simple Darwinian processes can explain information in the genome."

OK. Do it. Then clear a space on your mantle for the Nobel Prize that awaits you.

Jim · 14 March 2008

PvM: "Are you saying that there is no ‘positive evidence’ for the theory of evolution?"

No, but evolutionary biologists have adduced precious little evidence supporting the macroevolutionary claims of the theory. Where, for example, is the evidence showing that Darwinian mechanisms caused sexual reproduction to evolve from asexual reproduction? Or that Darwinian mechanisms caused eyes capable of color vision to evolve from light-sensitive spots? Or that Darwinian mechanisms caused men to evolve from fish?

Richard Simons · 14 March 2008

“If it could be shown that biological systems that are wonderfully complex, elegant, and integrated - such as the bacterial flagellum - could have been formed by a gradual Darwinian process (and thus that irreducible complexity is an illusion), then intelligent design would be refuted on the general grounds that one does not invoke intelligent causes when undirected natural causes will do. In that case Occam’s razor would finish off intelligent design quite nicely.”
They used to say that about the mammalian eye, but when a series of gradual steps from a simple light-sensitive patch on a cell to an eye was presented, the argument was dropped. The same is happening with the immune system and will happen with the bacterial flagellum (which one? There are many different ones. Are they all irreducibly complex?). Anyone who thinks that demonstrating a clear pathway for the formation of a bacterial flagellum will demolish ID is being extremely naif.
Frankly, I don’t know how intermediate, transitional forms could be identified independent of the assumptions of evolutionary theory, but unless such independent identification can be made, the organisms that are labeled intermediate, transitional forms can’t justify the theory.
How about just looking and seeing if it either has features typical of two apparently disparate groups or features that are intermediate between the two groups? In the case of Tiktaalik, for example, it has features that are commonly found in fish. It has other features that are commonly found in amphibians. To the best of my knowledge, it has no features that are found in birds or lobsters but are not found in either fish or amphibians. This would suggest that it is, in some way, intermediate between these two groups without having made any assumption of an evolutionary relationship.
PvM: “I can show you how simple Darwinian processes can explain information in the genome.”
OK. Do it. Then clear a space on your mantle for the Nobel Prize that awaits you.
Over at AtBC someone (and I regret I mislaid the author's name) responded to 'How is it possible?' with HOW IS IT POSSIBLE (Original) HOW IS IT POSSIBLE HOW IS IT POSSIBLE (Duplication) HOW IS IT POSSIBLE I SHOW IT POSSIBLE (Translocation) New information from simple genetic processes. All that is needed now is a little selection in favour of the new version.

PvM · 14 March 2008

vM: “Are you saying that there is no ‘positive evidence’ for the theory of evolution?” No, but evolutionary biologists have adduced precious little evidence supporting the macroevolutionary claims of the theory. Where, for example, is the evidence showing that Darwinian mechanisms caused sexual reproduction to evolve from asexual reproduction? Or that Darwinian mechanisms caused eyes capable of color vision to evolve from light-sensitive spots? Or that Darwinian mechanisms caused men to evolve from fish?

How much time do you have? First of all, do you accept that the evidence shows common ancestry? Let's point out that Darwinism is a mechanism of evolution which is based on the observations of variation, hereditary inheritance, and natural selection. If your question is: Was every single step a selectable step, then the answer is that science may never be able to show this since the number of steps are quite large. However, you seem to be limiting evolutionary theory to Darwinism only, a common flaw in ID creationist arguments. But you want to know what the evidence is and here I can walk you through some of the fascinating findings of evolutionary science. 1. Asexual to sexual reproduction. First of all, for a while this was seen as a problem for Darwinian theory, since there is a significant 'cost of sex'. However, science has been slowly uncovering that there are circumstances under which sexual reproduction can be advantageous. An excellent example are snails which reproduce asexually and sexually and are observed to switch when under significant environmental pressure. In other words, under strong environmental pressures, they switch to sexual reproduction. So far so good. Of course, this does not explain HOW sexual reproduction arose, but it shows that there are environmental pressures under which sexual reproduction is advantageous. Sexual reproduction increases the amount of genetic variation. Wikipedia has an excellent overview of the cost as well as evolution of sex. There are a variety of theories/hypotheses as to the origin of sexual reproduction. Personally I like the concept that the massive amounts of gene sharing as proposed by Woese in early evolution, helps understand the importance of being able to exchange genetic information. See also this link which explains the benefits of recombination. Remind us again: How does ID explain the origin and maintenance of sexual reproduction? How am I doing so far. Before I address further, the origin and evolution of sex, and its relationship to Darwinian theory, may I ask for some feedback as I would hate to waste my time.

PvM · 14 March 2008

PvM: “Shannon information is an essential concept as Shannon information increases invariably when there are processes of variation and selection. A sequence of nucleotides produced by random mutations will have zero shannon information, contrary to your claim. How familiar are you with Shannon information?” I know enough about it to know that Shannon information is solely concerned with the improbability or complexity of a string of characters rather than its patterning or significance.

So far so good, or at least close enough for our purpose.

A sequence of nucleotides can be chock full of Shannon information, but unless the sequence is chock full of meaningful information, it has no biological significance. Unintelligent causes can easily produce Shannon information, but they are quite ill-equipped to produce meaningful information (such as the information contained in the sequence of letters in this paragraph).

In fact, it can be shown that variation and selection can in fact create Shannon information AND meaningful information. Isn't Dembski's argument based on Shannon information and specification? Both of which arise naturally out of the process of variation and selection?

By the way, could you clarify how random mutations can both increase Shannon information and produce zero Shannon information?

Have you heard of the concept of selection?

PvM: “A totally vacuous claim, which argues without any further evidence that 1. Information is not a ‘material phenomenon’” “Information is Information, neither matter nor energy. No materialism that fails to take account of this can survive the present day.” - Norbert Weiner, MIT mathematician/information theorist and the “Father of Cybernetics”

A meaningless quote mine. Information can be measured, quantified, observed, destroyed. Somehow your argument would benefit from some 'argument'

PvM: “I can show you how simple Darwinian processes can explain information in the genome.” OK. Do it. Then clear a space on your mantle for the Nobel Prize that awaits you.

For the work others have already done?

Bill Gascoyne · 14 March 2008

For the work others have already done?

"A couple of months in the lab will often save you a couple of hours in the library."
Westheimer's Discovery

Stanton · 14 March 2008

Or that Darwinian mechanisms caused men to evolve from fish?
Is Jim really that dim to think that his ignorance of 375 million years worth of tetrapod vertebrate fossils disproves "Darwinian" evolution? Furthermore, it's become deathly boring having to read Jim rewrite and rephrase the fact that he's too arrogant to understand Evolutionary Biology, and that he pretends that it doesn't work in order to claim that it doesn't work. I mean, the sole reason why Jim has never made mention of any experimental work done to validate Intelligent Design is because no Intelligent Design proponent has so much as even lifted a pinkie finger to do such an experiment, and Jim is dim enough to hope that no one on this thread realizes this too.

Nick (Matzke)) · 14 March 2008

Nick: “As Gould said in response to creationist quote-mining of him: “Since we proposed punctuated equilibria to explain trends, it is infuriating to be quoted again and again by creationists – whether through design or stupidity, I do not know – as admitting that the fossil record includes no transitional forms. Transitional forms are generally lacking at the species level, but they are abundant between larger groups.” Indeed, Gould did a lot of backpedaling after writing: “The extreme rarity of transitional forms in the fossil record persists as the trade secret of paleontology. The evolutionary trees that adorn our textbooks have data only at the tips and nodes of their branches; the rest is inference, however reasonable, not the evidence of fossils.”
Well, now you're just another creationist hack. I have explained that Gould was talking about punctuated equilibria which is about the gradualness of very small species-to-species transitions as they appear in the fossil record. I showed you where Gould explicitly rebutted your misrepresentation of his position. And instead of a serious engagement with these facts, you just resort to the same old quote-mine as if you had never been rebutted. PS: Here are hundreds of transitional hominid fossil skulls. Transitional fossils exist and you are wrong to say that they don't.

Jim · 14 March 2008

Mike: "...who or what is the 'intelligent designer'? Is it natural or supernatural?"

That's something that ID theory can't decide, but as a theist, I think that God is the designer implicated by design theory. ID theorists argue that biological data can justify design inferences, but they also argue that there is no inferential trail leading from the biological data to the identity of the designer. If ID theory is a theistic enterprise committed to proving that God exists, it's not a very promising strategy on the part of ID theorists to repeatedly tell people that ID theory can't deliver such proof.

Mike: "So how do you propose to gain access to the supernatural?"

I don't. Neither do ID theorists, who repeatedly argue that only theology and philosophy (not science) can underwrite the conclusion that God is the designer implicated by design theory. For example, in "The Edge of Evolution," Behe wrote:

"...if one wishes to be academically rigorous, one can't leap directly from design to a transcendent God. To reach a transcendent God, other, nonscientific arguments have to be made - philosophical and theological arguments."

Mike: "Did you follow any of the Dover trial?"

I read Judge Jones' decision and much of the trial's transcript. Judge Jones is not a stupid man, which suggests that he was being willfully obtuse in failing to distinguish ID theory from its theistic implications (a distinction that is quite easily grasped). Big Bang theory is another theory with obvious theistic implications. If Judge Jones were asked to decide the scientific legitimacy of Big Bang theory, consistency in reasoning would require him to declare the theory to be religion, not science.

The most shameful (for Judge Jones) part of Judge Jones' written opinion was the section in which he deemed to decide that ID is religion. That part of his decision was largely copied verbatim from the egregiously misnamed "Findings of Fact" provided to him by the ACLU, demonstrating that the judge was on a mission that he would not allow to be derailed by exercising judicial impartiality in weighing the evidence.

Mike: "ID/Creationists make lots of claims, but never provide evidence for those claims."

I can't speak for creationists, Mike (I don't read their stuff), but I've read some two dozen books by ID theorists, who quite consistently provide evidence for the claims they make. If your education in ID has come from the critics of ID, I have no doubt that you've been seriously misinformed.

Mike: "You say many false things, deliberately."

As I've already said, I consistently write things that I believe to be true. I could be wrong, but I'm not lying (I'd have to know that I'm wrong to be lying).

Mike: "You learned this tactic from Duane Gish."

Actually, I've never read a single thing that Gish has written. I know him only by name.

Mike: "We watch the questions you avoid answering..."

You won't learn anything by doing that. I suspect that many of those questions are asked by posters (like Stanton) whom I ignore. In any event, if all you want to talk about is me, I have no interest in continuing a conversation with you.

PvM · 14 March 2008

I read Judge Jones’ decision and much of the trial’s transcript. Judge Jones is not a stupid man, which suggests that he was being willfully obtuse in failing to distinguish ID theory from its theistic implications (a distinction that is quite easily grasped). Big Bang theory is another theory with obvious theistic implications. If Judge Jones were asked to decide the scientific legitimacy of Big Bang theory, consistency in reasoning would require him to declare the theory to be religion, not science.

— Jim
It was not just the religious implications of ID which caused the Judge to reach his conclusion. He looked at the history of ID, the claims of ID and correctly determined that it had strong ties to religious motivations. Combine this with the findings that ID had no valid secular reason, and the ruling seemed inevitable. Remember that it were ID proponents from the Discovery Institute who argued that ID had valid secular purpose and therefore the judge should reject the plaintiff's arguments. The judge complied by considering the argument, and rejecting it.

The most shameful (for Judge Jones) part of Judge Jones’ written opinion was the section in which he deemed to decide that ID is religion. That part of his decision was largely copied verbatim from the egregiously misnamed “Findings of Fact” provided to him by the ACLU, demonstrating that the judge was on a mission that he would not allow to be derailed by exercising judicial impartiality in weighing the evidence.

ROTFL, just because the ACLU did such a good job in providing the judge with a well reasoned findings of fact, just as the judge had requested from both sides, does not mean that the judge was on a mission other than providing a sound ruling. Perhaps you can explain to us why you believe that the findings of fact, which were based on the trial record were 'misnamed'?

PvM · 14 March 2008

Jim remind us again, how does ID explain the origin and evolution of the bacterial flagellum?

Or does ID indeed have no scientific content as it is based on an eliminative argument? In other words, ID cannot formulate any positive hypotheses without additional hypotheses. And since ID refuses to make such additional hypotheses, it is doomed to scientific irrelevancy.

Jim · 14 March 2008

Richard: "They used to say that about the mammalian eye, but when a series of gradual steps from a simple light-sensitive patch on a cell to an eye was presented, the argument was dropped."

All that's lacking from that particular just-so story are the molecular details showing how a light-sensitive patch could have evolved into a mammalian eye, which provides vision not simply because of its structure, but because of extraordinarily complex electro-chemical processes.

Richard: "How about just looking and seeing if it either has features typical of two apparently disparate groups or features that are intermediate between the two groups? In the case of Tiktaalik, for example, it has features that are commonly found in fish. It has other features that are commonly found in amphibians."

How about platypus? It has features commonly found in reptiles and features commonly found in mammals. Is there any reason to suppose that platypus is an intermediate, transitional form unless we presuppose that it's evolving into either a fully reptilian or a fully mammalian animal? How can we know that either platypus or Tiktaalik are intermediate, transitional forms rather than curious mosaics?

PvM: “I can show you how simple Darwinian processes can explain information in the genome.”

Jim: "OK. Do it. Then clear a space on your mantle for the Nobel Prize that awaits you."

Richard: "Over at AtBC someone (and I regret I mislaid the author’s name) responded to ‘How is it possible?’ with

HOW IS IT POSSIBLE (Original)

HOW IS IT POSSIBLE HOW IS IT POSSIBLE (Duplication)

HOW IS IT POSSIBLE I SHOW IT POSSIBLE (Translocation)

New information from simple genetic processes. All that is needed now is a little selection in favour of the new version."

That's it? And you find that persuasive? If you could tie some actual biological details to the original, to the duplication, and to the translocation, you might have something. But all your word game shows is that an intelligent agent (you) can alter a meaningful sequence of letters to produce a different meaningful sequence of letters.

Jim · 14 March 2008

PvM: "But you want to know what the evidence is and here I can walk you through some of the fascinating findings of evolutionary science.

1. Asexual to sexual reproduction. First of all, for a while this was seen as a problem for Darwinian theory, since there is a significant ‘cost of sex’. However, science has been slowly uncovering that there are circumstances under which sexual reproduction can be advantageous. An excellent example are snails which reproduce asexually and sexually and are observed to switch when under significant environmental pressure. In other words, under strong environmental pressures, they switch to sexual reproduction. So far so good. Of course, this does not explain HOW sexual reproduction arose, but it shows that there are environmental pressures under which sexual reproduction is advantageous."

That's all very interesting, but none of it constitutes evidence that Darwinian mechanisms (or any other unguided material mechanisms) brought sexual reproduction into being. When we want to know how sexual reproduction originated, we're not enlightened by the fact that sexual reproduction can be advantageous.

PvM: "Remind us again: How does ID explain the origin and maintenance of sexual reproduction?"

So far as I know, ID has not yet developed an explanation for the origin of sexual reproduction. But why should that count against ID and not against Darwinism, which also has no explanation for the origin of sexual reproduction (as you've quite helpfully demonstrated)?

Jim · 14 March 2008

Nick: "Well, now you’re just another creationist hack."

Thanks, Nick. I can't reply to everyone here, so you've quite thoughtfully given me cause to add you to my ignore list.

Jim · 14 March 2008

PvM: "Information can be measured, quantified, observed, destroyed."

True enough, but that doesn't make information a material phenomenon. Take any book from your library. Open it to any page. Is the information on that page reducible to matter? Of course not. It appears to me that you're confusing the medium with the message. Darwinism can explain changes in the medium (primarily, the nucleic acids), but it doesn't explain the origin of the messages.

rog · 14 March 2008

PvM, Nick, Stanton, Bill,

Thanks for your tireless efforts and clarity here.

Jim · 14 March 2008

PvM: "Perhaps you can explain to us why you believe that the findings of fact, which were based on the trial record were ‘misnamed’?"

Because they were so chock full of factual errors. They would have been more appropriately titled "Findings of Fiction." Additionally, the ACLU's "Findings of Fact," which Judge Jones copied nearly verbatim into his decision, were provided to the judge nearly a month before the trial. If you'd like to acquaint yourself with the factual errors in the ACLU's pretrial report, go to:

http://www.discovery.org/scripts/viewDB/filesDB-download.php?command=download&id=1186

Mike Elzinga · 14 March 2008

If your education in ID has come from the critics of ID, I have no doubt that you’ve been seriously misinformed.
That’s not the way we do things in science. We really do check things out. I, as most here have done, have read nearly all of the ID and Creationist literature, far more than you have. We also know science and a few other things that relate to the issues. And, like all scientists and rational people, we expect anyone who makes claims to also be responsible for providing evidence. If you really think the ID/Creationists provide evidence in any of their literature, then you obviously don’t know what evidence means. Why do you think that ID/Creationists have managed to produce absolutely nothing in the way of scientific results after 40+ years of claims and bullying naive audiences? I see others are addressing your claims about Judge Jones. Courts require evidence also (revelation is not admissible). You clearly don’t know the meaning of evidence. Many ID/Crerationists who show up on Panda's Thumb are equally clueless about evidence. That’s not surprising. It’s what sectarian dogma does to the mind.

That’s it? And you find that persuasive? If you could tie some actual biological details to the original, to the duplication, and to the translocation, you might have something. But all your word game shows is that an intelligent agent (you) can alter a meaningful sequence of letters to produce a different meaningful sequence of letters.

This is another indication that you don't get it. It is a simple illustration of simple rules that lead to complex patterns. Patterns develop, evolve, flip and mutate in all kinds of physical systems in Nature, not just living systems. Crystals and snowflakes are built from very simple rules. As matter becomes more complicated, emergent phenomena start laying down the simple rules for further development and evolution. Lower level rules are buried as higher level rules begin to dominate. Organic compounds have many more possible configurations, and the emergent rules come more quickly as these systems become more complicated. The patterns continue right on up the ladder to life. There are no physical barriers anywhere along the way. If, instead of wasting your time reading ID/Creationist literature, you simply got out of your philosophical dungeon and started studying the real world, you would discover lots of amazing things. Then maybe evolution wouldn't seem so strange to you. Studying Nature enriches the mind and provides you with insights you can't begin to imagine by just reading ID/Creationist literature and sectarian dogma. Try it. You will discover we are telling you the truth.

Stanton · 14 March 2008

Jim: PvM: "Remind us again: How does ID explain the origin and maintenance of sexual reproduction?" So far as I know, ID has not yet developed an explanation for the origin of sexual reproduction. But why should that count against ID and not against Darwinism, which also has no explanation for the origin of sexual reproduction (as you've quite helpfully demonstrated)?
The reason why Intelligent Design "theory" does not explain the origin of sexual reproduction is because no Intelligent Design proponent has ever bothered to attempt an explanation for it more in-depth than "GODDESIGNERDIDIT". If PvM will allow it, I would prefer to rephrase his question as
What PvM should have asked: Remind us again: Why aren't ID proponents trying to explain the origin and maintenance of sexual reproduction?
It's quite telling that Jim uses the excuse "they haven't thought of anything yet," despite the painful fact that the Intelligent Design movement has had more than a decade and a half to figure out, propose and test explanations to replace those provided by Evolutionary Biology. On the other hand, I guess this is what will be expected from a person who thinks that "just so stories" are made by those who actually do experiments and make actual observations, as opposed to the solemn and truthful Intelligent Design proponents who have done neither.

Henry J · 14 March 2008

Jim,

The circularity in reasoning is palpable.

The term "circular argument" refers to a fallacy in a deductive argument; roughly it means using the conclusion or part of it as one of the premises. This doesn't apply to an evidence-based argument. To support a general principle from evidence: (1) it has to be consistent with the relevant evidence, (2) there have to be places where it would probably not be consistent with evidence it it were wrong, (3) there should be some patterns of evidence that would be unexpected without the hypothesis being checked, (4) there should be some evidence that was predicted from the hypothesis before it was actually observed. The theory of evolution meets all of those criteria.

#145987 There are many reasons why people (including biologists) would wish that life is a wholly material phenomenon. An a priori commitment to materialism is one of those reasons (a commitment that Darwinist Richard Lewontin has candidly admitted most evolutionary biologists hold). [...]

If the conclusion were coming from a small group of people or from within one organization, that might apply. When the conclusion in question is shared by a huge variety of experts from many different backgrounds, nationalities, religions, philosophies, and languages, then there is no way that a majority of them would share the motivation you described, nor any way that it would go unnoticed by their colleagues, employers, students, readers, etc., if they did act on those motivations as a group.

No, but evolutionary biologists have adduced precious little evidence supporting the macroevolutionary claims of the theory.

1) The fossil record produces branching tree structures, with a nested hierarchy of species at the ends of the branches. 2) Anatomical comparisons of current species puts them in a nested hierarchy. 3) DNA comparisons of current species puts them in a nested hierarchy. Unused sections of DNA are especially prone to be more and more different as one considers species further from each other in the hierarchy. 4) When enough data is available and in the absence of DNA transfers across species, the nested heirarchies produced by those methods of analysis agree quite well with each other. 5) Related species are generally within geographic range of their common predecessor, even when there are more distant areas in which they could live. 6) Species don't routinely get copies of developments from more distant species that their closer relatives don't also have. (Yeah, that's a paraphrase of "nested hierarchy", but saying it that way makes a point.) 7) Structures present in one species are generally present in other species in various forms, some simpler, some more complex. 8) Closely related species blur into each other, with the result that sameness-of-species is not always a transitive relation. (i.e., it might be that A B C ... Z are species such that consecutive ones can freely interbreed but A and Z are incompatable with each other even if they meet.) Those results are expected if evolution is via accumulation of heritable changes over time, among species that don't interchange DNA with each other. They are what is directly explained by the current theory. If species were deliberately engineered there would be no reason to expect those patterns. Human engineers at least violate point 6 routinely when developing technology, which would cause violations of most of the others as well. Also engineered stuff is not nearly as constrained by geography as wild species are. Ergo, the notion that species were engineered does not explain any of those patterns. -- Oh, and as for that early amphibian species that was ancestor of all the terrestrial vertebrates? It probably tasted like chicken. :) Henry

PvM · 14 March 2008

Because they were so chock full of factual errors. They would have been more appropriately titled “Findings of Fiction.” Additionally, the ACLU’s “Findings of Fact,” which Judge Jones copied nearly verbatim into his decision, were provided to the judge nearly a month before the trial. If you’d like to acquaint yourself with the factual errors in the ACLU’s pretrial report, go to:
Any particular one you want to defend yourself? And not the findings of fact were not provided a month before the trial, how could it be since they reference actual trial transcripts. You seem to be confusing pretrial reports with findings of fact reports which are presented after the trial concludes to help guide the judge. If you read more carefully, they were provided to the judge nearly a month before his ruling Your turn, which objection do you consider to be material and wrong.

Henry J · 14 March 2008

How about platypus? It has features commonly found in reptiles and features commonly found in mammals.

Monotremes (egg laying mammals) are evidence that mammals descended from egg layers such as reptiles.

Is there any reason to suppose that platypus is an intermediate, transitional form unless we presuppose that it’s evolving into either a fully reptilian or a fully mammalian animal?

That would presuppose a target of that evolution. If platypuses were to become sufficiently successful to generate a whole bunch of successor species, the result would be something new, not a rehash of what already is.

That’s all very interesting, but none of it constitutes evidence that Darwinian mechanisms (or any other unguided material mechanisms) brought sexual reproduction into being.

There's no evidence that it can't, and there's no competing explanation that actually explains anything. Besides which, simply listing unanswered questions will never refute anything. For an unanswered question to do that, there has to be an objective reason to think that question should have already been answered.

Big Bang theory is another theory with obvious theistic implications. If Judge Jones were asked to decide the scientific legitimacy of Big Bang theory, consistency in reasoning would require him to declare the theory to be religion, not science.

Hardly. The Big Bang was based on evidence, starting with the observation that distant objects show a red shift that is generally larger the more distant the object is from us, leading to the conclusion that at some point in the past everything in the observable universe was jammed into a very tiny amount of space. Plus, general relativity implies that the universe is either expanding or contracting; it can't just sit still. (And a contracting universe would probably be extremely uncomfortable for us if we were in it.) Henry

PvM · 15 March 2008

That’s all very interesting, but none of it constitutes evidence that Darwinian mechanisms (or any other unguided material mechanisms) brought sexual reproduction into being. When we want to know how sexual reproduction originated, we’re not enlightened by the fact that sexual reproduction can be advantageous. PvM: “Remind us again: How does ID explain the origin and maintenance of sexual reproduction?” So far as I know, ID has not yet developed an explanation for the origin of sexual reproduction. But why should that count against ID and not against Darwinism, which also has no explanation for the origin of sexual reproduction (as you’ve quite helpfully demonstrated)?
Darwinism as well as evolutionary science have explanations for the origins, however science has yet to decide which ones 'survive' scrutiny. While hundreds of scientific articles explore this issue, ID remains empty handed for the simple reason that ID cannot provide any positive explanations as it is based on an eliminative argument. Of course, God likes Sex may be as good an ID explanation as any... Kondrashev outlines a plausible scenario of how sex could have originated. A just so story which takes our present knowledge and lays out plausible pathways. How does ID's explanation compare to Kondrashev's? Check out Kondrashov, Alexey S., 1997. Evolutionary genetics of life cycles. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics 28: 391-435.

Richard Simons · 15 March 2008

How about platypus? It has features commonly found in reptiles and features commonly found in mammals. Is there any reason to suppose that platypus is an intermediate, transitional form unless we presuppose that it’s evolving into either a fully reptilian or a fully mammalian animal?
You seem to have a basic misunderstanding of evolution. Organisms do not follow preordained pathways so the platypus is neither evolving into being fully reptilian nor into being fully mammalian (presumably you mean into a placental). It is evolving to become more distinctly platypus-y, on its own branch of the bush. Placental mammals are not descended from several species of reptile that all happened to evolve in the same direction at about the same time, with platypuses following along behind. The mammals descend, ultimately, from a single interbreeding population of reptiles.
How can we know that either platypus or Tiktaalik are intermediate, transitional forms rather than curious mosaics?
The platypus is not a transitional form, rather it is a descendant of a transitional form that has gone its own route. It is conceivable that transitional forms are indeed mosaics, but that prompts the question, why has every single 'mosaic' been of forms that are consistent with an evolutionary history of life? Why has no-one ever found a hippogryph or a centaur? Why do we not find fish with compound eyes or tree ferns with flowers?
But all your word game shows is that an intelligent agent (you) can alter a meaningful sequence of letters to produce a different meaningful sequence of letters.
It demonstrates how duplication and translocation can produce new information, something many IDers say is not possible. In your posts you keep referring to ID theorists and ID theory. Tell me, exactly what is the theory of ID? Most people here say there is no such thing so it would be useful if you could clarify it for us.

Jim · 15 March 2008

Mike: "I, as most here have done, have read nearly all of the ID and Creationist literature, far more than you have."

If you've read *any* creationist literature, you've read more of it than I have (although I did thumb through a book on creationism handed to me by some Jehovah's Witnesses who had come to our door). But I have read some two dozen books by design proponents. If you (and others here) are equally well-read in the design literature, then the alternative explanations for all the erroneous things you say about it are not flattering to you.

Mike: "Why do you think that ID/Creationists have managed to produce absolutely nothing in the way of scientific results after 40+ years of claims and bullying naive audiences?"

Without conceding the merits of your claim, it should be noted that the science of intelligent design, as practiced by design theorists such as Behe, Dembski, Wells, Minnich, Meyer, Bradley, etc., has only been around for some two decades. Why should anyone expect the theory to have achieved theoretical and evidentiary maturity in such a short period of time, especially since the theory has been met by dogmatic, hostile resistance from mainstream biologists (dogmatism and hostility that blogs like Pharyngula and Panda's Thumb put on prominent display)? When Darwinism had reached the two-decade mark in its history, it still didn't have an explanation for the source of the variations that were (and are) a central part of its evolutionary mechanism. When the modern synthesis (or neo-Darwinism) merged genetics and Darwinism some 70 years ago, the theory acquired a mechanism for variation (i.e., random mutations), but the theory's proponents still haven't shown that random mutations can do all the creative work that they attribute to them.

Jim: "...all your word game shows is that an intelligent agent (you) can alter a meaningful sequence of letters to produce a different meaningful sequence of letters."

Mike: "This is another indication that you don’t get it. It is a simple illustration of simple rules that lead to complex patterns. Patterns develop, evolve, flip and mutate in all kinds of physical systems in Nature, not just living systems. Crystals and snowflakes are built from very simple rules."

Simple rules build ordered patterns, not complex patterns (order and complexity are not the same thing). But even if they could build complex patterns, mere complexity (of even vast proportions) is irrelevant. The patterns in question are the highly aperiodic sequences of nucleotides that carry meaningful biological information (that is to say, sequences bearing complex specified information). There are no simple rules that can build such sequences (at least, no such rules have been discovered). If a blindly operating mechanism (such as random mutations) composes a biologically meaningful sequence of nucleotides, it does so by chance, not by following a simple rule that reliably generates complex sequences that bear meaningful information. Science is entitled to appeal to chance, but that appeal can go only so far before a better explanation ought to be sought. With respect to attributing all of life's diversity and complexity to chance (coupled with the law-like operation of natural selection), evolutionary biologists are straining credulity beyond the breaking point. I've often wondered why the Darwinian faithful regard their credulity as being epistemically superior to the incredulity of skeptics.

It would be interesting to hear you debate this point with the late Pierre-Paul Grasse, the eminent French zoologist and former president of the French Academy of Sciences. Grasse, universally regarded as one of the most learned biologists of the 20th century once wrote:

"Some contemporary biologists, as soon as they observe a mutation, talk about evolution. They are implicitly supporting the following syllogism: mutations are the only evolutionary variations, all living things undergo mutations, therefore all living things evolve. This logical scheme is, however, unacceptable: first, because its major premise is neither obvious nor general; second, because its conclusion does not agree with the facts. No matter how numerous they may be, mutations do not produce any kind of evolution.

"How does the Darwinian mutational interpretation of evolution account for the fact that the species that have been the most stable - some of them for the last hundreds of millions of years - have mutated as much as the others do? Once one has noticed microvariations (on the one hand) and specific stability (on the other), it seems very difficult to conclude that the former (microvariation) comes into play in the evolutionary process.

"Mutations have a very limited 'constructive capacity'; this is why the formation of hair by mutation of reptilian scales seems to be a phenomenon of infinitesimal probability; the formation of mammae by mutations of reptilian integumentary glands is hardly more likely...

"Mutations, in time, occur incoherently. They are not complementary to one another, nor are they cumulative in successive generations toward a given direction. They modify what preexists, but they do so in disorder, no matter how...As soon as some disorder, even slight, appears in an organized being, sickness, then death follow. There is no possible compromise between the phenomenon of life and anarchy.

"The opportune appearance of mutations permitting animals and plants to meet their needs seems hard to believe. Yet the Darwinian theory is even more demanding: a single plant, a single animal would require thousands and thousands of lucky, appropriate events. Thus, miracles would become the rule: events with an infinitesimal probability could not fail to occur...There is no law against day dreaming, but science must not indulge in it."

Jim · 15 March 2008

Jim: "...but evolutionary biologists have adduced precious little evidence supporting the macroevolutionary claims of the theory."

Henry: "1) The fossil record produces branching tree structures, with a nested hierarchy of species at the ends of the branches."

You've run aground at the outset, Henry. The fossil record from the Cambrian era (when most of the major phyla emerged in a geological eyeblind, so to speak) looks nothing like the branching tree pattern predicted by Darwinism. It looks more like a lawn.

Henry (summarizing the rest of his evidence): "Those results are expected if evolution is via accumulation of heritable changes over time, among species that don’t interchange DNA with each other. They are what is directly explained by the current theory."

All of that evidence is quite consistent with descent with modification, but it doesn't establish that random mutations and natural selection produced descent with modification. The evidence for common descent is equally compatible with ID theory, but it offers no more support for ID than it does for the presumed creative abilities of the Darwinian mechanism of mutation and selection. All of the commonalities that suggest evolutionary relationships serve with equal facility to suggest common design relationships. The case is not closed, notwithstanding Darwinist bluster to the contrary.

Jim · 15 March 2008

Jim: "Big Bang theory is another theory with obvious theistic implications. If Judge Jones were asked to decide the scientific legitimacy of Big Bang theory, consistency in reasoning would require him to declare the theory to be religion, not science."

Henry: "Hardly. The Big Bang was based on evidence, starting with the observation that distant objects show a red shift that is generally larger the more distant the object is from us, leading to the conclusion that at some point in the past everything in the observable universe was jammed into a very tiny amount of space."

Quite so. Big Bang theory, just like ID theory, is based on empirical evidence, not on theology or Scripture. But since Big Bang theory contends that nature (i.e., matter, energy, time, and space) did not exist prior to the Big Bang, it implies a cause of the Big Bang that is external to nature (or supernatural). Theists are likely to think that the supernatural cause implicated by Big Bang theory is God. If the theistic implications of ID theory require that students be protected from hearing about it, then the kind of reasoning Judge Jones used in the Dover trial would require students to also be protected from hearing about Big Bang theory.

Stanton · 15 March 2008

Jim: You've run aground at the outset, Henry. The fossil record from the Cambrian era (when most of the major phyla emerged in a geological eyeblind, so to speak) looks nothing like the branching tree pattern predicted by Darwinism. It looks more like a lawn.
The fact that you have never actually read any actual literature about Precambrian organisms and communities, as well as never having read literature comparing them to their Cambrian counterparts allows you to say this. If you actually read about these things, you would know that some major phyla appear in the Precambrian, especially the phyla Cnidaria, Arthropoda, and Mollusca.
Henry (summarizing the rest of his evidence): "Those results are expected if evolution is via accumulation of heritable changes over time, among species that don’t interchange DNA with each other. They are what is directly explained by the current theory." All of that evidence is quite consistent with descent with modification, but it doesn't establish that random mutations and natural selection produced descent with modification. The evidence for common descent is equally compatible with ID theory, but it offers no more support for ID than it does for the presumed creative abilities of the Darwinian mechanism of mutation and selection. All of the commonalities that suggest evolutionary relationships serve with equal facility to suggest common design relationships. The case is not closed, notwithstanding Darwinist bluster to the contrary.
There is no support for Intelligent Design "theory" in fossils or anything else, and you consistently fail to show how Intelligent Design "theory" can explain anything, whether in fossils or anything else. Neither you, nor any other Intelligent Design proponent has ever found pro-ID evidence because no one is bothering to look for evidence. How to get this through your thick skull? You are doing a horrible, horrible job of presenting a case for Intelligent Design "theory" by only harping and carping on the alleged inadequacies of "Darwinism," inadequacies that only appear because you refuse to educate yourself with appropriate materials. You are not, will not, will never convince anyone on this thread to support your stance simply by waxing poetic about how your ignorance is the reason why "Darwinian" evolution doesn't work.

Jim · 15 March 2008

Jim: "How about platypus? It has features commonly found in reptiles and features commonly found in mammals. Is there any reason to suppose that platypus is an intermediate, transitional form unless we presuppose that it’s evolving into either a fully reptilian or a fully mammalian animal?"

Richard: "You seem to have a basic misunderstanding of evolution. Organisms do not follow preordained pathways so the platypus is neither evolving into being fully reptilian nor into being fully mammalian (presumably you mean into a placental)."

Read what I wrote again, Richard - this time for understanding. I wasn't arguing that platypus is evolving into being fully reptilian or fully mammalian. I was simply using platypus to illustrate the point that evolution must be presupposed before an organism can be labeled an intermediate, transitional form (not in the sense of being morphologically intermediate, but in the sense of being an evolutionary intermediate).

Stanton · 15 March 2008

Jim: Quite so. Big Bang theory, just like ID theory, is based on empirical evidence, not on theology or Scripture.
What evidence is there for Intelligent Design "theory"? You have never bothered to show any evidence that supports Intelligent Design "theory"
But since Big Bang theory contends that nature (i.e., matter, energy, time, and space) did not exist prior to the Big Bang, it implies a cause of the Big Bang that is external to nature (or supernatural).
No it does not. If you actually took the time to even glance at Wikipedia's article about the Big Bang, you will notice that it never states that "nature did not exist prior to the Big Bang." In fact the Big Bang theory makes very little mention of what happened before the Big Bang. If you actually read about the Big Bang, you would know that it states that all of the matter in the Universe had once converged at a single point before expanding. And I repeat, your ignorance is both boring and unconvincing.
Theists are likely to think that the supernatural cause implicated by Big Bang theory is God. If the theistic implications of ID theory require that students be protected from hearing about it, then the kind of reasoning Judge Jones used in the Dover trial would require students to also be protected from hearing about Big Bang theory.
Your stupidity is not funny, either. Judge Jones ruled that Intelligent Design "theory" should not be taught to children because it is not science, it is not based on any evidence, that it can not explain anything in a scientific matter at all, and that the Intelligent Design "textbook" to be used was nothing more than a creationist textbook that had all the references to God replaced with "designer," and all of the references to "creationist" sloppily replaced with "intelligent design proponent." The Big Bang theory, on the other hand, should be taught to children because it is based on evidence.

Richard Simons · 15 March 2008

Simple rules build ordered patterns, not complex patterns
What do you know of chaos theory? In addition, when you throw in a little random variation situations can quickly become very complex.
Read what I wrote again, Richard - this time for understanding. I wasn’t arguing that platypus is evolving into being fully reptilian or fully mammalian.
Is there any reason to suppose that platypus is an intermediate, transitional form unless we presuppose that it’s evolving into either a fully reptilian or a fully mammalian animal?
(my emphasis) No biologist does presuppose that it is evolving into either a fully reptilian or a fully mammalian animal. If you did not intend to suggest that they do, you should have used different wording. It seems to me that this whole business of whether or not intermediate forms actually represent transitionals is a recapitulation of what creationist scientists went through in the 18th and early 19th centuries. Why do you think they felt they were forced to come up with the idea that evolution had taken place? You might find it useful to read some histories of this period.
The fossil record from the Cambrian era (when most of the major phyla emerged in a geological eyeblind, so to speak) looks nothing like the branching tree pattern predicted by Darwinism. It looks more like a lawn.
Fifty years ago it would have been possible to justify this statement. However, as paleontologists study further the Burgess, Ediacaran and Dengying fossils they are finding more and more that are difficult to unequivocally place in one phylum or another, in other words, they are finding intermediate forms. Finally, if you are not capable of telling us what the theory of intelligent design states, will you please stop referring to ID theorists? They are not theorists until they actually produce a theory but so far they have come up blank.

Mike Elzinga · 15 March 2008

Without conceding the merits of your claim, it should be noted that the science of intelligent design, as practiced by design theorists such as Behe, Dembski, Wells, Minnich, Meyer, Bradley, etc., has only been around for some two decades. Why should anyone expect the theory to have achieved theoretical and evidentiary maturity in such a short period of time, especially since the theory has been met by dogmatic, hostile resistance from mainstream biologists (dogmatism and hostility that blogs like Pharyngula and Panda’s Thumb put on prominent display)?
You are trying to rewrite history here. If you are willing to admit that ID has not achieved “theoretical and evidentiary maturity”, why do you suppose so much time, effort and money goes into getting an ID curriculum into public education without going through the vetting processes of scientific peer-review? Panda’s Thumb, the National Center for Science Education, Pharyngula, and other such efforts are clearing houses for exposing the pseudo-science tactics of the Discovery Institute and the thousands of grass-roots religious sects attempting to leverage off ID and Scientific Creationism to get their religious shtick into the classroom.

Simple rules build ordered patterns, not complex patterns (order and complexity are not the same thing). But even if they could build complex patterns, mere complexity (of even vast proportions) is irrelevant. The patterns in question are the highly aperiodic sequences of nucleotides that carry meaningful biological information (that is to say, sequences bearing complex specified information). There are no simple rules that can build such sequences (at least, no such rules have been discovered). If a blindly operating mechanism (such as random mutations) composes a biologically meaningful sequence of nucleotides, it does so by chance, not by following a simple rule that reliably generates complex sequences that bear meaningful information. Science is entitled to appeal to chance, but that appeal can go only so far before a better explanation ought to be sought. With respect to attributing all of life’s diversity and complexity to chance (coupled with the law-like operation of natural selection), evolutionary biologists are straining credulity beyond the breaking point. I’ve often wondered why the Darwinian faithful regard their credulity as being epistemically superior to the incredulity of skeptics.

Whew, there are so many misconceptions in this paragraph it is hard to know where to begin. Simple rules can lead to very complex patterns. All that is necessary is for the rules to be very sensitive to initial conditions, which, in the case of large complicated systems, is what is most often the case. That, in turn leads to various kinds of bifurcations among various paths in which emergent rules take over. Even something as simple as atoms condensing into periodic arrays leads to emergent phenomena that are extremely complicated; things like valance bands, conductions bands, and all the multiple emergent phenomena that come with these. These fields are so rich that people become specialists in various aspects of these fields. And this is just simple solid state physics. Move on to organic compounds and complexity explodes and evolves very rapidly. Physical systems can be pumped into very improbable states (low entropy) by various kinds of fluctuations and random variations in the environment. Which state they pop into is a matter of random chance (i.e., the instantaneous chance relationship between an environmental perturbation and the current instantaneous state of the system). They can stay in those states for relatively long periods of time until other variations make other states available. Then the system can flip into other states. All this is determined by simple underlying rules that come with the system in its current state. And the rules evolve with the system and its state. This is all very well-known stuff. And there is no designer behind any of it. One of the most serious conceptual errors being spread by the ID/Creationists is that what has currently evolved is somehow “special” and therefore constitutes an enormous increase in “information”. The word “specified” in “specified complexity” is partly responsible for this misconception. Physical systems can move under external perturbations to lower entropy states relative to nearby higher entropy states (this is equivalent to an increase in “information” if that word is being used properly). But the fact that complicated systems have so many directions they can go when perturbed means that whatever state you currently find them in is not “special”. So attempting to make it “special” or “specified” is not significantly different from the misconception that evolution targets current species. A lot of bogus probability calculations result from these misconceptions. The problem you are having with selection on random variations is that you have attempted to jump into the idea at a level of complexity that seems staggering. The better way to do this is to start with simpler, non-living, non-organic systems. You will quickly learn that even these “simple” systems can evolve enormously complex behaviors very quickly. Also learn something about chaotic behavior. It is, in principle, deterministic, but also completely unpredictable. When systems are non-linear in their behaviors (as most are), they can be so sensitive to initial conditions that even quantum fluctuations can contribute to the directions they evolve. Stability in complicated systems is fleeting, and it exists only as long as a perturbation of any kind in insufficient to kick the system onto another evolutionary path. If you don’t think that stability in living systems is fleeting, consider the fact that most life that we know about exists in a relatively narrow temperature range roughly between the freezing and boiling points of water. That is an energy range roughly between 0.02 and 0.03 electron volts. Liquid water and a collection of organic molecules have enormous numbers of configurations that can be selected among within this energy range.

Henry J · 15 March 2008

You’ve run aground at the outset, Henry. The fossil record from the Cambrian era (when most of the major phyla emerged in a geological eyeblind, so to speak) looks nothing like the branching tree pattern predicted by Darwinism.

Species prior to that time may have had less hard parts and so wouldn't leave many fossils. For lots of lineages to develop hard parts within a few million years of each other wouldn't be a coincidence; they were likely adapting to each other, in what an engineer would call a positive feedback loop. Re "All of that evidence is quite consistent with descent with modification, but it doesn’t establish that random mutations and natural selection produced descent with modification. The evidence for common descent is equally compatible with ID theory, but it offers no more support for ID than it does for the presumed creative abilities of the Darwinian mechanism of mutation and selection." It's consistent with known processes being responsible, which leaves no motivation for presuming unknown processes. Besides, unless the unknown process were such that it duplicated the results expected from (RM + NS + other genetic processes), it would produce different patterns, and that would have been noticed. Re "Quite so. Big Bang theory, just like ID theory, is based on empirical evidence, not on theology or Scripture." No. ID "theory" is decidely not based on any evidence. If it were, all its supporters would need to do is describe that evidence, and show how some of the patterns in that evidence are a logical consequence their stated premise. Henry

PvM · 15 March 2008

Quite so. Big Bang theory, just like ID theory, is based on empirical evidence, not on theology or Scripture.

There is no theory of ID, there is no empirical evidence for ID. Other than that, you have a good point.

No matter how numerous they may be, mutations do not produce any kind of evolution.

That is of course incorrect. Genetic drift is an excellent example of how mutations produce evolution. But the point is well taken, by itself mutations do little. What is required is variation, inheritance and selection. So let's focus on the much better concept of variation rather than the misunderstood concept of mutation. While Pierre-Paul Grasse may have been an eminent biologist (zoologist) he died in 1985 at a time where evo-devo was at its infancy. I wonder what he would have said given the existence of hox genes, regulatory genes? Then again, Pierre Grasse was not a darwinist and rather proposed his own mechanism of evolution

Grassé proposed an evolutionary theory in which living matter contains an undiscovered "internal factor" that compels life to evolve along predetermined lines ...

Has science or ID for that matter discovered this 'internal factor'? In a way, Pierre has a good point in that history, and other constraints constrain evolutionary pathways but predetermined seems a bit harder to support. Does Jim want to explore Grasse's position and defend it? As one creationist resource explains

Having demolished Darwinism, what, then, does Grassé put in its place as an explanation of evolution? This is where Grassé becomes vague and unconvincing. He argues that living matter must contain some ‘internal factors’ that compel life to evolve along predetermined lines. These ‘factors’ are not mystical or magical, they are physical and should be discoverable by science, he reasons, and biologists should make a great effort to discover them. Many Christians will be encouraged by this distinguished biologist’s conclusion that something more than Darwinism is needed to account for the living world. And most of them will find it easier to believe in the creative activity of God, than in Grassé’s elusive ‘internal factors’.

It's always funny how easy people conclude that Darwinism has been demolished and yet Darwinism remains as strong as ever. The answer to this is surprisingly simple: the arguments against Darwinism show more of a level of ignorance rather than a real problem. Grasse's arguments do not appear to be much better. It's easy for Jim to quote mine but it's impossible for him to support his position via the usual steps of scientific inquiry or discussion.

PvM · 15 March 2008

Oh and Jim, remember your statement about science having shown how simple processes of variation and chance can increase the information in the genome as something deserving a Nobel prize?

Have you abandoned your line of arguments that such is impossible now that we have shown the evidence? Do you need more evidence?

You are making a lot of ill informed statements, such as the findings of fact being full of errors, and when it comes to defend your claims, you somehow seem to choke.

I'd love to explore in more depth your claims about information and the genome or the Findings of Fact 'errors'.

Whaddaysay?

Jim · 15 March 2008

Richard: "What do you know of chaos theory? In addition, when you throw in a little random variation situations can quickly become very complex."

I have no quarrel with the point you're making here, Richard. But the point is irrelevant. The ability of unintelligent material mechanisms to produce complexity of even mind-boggling proportions is beyond dispute, but the ability of those mechanisms to produce *specified complexity* (such as the specified complexity exhibited by the sequence of letters in this paragraph) has never been shown, either by observation or by simulation.

Richard: "No biologist does presuppose that (platypus) is evolving into either a fully reptilian or a fully mammalian animal. If you did not intend to suggest that they do, you should have used different wording."

Good grief, Richard. I made it plain from the outset that I was using platypus for the sole purpose of demonstrating that evolution must be presupposed before an organism (either living or fossilized) can be labeled an intermediate, transitional form. It's curious that platypus has both reptilian and mammalian features, but unless we presuppose that there is an evolutionary link between reptiles and mammals, there would be no reason to label platypus an intermediate, transitional form between the two. The same thing is true of fossilized organisms. It simply makes no sense to label organisms intermediate, transitional forms unless evolution is presupposed. But if evolutionary theory informs the labeling (as it does), the labeling doesn't justify the theory. Circular reasoning of that kind can't confirm anything.

Richard: "....as paleontologists study further the Burgess, Ediacaran and Dengying fossils they are finding more and more that are difficult to unequivocally place in one phylum or another, in other words, they are finding intermediate forms."

Oh, come on. Difficulty in assigning fossils to "one phylum or another" hardly signifies that those fossils are intermediate forms (an an evolutionary sense).

Richard: "Finally, if you are not capable of telling us what the theory of intelligent design states, will you please stop referring to ID theorists?"

I've been told that everyone here is already well-versed in ID literature (although the things they say and the questions they ask about ID belie that claim). But since you asked, the core propositions of ID theory are these:

1) Specified complexity (which includes irreducible complexity and complex specified information) is a reliable indicator, or hallmark, of design.

2) Many biological systems (especially at the molecular level) exhibit specified complexity.

3) Unintelligent material mechanisms (such as random mutations and natural selection) do not suffice to explain the origin of biological systems that exhibit specified complexity.

4) Therefore, complex biological systems that exhibit specified complexity are the products of design.

The core hypothesis of Darwinism could be briefly stated in this way: All biological complexity and diversity can be attributed to unintelligent material causes (primarily to random genetic mutations and natural selection).

The core hypothesis of design theory could be briefly stated in this way: Many biological systems defy wholly material explanations and can be attributed to an intelligent cause (or causes).

The purpose of the science of intelligent design (as it is currently construed) is to develop theoretical, evidentiary, logical, and mathematical support for the design hypothesis.

There are three quite legitimate questions that can be asked about any system, biological or otherwise:

1) Was this system designed?

2) How was the design actualized?

3) Who was the designer?

As ID theory is currently construed, it is focused entirely on the first question, but critics keep demanding that it answer all three questions. These critics apparently fail to appreciate that unless the first question can be answered in the affirmative, the other two questions are pointless. But if the first question *can* be answered in the affirmative in a scientifically rigorous way (as ID theorists contend it can), and if that affirmative answer captures the imagination of enough biologists to allow ID to win the institutional and financial support it needs to move into the scientific mainstream, then there could be a great deal of scientific research undertaken to try to answer the second question. But the third question, ID theorists contend, is a question that should be referred to philosophers and theologians.

Jim · 15 March 2008

Mike: "If you are willing to admit that ID has not achieved 'theoretical and evidentiary maturity', why do you suppose so much time, effort and money goes into getting an ID curriculum into public education without going through the vetting processes of scientific peer-review?"

As you no doubt know, Mike, Discovery Institute is the primary institutional home of what has come to be called the ID movement. But as you apparently don't know, DI *opposes* attempts by school boards to mandate the teaching of design theory in the public schools precisely because the theory lacks sufficient theoretical maturity to warrant such a thing (you can verify this for yourself by going to DI's website). DI has no objections, however, to biology teachers teaching ID concepts to their students if they choose to do so. DI, unlike the Darwinian establishment, supports academic freedom.

It should also be noted that Discovery Institute opposed the actions taken by the Dover school board.

Mike: "Panda’s Thumb, the National Center for Science Education, Pharyngula, and other such efforts are clearing houses for exposing the pseudo-science tactics of the Discovery Institute and the thousands of grass-roots religious sects attempting to leverage off ID and Scientific Creationism to get their religious shtick into the classroom."

I'm sure that's how they view their mission, but what they show to those who don't share their commitment to Darwinism is that mainstream evolutionary biology has become utterly dogmatic. They're performing a valuable service by doing that: dogmatism exposed might become dogmatism defeated, an outcome much to be desired by anyone with a genuine respect for science.

Jim · 15 March 2008

PvM: "You are making a lot of ill informed statements, such as the findings of fact being full of errors..."

I was wrong about one thing, PvM: the ACLU's hilariously titled "Findings of Fact" was presented to Judge Jones about a month before he issued his ruling, not a month before the trial (as I had said). Chalk it up to faulty memory. But I was right about two other things: that in the part of his decision where Judge Jones presumed to decide that ID theory is religion, not science, he copied the ACLU's "Findings of Fact" nearly verbatim (so much for weighing the evidence with judicial impartiality); and that the "Findings of Facts" are chock full of errors (I've already given you a reference where you can confirm this for yourself).

Stanton · 15 March 2008

If the Discovery Institute is so opposed to letting an immature "science" like Intelligent Design "theory" be taught in schools before it has "matured," then why were they so eager to have it taught in the science curriculum at Dover, Pennsylvania, complete with the incompetently edited "Of Pandas and People"?

Furthermore, if the Discovery Institute is so concerned with maturing Intelligent Design "theory," then, why is it that every single one of the members of the Discovery Institute have done absolutely no experimental work aimed at validating the organization's pet theory since the Discovery Institute's inception?

Richard Simons · 15 March 2008

the ability of those mechanisms to produce *specified complexity* (such as the specified complexity exhibited by the sequence of letters in this paragraph) has never been shown, either by observation or by simulation.
I do not have a citation on hand, but check out the evolution by bacteria of the ability to digest nylon.
It’s curious that platypus has both reptilian and mammalian features, but unless we presuppose that there is an evolutionary link between reptiles and mammals, there would be no reason to label platypus an intermediate, transitional form between the two. The same thing is true of fossilized organisms. It simply makes no sense to label organisms intermediate, transitional forms unless evolution is presupposed. But if evolutionary theory informs the labeling (as it does), the labeling doesn’t justify the theory. Circular reasoning of that kind can’t confirm anything.
So why do you think that 18th century devout, creationist Christians felt they were compelled to accept some form of evolution as a probability, not just a possibility?
But since you asked, the core propositions of ID theory are these:
I did not ask for the core propositions, I asked for a statement of the theory of intelligent design. Remember, a theory is an explanation for a body of facts, from which it is possible to make testable predictions. Before it moves from being a hypothesis, at least some of these predictions have to have been found to be true. As an example, a prediction of 'descent with modification' is that organisms will form a nested hierarchy which will be essentially the same regardless of whether it is based on anatomy, biochemistry, nuclear genetics or mitochondrial genetics. From your statement of the theory it should be possible to say 'If I look at A, which has not been investigated yet, and I find X the theory is wrong but if I find Y the theory has not yet been falsified.' The reason why ID is not considered to be a science is because no-one has ever come up with a testable proposition and put it to the test.
The core hypothesis of Darwinism could be briefly stated in this way: All biological complexity and diversity can be attributed to unintelligent material causes (primarily to random genetic mutations and natural selection).
This is not a hypothesis. Think of a hypothesis as a baby theory that has not undergone much, or any, testing. It must lead fairly directly to testable predictions which is not possible from your statement.
The core hypothesis of design theory could be briefly stated in this way: Many biological systems defy wholly material explanations and can be attributed to an intelligent cause (or causes).
This is an assertion, not a hypothesis.

PvM · 15 March 2008

I was wrong about one thing, PvM: the ACLU’s hilariously titled “Findings of Fact” was presented to Judge Jones about a month before he

Still no effort to show why the title was hilarious. It's a common title for any such document and the content seems to be quite factual. But I have asked you to provide some examples of errors which you are willing to personally discuss.

issued his ruling, not a month before the trial (as I had said). Chalk it up to faulty memory. But I was right about two other things: that in the part of his decision where Judge Jones presumed to decide that ID theory is religion, not science, he copied the ACLU’s “Findings of Fact” nearly verbatim (so much for weighing the evidence with judicial impartiality); and that the “Findings of Facts” are chock full of errors (I’ve already given you a reference where you can confirm this for yourself).

Yes, I looked at the reference but found little that could withstand further scrutiny. you also seem to be confused about the use of Findings of Fact by the judge. The judge had invited both sides to submit these common documents. It's just that the judiciary found the ACLU's findings more in line with the actual evidence. So nothing wrong with this, of course, ID creationists have attempted to make a mountain out of a mole hill. After all, the findings by the judge are well supported, well reasoned and logical. What more do you want? ID is scientifically vacuous, is founded in religious thought and thus lacking a valid secular purpose (which is not a sham), ID has to be considered in violation of the establishment clause.

PvM · 15 March 2008

3) Unintelligent material mechanisms (such as random mutations and natural selection) do not suffice to explain the origin of biological systems that exhibit specified complexity.

— Jim
Since specified complexity is defined as the inability of material mechanisms to explain a system (yet), calling something specified complex is basically an admission of ignorance. In fact, no non trivial calculations of specified complexity have been performed so there is really no reason to claim that such complexity has been found. Of course, ID's argument is one based on an eliminative argument with all the known problems of such a gap argument. It's quite simple really. The argument looks as follows. Biology is specified (function) and complex (natural mechanisms cannot fully explain it) and thus it must have been designed. However, this is a typical argument of ignorance. In fact, the somewhat confusing use of the term complex and information have caused much confusion amongst ID proponents. Of course sufficient to point out that even if a design inference is triggered this need not neccessarily point to an intelligent designer, and in fact the step to go from design to designer, is an inductive step which cannot exclude natural selection as the designer. Back to the drawing tables. Yes, you are well versed in copying the ID argument but it may be hard to defend them

Mike Elzinga · 15 March 2008

As you no doubt know, Mike, Discovery Institute is the primary institutional home of what has come to be called the ID movement. But as you apparently don’t know, DI *opposes* attempts by school boards to mandate the teaching of design theory in the public schools precisely because the theory lacks sufficient theoretical maturity to warrant such a thing (you can verify this for yourself by going to DI’s website). DI has no objections, however, to biology teachers teaching ID concepts to their students if they choose to do so. DI, unlike the Darwinian establishment, supports academic freedom.
Obviously you would like to block from your memory the contorted history of the DI activities. Did you also suppress the memory of the Wedge Document? Have you even read the Wedge Document? Do you know anything about its history? Do you know its primary author? Do you know who wrote the language injected by Rick Santorum into the No-Child-Left-Behind Bill in Congress? Do you know about the activities in Kansas, Florida, Ohio, Texas, and other states? Do you know about the bills introduced into State Legislatures that push ID? Do you know about the graduate student at Ohio State who stacked his committee? We do. And there is much more. The DI website constantly evolves as the ID/Creationists have suffered embarrassment after embarrassment in their political meddling in public education. We have watched them change their story and tactics routinely as they get caught red-handed in their meddling. Most of the regulars on Panda’s Thumb and the people at the National Center for Science Education have been tracking these activities for many decades. There is a long trail of their activities connecting them right back to the “Scientific Creationists” and the Institute for Creation Research. And there is a long history of the activities of Henry Morris, Duane Gish and the other “scientists” at ICR. You really shouldn’t be attempting to rewrite history in front of people who have lived through it and for which there is a public record; court cases and all. How short do you think people’s memories are?

I’m sure that’s how they view their mission, but what they show to those who don’t share their commitment to Darwinism is that mainstream evolutionary biology has become utterly dogmatic. They’re performing a valuable service by doing that: dogmatism exposed might become dogmatism defeated, an outcome much to be desired by anyone with a genuine respect for science.

If there is one characteristic that is common to all pseudo-scientists of every stripe, from perpetual motion machine inventors to paranormal promoters to ID/Creationists, it is the persecution complex milked to extreme in front of naive audiences. Place a real scientist in the crucible of peer-review and you get better science and a better scientist. Expose an ID/Creationist or other pseudo-scientist to even a hint of this crucible and you get a self-pitying whiner with a persecution complex who complains that scientists are a dogmatic cabal attempting to keep out brilliant new ideas. This shtick has become such a cliché that I am amazed that you would even attempt to pull it off.

But I was right about two other things: that in the part of his decision where Judge Jones presumed to decide that ID theory is religion, not science, he copied the ACLU’s “Findings of Fact” nearly verbatim (so much for weighing the evidence with judicial impartiality); and that the “Findings of Facts” are chock full of errors (I’ve already given you a reference where you can confirm this for yourself).

Apparently you still don’t believe that we check things. Do you know anything about the procedures in a trial like that at Dover? Judges ask for this stuff from both sides. It’s in the record. Your reference is full of bogus information which you did not check. Your claims of having studied the trial are now suspect; as is your honesty. You really don’t check out anything, do you? Getting your science education from DI literature is making it impossible for you to understand real science because you are stuck with whole lot of serious misconceptions that make real science incomprehensible to you.

Jim · 15 March 2008

PvM: "Darwinism remains as strong as ever. The answer to this is surprisingly simple: the arguments against Darwinism show more of a level of ignorance rather than a real problem."

The strength of Darwinism (like beauty) is in the eye of the beholder. It would be difficult to sustain the notion that evolutionary biologist Lynn Margulis (the late Carl Sagan's wife) is ignorant of either biology in general or Darwinism in particular, yet she has serious doubts about Darwinism's explanatory power. Margulis, famous for her theory that mitochondria were once independent bacterial cells, describes herself as a "Darwinist," and she is - IF that term is understood to mean someone who accepts that evolution results from random variations acted on by natural selection. But Margulis is not a neo-Darwinist (to remind you, I use the term "Darwinism" as a shorthand way to refer to neo-Darwinism). She is entirely unpersuaded that random mutations can provide the variations needed for evolution to proceed very far (for example, from fish to men). She has said that history will ultimately judge neo-Darwinism as "a minor twentieth-century religious sect within the sprawling religious persuasion of Anglo-Saxon biology."

In her public talks, Margulis frequently asks molecular biologists in the audience to identify a single unambiguous example of a new species being formed by the accumulation of random mutations. No replies have been forthcoming. In 2002 she wrote: "Speciation, whether in the remote Galapagos, in the laboratory cages of the drosophilosophers, or in the crowded sediments of the paleontologists, still has never been directly traced."

Margulis would also take issue with the claims made here that detailed, testable Darwinian pathways to complex biological systems have been identified. She characterizes the empirical solidity of neo-Darwinism in this way:

"Like a sugary snack that temporarily satisfies our appetite but deprives us of more nutritious foods, neo-Darwinism sates intellectual curiosity with abstractions bereft of actual details - whether metabolic, biochemical, ecological, or of natural history."

Echoing Margulis, James Shapiro (a molecular biologist at the University of Chicago) candidly observed that "there are no detailed Darwinian accounts for the evolution of any fundamental biochemical or cellular systems, only a variety of wishful speculations. It is remarkable that Darwinism is accepted as a satisfactory explanation for such a vast subject - evolution - with so little rigorous examination of how well its basic theses work in illuminating specific instances of biological adaptation or diversity." And in virtually identical language, noted cell biologist Franklin Harold wrote (in "The Way of the Cell") that "(t)here are presently no detailed Darwinian accounts of the evolution of any biochemical or cellular system, only a variety of wishful speculations."

Margulis characterizes the theoretical condition of neo-Darwinism in this way:

"Neo-Darwinism, which insists on (the slow accrual of mutations), is in a complete funk."

You'll no doubt accuse me once more of "quote mining" (which is not an actual argument, as you seemingly think), but if you're going to lay my objections to Darwinism on ignorance, then you also need to show that Margulis, Shapiro, and Harold - along with many other scientists and scholars who have doubts about Darwinism - are all ignoramuses.

Jim · 15 March 2008

PvM: "Since specified complexity is defined as the inability of material mechanisms to explain a system (yet), calling something specified complex is basically an admission of ignorance."

Good grief. Mike said you people are well-versed in design theory, in which case I'll leave it to Mike to provide you with the correct definition of specified complexity. (Note: When I said that one of the core propositions of ID theory is that specified complexity is a reliable indicator of design, that did not constitute a definition of specified complexity. I thought you knew what it was, but I was wrong.)

PvM · 15 March 2008

Again Jim is quote mining scientists rather than address the examples that have been provided to him of such pathways. So Lynn Margulis is a Darwinian who is unconvinced. So what? How does this make ID less vacuous?

You’ll no doubt accuse me once more of “quote mining” (which is not an actual argument, as you seemingly think), but if you’re going to lay my objections to Darwinism on ignorance, then you also need to show that Margulis, Shapiro, and Harold - along with many other scientists and scholars who have doubts about Darwinism - are all ignoramuses.

Margulis has no doubts about Darwinism, however she believes that symbiosis is a necessary ingredient

The major steps in evolution involved symbiogenesis, which Margulis described succinctly as “the inheritance of acquired genomes” and more formally in its relationship to symbiosis, “the long-term physical association between members of different types (species).” The problem with neo-Darwinism, Margulis concluded, is that “Random changes in DNA alone do not lead to speciation. Symbiogenesis–the appearance of new behaviors, tissues, organs, organ systems, physiologies, or species as a result of symbiont interaction–is the major source of evolutionary novelty in eukaryotes–animals, plants, and fungi.”

Unlike ID creationists, Margulis at least proposes an alternative explanation, however wrong she may be. Similarly James Shapiro considers cellular information processing as an important component in evolution. Again, I am not sure why this is anti-Darwinian. It's simple for Jim to quote but why does he avoid discussing the examples of biological pathways provided to him? But even if you were right and evolutionary theory is still lacking in providing sufficiently detailed descriptions of complex biological systems, this neither means that evolutionary theory is wrong or that there is some relevance to ID. The evidence supporting Darwinian theory is as strong as ever and although we may not have answers to all the questions, evolutionary theory has shown to be able to explain the observed data using simple scientific paradigms. That Shapiro, and others believe that there are additional mechanisms hardly undermines the successes of evolutionary theory so far. Margulis's ideo of endosymbiosis was initially strongly opposed and when the evidence became stronger, it was finally accepted as a valid extension to evolutionary theory. What has ID to offer here?

Mike Elzinga · 15 March 2008

I have no quarrel with the point you’re making here, Richard. But the point is irrelevant. The ability of unintelligent material mechanisms to produce complexity of even mind-boggling proportions is beyond dispute, but the ability of those mechanisms to produce *specified complexity* (such as the specified complexity exhibited by the sequence of letters in this paragraph) has never been shown, either by observation or by simulation.
You repeat this shtick after it has been pointed out to you that it is wrong. More evidence that you don’t read nor do you comprehend. “Specified complexity” is a misused and meaningless term. It has nothing to do with what actually goes on in complicated systems. You cannot carry on scientific conversations with bogus concepts. The result is meaningless. Trying to be civil to you by offering scientific explanations is pretty much a useless activity because you seem no longer capable of comprehending anything beyond ID literature. Instead, you turn right around and repeat your shtick without any comprehension of what you are saying. Unfortunately for you, that makes you a pretty good rube for their side. You now have to unlearn an incredible pile of junk knowledge and try to learn real science; not likely to happen in your case.

Jim · 15 March 2008

Mike: "Did you also suppress the memory of the Wedge Document? Have you even read the Wedge Document? Do you know anything about its history? Do you know its primary author? Do you know who wrote the language injected by Rick Santorum into the No-Child-Left-Behind Bill in Congress? Do you know about the activities in Kansas, Florida, Ohio, Texas, and other states? Do you know about the bills introduced into State Legislatures that push ID? Do you know about the graduate student at Ohio State who stacked his committee? We do. And there is much more."

Yes, I've read the Wedge Document. But I really don't have any interest in your paranoia. I've heard it all before. People who have good arguments stick to making good arguments. People who don't have good arguments attack the motives, the intentions, the character, and the intelligence of those with whom they disagree. Any skeptic of Darwinism reading the kind of arguments that Darwinists make against ID will almost instantly perceive that the Darwinian establishment is in full panic.

With that, I'll bid you farewell. It's actually been somewhat pleasurable being here. The insults aren't as pervasive as they are on Pharyngula, but I still haven't found someone who can defend Darwinism without making himself a royal pain in the ass.

One closing comment: This thread began with Nick's claim that ID theorists had shifted from saying that components of an irreducibly complex biological system could not perform any functions of their own to saying that they could. Yet Behe, who developed the concept in "Darwin's Black Box," specifically said that the components of IC systems might serve functions of their own. Nothing has changed, including the refusal of Darwinists to try to understand the arguments that design theorists make.

Mike Elzinga · 15 March 2008

Good grief. Mike said you people are well-versed in design theory, in which case I’ll leave it to Mike to provide you with the correct definition of specified complexity.
Definition: Specified complexity Duh; looks complicated to me. Musta been designed. Here; I’ll make up some probability numbers, take the negative logarithm to base 2, and if it is a big enough number, it was intelligently designed by a sectarian god of some sort which we won’t discuss in order to make it look respectable enough to get around Edwards vs. Aguillard.

Mike Elzinga · 15 March 2008

I still haven’t found someone who can defend Darwinism without making himself a royal pain in the ass.
Sorry to give you such a royal headache. At least you were able to admit that you are no longer capable of learning because it hurts so much.

PvM · 15 March 2008

PvM: “Since specified complexity is defined as the inability of material mechanisms to explain a system (yet), calling something specified complex is basically an admission of ignorance.” Good grief. Mike said you people are well-versed in design theory, in which case I’ll leave it to Mike to provide you with the correct definition of specified complexity. (Note: When I said that one of the core propositions of ID theory is that specified complexity is a reliable indicator of design, that did not constitute a definition of specified complexity. I thought you knew what it was, but I was wrong.)

Let me address the flawed statement that specified is a reliable indicator of design. First of all, you have failed to define design, although as Del Ratzsch points out the ID definition of design is merely the set theoretic complement of regularity and chance, or that which remains when regularity and chance pathways have been eliminated. Now design would be 'reliable' IFF it could eliminate known and unknown natural pathways, because then that which remains would be a supernatural explanation. Of course, under such an approach design may very well be an empty set. But it is clear that ID cannot and will not provide relevant probability estimates for any evolutionary scenario. In fact, I argue, that ID will remain unable to do so due to the intractable nature of said processes. More in a second my battery is running down.

PvM · 15 March 2008

As I was saying design is the set theoretic complement of regularity and chance. Specification in biology is simple as any "function" suffices, which means that most any evolved structure will be specified. So what about complexity. Well, complexity refers to the negative base 2 logarithm of the probability that a particular system can be explained by a particular hypothesis (although some have argued that Dembski considers the hypothesis of uniform probability sufficient). This basically means that we can take a purely random or chance scenario and show that the probability is low and thus the complexity high. Based on this probability, and the inability of ID to provide any other relevant calculations for more relevant pathways, ID concludes. Well, it is complex and specified, thus it must be designed. But all the have done here is made design equivalent to well we tried and we do not know. After all, if we can provide such a pathway, the probability will become closer to 1 and the complexity will disappear. Such is the fate of any explanation which increases the probability. In other words, complexity is at best a measure of our ignorance, and ID at best should be able to infer design which would mean 'we don't really know'. ID then claims that since regularity and chance processes cannot create complex specified information (which is by definition true), the circular argument becomes that thus designed. Worse, ID also claims that only intelligence can create CSI but again, no further explanation is provided that this is the case, in fact, the probability of a particular event under the design hypothesis would also be quite high, and thus the complexity quite low. Now ID is faced with the situation that it has an inherently unreliable design detector, since it cannot establish if it is because of a true lack of natural explanations or the lack of our knowledge. Countless examples exist where we reached a design inference based on our ignorance, only to be reminded later that invoking God to explain the orbits of our planets was a bit presumptious. So now we have design, what about the designer? Well as Dembski explains such a step is in fact an inductive one and Dembski makes an important concession, often overlooked by critics and propionents alike

Before I proceed, however, I note that Dembski makes an important concession to his critics. He refuses to make the second assumption noted above. When the EF implies that certain systems are intelligently designed, Dembski does not think it follows that there is some intelligent designer or other. He says that, "even though in practice inferring design is the first step in identifying an intelligent agent, taken by itself design does not require that such an agent be posited. The notion of design that emerges from the design inference must not be confused with intelligent agency" (TDI, 227, my emphasis). Source: Ryan Nichols, The Vacuity of Intelligent Design Theory

So design is unreliable and the step from design to designer is even more complex and as Elsberry has argued, cannot even exclude natural selection as the designer. So perhaps there is another way for ID to approach the concept of design, after all we do detect design in nature quite reliably in areas such as criminology, archeology. So what is happening here. Simple, in these instances we do not use the purely eliminative approach and in fact constrain the designer by looking at means, motives, opportunity, eye witnesses, and physical evidence to formulate a positive hypothesis of design. But since ID is unable and unwilling to formulate such a hypothesis for their designer, they are facing the problem that since they cannot constrain the designer, they cannot make any predictions that are non ad-hoc.

I still haven’t found someone who can defend Darwinism without making himself a royal pain in the ass.

— Jim
Darwinism can defend itself quite well, the real issue is that noone really has given a rationale objection to Darwinian theory other than to point to some random quotes. For instance, Jim has argued that random processes and selection could not possibly create meaningful information, and as I have shown, it is almost a trivial consequence that meaningful information is transferred from the environment to the genome by such processes. Sure, Darwinian theory may not be able to explain ever single mutation and step that happened in the millions or billions of years involved but they can provide a logical framework to test and time after time these test show not only strong evidence for the fact of evolution, aka common descent but also strong support of darwinian theory. Now this does not mean that there may not be a better explanation out there, we all know how Newton's theory was reliable upto a certain point and that it was up to Einstein to explain why Newtonian physics was a low speed approximation of what is now known as the theory of relativity. And I fully expect science to uncover new mechanisms and pathways that evolution has taken, however I am also convinced that given the evidence, Darwinian theory remains the best explanation so far. If ID wants to compete then it would do well to propose a better explanation. So far it has done neither that nor has it shown that there are real problems with Darwinian theory.

PvM · 15 March 2008

Mike: Duh; looks complicated to me. Musta been designed. Here; I’ll make up some probability numbers, take the negative logarithm to base 2, and if it is a big enough number, it was intelligently designed by a sectarian god of some sort which we won’t discuss in order to make it look respectable enough to get around Edwards vs. Aguillard.

In fact, that seems quite accurate although it is framed in much more official sounding language of logarithms, specification and No Free Lunches, all of which collapse given the actual evidence. That of course does not prevent Dembski (and Marks) from trying again to shore up a useful mathematical construct. But until ID stops relying on ignorance, and starts proposing its own explanations, it is doomed to remain a scientifically vacuous concept.

And I can easily show that this is the case:

Explain to me how ID explains anything in a non-trivial manner?

Richard Simons · 15 March 2008

With that, I’ll bid you farewell. It’s actually been somewhat pleasurable being here. The insults aren’t as pervasive as they are on Pharyngula, but I still haven’t found someone who can defend Darwinism without making himself a royal pain in the ass.
Translation: Everyone asks questions I can't answer but I know they are wrong. Goodnight to all the other pains in the ass!

Mike Elzinga · 15 March 2008

That of course does not prevent Dembski (and Marks) from trying again to shore up a useful mathematical construct. But until ID stops relying on ignorance, and starts proposing its own explanations, it is doomed to remain a scientifically vacuous concept.
From what I can tell, these guys are so far out of the ballpark that they don’t have a chance. Their whole conceptual framework is wrong. But they have to stick with it or be wrong about a (sectarian) designer. One cannot even begin to assign probabilities without understanding the underlying mechanisms from which successive stages of evolution emerge from previous stages. That takes Darwin and (most humbly) some physics of complicated systems.

PvM · 15 March 2008

With that, I’ll bid you farewell. It’s actually been somewhat pleasurable being here. The insults aren’t as pervasive as they are on Pharyngula, but I still haven’t found someone who can defend Darwinism without making himself a royal pain in the ass.

So we will never hear about Jim's response to science showing how meaningful information can be created by processes of variation and chance. Figures.

PvM · 15 March 2008

Yes, I’ve read the Wedge Document. But I really don’t have any interest in your paranoia. I’ve heard it all before. People who have good arguments stick to making good arguments. People who don’t have good arguments attack the motives, the intentions, the character, and the intelligence of those with whom they disagree. Any skeptic of Darwinism reading the kind of arguments that Darwinists make against ID will almost instantly perceive that the Darwinian establishment is in full panic.

ROTFL. That is hilarious since ID has been beaten in the scientific arena, and is now following its path outlined in the Wedge without the expected inroads into academia. Your claims, to anyone who is familiar with the arguments, must surely sound hollow.

PvM · 15 March 2008

That’s something that ID theory can’t decide, but as a theist, I think that God is the designer implicated by design theory. ID theorists argue that biological data can justify design inferences, but they also argue that there is no inferential trail leading from the biological data to the identity of the designer. If ID theory is a theistic enterprise committed to proving that God exists, it’s not a very promising strategy on the part of ID theorists to repeatedly tell people that ID theory can’t deliver such proof.

Wink, wink. Of course, ID's inability to constrain its designer also means that ID itself is doomed to remain scientifically vacuous. At least they should pursue what they really believe the evidence would lead to but then God may found to be disproven as well. Of course ID could go down a road and formulate the same means, motives, opportunities, intent (thanks Denyse) that are applied with so much success in criminology and archaeology as an example. Why is it so hard for ID creationists to accept that God created through evolutionary processes? Especially since that is where the evidence is pointing? Why do they have to insist that their God is somehow unworthy lest His presence can be reliably detected in the world around us. Such little faith...

TruthDetector · 16 March 2008

If the Discovery Institute is so opposed to letting an immature “science” like Intelligent Design “theory” be taught in schools before it has “matured,” then why were they so eager to have it taught in the science curriculum at Dover, Pennsylvania, complete with the incompetently edited “Of Pandas and People”?

http://www.discovery.org/scripts/viewDB/filesDB-download.php?command=download&id=1372

Discovery Institute...issued a statement on October 6, 2004 opposing the policy under consideration by the Dover board:

"[A] recent news report seemed to suggest that the Center for Science & Culture endorses the adoption of textbook supplements teaching about the scientific theory of intelligent design (ID), which simply holds that certain aspects of the universe and living things can best be explained as the result of an intelligent cause rather
than merely material and purposeless processes like natural selection. Any such suggestion is incorrect."

Despite the lack of support from the Discovery Institute, on October 18, 2004 the board voted to adopt a policy that required discussion of ID in biology classes. Shortly thereafter, the Discovery Institute expressed to the news media its opposition to the adopted policy, and the Institute’s disagreement with the policy was acknowledged in an article published in early November 2004 by the Associated Press. The board later modified its policy to require that an oral disclaimer be read to biology classes. The disclaimer
stated, “Intelligent Design is an explanation of the origin
of life that differs from Darwin’s view” and noted that
“[t]he reference book, 'Of Pandas and People', is available for students who might be interested in gaining an understanding of what Intelligent Design actually involves.”

Mike Elzinga · 16 March 2008

Discovery Institute…issued a statement on October 6, 2004 opposing the policy under consideration by the Dover board:
This is by no means the whole picture. This is DI’s attempt to put a soft focus on their activities. At this point in DI history, they were already changing their story (again) because of severe setbacks they already experienced. Even removing the word “Renewal” from the Center for Science and Culture was a strategic maneuver. But the history goes back into the 1970s at the very least. And they still provide materials for political and grass-roots activities. The current shtick is “teach the strengths and weaknesses of Darwinism”, or “teach the controversy” or “teach critical thinking” (as though explicitly promoting the teaching of critical thinking presumes that no scientist or science teacher approves of such activity). A snapshot provided by DI employees is never the whole picture; it is simply the public image they are trying to project at the moment. It also seems to provide an alibi that can be use for denial of involvement in the political and grass-roots activities that clearly have the stamp of DI literature written all over them. Many grass-roots activists cite DI literature verbatim, so it is easy to detect. History and context are important in understanding DI talking points.

PvM · 16 March 2008

And the DI had sent some confusing messages with the release of a book titled "Intelligent Design in Public School Science Curricula: A Legal Guidebook" by David K. DeWolf, Stephen C. Meyer, Mark E. DeForrest

TruthDetector · 16 March 2008

"If you actually read about the Big Bang, you would know that it states that all of the matter in the Universe had once converged at a single point before expanding."

http://www.big-bang-theory.com/

The Big Bang theory is an effort to explain what happened at the very beginning of our universe. Discoveries in astronomy and physics have shown beyond a reasonable doubt that our universe did in fact have a beginning. Prior to that moment there was nothing; during and after that moment there was something: our universe. The big bang theory is an effort to explain what happened during and after that moment.

According to the standard theory, our universe sprang into existence as "singularity" around 13.7 billion years ago. What is a "singularity" and where does it come from? Well, to be honest, we don't know for sure. Singularities are zones which defy our current understanding of physics. They are thought to exist at the core of "black holes." Black holes are areas of intense gravitational pressure. The pressure is thought to be so intense that finite matter is actually squished into infinite density (a mathematical concept which truly boggles the mind). These zones of infinite density are called "singularities." Our universe is thought to have begun as an infinitesimally small, infinitely hot, infinitely dense, something - a singularity. Where did it come from? We don't know. Why did it appear? We don't know.

After its initial appearance, it apparently inflated (the "Big Bang"), expanded and cooled, going from very, very small and very, very hot, to the size and temperature of our current universe. It continues to expand and cool to this day and we are inside of it: incredible creatures living on a unique planet, circling a beautiful star clustered together with several hundred billion other stars in a galaxy soaring through the cosmos, all of which is inside of an expanding universe that began as an infinitesimal singularity which appeared out of nowhere for reasons unknown. This is the Big Bang theory.

There are many misconceptions surrounding the Big Bang theory. For example, we tend to imagine a giant explosion. Experts however say that there was no explosion; there was (and continues to be) an expansion. Rather than imagining a balloon popping and releasing its contents, imagine a balloon expanding: an infinitesimally small balloon expanding to the size of our current universe.

Another misconception is that we tend to image the singularity as a little fireball appearing somewhere in space. According to the many experts however, space didn't exist prior to the Big Bang. Back in the late '60s and early '70s, when men first walked upon the moon, "three British astrophysicists, Steven Hawking, George Ellis, and Roger Penrose turned their attention to the Theory of Relativity and its implications regarding our notions of time. In 1968 and 1970, they published papers in which they extended Einstein's Theory of General Relativity to include measurements of time and space. According to their calculations, time and space had a finite beginning that corresponded to the origin of matter and energy." The singularity didn't appear in space; rather, space began inside of the singularity. Prior to the singularity, nothing existed, not space, time, matter, or energy - nothing. So where and in what did the singularity appear if not in space? We don't know. We don't know where it came from, why it's here, or even where it is. All we really know is that we are inside of it and at one time it didn't exist and neither did we.

PvM · 16 March 2008

Big Bang theory is another theory with obvious theistic implications. If Judge Jones were asked to decide the scientific legitimacy of Big Bang theory, consistency in reasoning would require him to declare the theory to be religion, not science.

— Jim
Not at all, ID was not declared a religious for merely having religious impact, it was declared religious concept because of its history and the nature of its arguments combined with an approach which renders it to be scientifically vacuous. In other words, it is a religious concept lacking a valid secular purpose which is not a sham. Until ID creationists familiarize themselves with the logic of Jones' ruling, they will continue to argue a strawman

Mike Elzinga · 16 March 2008

PvM: And the DI had sent some confusing messages with the release of a book titled "Intelligent Design in Public School Science Curricula: A Legal Guidebook" by David K. DeWolf, Stephen C. Meyer, Mark E. DeForrest
Indeed. It appears that the DI may have painted itself into a precarious legal position. Having spent so many years scamming rubes and promoting material that cannot be verified (material which, in fact, has been rejected by science and the courts), they may have crossed the line to become an organization promoting fraud across state boundaries. That would be a federal offense. When such activities result in the loss of taxpayer resources, interfere with the proper administration of education, miss-educate consumers and cause them to divert money and resources into schemes for which there is no evidence of valid return, this gets pretty close to being fraud. So making formal statements of non-involvement or disapproval is really little more than the denials of a crime boss covering his ass to avoid being identified as the mastermind for a series of crimes. It may explain the agonizingly contorted legal briefs and obfuscation. The only other trick DI has left to play is the freedom-of-religion card. But they have to do that carefully in order to make ID look like “science”. And then there is always the Wedge Document to explain.

Mike Elzinga · 16 March 2008

The Big Bang theory is an effort to explain what happened at the very beginning of our universe…
Is there a point you are trying to make? Are you suggesting that Stanton’s one-sentence, colloquial summary of the “Big Bang” should be replaced by what you copied and pasted in your comment? Why not the entire theory, mathematics and all (which yours misses)? Can you clarify?

TruthDetector · 16 March 2008

"...why is it that every single one of the members of the Discovery Institute have done absolutely no experimental work aimed at validating the organization’s pet theory since the Discovery Institute’s inception?"

http://www.evolutionnews.org/2006/10/response_to_barbara_forrests_k_7.html

Important Facts Left Out About ID Research

In her Kitzmiller account, Barbara Forrest leaves out information about the scientific research supporting ID, claiming "creationists are executing every phase except producing scientific data to support ID." Ignoring her usage of the "creationist" label, Dr. Forrest's argument mimics that of Judge Jones. Both Dr. Forrest and Judge Jones ignored the testimony provided in the courtroom during the Kitzmiller trial by Scott Minnich about his own experiments which demonstrate the irreducible complexity of the flagellum. Amazingly, Judge Jones then wrote that "ID has not been the subject of testing or research" (pg. 64 of online version).

The best way to refute Judge Jones / Barbara Forrest's claim is to let the reader see the testimony of Scott Minnich. Minnich is a pro-ID microbiologist who testified as follows on the next-to-last-day of the trial about his own research and experimentation into the irreducibly complex nature of the bacterial flagellum:

Q. Do you know employ principles and concepts from intelligent design in your work?

A. I do.

Q. And I'd like for you to explain that further. I know you've prepared several slides to do that.

A. Sure. All right. I work on the bacterial flagellum, understanding the function of the bacterial flagellum for example by exposing cells to mutagenic compounds or agents, and then scoring for cells that have attenuated or lost motility. This is our phenotype. The cells can swim or they can't. We mutagenize the cells, if we hit a gene that's involved in function of the flagellum, they can't swim, which is a scorable phenotype that we use. Reverse engineering is then employed to identify all these genes. We couple this with biochemistry to essentially rebuild the structure and understand what the function of each individual part is. Summary, it is the process more akin to design that propelled biology from a mere descriptive science to an experimental science in terms of employing these techniques.

So it was inoculated right here, and over about twelve hours it's radiated out from that point of inoculant. Here is this same derived from that same parental clone, but we have a transposon, a jumping gene inserted into a rod protein, part of the drive shaft for the flagellum. It can't swim. It's stuck, all right? This one is a mutation in the U joint. Same phenotype. So we collect cells that have been mutagenized, we stick them in soft auger, we can screen a couple of thousand very easily with a few undergraduates, you know, in a day and look for whether or not they can swim.

We have a mutation in a drive shaft protein or the U joint, and they can't swim. Now, to confirm that that's the only part that we've affected, you know, is that we can identify this mutation, clone the gene from the wild type and reintroduce it by mechanism of genetic complementation. So this is, these cells up here are derived from this mutant where we have complemented with a good copy of the gene. One mutation, one part knock out, it can't swim. Put that single gene back in we restore motility. Same thing over here. We put, knock out one part, put a good copy of the gene back in, and they can swim. By definition the system is irreducibly complex. We've done that with all 35 components of the flagellum, and we get the same effect.

(Kitzmiller Transcript of Testimony of Scott Minnich pgs. 99-108, Nov. 3, 2005)

During this testimony, Scott Minnich showed slides in the courtroom documenting his own research experiments, which performed knockout experiments upon the flagellum, and found that the flagellum is irreducibly complex. Minnich produced relevant experimental data which confirmed a prediction made by intelligent design, and he used this research to support intelligent design in the courtroom. Yet Dr. Forrest completely ignored this testimony, as did Judge Jones, who did not even mention it in the Kitzmiller ruling. Given the testimony of an expert witnesses's own personal experiments which was directly presented before him, it is incredible that Judge Jones could write "ID has not been the subject of testing or research."

Dr. Scott Minnich, a microbiologist at the University of Idaho, is a fellow of Discovery Institute's Center for Science & Culture

http://www.discovery.org/csc/fellows.php

TruthDetector · 16 March 2008

FYI

http://www.newworldencyclopedia.org/entry/Intelligent_design

Mike Elzinga · 16 March 2008

Important Facts Left Out About ID Research
Ah yes; the Wedge of “Truth”. There really is a bigger picture that you don’t seem to want to look at. Since you simply copy and paste without comprehension, you clearly indicate that you are not open to evidence of any kind. In fact you are signaling that you are terrified to engage anyone on the issues. Bad tactic. It is too well-known.

Stanton · 16 March 2008

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Evolution_of_flagella

Mike Elzinga · 16 March 2008

FYI
Can you explain how cutting off a wing of a bird and demonstrating that it cannot fly, or cutting off the legs of people and showing that they cannot walk demonstrates that evolution did not occur?

Stanton · 16 March 2008

Among other things, "Truth"Detector, did the scientists who did that experiment create other knockout bacteria that corresponded with all of the other component proteins? To declare that the bacterial flagellum is irreducibly complex after only experimenting with the assessment of a single component protein is not only ignorant hubris, but sloppy science, if science at all. It's like declaring that a car is an irreducibly complex structure because it can not function without all of its sparkplugs. Furthermore, why didn't the Discovery Institute mention this experiment as evidence at the Dover Trial? Why is it Judge Jones' fault that none of the Discovery Institute stars mentioned this experiment? Why didn't this single experiment convince the Templeton Foundation to give the Discovery Institute more grant money? What are the other experiments and research projects the staff of the Discovery Institute working on?

TruthDetector · 16 March 2008

"(I)n judging the nature of the debate over the origin and subsequent diversity of life, there is (an) aspect of litigation that sheds light on why the debate is conducted as it is. A psychology that commonly operates in litigation is that opposing lawyers are primed to reject every statement by the other side - for there is no advantage in considering that the statements might be true. Lawyers are not engaged in a mutual search for the truth. In comparing the writings of the science-trained advocates of intelligent design with the writings of their opponents, I see that psychology occurring again and again on just one side of the debate: the side of the science establishment. That psychology is *not* evident in the work of intelligent design proponents that I have read. The fact that it is missing from their work is one reason why I have come to trust them more than their opponents in this debate. I think that the intelligent design advocates want to talk with me about looking for the truth. In sharp contrast, the science establishment is primarily engaged in using intimidation, ridicule, and innuendo against its critics." - Attorney Edward Sisson (LLD, magna cum laude, Georgetown; BS, environmental design, MIT), describing the kind of argumentation that dominates blogs like the Panda's Thumb and Pharyngula to a tee.

Stanton · 16 March 2008

From your copy-and-paste temper tantrum, are we to presume that you are wholly incapable of answering any questions asked of you in your own words, then?

PvM · 16 March 2008

I think that the intelligent design advocates want to talk with me about looking for the truth.

ROTFL. ID proponents have much to fear from the truth, isn't that the truth.

PvM · 16 March 2008

why is it that every single one of the members of the Discovery Institute have done absolutely no experimental work aimed at validating the organization’s pet theory since the Discovery Institute’s inception?”

Because there is none, although ID proponents claim that there may be ID friendly papers, the truth is that there are no ID relevant papers to defend any ID hypothesis, since there are no ID hypotheses, no ID theory. Ain't that the truth. Minnich may have believed that some of these papers may have been ID friendly or even directly relevant to ID but let me ask you a simple question, which you will likely avoid answering like so many of ID creationists who have gone before you: How does ID explain the bacterial flagella?

PvM · 16 March 2008

My working theory: TruthDetector is Larry trying to hide who he is.

Mike Elzinga · 16 March 2008

That psychology is *not* evident in the work of intelligent design proponents that I have read. The fact that it is missing from their work is one reason why I have come to trust them more than their opponents in this debate. I think that the intelligent design advocates want to talk with me about looking for the truth. In sharp contrast, the science establishment is primarily engaged in using intimidation, ridicule, and innuendo against its critics.” - Attorney Edward Sisson (LLD, magna cum laude, Georgetown; BS, environmental design, MIT), describing the kind of argumentation that dominates blogs like the Panda’s Thumb and Pharyngula to a tee.
Ooo; magna cum laude! Such authority! Indeed the ID/Creationists, as do all pseudo-scientists, always whine about peer-review and having to be responsible for providing evidence. Notice the cowardice of CopyandPasteTruthDetector. Place a real scientist in the crucible of peer-review and what emerges is better science and a better scientist. Expose a pseudo-scientist to even the barest hint of that crucible and what emerges is a whining self-pitying child with a persecution complex. Panda’s thumb is just the barest hint of that crucible.
My working theory: TruthDetector is Larry trying to hide who he is.
You may be onto something, Pim.

TruthDetector · 16 March 2008

"The Darwinian claim to explain all of evolution is a popular half-truth whose lack of explicative power is compensated for only by the religious ferocity of its rhetoric." - Evolutionary biologist Lynn Margulis, "Acquiring Genomes: A Theory of the Origin of Species"

TruthDetector · 16 March 2008

FYI

http://www.discovery.org/scripts/viewDB/filesDB-download.php?command=download&id=1186

PvM · 16 March 2008

More from Margulis

But, she quickly added, “I am definitely a Darwinist though.

TruthDetector, unless you engage in an actual debate, your postings will be moved to the bathroom wall.

Stanton · 16 March 2008

Oh, how wonderful! See how TruthDetector has evading my question concerning experiments concerning other flagellar proteins with a quotemine? Really, is he that dimwitted to think that none of us at Panda's Thumb are going to go and reread that excerpt on Amazon.com, what with Amazon's wonderful "Search Inside!" feature?
Lynn Margulis, Dorion Sagan, Acquiring Genomes: The Theory of the Origins of the Species , pgs 29-30 We agree that very few potential offspring ever survive to reproduce and that populations do change through time, and that therefore natural selection is of critical importance to the evolutionary process. But this Darwinian claim to explain all of evolution is a popular half-truth whose lack of explicative power is compensated for only by the religious ferocity of its rhetoric. Althouth random mutations influenced by the course of evolution, their influence was mainly by loss, alteration, and refinement. One mutation confers resistance to malaria but also makes happy blood cells into the deficient oxygen carriers of sickle cell anemics. Another mutation converts a gorgeous newborn into a cystic fibrosis patient or a victim of early onset diabetes. One mutation causes a flightly red-eyed fruit fly fail to take wing. Never, however, did that one mutation make a wing, a fruit, a woody stem, or a claw appear. Mutations, in summary, tend to induce sickness, death, or deficiencies. No evidence in the vast literation of heredity change shows unambiguous evidence that random mutation itself, even with geographical isolation of populations, leads to speciation. Then how do new species come into being? How do cauliflowers descend from tiny, wild Mediterranean cabbagelike plants, or pigs from wild boars? Darwin's successors have returned to the rugged volcanic islands of the Galapagos, off the coast of Ecuador, to watch evolution in action. Perhaps the most compelling case of nonstop evolutionary change is the work of Professors Peter and Rosemary Grant on exactly those finches that were made famous by Darwin and his successors. The paucity of other birds on these remote outposts and the severity of environmental pressures led, somehow, to rampant and rapid speciation from common avian ancestors. As Jonathan Wiener (1999) describes in his book, The Beak of the Finch, study of variation and the changes in these birds, isolated from the South American mainland for a million years, gives us the best traditional view of how the speciation process should work.
In other words, the authors Margulis and Sagan are talking about how mutations are not the sole cause of speciation.

Mike Elzinga · 16 March 2008

TruthDetector: FYI http://www.discovery.org/scripts/viewDB/filesDB-download.php?command=download&id=1186
So, why do you keep posting links to things everyone here has already read and, unlike you, actually understood better than you do; including the context and history and the deliberate distortions that were going out to DI's political base (yes, we know what was going on when this was written). I say off to the Bathroom Wall with you. There is nothing you seem to want to talk about.

Mike Elzinga · 16 March 2008

FYI
FYI. Check out the much broader range of links and topics under the “Links” tab on Panda’s Thumb. Your favorite pseudo-science is even listed there, so you are wasting your time and making a fool of yourself. Try checking out some of the real science links.

TruthDetector · 17 March 2008

"The horrid doubt always arises whether the convictions of man's mind, which has developed from the mind of the lower animals, are of any value or at all trustworthy. Would anyone trust the conviction of a monkey's mind, if there are any convictions in such a mind?" (Charles Darwin, Letter to W. Graham, July 3rd, 1881, in Darwin, F., ed., "The Life and Letters of Charles Darwin," 1898, Basic Books: New York NY, Vol. I., 1959, reprint, p.285)

"If my mental processes are determined wholly by the motions of atoms in my brain, I have no reason to suppose that my beliefs are true...and hence I have no reason for supposing my brain to be composed of atoms." (J.B.S. Haldane, "Possible Worlds," Chatto & Windus: London, 1927, p.209)

"The idea that one species of organism is, unlike all the others, oriented not just toward its own increased prosperity but toward Truth, is as un-Darwinian as the idea that every human being has a built-in moral compass - a conscience that swings free of both social history and individual luck." (Richard Rorty, "Untruth and Consequences," The New Republic, July 31, 1995, pp. 32-36)

"The Astonishing Hypothesis is that 'You,' your joys and your sorrows, your memories and your ambitions, your sense of personal identity and free will, are in fact no more than the behavior of a vast assembly of nerve cells and their associated molecules." (Francis Crick, "The Astonishing Hypothesis: The Scientific Search for the Soul," Scribner's, 1994, p. 3)

"I am astonished that otherwise intelligent and informed people, including physicians, are reluctant to believe that mind, as part of life, is matter and only matter." (Arthur Kornberg, "The Two Cultures: Chemistry and Biology," Biochemistry 26, 1987, pp. 6888-91)

"On Kornberg's own premises...his astonishment was unjustified. Presumably, one kind of chemical reaction in the brain causes Kornberg to accept materialist reductionism, while another kind of reaction causes those physicians to doubt it." (Phillip Johnson, "Reason in the Balance: The Case Against Naturalism in Science, Law & Education," Intervarsity Press, 1995, p. 65)

"(If the) mind is a product of the irrational (which materialistic-naturalistic evolution claims it is) then how shall I trust my mind when it tells me about Evolution? What makes it impossible that it should be true is not so much the lack of evidence for this or that scene in the drama as the fatal self-contradiction which runs right through it. The Myth (of Evolution) cannot even get going without accepting a good deal from the real sciences. And the real sciences cannot be accepted for a moment unless rational inferences are valid: for every science claims to be a series of inferences from observed facts. It is only by such inferences that you can reach your nebulae and protoplasm and dinosaurs and sub-men and cave-men at all. Unless you start by believing that reality in the remotest space and the remotest time rigidly obeys the laws of logic, you can have no ground for believing in any astronomy, any biology, any palaeontology, any archaeology. To reach the positions held by the real scientists - which are then taken over by the Myth - you must, in fact, treat reason as an absolute. But at the same time the Myth asks me to believe that reason is simply the unforeseen and unintended by-product of a mindless process at one stage of its endless and aimless becoming. The content of the Myth thus knocks from under me the only ground on which I could possibly believe the Myth to be true. If my own mind is a product of the irrational - if what seem my clearest reasonings are only the way in which a creature conditioned as I am is bound to feel - how shall I trust my mind when it tells me about Evolution? They say in effect: 'I will prove that what you call a proof is only the result of mental habits which result from heredity which results from bio-chemistry which results from physics.' But this is the same as saying: 'I will prove that proofs are irrational': more succinctly, 'I will prove that there are no proofs': The fact that some people of scientific education cannot by any effort be taught to see the difficulty, confirms one's suspicion that we here touch a radical disease in their whole style of thought. But the man who does see it, is compelled to reject as mythical the cosmology in which most of us were brought up. That it has embedded in it many true particulars I do not doubt: but in its entirety, it simply will not do. Whatever the real universe may turn out to be like, it can't be like that." (C.S. Lewis,"The Funeral of a Great Myth," in "Christian Reflections," 1967, Hooper, W., ed., Fount: Glasgow UK, Fourth Impression, 1988, pp.117-118)

"Here is a curious case: If Darwin's naturalism is true, there is no way of even establishing its credibility let alone proving it. Confidence in logic is ruled out. Darwin's own theory of human origins must therefore be accepted by an act of faith. One must hold that a brain, a device that came to be through natural selection and chance-sponsored mutations, can actually know a proposition or set of propositions to be true. C.S. Lewis puts the case this way: 'If all that exists is Nature, the great mindless interlocking event, if our own deepest convictions are merely the by-products of an irrational process, then clearly there is not the slightest ground for supposing that our sense of fitness and our consequent faith in uniformity tell us anything about a reality external to ourselves. Our convictions are simply a fact about us - like the colour of our hair. If Naturalism is true we have no reason to trust our conviction that Nature is uniform.' (C.S. Lewis, 'Miracles: A Preliminary Study,' 1947, Fontana: London, 1960, Revised Edition, 1963, reprint, p.109] What we need for such certainty is the existence of some 'Rational Spirit' outside both ourselves and nature from which our own rationality could derive. Theism assumes such a ground; naturalism does not." (J.W. Sire, "The Universe Next Door: A Basic World View Catalog," 1976, InterVarsity Press: Downers Grove IL, Second Edition, 1988, pp.94-95)

"The validity of rational thought, accepted in an utterly non-naturalistic, transcendental (if you will), supernatural sense is the necessary presupposition of all other theorizing. There is simply no sense in beginning with a view of the universe and trying to fit in the clailms of thought at a later stage. By thinking at all we have claimed that our thoughts are more than mere natural events. All other propositions must be fitted in as best they can around that primary claim." (C.S. Lewis, "A Christian Reply to Professor Price," Phoenix Quarterly, vol. 1, No. 1, Autumn 1946)

Questions for discussion:

Modern evolutionary theory (or ToE) reduces the human mind to matter. All thoughts, then, are material events produced by material causes. Material causes do not intend their effects; they merely produce them without reason or understanding. Material causes are therefore irrational.

1) How is it possible to defend ToE with arguments that are the products of irrational material causes (as they must be if ToE is true)?

2) On what grounds could we suppose that arguments for ToE are more trustworthy than arguments against ToE if all arguments are the products of irrational material causes (as they must be if ToE is true)?

3) If ToE is true, how could we possibly know it?

Henry J · 17 March 2008

3) If ToE is true, how could we possibly know it?

Perhaps by noting lots of places in which contradictory evidence could be found if the theory wasn't at least a very close approximation?

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 17 March 2008

@ Jim:
The problem here is that when you say you’re discussing “evolution,” it’s hard to know what you mean.
No it isn't, I mean the science. You are trying to obfuscate by using terminology describing an old historical theory instead of MET. Your problem is that you can't accept that science means acquiring new knowledge by rejecting falsehoods (data and theory), not by discussing static imaginary dogma. The right way to look at it is that we are observing a known and verified process, where we are trying to observe new phenomena and discern new mechanisms. As in all sciences we can use a minimal definition to identify the process, while our theory must flesh out the details of exactly how this definition is fulfilled by being tested against it. A good definition of evolution is roughly "descent with variation". MET is the current verified theory. So you see, it isn't hard to knwo what I mean - but it is impossible to understand your conflations. Which suits you fine, but don't make the mistake of believing that it has anything to do with actual science.
the just-so story
As I said, this is what is required to fulfill the requirements of the test. You don't specify detail, the theory does. This is one reason why science can be objective, and why science theories like evolution is falsifiable. The you go into information. Your first objection to Dawkins description is that evolution isn't "creative". This is not a requirement anywhere in evolution, but in creationism. So you attack the wrong idea, but thanks for the help. Your second objection is that Shannon information doesn't apply, while Dawkins makes very clear how it does and why, the populations genome is learning of the environment, the very same description of observer that you accepted. Then you go into speciation. You claim that the fact that MET predicts speciation isn't helpful. Of course it is, it is a falsifiable prediction. You forgot to show the mechanism whereby speciation is blocked, a mechanism creationists have looked for in the last 150 years without success. In 2008, the apologist Paley's problem still remain unsolved. Finally you discuss "issues" with the existing theory without mentioning any that applies to it. And this sums up your contribution to the discussion on science and IDists ability to concede their mistakes: none what so ever.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 17 March 2008

@ PvM:
A sequence of nucleotides produced by random mutations will have zero shannon information,
No, it will maximize the information if it is the channel. But Dawkins point is that it doesn't need to be, it can be seen as the observer and it is moreover natural to do so. The sender is the environment, the channel becomes generational replication (pre- and post probabilities of alleles), and variation/selection is functions operating on the channel. The information learned is how to survive, i.e. which alleles contribute to (most replicative) survival. Other definitions of observer, channel, et cetera is possible, which I believe happens when explaining information increase in gene duplication.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 17 March 2008

@ Jim:
Empirical testing has been at the heart of my comments about the problem of induction.
It isn't, as testing circumvents your imaginary problem by rejecting false theories. Your objection that falsification no longer applies is contradictory to your claim on Popper. Your back must hurt by this much goalpost moving.
“Reasonable doubt” is a legal concept, not a scientific concept.
It is a description of what the quantified certainty means in context. And you try to slip in absolute truth into science about facts. More goalpost moving, and to no avail - you aren't describing science but dogmatic fantasy. And we know how the immune system could have evolved, beyond reasonable doubt.
resort to condescension
I just stated what is obvious to us all, you don't know first thing about what you are discussing. You discuss much apologetics but no science. If you are through, fine. Too bad you don't want to admit to your's and Behe's failures.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 17 March 2008

@ Jim:
that doesn’t make information a material phenomenon.
Don't make the mistake of thinking that a relative measure (relative to the system, including which observer you use) isn't measurable on an appropriate phenomenon. Now, i would argue instead that evolution isn't an appropriate phenomenon, as it is the traits allele frequencies that population genetics treats and their function that we are interested in. The information as measured by Shannon information overlaps completely so doesn't confer any new knowledge on the system.
Big Bang theory is another theory with obvious theistic implications. If Judge Jones were asked to decide the scientific legitimacy of Big Bang theory, consistency in reasoning would require him to declare the theory to be religion, not science.
You are confusing the findings of objective science with the subjective dogma of your particular religion. Besides, the process and its current concordance theory are plenty verified (beyond reasonable doubt in fact), now latest with the WMAP 5 year data release.
it implies a cause of the Big Bang that is external to nature (or supernatural).
As evolution, the verification of the big bang expansion phenomena and its theories aren't depending on deriving the initial state (abiogenesis vs quantum gravity). Remember, we rely on predictions and falsification, not assumptions. Oh, and sorry about your headache. Your creationist indoctrination makes it impossible to learn science. My advice is, forget every falsehood you have picked up and go back to early school texts and learn science instead. Not intended as condescending, just an analysis on a science blog of what you need.

Sean · 21 June 2008

halo said: "At any rate, critics of the argument from irreducible complexity look to save Darwinism not by enlisting direct Darwinian pathways to bring about irreducibly complex systems but by enlisting indirect Darwinian pathways to bring them about. In indirect Darwinian pathways, a system evolves not by preserving and enhancing an existing function but by continually transforming its function… How does the argument from irreducible complexity handle indirect Darwinian pathways? Here the point at issue is no longer logical but empirical. The fact is that for irreducibly complex biochemical systems, no indirect Darwinian pathways are known. At best biologists have been able to isolate subsystems of such systems that perform other functions. But any reasonably complicated machine always includes subsystems that perform functions distinct from the original machine. So the mere occurrence or identification of subsystems that could perform some function on their own is no evidence for an indirect Darwinian pathway leading to the system. [[What’s needed is a seamless Darwinian account that’s both detailed and testable of how subsystems undergoing coevolution could gradually transform into an irreducibly complex system.]] No such accounts are available or have so far been forthcoming. Indeed, if such accounts were available, critics of intelligent design would merely need to cite them, and intelligent design would be refuted."
Behe Wrote (c) 1996, 2006, that,
halo said: "This little story teaches several lessons. First, the word jump can be offered as an explanation of how someone crossed a barrier, but the explanation can range from completely convincing to totally inadequate depending on the details (such as how wide the barrier is). Second, [[long journeys can be made much more plausible if they are explained as a series of smaller jumps rather than one great leap]]. And third, in the absence of smaller jumps, it is very difficult to prove right or wrong someone who asserts that stepping stones existed in the past but have disappeared."
So Halo, in "[[What’s needed is a [[[seamless]]] Darwinian account that’s both detailed and testable of how subsystems undergoing coevolution could gradually transform into an irreducibly complex system.]]", says that Behe is completely wrong in "[[long journeys can be made [[[much more plausible]]] if they are explained as [[[a series of smaller jumps]]] rather than [[[one great leap]]] ]]" because even filling in more gaps (with new potential DNA code flagellum subcomponents being found and used which makes them available for mutatable DNA material) doesn't reconstruct the seamless mutation history of the now nonexistant past observation data. And even constructing a complete story from evidences and mechanisms in the future, with the best DNA simulation programs of the future, will not provably reconstruct time-history from millions of years ago. So only a time machine is suitable for Halo, and Behe is plain wrong that smaller steps are "much more plausible", as Halo only claims a seamless reconstruction of time and DNA history millions of years ago will suffice for the faithlessness of Creationists in all Science. By the way, since you (Halo) like evidence and concrete things without any faith in an ultimate truth in Science, what do you think is the meaning of the nearly identical DNA chromosomes, architecture, and details between chimpanzees and humans shown in the video? It means something, but what? Mice, amoeba, plants, and bacteria, don't have DNA chromsomes, architecture, and detail code ordering at all like each other or humans and primates, unlike the similarity found between humans and chimpanzees so well show. Or explanation of methods of complexity arising from complexity arising from simplicty naturally described in my blog, section 3? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oI29OXqLB8M BLOG: http://lonerubberdragon.blogspot.com/

Sean · 21 June 2008

Sean said:
halo said: "At any rate, critics of the argument from irreducible complexity look to save Darwinism not by enlisting direct Darwinian pathways to bring about irreducibly complex systems but by enlisting indirect Darwinian pathways to bring them about. In indirect Darwinian pathways, a system evolves not by preserving and enhancing an existing function but by continually transforming its function… How does the argument from irreducible complexity handle indirect Darwinian pathways? Here the point at issue is no longer logical but empirical. The fact is that for irreducibly complex biochemical systems, no indirect Darwinian pathways are known. At best biologists have been able to isolate subsystems of such systems that perform other functions. But any reasonably complicated machine always includes subsystems that perform functions distinct from the original machine. So the mere occurrence or identification of subsystems that could perform some function on their own is no evidence for an indirect Darwinian pathway leading to the system. [[What’s needed is a seamless Darwinian account that’s both detailed and testable of how subsystems undergoing coevolution could gradually transform into an irreducibly complex system.]] No such accounts are available or have so far been forthcoming. Indeed, if such accounts were available, critics of intelligent design would merely need to cite them, and intelligent design would be refuted."
Behe Wrote (c) 1996, 2006, that,
"This little story teaches several lessons. First, the word jump can be offered as an explanation of how someone crossed a barrier, but the explanation can range from completely convincing to totally inadequate depending on the details (such as how wide the barrier is). Second, [[long journeys can be made much more plausible if they are explained as a series of smaller jumps rather than one great leap]]. And third, in the absence of smaller jumps, it is very difficult to prove right or wrong someone who asserts that stepping stones existed in the past but have disappeared."
So Halo, in "[[What’s needed is a [[[seamless]]] Darwinian account that’s both detailed and testable of how subsystems undergoing coevolution could gradually transform into an irreducibly complex system.]]", says that Behe is completely wrong in "[[long journeys can be made [[[much more plausible]]] if they are explained as [[[a series of smaller jumps]]] rather than [[[one great leap]]] ]]" because even filling in more gaps (with new potential DNA code flagellum subcomponents being found and used which makes them available for mutatable DNA material) doesn't reconstruct the seamless mutation history of the now nonexistant past observation data. And even constructing a complete story from evidences and mechanisms in the future, with the best DNA simulation programs of the future, will not provably reconstruct time-history from millions of years ago. So only a time machine is suitable for Halo, and Behe is plain wrong that smaller steps are "much more plausible", as Halo only claims a seamless reconstruction of time and DNA history millions of years ago will suffice for the faithlessness of Creationists in all Science. By the way, since you (Halo) like evidence and concrete things without any faith in an ultimate truth in Science, what do you think is the meaning of the nearly identical DNA chromosomes, architecture, and details between chimpanzees and humans shown in the video? It means something, but what? Mice, amoeba, plants, and bacteria, don't have DNA chromsomes, architecture, and detail code ordering at all like each other or humans and primates, unlike the similarity found between humans and chimpanzees so well show. Or explanation of methods of complexity arising from complexity arising from simplicty naturally described in my blog, section 3? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oI29OXqLB8M BLOG: http://lonerubberdragon.blogspot.com/