At the same time that research in the Bible Code has taken off, research in a seemingly unrelated field has taken off as well, namely, biological design. These two fields are in fact closely related. Indeed, the same highly improbable, independently given patterns that appear as the equidistant letter sequences in the Bible Code appear in biology as functionally integrated ("irreducibly complex") biological systems, of the sort Michael Behe discussed in Darwin's Black Box. The relevant statistical methodology is identical for both fields. As a result, the two fields stand to profit from each other. For instance, my forthcoming book, The Design Inference, gives a thorough account of universal probability bounds, i.e., how small a p-value one needs to eliminate chance decisively. (Although the literature on universal probability bounds dates back to the French probabilist Emile Borel, it seems not to have been engaged by the Bible Code researchers.) This convergence of the Bible Code and biological design should not seem surprising. There is a tradition within both Judaism and Christianity of speaking of two "books" where God reveals himself---the Book of Scripture, which is the Bible, and the Book of Nature, which is the world. I commend Jeffrey Satinover for his efforts to read both books.The Bible Code nonsense has been thoroughly debunked: See here for a compendium of dissections, and see also Chaper 14 in Mark Perakh's Unintelligent Design. Does Dembski still assert the identity, and has he profited from the lesson of the Bible Code? Not visibly. His design detection methodology has been debunked as thoroughly as the Bible Codes, yet IDists still claim that they have a methodology for detecting design. They are in the same boat: a convergence of cranks. RBH
Dembski and the Bible Code
Pat Hayes at Red State Rabble (which ought to be on everyone's daily reading list) calls attention to something I didn't know: Bill Dembski endorsed the Bible Code nonsense (also reproduced here), identifying it with his intelligent design detection methodology:
86 Comments
david gehrig · 18 February 2006
Oh, that's terrific to know. Because one course in combinatorics and some c coding was all it took me to see through the skip code stuff. In Dembski was wowed by it, all I can say is that he'd better get a refund on that PhD of his, in an undergrad math minor trumps it.
Actually, I first got exposed to the skip code stuff back in the mid 1980s, wrote a quick program that "proved" through skip codes that my friend Rose wrote the lyrics to The Wall (Sorry, Roger W, your fraud's been exposed), and that was that.
A. L. R. · 18 February 2006
He's also IIRC had flirtations with Lomborg and various anti-environmental crankery. So let's see, that gives us associations with
-- The Bible Code
-- evolution denial
-- global warming denial
-- HIV/AIDS denial
If he could just fit in some innuendos about 9/11 denial, holocaust denial, and flouridated water we'd have a grand slam.
blipey · 18 February 2006
I think we should definitely take him at his word on this one. Bible Code and ID are definitively of the same rank. I was surprised myslef, but I think Billie's taken his first steps on the path of truth-telling.
Way to go, Bill!!!
buddha · 18 February 2006
Jason · 18 February 2006
steve s · 18 February 2006
An internet of cranks.
btw, I love Pat's line:
"Our Isaac Newton of information theory says the relevant statistical methodology is identical. We couldn't have said it better ourselves."
Dave Thomas · 18 February 2006
Frank J · 18 February 2006
geoffrobinson · 18 February 2006
LMAO!!!!! when DaveScot sees that Dembski linked ID with the Bible Code he's going to cry. Maybe he'll quit the site. Which is fine with me, I'm tired of having to kiss his but just to comment there.
W. Kevin Vicklund · 18 February 2006
Bah, who cares what Dembski says about the Bible Code. Let's ask a real expert on the Bible what she thinks about the Bible Code - Carol Landa.
steve s · 18 February 2006
yeah, that's just what this thread needs. More Carol Clouser. You should change your name to W. Kevin Bad Idea
Mike Walker · 18 February 2006
Forget the religious aspects of the Bible Codes. If Dembski continues to assert that his "research" into ID can be applied in *any* way to the positive validation of the Bible Codes then he is driving the final nail into ID's coffin.
His support of the Bible Codes may (sadly) play well with the uninformed public, but he will be evicerated if this ever comes up in court.
Nice find.
qetzal · 18 February 2006
I can't decide which is more pitiable: That Dembski might endorse the Bible Code, knowing it's a load of crap, just to ingratiate himself with the believers, or that he might actually believe it himself.
I almost feel sorry for him, in an abstract way. Almost.
Mr Christopher · 18 February 2006
Why read books about Bible codes when you can get the software and do it yourself! Yes that's right, followers of William the Theologian, your computer can decode the bible for you. Here is just one offering:
http://www.biblecodesplus.com/
Mr Christopher · 18 February 2006
PvM · 18 February 2006
Seems that Dembski's belief in front loading is expressing itself in more than one way. In both cases however it seems that he is painting the target around the arrows.
RupertG · 18 February 2006
The Bible Code? Oy...
I do hope there's another court case, but one where Dembski feels able to appear as a witness for ID. If Behe had to admit under oath in Kitzmiller that ID has the same intellectual rigour as astrology, what could a competent lawyer make of all this?
Could Dembski ever dare to expose himself to the rigour of a courtroom - or anywhere where he has to actually engage with those who haven't drunk his particular Kool-Aid?
R
KL · 18 February 2006
You know, this may be an important example of why it is so difficult to reach Biblical literalists. Some part of their minds suspect that the scientists are wrong and that the clues are all around them. On judgment day they think they will all be saying "I am SO glad I stuck with my brethren on this one". I can see it happening; my family is from Norway. On those long winter nights, when the sun shines for just three or four hours, even if I KNEW that the days would reach a minimun length on Dec 21 or 22 and then begin lengthening, even if I KNEW that it was due to the tilting of the earth and the angle that the sun's rays hit the earth, I would probably go ahead and perform those pagan midwinter rituals, JUST IN CASE logic doesn't rule in the end, and that appeasing the "sun god" to bring back the sun IS necessary after all. We as a species are so superstitious!
Matt Young · 18 February 2006
Mr. Dembski is absolutely correct in his claim that the Bible codes and intelligent-design creationism have much in common.
I have written a bit about the Bible codes here:
I give you fair warning, though; you'll have to scroll thru Hugh Ross and Gerald Schroeder before you get there.
Matt Young · 18 February 2006
Please excuse me - that URL is correct but lacked "http://". It should be
Bloody computers - they do what you tell them to do, not what you think you've told them.
natural cynic · 18 February 2006
I'm waiting to see how WD's incipient conversion to Orthodox Judiasm goes over with his bosses at his seminary.
perianwyr · 18 February 2006
I gotta say that if there was a free Bible Code de-encoder I might have some fun with it. But they're all payware, booooo.
steve s · 18 February 2006
There are some at Download.com with free trials. That should let you find a few things like "Dave Scot Sucks" and "Dembski is a Fraud".
Heh. Maybe even "Dover will be the Waterloo"
KC · 18 February 2006
Tulse · 18 February 2006
Mr Christopher · 18 February 2006
Both of these Skeptical Inquirer articles are well worth the read. They were published near the time of Demsbki's review
Hidden Messages and The Bible Code David E Thomas, Skeptical Inquirer November/December 1997
Follow Up: Bible-Code Developments David E Thomas, Skeptical Inquirer March/April 1998
Enjoy!
.
hehe · 19 February 2006
If ID is equivalent to BC and BC has been debunked, ID has been debunked.
Keith Douglas · 19 February 2006
This is amazing: convergent pseudosciences. That's quite rare.
I do remember actually bothering to watch The Oprah Winfrey Show when Drosnin was first doing his thing. I couldn't tell what sort of dumbfoundedness in the audience was at work after he announced the thesis. I was, however appalled to see no critic on the show.
Keith Douglas · 19 February 2006
This is amazing: convergent pseudosciences. That's quite rare.
I do remember actually bothering to watch The Oprah Winfrey Show when Drosnin was first doing his thing. I couldn't tell what sort of dumbfoundedness in the audience was at work after he announced the thesis. I was, however appalled to see no critic on the show.
tgibbs · 19 February 2006
It is not surprising that Dembski is sympathetic to this nonsense, because it ultimately derives from the same sort of statistical error that is central to Demski's work--attempting to calculate a "probability" for something that has already happened. This has been controversial since the early days of statistics. I think that most statisticians today would agree such computations can have value--they are at the heart of significance testing--but they are fraught with opportunities for error.
The fundamental problem is that it is necessary to correct for all possible sources of bias, and outside of extremely formalized and well-defined situations, this is typically impossible. The major source of bias is known as "data snooping," and arises from the that one is unlikely to attempt to calculate the probability of an event unless it is perceived as somehow remarkable, but any one of a number of apparently remarkable events could motivate such an effort. So the relevant question is not "What is the likelihood of this particular observation?", but rather, "What is the likelihood of some observation that would look sufficiently remarkable so as to motivate me to try to calculate its probability?" It turns out that human intuition is remarkable poor at answering this question, and almost always greatly underestimates this likelihood.
In scientific significance testing, this is dealt with by demanding that the "null" and "test" hypotheses be defined in advance before collecting the data, so that knowledge of the results cannot bias the statistical question being asked. But most of the time, you are in the position of basically accepting somebody's word that they have actually done this.
The Biblical Code issue is right at the edge of what can be approached statistically, and its history reveals how easy it is to introduce subtle biases that yield falsely low probabilities, but at least it is possible in principle to do appropriate control studies to answer the question of how likely such patterns are to occur by chance in a particular piece of text--which turns out to be, as is so often the case, "surprisingly likely."
Of course, Dembski is in a far worse situation, because to actually do what he is trying to do, he most calculate, not the likelihood of evolution of a particular form of life, but rather the likelihood of evolution of a species that would motivate somebody to try to calculate its probability. To do this, he has to correct for the anthropocentric bias--i.e. no matter how rare life is in the universe, if it exists at all, then every observer will necessarily find himself on a planet where life has evolved. Making this correction requires, among many other things, knowledge of how many planets there are in the universe--if the universe is big enough, life will evolve, no matter how improbable that might be in the particular case. Dembski usually tries to dodge this by talking about the size of the "observable" universe. This is a bait and switch, because what we can see is not necessarily all exists.
This is also why ID people are so hostile to String Theory. It is bad enough that we live in a universe whose size (and indeed, its finiteness) is unknown, but the problem becomes far worse if this is only one of a large number of universes, because then the relevant correction becomes, "What is the likelihood that life would have formed in *some* universe?" If taken seriously, this utterly demolishes Dembski's argument.
frank schmidt · 19 February 2006
Is it time to stop calling Dembski a statistician? He strikes me as being a statistician in the same sense that Wells is a developmental biologist: Holder of a Ph.D. from an otherwise distinguished institution, but with no understanding of the field, and making no contribution to it.
Frank J · 19 February 2006
PaulC · 19 February 2006
PaulC · 19 February 2006
BTW, I was already aware of Dembski peddling this kind of pseudoscience based on a Pharyngula post last October: http://pharyngula.org/index/weblog/comments/this_guy_is_supposed_to_be_a_mathematician/
The amazing part is that Dembski has posted (it's still there as far as I can tell) a smarmy piece of PowerPoint spam as if it were a compelling argument (something about code for the "center" of the Bible).
When I read that, I had to conclude that either he is a sucker or thinks his readers are. I'm still a little more inclined to the latter, because I cannot grasp how anyone with that level of mathematical background would be blind to the issue of cherry picking. If he believes this stuff, he's just off his rocker. He's either that or a deliberate liar, and I guess it doesn't matter much which.
As I posted to pharyngula, my favorite code mystery is the equality of 31 in base 8 to 25 in base 10 (i.e., OCT 31 = DEC 25, get it?). It's cute, but proves only that funny coincidences happen in small statistical domains.
Don · 19 February 2006
This will date me to be sure, but I think of William Dembski as the Hobo Kelly of Information Theory.
He looks through his little contrived explanatory filter, "and I see Mary, and Jesus, oh, and there's Abraham, and Hi there Gabriel, and YHWH and little Flagelina...."
I am as impressed with Dembski's magic now as I was in 1970 with the pretty clown on TV.
Don · 19 February 2006
Good thing Doctor Dembski has arrived precisely when we've developed the technology to decipher some sort of secret Rubik's Sudoku from one version of the many iterations of the various English translations of an altered and edited compendium of ancient scrolls.
I guess the God of the Hebrews decided to not only front-load the Bible with code, but then also guided the evolution of human language itself so that the devolopment of computers would converge with the English language perfectly to reveal such code. The Christian Old Testament is vastly different from the Hebrew collection anyway, right?
That YHWH is one complicated puzzle-maker.
Hey, wait, isn't "YHWH" missing some letters?!?
Mr Christopher · 19 February 2006
Russell · 19 February 2006
'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 19 February 2006
Karen · 19 February 2006
Moses · 19 February 2006
Moses · 19 February 2006
gregonomic · 19 February 2006
Ha, "the finger of God" reminds me of the finger of God (not the particular Red Meat cartoon I was looking for, but appropriate nonetheless).
gregonomic · 19 February 2006
So, now that we all know Dembski is a crank, his own team knows he's a crank, and pretty much anyone with half a brain knows he's a crank, can we just ignore him?
At this stage, it seems like the only thing giving him any cred is that we keep talking about him.
Doc Bill · 19 February 2006
So, what you're saying is that Dembski is like Ken Ham, but without the entertainment value.
Oy!
Mr Christopher · 19 February 2006
Here is the article that mentions Moby Dick predicting some famous assasinations and other nonsense using the same fuzzy math used in the bible codes
http://www.ams.org/notices/199708/review-allyn.pdf
guthrie · 20 February 2006
Given that no one has showed up to defend Dembski, does that mean that "the opposition" also recognise the futility of the Bible codes?
Carol Clouser · 21 February 2006
Moses wrote:
"Which is why I laugh at Carol. I seriously doubt that her husband is using the ancient Masoretic texts in his "special bible" research."
Laugh all you want. But you could find out for yourself. Then instead of laughing you would pause to think for a change and perhaps learn something, also for a change.
I assume by "her husband", whoever that may be, you are referring to Landa's In The Beginning Of. For your information, its thesis is to compare the currently popular English versions of the so called "old testament" to the Hebrew version now widely used by Jews around the world, which is indeed the Masoretic text, thereby exposing the incorrect and sloppy translations therein.
Sir_Toejam · 21 February 2006
Renier · 21 February 2006
Mr Christopher · 21 February 2006
So Carol, was an intelligent force behind the Bible code or not? Inquiring minds want to know!
Rilke's Granddaughter · 21 February 2006
Carol, I thought you had stopped posting here because we don't treat Landa with the respect you feel he deserves.
I note that two threads and some ATBC space is reserved for discussing the various fallacious remarks that Landa has made about the Bible and science.
Would you care to address them?
Russell · 21 February 2006
Carol Clouser · 21 February 2006
Mr. Christopher,
An interesting anecdote about Bible codes. A few years ago a student in my district chose the topic of Bible codes for his college application essay. To make his point he foccused on the application's printed instructions for the essay, which was:
"Assume you're having a conversation with us and, in the space provided, simply tell us how you'd respond to each of the following questions. If it's more convenient, feel free to print out your responses on a word processor or typewriter and simply affix them in the appropriate spaces."
The student organized the letters in these instructions into a grid, very much in the manner done by the code advocates, as follows:
assumeyoureh
avingaconver
sationwithus
andinthespac
eprovidedsim
plytellushow
youdrespondt
oeachofthefo
Llowingquest
IonsIFITSmor
ECONVENIENTf
eelfreetopri
ntoutyourres
ponsesonawor
dprocessoror
typewriteran
dsimplyaffix
themintheapp
ropriatespac
es
(I hope this gets displayed properly.)
See if you can find the contrarian message "encoded" in these instructions.
carol clouser · 21 February 2006
All the rows above consist of exactly 12 letters, making it a true grid, although it doesn't appear that way.
Russell · 21 February 2006
LIE IF ITS CONVENIENT.
OK. Got it. But I'm genuinely curious... what point was the student trying to make???
Carol Clouser · 21 February 2006
Russell wrote:
"LIE IF ITS CONVENIENT. OK. Got it. But I'm genuinely curious... what point was the student trying to make???"
He demonstrated that virtually anything can be found this way, even ideas totally divorced from the intentions of the author.
He was rather proud of his achievement. The application got him into Columbia U.
'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 22 February 2006
Carol Clouser · 22 February 2006
Lenny,
I can finally agree with you on something. There certainly are many Biblical interpretations and translations out there in the marketplace that are totally divorced from the intentions of the author. And it's not easy ascertaining which are among the correct meanings. The process begins with knowledge and objectivity. Something that is in short supply.
Sir_Toejam · 22 February 2006
BWE · 22 February 2006
I understand your point about it being in short supply but Im not going to give it back until you can learn to play nice with it.
Rilke's Granddaughter · 22 February 2006
I applaud Carol for making our point for us: a document such as the Bible (that would 'tanakh', Carol, not 'torah') is capable of multiple interpretations. Anything can be gleaned from it - even an attempted correspondence with modern science. Of course, doing so commits violent damage to the text and what understanding we have of the various valid interpretations.
We cannot know what the authors' original intentions were - they're dead. All we have are various more or less valid reconstructions of that meaning.
This position of Carol's - that one can derive pretty much any meaning from a text if one works hard enough - is in complete contrast to her original point concerning the hawking of Landa's book, but it's good to see that her time here at PT has been educational, if not congenial.
'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 22 February 2006
Carol Clouser · 22 February 2006
Lenny wrote:
"May I ask how the hell you, or anyone else, can possibly know anything more about "the intentions of the author" than anyone else alive does?"
By performing a rigorous and objective literary analysis. By studying linguistic trends. By combining these with historical and archeological considerations. And by using good common sense. These are valid and effective tools of the trade inthis area.
'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 22 February 2006
Carol Clouser · 23 February 2006
Lenny wrote:
"...And they have concluded that your opinions are...well full of crap. So how do we tell whether they are right, or you are?"
Well, I am far from certain that your assertion is correct, but assuming it is, you would have to compare the quality of my analysis to their analysis, and decide for yourself.
I have confidence in your good judgement to the point that I am quite willing to submit to this mode of "peer review". Are you willing to listen?
Sir_Toejam · 23 February 2006
'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 23 February 2006
Rilke's Granddaughter · 23 February 2006
Lenny is correct that Carol has not actually provided any "analysis" - merely unsupported opinions, hand-waving, and some selective cherry-picking of actual knowledgeable parties such as Rashi.
But the Coyne thread provides some indication of how her "analysis" works:
1. God tells Adam that if he eats the apple, he'll die that day.
2. Adam eats the apple.
3. Adam doesn't die for several hundred years.
4. Therefore, God changed Her mind.
The interesting thing about this analysis (fallacious as it is) is that it means that no statement attributed to God is worth considering. After all, when God says, "thou shalt not murder", God may instantly forgive the murderer.
And we know ('cause the tanakh (not the torah, Carol)) that God deceives. The Bible tells us that God lies.
So how can Carol possibly determine that God changed Her mind in Genesis, or just lied to Adam.
Answer: Carol can't. Carol can have an opinion - but that's all it is, an opinion.
Carol Clouser · 23 February 2006
Lenny wrote:
"Um, Carol, do you mean to tell me that Biblical scholars all share exactly the same opinions and interpretations?"
Not sharing exactly the same interpretations is NOT synonymous with showing that the other interpretation is, in YOUR parlance, full of ....
Lenny also wrote:
"So after all your arm-waving, it all boils down to "because I say so" after all, doesn't it."
I asked you to compare the quality of my analysis to that of their analysis, whoever your "their" is. Now, Lenny, that is NOT the same as "because I say so", is it?
Lenny continues:
"I've been listening to you ever since you arrived, Carol."
Why have I not noticed?
Then Lenny concludes:
"I have decided for myself that you are full of it"
That is fine with me. Contrary to your unsupported belief, I do not care one whit what you think about my analysis, the Bible, God, science and anything else. As I said many times, I am not here to preach. I belong to the family that does NOT, and never did, proselytize.
Rilke's Granddaughter · 23 February 2006
Mr Christopher · 23 February 2006
k.e. · 23 February 2006
Mr C
Carol's compass is slightly ...er unreliable.
To her credit she broaches her reach every now and again but one truth she has NOT discovered is that, once in a while one must go over "the edge".
A perfect example is the current festival of the "Body" the winter Olympics.
Carols I suspect has never been 'extended" in the Field of play.
That will be her loss and no one elses gain.
My motto is die with no regrets.
We get to hear her regrets on a daily basis.
Unfortunately so do any children in her vicinity.
Carol Clouser · 23 February 2006
Mr. Christopher wrote:
"if I say I prayed and God spoke to me and told me what the real meaning of the bible is and all these scholars are full of it and false prophets, how are you or anyone else going to dispute that?"
I have actually spoken with people who ordained to make or imply such claims, sometimes about themselves, more often about others (among their contemporaries). My reaction is, as it should be in all such cases, "I don't believe it until you prove it."
Which is why the key revelations in the HB occured in front of the entire nation. ALL the Israelites SAW with THEIR OWN eyes the revelation at Sinai, the events at the sea of reeds, the exodus, and so on. No hearsay, rumors or taking and making claims based on faith. Then the entire people passed the information they themselves witnessed to their offspring, down the line in an unbroken chain to the present. At least this is the way the story is told by those who tell it at all. What great transparancy!
Do you see a key difference in this regard between Judaism and the other monotheistic religions. Who SAW the key revelatory events in those religions, even according to the claims made by the adherents of those religions?
Jim Wynne · 23 February 2006
Rilke's Granddaughter · 23 February 2006
'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 23 February 2006
Torbjorn Larsson · 24 February 2006
Comment #80714:
"associations with
--- The Bible Code
--- evolution denial
--- global warming denial
--- HIV/AIDS denial"
Oooh, a multiple crackpot! My favorite kind! I stand in wonder on how they are able to do it.
Carol Clouser · 24 February 2006
Lenny wrote:
"But Carol, my dear, they say that your interpretation is full of crap. You say that THEIRS is full of crap. How do we tell which is which?"
No scholar I know of ever said that, nor did I ever say that about another scholar's work. Even if anyone in a position to make such a statement did say something like that, it is still NOT the same as SHOWING that the opponents work is full of....
How can YOU tell? Well, Lenny, quality Biblical scholarship, like quality analysis in other areas of life, is like pornography. YOU know it when you see it...
I knew you would appreciate the analogy. Just don't push it too far.
k.e. · 24 February 2006
Torbjorn Larsson quoted an earlier post
"associations with
--- The Bible Code
--- evolution denial
--- global warming denial
--- HIV/AIDS denial"
Oooh, a multiple crackpot! My favorite kind! I stand in wonder on how they are able to do it.
Simple Fjord Man......MONEY.
Don't forget hooking up with every other pseudo-science religio-maniac with a book to sell.
And the "Ronald McDonald" of Information theory .....my favorite is the infinitely long wave theory of "God". (any EE will tell you that carries .....um ....ZERO INFORMATION)
I wonder when his wife will wake up that he is really doing it all just to meet those er..... pert young blonde's with jazus in their eyes. Nah ....she doesn't have a thing to worry about....she knows a devil when she sees one...and all those 'philosophers wives' make sure they get the final word. Still I think he's mendacious enough to try it on. A starry eyed platonist?
No.
More like the Dick Cheney of 'Information Theory' ....keep all the mushrooms in the dark and feed them sh*t.
BWE · 24 February 2006
Carol,
is this what you mean? It never occurred to me that I would know it when I see it. In fact, I don't think I would. Porn however, I guess your right about that.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Talk:The_Skeptic's_Annotated_Bible
Rilke's Granddaughter · 24 February 2006
k.e. · 24 February 2006
Carol the righteous
tell us all about the Great Prophet Zarquon
(Yes dear reader the one and the same in H2G2 who shows up 8 seconds before the end of the universe)
Moses and Sargon - A Striking Parallel.
Scholarship ? don't make me laugh
That would be starting with Sigmund Freud's Moses and Monotheism I take it?
The Moses Myth, Beyond Biblical History.
k.e. · 24 February 2006
Carol
Just don't push too far
...well reading the rest of your post ...doesn't leave much to the imagination does it?
'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 24 February 2006
Torbjorn Larsson · 25 February 2006
"Simple Fjord Man..."
Umm. I'm a swede ("Lars-son", not "Lars-en") and our only real, deep (ecologically significant) fjord is shared with Norway. What we call a "fjard" is a common bay.
"...MONEY."
Now you're talking about politicians, I'm sure. I'm just curious how crackpots can be so deluded. Schizophrenia?