Communications and Science

Posted 8 September 2005 by

↗ The current version of this post is on the live site: https://pandasthumb.org/archives/2005/09/communications.html

A little more than a week ago, Mike Syvanen posted an article on Panda’s Thumb that discussed a real controversy within the field of evolutionary biology: the role of horizontal gene transfer in early evolution. Today, Paul Nelson misinterpreted that article in a post over on ID: The Future. The specifics of this incident have been covered in more detail both by at Evolving Thoughts, and at Evolutionblog. I’m going to look at this incident from a slightly different perspective: how it illustrates some of the communications issues that scientists are forced to face when dealing with creationists.

Continue Reading (at The Questionable Authority)

98 Comments

'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 8 September 2005

A little more than a week ago, Mike Syvanen posted an article on Panda's Thumb that discussed a real controversy within the field of evolutionary biology: the role of horizontal gene transfer in early evolution. Today, Paul Nelson misinterpreted that article in a post over on ID: The Future.

How's that book coming, Paul? Why don't you drop in for a while. I have some questions for you that you ran away from the last time you were here.

Stuart Weinstein · 8 September 2005

Well, we should've taken up a pool as to how long it would take for creationists to abuse Syvanen's comments.

Lets remember that for next time. May be we can sell raffles or something..

'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 8 September 2005

Well, we should've taken up a pool as to how long it would take for creationists to abuse Syvanen's comments.

Well, it's not as if ID/creationists are doing any scientific research of their OWN, is it . . .

Paul Nelson · 8 September 2005

Mike, Here's the text of an email (lightly edited) that I sent earlier today to Jason Rosenhouse, John Wilkins, and Mike Syvanen:
Guys, I saw your blog commentaries on my IDtheFuture post about the Mooney & Nisbet CJR piece, and wanted to follow up with a reply. Very much like scientists, science reporters and journalists face real risks in getting too far away from (or ahead of) "the pack" -- i.e., received opinion. But there's a reciprocal risk in always playing it safe. Example: In Sept. 1988, as a grad student, I heard Mike Syvanen talk about problems with molecular phylogenetic reconstruction at the Marine Biological Laboratory-Woods Hole. The occasion was a workshop on molecular evolution organized by Mitchell Sogin. Mike showed several plant phylogenies that made no evolutionary sense. What are these phylogenies telling us? he asked the audience. Is this just noise, or is it possible that other modes of transmission of genetic information (i.e., other than "vertical" inheritance; HGT) are operating? It was a provocative and "risky" talk, insofar as Mike was pushing the audience to think about ideas that they may have -- indeed, did (see below) -- find uncomfortable and heterodox. Mitchell Sogin was very disconcerted by Mike's presentation. After Mike left the MBL to return to California, the workshop went on for a few days, and Sogin disparaged Mike's talk. "That lecture shouldn't have happened," I recall Sogin saying to anyone who would listen. I don't think any science journalists were present when Mike spoke, but let's suppose they had been, and had reported on his talk and Sogin's extremely negative reaction. Developments within evolutionary theory within the past 17 years have pushed HGT from the risky margins into the very center of many discussions. A science journalist who played it safe in September 1988 (along the lines of "Sogin told me Syvanen's talk was a load of horsesh-t that I can ignore") would have missed pursuing a truly promising lead. Mooney & Nisbet advise science journalists to play it safe: "Evolution" means Darwin's picture of universal common ancestry, from LUCA, mainly via the mechanism of natural selection. This theory is as much a part of the permanent furniture of reality, argue Mooney & Nisbet, as the Copernican geometry of the solar system, the germ theory, etc. Gotta get that point into your stories about the ID controversy. But what if LUCA never existed? (Rick Sternberg joked to me recently that the famous line from the movie "The Godfather," viz., "Luca sleeps with the fishes" [after the Corleone family hitman Luca Brassi is bumped off by Salazo] might make a funny title for a review article about the waning fortunes of LUCA as a theoretical construct in deep phylogeny.) Skepticism about LUCA is one area, among many, where ID and heterodox evolutionary theory overlap. So what's an enterprising science reporter to do? Play it safe, or call up Mike Syvanen to chat? It's a genuine dilemma, and I think Mooney & Nisbet's advice may be entirely too cautious for most reporters, who are as competitive as the scientists I know and as willing to try promising risks.
The point of my IDTF blog post was not to discuss the demise of LUCA, except as an illustration of the challenges science journalists face in covering heterodox ideas.

steve · 8 September 2005

But what if LUCA never existed? (Rick Sternberg joked to me recently that the famous line from the movie "The Godfather," viz., "Luca sleeps with the fishes" [after the Corleone family hitman Luca Brassi is bumped off by Salazo] might make a funny title for a review article about the waning fortunes of LUCA as a theoretical construct in deep phylogeny.)

You can do better from that. Take a cue from your humble colleague William Dembski, the "Isaac Newton of Information Theory". Call it our WATERLUCA.

Mike Dunford · 8 September 2005

Paul, I appreciate you taking the time to comment on this. I understand the point about the dangers of being cautious when it comes to science reporting. However, I still think that you did misrepresent what Mike wrote in an important way - and it's one that you repeat here when you say:
Skepticism about LUCA is one area, among many, where ID and heterodox evolutionary theory overlap.
The "overlap" that you mention is almost entirely illusory. "Orthodox" evolutionary theory predicts descent from a single common ancestor. "Heterodox" evolutionary theory, of the sort that Mike Syvanen represents, predicts common descent from a pool of ancestral organisms that were able to transfer some genetic material back and forth (in a lateral manner). ID predicts - actually, I don't know, and have no way to know, what ID predicts in this case. Some of Michael Behe's comments suggest that he would be OK with descent from a single common ancestor. Your comments suggest that you would be happier with few or no common ancestors. The absence of a single, coherent ID hypothesis hinders things here just a bit. Based on the overall opposition to evolution that I've seen among ID proponents, I'd guess that the overall view of the people in your "big tent" leans closer to your view than Behe's. Despite the really minimal overlap between the "predictions" of ID and the "heterodox" predictions, you seem to be implying that any evidence against the "orthodox" view somehow lends some degree of support to the ID postion. This is simply not the case. There is nothing about Syvanen's ideas that in any way lends support to ID - his view is simply that non-traditional means of exchanging genetic information may have been more important in evolution than previously believed. It seems to boil down to this: the conventional view is one common ancestor. Mike suggests that the evidence supports many common ancestors. You say something along the lines of, "we don't think there's one common ancestor, and Mike doesn't think there's one common ancestor, so that supports our view." That's a completely misleading description of the situation - if your view is that there are no (or very few) common ancestors, then Mike's argument provides your view with absolutely nothing in the way of positive support. And it seems like this kind of thing happens all the time. Any time anyone suggests that there might be something different happening in evolution, any time anyone suggests that different mechanisms may be more or less important in different specific situations, it feels like someone in your camp starts jumping up and down, and saying "Look! Look! Someone disagrees with part of the conventional view of evolution. This supports our argument that evolution doesn't happen!" It's misleading, and it get's old very fast. I've had my fill of it. You guys keep claiming that you're trying to put together a scientific research program. For crying out loud, just do that already. Knock off the political bs, stop spending so much time, effort, and money on PR, and do some science already.

'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 8 September 2005

Hi Paul. Welcome back. Last time you were here, you ran away without finishing our conversation. As promised, I take it up again right where we left off:

Me: Does the ID movement call itself the ID movement simply to bamboozle people into thinking it has an actual alternative theory when it really doesn't? Does the ID movement call itself the ID movement to try and gain all the rhetorical advantages of claiming to have an alternative theory without the disadvantages of actually having to PRODUCE one? You: 'The ID movement' is just a name for a group of people with similar ideas. When I began thinking about design years ago, there was no 'ID movement' denoted by that name, but the ideas were percolating away nonetheless (e.g., in the writings of Charles Thaxton). The name - the label - is largely a matter of convention. It's the ideas themselves that attract, or repel, people. Think about it this way. If I broiled what I said was 'really fine steak' for you, but served you shoe leather, it's the shoe leather, and not what I called it, that would matter. Or, conversely, if you said to me that B.B. King's music was 'sucky Muzak dreck, don't bother with it,' as a fan of blues I'd discount your description or label. (Btw, I only serve USDA choice or prime to guests, if you're ever in Chicago. Shoe leather is strictly for thought experiments.) In short, it doesn't really matter what one calls 'the ID movement,' which explains why pejoratives such as 'IDiots,' 'intelligent decline,' 'creationism-lite,'creationism in designer clothing,' and the like, have had little discernable effect on the growth of the ID community. Me: You, uh, didn't answer my question, Paul. My question was very specific. If there is no such thing as a theory of ID, why does the ID movement call itself the ID movement? You say "it really doesn't matter what one calls the ID movemnet". If so, why name it after something that doesn't exist? Is it, or is it not, to imply that it DOES exist, even though it actually doesn't. I still await your answer to that simple question.

Your turn, Paul.

Me: I have never, in all my life, ever heard any weather forecaster mention "god" or "divine will" or any "supernatural" anything, at all. You: Nor have I. But climatologists and atmospheric scientists weigh the effects of intelligent agency all the time. Consider global warming and its possible causes. To be sure, humans aren't "supernatural," at least in the sense that I think you mean, but disentangling atmospheric effects due to intelligent agency (e.g., gas emissions from industrial activity) from so-called "natural" causes is an important area of ongoing research. If agency is suggested by evidence, science takes up the question. ID theorists think biological evidence suggests the role of intelligent agency; most biologists disagree; and so we find ourselves with a vigorous dispute. Me: That wasn't the question, Paul. I'll ask again. IDers are the ones bitching that science, and biology in particular, is "materialistic" and "naturalistic" and rejects any "supernatural" explanations. It seems to me that weather forecasting, accident investigation and medical practice are ALL equally "materialistic" and "naturalistic" and reject "supernatural" explanations (note that NONE of the "intelligent agencies" involved in any of these is in any way NOT "materialistic" or "naturalistic", Paul). So I'll ask again; why, if weather forecasting and accident investigation are every bit as "atheistic" and "materialistic" as evolution, aren't you out there fighting the good fight to get God back into weather forecasting aqnd accident investigation. Why aren't you out there fighting the "materialistic naturalistic biases" of weather forecasting or accident investigation. Why does "atheism" in evolution get your undies all in a bunch, but "atheism" in weather forecasting doesn't. Or does that all come later, as part of, uh, "renewing our culture" ... ?

Your turn, Paul.

You: Lastly - your Howard Ahmanson obsession. I've spent a little time with Howard (had a memorable long dinner with him in Irvine, CA, one night), and we talked about movies, wine, and whatnot. I've never heard or read anything from Howard that comes even remotely close to 'extremism,' whatever that is. You are circulating hearsay, Lenny, if it rises even to that. What actual evidence do you have, in Howard Ahmanson's own words, of his positions? Me: And, once again, you've not answered my question. (Gee, I'm shocked.) I'll ask again. Can you point me to any published public statement by Ahmanson wherein he disavows any of the positions he held as cash cow and chief cheerleader for the Chalcedon Foundation nutballs? If you want to tell me that he has repudiated his positions and is no longer as nutty as he HAS been for the past 20 years, then please tell me (1) which of his former positions he has repudiated and why, and (2) which of his former positions he has NOT repudiated, and why NOT? Offhand, Paul, I'd say that placing the US under "Biblical law",to include such things as stoning "sinners",is well, pretty extremist. I find it illuminating that you do not.

Your turn, Paul.

You: Lenny - I'm outa this discussion. Me: I don't blame you, Paul. I wouldn't want to defend your positions either. Please be assured that I will repeat my questions next time you come back here. You: Visit my blog when it's up, and we can continue the back-and-forth over there. Me: Thanks, but I've seen what passes for, uh, "back and forth" at ID-run blogs. I prefer to post in places where the iron hand of the ayatollah's censor doesn't rule. So we will continue this discussion next time you come back here.

And here we are again, Paul. Gonna answer this time? Or gonna run away. Again.

RBH · 8 September 2005

Shoot, I'm still waiting for that omnibus answer from Nelson regarding ontogenetic depth that was coming "tomorrow" back in March, 2004, when Nelson told us
Quick note --- I'm drafting an omnibus reply (to points raised here and in Shalizi's commentary), with title and epigraph from a Rolling Stones song. I'll post it tomorrow.
I'm guessing the Stones song was "(I can't get no) Satisfaction", the peak of rock and roll. It's been all downhill ever since. RBH

'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 8 September 2005

Well, Nelson emailed me privately and generously offered to buy me a beer if I met him at his upcoming sermon in Miami.

Alas, I'd prefer that he just answer my damn questions, right here in front of the whole world.

'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 8 September 2005

I'm guessing the Stones song was "(I can't get no) Satisfaction", the peak of rock and roll. It's been all downhill ever since.

Heretic. The peak of rock was, as anyone knows, Metallica's "Black Album". But, I fear, that is a discussion that should take place elsewhere. Preferably over a case of cold ones. ;>

'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 8 September 2005

I'm still a bit ambivilent about the whole no-LUCA thingie. Sure, there may indeed be different ancestors for different genes. But still, it appears that there was only one line that begged, borrowed or stole all those genes from the other lines, and then itself went on (utilizing them) to produce all of life as it exists today. So while there might not be a genetic LUCA, it certainly still looks like there was a geneological LUCA, even if it appeared AFTER the various genes first appeared separately.

How any of this helps the ID/creationists in any way, shape or form, though, baffles me. I guess the ID/creationists just operate on the Wickramasinghe strategy --- anyone who disagrees with mainstream science must, by definition, agree with them ---- even if, like Wickramasinghe, they think ID/creationists are nuts. (shrug)

qetzal · 8 September 2005

I'm still a bit ambivilent about the whole no-LUCA thingie.

Me too. I agree that a geneological LUCA still seems likely. I understand that some universal genes seem significantly younger than others, and that (if true) this is best explained by HGT. But I don't quite see how this can eliminate a geneological LUCA. Of course, that probably just reflects my poor understanding. I wonder about the converse. If there was no geneological LUCA, might one expect some non-universal genes to be even more ancient than the oldest universal genes? If such genes exist, would there be any way to prove it?

How any of this helps the ID/creationists in any way, shape or form, though, baffles me.

I think one ID spin is, "Look! Some scientists disagree with [some aspects of] evolutionary theory! That proves that even mainstream scientists admit that naturalistic evolution might be wrong!" Of course, they leave out the part in brackets. A related spin is, "Look! Even mainstream scientists acknowledge that there are legitimate controversies about [some aspects of] evolutionary theory. ID is also a controversy about evolutionary theory. It must be legitimate, too!" All of it, of course, is deliberate misdirection. They want to focus on disagreements and controversies, so they won't have to acknowledge the elephant in the room - namely, that there is no science to ID. Something that you've hammered on relentlessly. ;-)

Ginger Yellow · 9 September 2005

"But climatologists and atmospheric scientists weigh the effects of intelligent agency all the time. Consider global warming and its possible causes. To be sure, humans aren't "supernatural," at least in the sense that I think you mean, but disentangling atmospheric effects due to intelligent agency (e.g., gas emissions from industrial activity) from so-called "natural" causes is an important area of ongoing research. If agency is suggested by evidence, science takes up the question. "

Hahahahahahaha. I don't think I was around when that was originally, posted, but that's got to be the worst analogy-as-justification-for-ID I've ever seen, and I've seen some pretty terrible ones. If IDiots tried to apply the same techniques as climatologists in the context of their supernaturalistic pseudo-theory, they'd have to come to the conclusion that God has been dead since at least abiogenesis. I doubt they want that.

bcpmoon · 9 September 2005

In relating his story about the difficulties in science journalism, Paul quoted:

Mike showed several plant phylogenies that made no evolutionary sense. What are these phylogenies telling us? he asked the audience.

— Paul Nelson
Reading this, I thought that this is again a good example why ID is not a good notion. To answer the question above, ID would have pointed to the place in the phylogenetic tree where it really started to be a tree with separate branches, and declared a goddidit-event at that place. With this mindset, no IDist would have been able to work out HGT, because that would have removed the designer and thus the basis for the notion itself. Question: Would such a "tree", with a lot of HGT at the basis (reminds me even more of a real tree with entangled roots anyway), would this not look as if order (some well defined branches) arose from disorder (net-like starting area)? How would Dembski´s CSI or filter deal with that? We know that this stems from natural causes so I would expect a false positive. Is this correct?

Ed Darrell · 9 September 2005

"LUCA?" One of the things that tends to mark those whose reason has been sapped from them is the use of jargon that confuses the hell out of anyone unfamiliar with the stuff, and often confuses the issues as well.

Alas for Dr. Nelson, if the idea of one common ancestor dies, intelligent design is in even worse shape. There are at least two, wholly natural explanations that would merit exploration before resorting to a search for the Wilber Force (the technical name for the "intelligent designer"). One possibility is that all the one-celled critters, separate species that they were, arose from one common ancestor and mutated. A second possibility is that when conditions were ripe for life to spring up, life sprang up in several forms technically unrelated by ancestry, though similar in form and chemistry. In either case, then there was lateral gene transfer, and then branches sprouted in the ancestral bushes.

Intelligent design has more science to deny if "LUCA" is not exactly accurate, not less.

The last universal common ancestor idea provides a clear explanation for why we have DNA and why it pervades all life with just four little proteins to code. In short, it's a solid explanation, and nothing in intelligent design offers any serious challenge. No matter how the controversy works out that Syvanen noted, it's just one more series of body blows to the rapidly deflating notion of a hypothesis of intelligent design.

Reporters, even those unfamiliar with biology, can report on it and get it right. The sin is still the inaccurate spin put on the reporting by creationists, including IDists.

ts (not Tim) · 9 September 2005

Skepticism about LUCA is one area, among many, where ID and heterodox evolutionary theory overlap.

— Paul Nelson
Enjoying a glass of water when thirsty is one of the many things that mass murderers have in common with the best among us, but only an IDiot would think that it follows that there's good in mass murderers.

ts (not Tim) · 9 September 2005

But climatologists and atmospheric scientists weigh the effects of intelligent agency all the time. Consider global warming and its possible causes. To be sure, humans aren't "supernatural," at least in the sense that I think you mean, but disentangling atmospheric effects due to intelligent agency (e.g., gas emissions from industrial activity) from so-called "natural" causes is an important area of ongoing research. If agency is suggested by evidence, science takes up the question. ID theorists think biological evidence suggests the role of intelligent agency; most biologists disagree; and so we find ourselves with a vigorous dispute.

— IDiot Paul Nelson
We have details of observable human behavior (such as those gas emissions) which we can correlate and causally connect to our observations of climate change. But of course climatologists do not idly speculate that this or that observation may have been caused by a god or an alien, and certainly no one teaches students that gods or aliens may have caused global warming.

'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 9 September 2005

I don't think I was around when that was originally, posted,

Well, that's why I keep re-posting it. :> Most people in the US don't know very much about the whole ID/evolution thingie. They might hear something about it on TV or in the newspaper, and want to know "what all the fuss is about", so they drop in here for a short time, look around, and then leave. I want *every one* of these people to see, firsthand with their own eyes, that (1) IDers have nothing scientific to offer, (2) IDers are evasive dishonest liars who refuse absolutely to answer even the most basic questions, and (3) ID is nothing but fundamentalist Christian apologetics with a political agenda, and IDers are flat-out lying to us when they claim otherwise. The best way to show that is to simply ask IDers the basic questions, over and over and over again, until they run away (again). And let everyone SEE them run away, again and again and again. Some of the "regulars" here, I know, get a bit annoyed when I keep posting the same questions all the time. I hope now they understand why I do that --- these posts are aimed, not at the longtimers, but at all the newbies who only drop in for a short time. I want every one of them, no matter how short a time they might be here, to see firsthand exactly what IDers are all about.

One Brow · 9 September 2005

Example: In Sept. 1988, as a grad student, I heard Mike Syvanen talk about problems with molecular phylogenetic reconstruction ... A science journalist who played it safe in September 1988 (along the lines of "Sogin told me Syvanen's talk was a load of horsesh-t that I can ignore") would have missed pursuing a truly promising lead.

— Paul Nelson
I can't understand why anyone would think this has relevance to science, and frankly don't believe you think it really does. Regardless of whether a reporter published a story on this or not (apparently not), Syvanen was able to form a testable hypothesis, uncover evidence, and establish credibility for his ideas. The only reason that Syvanen would have cared about the article is if he was seeking publicity rather than truth. So, form a testable hypothesis. Test it and validate it. Then you will be able to validly make the comparison you imply (that current ID proponents are modern-day "Syvanen"s, whose ideas will be widely accepted among scientists some day). Then you will have something real to give reporters. Then you will have a real rebuttal to Mooney & Nesbit. Most likely, you'll even have a few Nobel prizes to brag about. Until then, you just have a hand waving in the air, seeking atention with all the flat-earther, conspiracy theorists, etc.

Unsympathetic Reader · 9 September 2005

"My name is LUCA. I live on the second floor..."

Michael Behe, Michael Denton and possibly even, Michael Bolton seem to have no trouble accommodating a LUCA in their ID "theories" for the evolution of life. ID theory "overlaps" with so much that there is no positive theory there in the first place.

SEF · 9 September 2005

"My name is LUCA. I live on the second floor..."

Unfortunately, that's what I kept thinking too (I'm not a big fan of jargon and had to work the abbreviation out and keep reminding myself what it was really) along with "Today I am a small blue thing..." (except that I'm properly dressed now, so I'm more black and red with a bit of white).

Paley's Ghost · 9 September 2005

Evilutionists (especially at The Panda's Bum) have a communication problem because informed thinkers like Nelson expose their amoral ontology for the sham that it is. Not even Darwinists themselves can consistently believe such a mountain of lies as evolutionism, so they inevitably commit gaffes in their papers--and small islands of truth emerge from the river of excrement in their tree-hugging literature. When independent critical thinkers like Nelson or myself demonstrate this, they go into a towering rage and accuse their critics of "misrepresentation" or "quote-mining." The analysis offered in the quoted paper is a similar, but much more simplistic version of Dembski's design inference. It chops down the evolutionist tree structure at the root. If even "orthologous" genes not subject to duplication/horizontal transfer don't lead to one "true" tree, then whence chimeric genes? A nice example of circular reasoning guys: if the genes give different trees, it must be due to gene swapping. How do we ascertain gene transfer? The genes give discordant trees!

I am doing more research on this myself. I will use Monfort's algorithm (as a special case of Dembski's CSI) to disprove evolutionism at the protein domain/chemical level. Molecules are no different than the probelm of a bunch of party-goers throwing their hats in the ring and then drawing at random to see if they will pick the correct one. For evolutionism to work, all of the molecules must be matched with all of the other molecules thay are supposed to be attatched to to make the vital force of life function. However, I will go one step more with the evolutionist

Paul Nelson · 9 September 2005

Hi Lenny, I'm sorry you won't be taking me up on my offer of unlimited beer at the University of Miami. In my 20 years of lecturing publicly on design and evolution, you're the first person ever to turn me down. But I'll extend the same offer to any Panda's Thumb reader in Florida. Michael Ruse and I will be giving the first annual Appignani Colloquium in Secular Ethics next week (Thursday, 9/15) at the University of Miami, sponsored by the Dept of Philosophy there. Show up and the beer (or whatever) is on me. Lenny wrote:
Last time you were here, you ran away without finishing our conversation.
"Conversation" is something of a misnomer, wouldn't you say? What you're playing is Lenny's Game (tm). Lenny's Game has no end; indeed it cannot end, because actual learning and exchange of information is not its point. Here's how Lenny's Game is played: 1. You ask a question. 2. I answer it. 3. You reject my answer as inadequate, and ask another question. 4. This goes on until I tire of the game and find better things to do. 5. You then say that I've run away. The main effect of Lenny's Game is to make this blog a nasty and brutish place to visit, characterized by bullying, baiting, and ridicule, rather like a seedy biker's bar where one can expect to be threatened as soon as one sits down. To illustrate, let's show once more how Lenny's Game is played. I'll answer your questions, and steps 3, 4, and 5 will follow, like night the day. Lenny:
If there is no such thing as a theory of ID, why does the ID movement call itself the ID movement? You say "it really doesn't matter what one calls the ID movemnet". If so, why name it after something that doesn't exist? Is it, or is it not, to imply that it DOES exist, even though it actually doesn't.
Well, let's pick a name that you might like, such as "The Fundamentally Religious and Scientifically Misbegotten Objections to Evolution Movement" (FRASMOTEM for short). FRASMOTEM is unwieldy, but if you can persuade others to use it, instead of "intelligent design movement," go for it. As I said earlier, however, the name won't really matter. Fred Hoyle coined "The Big Bang" originally as a cheeky jab (insult) towards a theory he never liked. Didn't matter: the name was widely adopted, because it was vivid and handy, and the scientific idea itself chugged right along. If the "intelligent design movement," however named, didn't exist -- meaning Behe, Dembski, Nelson, Meyer, Gonzalez, et. al, and their ideas -- this blog wouldn't exist. As I explain here, the study of evolution and a group of investigators one could call "evolutionists" existed long before a formally-articulated theory of evolution. There is more than enough content to the idea of intelligent design, even absent a theory, to make the conventions "intelligent design" and "ID" useful and accurate. But who knows? FRASMOTEM may have a promising future! Lenny:
So I'll ask again; why, if weather forecasting and accident investigation are every bit as "atheistic" and "materialistic" as evolution, aren't you out there fighting the good fight to get God back into weather forecasting aqnd accident investigation. Why aren't you out there fighting the "materialistic naturalistic biases" of weather forecasting or accident investigation. Why does "atheism" in evolution get your undies all in a bunch, but "atheism" in weather forecasting doesn't.
Two questions for you (to help me answer this one, and to throw a little variation into Lenny's Game): 1. If life on Earth were designed by an intelligence, could science discover that? 2. When Darwin argued against design in the Origin of Species, was he doing science? Lenny:
Can you point me to any published public statement by Ahmanson wherein he disavows any of the positions he held as cash cow and chief cheerleader for the Chalcedon Foundation nutballs? If you want to tell me that he has repudiated his positions and is no longer as nutty as he HAS been for the past 20 years, then please tell me (1) which of his former positions he has repudiated and why, and (2) which of his former positions he has NOT repudiated, and why NOT?
Again with the Howard Ahmanson obsession. What to say? I'm happy to be supported by Howard's money. I guess you'd better put me on your list of unspeakable theocratic monsters. However, I'm a registered independent and voted for Obama here in Illinois, so maybe you should start a new list, "Confused and Inconsistent Theocratic Monsters," first entry, "Paul Nelson." I don't know what Howard's view were before; I don't know what they are now; frankly, I just don't care. The republic is in no danger from Howard Ahmanson. Here are my questions again: 1. If life on Earth were designed by an intelligence, could science discover that? 2. When Darwin argued against design in the Origin of Species, was he doing science? Over to you.

Paul Nelson · 9 September 2005

One Brow said:
I can't understand why anyone would think this has relevance to science, and frankly don't believe you think it really does.
Here's what I said above:
The point of my IDTF blog post was not to discuss the demise of LUCA, except as an illustration of the challenges science journalists face in covering heterodox ideas.
Mooney & Nisbet were writing to journalists about how to Stay Respectable, and I offered another perspective: respectability may be purchased at the price of missing something interesting. I wasn't arguing for ID, and my point could have been illustrated with any number of scientific controversies.

PvM · 9 September 2005

[quote author="Paul Nelson"]Skepticism about LUCA is one area, among many, where ID and heterodox evolutionary theory overlap.[/quote]

But 'heterodox evolutionary theory' actually provides hypotheses, theories and is not based on 'see we have found something evolutionary theory did not yet explain' must have been intelligent design...

You yourself observed that intelligent design is lacking scientifically. I would argue that intelligent design by its own nature has chosen to remain scientifically vacuous.

If all ID is can be described as 'skepticism' then ID has nothing new to offer.

One Brow · 9 September 2005

Mooney & Nisbet were writing to journalists about how to Stay Respectable, and I offered another perspective: respectability may be purchased at the price of missing something interesting. I wasn't arguing for ID, and my point could have been illustrated with any number of scientific controversies.

— Paul Nelson
Yes, and your point would be equally wrong on all of them. There are a lot of possibly interesting things out there right now. The vast majority of them are unsupported, and will turn out to be wrong. Crackpot theories are a dime a dozen, and ten of that dozen would be interesting, if true. Given that the public in general does not have the training to recognize the difference between what is conjectured and what is supported, journalists writing about science for the layman should stick to writing about science that has evidence.

1. If life on Earth were designed by an intelligence, could science discover that?

— Paul Nelson
Yes, by discovering a method of interaction between life and the intelligence. Superimposing a perceived pattern is not a method by which one can reliably discover intelligence.

Jim Wynne · 9 September 2005

The main effect of Lenny's Game is to make this blog a nasty and brutish place to visit, characterized by bullying, baiting, and ridicule, rather like a seedy biker's bar where one can expect to be threatened as soon as one sits down.

— Paul Nelson
If by "nasty and brutish" you mean that this is a place where, when statments are made, one might be asked to support them in a way that actually relates to the questions being asked, you're probably correct. If asked to answer a question and you reply with non sequiturs or obvious obfuscation, don't be surprised if you're accused of not answering the question. I wonder who you think you're fooling. Lenny: "So I'll ask again; why, if weather forecasting and accident investigation are every bit as "atheistic" and "materialistic" as evolution, aren't you out there fighting the good fight to get God back into weather forecasting aqnd accident investigation. Why aren't you out there fighting the "materialistic naturalistic biases" of weather forecasting or accident investigation. Why does "atheism" in evolution get your undies all in a bunch, but "atheism" in weather forecasting doesn't. Paul: I like Peewee Herman movies, don't you? Lenny: You didn't answer the question. Paul: Yes I did. Now I have to go, because you're not paying attention.

Mythos · 9 September 2005

Yes, by discovering a method of interaction between life and the intelligence.

— One Brow
By 'method of interaction' I suppose you mean 'how, exactly, was it accomplished'. Is this a necessary requirement? Is it ever scienfifically permissible to conclude that something is the product of intelligence without knowing how the intelligent agent and product interacted?

steve · 9 September 2005

But climatologists and atmospheric scientists weigh the effects of intelligent agency all the time. Consider global warming and its possible causes. To be sure, humans aren't "supernatural," at least in the sense that I think you mean, but disentangling atmospheric effects due to intelligent agency (e.g., gas emissions from industrial activity) from so-called "natural" causes is an important area of ongoing research.

Let's look at why science can consider the climatology effects of intelligent agency. What do the climatologists know about these Designers to start with? Who: humans What: put CO2 into the atmosphere When: gradually since the Industrial Revolution Where: Where the cars and factories are Why: As a side effect of energy production How: By pumping up petroleum full of hydrocarbons, and burning it That's certainly a good amount of evidence from which we can theorize effects. Now for contrast, let's see what Intelligent Design offers: Who: who knows? *wink wink* What: designed biological things When: no telling Where: can't really say Why: your guess is as good as mine How: Magic? I don't know

Mythos · 9 September 2005

How about the Great Sphinx?

Who: Who knows?
What: The Great Sphinx.
When: No telling.
Where: Giza.
Why: Your guess is as good as mine.
How: I don't know.

Paul Nelson · 9 September 2005

Jim,

Try answering the questions yourself, and you'll see their relevance to what Lenny was asking.

Btw, I do like Peewee Herman movies. He knew how to escape a beating in a biker's bar.

Jim Wynne · 9 September 2005

Is it ever scienfifically permissible to conclude that something is the product of intelligence without knowing how the intelligent agent and product interacted?

— Mythos
How could it be, if it also might be possible that the "something" could be the result of natural causes? IDiots want to ascribe everything that has the appearance of design and is currently unexplainable to the Designer. Science insists on evidence beyond assumptions from appearance.

Andrea Bottaro · 9 September 2005

Paul Nelson wrote: The point of my IDTF blog post was not to discuss the demise of LUCA, except as an illustration of the challenges science journalists face in covering heterodox ideas. ..... Mooney & Nisbet were writing to journalists about how to Stay Respectable, and I offered another perspective: respectability may be purchased at the price of missing something interesting. I wasn't arguing for ID, and my point could have been illustrated with any number of scientific controversies.

But Mooney and Nisbet did not say that to "Stay Respectable" journalists had to avoid scientific controversies. They said that journalists have a duty to a) give their lay readers the appropriate scientific information background for understanding what a controversy is about, b) fairly represent the extent to which a "controversy" exists within scientific circles, and c) not mistake or misrepresent non-scientific opinions and "controversies", which exist only in a political and sociological arena, as if they were genuine scientific opinions and controversies, in the name of some misplaced idea of "fair play" and "equal time". For instance, in the case of LUCA, it would be entirely fair for a journalist to present the scientific debate as a discussion about how evolution historically occurred, but not as a debate about whether it occurred, Creationist misrepresentations of the issue notwithstanding.

However, I'm a registered independent and voted for Obama here in Illinois, so maybe you should start a new list, "Confused and Inconsistent Theocratic Monsters," first entry, "Paul Nelson."

Considering that Obama ran against Alan Keyes, I am afraid that having voted for him only qualifies you for the "NOT ENTIRELY INSANE" list. Sorry.

Paul Nelson · 9 September 2005

One Brow,

Touch your right index finger to the tip of your nose.

Now, starting with any neuron in your brain, explain how you just did that. Provide the "method of interaction" (i.e., the physical pathway from specific neuron to the observed effect).

Jim Wynne · 9 September 2005

Touch your right index finger to the tip of your nose. Now, starting with any neuron in your brain, explain how you just did that. Provide the "method of interaction" (i.e., the physical pathway from specific neuron to the observed effect).

— Paul Nelson
And if he can't keep up with the speeding goalposts, he should just give up and say "The Gesture Designer did it."

Randy · 9 September 2005

Paul,
A) Methodological Naturalism (or even Ontological Naturalism) does not equal reductionism.

b) Without starting with single neuron in the brain, explain the observed effect. Provide the "method of interaction" (including any non-physical pathway if you wish) from desire to touch nose to touching ones nose.

C) I believe one can offer such a detailed explanation in C. elegans.

steve · 9 September 2005

Comment #47165 Posted by Mythos on September 9, 2005 11:50 AM (e) (s) How about the Great Sphinx? Who: Who knows? What: The Great Sphinx. When: No telling. Where: Giza. Why: Your guess is as good as mine. How: I don't know.

Hardly. The Great Sphinx Who: Probably Khafre's slaves What: Built a bigass sculpture. When: around 2600 BC, give or take. Where: Giza. Why: Don't know, but people build monuments for various reasons. How: Carved it out of a single block of limestone. You're not going to find a designed object with the same total lack of info as ID.

Mythos · 9 September 2005

Well, recent research based on geology (as opposed to Egyptology) has concluded that the Sphinx was built around 10,000 B.C. which calls into question your answers to 'who' and 'when'. And 'carved' is too generic. I want to know what tools, mechanisms, etc. they used.

Jim Wynne · 9 September 2005

I want to know what tools, mechanisms, etc. they used.

— Mythos
Why? On the grounds that perhaps they didn't use tools and "mechanisms"? What's your point? If we identify the tools, will you then want to know what color they were?

Joseph O'Donnell · 9 September 2005

Paul Nelson:

1. If life on Earth were designed by an intelligence, could science discover that?

Very definitely, however they would discover that by using proper scientific method and by actual science done at lab benches. I imagine that it would be done using experiments, for example actually making predictions based on a theory on what mechanisms a designer would have used to create life and testing for those specific mechanisms (maybe even replicating them in a lab) to test them. Importantly, rather than making ones theory a bunch of dead creationist arguments against evolution, which work poorly and don't actually mean anything ID would make genuine predictions that explain the observations of natural life around us. This theory of ID (which you evidently don't have) would explain: 1) Why organisms appear to be related in clearly distinct patterns 2) Why organisms have sometimes idosyncratic 'designs' such as the birthing canal of the hyena that results in a 1/3 chance of death for a first time mother. 3) Why the original designer chose to make numerous similar animals with small alterations in various features, such as those that accompany the transitional forms between the original reptiles jaw and the mammalian jaw, rather than just get to the point of the final design to begin with? Why the trial and error? Why do we also see this with other structures such as the flagellum, type I,II, III and IV secretion systems and many other structures? 4) If a designer can make an efficient structure like a bacterial flagellum, why was he so bad at designer an ATPase? The ATPase of humans for example, only manages to convert 66% of the energy it gets from protons being pumped through into ATP. That's pretty good for something that evolved to be 'good enough' but for something that was designed it's pretty pathetic, especially considering the intelligent designers we have to compare it to, namely us wouldn't find such a low efficiency (wasting a full 1/3 of the energy given to it) as satisfactory. There is infinitely more that I could place here, but needless to say, evolutionary theory can account for all of the above and rather easily. ID however runs into multiple brick walls trying to make a theory of ID, devoid of a designer (wink wink) to actually logically explain scientifically all of those various results. Rather than ask a question where you think you've wittily put your opponents into an "AH-HA" admission, why don't you actually answer the important and relevant question that arises: What predictions does ID theory make to account for the observable evidence from nature around us and how does ID explain this evidence better than evolutionary theory does? It's not our job to support your position for you. That is your job and myself I would start here: http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v305/Aegeri/DSC00003.jpg Going to politicians, the press or anywhere else is utterly worthless. You have to start at that all important point right above, because that is THE only way ID will ever be useful as a science.

2. When Darwin argued against design in the Origin of Species, was he doing science?

Yes he was, because he was making testable, falsifiable and scientifically useful predictions about how organisms would develop and respond to selective pressures. The fact that he was right is testament to the brilliance of the science he accomplished. The fact evolutionary theory has stood and been supported by over 150 years of discoveries means an incredible amount to just how good Dawins original science was. This doesn't mean he got things horribly wrong at times, he did as he clearly didn't have any idea how traits were passed on. The important thing is his basic concepts turned out to be right, while Paley (for example) turned out to be horrifically wrong.

Moses · 9 September 2005

Posted by Paley's Ghost on September 9, 2005 09:53 AM (e) (s) Evilutionists (especially at The Panda's Bum) have a communication problem because informed thinkers like Nelson expose their amoral ontology for the sham that it is. Not even Darwinists themselves can consistently believe such a mountain of lies as evolutionism, so they inevitably commit gaffes in their papers---and small islands of truth emerge from the river of excrement in their tree-hugging literature. When independent critical thinkers like Nelson or myself demonstrate this, they go into a towering rage and accuse their critics of "misrepresentation" or "quote-mining." The analysis offered in the quoted paper is a similar, but much more simplistic version of Dembski's design inference. It chops down the evolutionist tree structure at the root. If even "orthologous" genes not subject to duplication/horizontal transfer don't lead to one "true" tree, then whence chimeric genes? A nice example of circular reasoning guys: if the genes give different trees, it must be due to gene swapping. How do we ascertain gene transfer? The genes give discordant trees! I am doing more research on this myself. I will use Monfort's algorithm (as a special case of Dembski's CSI) to disprove evolutionism at the protein domain/chemical level. Molecules are no different than the probelm of a bunch of party-goers throwing their hats in the ring and then drawing at random to see if they will pick the correct one. For evolutionism to work, all of the molecules must be matched with all of the other molecules thay are supposed to be attatched to to make the vital force of life function. However, I will go one step more with the evolutionist

Steve, is this more of your parody? Or is this one of the unhinged?

One Brow · 9 September 2005

One Brow wrote: Yes, by discovering a method of interaction between life and the intelligence. ------------------------- By 'method of interaction' I suppose you mean 'how, exactly, was it accomplished'. Is this a necessary requirement? Is it ever scienfifically permissible to conclude that something is the product of intelligence without knowing how the intelligent agent and product interacted?

— Mythos
"Exactly" is a loaded word. "How, generally, ..." would be more than sufficient. If I see a mound of mud on a prairie, and it has a few bubbles inside of it, I won't assume it was designed. If, instead, I see tunnels, I will assume it was built, because I'll also be able to take measurements of tunnel diameter, create a map, come to resonable speculations on why certain chambers are constructed, look at the scratch marks to get information about the legs, etc. All of that goes into my decision about whether it was designed. If there are no carcasses/fossils, I might not know if it was created by ants, termites, or very small shrews, but I will be able to come to some conclusions about the size, shape, etc. of the builders. I would not think "Poof! Tunnels appear". If you have an example of how to test for design while not having at evidence of the interaction of the designer and the designed, I'm all ears.

steve · 9 September 2005

Steve, is this more of your parody? Or is this one of the unhinged?

Nope. Timmy is much cleverer than that guy. Although he does get grandiosity points for saying " I will use Monfort's algorithm (as a special case of Dembski's CSI) to disprove evolutionism at the protein domain/chemical level." Good luck with that. IDers have failed to demonstrate that their great technique of CSI can even be applied to their pre-eminent example of the watch in the grass.

One Brow · 9 September 2005

One Brow, Touch your right index finger to the tip of your nose. Now, starting with any neuron in your brain, explain how you just did that. Provide the "method of interaction" (i.e., the physical pathway from specific neuron to the observed effect).

— Paul Nelson
I do not believe I want to undergo brain usrgery just to prove that this can be done, so I will refuse. The general method of interaction (transfer from neuron to neuron using chemical stimuli) is well known. What you asked for was a lot of very specific information. Using my hill of mud example, that would be the equivlent of needing to know the species, sub-species, sexual practices, creation time, etc. of the mud hill and it's assorted tunnels. I would not ask for that level of detail on the mud hill, and I have not asked for that level of detail from ID, nor am I aware of anyone who thinks it could be provided. However, a general description of how it happens certainly could be. It takes energy to combine molecules into a chain, and if they are being directed by an intelligence, than that intelligence must have a method of introducing that energy into the medium holding the molecules. What is the source of this energy, and the transmission method? A scientific theory of introduced complexity will need to either produce experimental evidence that complexity can not be introduced without intelligence or to provide a process by which complexity is introduced. You have neither.

James Taylor · 9 September 2005

4) If a designer can make an efficient structure like a bacterial flagellum, why was he so bad at designer an ATPase? The ATPase of humans for example, only manages to convert 66% of the energy it gets from protons being pumped through into ATP. That's pretty good for something that evolved to be 'good enough' but for something that was designed it's pretty pathetic, especially considering the intelligent designers we have to compare it to, namely us wouldn't find such a low efficiency (wasting a full 1/3 of the energy given to it) as satisfactory.

— Joseph O'Donnell
I find it interesting that the human design is so imperfect, that normal physiological processes can be altered/hacked by various drugs, natural and synthetic. If we are the product of an intelligent agency, wouldn't that agency attempt to make the design secure enough to not allow the process to be altered into an undesirable/unfavorable/undesigned configuration? As a software designer, I spend a substantial amount of time coding security, prevention of alteration, detection of alteration and validation algorithms. Why would the designer include a mechanism that can be perverted so easily when the mechanism could be refined an infinite number of times before release in order to eliminate the back-doors?

steve · 9 September 2005

Maybe "Paley's Ghost" is really Pasquale Vuoso. About a year ago, he claimed he was going to "mathematically disprove Darwin." Since Lenny wasn't around then, it fell to me to hound him for a week or so about that, at which point he disappeared.

Moses · 9 September 2005

Paul Wrote:

"Conversation" is something of a misnomer, wouldn't you say? What you're playing is Lenny's Game â„¢. Lenny's Game has no end; indeed it cannot end, because actual learning and exchange of information is not its point.

This is true Paul. Lenny's game has no end. It is not because of Lenny. Lenny does have simple questions. Questions that, if properly framed to the discipline, could be answered by any competent practitioner of a real scientific discipline known to mankind. And yet you cannot answer these questions. Which is why the game never ends. You are unable, or unwilling, to answer Lenny's questions. In fact, not one single ID proponent has ever answered Lenny's questions when put to the test. This is not true Paul. There is a distinct flow of information as your dialog is not occuring in a closed universe. Third parties can see that you, and your little friends, cannot meet the challenge head on and quickly resort to sophistry, blatent lying, quote mining, denial and intellectual cowardice.

Joseph O'Donnell · 9 September 2005

I find it interesting that the human design is so imperfect, that normal physiological processes can be altered/hacked by various drugs, natural and synthetic. If we are the product of an intelligent agency, wouldn't that agency attempt to make the design secure enough to not allow the process to be altered into an undesirable/unfavorable/undesigned configuration?

— Paul Taylor
Quite true now that I consider it, although in some respects I suppose you could consider the human immune system perhaps as such a mechanism. In general though, there really isn't anything of the sort, especially considering how successful we've been lately in altering genomes with our own DNA (Transgenic crops for example). It's a good point to keep in mind when Sal or one of the other ID advocates that come in here start gibbering on about comparing living systems to engineered ones. Where is the 'designers' security?

CJ O'Brien · 9 September 2005

Paley's Ghost is Cerutti.
He got me once recently.
I felt dumb.

Bruce Thompson GQ · 9 September 2005

Paley's Ghost claims I am doing more research on this myself. I will use Monfort's algorithm (as a special case of Dembski's CSI) to disprove evolutionism at the protein domain/chemical level.

Mmmmm, an invisible person doing research on an invisible theory. Like the invisible recipients of the invisible ID awards.

Ed Darrell · 9 September 2005

Paul,

Yes, please do consider global warming. Can ID offer anything to determine what human effects are? If not, why do you bring it up?

In answer to your other two questions: Sure, science could discover God, if God were not supernatural. Certainly evolution theory and the methods used in studying evolution would get much closer to identifying supernatural influence than intelligent design hypotheses, which seem to run to, "if it's awesome, somebody must have intended that it be awesome." (In fact, brain researchers have made more progress in determining why our brains regard things with awe than ID has made in any field.) There is no hope intelligent design can do better, or as well.

Yes, Darwin was doing science when he noted his observations that tend to refute the Paleyesque ideas of what a designer would do. If nothing else, it was a methodical (and therefore scientific) Fisking of Paley's work. Among other results of Darwin's writing was the understanding that merely being awestruck is not science. That latter point appears to be lost on everyone affiliated with intelligent design. Darwin was pointing out that there were many more questions to be asked, and that we'd have a better chance of finding the questions if we actually observed nature. Actually observing creation must be frustrating for intelligent design advocates, since nothing in creation does what ID advocates claim it must.

In law we discovered Potter Stewart's standard, "I can't tell you what obscenity is, but I know it when I see it," was inadequate to telling what obscenity is. The same standard, given a gloss of respectability by inserting "design" in place of the word "obscenity," works no better in science, for exactly the same reasons it doesn't work in law.

In law it turned out, among other things, that too often, decision makers called "obscene" anything that was sexually arousing. I am unconvinced that this is not exactly the same error ID advocates make when they claim to know something is "designed" when there is not a whit of evidence that any intelligence ever intervened in any way after the fertilization of the egg, and sometimes even not then.

ts (not Tim) · 9 September 2005

Touch your right index finger to the tip of your nose. Now, starting with any neuron in your brain, explain how you just did that. Provide the "method of interaction" (i.e., the physical pathway from specific neuron to the observed effect).

— Paul Nelson
A "method of interaction" is not a map of a molecule-by-molecule causal pathway -- the categories aren't even close. As with his blather about climatology, Paul Nelson shows over and over that he's an IDiot even without the capitalization. And any non-idiot can see that this same sort of bogus argument is presented against evolution, and that one can no more conclude that there's an intelligent designer than that pixies cause our hands to move.

ts (not Tim) · 9 September 2005

Paley's Ghost is Cerutti.

I believe that was Cerutti's parody of Paley's Ghost, not Paley's Ghost. Cerrutti said it should have been clear from the id that it was a parody.

Russell · 9 September 2005

I'm going to disagree with Joseph O'Donell, even though I suspect he's smarter than I am.

Paul Nelson: 1. If life on Earth were designed by an intelligence, could science discover that?

Very definitely, however they would discover that by using proper scientific method ... Any "intelligence" capable of designing life is so far removed from anything we recognize by that word, that making predictions about what evidence it might or might not leave is absurd. (Sort of like the alleged "God" that way, isn't it? Unless the alleged "God" is actually more finite and thus predictable than His mainstream fan clubs pretend that they like to believe.)

(Nelson:) 2. When Darwin argued against design in the Origin of Species, was he doing science?

Yes he was, because he was making testable, falsifiable and scientifically useful predictions about how organisms would develop and respond to selective pressures. It's not that I disagree with this, it's just that it's barely relevant to the study of evolution today. Your typical high school student is not assigned "Origin of Species". If your typical high school, or even college, student reads any Darwin at all, it will be an occasional brief quote intended to put into perspective the millions of person-hours of research that have been performed since 1859. In stark contrast to a certain alleged "theory" that's been much rumored of late, but never defined. By the way, I doubt if Darwin would have approved of a bunch of political hacks, whose interest in science was secondary at best, organizing a "think tank" to promote the wedging of his theory into general education before it had undergone thorough scrutiny by the scientific community.

Paul Nelson · 9 September 2005

ts (not Tim) wrote:
And any non-idiot can see that this same sort of bogus argument is presented against evolution, and that one can no more conclude that there's an intelligent designer than that pixies cause our hands to move.
You (ts) move your hand to your nose, or across your keyboard to generate text, as I do. No need for pixies. But also no need for providing the causal pathway, whether molecule-by-molecule or at a more general level, to infer that you, an agent or intelligence (and not some other kind of cause) moved your hand. Design inferences do not need to give a physical mechanism to be justified.

ts (not Tim) · 9 September 2005

1. If life on Earth were designed by an intelligence, could science discover that?

— IDiot Paul Nelson
Not if it were designed to appear exactly as if it hadn't been, and as if some scientifically discoverable mechanism had produced it instead.

2. When Darwin argued against design in the Origin of Species, was he doing science?

By providing an evidence-based predictive model in place of argumentum ad ignorantiam, he indeed was doing science.

CJ O'Brien · 9 September 2005

the id, or the ego?

ts (not Tim) · 9 September 2005

Design inferences do not need to give a physical mechanism to be justified.

Not just an idiot, but a donkey's rear end, as you have now completely changed the subject, and left out the critical word that defines your position. Yes, there is a design inference for biodiversity. But to have a scientific theory of that design, you need need a method of interaction. For the theory of evolution as design we have such methods; for "intelligence", you have none.

ts (not Tim) · 9 September 2005

P.S. And, of course, if you have grounds for inferring intelligence in the design of biodiversity, then you have grounds for positing pixies as agents of your motor actions. This argument by analogy to touching your nose is utterly nonsensical and idiotic.

guthrie · 9 September 2005

Maybe I'm just getting confused, but I cant follow Paul nelson's post above. (Its probably just because its past my bed time.)

What if I went to sleep with a dirty hand, and woke up to find a smudge of dirt on my nose? How did it get there? Can it be demonstrated that unequivocally that I touched my nose when I was asleep, or what if someone else came along and moved my hand to touch my nose? How can you distinguish between these occurences and one where I rolled over in my sleep and touched my nose?

James Taylor · 9 September 2005

Quite true now that I consider it, although in some respects I suppose you could consider the human immune system perhaps as such a mechanism. In general though, there really isn't anything of the sort, especially considering how successful we've been lately in altering genomes with our own DNA (Transgenic crops for example).

— Joseph O'Donnell
So there is no security in DNA encoding? The organism either lives or dies right? Appears that the proposed 'designer' did not ensure the code worked according to a particular design if humans can alter portions of the design. No design = no designer.

ts (not Tim) · 9 September 2005

But also no need for providing the causal pathway, whether molecule-by-molecule or at a more general level, to infer that you, an agent or intelligence (and not some other kind of cause) moved your hand.

— Paul Nelson
The "you" here is either my entire person, of which my hand and nose are a part, or some ghost in the machine. If the former, then the "intelligence" of intelligent design is in the sense of Spinoza and Einstein and many other scientists, and has no bearing on the theory of evolution or the claims of ID. If the latter, then it is a metaphysical conception that has no bearing on the facts of neuroscience, psychology, motor control, etc., and by analogy this sort of metaphysical conception also has no bearing on the theory of evolution or the claims of ID. If this really is what you think that "intelligent design" amounts to, God being the universe as a whole or God being a metaphysical conception overlayed on the mechanical workings of the world, then your blather is as irrelevant as it is idiotic.

Paul Nelson · 9 September 2005

ts (not Tim) wrote:
But to have a scientific theory of that design, you need need a method of interaction.
So start with your brain, and show me the exact causal pathway -- "method of interaction" -- by which you touch your nose. Or compose and type your posts here. Leonard Linsky (a philosopher at the Univ of Chicago) tells a funny story about talking with two other academics about their definition of "miracles." A miracle, they said, was an event for which no known physical mechanism existed. So Linsky got up out of his chair, walked around the room, and sat down again. "Is that a miracle?" he asked them. No, of course not, they replied. We know how you did that: we know the causal (physical) story. "All right" said Linsky, "let's have it! Tell me how I just did that." Agency is real, and irreducible to physics. There's nothing spooky about it, but then one must recognize it as a real (ontologically distinct) mode of causation.

'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 9 September 2005

I'm sorry you won't be taking me up on my offer of unlimited beer at the University of Miami.

I'm not intersted in your sermon. Me, I'm sorry that you won't answer my simple questions. Again.

'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 9 September 2005

Lenny wrote: Last time you were here, you ran away without finishing our conversation. "Conversation" is something of a misnomer, wouldn't you say? What you're playing is Lenny's Game â„¢. Lenny's Game has no end; indeed it cannot end, because actual learning and exchange of information is not its point.

You are right about that, but I suspect you don't know how you are right.

Here's how Lenny's Game is played: 1. You ask a question. 2. I answer it. 3. You reject my answer as inadequate, and ask another question. 4. This goes on until I tire of the game and find better things to do. 5. You then say that I've run away.

No, Paul, it's more like 1. I ask a question 2. you don't answer it 3. I ask again 4. you run away 5. I ask my question again when you come back 6. infinite loop

The main effect of Lenny's Game is to make this blog a nasty and brutish place to visit, characterized by bullying, baiting, and ridicule, rather like a seedy biker's bar where one can expect to be threatened as soon as one sits down.

(sniffle) (sob) Boo hoo hoo. Done whining? Then answer my questions.

To illustrate, let's show once more how Lenny's Game is played. I'll answer your questions, and steps 3, 4, and 5 will follow, like night the day. Lenny: If there is no such thing as a theory of ID, why does the ID movement call itself the ID movement? You say "it really doesn't matter what one calls the ID movemnet". If so, why name it after something that doesn't exist? Is it, or is it not, to imply that it DOES exist, even though it actually doesn't. Well, let's pick a name that you might like, such as "The Fundamentally Religious and Scientifically Misbegotten Objections to Evolution Movement" (FRASMOTEM for short). FRASMOTEM is unwieldy, but if you can persuade others to use it, instead of "intelligent design movement," go for it. As I said earlier, however, the name won't really matter. Fred Hoyle coined "The Big Bang" originally as a cheeky jab (insult) towards a theory he never liked. Didn't matter: the name was widely adopted, because it was vivid and handy, and the scientific idea itself chugged right along. If the "intelligent design movement," however named, didn't exist --- meaning Behe, Dembski, Nelson, Meyer, Gonzalez, et. al, and their ideas --- this blog wouldn't exist. As I explain here, the study of evolution and a group of investigators one could call "evolutionists" existed long before a formally-articulated theory of evolution. There is more than enough content to the idea of intelligent design, even absent a theory, to make the conventions "intelligent design" and "ID" useful and accurate. But who knows? FRASMOTEM may have a promising future!

That's nice. Now answer my question. I'll ask again: If there is no such thing as a theory of ID, why does the ID movement call itself the ID movement? You say "it really doesn't matter what one calls the ID movemnet". If so, why name it after something that doesn't exist? Is it, or is it not, to imply that it DOES exist, even though it actually doesn't.

Lenny: So I'll ask again; why, if weather forecasting and accident investigation are every bit as "atheistic" and "materialistic" as evolution, aren't you out there fighting the good fight to get God back into weather forecasting aqnd accident investigation. Why aren't you out there fighting the "materialistic naturalistic biases" of weather forecasting or accident investigation. Why does "atheism" in evolution get your undies all in a bunch, but "atheism" in weather forecasting doesn't. Two questions for you (to help me answer this one, and to throw a little variation into Lenny's Game): 1. If life on Earth were designed by an intelligence, could science discover that? 2. When Darwin argued against design in the Origin of Species, was he doing science?

Gee, Paul, you seem not to have answered my question. Again. I'll ask once more: why, if weather forecasting and accident investigation are every bit as "atheistic" and "materialistic" as evolution, aren't you out there fighting the good fight to get God back into weather forecasting aqnd accident investigation. Why aren't you out there fighting the "materialistic naturalistic biases" of weather forecasting or accident investigation. Why does "atheism" in evolution get your undies all in a bunch, but "atheism" in weather forecasting doesn't.

Lenny: Can you point me to any published public statement by Ahmanson wherein he disavows any of the positions he held as cash cow and chief cheerleader for the Chalcedon Foundation nutballs? If you want to tell me that he has repudiated his positions and is no longer as nutty as he HAS been for the past 20 years, then please tell me (1) which of his former positions he has repudiated and why, and (2) which of his former positions he has NOT repudiated, and why NOT? Again with the Howard Ahmanson obsession. What to say? I'm happy to be supported by Howard's money. I guess you'd better put me on your list of unspeakable theocratic monsters. However, I'm a registered independent and voted for Obama here in Illinois, so maybe you should start a new list, "Confused and Inconsistent Theocratic Monsters," first entry, "Paul Nelson." I don't know what Howard's view were before; I don't know what they are now; frankly, I just don't care. The republic is in no danger from Howard Ahmanson.

Compare this with Paul's previous statement:

I've spent a little time with Howard (had a memorable long dinner with him in Irvine, CA, one night), and we talked about movies, wine, and whatnot. I've never heard or read anything from Howard that comes even remotely close to 'extremism,' whatever that is.

Gee, Paul, in addition to suddenly changing your tune, for some odd reason, you once again neglected to, ya know, answer my question. I'll ask again: Can you point me to any published public statement by Ahmanson wherein he disavows any of the positions he held as cash cow and chief cheerleader for the Chalcedon Foundation nutballs? If you want to tell me that he has repudiated his positions and is no longer as nutty as he HAS been for the past 20 years, then please tell me (1) which of his former positions he has repudiated and why, and (2) which of his former positions he has NOT repudiated, and why NOT?

Here are my questions again:

Answer mine first, Paul. I'm not about to let you either set the agenda here, or dance away from answering my damn questions. So, back to you, Paul. Feel free to run away, again. I'll be waiting right here when you get back, and this conversation will once again take up exactly where it left off. I'm a very patient man. If I have to ask you the same questions a thousand times till I get an answer, then I will.

'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 9 September 2005

I don't know what Howard's view were before; I don't know what they are now; frankly, I just don't care. The republic is in no danger from Howard Ahmanson.

Gee, Paul, I don't blame you a bit for not wanting to defend any of Ahmanson's nutty extremism, and for bending over backwards to try and disassociate DI from it. It's rather hard to keep arguing that DI is doing "science" when it's funded by an ayatollah-wanna-be like Ahmanson, isn't it. As for everyone else, I suggest that y'all do a ten-minute Goodle search for "Ahmanson Reconstructionist", and *see for yourself* what Ahmanson's views were, how they have changed (if at all), and whether the republic is in any danger from him and his ilk. I think Paul *knows* better than to try to defend it. Which doesn't seem to trouble him any when he cashes Ahmanson's checks.

Moses · 9 September 2005

So start with your brain, and show me the exact causal pathway --- "method of interaction" --- by which you touch your nose. Or compose and type your posts here.

This is so stupid. Sure, Galen had no idea how this happened. Galen didn't even think the brain was all that important and that the heart consisted of two seperate systems. But we don't live in Galen's time. We know what parts of the brain control various functions. We understand how the nervous system works and how commands (and feedback) are relayed. We understand how muscles contract, how joints work, blah, blah, blah. But then, you don't care. Your sole point is to make simple, common, well-understood processes seem unfathomable and mysterious to bolster a fraudulent argument. One that my 8-year-old might come up with, but certainly not a person who tries to pretend he's an intelligent adult. "Oh me! Oh my! I can't imagine it! I can't actually see it happening therefore it must be God who is making my finger move!"

Joseph O'Donnell · 9 September 2005

Any "intelligence" capable of designing life is so far removed from anything we recognize by that word, that making predictions about what evidence it might or might not leave is absurd. (Sort of like the alleged "God" that way, isn't it? Unless the alleged "God" is actually more finite and thus predictable than His mainstream fan clubs pretend that they like to believe.)

— Russel
Of course, such a designer could easily hide the fact it did anything and make it seem like it was never there. Unfortunately for the 'wink wink nudge nudge' lot, that means that a certain kind of supernatural designer is a complete liar and that's not very satisfactory. In my response to Paul, I assumed implicitely it would be reasonable to assess that such a designer did not deliberately hide its intentions. However, looking at what sort of things a designer would leave is actually possible, because we do have a model in human beings already. For example, we could find that genes are interspaced neatly by enzymatic sites that allow individual genes to be 'pasted' together readily. Such an unusual conformation could indeed suggest design and in fact, if this sounds absurd, we already do use this to determine if a biological agent was manipulated by human beings. However, note that the 'design' here isn't being inferred due to any (non-existant) work any ID advocate has done, it's logical deduction based on understanding of the designer in question, namely us. Genetically modified organisms are made by chopping out and recombining their genes into structures like plasmids, at sites where enzymes called restriction enzymes can cut leaving little overhangs of DNA that can be melted together. If every single organism on earth however, had a similar pattern and its genes looked to have been pasted together in such a manner, it could be highly suspicious and might indicate an overall designer. After all, we're an intelligence and we can design life and are doing it more and more. The difference is between us and the unnamed wink, wink, nudge, nudge designer of the ID advocates is we can make sensible testable predictions as to how the designer actually might have designed the organism in question. ID advocates like to pretend that such information isn't actually important, but in reality it's their refusal to do this basic bit of science first that literally leaves them dead scientifically. Without a mechanism to conclude design, they are left making half-arsed inferences like IC (pretty much defunct now) and useless measures like complex specified information (Which can't account for false positives). However, when I answered Paul I explicitely assumed that such work was possible, otherwise the answer to his question would be 'no', but it could be possible to detect design under certain circumstances or to at least fairly assume design (which in this worlds case they can't). For example, if all organisms on the planet had no relation to eachother, entirely oddball unique genomes and hosts of genes never seen in any other organism, it could be reasonable to infer that evolution was not a possibility. Further, if these organisms had perfect replication and never made mistakes in their genomes (no mutations) we might get even more suspicious that these could be organisms that were 'designed' because there is no mechanism of variation that could be acted on for evolution to work. Now of course, this is the realms of mere science fiction and certainly doesn't have a basis in fact. Evolution accounts quite consistently and well for life on earth as it is. There is no need to invoke space aliens or the designer that we know is God but we're not going to admit is God in order to do it. The question Paul asked however isn't an unquivocal 'no' even in the sense of a supernatural designer, because there are clear mechanisms or characteristics (perfect replication for example) that would rule out a natural mechanism like evolution and point to a designer (of some sort). That these mechanisms and characteristics have not been found in nature is devastating evidence against any form of design hypothesis. That no ID advocate I've asked can tell me how ID 'theory' (or just design) can deal with 4 simple observations in nature that evolution effortlessly accounts for is quite telling. In fact, like how Lenny sets the example, let's again remind our readers as to what those observations were: 1) Why organisms appear to be related in clearly distinct patterns 2) Why organisms have sometimes idosyncratic 'designs' such as the birthing canal of the hyena that results in a 1/3 chance of death for a first time mother. 3) Why the original designer chose to make numerous similar animals with small alterations in various features, such as those that accompany the transitional forms between the original reptiles jaw and the mammalian jaw, rather than just get to the point of the final design to begin with? Why the trial and error? Why do we also see this with other structures such as the flagellum, type I,II, III and IV secretion systems and many other structures? 4) If a designer can make an efficient structure like a bacterial flagellum, why was he so bad at designer an ATPase? The ATPase of humans for example, only manages to convert 66% of the energy it gets from protons being pumped through into ATP. That's pretty good for something that evolved to be 'good enough' but for something that was designed it's pretty pathetic, especially considering the intelligent designers we have to compare it to, namely us wouldn't find such a low efficiency (wasting a full 1/3 of the energy given to it) as satisfactory. I would like Paul to explain what work ID theorists are doing that explains the above observations. Remembering that if ID is to be scientifically useful and be a replacement or at least an 'alternative' to evolution it must explain the same observations as well or better than the existing theory. Currently, evolution can easily explain any of the above, yet ID runs into a brick wall and shatters like glass. Any one ID hypothesis can account for each one, but no single ID theory can actually explain all four simultaneously without requiring an actual named designer or plain contradicting itself. But going back to your original point, you've raised a valid observation. We could well be designed by the designer simply hid their presense so well they can't be detected. It could well be we were created 5 minutes ago with all our memories intact and with the world looking like it's existed for millions of years and animals having evolved. The problem is ID even if it would be correct would not be scientifically useful because it still fails to explain anything. Once again, the key part of what I wrote originally was that ID would make predictions that actually explains the observable evidence. In the "God designed the world but hid everything scenario" the observable evidence is still contradictory to the design argument. Hence, until the being in question made a gross mistake (either had its mechanism of design uncovered or perhaps decided to reveal itself for a laugh, before destroying us all in the luke warm ravioli pot of doom), evolution would still be the accepted scientific theory and ID just as vapid and scientifically useless as it is now.

It's not that I disagree with this, it's just that it's barely relevant to the study of evolution today.

Of course, Nelson and other ID advocates obession with 'Darwinism' and such forth merely demonstrates they haven't bothered updating themselves from the creationists ID 'evolved' from. He asked however if Darwin did good science when he refuted Paleys deficient design arguments in the Origin of Species. The simple answer is yes, that he has been vindicated by more than 150 years of work merely strengthens Darwins original position: That ID is bunk. It doesn't matter if it is Darwin or us, the conclusion is the same. Design is not solid science and it is not empirically supported.

By the way, I doubt if Darwin would have approved of a bunch of political hacks, whose interest in science was secondary at best, organizing a "think tank" to promote the wedging of his theory into general education before it had undergone thorough scrutiny by the scientific community.

I would agree as well.

Joseph O'Donnell · 9 September 2005

o start with your brain, and show me the exact causal pathway --- "method of interaction" --- by which you touch your nose. Or compose and type your posts here.

I'll do one better: I'll produce a prediction. My prediction is thus. Your ability to touch your nose is dictated by signals that originate in your brain and are sent down your spinal column into your peripheral nervous system. Your neurons react and send signals that cause the contraction of smooth muscle cells to either contract or relax enabling your arm and other joints to move causing you to touch your nose. The simple test is thus Paul: I'll sever your spinal column completely from your brain, preventing any neural signal from being able to reach your central or peripheral nervous system. If you can still touch your nose I'll renounce evolutionary theory and immediately join the DI for free as a research fellow. Let's have it shall we? What hospital will we perform the surgery?

'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 9 September 2005

Paul, quit changing the subject, and just answer my damn questions, please.

'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 9 September 2005

Well, let's pick a name that you might like, such as "The Fundamentally Religious and Scientifically Misbegotten Objections to Evolution Movement" (FRASMOTEM for short).

That, at least, would have the virtue of being an accurate name, unlike "intelligent design", of which, as you yourself have stated, no theory exists. But then, accuracy has never been a priority with ID/creationists, has it. At least not in front of a judge.

'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 9 September 2005

I'm happy to be supported by Howard's money.

I'm quite sure of that. But since YOU seem either unable or unwilling to tell me which of his nutty extremist positions (that he held for 20 years and supported directly with almost three-quarters of a million dollars) he has now presumably renounced, and which ones he hasn't, perhaps you'd be so kind as to invite him in here to explain it himself. . . . I'd very much like that, Paul. Can you arrange it?

'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 9 September 2005

I would like Paul to explain what work ID theorists are doing that explains the above observations.

Paul has already acknowledged publicly that there *are* no "ID theorists", since there *is no* scientific theory of ID. IDers who claim that there *is* a scientific theory of ID (such as, say, Jonathan Wells), are just lying to us, since there is no such thing. Right, Paul?

steve · 9 September 2005

Philosophers like Paul Nelson can sit around and complain that scientific theories would be better if they included supernatural explanations. They have done this for years. What they have never done, is produce a single useful result of their expanded notion of science. So scientists correctly ignore them.

Russell · 9 September 2005

>[note in advance: I'm not really arguing with J O'D here; I'm exploring the idea. And I'm wondering if PN thinks that the questions that he posed - the questions from which this exploration took off - have not been pretty thoroughly answered, and in a way that's not particularly helpful to his cause.]

(JO'D:) For example, we could find that genes are interspaced neatly by enzymatic sites that allow individual genes to be 'pasted' together readily. Such an unusual conformation could indeed suggest design and in fact, if this sounds absurd, we already do use this to determine if a biological agent was manipulated by human beings. However, note that the 'design' here isn't being inferred due to any (non-existant) work any ID advocate has done, it's logical deduction based on understanding of the designer in question, namely us.

Right. But suppose for a moment that the technology for reading DNA sequences had been developed before the discovery of the first restriction endonuclease. Suppose you ran across that statistically improbable array of nucleotides (short inverted palindromes) that we now recognize as enzyme recognition sites. You wouldn't conclude that those sites must indicate the work of conscious design. Likewise, I doubt whether an intelligence capable of designing all of life (if there were such a thing) would be using a tool as clunky as restriction endonucleases. And I have no idea what kinds of evidence, if any, the much more elegant technology would leave behind.

'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 9 September 2005

I don't know what Howard's view were before; I don't know what they are now; frankly, I just don't care. The republic is in no danger from Howard Ahmanson.

Ya know, it strikes me that this illustrates pretty well how ID/creationists operate. They don't know anything about it, they don't WANT to know anything about it, yet they still manage to reach the conclusion that they like.

Randy · 9 September 2005

paul, why do you conflate naturalism and reductionism?

McE · 9 September 2005

The main effect of Lenny's Game is to make this blog a nasty and brutish place to visit, characterized by bullying, baiting, and ridicule, rather like a seedy biker's bar where one can expect to be threatened as soon as one sits down.

— Paul
Paul, consider it a rehearsal for the time when you decide to present what there is of ID at real professional meetings. When you expose your "science" to the criticism of scientists out in the real world, it will make the "bullying, baiting, and ridicule" at this blog seem tame. Or try exposing a paper to real peer review, not something engineered by cronies such as Sternberg. I'm sure that the referees will give you a shot of ridicule that will have you thinking fondly of the Panda's Thumb. Other contributors and commenters to this blog have exposed their work to this fire. Why not you and your fellow DI Fellows?

'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 9 September 2005

My goodness, how could I have possibly missed this one before?

There is more than enough content to the idea of intelligent design, even absent a theory, to make the conventions "intelligent design" and "ID" useful and accurate. --- Paul Nelson

Intelligent design itself does not have any content. -- George Gilder

One of you, it appears, is full of crap. Which one?

'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 9 September 2005

Paul, consider it a rehearsal for the time when you decide to present what there is of ID at real professional meetings.

Or court.

steve · 9 September 2005

The main effect of Lenny's Game is to make this blog a nasty and brutish place to visit, characterized by bullying, baiting, and ridicule, rather like a seedy biker's bar where one can expect to be threatened as soon as one sits down.

Actually it is somewhat like a biker bar. But you don't get threatened for showing up. You get threatened for walking in and saying "You dummies don't know anything about bikes."

Stuart Weinstein · 9 September 2005

Paul writes "But climatologists and atmospheric scientists weigh the effects of intelligent agency all the time. Consider global warming and its possible causes. To be sure, humans aren't "supernatural," at least in the sense that I think you mean, but disentangling atmospheric effects due to intelligent agency (e.g., gas emissions from industrial activity) from so-called "natural" causes is an important area of ongoing research.

They also have ways to test this, for example how does sea-level rise track estimates of Human greenhouse gas production over the last 150 years. While correlation doesn't mean causation, its a place to start.

Furthermore, the "intelligent" part of intelligent agency is incidental in this case. Human "intelligence" has nothing to do with it. With repect to greenhouse gas production we are no more using "intelligence" than flatulating bovines, which also contribute to global warming.

Your example fails on several levels, not the least of which, neither "intelligence" nor "design" have anything to do with it. It is as incidental to human activity, as it would be to flatulating bovines.

Or are you claiming that humans are warming the planet by design?

Given the nutters and nincompoops runing Washington right now, you might actually have a case there.

But then you'd have to call it "SD" Stupid Design.

"If agency is suggested by evidence, science takes up the question.

Well, that is subtle.. now we go from "intelligent agency" to just plain old "agency". Isn't that special?

The "intelligence" of this agency in your example has nothing to do with it, nor is there any "design" involved.

"ID theorists think biological evidence suggests the role of intelligent agency;"

What biological evidence?

"most biologists disagree; and so we find ourselves with a vigorous dispute."

The only reason it is "vigorous" is because poor thinkers like yourself have a lot of money and time to waste polluting newspapers and blogs with quater-baked nonsensical gibberish.

Not to mention your immortal soul may be at stake.

ts (not Tim) · 10 September 2005

So start with your brain, and show me the exact causal pathway

Either you're incredibly stupid, or you're pretending to be. To repeat:

A "method of interaction" is not a map of a molecule-by-molecule causal pathway --- the categories aren't even close.

Even if you disagree, it's bad faith to simply repeat your request when I've already objected to it's validity.

"All right" said Linsky, "let's have it! Tell me how I just did that."

Linsky's another idiot who would be incapable of understanding the explanation even if given.

Agency is real, and irreducible to physics. There's nothing spooky about it, but then one must recognize it as a real (ontologically distinct) mode of causation.

Agency is most certainly not an ontologically distinct mode of causation. Indeed there's nothing spooky about people touching their noses, or chess computers winning games, and "nothing spooky" means nothing ontologically independent of the physical world. And the same applies to biodiversity -- as with touching noses and winning chess games, there is no need to appeal to non-physical processes, processes which can be conveniently modeled in terms of agency, per Dennett's intentional stance. To see how agency reduces to physics, consider http://cogprints.org/247/00/twoblack.htm Notably: "For surely there is some godforsaken and utterly inscrutable syntactic property that would also capture Bo's proclivity to turn on the red and green light in response to input strings; his brain is, after all, a syntactic engine. (Denying that lands you in a downright mystical doctrine.)"

Lurker · 10 September 2005

Linksy's illustration of agency being irreducible to physics, or rather Paul's anectode of Linksy providing the example, is a flawed intuition pump. Here's why:

Look up in the sky. Observe a cloud move across the sky. Now exclaim, "Let's have it. Tell me how the cloud did that." The implicit argument is that if one cannot provide a complete causal history of the cloud moving itself across the sky, then one must accept the argument of a substantive agency in the cloud.

But is that reasonable? Do we actually have a complete causal history of the cloud moving across the sky? For instance, given the known complexities of the meteorological system of Earth, do we know what that particular cloud was doing, say a day before it appeared to the naked eye? What was the individual water molecules or other particulates composing the cloud doing 24 hours before?

Now, return to Linsky's example. First order of business is to figure out whether it makes any more sense to ask how Linksy moved himself around the room than to ask how the cloud in the sky moves itself around the room. If you think that the latter is a poorly phrased, leading question (does the cloud move itself as an active agent?), then I think you are in the majority. But if you reject the notion of clouds moving themselves, under what logical pleading should you accept it for Linsky?

Theories of mental causation are weak... so much more for the substantive dualist that it is absurd to hear Paul declare it necessarily true with such confidence.

But, let's be charitable. Suppose dualism is true. Paul still has not answered Lenny Flank's question. How do we explore mental causation? For instance, suppose it is true that there is a Mind behind the moving clouds. How does one understand it? Forget exploring it empirically or even scientifically, for the sake of argument. I want Paul to show us a consistent epistemology that reveals the properties of Minds and their roles in causation.

Russell · 10 September 2005

"ID theorists think biological evidence suggests the role of intelligent agency;"

What biological evidence? Indeed. What theorists? What role? What agency? The sentence fairly implodes from a perfect storm of vacuity.

'Rev Dr' Lenny Flank · 10 September 2005

Look up in the sky. Observe a cloud move across the sky. Now exclaim, "Let's have it. Tell me how the cloud did that." The implicit argument is that if one cannot provide a complete causal history of the cloud moving itself across the sky, then one must accept the argument of a substantive agency in the cloud.

Not only that, but the "Substantive Agency Theorists" not only do NOT have to provide the complete causal history of the cloud moving itself across the sky that they ask of YOU, but they don't have to tell you ANTYHING AT ALL. Not what the "Agency" is. Not what it does to the cloud. Not how it does it. Nothing. At all. YOU have to explain EVERYTHING; THEY have to explain NOTHING. That's ID in a nutshell. God of the Gaps. Nothing more.

steve · 10 September 2005

Dum-dums like Paul Nelson have been resorting to this lately

But climatologists and atmospheric scientists weigh the effects of intelligent agency all the time. Consider global warming and its possible causes.

Now, look at what a pathetic argument that is. He's saying nothing more than "Climatologists aren't Solipsists."

solipsism n : (philosophy) the philosophical theory that the self is all that you know to exist

Of course we act as if other people exist. Stop being a dummy.

Ed Darrell · 10 September 2005

Paul,

Your example with Linsky confuses "how" with "why." The late Bill Hanley had a brilliant introduction for his live lectures to freshmen in Biology 101 at the University of Utah, in which he spent nearly ten minutes in excruciating detail of the how of things such as you proposed -- in Hanley's case, describing how a sound wave came to be inscribed on a piece of paper. He described the chemical and biological processes of a student taking notes at a lecture. In 1970, that was no mystery, so I've been puzzled for a couple of days about why you think it's a mystery now.

But you confessed it was a set up. Hanley's lecture in 1971 still meets your challenge -- he described the how of the action exactly. He could do it for Linsky, too.

What he can't describe is why the lump of grey matter that thinks itself Linsky wished to walk around the room. [At this point the smart alecky red-head kid in the back row puts his hand up -- "Linsky wanted to make a point, that's why." The red-head kid sees through your philosophical ploy, and she doesn't buy it.]

Science deals with proximate causes, understanding that proximate causes often lead to a penultimate cause originally unnoticed. The study of proximate causes can very ably explain the processes by which Linsky got up out of the chair and walked about the room, but it doesn't touch what motivated Linsky to get up and do it.

For another example, consider that studying proximate causes revealed that "common colds" are caused by viruses, not by cold air. Intelligent design might (does?) argue that the cold researcher should never dismiss cold air as a causative agent, because that's what seems to be the cause -- after all, aren't colds much more common in winter? Science doesn't want to know what seems to be the cause; it seeks what is the cause. It's unfair to argue that biology doesn't answer the question of why God created anthrax; the "how" of anthrax is what we need to know to fight it. (Intelligent design cannot explain anything about anthrax, including why we should fight against it, by the way.)

The chain of proximate causes discovered by science is good enough that it may get close to the "why" as well, in your hypothetical. I think that, deep down, that is what really troubles most ID advocates with advanced degrees, that science may indeed come across a few answers to the "why" questions.

Scientists are not unhappy with the ambiguity at the end of Linsky's challenge. It means there is more area for research, a clear manifestation of the science maxim that the more we know, the more we know that we don't know. In science, one is always wise to be wary of the guy who claims to have an answer when the question is either unclear or the answer already well understood otherwise. One may be rather certain that the guy who claims to have the answer probably missed the asking of many important questions.

And that's where you guys are with ID. It is my opinion that you've closed your minds to questions in science, not to mention social policy. (You might begin to ask, for example, "What is the moral value of ID advocates' approval of academically dishonest publications?")

Behe came close when he noted the concept of irreducible complexity -- a very good restatement or refinement (take your pick) of Darwin's noting what would disprove evolution (Darwin posed something that benefited a second, unrelated species, and which could not have benefited an ancestor in any form). The next question should have been, "What do we know that is irreducibly complex?" Behe didn't seek answers far, and he described some things in his book that turn out not to be irreducible nor inexplainable by evolution. At that point, ID's science path would be to return to nature and the lab and try to find structures that are, in fact, irreducibly complex.

Instead, as with your Linsky example, ID has insisted that evolution cannot tell us why the non-irreducibly complex systems arose (but then you disclaim any such knowledge when we pose reasonable hypotheses, and YOU claim the questions are then unfair!).

But do you see the chief problem with your Linsky example, Paul? Intelligent design can't explain the proximate causes of any of the actions, AND it also cannot explain the "why" of Linsky's stroll. So not only is ID just as helpless to answer your question, it is also helpless in answering those questions that science can probe.

You don't believe me? Ah, then by all means, lay out for us here the "causal pathways" that ID research has determined for Linsky's stroll. Be sure not to leave any gaps in the links . . .

Lurker · 10 September 2005

"But climatologists and atmospheric scientists weigh the effects of intelligent agency all the time. Consider global warming and its possible causes. To be sure, humans aren't "supernatural," at least in the sense that I think you mean, but disentangling atmospheric effects due to intelligent agency (e.g., gas emissions from industrial activity) from so-called "natural" causes is an important area of ongoing research."

Now, this is an interesting illustration of "agency". Is Paul ready to argue that global warming and its possible causes were intended results of men? Or could effects of agency refer to accidental, unintended outcomes. Consider a comparison between evidence of human beings manufacturing atomspheric pollutants and evidence of primordial microorganisms releasing toxic oxygen into the early atmosphere. What makes one more unnatural or more intelligent than the other?

I think Paul has swung a large double-sided sword here. If ID detects global warming as an example of an unintended, unplanned effect of intelligent agency, then there is nothing to stop ID from detecting life as an unintended, unplanned effect of an intelligent agent. Once again, we are then back to asking how ID increases our understanding of purported design phenomena. Apparently, intent is not something that ID can reliably explore.

Timothy Chase · 10 September 2005

Efficient and Final Causation In essence, what we are dealing with here are simply different levels of description. Imagine that you are a taxi driver, and you customer wishes to be taken to the university. You drive him there, and then wanting to be helpful, you point out the building which is the college of biological sciences, another which is the english department, another building devoted to the geological sciences, but then he interrupts, "Yes, but where is the university?" Similarly, it is at least in principle possible to describe biological systems purely in terms of efficient causation, but oftentimes, teleological causation is preferable. If I see a cheetah running at top speed, always changing its course so that the direction of its motion results in it closing the gap between itself and a gazel, it is perfectly reasonable to say that it is chasing after its prey. Likewise, if the leaves of a tree slowly change their angle, permitting the leaves to absorb the maximum amount of sunlight throughout the day, then it makes perfect sense to say that the leaves are changing their angle in order to absorb the maximum amount of sunlight -- once we understand the significance of sunlight to the tree. Or if a bacteria fallows the chemical gradient of some nutrients, it makes sense to say that the bacteria is seeking such nutrients. We understand all of these phenomena, to varying degrees, in terms of efficient causation, that is, in terms of the how, the means by which the action occured. But we also understand them in terms of the why, the goal of the action. The difference lies in the level of desciption, or perhaps better yet, the "perspective" or "context" through which we understand the action. Now at one point, Paul states,
Agency is real, and irreducible to physics. There's nothing spooky about it, but then one must recognize it as a real (ontologically distinct) mode of causation.
To be quite honest, I really don't know how to make sense of such a statement. Are we to think that the behavior of any atom or subatomic particle in a living organism cannot be understood purely in terms of physics? Or that there are little spirits pushing them around so as to insure the survival of that organism? In my first example, both the colleges and the university are real. Moreover, the existence of the university is independent of the existence of any given college -- take out any one of the buildings, and the university will still exist, albeit in a diminished state. But if none of the buildings were there, the university would cease to exist. Similarly, the chemical and physical principles underlying the actions of the tree by which it adjusts the angle of its leaves and of the bacteria by which it follows the chemical gradient are fairly well understood in terms of efficient causation. Likewise, we can understand both in terms of final causation, that is, in terms of the goal of their action -- where the goal is understood in terms of its survival or reproductive value to the organism. And importantly, we would not ascribe consciousness to either the plant or the bacteria. But this is normally what is implied by the term "agency," namely, that there exists an agent who is conscious of the goal of the action, and then acts so as to achieve that goal. However, if by "agent," we do not take this to imply an entity which is conscious, then clearly the term "agent" is applicable to the organism which acts to achieve its survival and/or to achieve reproductive success. From this perspective, natural selection can properly be understood as explaining the emergence of teleological causation within systems which are otherwise understood simply in terms of efficient causation. Likewise, final causation is not to be regarded "ontologically distinct," but epistemically distinct, being a matter of the perspective from which we choose to regard the phenomena.

ts (not Tim) · 10 September 2005

The next question should have been, "What do we know that is irreducibly complex?"

I think the next question should have been "What makes Behe think irreducible complexity is inconsistent with evolution?" If it isn't, then there is no need to find or pay special attention to systems that are irreducibly complex. Behe says that an irreducibly complex system is one in which nothing can be removed without destroying function -- but that's about the future of the system, whereas evolution is about its past. So rather than looking at what might happen next -- removal of a component leading to loss of function -- we should consider what might have happened last. And an obvious answer is that a non-essential component was removed from a redundant system, resulting in the "irreducibly complex" system -- nothing there is inconsistent with evolution. If Behe were an honest scientist, he would say "oops, sorry" and resolve to get more sleep and more peer review.

Timothy Chase · 10 September 2005

ts (not Tim) wrote,
The next question should have been, "What do we know that is irreducibly complex?"
I think the next question should have been "What makes Behe think irreducible complexity is inconsistent with evolution?" If it isn't, then there is no need to find or pay special attention to systems that are irreducibly complex. Behe says that an irreducibly complex system is one in which nothing can be removed without destroying function --- but that's about the future of the system, whereas evolution is about its past. So rather than looking at what might happen next --- removal of a component leading to loss of function --- we should consider what might have happened last. And an obvious answer is that a non-essential component was removed from a redundant system, resulting in the "irreducibly complex" system --- nothing there is inconsistent with evolution. If Behe were an honest scientist, he would say "oops, sorry" and resolve to get more sleep and more peer review.
The distinction between past and future is largely irrelevant. Behe speaks about the removal of parts destroying the function because he is essentially assuming that evolution builds simply by adding parts, but failed to realize that evolution can also build by removing parts, or by combining two mechanisms which both have a number of parts. For example, in the Roman arch, if one attempts to build it simply by adding blocks, one finds that this task is impossible as the blocks will come tumbling down before one has the chance to complete the arch. Likewise, if one removes one of the blocks once the Roman arch is already constructed, the entire structure will come tumbling down. In this sense, the Roman arch is irreducibly complex. However, it was still possible for mere mortals to create the Roman arch rather than relying upon divine intervention: one includes blocks in the center, supporting the blocks above as they are put in place, then removes the blocks directly below the upper part of the arch once the entire arch is in place -- so as to create a void that people may walk through.

ts (not Tim) · 10 September 2005

The distinction between past and future is largely irrelevant.

No, it absolutely is not, as a careful reading of what I wrote should make clear.

Behe speaks about the removal of parts destroying the function because he is essentially assuming that evolution builds simply by adding parts, but failed to realize that evolution can also build by removing parts, or by combining two mechanisms which both have a number of parts.

This has been pointed out to Behe, and yet he persists in pointing out that an irreducibly complex system will fail to function if parts are removed -- which is true, but irrelevant, because it refers to what might happen in the future, rather than what happened in the past. An irreducibly complex system not only doesn't contradict evolution, but is particularly evolutionarily stable, since any mutation disabled the function of any of the parts wouldn't be viable.

Russell · 10 September 2005

Tim: The distinction between past and future is largely irrelevant.

Not Tim: No, it absolutely is not...

I'm going with Not Tim on this one. Behe's "irreducible complexity" is based on the notion that disassembling a system is retracing the steps of its evolution. This idea is so... (I'm trying to think of a diplomatic euphemism for dumb, but it's late, and I can't) that it's hard for me to believe that Behe sincerely entertains it.

Timothy Chase · 10 September 2005

ts (not Tim) wrote:
This has been pointed out to Behe, and yet he persists in pointing out that an irreducibly complex system will fail to function if parts are removed --- which is true, but irrelevant, because it refers to what might happen in the future, rather than what happened in the past. An irreducibly complex system not only doesn't contradict evolution, but is particularly evolutionarily stable, since any mutation disabled the function of any of the parts wouldn't be viable.
I understand as much, and what I would say is that this indicates his dishonesty. However, the fact that he "persists in pointing out that an irreducibly complex system will fail to function if parts are removed," while irrelevant, has its uses: namely that someone who is not scientifically inclined will tend to view the assemblage of something complex in terms of the addition of parts, and the idea "that a non-essential component was removed from a redundant system, resulting in the 'irreducibly complex' system" will at first seem counterintuitive. (This, I believe, is what Behe is counting on.) Additionally, there are other approaches besides the removal of parts which might result in the creation of a so-called "irreducibly complex system."

ts (not Tim) · 11 September 2005

Simply considering truly, not just so-called, irreducibly complex systems in the abstract, an IC system could have had a component removed from a functional predecessor, but cannot have a component removed to produce a functional successor. And it can have a component added to it resulting in a functional successor, but it cannot result from adding a component to a predecessor. The time sequence is essential to whether IC is relevant to evolution. This is true regardless of whether Behe is honest, regardless of what he is counting on, and regardless of whether Behe's examples are really IC or whether any system is really IC.

As for "other approaches beside the removal of parts" ... a puff of smoke?

Timothy Chase · 11 September 2005

ts (not Tim) wrote:
As for "other approaches beside the removal of parts" ... a puff of smoke?
Your past and future approach ignores other possibilities, particularly when the partitioning is according to proteins (which is another one of Behe's assumptions). In essence, while Behe is trying to get his readers to think inside the box, you simply substitute a slightly larger box, but leave in place several of his other background assumptions. Something may be "irreducibly complex" in his approach when the removal of any one of thirty proteins results in the destruction of the system's functionality -- but what of the removal of say ten? Perhaps Behe is partitioning things in the wrong way -- and one part consists of ten proteins and another of twenty proteins. Or perhaps the functionality of the system with thirty proteins is destroyed when any one of the thirty proteins is removed, but one of the thirty possible subsystems (with one of the original thirty proteins removed) still has a function, just not the same function of the system with thirty proteins. Or perhaps, as you pointed out, perhaps we can get to the previous evolutionary step by adding one protein, rather than removing one. Or perhaps what we are dealing with is some combination of the above approaches. Besides, when someone tries to analyze this simply in terms of the addition or removal of one protein, what they are forgetting is that a single mutation in the code could affect several proteins at the same time -- particularly since the same stretch of DNA will often get transcribed into several different strands of RNA before being expressed in the form of proteins. There are numerous background assumptions which Behe is counting on his readers simply taking for granted. When critiquing him, it is helpful to point each out. Anyway, I hope this helps.

ts (not Tim) · 12 September 2005

Your past and future approach ignores other possibilities

None other than puffs of smoke.

Something may be "irreducibly complex" in his approach when the removal of any one of thirty proteins results in the destruction of the system's functionality --- but what of the removal of say ten?

This is why I wrote "Simply considering truly, not just so-called, irreducibly complex systems in the abstract".

When critiquing him, it is helpful to point each out.

What I have pointed out is that, even at its best -- even when using the simplest abstract model involving only additions and removals -- IC isn't inconsistent with evolution. To take the critique beyond that is to make a concession to Behe by giving his idea more merit than it deserves. IC as an objection to evolution is plain stupid -- as I said, if Behe were an honest scientist, he would say "oops, sorry" and resolve to get more sleep and more peer review.