Basu: Bias over views or credentials?

Posted 20 May 2007 by

Rekha Basu at the Des Moines Register has written an opinion on ISU's denial of tenure to Guillermo Gonzalez. She raises some good issues:

In the past 10 years, a third of the 12 tenure applicants in the physics and astronomy department have been denied. Asked if Gonzalez's Intelligent Design views were considered, department head Eli Rosenberg replied, "Only to the extent that they impact his scientific credentials." One hopes the ISU president's response to the appeal will answer any lingering questions about bias toward Gonzalez for his personal beliefs. But Intelligent Design proponents are wrong to equate the exclusion of their theory from the classroom with academic bias. Professors are entitled to their own beliefs, but not to teach as science something that is not.

It is important to remember that the Tenure requirements are more extensive than suggested by some ID proponents who limit their argument to what the department requirements specify (and even there seem to mangle the requirements)

The university maintains the tenure denial was based on the professor's teaching, service, scholarly publications and ability to get research funding, and not his Intelligent Design advocacy.

So let's look at Gonzalez's publication record, compare his record before joining ISU to his record after he joined, remembering that the customary 7 year period is of a probationary nature. During this period one has to show that the promise for success based on which one was originally hired for a tenure track position is actually playing itself out, This includes the ability to continue and expand the research, the ability to attract external sources of funding, and so on. In this light, the responses by the Discovery Institute seems quite puzzling. Are they really interested in the best outcome for Gonzalez? Sometimes I wonder.

136 Comments

Chip Poirot · 21 May 2007

Just when I thought this discussion was over-here we go again. I'll say a few things here that will no doubt cause a few regulars to continue to ID bait me, rather than deal directly with my arguments.

For the record, just to remove any misunderstanding and attempt to move this debate to where it belongs (discussion of the meaning of the term "academic freedom"), any person who has access to EBSCO data host or a University library can hunt down the March 2007 issue of The Journal of Economic Issues and discover my academically published views on Darwinism in the social sciences. Those person(s) would quickly discover that not only am I pro-evolution, I am pro extending evolutionary concepts to the social sciences (with some caveats). I say this only because several people keep responding to what I am saying with accusations that I am shilling for the ID people. Nothing could be further from the truth.

That disclaimer out of the way, let me make another one: I still don't have any real evidence that Gonzales was improperly denied tenure.

Now, on to the real issue. I am bothered by the statement that Gonzales' pro ID views might have been considered negatively against him in the tenure decision because they negatively weighed against his scientific credentials.

There is to my mind a significant difference between a federal judge, for purposes of trying to decide what can and cannot be forced on high school biology classrooms, and trying to officially decide what counts as a scientific view for a tenure decision.

Science proceeds best when it is open to challenge and critical scrutiny (that is not the same as saying science education proceeds best...). Science today does indeed rest on a naturalistic world view. There is nothing wrong and sinister about that. In addition, people have the responsibility to teach the curriculum.

However, especially at the University level academic freedom does include the right to hold views that are considered outside the pale in one's discipline. How much one has the right to introduce views outside the pale into the classroom is a tricky issue. On balance, I don't have a problem with someone discussing ID to a very limited degree (and I stress very limited) in a **College** science classroom, provided the standard curriculum is covered and covered rigorously.

Furthermore, provided one is publishing in accepted academic journals, getting grant money, turning out graduate students, etc. or meeting other University specified requirements, one has the right to advocate even crackpot theories. Now if one's crackpot theories make it impossible to publish, then that's a different story.

To make a long story short: the way to decide these matters generally is to apply a "But for" test. In other words, remove the fact that Gonzales is a well known advocate of ID and ask would his record have been tenurable otherwise. The way to test this is to compare his record to that of other people recently granted and denied tenure. If by comparison his record was tenurable, and people are on record as saying that his pro-ID views were a motivating factor, then I would have to say there is prima facie evidence of viewpoint discrimination.

Again, I wish to stress that I have no evidence any of this happened to Gonzales. If he really has evidence, there are mechanisms by which to bring his complaint to light. He certainly has the right to generate publicity to support his case. But in the end, I doubt that publicity will decide the matter. His individual case should be decided first by the appropriate University appeals mechanisms. People should avoid jumping to any conclusions until that is done and the record is in writing.

Now, I'll bring this to a close with my central point: I continue to oppose any effort to impose any kind of "litmus test" on the viewpoints of anyone in academia as a condition for granting or maintaining tenure.

entlord · 21 May 2007

The saddest part of the article was reading the comments after the article, complete with accusations that the reporter got her marching orders from MoveOn and that she is ideologically comparable to Castro. This does not include the usual quote mining and other forms of intellectual dishonesty displayed by her readers.
Be that as it may, the issue of tenure has always been a tangled one, as there is a very large subjective element in any such decision. Anywhere in the process, anyone who has had a run-in with the applicant has an opportunity to grind his axes. In the case of professors who have taken controversial stands, such as arguing that slavery played no role in the run up to the Civil War, will find it more difficult to be granted tenure. So long as the denial of tenure is not based on civil rights grounds, at one point, it seemed a professor could be denied tenure for something as minor as preferring to wear polka dot bowties at seminars.
Now maybe things have changed in the ensuing years, but the whole issue of tenure is another issue separate from the ID debate (if it can be so dignified)altogether.

PC2 · 21 May 2007

HMMM, interesting fact #1
Two members of the department that denied tenure to astronomer Guillermo Gonzalez at Iowa State University (ISU) have publicly admitted that Gonzalez's work on intelligent design played a role in his denial of tenure.

Interesting Fact #2
After Gonzalez published "The Privileged Planet" an "atheistic religious studies professor" (explain that connection to me) had a petition signed by 120 faculty members of ISU to reject ID from even being considered science. (Sounds like Orwell's thought police are alive and well at ISU) even though Gonzalez never taught ID in his class. Now if that is not setting the stage for "witch hunting" I don't know what is. It is/was definitely a hostile work environment for Gonzalez. In spite of Gonzalez excellent research record, which would compare favorably with any fully tenured professor, and the fact He never taught ID in class, It is most likely from the solid evidence presented so far that he was denied tenure for his personal beliefs. To deny this is to deny the facts.
This does not surprise me for I find evolutionists are experts in ignoring hard facts that are inconvenient to them and exalting suggestive facts that can't be conclusively proved.

Raging Bee · 21 May 2007

However, especially at the University level academic freedom does include the right to hold views that are considered outside the pale in one's discipline.

ID is not a controversial alternative scientific line of inquiry, as, say, string theory currently is; it is, and has repeatedly been proven to be, a pack of lies, a con-game based on misunderstanding and misrepresentation of facts and how science works. To continue to advocate ID, after all the public smackdowns it has received, is a sign of either incompetence or dishonesty -- either of which should be considered valid reasons for denial of tenure.

I continue to oppose any effort to impose any kind of "litmus test" on the viewpoints of anyone in academia as a condition for granting or maintaining tenure.

Even when those "viewpoints" are blatantly contrary to known truth or the basic values the university wishes to uphold?

Calling a well-known lie a "viewpoint" should not insulate it from scrutiny or accountability, whether it's ID, rejection of germ theory, or a Jewish-conspiracy story.

Raging Bee · 21 May 2007

It is most likely from the solid evidence presented so far that he was denied tenure for his personal beliefs.

So is ID valid science, or just a "personal belief?" And which did Gonzalez say it was?

Aagcobb · 21 May 2007

I have heard elsewhere that Gonzalez had no research grants. Does anyone know if that is the case, and if it is, does that not provide solid grounds for denying him tenure, regardless of whether or not he is an IDist?

SLC · 21 May 2007

Re Aagcobb

Prof. Gerard Harbison of the Un. of Nebraska attempted to discover if Prof. Gonzalez had ever been awarded any grants during his tenure at Iowa State Un. He was unable to find any evidence of such awards. As Prof. Harbison points out, this by itself would be sufficient to deny tenure these days.

http://homepage.mac.com/gerardharbison/blog/RWP_blog.html

Re Chip Poirot

I suspect that many of the faculty members at Iowa State Un. were very reluctant to grant tenure to a Peter Duesberg, Michael Behe, Brian Josephson, Arthur Butz type of individual like Prof. Gonzalez. These individuals have tenure and have been an embarrassment to their universities. Faculty members understandably don't like being embarrassed at national meetings by the presence of tenured whackjobs at their universities.

PC2 · 21 May 2007

According to this blub from DI:
Dr. Gonzalez has published 68 refereed articles in peer-reviewed journals, exceeding the normal standard of his department by 350%! Significantly, nowhere do his departmental standards even mention outside research grants as a criterion for promotion or tenure.
Why exactly should ID be ruled out prior to investigation. To assert that it not even possible to deduce intelligence is to deny many commonly accepted diciplines of science and is to hold a biased presumption prior to investigation.(That is clearly bad empirical science in its own right) Remember, the materialistic philosophy fought tooth and nail to prevent the Big Bang from joining mainstream science because of its Theistic implications. Even today we find a few people fighting against the Big Bang because of its implications. Yet we are suppose to unquestionably follow the materialistic party line of evolution and never question that it could produce the amazing complexity we are witnessing around us. Excuse me if I don't click my heals to the thought police on this matter and demand proof that cleary violates Genetic Entropy.

Andrea Bottaro · 21 May 2007

I have heard elsewhere that Gonzalez had no research grants. Does anyone know if that is the case, and if it is, does that not provide solid grounds for denying him tenure, regardless of whether or not he is an IDist?

There is an article in today's Chronicle of Higher Education that says:

Mr. [sic] Gonzalez said he does not have any grants through NASA or the National Science Foundation, the two agencies that would normally support his research, on planets beyond our solar system and their parent stars.

Assuming he did not get any other external funding, except for his Templeton grant to write The Privileged Planet, it would really seem like an exceptionally poor record in that respect, and a major hurdle to tenure. On the other hand, the DI says funding is not officially listed in ISU's tenure requirements (surprising, if true, but who knows). I don't know how it works for astronomy, but in the biomedical field in a major university, a junior faculty member who receives no funding in 7 years would have been encouraged to find more suitable employment long before the tenure application deadline. It also depends on Gonzalez's recruitment contract - they usually spell out what the funding expectations are.

Andrea Bottaro · 21 May 2007

I have heard elsewhere that Gonzalez had no research grants. Does anyone know if that is the case, and if it is, does that not provide solid grounds for denying him tenure, regardless of whether or not he is an IDist?

There is an article in today's Chronicle of Higher Education that says:

Mr. [sic] Gonzalez said he does not have any grants through NASA or the National Science Foundation, the two agencies that would normally support his research, on planets beyond our solar system and their parent stars.

Assuming he did not get any other external funding, except for his Templeton grant to write The Privileged Planet, it would really seem like an exceptionally poor record in that respect, and a major hurdle to tenure. On the other hand, the DI says funding is not officially listed in ISU's tenure requirements (surprising, if true, but who knows). I don't know how it works for astronomy, but in the biomedical field in a major university, a junior faculty member who receives no funding in 7 years would have been encouraged to find more suitable employment long before the tenure application deadline. It also depends on Gonzalez's recruitment contract - they usually spell out what the funding expectations are.

PvM · 21 May 2007

The tenure and promotion guidelines are outlined in the faculty handbook and further details may be added at the college and department levels.

5.2.2.3.2. Research /Creative Activities. Faculty members who engage in research/creative activities are expected to make original contributions that are appropriate to their chosen area of specialization and that are respected by peers within and outside the university. Some examples of research/creative activity include the following: * conduct of experimental research * creative performance or exhibition * conceptualizing and theorizing in an original way * synthesis, criticism, and clarification of extant knowledge and research * innovative collection or analysis of empirical data * seeking and obtaining competitive grants and contracts * relating research to the solution of practical problems * leadership in professional societies or organizations A portfolio format is used to document faculty research/creative activities beyond what is contained in the candidate's vita. The faculty portfolio includes materials such as summaries of completed, current, and future research projects; descriptions of applied use of research; summaries of grants, patents, and inventions; exhibition catalogs and other non-juried creative works. The effectiveness of the candidate's research/creative activities is determined by evaluating the character of the scholarship of these activities using the criteria described in the scholarship section and in Table 1. Scholarship resulting from research/creative activities is documented through means appropriate to the specialty, such as peer-reviewed publications, lectures, performances, exhibits, invited lectures, conference papers. Evaluation of scholarship considers its impact as judged by its influence, use, or adoption by peers; its originality, richness, breadth and/or depth of expression.

PvM · 21 May 2007

Under normal circumstances, Mr. Gonzalez's publication record would be stellar and would warrant his earning tenure at most universities, according to Mr. Hirsch. But Mr. Gonzalez completed the best scholarship, as judged by his peers, while doing postdoctoral work at the University of Texas at Austin and at the University of Washington, where he received his Ph.D. His record has trailed off since then.

and

That pattern may have hurt his case. "Tenure review only deals with his work since he came to Iowa State," said John McCarroll, a spokesman for the university. When considering a tenure case, faculty committees try to anticipate what kind of work a professor will accomplish in the future. "The only reason the previous record is relevant is the extent to which it can predict future performance," said Mr. Hirsch. "Generally, it's a good indication, but in some cases it's not."

and finally

The department's promotion and tenure guidelines do not explicitly list external financial support as a requirement for tenure, he said. But Iowa's Mr. McCarroll said that the tenure-review process does consider how many research grants scientists have received.

This shows what various others have been saying as well, that tenure is a forward looking statement indicating that there is a strong likelihood that the person will be able to contribute significantly. It's not a simple bean counting of publications, and certainly the focus should be on the work performed while being on probation for tenure. Chronicle of Higher Education.

David Stanton · 21 May 2007

PC2,

I know I'm going to hate myself for this in the morning, but OK, I'll bite. Could you please state for us precisely what you mean by "genetic entropy". What is the basic concept? Is it published in any real scientific journal? Is it just another way of saying "conservation of information"? Did you just make this up by yourself or did you copy the idea from someone else? Do you really think this is a problem for evolutionary theory? Do you have any evidence? Will you be submitting your ground breaking research to any journal soon? How about the DI journals, will they be publishing this soon? Inquiring minds want to know.

Now, as for the topic of the thread. PvM kindly provided the portion of the faculty handbook that states that "seeking and obtaining competitive grants and contracts" is expected for the position. According to the evidence presented here, this guy had none. That is the criteria most often applied in these types decisions, as far as I know. Why condemn yourself to forty more years of this guy if you think you can hire someone else who can bring in millions in grants? I didn't say it was right. I just mean that the reasoning is at least understandable.

Far more telling is the part that says:

"Faculty members who engage in research/creative activities are expected to make original contributions that are appropriate to their chosen area of specialization and that are respected by peers within and outside the university."

So, it seems appropriate that views that are definately not respected by most peers should be considered. Especially if you choose to be very public about those views prior to the tenure decision.

Even if the whole thing is one big conspiracy, so what? What is anyone going to do about it? If the evil Darwinist conspiracy reaches into every decision in every deparment in every major university, then I guess you better just give up now. Or, you could try to adopt illegal legislation that would demand the brainwashing of school children and mean the end of science in this country. Yea, I'm sure that's the right way to go to fight an ideological conspiracy.

Raging Bee · 21 May 2007

Why exactly should ID be ruled out prior to investigation.

Because there's been PLENTY of investigation, and ID never stands up under serious scrutiny.

Remember, the materialistic philosophy fought tooth and nail to prevent the Big Bang from joining mainstream science because of its Theistic implications.

Philosophies don't fight; people and interest groups fight. Who, specifically, "fought tooth and nail to prevent the Big Bang from joining mainstream science?" And why did the Big Bang become the accepted theory despite such a horrific fight?

Even today we find a few people fighting against the Big Bang because of its implications.

Who, specifically, and why? The fact that the Big Bang is currently accepted, proves beyond a shadow of a doubt that science does not reject new ideas merely because of their "theistic implications."

Excuse me if I don't click my heals to the thought police on this matter and demand proof that cleary violates Genetic Entropy.

And this statement very strongly implies that "PC2" is actually "realpc," version 2.0. Aparently the upgrade from version 1.0 didn't have much of an effect on performance.

Mike Elzinga · 21 May 2007

If any faculty members worked in the vicinity of Gonzales or even had casual conversations with him about scientific matters, I would suspect that it would be quite likely they picked up on some disturbing misconceptions in Gonzales' thinking. It is extremely difficult to hold the kinds of views the ID/creationists do without having major conceptual errors in one's scientific understanding.

These kinds of conceptual problems would be strong indicators of limited future potential in obtaining competitive grants, mentoring graduate students, teaching classes, and contributing to advancing knowledge.

I think that anyone who has worked around an idiot who has maintained his/her position by political means will understand these implications. Getting rid of such idiots before a political process locks them in place is far better than living with them after it becomes impossible to ditch them.

At this point, we just don't know the details, but if Gonzales' problems are anything like those we see in the fake scientists at the Discovery Institute, then the process of dumping him will very likely be subtle and obscure. It wouldn't be persecution; it would be a pragmatic awareness of the future difficulties caused by supporting someone who is very likely to be incompetent. It would also take into consideration the political battles that would almost certainly ensue whenever ideologists, like those among the ID/creationist crowd, start howling that they are being persecuted for their religion when in fact they are really incompetent.

vrakj · 21 May 2007

The idea that his research record should be evaluated independently of his veiws on ID is wrong - his views on ID are part of his research record. It would be an entirely different matter if his views on ID had only been expressed in private. However, he has published extensively on the subject, so it is completely legitimate to consider it as part of his record for tenure evaluation. The point of tenure is to decide "is this person going to be a productive scientist and contribute positively to the department and the university?" Gonzalez's support of ID shows him to have very poor scientific judegment and cannot be seperated from the rest of his record.

Mike Elzinga · 21 May 2007

If any faculty members worked in the vicinity of Gonzales or even had casual conversations with him about scientific matters, I would suspect that it would be quite likely they picked up on some disturbing misconceptions in Gonzales' thinking. It is extremely difficult to hold the kinds of views the ID/creationists do without having major conceptual errors in one's scientific understanding.

These kinds of conceptual problems would be strong indicators of limited future potential in obtaining competitive grants, mentoring graduate students, teaching classes, and contributing to advancing knowledge.

I think that anyone who has worked around an idiot who has maintained his/her position by political means will understand these implications. Getting rid of such idiots before a political process locks them in place is far better than living with them after it becomes impossible to ditch them.

At this point, we just don't know the details, but if Gonzales' problems are anything like those we see in the fake scientists at the Discovery Institute, then the process of dumping him will very likely be subtle and obscure. It wouldn't be persecution; it would be a pragmatic awareness of the future difficulties caused by supporting someone who is very likely to be incompetent. It would also take into consideration the political battles that would almost certainly ensue whenever ideologists, like those among the ID/creationist crowd, start howling that they are being persecuted for their religion when in fact they are really incompetent.

(I'm not sure what is happening with the posting. Sometimes hitting Post produces nothing, then trying again a few minutes later produces a double post. Is there something I am missing? I'm trying this a second time, so if there is a double post, that is what happened.)

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 21 May 2007

Faculty members understandably don't like being embarrassed at national meetings by the presence of tenured whackjobs at their universities.
Yes, the ability of producing good science (and its acceptance in lieu of perhaps being produced by a despicable person) is different from the requirements for being a good scientist in all situations. Someone who takes an anti-science position outside his department, regardless of the science, should not be considered a good scientist (as in "leadership in professional societies or organizations") in the larger sense. It is also unlikely that such a person could produce a continous scientific effort if his extra-curricular efforts are in direct opposition to his research, which IMHO think could be another de facto consideration here.

raven · 21 May 2007

Never having heard of the book, Privileged Planet, I put it in search engines and got some excerpts. It seemed to be typical creo nonsense. Supposedly the atmosphere is transparent to visible light so our eyes can see. More likely that our eyes are evolutionarily selected to be sensitive to visible light because that is what the atmosphere is letting through. If it couldn't get through, it wouldn't be called "visible" now, would it.

One other thing that bothers me. Astronomers say that the nearest large spiral galaxy, Andromeda, will collide with the milky way in ca. 2 billion years. This could definitely be hard on life in our galaxy. So what is so privileged about being a rabbit in the headlights while a spectacular intergalactic collision occurs? It's not like we are going to be able to stop it or anything.

FWIW, when fundies are presented with possible future problems like global warming, overpopulation, asteroid dinosaur killer class impacts, emerging diseases such as HIV, SARS, avian flu evolving into human pandemic capable forms, etc., their usual response is so what. After all, any day now, Gabriel will blow his horn, the rapture will occur, and we will all be killed by our benevolent creator and sent to various afterlifes. They've been wrong for 2,000 years but being wrong never seems to bother them.

JS · 21 May 2007

@Chip Poirot:

I disagree with you that holding views that are utterly beyond the pale for one's dicipline should not negatively effect your chance of tenure. For that matter, I don't believe that you really believe that either, if you think about it for a while. Would you claim that being active in a holocaust denial group (in any capacity other than agent provocateur) should not factor negatively into a tenure decision for a Political Science chair? After all, holocaust denial doesn't have to negatively impact the performance of any specific duties of the chair in question.

I'm sorry ID'ers (and other crackpots), but holding beliefs that are objectively batshit crazy does disqualify you from employment at most respectable scientific institutions. And that's not even going into the fact that Behe's lacklustre performance since joining the DI gives every reason to believe that being tenured and creationist at the same time does Bad Things for your productivity.

Disclaimer: I'm not claiming moral equivalence between holocaust deniers and creationists - merely that they are wrong by approximately the same order of magnitude (10^6, to be precise...).

- JS

JS · 21 May 2007

@Chip Poirot:

I disagree with you that holding views that are utterly beyond the pale for one's discipline should not negatively effect your chance of tenure. For that matter, I don't believe that you really believe that either, if you think about it for a while. Would you claim that being active in a holocaust denial group (in any capacity other than agent provocateur) should not factor negatively into a tenure decision for a Political Science chair? After all, holocaust denial doesn't have to negatively impact the performance of any specific duties of the chair in question.

I'm sorry ID'ers (and other crackpots), but holding beliefs that are objectively batshit crazy does disqualify you from employment at most respectable scientific institutions. And that's not even going into the fact that Behe's lacklustre performance since joining the DI gives every reason to believe that being tenured and creationist at the same time does Bad Things for your productivity.

Disclaimer: I'm not claiming moral equivalence between holocaust deniers and creationists - merely that they are wrong by approximately the same order of magnitude (10^6, to be precise...).

- JS

Sir_Toejam · 21 May 2007

For the record, just to remove any misunderstanding and attempt to move this debate to where it belongs (discussion of the meaning of the term "academic freedom"),

AGAIN, chip, this is your OPINION of the direction these threads should take. By and large, all your posts have done amounts to hijacking to original gist of the threads you post in. that you seemingly either fail to realize this in your zeal to argue for your own version of "academic freedom", or willfully choose not to care, is troubling to say the least. just like all the other threads you have posted this argument in, it is innapropriate as none of them have at their cores really BEEN issues of academic freedom. In fact, at some level you seem to realize this when you say things like:

I still don't have any real evidence that Gonzales was improperly denied tenure.

why don't you make a proposal to the PT staff to create a thread to discuss your notions of academic freedom, or else create one yourself over on ATBC? that would be far more appropriate.

Sir_Toejam · 21 May 2007

PC2 is obviously "RealPC"; hasn't this person broken several PT rules already?

ABP · 21 May 2007

Is anyone else disturbed by the opening sentence in the Chronicle article?

"At first glance, it seems like a clear-cut case of discrimination."

Shouldn't the Chronicle of Higher Education have a more sophisticated understanding of what "discrimination" might (or might not) entail in a tenure review? The article approaches the question by stacking up Gonzalez's professional merits, as though approval or denial of tenure can be justified by looking at the length of the publication record.

I blogged about this here before I realized the Chronicle article had been discussed in this thread.

Flint · 21 May 2007

I tend to agree that if someone is being considered for the position of full-time lifeguard, the fact that he's written a book called "Why God Wants People to Drown" is relevant and disturbing. The facts that the candidate has great eyes and ears, is a powerful swimmer, passes all the technical requirements (carries of violent thrashing victims, carries in heavy waves, etc.) are certainly important, but what we're trying to assess here is what the candidate WILL do when required, not what he CAN do.

Gonzalez seems to have spent far more time pursuing his anti-science activities than actually doing any science, and over time the situation is clearly deteriorating. No way I'd want him as a tenured scientist.

Chip Poirot · 21 May 2007

Raging Bee,

I disagree. It's that simple. Academic freedom includes the right to work outside the prevailing paradigm or even to challenge the prevailing paradigm.

Again, as I stated: if one's work outside a paradigm makes it impossible to publish, to get grant money, or to teach the curriculum effectively, then it is valid to deny someone tenure for those things.

I agree, that given the normal conventions of science, ID is not a scientific line of inquiry per se (using the term science very narrowly here to refer to what is done in the natural and physical sciences). I would call ID in the abstract, a mildly interesting philosophical/metaphysical position. I would call ID as advocated by the Discovery Institute a bad joke.

The issue is whether or not a scientist has a right to hold and publicly express a position on philosophy/metaphysics. I think they do, even if that philosohical/metaphysical view is unpopular or subject to abuse. On the other hand, they don't have a right to turn an astronomy class into a course on religious philosophy.

PvM:
I reject this "bean counting" argument you keep turning up. This isn't the issue (it may be for some, but not for me). Of course publications need to be weighed. But the weighing is not a subjective, pesonal weighing. It's a weighing of things similar to what a jury in a trial is supposed to do. The evidence for future performance is based on past performance-not a subjective, wild guess about what you think might happen at date x in the future. If someone has proven potential by meeting relevant requirements, you can't make up new requirements, or use the weighing to say ridiculous things like: sure he published in the relevant journals but...

The issue in Gonzales case is what he was told at the time of appointment. If he knew he needed money and didn't get it, then he has nothing to complain about. If on the other hand, research money was not a requirement, but one factor to be weighed among others, then it is necessary to look at how things have been done in the past.

Someone else said: you could deny tenure for wearing the wrong kind of tie. Legally, you may or may not be able to do that, depending on the state. Practically, in many localities denying tenure for invidious reasons would open a University to legal action. Furthermore, no University is going to admit that they are denying tenure for invidious reasons (unless they are just stupid, which does happen). Those actions raise controversy and might lead to institutional censure by the AAUP (not that anyone pays attention to the AAUP's list).

The point remains: There isn't enough evidence to say anything about Gonzales' case, and frankly, I think people should stop speculating and wait for the matter to work out. As far as I am concerned it helps no one and helps no cause to say he was denied tenure inappropriately. Similarly, it helps no one and serves no cause to say the deinal was appropriate.

The simple matter here is that nobody knows, nor could we know (nor for that matter I don't see any reason why Iowa State would release the information to us it would require for us to know).

From my pov, thus far, this is what I am willing to say. There is no evidence of persecution and to claim that this demonstrates persecution against ID proponents cannot be supported by any evidence.

PC2 · 21 May 2007

Ok Dave Stanton, you don't have to yourself, but here is what I'm talking about when I say genetic entropy, "Genetic Entropy" is a growing body of evidence that indicates a level of entropy for the information in a life form that is separate and more rigorous than the entropy demonstrated by the Second Law of Thermodynamics for the material realm. A book titled "Genetic Entropy" has recently been written. The following is a review of that book that I found on amazon. Please note the the stature of the scientist who wrote the book.
"Genetic Entropy" was written by Cornel University Professor of Genetics, John Sanford. In his 25 years as a research scientist at Cornell he was granted 25 patents, the most well known one for the gene gun, better known as the ballistic process. It is as a result of this development that I first learned of his important work (I have used this technology in my molecular biology research). I agree with much in this book partly because I have come to the same conclusion as Dr Sanford, only by a very different route. This work for me only further solidified the case for evolution, only evolution the wrong way, downward instead of upward, i.e. the genome is degenerating. Even if half of Dr Sanford's well documented arguments turn out to be incorrect, he has still made his case in this well written, yet packed full of insight, easy to read, book. He makes his case in 10 chapters, any one of which stands alone as clear evidence for genome degeneration. One point that impressed me was the fact that most mutations are not neutral, as commonly believed, but near neutral. As a result, they are not selected out by natural selection. Consequently, they accumulate in the genomes of all life forms so that, as a set, they reduce fitness for the entire species, eventually producing genetic meltdown. This may be one reason for animal extinction. The harmful mutations are not the problem because those that are dominnt are usually soon selected out by natural selection. This, as is well documented in this book and elsewhere, is the main role of selection, to help maintain the stability of the genome by reducing the effects of deleterious mutations. Neo-Darwinist today believe that the major means of producing new genetic information is mutations and selection. As Sanford documents, the problem is not the survival of the fittest, though, but the arrival of the fittest because mutations as a whole clearly reduce usable information, not increase it. All other theories of the source of new genetic information, such as Darwin's pangenesis, and acquired traits as developed by Lamarckism ideas, have been discarded. The only viable theory left is mutations. This book will be important in showing that mutations are not only not the answer to the arrival of the fittest problem, but are clear evidence against Neo-Darwinism.

Gerard Harbison · 21 May 2007

Thanks SLC.

I've taken the relatively unpopular position that Gonzalez's promotion of ID, per se, should not have been considered in his tenure case. However, it appears The Privileged Planet was included in his tenure file. Gonzalez did not have to do this, but he did, and therefore The Privileged Planet was subject to review for scientific rigor. If some of the claims about The Privileged Planet have been reported accurately - e.g. that the transparency of the atmosphere at visible wavelengths shows the planet was designed for human eyes - then it must surely have been an unfavorable review.

By the way, it's not just the DI that have been making fallacious or misleading claims about the Gonzalez case. Denyse O Leary today discussed at length hoiw one of his papers has over a hundred citations - without disclosing that the paper dates to 1998, before he began at ISU, and therefore would not have been a significant part of his tenure review. I have several papers that were cited hundreds of times from my grad. student days; they were not included in my tenure review.

Gonzalez's output during his probabionary period was apparently nondescript in both quality and quantity; he lacked major funding; and he included scientifically questionable material in his tenure file. I doubt it was even a close call.

CJO · 21 May 2007

Hey, Phil, you dishonest spamming troll plagiarist,

YOU ALREADY POSTED THAT, with no attribution. At that time, I identified the possibilities.
They are: you are spamming the comments with drivel YOU WROTE that appears elsewhere and could simply be linked to,
OR
You are plagiarizing the hack who reviews books on Amazon under the nom de fool "The Professor."

Both sorts of behavior are against the comments policy here. Do yourself and the rest of us a favor, and go away.

Gerard Harbison · 21 May 2007

Thanks SLC.

I've taken the relatively unpopular position that Gonzalez's promotion of ID, per se, should not have been considered in his tenure case. However, it appears The Privileged Planet was included in his tenure file. Gonzalez did not have to do this, but he did, and therefore The Privileged Planet was subject to review for scientific rigor. If some of the claims about The Privileged Planet have been reported accurately - e.g. that the transparency of the atmosphere at visible wavelengths shows the planet was designed for human eyes - then it must surely have been an unfavorable review.

By the way, it's not just the DI that have been making fallacious or misleading claims about the Gonzalez case. Denyse O Leary today discussed at length hoiw one of his papers has over a hundred citations - without disclosing that the paper dates to 1998, before he began at ISU, and therefore would not have been a significant part of his tenure review. I have several papers that were cited hundreds of times from my grad. student days; they were not included in my tenure review.

Gonzalez's output during his probationary period was apparently nondescript in both quality and quantity; he lacked major funding; and he included scientifically questionable material in his tenure file. I doubt it was even a close call.

Raging Bee · 21 May 2007

Academic freedom includes the right to work outside the prevailing paradigm or even to challenge the prevailing paradigm.

To challenge it with facts, evidence, and logic, yes. To challenge it with old and discredited ideas, lies, smoke, scapegoating, misrepresentation, arguments from ignorance, and all of the other nonsense that has proven standard tools of the IDers, no. "Academic freedom" does not mean ID any more than it means Holocaust-denial, astrology, geocentrism, or deranged conspiracy theories.

Also, "academic freedom" does not mean freedom from being judged by the consequences of your work. We judge ID based on its lack of results, and on the dishonesty of leading IDers that has been exposed in Federal courts.

If you're getting money to do certain kinds of work, you WILL be judged by the people who sign your paychecks. Don't like it? Find someone else to sign your paychecks.

I would call ID as advocated by the Discovery Institute a bad joke.

Please tell us exactly how Gonzalez' version of ID is less of a "bad joke" than the DI's.

David Heddle · 21 May 2007

Having been on many tenure reviews in the sciences, I would suggest that it is not hard to see what happened here. Gonzalez did not fall into either no-brainer extreme. His overall publication record was strong enough that he had to be given serious consideration. However, assuming what is being reported here is accurate, his recent publication record and his inability to land a major grant meant that he was not a shoe-in. That placed him in the great unwashed middle---and any candidate that ends up there is at the mercy of subjective criticisms---which can remain hidden behind complaints such as "he didn't get enough grants." Fair enough, that's how the game is played. Any colleague or administrator who perceived him as a potential embarrassment could easily derail his candidacy. I know of candidacies that were "in the middle" that were supported or derailed because of responses-in-kind to previous candidates. You supported my guy when he came up, even though he was kind of weak, now I'll return the favor. It's a nasty business, and it's not managed by angels. That said, some of the comments here are nonsense. Raging Bee uses the phrase "proven to be pack of lies." If Gonzalez's unpardonable sin is the Privileged Planet, then I challenge Raging Bee to provide references as to where the main contention of the Privileged Planet, namely that habitability is correlated with observability, has been proven to be a pack of lies. I would argue that, while it may be wrong (it would actually be better for ID if it is wrong) it is nevertheless an interesting speculation, and probably would have been treated as such had it be offered in a book that wasn't closely tied with the ID movement. Along the same lines, Raven wrote:
Never having heard of the book, Privileged Planet, I put it in search engines and got some excerpts. It seemed to be typical creo nonsense. Supposedly the atmosphere is transparent to visible light so our eyes can see. More likely that our eyes are evolutionarily selected to be sensitive to visible light because that is what the atmosphere is letting through. If it couldn't get through, it wouldn't be called "visible" now, would it.
One should not argue from ignorance backed up only by Google searches. The transparent atmosphere is a multi-faceted coincidence and indeed a genuine scientific puzzle. In fact, the answer might simply be that complex life could not arise under any other conditions---independent of any metaphysical conclusions you take away. For your argument that our eyes evolved to match the transparency conveniently ignores two other relevant facts. (1) That (narrow) transparency also falls where the intensity of the sun is more or less at its peak---thus evolution did not have to "decide" whether our eyes matched where the atmosphere was transparent or where the sun was pumping out photons---it got both for the price of one. An additional bonus is that visible light interacts well with organic molecules---and that's based on evolution-independent chemistry. Furthermore, the transparent atmosphere clearly makes astronomy possible---again showing that the observability-habitability correlation is not necessarily credo pseudo-science.

Chip Poirot · 21 May 2007

Raging Bee,

Could you kindly send or post your list of banned topics for research/advocacy? Could you make it discipline specific?

I think Gerald said it well. If his tenure file was thin and not up to snuff, and it included non-scientific or junk science materials in support of his tenure bid, then the decision was justified.

And that is the only reason to make such a decision. If in applying the "But for" standard (which btw is the relevant legal standard for either academic or discrimination cases) he would have been granted tenure, then the decision was wrong.

I am against imposing any kind of litmus test on any discipline about what kinds of views one may hold in order to be considered eligible for tenure. And if that means people get tenured with weird views or bad views, then I can live with that. I'd prefer to that any kind of orthodoxy sniffers going around trying to decide what views lie outside the pale of academic freedom. I don't know if that is what you intend, but that is the result you will get.

As I said, ID is a metaphysical/philosophical view. You can't deny tenure on the basis of a metaphysical/philosophical view. Again, apply the "but for" test. That is the legal standard.

David B. Benson · 21 May 2007

I've read The Privileged Planet. Based on that, and the assumption that either the grant to write the book or the book itself was submitted as part of the tenure package, I would vote against granting tenure.

Further, I would write a seriously critical review attached to my vote. To summarize, The Privileged Planet is exceedingly bad science filled with flawed logic.

In fact, it is so bad that even if it had not been submitted as part of the tenure package (it being just a hobby), I would still vote no and for the same reasons: no science professor can have as a hobby promoting anti-science, no matter how disguised...

Flint · 21 May 2007

Chip:

As I said, ID is a metaphysical/philosophical view. You can't deny tenure on the basis of a metaphysical/philosophical view.

I'm going to differ with you here, perhaps irreconcilably. To get tenure as a scientist, in my opinion, you MUST, absolutely and uneqivocally, believe that evidence matters. Claiming that Making Stuff Up is good science if it forwards a religious agenda should by all lights be a clear disqualification. Maybe you would classify the notion that evidence matters, as a metaphysical view. But we're talking about granting tenure for science here. From a scientific perspective, evidence is a sine qua non. It's not some ancillary, irrelevant "viewpoint" thingie. It's central and decisive. Else science becomes meaningless.

David B. Benson · 21 May 2007

Still steamed, compare with

Peter D Ward & Donald Brownlee
Rare Earth: why complex life is uncommon in the universe

Speculative, yes. But based on sound science, some of it Professor Ward's own...

David Heddle · 21 May 2007

David B Benson,
In fact, it is so bad that even if it had not been submitted as part of the tenure package (it being just a hobby), I would still vote no and for the same reasons: no science professor can have as a hobby promoting anti-science, no matter how disguised...
Okay David B Benson, I infer from your boasting that you are uniquely qualified to explain how the main conclusion from The Privileged Planet, that habitability and observability are highly correlated, is unworthy of consideration in polite company. I for one have not heard a cool-headed scientific refutation. I'll go even farther: I think that conclusion, well not reaching the level of science, is nevertheless very intriguing and quite proper for scientific discussion independent of its religious overtones. For example, a seminar speculating on the correlation between habitability and observability would, under different circumstances, be quite acceptable in a science department. I have certainly attended seminars with far more outrageous speculations. This topic probably would have made it to seminar discussions had it not carried with it ID and DI baggage. But you seem quite confident that it can be easily dismissed. Let's hear it.

CJO · 21 May 2007

David,
Interesting you would mention Rare Earth, for two reasons. One, it has been implied (incorrectly, IMO) that the thesis is "crypto-creationism" for its superficial relationship to "fine-tuning" arguments, and Two, the authors mention Gonzales's work (favorably) at least once in the text. (I checked, though, as this whole brouhaha began, and they do not cite any of his papers. This was in 2000/01, before Priveleged Planet)

David B. Benson · 21 May 2007

David Heddle --- Read Rare Earth to see some sound speculation based on actual science.

But to argue to dis-merits and illogic of The Privileged Planet on this thread is technically off-topic.

So instead, attempt yourself to understand why much of the logic in The Privileged Planet is flawed...

David Stanton · 21 May 2007

PC2,

I knew I would hate myself for asking. See what you went and did. You already dumped that load of crap here once. See my response in a previous thread. By the way, I don't recall ever seeing a publication in a peer reviewed jopurnal using the term "genetic entropy". I wonder why that is. I'm thinking of publishing a book on gnomes that live in the Martian canals. I guess that will count as "growing evidence" as well.

As for the topic of this thread, Gonzalez was denied tenure. Deal with it. Whether the reason was just or not, whether the decision was legal or not, the people that needed to make the decision made it. If you don't like it, sue them. If you think Gonzalez was descriminated against, or if you think he was denied due process, sue ISU. I'm sure the Thomas Moore Law Center will take the case. I'm sure that is just what ID needs right now, aother legal decision against them. If you don't think it will go that way, sue. Any guess as to the outcome of the UC case?

David Heddle · 21 May 2007

David B. Benson,

I'll interpret your reluctance to answer in the worst possible light.

David B. Benson · 21 May 2007

CJO --- I believe if you look for citations to Peter D. Ward's work, you'll find him well-regarded. I certainly didn't see any crypto-creationism in his book.

I don't recall any reference to Gonzalez, but I read the book several years ago, before really knowing anything about ID+DI. (Same for The Privileged Planet.)

Is it easy for you to quote Ward & Brownlee in this regard? I, at least, would find it interesting...

Glen Davidson · 21 May 2007

If Gonzalez's unpardonable sin is the Privileged Planet, then I challenge Raging Bee to provide references as to where the main contention of the Privileged Planet, namely that habitability is correlated with observability, has been proven to be a pack of lies. I would argue that, while it may be wrong (it would actually be better for ID if it is wrong) it is nevertheless an interesting speculation, and probably would have been treated as such had it be offered in a book that wasn't closely tied with the ID movement.

No, it wouldn't have been treated as an interesting speculation. At best it would be treated as an interesting observation, for ID (cosmological and biological) has no explanation for it, nor for anything else. It may not be a "pack of lies," but it sure isn't science. I cannot make sense of Gonzalez's "argument". Does he think that the moon was somehow put into the proper orbit so that it would expand in its orbit at just the time when humans evolved? And if so, does this imply front-loading of DNA, of apparently arbitrary physical parameters, or of both? I would expect that the confusion apparent in Gonzalez's position would hardly endear him to the committees. I have some sympathy for Chip Poirot's questions over Gonzalez's rejection. I wrote something similar soon after the announcement on AtBC, but mostly quit once questions about his recent publication/grant money-snagging ability were raised. I think Heddle said it right, that his weaknesses leave him vulnerable on the other matters. However, while I don't think that Gonzalez's metaphysical/philosophical viewpoint is, can be, or even should be "off-limits", if it doesn't affect his research/teaching very much, it shouldn't be a very great factor. Hence I am not rooting against his appeal. I know too little about it to say whether it should go one way or the other, I can only note that I do hope that favoring even a viewpoint like ID does not inherently destroy the untenured professor's career in the cases where the professor doesn't appear poised to subvert his teaching/research duties to his belief system. Judgment about the latter is inherently subjective and difficult for us to understand at our distance, but I certainly think that we ought to push for tolerance of beliefs that are thought not to affect the abilities needed for his position (so it's easier to agree with granting tenure to Beckwith than to Gonzalez). OK, I know that this could be seen to reduce down to "be fair." So be it, I can at least say, "be fair" to Gonzalez, just don't close your eyes. Glen D http://tinyurl.com/35s39o

Gerard Harbison · 21 May 2007

For your argument that our eyes evolved to match the transparency conveniently ignores two other relevant facts. (1) That (narrow) transparency also falls where the intensity of the sun is more or less at its peak---thus evolution did not have to "decide" whether our eyes matched where the atmosphere was transparent or where the sun was pumping out photons---it got both for the price of one. An additional bonus is that visible light interacts well with organic molecules---and that's based on evolution-independent chemistry. Furthermore, the transparent atmosphere clearly makes astronomy possible---again showing that the observability-habitability correlation is not necessarily credo pseudo-science.

Oh dear

The atmosphere is transparent in the visible region because, in fact, most simple first row molecules do not absorb in that region. Nor do most organic molecules. To get absorbtion in the visible region, you need a series of conjugated double bonds, or an unusual electronic structure. Simple proteins don't absorb in the visible; neither does DNA. Living organisms have evolved unusual and quite specialized molecules, like retinal, to do it. In fact, we find that organisms that live, say, in the deep sea, shift their visual pigments to suit; and in fact, the clear evidence for rhodopsin and the three cone pigments suggests that the pigments evolved to make wider use of the visible spectrum, not vice versa

Of course, were the atmosphere not transparent in some region above the infrared, there would have been no reliable fuel source for most life.

Gerard Harbison · 21 May 2007

For your argument that our eyes evolved to match the transparency conveniently ignores two other relevant facts. (1) That (narrow) transparency also falls where the intensity of the sun is more or less at its peak---thus evolution did not have to "decide" whether our eyes matched where the atmosphere was transparent or where the sun was pumping out photons---it got both for the price of one. An additional bonus is that visible light interacts well with organic molecules---and that's based on evolution-independent chemistry. Furthermore, the transparent atmosphere clearly makes astronomy possible---again showing that the observability-habitability correlation is not necessarily credo pseudo-science.

Oh dear

The atmosphere is transparent in the visible region because, in fact, most simple first row molecules do not absorb in that region. Nor do most organic molecules. To get absorbtion in the visible region, you need a series of conjugated double bonds, or an unusual electronic structure. Simple proteins don't absorb in the visible; neither does DNA. Living organisms have evolved unusual and quite specialized molecules, like retinal, to do it. In fact, we find that organisms that live, say, in the deep sea, shift their visual pigments to suit; and in fact, the clear evidence for common ancestry of rhodopsin and the three cone pigments suggests that the pigments evolved to make wider use of the visible spectrum, not vice versa

Of course, were the atmosphere not transparent in some region above the infrared, there would have been no reliable fuel source for most life.

CJO · 21 May 2007

David, nor did I see anything suspect in the book, which I quite like. I just mention it, because I was taken aback when I read some criticism of it from that angle.

In a couple hours, I'll find the mention (the book's been sitting out on my desk, as I've been re-reading parts of it since I went checking for cites of GG).

Heddle, I'll bite. I don't know about "polite company" but the reasoning certainly strikes me as facile. Douglas Adams's parable of the puddle comes to mind. Regarding the transparency of the atmosphere at the precise wavelength of visible radiation, since the evolution of life on earth has been a major factor in the (changing) composition of the atmosphere, the planet was habitable before the supposed fine-tuning even occured.
As regards the moon and eclipses, again, timing is all. Had astronomers been around when the moon looked bigger, because it was closer, what conclusions would we draw from that?
It strikes me, at the most basic level, as "having it both ways." Features of the environment that make it easy to investigate the universe are good for observability. And features of the environment that make us think in order to conceptualize (why isn't the rotation of the earth synchronized with its orbital period, making calendrics easier?) are good for spurring scientific reasoning. Heads you win, tails I lose.

Gerard Harbison · 21 May 2007

For your argument that our eyes evolved to match the transparency conveniently ignores two other relevant facts. (1) That (narrow) transparency also falls where the intensity of the sun is more or less at its peak---thus evolution did not have to "decide" whether our eyes matched where the atmosphere was transparent or where the sun was pumping out photons---it got both for the price of one. An additional bonus is that visible light interacts well with organic molecules---and that's based on evolution-independent chemistry. Furthermore, the transparent atmosphere clearly makes astronomy possible---again showing that the observability-habitability correlation is not necessarily credo pseudo-science.

Oh dear The atmosphere is transparent in the visible region because, in fact, most simple first row molecules do not absorb in that region. Nor do most organic molecules. To get absorbtion in the visible region, you need a series of conjugated double bonds, or an unusual electronic structure. Simple proteins don't absorb in the visible; neither does DNA. Living organisms have evolved unusual and quite specialized molecules, like retinal, to do it. In fact, we find that organisms that live, say, in the deep sea, shift their visual pigments to suit; and in fact, the clear evidence for common ancestry of rhodopsin and the three cone pigments suggests that the pigments evolved to make wider use of the visible spectrum, not vice versa What it comes down to is the Born-Oppenheimer approximation. Electrons and nuclei have masses a minimum of three orders of magnitude apart. There is therefore a gap in energy between the photons that move electrons efficiently - in the ultraviolet - and those that move nuclei efficiently - in the infrared. But assuming there are leptons and hadrons, you are going to get a gap like that. That's why the atmosphere is transparent. So an IDer is forced to come up with the hypothesis the laws that lead to the elementary particles were designed to allow for the fact that one can create an organic molecule, out of both leptons and hadrons, whose electrons are so delocalized that they absorb at an unusually low wavelength, thus absorbing in the lepton/hadron gap? Oh please. If the gap were at 350 nm, we'd have evolved a substuted aromatic visual pigment. If it were at 800 nm, we'd have something like a phytochrome.

David B. Benson · 21 May 2007

David Heddle --- I am not uniquely qualified to make mince-meat (if that is possible) out of that wretched book. Any logician could do it, which means any analytic philosopher could do it, being a professional logician is not required.

Glen D, in a just prior post, points out one of the many completely ludicrous arguments in the book, regarding the just-so distance and diameter of the moon.

The book is full of marvelous correlations without the slightest scientific (even speculation) of how these came about.

And all this is occurring on a cool, cloudy day here. Wow. Isn't that an important correlation!

Grow up.

raven · 21 May 2007

One should not argue from ignorance backed up only by Google searches.
Why not? How much time do you think I have to spend learning a whole new field, astrophysics and then another field pseudosciency IDoid astrophysics. LOL Time to call in the experts. 1. Gonzalez spent 7 years in an astronomy department. His colleagues who know far more than myself about him and astronomy were underwhelmed. Something to be said about taking expert advice in unfamilar fields. 2. I still found lots of logical flaws in the little I read. Not going to detail them here for space reasons but it wasn't very convincing. There are far more red dwarfs than G class stars like ours and they will last way longer. If we had evolved around a planet circling an M class red dwarf, the anthropic principle would still hold and Gonzalez would be explaining why god, I mean the IDer, designed tidally locked or slowly rotating (like mercury) planets just for us. Of course the earth feels right. We evolved here for over 3.4 billion years. 3. Another view from another astronomer.
From ncse.org Review of The Privileged Planet The Privileged Planet: How Our Place in the Cosmos Is Designed for Discovery by Guillermo Gonzalez and Jay W. Richards Washington DC: Regnery Publishing, 2004. 444 pages reviewed by William H. Jefferys, The University of Texas at Austin The Privileged Planet is based upon the odd notion that the more unsuitable our universe is for producing intelligent life, the more likely it is that our universe was "designed" to produce intelligent life by a "designer" of indeterminate nature; put another way, supposedly the less likely it is that there could be a planet in our universe that supports intelligent life, then the more likely it is that the universe was "designed" to produce a particular intelligent life form -- us -- that can and will investigate the nature of the universe. DELETED MOST FOR LENGTH REASONS. REFER TO THE WEBSITE. Finally, I turn to Gonzalez and Richards's notion that our earth is uniquely designed for its inhabitants to do scientific exploration, and that the universe is similarly designed for us to do that scientific exploration. They point to a number of phenomena that have aided our scientific enterprise, such as the transparency of the earth's atmosphere, the fact that we have a moon that is just far enough from the earth to produce spectacular solar eclipses, and so on. Of all the arguments in the book, I find this the weakest. It puts the cart before the horse. For suppose it were not so; if we existed on another world very different from the earth, then we would surely be doing something. We would be doing whatever was possible for us to do under the circumstances in which we found ourselves. If we accepted the Whiggish reasoning of the authors, we would be just as justified in concluding that our planet -- and our universe, if we could see it in this alternative reality -- was designed so that we would do whatever we happened to be doing at the time or find interesting at the time (as diverse human cultures have always done). The authors could learn much by studying a little anthropology and a little history. To summarize, the little that is new in this book isn't interesting, and what is old is just old-hat creationism in a new, modern-looking astronomical costume. It is the same old shell game. It's too bad that Guillermo Gonzalez (whom I know from his tenure as a postdoctoral fellow in the University of Texas's Astronomy Department) has allowed himself to be sucked in as an advocate for this ancient argument. The Argument from Design is 200 years old, if not older, and it has not improved with age. It hasn't resulted in any new knowledge in all of those years. Modern astronomy is constantly producing new knowledge and understanding of the universe. Guillermo is a promising young astrophysicist, and I hope that he doesn't throw away his career on such nonsense.

David Heddle · 21 May 2007

Gerard,
I quite understand the physics, at least as well as you do, I'm guessing, as to why our atmosphere is transparent---that however does not explain why we have such an atmosphere. Arguments of bio-feedback may be right, but at the moment they are just-so arguments. At least equally plausible is a (religion-agnostic) anthropic argument: our atmosphere is transparent at the correct wavelengths because if it weren't we wouldn't be here.

There is simply no proof that life produced a transparent atmosphere rather than a transparent atmosphere enabled life. If there is, let me know.

What do you mean infrared photons are good at "moving nuclei?"

And, of course, you don't need anything unusual to get absorption in the visible region. Take a look at Venus.

Raven,

I don't care about book reviews that complain about the ID in thePP, I want a scientific refutation of the correlation between habitability and observability. Did you find that in your Google search?

Ed Darrell · 21 May 2007

Let's get this straight: Four people have been denied tenure at Iowa State in the physics department in the last decade, and 75% of them were NOT advocates of intelligent design?

[Get ready, here's the statistical falsehood coming . . .] Why this bias in favor of intelligent design advocates? Non-advocates get denied tenure three times as often . . .

Gerard Harbison · 21 May 2007

I quite understand the physics, at least as well as you do, I'm guessing, as to why our atmosphere is transparent---that however does not explain why we have such an atmosphere. Arguments of bio-feedback may be right, but at the moment they are just-so arguments. At least equally plausible is a (religion-agnostic) anthropic argument: our atmosphere is transparent at the correct wavelengths because if it weren't we wouldn't be here. There is simply no proof that life produced a transparent atmosphere rather than a transparent atmosphere enabled life. If there is, let me know.

— David Heddle
Despite your claims of greater or equal physical knowledge, you utterly missed the point. The transparency of the atmosphere has nothing to do with life. The transparency is a consequence of the fact that it is unusual for molecules composed of light elements to absorb in the visible region. Electonic excitations are too high in energy; excitations of nuclear motion are too low.

What do you mean infrared photons are good at "moving nuclei?"

When you solve the Schrödinger equation for nuclear motion, under the Born Oppenheimer approximation, you find the nuclear motion is quantized with energies in the region of the infra-red. That means photons in the infra-red region are in resonance with the bond-vibration oscillators, and tend to be absorbed in that region. Electrons in the same molecule are subject to potentials of similar magnitude, but because they're lighter, the quantized energies are much further apart.

And, of course, you don't need anything unusual to get absorption in the visible region. Take a look at Venus.

That would be mostly scattering, not absorption.

CJO · 21 May 2007

At least equally plausible is a (religion-agnostic) anthropic argument: our atmosphere is transparent at the correct wavelengths because if it weren't we wouldn't be here.

A Weak Anthropic response to Strong Anthropic claims is always available. I alluded to the parable of the puddle, which is just an entertaining elucidation of why that is so.

There is simply no proof that life produced a transparent atmosphere rather than a transparent atmosphere enabled life. If there is, let me know.

Well, it's likely that before there was free oxygen in the atmosphere any eye-bearing creature would swiftly have gone blind, due to the lack of an ozone layer making the atmosphere, if anything, too transparent. Setting aside "proof," what these kinds of arguments do is make obvious that the data-points in Priveleged Planet are cherry-picked.

David B. Benson · 21 May 2007

Way off topic, but a quick check shows that the early atmosphere consisted of volcanic outgassing, the minor constituents being transparent: carbon dioxide, sulfur dioxide, hydrogen sulfide and hydrogen chloride.

However, about 95% was water vapor. Likely it was very, very cloudy. Maybe completely dark?

QrazyQat · 21 May 2007

I continue to oppose any effort to impose any kind of "litmus test" on the viewpoints of anyone in academia as a condition for granting or maintaining tenure.

Tenure review is a litmus test. Just as is granting a degree, oral exams, promotion reviews.

Now one of the questions here is whether espousing a particular belief is a good reason to deny tenure. It's pretty clear that certain beliefs are not -- the belief that the Beach Boys were more creative than the Beatles, for instance. Others are though, especially beliefs that impact the university as a whole, for instance by hurting its reputation or making it harder to get funding. Espousing pseudoscience is such a belief, and that's what ID is (it actually has even less meat in it than many pseudosciences, incredibly enough).

Glen Davidson · 21 May 2007

I was going to make a couple more points in my last post, but one thing drove out another....

One was that our atmosphere is not so excellent at allowing transmittance of information, and would be rather better at it if we had no ozone layer. But, but, we need the ozone layer. Yes, yes, we do, however, doesn't that go straight against the supposed "amazing coincidence" of good living conditions comporting with excellent observability?

And couldn't God come up with a way of making us impervious to the harmful effects of short wavelength UV radiation, gamma radiation, X-ray radiation? Furthermore, our atmosphere happens to be opaque to many interesting infrared regions and even to a significant regions of the radio spectrum. Why some radio waves, especially?

If the atmosphere blocked out visible wavelengths and we had thus not evolved to be fairly resistant to their somewhat harmful effects, presumably the claim would be how fortunate we are that those wavelengths are blocked by clouds or some such thing.

Then too, some harmful UV radiation makes it through, and as do the shorter wavelength IR waves, and while scientifically-uncomprehending animals can sense these radiations, the humans for whom this earth was supposedly prepared and made into an observation platform, cannot (sans instruments). Huh, what do you know?

The greatest strike at Gonzalez's claims, however, is that we're hardly fitted out to grasp the workings of the universe in the way that we design, say, computers to be (to the extent that we can design them so far). Science was a long time in coming, because there is nothing in vision to tell us about the nature of light, in hearing to tell us about the nature of acoustical waves, or even in color to tell us what causes a cardinal (bird) to be red.

We're phenomenological beings, and it was only with many false starts that we gradually made our way from behind the nearly impenetrable and apparently evolved representations of our world to models which reasonably and fairly consistently represent how the cosmos interacts.

So Gonzalez's notion is that we have a superb platform from which to discover our universe, while he neglects to note (probably doesn't really understand) the considerable difficulties we had in scientifically comprehending what we saw through our transparent atmosphere.

The best explanation that seems to be is that some primates found themselves on a planet with adequate windows both to the heavens as well as to the observing niches found on earth, and they evolved enough capabilities to compensate for the decidedly unscientific way in which they evolved to sense the world. I am glad for the windows through which we can sense the heavens, for the most orderly phenomena that we can observe were there, but I am more than a little aware that the windows are narrow, the lack of phenomena on earth which presented the same orderly progressions as the heavens did was an impediment to scientific discovery, and our phenomenological brains were not especially well-suited to developing science.

All of these are reasonably explained by current scientific modeling, while Gonzalez's claims leave many curious questions to be asked.

Glen D
http://tinyurl.com/35s39o

David Heddle · 21 May 2007

Gerard,

If I utterly missed the point, it's because your writing is as clear as mud, since your answer, as far as I could parse its unnecessarily pedantic style, was (in part) that organic molecules do not, in general, absorb visible light therefore the atmosphere is transparent to visible light. But that doesn't answer the question of why our atmosphere is what it is, and why doesn't it contain quantities of other gases that absorb (or scatter) visible light to such a degree to render it opaque? (And to me your response certainly does have something to do with life.)

CJO,

The puddle analogy is hardly a scientific refutation. Furthermore, while it might apply, in a non scientific way, to the fine-tuning side of the PP, I don't see how it applies to the observabilty question. A puddle creature might say "isn't my puddle perfect for life" but it doesn't follow that he'll be able to say: "and see how I can do cosmology. "

The PP argument is on a par with Lee Smolin's cosmic evolution. Even their claims of falsifiability, neither of which I think make the grade, are similar sounding "challenges." Smolin says: find something in our universe that demonstrates it is far from optimal at producing black holes. Gonzalez says: find a planet with complex life that is not a good observatory.

Glen,

I am trying real hard to leave ID and God out of it. My point is: the simple claim of the PP that observability is correlated with habitability can stand or fall on its own merits. If an atheist had made the observation, we would not rebut his claim with arguments along the lines of " and wouldn't God come up with a way..." So pretend an atheist made the claim, and tell me how you'd refute it.

Gerard Harbison · 21 May 2007

If I utterly missed the point, it's because your writing is as clear as mud, since your answer, as far as I could parse its unnecessarily pedantic style, was (in part) that organic molecules do not, in general, absorb visible light therefore the atmosphere is transparent to visible light. But that doesn't answer the question of why our atmosphere is what it is, and why doesn't it contain quantities of other gases that absorb (or scatter) visible light to such a degree to render it opaque? (And to me your response certainly does have something to do with life.),

I'm sorry, Mr. Heddle; I'm used to expressing scientific concepts with precision. I understand it may come across as pedantic to a layperson. By the way, I said first row, not just 'organic'. You really shouldn't think of oxygen and nitrogen gases as organic. Our atmosphere is composed largely of compounds of first row elements because those elements are light, and their compounds (all other things being equal) therefore relatively volatile. The occasional light molecules that, as a result of an unusual electronic structure, are colored, of course also tend to be photoreactive, and thus tend to be removed from the atmosphere rather quickly. NO2 is an example. So light molecules tend to be transparent, and the exceptions, because they absorb photons, are subject to photochemical reactions that cause them to become something else. Is that simple enough, or should I explore some points further? Scattering from gases is rather weak at pressures close to ambient.

CJO · 21 May 2007

For D.B. Benson, and anyone else who might also be interested in references to G. Gonzalez in Peter Ward and Donald Brownlee's 2000 book, Rare Earth

p.43:
"Of all the properties of the solar system, perhaps the most curious...is that it is so rich in metals. Recent studies by Guillermo Gonzalea and others have shown that the sun is quite rare in this respect."

p.69
"The 'where' of life's origin is obviously controversial, and as pointed out by University of Washington astronomer Guillermo Gonzalez, the favored habitats appear to depend on a given scientist's discipline."
The authors then go on to quote a passage to that effect from what they call a "delightful 1998 essay" titled "Extraterrestrials: A Modern View."

Heddle, I never said the puddle analogy was scientific. I alluded to it once, prefacing two at least sciency objections that came off the top of my head, and then you replied (to others) that you thought weak anthropic reasoning was better than the "just so" story of a biotic origin of the present atmosphere, so I pointed out that Adams' little parable illustrates just such reasoning. Even about such a simple matter, must we go in circles?

raven · 21 May 2007

So far the number of proven life bearing planets is one. It has an atmosphere transparent to some wavelengths of light. So the facts are that the correlation is 100%. OTOH, the sample size is also one. Correlations BTW, do not prove cause and effect, basic logic Even good scientists make this error and often end up wrong.

Really, there isn't enough data to do anything more than speculate. That can be entertaining in a thought experiment sort of way but isn't going to prove anything. We would need to know how many life bearing worlds there are in a large enough sample of the galaxy and how many of those have transparent atmospheres. Going to be a while before that data is available.

I can imagine easily life bearing worlds where one can't see the stars. If the atmosphere was thicker, the ambient temperature warmer, we might end up with a permanent cloud cover. Or the earth could be inside a globular cluster or deep inside a dusty cloud. And this proves....nothing.

I could also easily imagine someone dwelling around a red dwarf arguing that that is a privileged place. 70% of the stars around sol are red dwarfs, much more common than our G class sun. They last much longer than G class stars. Our star is gradually heating up, will fry the biosphere in another 2 billion years or so, go red giant, and then blow up. People living around red dwarfs will have a stable functioning solar system long after we are gone.

David B. Benson · 21 May 2007

CJO --- Thank you! It appears that Gonzalez, in his UW years, was making contributions to astrophysics/astronomy. It also appears he was not so successful at ISU...

David Heddle · 21 May 2007

Mr. Harbison, I'm not a layperson, I have a Ph.D. in nuclear theory, so don't get all spacey. Scientific precision does not require impenetrable writing---which is more often a sign of obfuscating one's lack of knowledge.
By the way, I said first row, not just 'organic'. You really shouldn't think of oxygen and nitrogen gases as organic.
Your reading is not much better than your writing. I wrote that your answer was based in part on the fact that organic molecules do not absorb visible light.
should I explore some points further?
No, that's quite enough, since you keep missing the boat, which is not why our atmosphere is transparent (as I said, I certainly know the physics at least as well as you do, but apparently you like having an excuse to tell everyone you know what the Born Oppenheimer Approximation is) . The point is that we have a transparent atmosphere---it sort of goes without saying that there is no claim (either by me or by Gonzalez, as far as I knoe) that the atmosphere's transparency is magic---that it is not understood and therefore it's a miracle.

Glen Davidson · 21 May 2007

Glen, I am trying real hard to leave ID and God out of it. My point is: the simple claim of the PP that observability is correlated with habitability can stand or fall on its own merits. If an atheist had made the observation, we would not rebut his claim with arguments along the lines of " and wouldn't God come up with a way..." So pretend an atheist made the claim, and tell me how you'd refute it.

If atheists made "the observation," which in many ways they did, they wouldn't have said what Gonzalez did. I can't see that he did anything new except to make a claim based on commonly understood facts that comports with theism and can't be supported by the evidence. And quit avoiding the issues, Heddle. Nothing new there, of course, but I wrote a number things not having to do with "and wouldn't God come up with a way...," and that's all you responded to. I refuted his claims variously, so be honest for once and quit demanding what has been provided already. It always ends this way with you, for you pick and choose what you want to respond to, ignoring the many ways in which you have been answered. Furthermore, you aren't the subject here, no matter how much you might want to be, and my responses in the second post were much more aimed at PP and Gonzalez than at your attempts to make something out of nothing. But the fact of the matter is that Gonzalez's "observations" aren't science, aren't consistent across the mass of evidence, and wouldn't be made by the intelligent non-theist, or almost certainly would not be. It isn't reasonable, even if you were the issue, to demand that I consider the "argument" as if it were non-theistic when it isn't, no matter how much of my post had already met your churlish "demands" before you made them. Glen D http://tinyurl.com/35s39o

raven · 21 May 2007

Going to elaborate a bit on whether earth is privileged or whether Gonzalez is a yellow sun chauvinist. Four out of five stars are red dwarfs. They last 100 times as long as our sun. For a species to spread out and persist, they would be ideal, close together and long lived. Clock is ticking on us, it is T-2 billion years and counting.
Chistopher Yukna esme.fr Astrobiology 101 Red dwarfs are smaller, (Q.2)dimmer, and cooler than our sun. There are more than a dozen of these stars within a few light years of our Earth, yet not one of them is visible to the naked eye. For years it was thought that they were a poor place to look for alien lifeforms. However, recent computer models contradict this supposition. This is excellent news for xenobiologists since four out of every five stars is a red dwarf. The argument against life being present on the planets orbiting around red dwarfs was twofold. First, these stars are so faint because they begin with ten to sixty percent less mass than the sun. They are frugal: their nuclear reactions are far slower than in other types of stars. This (Q.5) stinginess could be a point in their favor since the average lifetime of a red dwarf is one hundred times that of the Sun, which would allow life a much longer time to evolve. Although with so little energy available how could there be life? Living organisms as we know them depend on a range of temperatures where water is liquid. A planet orbiting a red dwarf at the same distance as our planet orbits the Sun would be a frozen ball of ice. Of course, you could simply place the planet closer to the red star, hence it should be warmer and habitable. But that is the second problem; a closer orbit comes with a cost. A planet that is (Q.6) nestled next to the star would always present one face towards the star, very much like our moon does to the Earth. So one side would be a blast oven and the other an icy circle of hell. Not so, according to Robert Hablerle and Manoj Joshi at NASA's Ames Research Center. When they ran a computer simulation of such a planet they found out that if the planet had an atmosphere only about 15 percent thicker than ours the results implied that it could shelter life. Venus already has an atmosphere ninety times that of Earth's so a slightly denser atmosphere is well within the realms of possibility. A more abundant atmosphere would transfer enough heat from the eternal sunny side to endless night. The temperature range was inside acceptable norms: from 50 degrees to minus 50 degrees Celsius. Another difficulty presents itself with this scenario since water would tend to migrate from the hot side to the frigid dark side. However, Martin Heath of Greenwich Community College, London thinks he might have the solution to this dilemma. He postulates that if the oceans are deep enough, water will circulate back from the nether regions over to the hot side. Under a deep ice cap, sea water would be insulated from the intense cold and remain liquid and thus be able to freely disperse. While this type of planet might be able to bear life, the conditions would be (Q.9) strikingly dissimilar to what we find on Earth. One important fact to remember is red dwarfs emit a great deal of their energy in the infrared. Which could offer some problems to the process of photosynthesis. In addition, red dwarfs exhibit more massive starspots than Sol which could reduce incoming light by up to two fifths. Starflares also pose a problem since they can brighten a red dwarf by as much as one hundred percent. Besides these global changes, life would have to deal with the variety of fixed temperatures on this planet. Ground zero in the hot zone would be centered on the equator where the star would be directly overhead. The rim of eternal shade would be somewhere around zero degrees and cooler the deeper you went until you reached temperatures of minus fifty degrees centigrade. Since the sun would be stationary in the sky, the backside of a hill would be in perpetual shadow, as well. This continuous light vs constant shade would certainly produce intriguing ecosystems.

Glen Davidson · 21 May 2007

Raven has called to our attention a good source regarding red dwarfs and life. However, the debate goes on, and I thought it worth bringing in a recent paper which is less optimistic. Not, of course, that it is the final statement on the matter. Here's a summary from Science, with the bibliographical information for the original paper in Astrophysics Journal:

Science 11 May 2007: Vol. 316. no. 5826, p. 799 DOI: 10.1126/science.316.5826.799a Prev | Table of Contents | Next Editors' Choice: Highlights of the recent literature Habitable Earth-like planets must form just close enough to their parent star for liquid water--and hence life--to exist on their surfaces. Any closer and surface water would be boiled off; any further and it would freeze. Moreover, stars must be at least as long-lived as the Sun for habitable planets to form around them. Red dwarfs offer possible suitable sites: They are both the most common type of star in the Milky Way and also, being smaller than the Sun, exceptionally long-lived. However, Lissauer argues that red dwarfs may not be so hospitable after all. Because red dwarfs are faint, their current habitable zones lie very close to the star. Billions of years ago, though, the star would have been much hotter, and so if a planet were already in place then, its volatiles would have evaporated quickly. Also, the debris left over from disks around such star systems is relatively confined, and so any planets would have been buffeted by collisions with many asteroids, causing water and volatiles to be lost. -- JB Astrophys. J. 660, L149 (2007)10.1111/j.1469-8137.2007.02103.x (2007).

http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/summary/316/5826/799a?maxtoshow=&HITS=10&hits=10&RESULTFORMAT=&fulltext=%22red+dwarfs%22&searchid=1&FIRSTINDEX=0&resourcetype=HWCIT Whether those issues are really fatal I wouldn't know. Many planets found around other stars are indeed thought to have spiraled in from rather greater distances. But I don't know if planets around red dwarfs are thought to similarly spiral inward or not. Anyhow, since I so recently noticed the blurb in Science, it seemed worth bringing up. At least we now know that some planets exist around red dwarfs, but what they are like seems to be in some dispute. Glen D

Henry J · 21 May 2007

One was that our atmosphere is not so excellent at allowing transmittance of information, and would be rather better at it if we had no ozone layer. But, but, we need the ozone layer.

That's an (somewhat) interesting irony, that for some wavelengths, observability and survivability appear to conflict. (I say appear, cause if those wavelengths had been getting through all along, we'd either not be here, or would have adapted in some way to handle it.) Henry

Gerard Harbison · 21 May 2007

No, that's quite enough, since you keep missing the boat, which is not why our atmosphere is transparent (as I said, I certainly know the physics at least as well as you do, but apparently you like having an excuse to tell everyone you know what the Born Oppenheimer Approximation is) .

And yet I needed to explain to you that Venus's atmosphere is opaque not because of absorbtion, but scattering; why the motions of nuclei in a molecule lead to absorbtion in the infrared, and why small molecules containing light atoms tend to be transparent to visible light. Odd.

PvM · 21 May 2007

The DI finally put the ISU department guidelines online with few surprises as shown by the bolded sentences. Seems that the DI is suffering once again from an inability to comprehend clear English.

The following guidelines for promotion to the various ranks with respect to evaluation of excellence in research are intended to define typical cases; they do not set absolute numerical standards, but rather illustrate what experience has shown to be the usual case. In the Department, persons appointed to the faculty rank of instructor ordinarily already possess the Ph.D. degree. For promotion from instructor to assistant professor, clear promise of excellence in research is required, as demonstrated typically by six papers of good quality, either published or accepted by refereed journals. What is stressed is the promise of the research effort, presumably foreshadowing a national reputation. For promotion to associate professor, excellence sufficient to lead to a national or international reputation is required and would ordinarily be shown by the publication of approximately fifteen papers of good quality in refereed journals. For promotion to professor, attainment of a national or international reputation for excellence in research is expected, and would usually require at least thirty published papers of good quality in refereed journals. It should be emphasized, however, that subjective judgment is involved in all of these cases; promotion with fewer papers than indicated above, or non-promotion with more, could occur based upon the Committee's evaluation of the research involved.

Source

jick · 21 May 2007

In "Life Everywhere: The Maverick Science of Astrobiology" by David Darling, the author gives a very interesting anecdote about Gonzalez's influence on Brownlee and Ward, the authors of "Rare Earth: Why Complex Life is Uncommon in the Universe."

Brownlee and Ward apparently got many ideas from Gonzalez, but that was before Google was popular, so they actually didn't know he's an ID'er. While Darling is writing the book, Darling's wife hears in the church about a "creationist scientist" who talks about why the earth must be designed for us. Guess who the "scientist" was!

The book then portrays a series of very interesting e-mail exchanges, including

B or W (I forgot who it was): "No, he never mentioned he was a creationist. Are you sure that's the same Gonzalez?"
D: "Yeah, sure look at this..."
B or W: (forwarding the letter to G) "OK, I need an explanation."
G: (some lame reponse on how he keeps his professional life and personal belief separate)

(I'm quoting out of memory, but that's about the essence of it.)

By the way, "Life everywhere" is an interesting book. Take a look if you're not working in this field but interested in astrobiology. (Although I fear it's somewhat outdated by now...)

- Jick

Bob O'H · 22 May 2007

By the way, I don't recall ever seeing a publication in a peer reviewed journal using the term "genetic entropy".

— David Stanton
Ah, you weren't searching hard enough: Hwang WJ, Hong SL (1999). Genetic entropy-constrained vector quantizer design algorithm. Optical Engineering 38: 233-239 Abstract: A novel variable-rate Vector quantizer (VQ) design algorithm, which is a hybrid approach combining a genetic algorithm with the entropy-constrained VQ (ECVQ) algorithm is presented. The proposed technique outperforms the ECVQ algorithm in the sense that it reaches a nearby global optimum rather than a local one. Simulation results show that, when applied to image coding, the technique achieves higher peak SNR (PSNR) and image quality than techniques using the ECVQ algorithm. This is the only relevant paper I could find in Web of Science. :-) Bob

PvM · 22 May 2007

Dr. Gonzalez has published 68 refereed articles in peer-reviewed journals, exceeding the normal standard of his department by 350%! Significantly, nowhere do his departmental standards even mention outside research grants as a criterion for promotion or tenure.

— PC2
Meaningless statistics and a misunderstanding of the departmental standards. Also remember that there are also the college standards and the university standards which set the overall guidelines.

Why exactly should ID be ruled out prior to investigation.

— PC2
ID is ruled out due to scientific vacuity, as it fails to provide a reliable indicator to detect intelligent design as an explanatory component.

Gerard Harbison · 22 May 2007

Having written the Tenure and Promotion guidelines for our department, I have to say I think ISU Physics did a lousy job. Either they don't care about funding, in which case they're going to rapidly go down the tube, or else they have an unstated funding requirement, which leaves them, in my strictly unprofessional opinion, vulnerable to legal challenge. I'm bet the latter is the case.

The ISU University guidelines do, IIRC, require demonstration of a sustainable research program, and for a scientist that pretty much requires funding. But still, I wish people would lose this quaint idea that we're all gentlemen-scholars and that money doesn't matter.

Wayne Francis · 22 May 2007

Seems that certain seem to think that
A) Transparent atmosphere is a requirement for life.
And
B) Earth is some how extra special for having a transparent atmosphere

Both are indefensible. We still don't know enough about Earth's genesis event(s) to make the first claim and the 2nd claim is just not true.

We know extremophiles exist and thrive in conditions we didn't think possible many years ago. Just within our solar system there are 2 other bodies that could support life as we know understand it. 1 has an atmosphere also as transparent as ours the other has little to no atmosphere but may have more liquid water then the earth and has a good chance of having conditions similar to our "black smokers"

Saying that A & B is evidence for our planet being "Privileged" is as bogus as claiming that water is the only molecule which solid form is less dense then its liquid form and that liquid water is "rare" and thus because of this fact water/ice proof that the universe is designed for us.

Personally I find such argument disturbing from a theological position.
For 1 it means that the "god" that did this designed the universe and some how thought "Damn I need ice to float on top of water to make this world work." And more importantly ignores the evidence that liquid water is not all that rare in this property.

When it was pointed out to a certain people that their statement that liquid water is "rare" in the universe they seem to have ignored it. When it was pointed out the property of ice "floating" was not limited to just water and 1 other element they tried to argue why the other examples didn't count. Essentially cherry picking why a property in one case makes Earth "Privileged" while ignoring questions why the same property somewhere else can just be ignored.

David Heddle · 22 May 2007

Mr. Harbison,

Arrogance from world-class scientists---well that I'll respectfully tolerate. But not from you. We were discussing absorption and I mentioned Venus. You answered that Venus was opaque mostly because of scattering, which is true enough though beside the point since we were discussing absorption (which, btw, you brought up in the first place, for unknown and irrelevant reasons, since the question at hand was and is transparency regardless of the cause--but I guess you really wanted to show you knew what the Born Oppenheimer approximation was.) But you come back to it, for in your insecurity you need to use big words even when they aren't necessary and declare victory where none is to be found. I just ignored it, for I don't suffer from those same insecurities. But since you do bring it up again, I'll point out that Venus is indeed a much better absorber of visible light due to the sulfur compounds and other nasties its atmosphere contains.

Wayne,

By wording it as "seems to think the earth is extra special" you have biased the discussion already. But there is nothing unscientific whatsoever about the mere proposition that perhaps an atmosphere which is transparent where the sun's intensity peaks (and perhaps even in the appropriate range) is indeed a necessary though accidental perfect storm, and from the 10^22 or so planets in the observable universe should happen now and then. If so, it then follows that observability trivially tags along, at least in that instance, with habitability.

Moses · 22 May 2007

To make a long story short: the way to decide these matters generally is to apply a "But for" test. In other words, remove the fact that Gonzales is a well known advocate of ID and ask would his record have been tenurable otherwise. The way to test this is to compare his record to that of other people recently granted and denied tenure. If by comparison his record was tenurable, and people are on record as saying that his pro-ID views were a motivating factor, then I would have to say there is prima facie evidence of viewpoint discrimination.

But for being a serial killer, Ted Bundy was a real nice guy. The point being that you really can't separate those things to get an honest assessment. In this case, beyond his (apparently?) marginal basis for tenure, you have a man deeply enmeshed and promoting a pseudo-science more akin to astrology than astronomy. To NOT weigh this factor, i.e. his scientific credibility, would be negligence of the worst sort.

David Stanton · 22 May 2007

Bob,

Thanks for the reference. I guess I jusst don't read the right journals. Oh well, I guess I'm completely wrong again. Just another reason to hate myself.

No wait. What does that have to do with evolution? Nothing. Huh. Well, at least PC wasn't just making stuff up again. This time that combination of words could indeed be found, somewhere. And at least one real scientist agrees with him, just like when he denied the connection between AIDS and HIV. Do you sense a pattern here?

Moses · 22 May 2007

Comment #177568 Posted by PC2 on May 21, 2007 10:02 AM (e) According to this blub from DI: Dr. Gonzalez has published 68 refereed articles in peer-reviewed journals, exceeding the normal standard of his department by 350%! Significantly, nowhere do his departmental standards even mention outside research grants as a criterion for promotion or tenure.

Pre-tenure publication is not considered in these types of cases. Dr. Gonzalez was not a tenured professor bringing an established body of work from an old school. Rather, hew as an up-and-coming young professor trying to make it for the first time. Also, if you think the money issues isn't understood, you're totally clueless. My wife is a research professor at a Top-20 school and if she doesn't get funding, she's gone. End of story.

Why exactly should ID be ruled out prior to investigation.

It already was. Creationism, which is ID, was ruled out over 150 years ago in the biological sciences. Other parts of creationism were ruled out even longer ago. While others were more recent. In other words, you've already lost the fight and it was to the death. You don't get a second chance; no matter how much you try to beat that dead horse.

To assert that it not even possible to deduce intelligence is to deny many commonly accepted diciplines of science and is to hold a biased presumption prior to investigation.(That is clearly bad empirical science in its own right)

You wouldn't know good science if it bit you in the ass. You've already rejected good sceince for a derrivitite religious superstition that's a third or fourth generation iteration of religions you were never aware existed. Christianity, my friend, did not spring fully-formed, but is is the son of Judaism and the great-grandchild of other religions from which Judaism descended. That you keep holding onto your beliefs due to programing, ignorance and supersticion doesn't discredit science or credit your cobbled together belief system. It just screams: You're as ignorant as the Cargo Cult people in the South Pacific.

Remember, the materialistic philosophy fought tooth and nail to prevent the Big Bang from joining mainstream science because of its Theistic implications. Even today we find a few people fighting against the Big Bang because of its implications. Yet we are suppose to unquestionably follow the materialistic party line of evolution and never question that it could produce the amazing complexity we are witnessing around us. Excuse me if I don't click my heals to the thought police on this matter and demand proof that cleary violates Genetic Entropy.

Ha, ha, ha, ha... No. Not really. I mean, a few cranks and what-not, but personal incredulity is not accepted in science as a valid explanation. And genetic entropy? WTF? You make up that rubbish yourself, or did you rename something?

minimalist · 22 May 2007

Hee hee, you can almost see Heddle rubbing his sore bottom and fuming.

Thanks for that, Gerard, you made my day.

SLC · 22 May 2007

Re Heddle

Prof. Heddle continues to harp on the notion of transparent atmospheres as a possible requirement for the existence of life. This has already been falsified by the finding of life at the bottom of the oceans which receives no energy from the Sun but relies on heat from vents in the ocean floor. The composition of the atmosphere is completely irrelevant to these organisms. It would be further discredited if life were found on Europa in the postulated liquid water sea beneath the ice cap.

Re Harbison

1. Theoretically, Prof. Harbison is correct that Prof. Gonzalezs' creationist work should be irrelevant if it were a "hobby" and was not submitted as a part of his tenure package. However, we live in the real world. Members of his department have to consider the consequences of giving such an individual tenure. Let's take an example. I suspect that Prof. Harbison would not be a happy camper if Prof. Michael Behe were a tenured professor of biochemistry at the Un. of Nebraska rather then Lehigh.

2. The argument about the different absorption characteristics of electrons and nucleons based on the large mass difference, unfortunately, could be argued by the IDiots as proof of ID, i.e. the "designer" created it that way so as to have the required characteristics! With these guys, it's heads I win, tails you lose. It would, perhaps, be interesting to speculate as to what the universe would look like if electrons did not exist and the only leptons were muons and neutrinos.

David Heddle · 22 May 2007

SLC,
Prof. Heddle continues to harp on the notion of transparent atmospheres as a possible requirement for the existence of life. This has already been falsified by the finding of life at the bottom of the oceans which receives no energy from the Sun but relies on heat from vents in the ocean floor.
Please go back and reread. The speculation, right or wrong, is that complex life requires a transparent atmosphere. Why would you assume that Gonzalez was unaware that there was life in the deep ocean? Assuming those with who you disagree are just stupid is no way to argue. It's like a creationist asking "what good is half an eye?" and declaring victory. Minimalist, Yes you are right. Being insulted doesn't bother me. Being wrong doesn't bother me. And I love give and take whether it is in theology or science. But pomposity always pushes my buttons, which is why Mr. Harbison ticks me off. Anybody who starts a comment with "oh dear" and then launches into irrelevancies to show how smart they are---well this type of person I find annoying, even when I agree with them. He simply had to show us that he knew (as if any physical scientist wouldn't know) why the atmosphere was transparent when the relevant point for this discussion is simply that it is transparent.

David Stanton · 22 May 2007

Heddle wrote:

"Please go back and reread. The speculation, right or wrong, is that complex life requires a transparent atmosphere. Why would you assume that Gonzalez was unaware that there was life in the deep ocean?"

I don't know. Why do you assume that tube worms, crabs and other multicellular life is not "complex"? Bacteria are not the only kind of life forms that inhabit deep sea thermal vents.

Don't try to wiggle out of it by saying they evolved elsewhere. That is not relevant as to whether they exist there. And in any case, you would then have to admit they evolved into their present form.

I guess what you have to do is defend the assertation that these forms are not "complex". Maybe Dr. Dembski can help you out there. I hear he has some equations you can use.

In any event, all this nonsense is irrelevant to the thread topic. Gonzalez lost. Deal with it. Or sue. Frankly my dear . . .

Darth Robo · 22 May 2007

Heddle:

Complex life requires a tranparent atmosphere? I guess if it ain't human's, it ain't that complex, huh?

"Anybody who starts a comment with "oh dear" and then launches into irrelevancies to show how smart they are---well this type of person I find annoying,"

Oh dear.

David Heddle · 22 May 2007

David Stanton,
I don't know. Why do you assume that tube worms, crabs and other multicellular life is not "complex"? Bacteria are not the only kind of life forms that inhabit deep sea thermal vents. Don't try to wiggle out of it by saying they evolved elsewhere. That is not relevant as to whether they exist there. And in any case, you would then have to admit they evolved into their present form. I guess what you have to do is defend the assertation that these forms are not "complex". Maybe Dr. Dembski can help you out there. I hear he has some equations you can use. In any event, all this nonsense is irrelevant to the thread topic. Gonzalez lost. Deal with it. Or sue. Frankly my dear ...
Gosh, does anyone on here actually read? I have not complained, not even once, about Gonzalez being denied tenure. I have a good guess as to why that was the case, and it all fits (as I have said repeatedly) within the normal parameters of the process, which, except in no-brainer candidates, always involves subjective judgments. No, all that brought me here was statements such as Raging Bee's "pack of lies" comment. I challenged, a challenge that has not been met, someone to provide a scientific refutation of the speculation that habitability and observability are correlated. All I got was a link to a book review. A review from a scientist (Jefferys) who, btw, has an unpublished (as far as I know) paper whose abstract states "And we shall furthermore show that with certain theologies suggested by deities that are both inscrutable and very powerful, the more "finely-tuned" the universe is, the more a supernatural origin of the universe is undermined" which, unlike Gonzalez's habitability-observability correlation is, it would seem, a perfectly acceptable form of speculation. As for me going to Dembski, if you knew anything about me you'd know what a odd comment that is. In a short post, you have managed to demonstrate several times that you don't know what you are talking about. As for complex life, a working definition is simple in this context. Since Gonzalez ties observability to habitability, we can take complex life, for the purposes of the main contention from the PP, to mean life that is complex enough, or nearly so, to take advantage of, at least in principle, the observability. Just arguing "human chauvinism" (tubeworms are complex too!) may make you feel enlightened, but it's an argument that is not germane to Gonzalez's speculation, unless you think it might be possible that tubeworms are engaged in science.

whheydt · 22 May 2007

Heddle wrote:
"As for complex life, a working definition is simple in this context. Since Gonzalez ties observability to habitability, we can take complex life, for the purposes of the main contention from the PP, to mean life that is complex enough, or nearly so, to take advantage of, at least in principle, the observability.

"Just arguing "human chauvinism" (tubeworms are complex too!) may make you feel enlightened, but it's an argument that is not germane to Gonzalez's speculation, unless you think it might be possible that tubeworms are engaged in science."

Listen to the subdued rustle of moving goal posts.....

David Stanton · 22 May 2007

David Heddle,

Sorry, the comment about Gonzalez was not particularly directed at you. As for Dembski, I'm glad that you were not happy with the suggestion to go to him.

Now, about those crabs. I believe they can observe their environment just fine. It might even be possible that they could look at stars given the proper equipment. They are free to observe and do any science they choose to do. The atmosphere does not help them at all. In fact it doesn't help humans observe stars either. Hence the teloscopes on Palomar and on mountains in Hawaii as well as the Hubble telescope. If the earth is so perfect for observing, why have an atmosphere at all? Why at least not have mountains high enough to rise completely above the atmosphere? Just lack of planning I guess.

Wait a minute. Maybe Darth Robo was right, maybe humans are the only "complex" life that counts. Well, I guess that makes sense. To me, the whole Priviledged Planet idea is that humans are somehow special. Didn't pan out when we thought we were at the center of the universe. Didn't pan out when we thought the sun went around the earth. Maybe
this time around it will work out. I would sure like to be special.

Moses · 22 May 2007

I see David Puddle is back with more of his Puddleology. :groan: I'm always reminded of Feynman's essays on the limits of skill, reason and knowledge when Puddle shows up. And my Sociology 101 lectures on man's tendency to towards anthropomorphizing the universe with him in the middle.

David Heddle · 22 May 2007

whheydt
Listen to the subdued rustle of moving goal posts.....
Ah, I see the standard form of arguing on PT, which is to reach in the bag and pull out a charge of "moving the goal posts" or some logical fallacy is still alive and well. No need to make a substantive response--the charge itself constitutes a total rebuttal by PT standards. It doesn't matter that I didn't give a definition of complex before, even though "moving the goal posts" would, to most people (but not PTers), presuppose that the goal posts were in fact planted at an identifiable location prior to their being moved. What is your reference point against which I have moved the goal posts? And what is your definition of complex life? What is your definition of intelligent life? To be honest, I don't know what Gonzalez's definition is. I think it is fairly obvious that he meant something more than complex == multicellular. I gave a working definition that Gonzalez may or may not agree with, but gives a basis for further discussion. But, if you prefer to avoid discussion altogether, feel free to argue "tubeworms are complex, so game over man." David Stanton,
Now, about those crabs. I believe they can observe their environment just fine. It might even be possible that they could look at stars given the proper equipment. They are free to observe and do any science they choose to do. The atmosphere does not help them at all. In fact it doesn't help humans observe stars either. Hence the teloscopes on Palomar and on mountains in Hawaii as well as the Hubble telescope. If the earth is so perfect for observing, why have an atmosphere at all? Why at least not have mountains high enough to rise completely above the atmosphere? Just lack of planning I guess.
Do you really think that? Surely space based telescopes greatly advance our knowledge of the universe, but do you think there is any chance we would have reached the point where we can place them in orbit were it not for all the prior physics accomplished by taking advantage of a transparent atmosphere? As for crabs doing science, I don't have a response. As for earth not being the "perfect" observatory, that is irrelevant, for that is not claim of the PP. (Indeed, the PP claim is at least mildly bad for ID, ID would rather claim that God made the earth habitable .AND. as a bonus he made it a good observatory. The PP argument is that given a habitable earth, observability comes for free. If the PP contention is wrong, and habitability and observability are not correlated, then I would suggest that that fact would be a feather in the ID cap--the earth would be more "miraculous," not less.)

Moses · 22 May 2007

Posted by David Heddle on May 22, 2007 10:24 AM (e) I challenged, a challenge that has not been met, someone to provide a scientific refutation of the speculation that habitability and observability are correlated. All I got was a link to a book review. A review from a scientist (Jefferys) who, btw, has an unpublished (as far as I know) paper whose abstract states "And we shall furthermore show that with certain theologies suggested by deities that are both inscrutable and very powerful, the more "finely-tuned" the universe is, the more a supernatural origin of the universe is undermined" which, unlike Gonzalez's habitability-observability correlation is, it would seem, a perfectly acceptable form of speculation.

Your challenge is along the lines of: Can you prove you're not a child molester, rapist, or any other deviant behavior that I, or anyone else, can label you with, regardless of our lack of evidence that you do suffer from these deviant behaviors. In other words, your same old tired BS that gets you routinely (and deservedly) mocked. It's clear, in CREDIBLE SCIENCE, that our modern eyes are in response to the free radiation surrounding us - light. If we were benthic or nocturnal creatures, existing in depths/places where there is little or no light, we might have other sensory apparatus - like sonar. Your arguments and demands for proof are, simply put, childish circular devices where you use a pre-ordained conclusion and logical fallacies in argumentation and shift the burden of proof to prove unprovable negatives. In short, a laughable, but complete waste of time and only serves to leave you as a laughingstock caricature.

David Stanton · 22 May 2007

David Heddle wrote:

"Do you really think that? Surely space based telescopes greatly advance our knowledge of the universe, but do you think there is any chance we would have reached the point where we can place them in orbit were it not for all the prior physics accomplished by taking advantage of a transparent atmosphere?"

I don't know if I really think that or not. I guess I wrote it, so maybe I do. Anyway, if the "transparent atmosphere" were so perfect for observing we wouldn't need orbital telescopes. When the crabs develop their telescopes, I'm sure they will feel priviledged that they were protected from harmful ultraviolet radiation by the water they live in.

David Stanton · 22 May 2007

Heddle wrote:

"If the PP contention is wrong, and habitability and observability are not correlated, then I would suggest that that fact would be a feather in the ID cap---the earth would be more "miraculous," not less.)"

My last post was unresponsive to this point so I'll have try again, or be accused of not having any reading skills (which is apparently true anyway). As others have pointed out, one data point does not make a correlation. As others have pointed out, the burden of proof is on the one making the claim. I guess Gonzalez is buzy with SETI now, or maybe trying to get a space ship to explore the planets just discovered. Of course correlation does not prove causation either, but then at least we might have something to explain. In the meantime, I for one plan on continuing to think that I am special anyway.

David Heddle · 22 May 2007

I don't know if I really think that or not. I guess I wrote it, so maybe I do. Anyway, if the "transparent atmosphere" were so perfect for observing we wouldn't need orbital telescopes. When the crabs develop their telescopes, I'm sure they will feel priviledged that they were protected from harmful ultraviolet radiation by the water they live in.
Insightful comments like this remind me why I stayed away from PT for a year, and was better off for it. I'll check back in next year, God willing.

CJO · 22 May 2007

Okay!
Don't get your air of superiority caught in the door on your way out!

whheydt · 22 May 2007

David heddle wrote (before he said he was departing for a year);

"whheydt

"Listen to the subdued rustle of moving goal posts.....

"Ah, I see the standard form of arguing on PT, which is to reach in the bag and pull out a charge of "moving the goal posts" or some logical fallacy is still alive and well. No need to make a substantive response---the charge itself constitutes a total rebuttal by PT standards. It doesn't matter that I didn't give a definition of complex before, even though "moving the goal posts" would, to most people (but not PTers), presuppose that the goal posts were in fact planted at an identifiable location prior to their being moved. What is your reference point against which I have moved the goal posts?

"And what is your definition of complex life? What is your definition of intelligent life?

I call it as I see it. You said "complex life" without specifying what degree of complexity you were demanding. When called on that, you restricted your definition. That's a classic "moving the goal posts" argument. If you don't like it, be specific in the first palce, or accept that your stated criteria have been met and concede gracefully.

I'm just an engineer (though decidedly not of the creationist variety). I'll accept the biologists definition of "complex life". If I'm not too greatly mistaken, multicellular pretty much fits the standard definition.

As for "intellingent life"... I don't have a definition beyond the, decidedly non-scientific, I know it when I see it. This is mostly because "intelligence" seems to be poorly defined in a formal sense. Indeed, I can well imagine that there is intelligent life in the universe that I *wouldn't* recognize as intelligent for a number of reasons.

If you haven't slammed the dorr shut on your way out yet, perhaps you can supply a definition. (Or perhaps not. As a PhD physicist, such a definition is farther out of your area of expertise than it is from mine. As a working programmer, my work at least touches the sort of equipment used in AI research.)

Henry J · 22 May 2007

I doubt that "complex life" could be defined in a way that gives a definite yes/no for everything. Also not sure how multicellular could be used as the criteria, since the stuff inside a typical cell is more complicated than the arrangements of cells in lots of multicelled creatures (if not all of them).

Henry

Btw, "multicellular" and "multicelled" aren't in the spell checker. And neither is "Btw".

David B. Benson · 22 May 2007

Henry J --- Yes. I found that the weakest part of Ward & Brownlee's arguments. Their case would be stronger if they had simply argued that life is unlikely in the universe...

Flint · 22 May 2007

Since Gonzalez ties observability to habitability, we can take complex life, for the purposes of the main contention from the PP, to mean life that is complex enough, or nearly so, to take advantage of, at least in principle, the observability.

And there we have it. Doh! "Complex life", which requires an atmosphere transparent to one of their particular modes of sensing the world around them, is defined as life that requires such an atmosphere! If it used sonar, or radar, it wouldn't be complex life because the transparency of the atmosphere to visible light wouldn't be required. How obvious. We define a transparent atmosphere as required for complex life, and complex life as any life that evolved to take advantage of it. This seems very straightforward. Giant squid? Not complex. Mole? Not complex. Roach? Complex. Bat? No. Housefly? Only the adult stage is complex, larval stage not complex. Gee, this is easy! Thanks, David.

CJO · 22 May 2007

Henry J --- Yes. I found that the weakest part of Ward & Brownlee's arguments. Their case would be stronger if they had simply argued that life is unlikely in the universe...

But they don't think that it is. One of the central points of the thesis is that life could be so common as to be ubiquitous in the unverse, and "complex life" could still be rare. For Ward and Brownlee, I don't think the term is defined with any more precision than "analagous to earthly animal life." Sorta squishy, but it's not necessary to go a lot farther than that. They make much out of the ~3 billion years it took to get to multicellular life. In their view, not many planets will have the (relative) stability to maintain robust life over such long timescales, in order to set the stage for multicellular animals.

Flint · 22 May 2007

They make much out of the ~3 billion years it took to get to multicellular life.

Is it the case that multicellular life was simply not possible as a development, until prokaryotes had reached a certain required level of sophistication, or perhaps evolved in some particular necessary (if not more sophisticated) direction? Or might the advent of multicellular life have occurred a couple billion years earlier, contingent on nothing more than being in the right place in the right time? Might multicellular life have evolved many times, but couldn't compete well enough to get a toehold until circumstances conspired to protect it? Maybe it's like rolling the dice until some improbable sequence appears - could happen at any time, even the first series of rolls, but is still a long shot? We seem pretty sure that life as we know it appeared for all practical purposes instantly after conditions weren't prohibitively hostile, but multicelled life waited another 3 billion years until conditions were ideal. But we're extrapolating from a sample of 1. I personally suspect "complexity" could have taken a great many directions it didn't happen to take on Earth.

David B. Benson · 22 May 2007

CJO --- Thanks again. I had forgotten that part of the argument, figuring that eukaryotes were already rather complex.

Flint --- If by complex one means multicellular animals, didn't these evolve at about the same time ass snowball earth occurred? If so, might be able to make something out of that along your lines...

CJO · 22 May 2007

All interesting questions.
It seems to me that, at a minimum, you need the kind of structural integrity that the cytoskeleton provides to start building mulicellular organisms. And the path that earthly prokaryotes took to eukaryotic structure was endosymbiosis --seemingly the 'short path,' at least as opposed to the independent evolution of oganelles in situ as opposed to their parallel evolution as free-living eukaryotes.

raven · 23 May 2007

Heddle: I challenged, a challenge that has not been met, someone to provide a scientific refutation of the speculation that habitability and observability are correlated.
I did that and you ignored it. Once again, how much solid data do we have? One example, earth. Not much of a data set is it, for drawing sweeping conclusions, one data point? The converse would be Mars. Great observability, but if there is complex life, it is lying low. You realize this habitability-observability conjecture is just a rehash of the anthropic principle? We may be able to test parts of this theory someday but not right away. Amazingly enough, we have made some solid progress. We now know that there are other planet systems and they are reasonably common.
raven: So far the number of proven life bearing planets is one. It has an atmosphere transparent to some wavelengths of light. So the facts are that the correlation is 100%. OTOH, the sample size is also one. Correlations BTW, do not prove cause and effect, basic logic Even good scientists make this error and often end up wrong. Really, there isn't enough data to do anything more than speculate. That can be entertaining in a thought experiment sort of way but isn't going to prove anything. We would need to know how many life bearing worlds there are in a large enough sample of the galaxy and how many of those have transparent atmospheres. Going to be a while before that data is available. I can imagine easily life bearing worlds where one can't see the stars. If the atmosphere was thicker, the ambient temperature warmer, we might end up with a permanent cloud cover. Or the earth could be inside a globular cluster or deep inside a dusty cloud. And this proves....nothing. I could also easily imagine someone dwelling around a red dwarf arguing that that is a privileged place. 70% of the stars around sol are red dwarfs, much more common than our G class sun. They last much longer than G class stars. Our star is gradually heating up, will fry the biosphere in another 2 billion years or so, go red giant, and then blow up. People living around red dwarfs will have a stable functioning solar system long after we are gone.

raven · 23 May 2007

Heddle: I challenged, a challenge that has not been met, someone to provide a scientific refutation of the speculation that habitability and observability are correlated.
I did that and you ignored it. Once again, how much solid data do we have? One example, earth. Not much of a data set is it, for drawing sweeping conclusions, one data point? The converse would be Mars. Great observability, but if there is complex life, it is lying low. You realize this habitability-observability conjecture is just a rehash of the anthropic principle? We may be able to test parts of this theory someday but not right away. Amazingly enough, we have made some solid progress. We now know that there are other planet systems and they are reasonably common.
raven: So far the number of proven life bearing planets is one. It has an atmosphere transparent to some wavelengths of light. So the facts are that the correlation is 100%. OTOH, the sample size is also one. Correlations BTW, do not prove cause and effect, basic logic Even good scientists make this error and often end up wrong. Really, there isn't enough data to do anything more than speculate. That can be entertaining in a thought experiment sort of way but isn't going to prove anything. We would need to know how many life bearing worlds there are in a large enough sample of the galaxy and how many of those have transparent atmospheres. Going to be a while before that data is available. I can imagine easily life bearing worlds where one can't see the stars. If the atmosphere was thicker, the ambient temperature warmer, we might end up with a permanent cloud cover. Or the earth could be inside a globular cluster or deep inside a dusty cloud. And this proves....nothing. I could also easily imagine someone dwelling around a red dwarf arguing that that is a privileged place. 70% of the stars around sol are red dwarfs, much more common than our G class sun. They last much longer than G class stars. Our star is gradually heating up, will fry the biosphere in another 2 billion years or so, go red giant, and then blow up. People living around red dwarfs will have a stable functioning solar system long after we are gone.

les · 23 May 2007

OK, so I'm not a scientist, but I can't figure out what this:

"scientific refutation of the speculation that habitability and observability are correlated"

means. How does one refute a speculation? Especially one that's a tautology--in the single sample we have, habitability and observability both exist. Isn't Gonzalez' and others' speculation really that the observed fact has deep meaning, probably god lookin' out for his favorites? Seems like we already know science isn't going to refute that speculation; and Privileged Planet surely doesn't support it, nor offer a way to test it.

David B. Benson · 23 May 2007

les --- raven bought up a good counter-example: Mars. The two rovers have looked over quite a bit of it. Mars is observable, in the strange sense meant here. Mars is clearly not very habitable, even the rover robots have some difficulties getting through the Martian winter.

So the correlation is now done to 50%.

But I'll suggest that both Mercury and Pluto have great observability and lousy habitability.

Correlation is now 25% and rapidly decreasing...

David B. Benson · 23 May 2007

down, not done.

Henry J · 23 May 2007

Maybe habitability is a subset of observability? since obviously there can be places from which one could observe things if one had appropriate life support equipment on hand.

At least, it seems like that would be the next thing advocates of this speculation ought to say in order to support it.

Henry

Popper's ghost · 24 May 2007

How does one refute a speculation?

I speculate that you're 6'7" and have a club foot. How could you possibly refute that?

Especially one that's a tautology

There's no need to speculate on statements that we know are true, and certainly not ones that are necessarily true.

in the single sample we have, habitability and observability both exist

In the single sample we have, someone named les posting in this thread hasn't a clue what a speculation, a refutation, or a tautology, is, but he isn't necessarily clueless.

Darth Robo · 24 May 2007

(Had problems getting PT up yesterday, is it having server probs again or is it just my damn pc? Oh, well)

"Do you really think that? Surely space based telescopes greatly advance our knowledge of the universe, but do you think there is any chance we would have reached the point where we can place them in orbit were it not for all the prior physics accomplished by taking advantage of a transparent atmosphere?"

Is this actually Heddle's argument for cosmological ID?

David Stanton · 24 May 2007

Oh no, it appears I drove Heddle away with my breath-taking innanity. I didn't mean to, honest. And no one even thanked me. My argument was pretty infantile I guess. But then again, I was arguing with someone who thinks he's special because the air is clear.

Seriously, the anthropic principle has been discredited so many times in so many ways, I'm amazed anyone could seriously advocate any form of it. Besides, that really isn't the topic of this thread anyway.

Darth Robo · 24 May 2007

"And no one even thanked me."

Thanks. Could you also stop by AtBC, too? ;)

David Heddle · 24 May 2007

David Stanton,
les --- raven bought up a good counter-example: Mars. The two rovers have looked over quite a bit of it. Mars is observable, in the strange sense meant here. Mars is clearly not very habitable, even the rover robots have some difficulties getting through the Martian winter. So the correlation is now done to 50%. But I'll suggest that both Mercury and Pluto have great observability and lousy habitability. Correlation is now 25% and rapidly decreasing...
Well I guess Gonzalez never realized that Mars would make a good observatory. But wait! You don't have to work so hard---vast regions of interstellar space would make fantastic observatories, and such places are definitely not habitable! No mass senior! I would point out that the PP argument is that a habitable place for complex life will necessarily be good for scientific observations but not a place that is good for scientific observations will necessarily be habitable but that, being akin to pointing out that all animals are not horses, would be "moving the goal posts" or "a True Scotsman Fallacy" or "a straw man argument" or tu quoque or "an appeal to authority" or...

dhogaza · 24 May 2007

That was a short year ...

Lurker · 24 May 2007

Short of an empty void, what place in the universe isn't good for scientific observations? It seems like the PP argument is trivial.

Raging Bee · 24 May 2007

I would point out that the PP argument is that a habitable place for complex life will necessarily be good for scientific observations...

"Good for scientific observations" basically means that scientists have the ability to observe it. And if complex life evolves in a particular place, those life-forms will have the sensory ability to observe their environment, at least well enough to find food and avoid predators. And if any such life-forms become scientists, they will either evolve or manufacture whatever tools they need to observe whatever they want to observe, with the precision they want. So, based on what Heddle says at least, the "PP argument" is about as empty as all that sophistry about "the best of all possible worlds" that Voltaire made fun of a few centuries ago.

Yes, it's really convenient that we have eyes to see through our atmosphere, but so what? If we didn't evolve eyes, we'd have something else about as useful, and philosophers with huge ears and long tastebud-covered whiskers would be marvelling at how convenient it is that our atmosphere allows us to smell different brands of beer a mile away or hear a bird pooping in the next county. But would any of it prove "design?"

Laser · 24 May 2007

Having been on many tenure reviews in the sciences...

— Heddle
I'm curious. Last I checked, (which was over a year ago) you were an instructor at a small college in New Hampshire (nothing wrong with that) where it is unclear whether people are granted tenure. You also seem to be in your mid- to late-30s. How is it, then, that you have been involved in many tenure reviews in the sciences?

Science Avenger · 24 May 2007

Just when I thought I had seen the dumbest argument the creationists could come up with, we get the observability argument. It's embarrasing, really. It's not peanut butter, but it's getting there.

David Heddle · 24 May 2007

Laser,

For 11-12 years I had a joint appointment at the Thomas Jefferson National Accelerator Lab and its virtually next door neighbor, Christopher Newport University. At CNU, after I was tenured, I served on the Faculty Review Committee--in fact I chaired it for a while. That committee gets tenure and promotion applications after the Dean and before the Provost. I couldn't say exactly how many reviews I was on--but it was too many. Reading those files is worse than root canal.

The school in NH that you somehow managed to associate with me is a small private college where I occasionally teach a course as a humble adjunct.

I wish I were in my mid-thirties.

David Heddle · 24 May 2007

Science Avenger,
Just when I thought I had seen the dumbest argument the creationists could come up with, we get the observability argument. It's embarrasing, really. It's not peanut butter, but it's getting there.
From your posts around the web, I see tendency for you to argue by simply declaring something stupid. That's your right, but it hardly befits the word science in your name. The habitability-observability connection is not stupid. It might be wrong, but it is not stupid. Take the example of Gonzalez's galactic habitable zone which was obviously respectable science---being published in multiple journals. But being in the habitable zone means we are in an area where the density of stars is low, under the theory that complex life could not arise in an intense radiation environment. Maybe that's wrong---but it certainly isn't crackpot (the journal editors and reviewers of Gonzalez's habitable zone work deemed it worthy). As a consequence of the necessity of being in a low density region, we are in a good place to do astronomy (we want a nice, dark, night sky). At a certain level, far from being "stupid" the idea might be more legitimately criticized as obvious.

Science Avenger · 24 May 2007

David Heddle whined: From your posts around the web, I see tendency for you to argue by simply declaring something stupid. That's your right, but it hardly befits the word science in your name. The habitability-observability connection is not stupid. It might be wrong, but it is not stupid.
Some arguments are too stupid to warrant serious consideration, simple as that, and there are many that are fucking obvious to anyone who understands how to properly calculate probabilities, which is an ability you and apparently a lot of other creationists lack. Don't blame me for your ignorance. And before you whine about my dismissal, I note you drew a conclusion about my "tendency" from a sample of what, 2 posts? 3? Do you really think that is representative? Does the phrase "sampel size" mean anything to you? Or are you merely cherry picking again like a good snivelling creationist? Give me a substantive argument with actual data and logical analysis, and I'll give you a similar response, as I have done here many many times to posters, frankly, even less deserving of a serious rebuttal than you. Give me all this question-begging, statistically ignorant nonsense, however, and I'll give you the dismissive brush off you deserve.

Raging Bee · 24 May 2007

Take the example of Gonzalez's galactic habitable zone which was obviously respectable science---being published in multiple journals. But being in the habitable zone means we are in an area where the density of stars is low, under the theory that complex life could not arise in an intense radiation environment. Maybe that's wrong---but it certainly isn't crackpot (the journal editors and reviewers of Gonzalez's habitable zone work deemed it worthy).

First, all this is based on a very narrow and unimaginitive view of the range of possible environments in which complex life could spring up and evolve. What about poanets with denser atmospheres to filter more harmful radiation? What about oceans of either water or some other organic liquid (with or without a covering of frozen liquid)? What about sensory organs that don't depend on "visible" light? You're quietly assuming a lot about environments and adaptation without justifying your assumptions.

Second, your "habitable zone" includes a huge area of this galaxy, plus similar areas of other galaxies and globular clusters. How is the Earth "privileged?"

Third, how does any of this lead to any sort of "design?" Did Gonzalez' arguments for "design" get past those journal editors?

As a consequence of the necessity of being in a low density region, we are in a good place to do astronomy (we want a nice, dark, night sky). At a certain level, far from being "stupid" the idea might be more legitimately criticized as obvious.

This is a complete non-sequitur, in addition to being meaningless from the standpoint of habitability. If the stars were closer, brighter, and more tightly packed in the night sky, then optical astronomy would simply have had to wait for better tools, and the technological development timeline would have been very different; but that would not necessarily make observing the nearby cosmos impossible.

PS: In the absense of proof that there is, or is not, complex life on any planet other than Earth -- let alone outside the "habitable zone" -- is any of this PP stuff even testable at this time?

Raging Bee · 24 May 2007

PPS: Would any of this talk of how easy it is to observe the Universe from here have carried any weight before the invention of our more powerful optical telescopes? It seems to me Heddle's "good place to do astronomy" argument depends a lot on technology we've created.

Even if we had evolved in an opaque atmosphere, sooner or later we would have discovered that some EM radiation travels better outside that atmosphere, and we could then have invented orbiting telescopes that use that part of the spectrum. We would have learned about the other stars a lot later than we did, but we still would have found the Universe just as "observable" as we find it now.

Mike · 24 May 2007

"a habitable place for complex life will necessarily be good for scientific observations"

And it will also be good for birds of prey that locate their prey from great height by sight.

The Earth was designed for hawks and falcons! Oh, and Old World vultures.

Lucky for us it suited us too, as a mere happy accident, when we came along later.

David Heddle · 24 May 2007

Raging Bee,

We are talking about intense x-Rays and gamma rays. You would have to have clouds of lead. Of course, you should really be taking this up with the editors and referees who approved the habitable zone papers. The papers were not rejected, and certainly not for any of the considerations you list. Why? Because it is not crackpot, once you look at the chemistry and physics, to argue that complex life will likely be carbon based, require liquid water, and be in a region free of intense radiation. Divorce it from any creationist baggage and many biochemists would agree. Carbon is the best basis for complex chemistry. Water is the best natural solvent. And radiation, in simple terms, breaks matter down.

As for design, you know quite well that I would agree that that is not science. It's a metaphysical conclusion. And yes, the design idea is found throughout the Privileged Planet. My point is, however, if you consider the central theme of the book, that habitability correlates to observability, and you allow yourself to set aside the design aspects of the rest of the book, then you should be able to see that the idea is not lunatic fringe, and not necessarily tied to creationism or ID.

Indeed, as I've stress many times, is somewhat anti-design. To see that, ask yourself which of these two arguments would IDists prefer to make:

1) The earth is in the habitable zone. As a consequence, we'll be able to see outside our galaxy.

2) The earth is in the habitable zone. As an added surprise bonus, it appears as if "someone" also wanted us to be able to do Astronomy.

It think it is fairly obvious that the second argument is more ID friendly---but the PP argument is the first.

Before I read the PP, when I spoke about cosmological ID, I used to make the second argument. (We used to call it the "tie-breaker.") I no longer do. The PP convinced me that observability is not a feather in ID's cap---it's simply a neutral consequence of habitability. (Well, convinced is probably too strong---I would say the argument is sensible enough that it completely neuters argument 2.)

No, I do not think the PP argument (habitability -- observability) is testable. But that doesn't mean it is lunatic fringe---it means it is not science per se. Just like, say, Susskind's cosmic landscape and Smolin's cosmic evolution. Interesting ideas that most likely can never be tested in any normal sense of the word.

les · 24 May 2007

How does one refute a speculation? I speculate that you're 6'7" and have a club foot. How could you possibly refute that? Especially one that's a tautology There's no need to speculate on statements that we know are true, and certainly not ones that are necessarily true. in the single sample we have, habitability and observability both exist In the single sample we have, someone named les posting in this thread hasn't a clue what a speculation, a refutation, or a tautology, is, but he isn't necessarily clueless.

Thanks, Popper. So you would agree with me that the premise of PP, and the particular question posed, are essentially kind of stupid? Your speculation about me could be refuted-just find all of the me's that there are. Appears to be unworkable in the case at hand. If there's no need to speculate, then the demand that science refute the speculation offered is clueless? Note that I didn't offer the "speculation" nor the demand for refutation. As to your speculation regarding my vocabulary skills, it is fairly clueless--offered without a clue as to it's accuracy. Did you have a point?

David B. Benson · 24 May 2007

David Heddle --- First, it is not May 2008 yet. :-)

But it was you who moved the goalpost. It was you who made claims regarding habitability - observability correlation.

That's demolished. So now you change your tune to

habitability implies observability

which is obviously different.

And by the way, the galactic life zone argument appears in Rare Earth and, restricted to life-as-we-know-it, is certainly sound...

David B. Benson · 24 May 2007

Oops. statements, not claims.

Apologies.

David Heddle · 24 May 2007

David Stanton,

First of all they are correlated according to the PP argument. There is no goal post moving. According to the PP premise every place habitable for complex life will be good for observation. My statement: habitability---observability correlation stands. You just foolishly took it to mean that the fact that they are correlated implies that observability-->habitability when it implies no such thing.

Second, even if I was sloppy with my language (which I wasn't), everyone who has read the PP knows what they argued--if you haven't read it, then you shouldn't be voicing your opinion about it.

Third, as your rebuttal shows: gee Pluto is a good observation platform but a bad place to live, case closed, game over man! you are arguing from the premise that Gonzalez is an idiot (or I am) for never considering such a slam dunk rebuttal. Oh gosh, I never thought that Pluto would be a great place for a telescope! D'oh! That's a really poor way to argue--to use my oft-used example, that is the intellectual equivalent of a YEC coming here and smugly asking "what good is half an eye? A-ha, gotcha!"

David B. Benson · 24 May 2007

David Heddle --- It is still not May 2008. :-)

I am not Stanton!

You used the word correlation. Guess you don't understand its meaning.

I read The Privileged Planet several years ago. So distastefully wrong that I have forgotten most of it.

So it was up to you to define exactly what you meant to say, instead of just slanging it around...

David Heddle · 24 May 2007

David Benson,

Oops, sorry about the name--but what is the 2008 reference? That's going over my head.

David B. Benson · 24 May 2007

David Heddle --- When you left the other day, you said you would check back in a year, implying, at least, not earlier.

I'm just reminding you of that. :-)

Darth Robo · 25 May 2007

"The Earth was designed for hawks and falcons! Oh, and Old World vultures."

It was designed for monkeys. The banana is proof.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 25 May 2007

Seriously, the anthropic principle has been discredited so many times in so many ways, I'm amazed anyone could seriously advocate any form of it.
I am not sure why you say so - the anthropic principle and its kissing cousin the environmental principle is still viable in physics, even being used to propose later confirmed parameters. But it is true that certain forms have been discredited. To sort it out, we can distinguish the three main forms. The tautological anthropic principle (TAP) is that physical laws and parameters must be compatible with our life. TAP was used by Hoyle to suggest the carbon-12 resonance that enables the triple alpha process that breeds carbon in our stars. ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Triple-alpha_process ) TAP is (of course, being tautological) compatible with any mechanism setting the laws, be it a fully constrained Theory Of Everything or a TOE that admits a probabilistic choice. The weak anthropic principle (WAP) is that physical laws and parameters are such that quantities are not equally probable but they take on values restricted by observers. WAP is considered in string landscapes and/or inflation multiverse settings where parameters can vary locally - we live in a Hubble volume that was compatible with life. The weak environmental principle (WEP) is when the values can be constrained by an objective measure. One application of WEP is Smolin's cosmic evolution, another is Boussou's causal entropic principle. There are two problems here, to express probability (where Smolin succeeds by using a local "evolutionary" fitness measure, and Bousso by using modern knowledge in QM) and falsifiability. The strong anthropic principle (SAP) is when physical laws and parameters are such observers are inevitable. SAP is a teleological principle, based on confusing a priori probabilities with a posteriori outcomes to make a perspective error such as in the famous puddle analogy. It is related to the misuse of large numbers btw, see http://scienceblogs.com/goodmath/2006/08/messing_with_big_numbers_using.php for a good explanation. In summary, TAP is useful, WAP is questionable, and SAP is discredited. One way to strengthen discredit of SAP is to use WAP, btw. One can show that the more finetuned a universe is, the more likely it is to be constrained by natural means. It is first if we see an unconstrained universe which would be suited for life in all its volume we can no longer distinguish it from a created SAP universe.
The PP argument is on a par with Lee Smolin's cosmic evolution.
I don't see how you can formulate the PP argument as any of the anthropic principles. Some of it seems to be a coincidence question as in the perspective error. (Taking the outcome of a random process which has already happened, and treating it as if you were predicting it in advance.) We happen to live on a planet that is nicely situated in a rather ordered galaxy. Perhaps you can explain how the rest is tied into the AP's. Smolin's local fitness principle is interesting since it avoids the problems general principles have in the same way as evolution, it works locally, contingent. But his cosmology isn't used. AFAIK the properties of black holes are such that they don't admit his baby universes - 'white holes' are no longer a viable solution.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 25 May 2007

Guillermo is a promising young astrophysicist, and I hope that he doesn't throw away his career on such nonsense.
Too late, he fell for the brain eaters of creationism.
A review from a scientist (Jefferys) who, btw, has an unpublished (as far as I know) paper whose abstract states
Your tu coque doesn't engage Jefferys' criticism - a criticism made necessary by Gonzalez's creationism, btw. He finds it more likely to explain the PP with "a little anthropology and a little history", and in effect so did I in my earlier comment. You haven't explained why the PP would be more likely to need physical explanations.

Torbjörn Larsson, OM · 25 May 2007

But I don't know if planets around red dwarfs are thought to similarly spiral inward or not.
Let me first note that I really like that raven took up this new and engaging subject, that directly discredit much or all of the PP argument. The reason it is new is that since red dwarfs are old they have less metallicity, and so it was a surprise when the statistics points to that planetary systems and Earth sized are common. The statistics are still wobbly, since a few observations was enough to turn it, but it is much easier to see small planets around dwarfs, so the trend is expected to continue. For your question, AFAIK planets are expected to spiral in, and IIRC it was easier, and the planets in the habitable zone is expected to have lots of water. The inspiraling is fairly fast AFAIK so I don't know if it would help against early star heat. Our own sun has increased luminosity from 70 % of todays value, so it would be interesting to delve into star evolution. But the water would help with against outgassing and promote heat distribution as noted in the thread. Red dawrfs are much calmer than our own sun, so it would be another benefit.
One important fact to remember is red dwarfs emit a great deal of their energy in the infrared. Which could offer some problems to the process of photosynthesis.
I don't remember where I saw this, but I believe someone noted that while plants use two photons to pump photosynthesis ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Photosynthesis ), they have observed or think three photons are possible. IOW, comparatively low energy in red wavelength photons would perhaps not be a problem as such. (As long as it isn't IR.)
life at the bottom of the oceans which receives no energy from the Sun but relies on heat from vents in the ocean floor
This is another possibility for red dwarf life metabolism. Evolution finds so many solutions spontaneously. Earlier AFAIK researchers have discussed bacterias that indirectly feed of radioactivity by using released hydrogen. Now I see a note on researcher looking at fungi in nuclear reactors, which seems to feed directly of radioactivity. The pigment melanin is suspected to be involved.
For example, two types of fungi--one that was induced to make melanin (Crytococcus neoformans) and another that naturally contains it (Wangiella dermatitidis)--were exposed to levels of ionizing radiation approximately 500 times higher than background levels. Both species grew significantly faster (as measured by the number of colony forming units and dry weight) than when exposed to standard background radiation. The researchers also carried out physico-chemical studies into melanin's ability to capture radiation. By measuring the electron spin resonance signal after melanin was exposed to ionizing radiation, they showed that radiation interacts with melanin to alter its electron structure. This is an essential step for capturing radiation and converting it into a different form of energy to make food. Dr. Casadevall notes that the melanin in fungi is no different chemically from the melanin in our skin. "It's pure speculation but not outside the realm of possibility that melanin could be providing energy to skin cells," he says. "While it wouldn't be enough energy to fuel a run on the beach, maybe it could help you to open an eyelid."
( http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2007/05/070522210932.htm )

David Stanton · 26 May 2007

Torbjorn Larsson,

Thank you for responding to my comment. Also thanks for pointing out that there are many different types of "anthropic principles". As you point out, some are easier to discredit than others. This is not my field of expertise, so I was basically assuming a simple argument such as: "I am special because (fill in the blank): the universe was created for life/me, the universe was created so that life/I could evolve, the universe was created so that life/I could observe it, etc. The following are a few references that I have come across as Talkorigins and elsewhere. I don't know if they address all the types of anthropic principles, but at least they are a start.

Fulmer (2001) A Fatal Flaw in Anthropic Principle Design Arguments. International Journal for Philosophy of Religion 49:101-110.

Kane et. al. ((2002) The Beginning of the End of the Anthropic Principle. New Astronomy 7:45-53.

Drnge (2000) Fine Tuning Argument Revised. Philo 3(2):38-49.

Stenger (1999) The Anthropic Coincidences: A Natural Explanation. Skeptical Enquirer 3(3):2-17.

Sir_Toejam · 26 May 2007

life at the bottom of the oceans which receives no energy from the Sun but relies on heat from vents in the ocean floor

just to add another that DOESN'T in any way depend on heat energy as an input (really, the vent systems don't either - the heat merely acts to speed up reactions). check out cold seep systems: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cold_seep http://montereybay.noaa.gov/sitechar/cold.html