What does reference to the supernatural explain? Everything and thus nothing. And notice that MN has not failed here, so unless Mike wants to argue that if in addition to these findings, science cannot explain these data that somehow 'supernatural design' becomes more likely then he clearly does not understand the scientific method. Why should our ignorance be seen as evidence for something which we cannot observe? What makes a supernatural God a better explanation that the purple unicorn or Santa Claus? Or even an extra-terrestrial? Should we at least not wait until we can reject extra-terrestrial sources? Why jump to the conclusion of the 'supernatural'? Hypotheses do not gain strength from the weakness of others, especially when the hypothesis itself lacks much of any explanatory value beyond. Poof... So what can we conclude from Mike's story? That the earth is 6000 years old, that science cannot explain how life evolved, that there was a global flood and that this history was captured to some extent in oral and later written form. Now let's turn this around. Does Mike accept the counter argument that a supernatural entity has been disproven because the data do not match the written word? So why should this give any credibility to the supernatural? The fact that ID is scientifically vacuous? Of course, Mike's story not only is logically flawed but also disproven by the facts. Time to wake up... And yet, ID proponents on Telic Thoughts still have not realized that IC is an argument from ignorance. ID remains scientifically vacuous because it relies on the gap approach. ID tries to wrap its claims in statements which attempt to give it the appearance of scientific respectability but on closer scrutiny, the "basic and simple premise" of IC is unsupportable. As Aagcobb points out, ID is not only scientifically vacuous but theologically riskyIf MN determined that the Earth was 6000 years old, that evolution could not occur and all living things were fitted into discrete, discontinuous groups, and a global flood once covered the Earth, does MN then mean we must explain this all "without reference to supernatural beings or events?"
Joe G's comment to Aagcobb exemplifies the appeal to personal incredulity, and the gap argument when it comes to ICOnething says: "Why assume God acts outside the laws of nature?" Good question. But this, in fact, is exactly what IDists do; assume that natural evolution cannot account for the diversity of life on earth, so God must intervene in the universe to somehow design it, using an undetectable method. If thats not magical thinking, I don't know what is.
— Aagcobb
In other words, when faced with something which appears to be designed and since we have no good alternative explanation, we should thus conclude that it must have also been designed. So what about natural geysers as a counter example:I will tell you what Aacobb, if you show us something in which the ordering of separate components to achieve an identifiable function that depends sharply on the components, and it wasn't intentionally designed perhaps someone will listen to you.
— Joe G
Three components must be present for geysers to exist: an abundant supply of water, an intense source of heat, and unique plumbing.
33 Comments
a Creationist Troll, apparently · 3 September 2005
Natural geysers? That probably rates as the stupidest way of arguing against ID that I've ever heard. If that represents evolutionist logic, you have problems.
Natural geysers are phenomena that arise as a consequence of an abundant supply of water, an intense source of heat and unique plumbing. That was the point being made by the writer of the original article. They are not "irreducibly complex" - because each of the requirements could - and in fact does - arise naturally. Compare that to the bacterial flagellum - where all you have by way of an intermediate is a secretory system that is disputed as an intermediate anyway.
Ed Darrell · 3 September 2005
Mike Gene's argument is the of the same species of error that Francis Beckwith makes in the legal sphere, which may be accurately labeled the "flying pigs fallacy" -- which is usually inherently coupled with begging the question (the real begging the question).
This is how it works: They start out with some bizarre, real-world-impossible assumption, like "what if pigs could fly?" Then they consider some of the effects: "Flying pigs would be hazards to commercial and small-craft aviation." Then they look for secondary effects or responses: "The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) would have an interest in regulating pig farms to keep them away from airports, and to keep pigs out of flight lanes."
Then they ask as if it were a serious question: "Why isn't Congress moving to require the FAA to regulate pig farms? Why doesn't the FAA have any experts in pigs?"
Mike Gene's question is easily answered: "Yes, if everything we know about science were otherwise, things would be different."
But they aren't. The Earth is not 6,000 years old, nor is there any credible way to make such an argument in a world that runs on fossil fuels of coal, petroleum and natural gas. There isn't evidence for a worldwide flood that isn't better explained by other proximate causes, nor is there such evidence that can overcome the powerful refuting evidence. Pigs are not hazards to aviation.
That pig just doesn't fly.
'Rev Dr" Lenny Flank · 3 September 2005
Creationist Troll · 3 September 2005
'Rev Dr" Lenny Flank · 3 September 2005
Mark Perakh · 3 September 2005
In the comments to Mike Gene's piece on Telic Thoughts several pro-ID advocates refer to Dembski's Explanatory Filter (EF) as if it is a legitimate tool for inquiry. It is puzzling - how anybody can still talk about EF as a useful device. The first and the second nodes of EF cannot be used at all because they prescribe reading the event's probability "off the event" without any knowledge about the event's causal history. It is impossible. In the third node the low probability (found on the assumption of chance) has to be complemented by specification to infer design. But specification is just disguised low probability - however "specified," i.e. subjectivly recognized as conforming to a familiar pattern, the event is, its chance occurrence can never be 100% excluded, so specification is always based on a probabilistic assumption. So, the first and the second nodes have to be discarded as impossible to use, and the third node boils down to the argument from improbability whose evidentiary value is doubted even by many ID advocates. Btw, I don't know of anybody, either before or after myself using the above argument, which is a commentary to Dembski's assertion that I "recycled" arguments of others.
PvM · 3 September 2005
'Rev Dr" Lenny Flank · 3 September 2005
a Creationist Troll, apparently · 3 September 2005
a Creationist Troll, apparently · 3 September 2005
Schmitt. · 3 September 2005
As the evos are fond of saying, an argument from incredulity.
That's not an argument from incredulity. An argument from incredulity would assert a process is impossible because they consider it unlikely. The good Reverend was, rather, pointing out how laughably unscientific and lazy 'POOF' is. 'POOF' can be used to explain - without any greater understanding garnered - any process regardless of whether a naturally forming example could be found and explained in great detail. The aforementioned geysers, for example, or evolution.
-Schmitt.
steve · 3 September 2005
frank schmidt · 3 September 2005
I have never seen an argument that contains a second-order fallacy of Hypothesis Contrary to Fact till this one. Congratulations to Mike. This is one for the ages.
If science (i.e., methodological naturanlism or MN, at Mike likes to say) determined that Earth were 6000 years old, or that there was a worldwide flood, we would deal with that, just like any other set of data. But it hasn't.
We would also ask for corroborating information that this were due to some un-natural event. But Mike and his buddies can't supply that, any more than they can prove the efficacy of prayer, or that religious people are less likely to divorce than the unchurched, or that Hurricane Katrina was God's punishment to New Orleans for tolerating sin.
Pitifully weak. As usual.
PvM · 3 September 2005
'Rev Dr" Lenny Flank · 3 September 2005
Dave S. · 3 September 2005
Tom Curtis · 3 September 2005
Henry J · 3 September 2005
Re "what IDists do; assume that natural evolution cannot account for the diversity of life on earth, so God must intervene in the universe to somehow design it, using an undetectable method. If thats not magical thinking, I don't know what is."
Not to mention that if the intervention is undetectable, that would mean that the result is consistent with natural processes (or at least not distinguishable from being consistent with it), which contradicts the notion that evolution couldn't happen without help.
Re "In other words, Geyser's are not IC because we understand how they arose."
I thought that IC meant if one removes a critical part the thing stops working? Well, remove one of those parts of a geyser and it stops working. So how does having an explanation cause it to not be IC? I don't get it.
Henry
Jim Wynne · 3 September 2005
PvM · 3 September 2005
steve · 3 September 2005
That's the function/purpose confusion. Function means it does something. Purpose means it does something for someone. IDers have tried every way of turning biological function into purpose, from fake math, to "I know it when I see it."
a Creationist Troll, apparently · 4 September 2005
I am using "apparently" as part of a compound noun phrase - "a Creationist Troll, apparently" - which is poor use of grammar, but a handle that pleases me. :)
Tom Curtis · 4 September 2005
PvM · 4 September 2005
Norman Doering · 5 September 2005
Ed Darrell wrote:
"Mike Gene's question is easily answered: 'Yes, if everything we know about science were otherwise, things would be different.'"
Ahh, but recall that Thomas Paine who wrote "The Age of Reason" didn't know about evolution. Back then they thought fossils of sea animals on mountains was proof of a global flood, not plate tectonics. Yet Paine still managed to give the Bible a thrashing for it's contradictions and implausibility.
http://www.infidels.org/library/historical/thomas_paine/age_of_reason/index.shtml
http://libertyonline.hypermall.com/Paine/AOR-Frame.html
wad of id · 5 September 2005
Ginger Yellow · 5 September 2005
"It certainly has a specification, and it functions - but it does not have a function. Geysers are not part of a larger system which benefits from the functioning of geysers, and such that geysers would not exist if they did not benefit the larger system."
How can something function if it doesn't have a function? Geysers provide the valuable function of heat transfer and pressure release, reducing the risk of a catastrophic explosion.
justawriter · 5 September 2005
Geysers most definitely have a purpose. They provide a complex hyperthermic, hyperacidic environment for archaebacteria that otherwise would not be able to enjoy life in the beautiful Rocky Mountains. Therefore by the law of post hoc ergo propter hoc geysers were designed as vacation homes for affluent bacteria.
There, I specified a purpose. Prove me wrong.
PvM · 5 September 2005
Justawriter, you hit the nail on the head. Which is why providing a 'function' aka 'specification' is trivial and the ID argument becomes one of ignorance.
PvM · 5 September 2005
PvM · 5 September 2005
Henry J · 5 September 2005
Geysers attract tourists, don't they? Isn't that a function? ;)
Henry
Stuart Weinstein · 7 September 2005
Tom Curtis writes "It certainly has a specification, and it functions - but it does not have a function. "
Geysers release pressure and transport heat.
"Geysers are not part of a larger system which benefits from the functioning of geysers,"
If I define benefits to be things like "cool" and "not phreatic sxplosion", I'd say they have some pretty good benefits. And the system of ground water is rather extensive.
" and such that geysers would not exist if they did not benefit the larger system. "
But they do. I just showed how.
"Where Joe asked for an example of a complex system with a role in a larger system, you have provided him with an example of a complex system which operates as a system."
Get thee to a Geology class.